Earnings Release • May 6, 2025
Earnings Release
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Revised financial outlook for 2025 and Interim Management Statement for Q1 2025
Reduced expectations for value growth in the global hearing aid market in 2025 to be 2-4% (previously 4-6%) following a weak start to the year Headwind from adverse exchange rate developments expected to impact EBIT in 2025
Outlook for 2025 revised: Organic growth of 1-5% (previously 3-7%) and EBIT of DKK 4,100-4,500 million (previously DKK 4,500-4,900 million)
"During the first quarter, macroeconomic uncertainties negatively impacted the hearing aid market and the US market, in particular. As we look to the rest of the year, we now expect softer-than-normal market developments, and in addition, we expect an impact of recent exchange rate developments. We thus adjust our outlook for the full year to reflect these elements. If we exclude the effects of the depressed global hearing aid market and exchange rates, our underlying business performed in line with our expectations in Q1, with particularly solid performance by Hearing Care. We still believe that professional hearing care and state-of-the-art hearing aids are fundamental in helping people with hearing loss enjoy life, and even in difficult market situations, we remain focused on delivering life-changing innovative products and services to our users and customers," says Søren Nielsen, President & CEO of Demant.
Our revised financial outlook for 2025 is summarised in the table below:
| Metric | Outlook for 2025 |
|---|---|
| Organic growth | 1-5% (previously 3-7%) |
| EBIT | DKK 4,100-4,500 million (previously DKK 4,500-4,900 million) |
| Share buy-backs | More than DKK 1,500 million |
The outlook is based on a number of key assumptions as described below (changes marked in bold):
For modelling purposes, we provide further assumptions for 2025 below, which are updated as at 5 May 2025:
| Metric | Assumption for 2025 |
|---|---|
| Acquisitive growth | 2% based on revenue from acquisitions completed as at 5 May 2025 |
| FX growth | -2% (previously 1%) based on exchange rates as at 5 May 2025 and including the impact of hedging |
| Effective tax rate | Around 23% |
| Profit from discontinued operations | DKK 0-50 million |
| Revenue (DKK million) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business area | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | Organic | Acquisitive | LCY | FX | Reported |
| Hearing Aids, total revenue | 3,148 | 3,107 | -1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Hearing Aids, internal revenue | -678 | -599 | 9% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 13% |
| Hearing Aids, external revenue | 2,470 | 2,508 | -4% | 2% | -2% | 1% | -2% |
| Hearing Care | 2,547 | 2,318 | 4% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 10% |
| Diagnostics | 603 | 597 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Group | 5,620 | 5,423 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
slightly larger than anticipated, as the negative US market caused geographic mix changes and thus an ASP decline in Hearing Aids.
Demant will host a conference call on 7 May 2025 at 14:00 CEST. A live webcast of the call will be available on our website www.demant.com. If you would like to access the conference call to ask questions, please pre-register here to receive the dial-in numbers and access codes. A presentation for the call will be uploaded on our website shortly before the call.
Further information: Søren Nielsen, President & CEO Phone +45 3917 7300 www.demant.com Other contacts: René Schneider, CFO Gustav Høegh, Investor Relations Officer Henrik Axel Lynge Buchter, Manager of External Communications
Overall, the hearing healthcare market we address, which comprises the markets for hearing aids and diagnostic instruments and services, saw flat growth in Q1.
Based on available market statistics, covering around two-thirds of the hearing aid market, and on our own assumptions, we estimate that the global hearing aid market saw unit growth of around 2% in Q1 compared to the same period in 2024. The low growth was due to the US commercial market, which saw negative growth. Excluding the US market, the global market growth was in the low end of the structural growth rate of 4-6%. We estimate that geographic and channel mix changes resulted in negative ASP development. Consequently, we estimate that value growth in the hearing aid market in Q1 was flat.
| 2025 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Q1 | Q2 | 2024 Q3 |
Q4 | FY | Q1 |
| Europe | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| North America | 10% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | -3% |
| Hereof US (commercial) | 13% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | -5% |
| Hereof US (VA) | -1% | 1% | -1% | 0% | -1% | -1% |
| Rest of world | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% |
| Global | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
We estimate that market growth in Europe was 4% in Q1 compared to the same period in 2024. Growth was primarily driven by strong growth in the NHS supported by easier comparative figures, although excluding the NHS, growth in Europe was still positive. Growth in the UK commercial market was strong, and growth in Germany was solid. In France, growth was slightly positive and in line with our assumptions. We still expect growth acceleration in the coming quarters to support high single-digit growth for the full year. Several medium-sized markets also saw good growth.
Unit growth in North America was -3% in Q1. Contrary to expectations, and following several periods of strong growth, economic uncertainty amongst consumers led to negative growth in the US commercial market in both private-pay channels and managed care. Strong comparative figures also weighed on growth in Q1. Growth in VA remains subdued and was slightly negative, while growth in Canada was solid.
Looking beyond Europe and North America, we estimate that unit growth in Rest of world region was 4%. Growth in Japan was slightly positive. Supported by easier comparative figures, growth in China was also slightly positive, even though overall market dynamics remain challenging. Australia saw negative growth, whereas we estimate that several emerging markets delivered good growth in Q1, particularly in Latin America.
We estimate that, compared to the same period last year, the growth rate in the diagnostics market was flat in Q1. This is due to the continuously soft demand for diagnostic instruments, which was offset by slight growth in the market for services and consumables in the period.
Organic growth in sales to external customers was -4% in Q1. As expected, growth was impacted by a strong comparative base due to the launch of Oticon Intent in February last year, the significant loss of market share with managed care in Q2 2024 and a continuously intense competitive environment. However the growth in Q1 was lower than expected due to the negative US commercial market. Unit growth was flattish, while negative market developments in the US resulted in negative development in the ASP. When we look at our total sales, growth in local currencies was 1%, and we estimate that we have maintained our global market share.
In Europe, organic growth was positive, driven by solid performance in Germany as well as good performance in several medium-sized markets. In France, growth was slightly positive, while in the UK, growth was slightly negative, partly due to tough comparative figures in the private segment and partly due to a loss of market share in the public channel.
In North America, growth was negative due to negative growth in the US, which was lower than expected due to a negative US commercial market. As expected, growth was further impacted by strong comparative figures due to the launch of Oticon Intent and also by the significant loss of market share with managed care in the US in Q2 2024. In VA, we saw positive growth due to market share gains despite negative growth in this channel. In Canada, growth was solid.
In Asia, organic growth was strong. In China, market share gains supported solid above-market growth, and in Japan, growth was very strong, exceeding the market growth rate. In the Pacific region, growth was slightly negative, despite solid organic growth in Australia. In our Rest of world region, which mostly comprises emerging markets, organic growth was strong.
Hearing Care continued the solid performance, leading to organic growth of 4%, thus outgrowing the market. This was driven by very strong performances in Canada, Germany and several of our other medium-sized markets. Acquisitive growth was 5%, driven by Germany, where we completed a sizeable acquisition in Q1. Acquisitions in Denmark, Italy and a number of other markets also contributed to acquisitive growth in the period. Growth was mainly driven by units, but we also saw tailwind from an increase in the ASP due to positive product and geographic mix changes.
Europe saw solid organic growth driven by very strong performances in several of our medium-sized markets, particularly Poland. In Germany, organic growth was strong, which was further supported by meaningful growth from acquisitions, while growth in the UK was flat. In France, which is our largest market in Europe, growth was slightly positive. Throughout Q1, we saw good initial traffic in our clinics driven by the four year anniversary of the hearing healthcare reform in France, which we expect to support further growth throughout the rest of the year.
In North America, organic growth was solid, driven by continuously strong momentum in Canada. In the US, organic growth was positive, well above the negative market growth rate, despite the continuously negative impact of lower traffic generated by customers covered by managed care.
Looking beyond Europe and North America, growth in Australia was slightly negative, in part due to strong growth in the comparative period. In China, growth was negative, as the overall market dynamics remain challenging.
Organic growth in Diagnostics was 0%. The market for diagnostic instruments continues to be soft, and if we look at our global performance across product categories, we estimate that we have maintained our market share compared to the same period last year. Our services and consumables business continues to perform well.
In Europe, organic growth was positive, driven by particularly strong growth in the UK and France. In North America, growth was also positive, driven entirely by the US, as growth in Canada was slightly negative due to very strong comparative figures. In Asia, growth was negative across the region, although particularly in China, where we continue to see adverse effects of our limited access to public markets, and in Japan due to strong comparative figures. In our Rest of world region, several minor emerging markets saw good growth.
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