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CTT-Correios de Portugal

Earnings Release Jul 31, 2017

1911_iss_2017-07-31_d6d7f551-1427-4e78-ac15-2cb602034da8.pdf

Earnings Release

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CTT –Correios de Portugal 1H17

Results Presentation

CTT – Correios de Portugal, S.A. 31 July 2017

DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by CTT – Correios de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company" or "CTT") exclusively for use during the presentation of the 1 st half 2017 results. As a consequence thereof, this document may not be disclosed or published, nor used by any other person or entity, for any other reason or purpose without the express and prior written consent of CTT. This document (i) may contain summarised information and be subject to amendments and supplements, and (ii) the information contained herein has not been verified, reviewed nor audited by any of the Company's advisors or auditors. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the information contained in this document. Consequently, the Company does not assume liability for this document if it is used for a purpose other than the above. No express or implied representation, warranty or undertaking is made as to, and no reliance shall be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions or statements expressed herein. Neither the Company nor its subsidiaries, affiliates, directors, employees or advisors assume liability of any kind, whether for negligence or any other reason, for any damage or loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. Neither this document nor any part of it constitutes a contract, nor may it be used for incorporation into or construction of any contract or agreement.

This document has an informative nature and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell, issue, exchange or buy any financial instruments (namely any securities issued by CTT or by any of its subsidiaries or affiliates), nor a solicitation of any kind by CTT, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely responsible for informing themselves about, and observing any such restrictions. Moreover, the recipients of this document are invited and advised to consult the public information disclosed by CTT on its website (www.ctt.pt) as well as on the Portuguese Securities Exchange Commission's website (www.cmvm.pt). In particular, the contents of this presentation shall be read and understood in light of the financial information disclosed by CTT, through such means, which prevail in regard to any data presented in this document. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made and reading this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing restrictions.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All the statements herein which are not historical facts, including, but not limited to, statements expressing our current opinion or, as applicable, those of our directors regarding the financial performance, the business strategy, the management plans and objectives concerning future operations and investments are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "expects", "estimates", "foresees", "predicts", "intends", "plans", "believes", "anticipates", "will", "targets", "may", "would", "could", "continues" and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

All forward-looking statements included herein involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Any forward-looking statements in this document reflect our current views with respect to future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the results of our operations, growth strategy and liquidity, and the wider environment (specifically, market developments, investment opportunities and regulatory conditions).

Although CTT believes that the assumptions beyond such forward-looking statements are reasonable when made, any third parties are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of CTT, what could cause the models, objectives, plans, estimates and/or projections to be materially reviewed and/or actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.

Forward-looking statements (in particular, the objectives, estimates and projections as well as the corresponding assumptions) do neither represent a commitment regarding the models and plans to be implemented, nor are they guarantees of future performance, nor have they been reviewed by the auditors of CTT. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements herein.

All forward-looking statements included herein speak only as at the date of this presentation. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

01. Key highlights

KEY HIGHLIGHTS: The strategy to grow the Express & Parcels and the Banking / Financial

Services businesses was actively pursued in 1H17, accelerating in 2Q17

Governing Bodies for the 2017/2019 term of office

Treasury certificates contract renewal with IGCP simplifies the CTT remuneration structure and guarantees a more stable flow of revenues in the future

EBITDA (excl. Altice), despite the impact of the Easter break in the quarter

Financial and operational performance

€ million, except when otherwise indicated

Quarterly results Half-yearly results
2Q16 2Q17 Δ€ Δ% 1H16 1H17 Δ€ Δ%
Recurring revenues 171.5 175.2 +3.7 +2.1% 349.4 352.1 +2.8 +0.8%
Recurring revenues excl. Altice 169.0 175.2 +6.2 +3.7% 344.4 352.1 +7.8 +2.3%
Recurring operating costs 144.2 150.6 +6.4 +4.4% 286.9 299.5 +12.6 +4.4%
Recurring EBITDA 27.3 24.6 -2.7 -10.0% 62.5 52.6 -9.8 -15.8%
Recurring EBITDA
excl. Altice
24.8 24.6 -0.2 -0.9% 57.5 52.6 -4.8 -8.4%
Reported net profit 11.0 7.4 -3.6 -32.7% 31.7 17.7 -13.9 -44.0%
Addressed mail
(million items)
Parcels
(million items)
FS savings flows 1
(€
billion)
# Banco CTT current
accounts (thousand)
Banco CTT
deposits (€
million)
1H17 388.1 15.0 3.3 147.4 424.3
1H17 vs. 1H16 -5.6% +14.8% +35.1% +631.0% +658.1%

KEY HIGHLIGHTS: Higher than €10m increase in revenues from growth businesses in

1H17 fully offset the decline in Mail revenues and the Altice 1H16 impact

Mail revenues decline was primarily due to a temporary suspension of lottery sales in the Retail network (-€2.0m impact). The impact of 5.6% addressed mail volumes decline was largely offset by strong mix effect (6.0% registered mail volumes growth) and 1.3% average price increase in the period. The addressed mail volumes decline in 2Q17 was -7.6%, accelerating due to the impact of Easter in the quarter, but it is expected to conform to guidance range in 2H17

E&P was the main driver of revenues growth, resulting from strong parcels volumes in Portugal & Spain and the Transporta acquisition (+€2.3m impact in 2Q17)

Banco CTT on target to achieve guidance of high-single digit (€7m to €9m) revenues in FY17

1Including income related to CTT Central Structure and Intragroup Eliminations amounting to -€14.8m in 1H16 and -€16.7m in 1H17. 2 Excluding Altice 1H16 revenues.

KEY HIGHLIGHTS: The increase in operating costs was driven predominantly by Banco CTT,

the integration of Transporta, and increase in variable costs as a result of volumes growth

  • Staff costs (excluding Banco CTT) increased predominantly due to a reduction in the telephone subscription fee benefit in 1H16 (+€1.4m impact), increase in salaries (+€1.2m) and the integration of Transporta (+€0.7m)
  • ES&S and other costs increased mainly as a result of the integration of Transporta (+€1.9m) and the increase in distribution and transports costs in Tourline as a result of volumes growth and increase in routes (+€1.6m)
  • Non-recurring costs of €6.9m include €3.4m of costs related to strategic studies (of which €2.1m for Banco CTT) and €2.2m related to staff contract terminations (of which €1.2m in Transporta)

KEY HIGHLIGHTS: The trend of gradual improvement continued in 2Q17, with recurring

EBITDA (excl. Altice) declining only 0.9%, supported by acceleration in the growth levers

The 2H17 comparisons in Mail, E&P and Banco CTT are expected to ease, due to an estimated 2.5% effective price increase (in 2H17), projected Tourline break-even (in EBITDA terms) in 4Q17, and growth of the recently launched mortgage offer

activity in the past year

Cash Flow

€ million; % change vs. 1H16

Reported Adjusted 1
1H17 ∆ % 1H17 ∆%
From
operating activities
296.7 57.9% 182.7 >>
Cash
flow excl. Banco CTT
159.4 12.3% 45.3 >>
Banco CTT cash flow 137.4 >> 137.4 >>
From investing activities -117.9 -54.2% -117.9 -54.2%
Capex payments -24.7 -17.2% -24.7 -17.2%
of which Banco CTT -4.1 47.8% -4.1 47.8%
Banco CTT financial assets & credit -96.7 -58.4% -96.7 -58.4%
Other 3.4 -38.8% 3.4 -38.8%
Operating free cash flow 178.8 60.5% 64.8 <<
From financing
activities
-73.8 -4.5% -73.8 -4.5%
of which Dividends -72.0 -2.5% -72.0 -2.5%
Other 2 -3.6 - -3.6 -
Net
change in cash
-101.5 >> -12.5 85.1%
Cash at end of period 720.3 11.8% 282.8 45.1%

Reflects the growth of Banco CTT deposits in the past 12 months

Net change in cash affected by €72m dividend payment in May

1Cash flow from operating activities excluding changes in net Financial Services payables of +€124.9m (1H16) and +€114.0m (1H17), respectively. Cash at the end of the period excluding net Financial Services payables of €449.6m (Jun-16) and €437.5m (Jun-17).

2 These figures were not considered under Cash and equivalents in the Cash Flow statement. However, they are included in Cash and equivalents in the Balance Sheet.

KEY HIGHLIGHTS: The increase in cash and cash equivalents on the Balance Sheet was a

result of the seasonal growth in FS and the continued expansion of Banco CTT activities

The company's strong liquidity (93%) and own cash position (€144m) was maintained

1 Including Financial Services receivables of €8.6m and €5.3m as at Dec-16 and Jun-17, respectively, and Banco CTT current financial assets of €69.2m and €115.3m as at Dec-16 and Jun-17, respectively.

2 Including Banco CTT non-current financial assets of €98.5m and €178.8m as at Dec-16 and Jun-17, respectively.

02. Business units

12

BUSINESS UNITS: Product mix effect (registered mail volumes growth of 6.0% in 1H17)

and pricing impact largely offset the addressed mail volumes decline

Mail volumes 1 by type

Metric Avg. mail prices Addressed mail Transactional Advertising Editorial Unaddressed mail
1H17 N/A 388.1 331.0 35.4 21.6 234.8
1H17 vs. 1H16 +1.3% -5.6% -5.4% -8.1% -4.4% +0.0%

BUSINESS UNITS: Strong organic parcels volumes growth in Portugal and Spain and the

Transporta acquisition drove mid-single digit revenues increase in E&P

+13.1%

+6.3%

+17.1%

1 Including internal and other revenues, and internal transactions with Spain and Mozambique.

2 Including Transporta revenues in 1H17 (€2.06m in Parcels and €0.28m in Logistics).

1H17 vs. 1H16 +14.8%

3 MT 56.4m in 1H17 (+MT 4.8m; +9.3%).

4 Million items.

-18.6%

BUSINESS UNITS: The contract renewal with IGCP (simplified structure, no stock fees)

led to revenues growth in 1H17; revenues are expected to stabilise along the year

FS volumes by type

Metric Savings placements
(€bn)
Payments
(m ops)
Money orders & transfers
(m ops)
Credit (excl. Banco CTT)
(€m)
1H17 2.3 26.3
9.0
4.2
1H17 vs. 1H16 +12.3% -8.8% -4.3% -12.7%

The Banco CTT retail offer is now complete

1Including factoring (€27.5m in 1H17), mortgage (€4.9m in 1H17) and overdraft (€0.1m in 1H17).

2Amount outside Banco CTT's Balance Sheet. The value represents the outstanding balance in BNP Paribas Personal Finance (Cetelem) from the partnership with Banco CTT – consumer credit and credit cards.

BUSINESS UNITS: Banco CTT on track to achieve high-single digit FY17 revenues while

recurring operating costs declined sequentially (vs. 2H16)

Banco CTT financial indicators

Equity (€
million)
/
Metric Cash & cash
equivalents
Financial assets
& investments
Credit to clients Other assets CET 1 (%)
30-Jun-17 197.4 261.6 32.6 31.5 87.5 / 49.9%
31-Mar-17 135.4 204.6 24.6 26.8 52.0 / 29.9%

1Includes a commission of €0.8m from the insurance provider in 2Q17.

03. Appendix

18


million
1H16 1H17
Reported EBITDA 57.0 45.7 -11.3
Non-recurring items affecting EBITDA 5.4 6.9 +1.4
Revenues -1.7 - +1.7
Staff costs 2.3 2.9 +0.6
ES&S & other op. costs 4.9 4.0 -0.9
Recurring EBITDA 62.5 52.6 -9.8
Reported EBIT 47.4 30.6 -16.9
Non-recurring costs affecting only EBIT -3.4 1.0 +4.4
Provisions (reinforcements
/ reductions)
-3.8 -0.1 +3.7
Impairments
and
D&A (losses / reductions)
0.4 1.1 +0.7
Non-recurring items affecting EBITDA & EBIT 2.0 7.9 +5.9
Recurring
EBIT
49.5 38.4 -11.0

€1.7m from recognised deferred gain due to early termination of vacant building lease contract

Non-recurring costs of €6.9m in 1H17 include:

  • €3.4m of costs related to strategic studies (of which €2.1m for Banco CTT)
  • €2.2m due to staff contract terminations
  • €0.4m related to Banco CTT branch openings
  • €0.8m related to the delivery of own shares for the LTVR & other

million
Reported Recurring 1 Banco CTT
under equity method
1H16 1H17 1H16 1H17 1H16 1H17
Revenues 351.1 352.1 349.4 352.1 351.1 349.3
Operating costs 294.1 306.4 286.9 299.5 282.7 292.0
EBITDA 57.0 45.7 62.5 52.6 68.4 57.3
EBITDA margin 16.2% 13.0% 17.9% 14.9% 19.5% 16.4%
EBIT 47.4 30.6 49.5 38.4 59.4 43.4
Gains / (losses) in subsidiaries,
associates and joint ventures
0.2 - 0.2 - -9.3 -10.1
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 44.9 28.2 47.0 36.0 47.4 30.9
Income tax for the period -13.4 -10.5 13.0 9.7 -15.8 -13.2
Net profit attributable to equity holders 31.7 17.7 34.1 26.4 31.7 17.7

million
CTT Banco CTT
under equity method
31-Dec-16 30-Jun-17 31-Dec-16 30-Jun-17
Non-current
assets
452.6 525.0 393.2 412.7
Current assets 864.1 1,022.8 669.9 708.3
Assets 1,316.7 1,547.8 1,063.1 1,120.9
Equity 233.3 179.7 233.3 179.7
Liabilities 1,083.4 1,368.2 829.8 941.3
Non-current liabilities 269.5 267.1 269.5 267.1
Current liabilities 813.8 1,101.1 560.3 674.2
Equity and liabilities 1,316.7 1,547.8 1,063.1 1,120.9

CTT Investor Relations

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