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Delek Group — Capital/Financing Update 2020
Oct 19, 2020
6742_rns_2020-10-19_cda5d55d-6d0b-4933-813d-c596d463ccff.pdf
Capital/Financing Update
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קבוצת דלק בע"מ )"החברה"(
19 באוקטובר, 2020
לכבוד רשות ניירות ערך רחוב כנפי נשרים 22 ירושלים 95464 לכבוד הבורסה לניירות ערך בתל-אביב בע"מ רחוב אחוזת בית 2 תל-אביב 65543
ג.א.נ,.
הנדון: הנפקה אפשרית למשקיעים מסווגים, המובטחת בתמלוגי-על מפרויקט לוויתן - דירוג
בהמשך לאמור בדוח המיידי מיום 8 באוקטובר ,2020 מס' אסמכתא: ,2020-01-109698 בדבר הנפקה אפשרית למשקיעים מסווגים המובטחת בתמלוגי-על מפרויקט לוויתן, החברה מתכבדת להודיע בזאת כי ביום 19 באוקטובר 2020 פרסמה Ratings Fitch דירוג בינלאומי של (EXP(+B לאגרות חוב של דלק תמלוג על לוייתן בע"מ )להלן: "דלק תמלוג"(, אשר יוצעו למשקיעים מוסדיים מסווגים זרים וישראלים, בערך נקוב כולל של כ- 180 מיליון דולר ארה"ב שיובטחו בשעבוד של תמלוגי-על המגיעים לחברה ולדלק מערכות אנרגיה בע"מ מחלקה של דלק קידוחים – שותפות מוגבלת בפרויקט לוויתן ויועברו לדלק תמלוג, בהתאם למתווה המפורט בדוח המיידי מיום 8 באוקטובר 2020 )מס' אסמכתא: 2020-01-109698(.
ככל שההנפקה תצא לפועל, מלוא כספי תמורת ההנפקה, בניכוי הוצאות וכרית להבטחת תשלומי ריבית כמקובל, יועברו לחשבון הנאמנים לאגרות החוב של החברה, וישמשו לטובת פירעון תשלומי החברה הקרובים למחזיקי אגרות החוב, בהתאם להוראות סעיף 6.1.5 לתיקון שטר הנאמנות בתוקף מיום .17.6.2020
מצ"ב כנספח לדיווח זה דוח הדירוג המלא שפורסם על ידי Ratings Fitch.
מודגש שהיקף ההנפקה, עיתויה וכל יתר תנאיה טרם נקבעו והם מותנים, בין היתר, בתנאי השוק ובגורמים נוספים שאינם בשליטת החברה.
המידע שנכלל בדיווח זה, אינו מהווה הצעה לרכישה או מכירה של אגרות החוב או ניירות ערך אחרים כלשהם של החברה ו/או של המנפיקה או של כל תאגיד אחר, והאמור בו אינו מהווה המלצה או חוות דעת.
אזהרה בגין מידע צופה פני עתיד – המידע המפורט לעיל, ביחס להנפקה האפשרית של אגרות החוב, לרבות ביחס להיקף, העיתוי ומבנה ההנפקה, מהווים מידע צופה פני עתיד כמשמעו בחוק ניירות ערך, התשכ"ח,1968- אשר אין כל ודאות כי יתממש כלל, או שעשוי להתממש באופן השונה מהותית מהאמור לעיל, וזאת עקב גורמים שונים לרבות התנאים בשווקים הפיננסים לאור התמשכות משבר הקורונה והשלכותיו, וההיענות של משקיעים פוטנציאליים להצעת אגרות החוב או עקב סיבות אחרות.
The Bonds to be offered have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or the securities laws of any other jurisdiction and may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, in the United States or to or for the account or benefit of U.S. persons, as such term is defined in Regulation S of the Securities Act, absent registration or unless pursuant to an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act and any other applicable securities laws. The Bonds will be offered subject to prevailing market and other conditions, and there is no assurance that the Offering will be completed or, if completed, as to its terms. This report does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the Bonds, nor shall it constitute an offer, solicitation or sale in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful.
This report does not constitute and shall not, in any circumstances, constitute a public offering nor an invitation to the public in connection with any offer within the meaning of the Directive 2003/71/EC (the "Prospectus Directive"), as implemented in Member States of the European Economic Area (the "EEA"), and, once fully effective, under Regulation (EU) 2017/1129 (the "Prospectus Regulation"). The offer and sale of the Bonds will be made pursuant to an exemption under the Prospectus Directive and, once fully effective, under the Prospectus Regulation, from the requirement to produce a prospectus for offers of securities.
This report does not constitute an offer of securities to the public in the United Kingdom and is directed solely at persons who (i) are outside the United Kingdom, (ii) are investment professionals, as such term is defined in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "Financial Promotion Order"), (iii) are persons falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Financial Promotion Order, or (iv) are persons to whom an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity (within the meaning of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000) in connection with the issue or sale of any Bonds may otherwise lawfully be communicated or caused to be communicated (all such persons together being referred to as "relevant persons"). This communication must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment or investment activity to which this communication relates is available only to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this communication or any of its contents.
בכבוד רב, קבוצת דלק בע"מ על-ידי: תמיר פוליקר, משנה למנכ"ל ומנהל כספים ראשי ליאורה פרט לוין, יועצת משפטית ראשית ומזכירת החברה
FitchRatings
RATING ACTION COMMENTARY
Fitch Assigns Delek Overriding Royalty Leviathan Ltd's Bond 'B+(EXP)' Rating; Stable Outlook
Mon 19 Oct, 2020 - 3:58 AM ET
Fitch Ratings - London - 19 Oct 2020: Fitch Ratings has assigned Delek Overriding Royalty Leviathan Ltd's (the issuer) USD180 million bond a 'B+(EXP)' expected rating.
The final rating is contingent upon the receipt by Fitch of final documents conforming to information already received as well as the final pricing and financial close on the proposed notes.
RATING RATIONALE
The issuer's credit profile is driven by the rating of the Leviathan gas field, a large offshore gas field in Israel that pays royalties to the issuer. The rating considers the issuer 's exposure to refinancing risk, given the high initial leverage as well as the uncertainty on the timing of the royalty rate step-up, which is linked to the Leviathan gas field production.
The rating factors in the seniority of royalty payments in the Leviathan gas field's cash flow waterfall as well as the stable cash flow generation supported by the high-quality reserves,
the use of commercially proven technology and the strong operating setup with Noble Energy Mediterranean Ltd providing day-to-day operating services.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Lower-rated Counterparties, Diversified Offtake Base: Revenue Risk - Midrange
The issuer benefits from the payment of overriding royalties (ORRI), which rank senior to operating costs and debt service on the bond issued by Leviathan Bond Ltd. However, the increase in the royalty rate from 1.5% to 6.5% at the well head (1.38% to 5.98% expected effective rate at the entry to the grid) will be linked to the timing of the full recovery of the Leviathan gas field investment (return on investment; ROI) and this limits the visibility of project cash flow generation over the medium term.
Under the Fitch Base Case, the ROI date is in 2025, while under the Fitch Rating Case, which assumes lower revenues in line with the 1P production forecast, it is in 2027, highlighting that the ORRI payment depends on the timing of revenue generation of the gas field.
The Leviathan gas field benefits from a diversified offtake structure with long-term contracts with offtakers in Jordan and Egypt as well as a large pool of companies in Israel. The export volumes make up the majority of Leviathan's gas sales and imply a reliance on the offtakers in Jordan and Egypt to perform on their payment obligations.
The Leviathan gas field's 15-year gas sales and purchase agreement (GSPA) with the Jordanian NEPCO is for an annual contracted quantity of 3.1-3.6 billion cubic metres (BCM). NEPCO is the national electricity company of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan (BB-/Stable) and is wholly owned by the Jordanian government. NEPCO is the sole carrier of electric power in the country.
We view Leviathan's gas as strategically important to Jordan as the country does not have any domestic sources of energy other than renewables and is otherwise reliant on the import of relatively expensive LNG. Leviathan's piped natural gas is therefore important to the country's economic development, which is reflected in the government guarantee of NEPCO's obligations to the Leviathan sponsors.
The Leviathan gas field also has a 15-year GSPA in place with Blue Ocean for the export of up to 4.7BCM per year to Egypt. Blue Ocean is the local marketing company that acts as the intermediary between Leviathan and the ultimate offtaker, the Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company (EGAS, NR). The GSPA expressly allows for the export of Leviathan gas as LNG in addition to domestic use. This provides a strong incentive for Egypt to make full use of the contractual volumes even as it develops its domestic gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean.
Furthermore, East GAS together with Delek Drilling and Noble Energy acquired a 39% stake in the Eastern Mediterranean Gas Pipeline (EMG), which also gives it the exclusive right to transport gas through the EMG from Israel to Egypt. This demonstrates Egypt's intention to maintain a long-term relationship with Leviathan.
We view the Israeli GSPAs as systemic in nature as the gas supply in Israel is limited to Tamar and Leviathan currently and Karish/Tannin from 2021. Gas demand from the Israeli economy is forecast to grow significantly in the medium term with the gasification of the transport system and replacement of coal-fired power plants.
The Leviathan gas field's volume risk is limited through the long-term nature of most offtake contracts and the take-or-pay requirements under the GSPAs. The contracts also allow for additional sales in excess of contractual volumes if Leviathan has capacity to meet nominations.
The gas sales prices are based on various pricing formulas including linkages to the electricity production tariff determined by the Public Utility Authority-Electricity for most GSPAs in Israel and the Brent barrel price for the NEPCO and Blue Ocean GSPAs. This exposes the project to price risk. However, this is limited by the provision of floor prices set in the individual contract.
Experienced Operator: Operating Risk - Midrange
The royalties rank super senior as they are paid before any operating expenditure. As a result, royalties are not directly exposed to cost volatility. Nevertheless, the issuer's bond holders are fully exposed to the operating performance of the Leviathan gas field.
The operation of gas & oil facilities is at the higher end of complexity within the infrastructure space, but the project benefits from the presence of Noble Energy as an experienced operator of gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean region with demonstrated performance on Tamar and the Yam Thetys/Mari-B fields.
There is also a good alignment of interest with Delek Drilling through Noble Energy's participation as a partner in the Leviathan lease. Furthermore, the joint operating agreement clearly outlines the responsibilities of the parties.
The Leviathan gas field uses commercially proven technology and a relatively high level of equipment redundancy. The gas field further benefits from the lessons learned on Tamar which reduces outage risk.
Sufficient Resources, High Quality Reservoir: Supply Risk - Stronger
The technical advisor views the Leviathan gas field as a high-quality gas reservoir with a relatively strong drive mechanism. This should result in the reservoir pressure remaining high even as gas volumes reduce, as well as reducing the need for well drilling.
The reservoir is expected to produce 322 BCM in the 1P scenario, and 376 BCM in the 2P scenario (as of June 2020). In the Fitch Rating Case (1P) the reservoir is therefore expected to produce until 2064 without any further discoveries. Additional existing gas volumes currently classified as contingent (1C and 2C) will be added to the 1P and 2P reserves once additional wells are approved for drilling and the volumes become commercial, but we have not given any credit to these volumes under the Fitch Rating Case.
New Assets and Complex Venture: Infrastructure Development and Renewal - Midrange
ORRI rank senior to the Leviathan gas field's capital expenditure.
Like most other oil & gas fields, the Leviathan gas field's operations will have to sustain production and to address the operational issues that can be expected to arise in complex ventures. The operator's experience makes it more likely that the field's operational and development requirements will be appropriately managed and anticipated.
Refinancing Risk - Debt Structure: Midrange
The debt structure at the issuer's level has several stronger features such as its senior secured nature, the absence of exposure to variable interest rates and a comprehensive covenant package. An interest reserve account (IRA), funded from the bond issuance proceeds, is intended to cover the shortfall between the cash generated and debt service in the early periods before the ROI date is reached. We expect it will be almost entirely used by the time of the refinancing and will not be replenished.
There is no additional debt service reserve account to support debt service after the IRA has been drawn, which we view as a weaker feature. Moreover, the debt's bullet maturity in 2023 exposes the project to refinancing risk. However, the long operating life of the Leviathan gas field mitigates the refinancing risk.
Financial Profile
The lower royalty rate in the early years of the issuer results in high leverage, at 20.0x under the Rating Case at time of refinancing. However, the stable cash flow generation of the Leviathan gas field, demonstrated by project life cover ratio of 1.24x at time of refinancing, mitigates the refinancing risk.
PEER GROUP
There are no close peers in Fitch's portfolio. However, we rate Leviathan Bond Ltd's notes at 'BB'. The royalty claims rank senior to the debt service of Leviathan Bond Ltd, but are exposed to the uncertainty around the payout date. Combined with refinancing risk, this puts the rating of the Delek Overriding Royalty Leviathan bond two notches below I eviathan Bond at 'B+'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Delek Overriding Royalty Leviathan is credit-linked to the Leviathan Bond transaction.
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade:
- Upgrade of Leviathan Bond transaction, which we deem unlikely as the Leviathan gas field is exposed to lower-rated counterparties
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade:
- Downgrade of Leviathan Bond transaction
- Failure to refinance the 2023 bullet well in advance of maturity
BEST/WORST CASE RATING SCENARIO
International scale credit ratings of Sovereigns, Public Finance and Infrastructure issuers have a best-case rating upgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a positive direction) of three notches over a three-year rating horizon; and a worst-case rating downgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a negative direction) of three notches over three years. The complete span of best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings for all rating categories ranges from 'AAA' to 'D'. Best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings are based on historical performance. For more information about the methodology used to determine sectorspecific best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings, visit [https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10111579].
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Delek Drilling holds a 45.34% working interest in the Leviathan gas field and pays overriding royalties to its parent companies, Delek Energy Systems Ltd and Delek Group.
Delek Group and Delek Energy Systems will assign and transfer the royalty rights to the issuer. The notes issued will be secured by a first priority fixed pledge over the royalty rights.
The Leviathan gas field is owned by Delek Drilling LP (45.34%), Noble Energy (39.66%) and Ratio Oil (15%). The gas field was discovered in 2010 and reached first gas in 2019 on time and below budget. Phase 1A consists of 1,200MMscfd production capacity. The gas reservoir is located offshore Israel in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. approximately 120km west of Haifa. The gas extracted from the wells is gathered at the field in a subsea manifold and delivered to an offshore fixed platform via 115km gathering flowlines. Gas to the domestic and export markets is transported from the platform via a pipeline to the Israel Natural Gas Lines onshore grid. Other gas exports may occur via additional pipelines connected to the fixed platform.
The structure of the transaction protects the issuer from creditors of entities within the Delek group in the event of insolvency proceedings. This is confirmed by a legal opinion Fitch received on the ring-fencing of the issuer from other Delek Group entities.
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
At the Leviathan gas field level, we formulate the assumptions that we detail here under the Fitch Base Case and Fitch Rating Case:
Fitch Base Case: We assume a 2P production profile in the Fitch Base Case and our base case Brent price forecasts starting at USD41/bbl in 2021 and then gradually increasing to USD53/bbl after 2023. For gas we assume a price of USD4.7/mcf for 2020 for any uncontracted volumes. In the long term we assume USD5.0/mcf for uncontracted volumes in line with Fitch's forecast for TTF/NBP hub prices. Interest rates for the refinancing debt are increased by 50-200 bp based on the debt terms, compared with the current expected interest rates.
Fitch Rating Case: In the Fitch Rating Case, we assume the 1P production profile and our stressed Brent price forecasts starting at USD37 /bbl in 2021 and then gradually increasing to USD48/bbl after 2023. For gas we assume a price of USD4.3/mcf for 2020 for any uncontracted volumes. In the long term we assume USD4.5/mcf for uncontracted volumes in line with Fitch's forecast for TTF/NBP hub prices. Interest rates for the refinancing debt are assumed in line with the Fitch Base Case.
REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF RATING
The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable Criteria.
PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS
https://www.fitchratings.com/research/infrastructure-project-finance/fitch-ratesleviathan-bond-ltd-notes-bb-outlook-stable-21-08-2020
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. This means ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are being managed by the entity. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores, visit www.fitchratings.com/esg
RATING ACTIONS
ENTITY/DEBT RATING Delek Overriding Royalty Leviathan Ltd. • Delek LT Overriding Royalty l eviathan Ltd./Debt/1 LT
VIEW ADDITIONAL RATING DETAILS
FITCH RATINGS ANALYSTS
Antoine Pavageau
Senior Analyst Primary Rating Analyst +44 20 3530 1729 Fitch Ratings Ltd 30 North Colonnade, Canary Wharf London E14 5GN
Christiane Kuti
Director Secondary Rating Analyst +44 20 3530 1396
Danilo Quattromani
Managing Director Committee Chairperson +39 02 879087 275
MEDIA CONTACTS
Athos Larkou London +44 20 3530 1549 [email protected]
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
APPLICABLE CRITERIA
Infrastructure and Project Finance Rating Criteria (pub. 24 Mar 2020) (including rating assumption sensitivity)
APPLICABLE MODELS
Numbers in parentheses accompanying applicable model(s) contain hyperlinks to criteria providing description of model(s).
Third-party Model (24 March 2020)
ADDITIONAL DISCLOSURES
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form Solicitation Status Endorsement Policy
ENDORSEMENT STATUS
Delek Overriding Royalty Leviathan Ltd.
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10/19/2020
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