AI assistant
Delivery Hero SE — Management Reports 2018
Dec 21, 2018
94_ip_2018-12-21_cd307ae8-b4c0-4eaf-b212-79892481140c.pdf
Management Reports
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Delivery Hero Sells Food Delivery Operations in Germany to Takeaway.com for Cash and Shares and Reinvests for Further Growth
21st December 2018
Delivery Hero SE 1
Our Clear Vision
Create an amazing on-demand experience
AMAZING ORDERING
AMAZING SERVICE
Transaction Overview
Total Consideration
Enterprise Value of c. €930m
Cash Consideration
€508m cash consideration
Equity Consideration
- Ownership of c. 18% in Takeaway.com pre-refinancing
- Enables Delivery Hero to benefit further financially from any value creation that Takeaway.com may generate
- Delivery Hero to nominate one independent Takeaway.com Supervisory Board member
- 4 year standstill and standard non-compete
- Lock up on shares up until July 2019
Closing of transaction is expected in H1 2019, only subject to approval of Takeaway.com's EGM
Note: 1. Based on €44.40 per share equivalent to the last 10 day VWAPas of 19 December 2018
Delivering on Our Promise
| Guidance at IPO | Status1 |
|---|---|
| Growth as No.1 Priority • >40% in short & mid-term • >30% in the long-term |
9M18 order and revenue growth of 50% and 77%2 Number of restaurants grew by 51% YoY3 Remain in early stages of growth trajectory with online penetration still low (c. 10%)4 |
| #1 leader in 33 of our 41 countries with c. 80% of GMV coming from #1 leadership countries5 |
|
| Invest for Leadership • Further build leadership positions across the most attractive markets |
>6m own delivery orders per month, more than 2x own delivery orders of competitors combined in our markets in total6 |
| >30m orders per month, more than 3x competitors' combined in our markets in total7 |
|
| Operating in more than 4,000 cities with own delivery riders now delivering in c. 200 cities |
|
| Build Tech & Product Leadership | Deployed personalized recommendations in 23 countries |
| • Invest in innovation to build a third generation on-demand platform |
Rolled out multi-vertical delivery platform in 9 countries |
-
Including Germany growth would be 48%, in total we now have over 245,000 restaurants
-
Management estimates for our countries of operations post deconsolidation of Germany. Excluding orders from South Korea, Norway & Canada and our minority holdings Rappi and Glovo
Notes:
1. Numbers exclude Germany unless otherwise noted
2. Including Germany growth would be 46% and 66%, respectively. Revenue growth shown in constant currency
4. Management estimate
7. Management estimates for our countries of operations post deconsolidation of Germany. Excluding orders from South Korea, Norway & Canada
Increased Growth and Larger Flexibility to Invest…
-
- Constant currency
-
- Excludes restaurant cash
-
- Delivery Hero currently has an undrawn €125m revolving credit facility available
… In Large Markets with Untapped Opportunity…
Total Market of c. €500bn with untapped potential
… and with Higher Frequency as well as Higher Engagement
INCREASING # OF ORDERS
Average Monthly Orders per Active Customer Over Time
High and increasing order frequency across all markets over time
Upgrading Our 2019 Investment Plan
| New Investment Plan | Expected Impact |
|---|---|
| Increasing Investments with Net Adj. EBITDA Impact of Negative €250m |
€45m incremental revenue impact expected in 2019 €81m incremental recurring revenue per year starting in 2020 |
| (Equal to approximately half of cash proceeds from the transaction) |
Appreciating The Long Term Return On Investments
AFFORDABILITY
Tap into more customers with reduced delivery fees and minimum order sizes
MARKETING
Accelerate customer acquisition with improving customer acquisition costs
SALES
Increase restaurant coverage in under-penetrated cities, neighbourhoods & rural areas
TECHNOLOGY AND PRODUCT
Continuous innovation to improve on-demand experience for consumers and restaurant partners
Proven Ability to Deploy Incremental Investment at High Returns: €80m in H2 2018
- Notes:
-
- Asia refers to Asia excluding Korea
-
- Average New Customers per month per quarter
-
- Average CPA per quarter Q418 YTD returning 1 month frequency includes only October 2018
-
- Defined as number of orders divided by cohort acquisitions, calculated as three month average
-
- Q418 YTD returning 1 month frequency includes only October 2018
FY19E Revenue Guidance
Notes:
- FY2019 excludes Germany and other countries with (planned) divestments in foodora non-core assets (Australia, France, Italy and Netherlands). As per previous guidance, revenue guidance is pre-discount
1. FY2018 excludes countries with (planned) divestments in foodora non-core assets (Australia, France, Italy and Netherlands). As per previous guidance, revenue guidance is pre-discount
Equity Value Bridge
-
Illustrative value
-
Excludes restaurant cash
-
Based on €44.40 per share equivalent to the last 10 day VWAPas of 19 December 2018
-
Latest Portfolio Valuation of all our minority interests as per our 3Q18 results
Updated Outlook
2018E Guidance1
Revenues
Revenue guidance
€780m to €785m
: 2019E Guidance2 :
Revenues
Revenue guidance €1.08bn to €1.15bn
Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA
-5% to -8%
plus additional investments of up to €80m
-€270m to -€320m
which includes additional investment across all segments with a negative Net Adj. EBITDA impact of €250m
- MENA expected full year Adj. EBITDA of €70m after increased investments
- Europe expected to reach breakeven during H2 2019
Notes:
-
FY2018 excludes countries with (planned) divestments in foodora non-core assets (Australia, France, Italy and Netherlands). Revenue guidance is pre-discount
-
FY2019 excludes Germany and other countries with (planned) divestments in foodora non-core assets (Australia, France, Italy and Netherlands). Revenue guidance is pre-discount
Delivery Hero Outlook 2019 at a Glance: Best-in-class Performance and Global Leadership
c. €1.1bn 33
Revenue guidance of €1.08-1.15bn for FY19E
Leadership positions from 41 countries1
9
Markets with multivertical delivery platform rolled out
9M18 Revenue Growth2
Pro-forma Available Cash
18%
equity stake in Takeaway.com3 alongside other minority holdings (with LPV of €284m)
Notes:
-
Excluding countries with (planned) divestments in foodora non-core assets (Australia, France, Italy and Netherlands)
-
Constant currency; excludes Germany
-
18% of the total issued and outstanding share capital of Takeaway.com N.V. after the issuance of the equity component to Delivery Hero, but prior to any issuance of shares required to (re)finance all or part of the cash component of the consideration
Appendix
2019 Financial Calendar
| Event | Release Date |
|---|---|
| Full-year 2018 Trading Update | 06-Feb-2019 |
| Annual Results 2018 / Report | 25-Apr-2019 |
| Q1 2019 Trading Update | 08-May-2019 |
| 2019 Annual General Meeting | 12-Jun-2019 |
| Half-year 2019 Report | 04-Sep-2019 |
| Q3/9M 2019 Trading Update | 07-Nov-2019 |
Delivery Hero: KPIs Post Transaction (1/2)
| 2017 | 2018 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in €m | Q1 | Q2 | H1 | Q3 | Q4 | FY | Q1 | Q2 | H1 | Q3 | 9M | |
| Delivery Hero Group (ex. Germany) | ||||||||||||
| Orders | 52.9 | 58.2 | 111.1 | 63.4 | 73.8 | 248.3 | 80.2 | 86.4 | 166.6 | 94.5 | 261.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 51.8% | 48.3% | 50.0% | 49.0% | 49.6% | |||||||
| GMV | 681.4 | 739.8 | 1,421.2 | 801.7 | 907.9 | 3,130.8 | 970.7 | 1,041.1 | 2,011.8 | 1,150.0 | 3,161.8 | |
| % YoY Growth | 42.5% | 40.7% | 41.6% | 43.4% | 42.2% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 59.4% | 55.6% | 57.4% | 54.4% | 56.3% | |||||||
| Revenue | 88.1 | 97.4 | 185.5 | 106.4 | 125.5 | 417.4 | 137.7 | 154.5 | 292.2 | 175.9 | 468.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 56.2% | 58.7% | 57.5% | 65.3% | 60.4% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 73.9% | 74.0% | 74.0% | 82.6% | 77.1% | |||||||
| Delivery Hero Europe (ex. Germany) | ||||||||||||
| Orders | 10.0 | 10.5 | 20.5 | 10.0 | 12.1 | 42.6 | 13.8 | 14.6 | 28.4 | 14.3 | 42.8 | |
| % YoY Growth | 37.9% | 39.1% | 38.5% | 43.5% | 40.2% | |||||||
| GMV | 128.4 | 131.8 | 260.2 | 130.8 | 156.4 | 547.4 | 173.1 | 173.2 | 346.3 | 174.8 | 521.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 34.8% | 31.4% | 33.1% | 33.7% | 33.3% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 35.7% | 32.8% | 34.2% | 36.1% | 34.9% | |||||||
| Revenue | 21.2 | 21.9 | 43.1 | 21.5 | 24.9 | 89.5 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 54.8 | 27.6 | 82.3 | |
| % YoY Growth | 29.1% | 25.1% | 27.1% | 28.5% | 27.5% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 30.6% | 26.8% | 28.7% | 31.1% | 29.5% | |||||||
| Delivery Hero Germany | ||||||||||||
| Orders | 6.7 | 6.9 | 13.6 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 28.5 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 15.4 | 7.9 | 23.4 | |
| % YoY Growth | 19.2% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | |||||||
| GMV 1 |
128.6 | 130.6 | 259.2 | 138.7 | 152.7 | 550.7 | 157.0 | 147.1 | 304.1 | 157.7 | 461.8 | |
| % YoY Growth | 22.1% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 22.1% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | |||||||
| Revenue | 21.4 | 21.7 | 43.1 | 22.7 | 24.3 | 90.1 | 25.5 | 24.7 | 50.2 | 25.9 | 76.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 19.2% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 19.2% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% |
Note:
- Q1, Q2 2017 numbers revised from €130.4m and €131.1m respectively
Delivery Hero: KPIs Post Transaction (2/2)
| 2017 | 2018 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in €m | Q1 | Q2 | H1 | Q3 | Q4 | FY | Q1 | Q2 | H1 | Q3 | 9M | |
| Asia | ||||||||||||
| Orders | 11.4 | 12.8 | 24.2 | 14.5 | 16.5 | 55.1 | 17.6 | 18.7 | 36.3 | 21.9 | 58.2 | |
| % YoY Growth | 53.8% | 46.9% | 50.2% | 50.6% | 50.3% | |||||||
| GMV | 185.0 | 200.4 | 385.4 | 211.0 | 247.6 | 844.0 | 261.7 | 280.0 | 541.7 | 317.4 | 859.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 41.4% | 39.8% | 40.6% | 50.4% | 44.1% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 52.7% | 45.7% | 49.0% | 48.7% | 48.9% | |||||||
| Revenue | 27.6 | 31.0 | 58.6 | 31.1 | 37.6 | 127.3 | 39.9 | 44.7 | 84.6 | 50.8 | 135.4 | |
| % YoY Growth | 44.7% | 44.2% | 44.4% | 63.2% | 50.9% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 56.4% | 50.2% | 53.1% | 61.3% | 56.0% | |||||||
| MENA | ||||||||||||
| Orders | 25.7 | 28.3 | 53.9 | 31.7 | 37.5 | 123.1 | 41.1 | 44.2 | 85.4 | 48.7 | 134.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 60.4% | 56.5% | 58.3% | 53.8% | 56.6% | |||||||
| GMV | 288.5 | 313.2 | 601.7 | 366.2 | 402.0 | 1,369.9 | 439.8 | 479.9 | 919.7 | 549.7 | 1,469.3 | |
| % YoY Growth | 52.4% | 53.2% | 52.8% | 50.1% | 51.8% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 76.6% | 74.6% | 75.6% | 64.7% | 71.4% | |||||||
| Revenue | 29.6 | 32.7 | 62.3 | 41.8 | 49.2 | 153.3 | 56.6 | 66.7 | 123.3 | 85.0 | 208.3 | |
| % YoY Growth | 91.5% | 103.8% | 97.9% | 103.4% | 100.1% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 121.5% | 130.1% | 126.1% | 117.6% | 122.7% | |||||||
| Americas | ||||||||||||
| Orders | 5.8 | 6.7 | 12.4 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 27.5 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 16.5 | 9.6 | 26.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 33.8% | 31.1% | 32.4% | 32.6% | 32.5% | |||||||
| GMV | 79.4 | 94.5 | 173.9 | 93.7 | 101.9 | 369.5 | 96.1 | 108.0 | 204.2 | 108.1 | 312.3 | |
| % YoY Growth | 21.1% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 16.7% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 51.0% | 45.8% | 48.1% | 52.7% | 49.7% | |||||||
| Revenue | 9.8 | 11.8 | 21.5 | 12.0 | 13.8 | 47.4 | 13.8 | 15.8 | 29.6 | 12.5 | 42.1 | |
| % YoY Growth | 40.7% | 34.3% | 37.2% | 4.0% | 25.3% | |||||||
| % YoY Growth (constant currency) | 73.1% | 68.5% | 70.6% | 108.0% | 84.0% |
Important Notice
ALL FINANCIAL FIGURES INCLUDED IN THE FOLLOWING PRESENTATION ARE BASED ON IFRS, UNLESS NOTED OTHERWISE.
For the purposes of this notice, "presentation" means this document, its contents or any part of it. This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
This presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and should not be relied upon in making any investment decision to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire any securities. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation, are subject to change without notice and do not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate Delivery Hero SE. Delivery Hero SE undertakes no obligation to update or revise this presentation. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or any other information discussed verbally, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
The information in this presentation is of preliminary and abbreviated nature and may be subject to updating, revision and amendment, and such information may change materially. Neither Delivery Hero SE nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents or affiliates undertakes or is under any duty to update this presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent or to provide any additional information.
The presentation and discussion contain forward looking statements, other estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Delivery Hero SE ("Forward-looking Statements"). These Forward-looking Statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms "believes", "estimates", "anticipates", "expects", "intends", "aims", "plans", "predicts", "may", "will" or "should" or, in each case, their negative, or other variations or comparable terminology. These Forward-looking Statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They appear in a number of places throughout this presentation and include statements regarding Delivery Hero SE's intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, Delivery Hero SE's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates and potential or ongoing acquisitions. By their nature, Forward-looking Statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking Statements should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Similarly, past performance should not be taken as an indication of future results, and nor representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. The development of Delivery Hero SE's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates, and the effect of acquisitions on Delivery Hero SE may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the Forward-looking Statements contained in this presentation or past performance. In addition, even if the development of Delivery Hero SE's prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which it operates are consistent with the Forward-looking Statements contained in this presentation or past performance, those developments may not be indicative of Delivery Hero SE's results, liquidity or financial position or of results or developments in subsequent periods not covered by this presentation. Any Forward-Looking Statements only speak as at the date of this presentation is provided to the recipient and it is up to the recipient to make its own assessment of the validity of any Forward-looking Statements and assumptions. No liability whatsoever is accepted by Delivery Hero SE in respect of the achievement of such Forward-looking Statements and assumptions.