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Covestro AG

Quarterly Report Nov 20, 2020

84_10-q_2020-11-20_2ae10b3b-9aed-49f5-85c3-6504c3e0e40f.pdf

Quarterly Report

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QUARTERLY STATEMENT THIRD QUARTER 2020

Contents

Table of contents

Covestro Group in Figures 3
Covestro Group Consolidated Income Statement 4
Covestro Group Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income 5
Covestro Group Consolidated Statement of Financial Position 6
Covestro Group Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows 7
Significant Events 8
Results of Operations and Financial Position of the Covestro Group 9
Development of the Segments 11
Forecast 14
Employees and Pension Obligations 16
Exchange Rates 16
Scope of Consolidation 17
Segment Information 18
Financial Calendar 20

Reporting principles

This Covestro AG Quarterly Statement was prepared in accordance with Section 53 of the Stock Exchange Rules and Regulations (Börsenordnung) of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. This Statement is not an interim report within the meaning of IAS 34 or a set of financial statements within the meaning of IAS 1. It was not subjected to a review by an auditor. This Quarterly Statement should be read alongside the 2019 Annual Report as well as the 2020 Half-Year Financial Report and the additional information about the company contained therein. These reports are available on our website at www.covestro.com.

Forward-looking statements

This Quarterly Statement may contain forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by the management of Covestro AG. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the actual future results, financial situation, development or performance of the company and the estimates given here. These factors include those discussed in Covestro's public reports, which are available at www.covestro.com. The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-looking statements or to conform them to future events or developments.

Rounding and percentage deviations

As the indicators in this Quarterly Statement are stated in accordance with commercial rounding principles, totals and percentages may not always be exact.

Percentage deviations are only calculated and reported if they are no more than 100%. Larger deviations are reported as >100%, >200%, etc. If a deviation changes from positive to negative or vice versa, or if it is greater than 1,000%, this is shown by a period.

Abbreviations

The abbreviations used in this Quarterly Statement are explained in the glossary of the 2019 Annual Report.

Equal treatment

We consider equal treatment to be important. To ensure better readability, this Quarterly Statement avoids gender-specific wordings. All terms should be taken to apply equally to all genders.

Publication

This Quarterly Statement was published in German and English on October 27, 2020. Only the German version is binding.

Covestro Group in Figures

Key Data Covestro Group

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
Change 1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
Change
€ million € million % € million € million %
Core volume growth1, 2 +5.3% +3.0% +1.5% –7.9%
Sales 3,162 2,760 –12.7 9,548 7,699 –19.4
Change in sales
Volume +2.1% +1.0% +1.3% –8.1%
Price –18.5% –9.0% –18.5% –9.1%
Currency +1.9% –3.3% +2.0% –0.8%
Portfolio –0.1% –1.4% –0.6% –1.4%
Sales by region
EMLA3 1,317 1,138 –13.6 4,110 3,312 –19.4
NAFTA4 812 648 –20.2 2,422 1,900 –21.6
APAC5 1,033 974 –5.7 3,016 2,487 –17.5
EBITDA6 425 456 +7.3 1,326 835 –37.0
Changes in EBITDA
of which volume +4.9% –9.6% +2.8% –32.2%
of which price –79.9% –67.1% –72.2% –65.2%
of which raw material price
effect
+17.3% +65.6% +9.2% +45.9%
of which currency +1.0% –2.8% +1.1% –0.1%
EBIT7 221 265 +19.9 759 264 –65.2
Financial result (19) (22) +15.8 (65) (78) +20.0
Net income8 147 179 +21.8 515 147 –71.5
Earnings per share (€)9 0.80 0.98 +22.5 2.82 0.80 –71.6
Operating cash flows10 462 538 +16.5 746 599 –19.7
Cash outflows for additions to
property, plant, equipment and
intangible assets 219 177 –19.2 603 463 –23.2
Free operating cash flow11 243 361 +48.6 143 136 –4.9

1 Core volume growth refers to the core products in the Polyurethanes, Polycarbonates and Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segments. It is calculated as the percentage change in externally sold volumes in thousand metric tons compared with the prior year. Covestro also takes advantage of business opportunities outside its core business, for example the sale of precursors and by-products such as hydrochloric acid, sodium hydroxide solution and styrene. These transactions are not included in core volume growth.

2 Reference values calculated on the basis of the definition of the core business effective March 31, 2020.

3 EMLA: Europe, Middle East, Africa and Latin America (excluding Mexico) region

4 NAFTA: United States, Canada and Mexico region

5 APAC: Asia and Pacific region

6 EBITDA: EBIT plus the sum of depreciation, amortization, impairment losses and impairment loss reversals

7 EBIT: income after income taxes plus financial result and income taxes

8 Net income: income after income taxes attributable to the stockholders of Covestro AG

9 Earnings per share: According to IAS 33, earnings per share comprise net income divided by the weighted average number of outstanding no-par voting shares of Covestro AG. The calculation was based on 182,864,685 no-par shares for the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: 182,704,602 no-par shares) and on 182,864,685 no-par shares for the first nine months of 2020 (previous year:182,704,602 no-par shares).

10Operating cash flows: cash flows from operating activities according to IAS 7

11 Free operating cash flow: operating cash flows less cash outflows for additions to property, plant, equipment and intangible assets

Covestro Share at a Glance

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
High 45.40 46.83 55.32 46.83
Low 37.95 32.86 37.95 24.90
Closing date (September 30) 45.40 42.35 45.40 42.35

Covestro closing prices Xetra; source: Bloomberg

Covestro Group Consolidated Income Statement

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
€ million € million € million € million
Sales 3,162 2,760 9,548 7,699
Cost of goods sold (2,460) (2,057) (7,316) (6,106)
Gross profit 702 703 2,232 1,593
Selling expenses (347) (294) (1,037) (883)
Research and development expenses (64) (63) (200) (187)
General administration expenses (82) (79) (275) (239)
Other operating income 28 9 81 26
Other operating expenses (16) (11) (42) (46)
EBIT1 221 265 759 264
Equity-method loss (5) (3) (19) (11)
Result from other affiliated companies 1 1 1
Interest income 11 4 30 19
Interest expense (21) (20) (66) (57)
Other financial result (4) (4) (11) (30)
Financial result (19) (22) (65) (78)
Income before income taxes 202 243 694 186
Income taxes (53) (63) (175) (38)
Income after income taxes 149 180 519 148
of which attributable to noncontrolling interest 2 1 4 1
of which attributable to Covestro AG shareholders
(net income) 147 179 515 147
Basic earnings per share2 0.80 0.98 2.82 0.80
Diluted earnings per share2 0.80 0.98 2.82 0.80

1 EBIT: income after income taxes plus financial result and income taxes

2 Earnings per share: According to IAS 33, earnings per share comprise net income divided by the weighted average number of outstanding no-par voting

shares of Covestro AG. The calculation was based on 182,864,685 no-par shares for the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: 182,704,602 no-par shares) and on 182,864,685 no-par shares for the first nine months of 2020 (previous year:182,704,602 no-par shares).

Covestro Group Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
€ million € million € million € million
Income after income taxes 149 180 519 148
Remeasurements of the net defined benefit liability
for post-employment benefit plans
(303) (147) (523) (35)
Income taxes 105 53 179 15
Other comprehensive income from remeasurements of
the net defined benefit liability for post-employment
benefit plans
(198) (94) (344) (20)
Changes in fair values of equity instruments 1 (1) 1
Income taxes
Other comprehensive income from equity instruments 1 (1) 1
Other comprehensive income that will not be reclassified
subsequently to profit or loss
(198) (93) (345) (19)
Exchange differences of foreign operations 101 (104) 150 (144)
Reclassified to profit or loss
Other comprehensive income from exchange differences 101 (104) 150 (144)
Other comprehensive income that may be reclassified
subsequently to profit or loss, if certain conditions are met
101 (104) 150 (144)
Total other comprehensive income1 (97) (197) (195) (163)
of which attributable to noncontrolling interest 1 (1) 2 (1)
of which attributable to Covestro AG shareholders (98) (196) (197) (162)
Total comprehensive income 52 (17) 324 (15)
of which attributable to noncontrolling interest 3 6
of which attributable to Covestro AG shareholders 49 (17) 318 (15)

1 Total change recognized in equity outside profit or loss

Covestro Group Consolidated Statement of Financial Position

Sep. 30, 2019 Sep. 30, 2020 Dec. 31, 2019
€ million € million € million
Noncurrent assets
Goodwill 267 260 264
Other intangible assets 109 108 114
Property, plant and equipment 5,253 5,165 5,286
Investments accounted for using the equity method 199 180 192
Other financial assets 34 35 32
Other receivables 53 93 52
Deferred taxes 934 919 851
6,849 6,760 6,791
Current assets
Inventories 2,057 1,656 1,916
Trade accounts receivable 1,762 1,539 1,561
Other financial assets 19 606 27
Other receivables 336 314 359
Claims for income tax refunds 97 105 104
Cash and cash equivalents 422 1,157 748
Assets held for sale 69 1 12
4,762 5,378 4,727
Total assets 11,611 12,138 11,518
Equity
Capital stock of Covestro AG 183 183 183
Capital reserves of Covestro AG 3,480 3,487 3,487
Other reserves 1,547 1,303 1,537
Equity attributable to Covestro AG shareholders 5,210 4,973 5,207
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interest 47 45 47
5,257 5,018 5,254
Noncurrent liabilities
Provisions for pensions and other post-employment benefits 2,019 2,031 1,965
Other provisions 218 210 230
Financial liabilities 1,695 2,788 1,601
Income tax liabilities 118 97 95
Other liabilities 30 29 32
Deferred taxes 168 190 206
4,248 5,345 4,129
Current liabilities
Other provisions 260 214 203
Financial liabilities 149 139 151
Trade accounts payable 1,362 1,134 1,507
Income tax liabilities 89 63 69
Other liabilities 212 225 191
Liabilities directly related to assets held for sale 34 14
2,106 1,775 2,135
Total equity and liabilities 11,611 12,138 11,518

Covestro Group Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
€ million € million € million € million
Income after income taxes 149 180 519 148
Income taxes 53 63 175 38
Financial result 19 22 65 78
Income taxes paid (42) (13) (265) (115)
Depreciation, amortization and impairment losses and
impairment loss reversals
204 191 567 571
Change in pension provisions (3) 9 23 26
(Gains)/losses on retirements of noncurrent assets 1 1 (16) 2
Decrease/(increase) in inventories 52 227 200 206
Decrease/(increase) in trade accounts receivable 72 (251) 55 (12)
(Decrease)/increase in trade accounts payable (78) 100 (307) (357)
Changes in other working capital, other noncash items 35 9 (270) 14
Cash flows from operating activities 462 538 746 599
Cash outflows for additions to property, plant, equipment and
intangible assets
(219) (177) (603) (463)
Cash inflows from sales of property, plant, equipment and
other assets
4
Cash inflows from divestments less divested cash (3)
Cash outflows for noncurrent financial assets (4) (2) (11) (11)
Cash inflows from noncurrent financial assets 1 2 1
Cash outflows for acquisitions less acquired cash (3) (11)
Interest and dividends received 14 6 32 23
Cash inflows from/(outflows for) other current financial assets (2) (40) 1 (552)
Cash flows from investing activities (213) (213) (586) (1,005)
Dividend payments and withholding tax on dividends (1) (219) (442) (221)
Issuances of debt 11 6 439 1,774
Retirements of debt (453) (431) (544) (665)
Interest paid (25) (23) (64) (61)
Cash flows from financing activities (468) (667) (611) 827
Change in cash and cash equivalents due to business
activities
(219) (342) (451) 421
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 640 1,504 865 748
Change in cash and cash equivalents due to changes in
scope of consolidation
(1) 1
Change in cash and cash equivalents due to exchange rate
movements
1 (5) 9 (13)
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 422 1,157 422 1,157

Significant Events

Coronavirus pandemic

The coronavirus pandemic continued to adversely influence the global economy. After the drop in demand in our main customer industries reached its peak in the second quarter of 2020, we saw a significant rebound in demand in the third quarter of 2020. The steps taken by Covestro in previous quarters to protect the health of all employees, guarantee our delivery capability, and safeguard Covestro's strong liquidity position are still in place. These include a wide range of health, safety and hygiene measures in effect at our sites. Depending on the local situation in each case, some staff, particularly employees in administrative departments, work from home. Production at our sites was unaffected by the coronavirus pandemic in the third quarter of 2020.

Covestro's Board of Management continues to monitor the worldwide development of the coronavirus pandemic. Existing measures are modified or expanded as required in line with recommendations and instructions issued by the relevant governments and committees of experts.

Other events

Following a resolution by Covestro AG's Supervisory Board, in July 2020 the contract of Board of Management member Dr. Thomas Toepfer was extended prior to its expiration for a five-year term running from April 1, 2021, to March 31, 2026. Dr. Toepfer has been CFO of the company since April 1, 2018, and additionally holds the position of Labor Director.

Covestro's Annual General Meeting (AGM) took place virtually for the first time on July 30, 2020. A fiscal 2019 dividend of €1.20 per share carrying dividend rights was approved at the AGM. The total amount of €219 million was paid out on August 4, 2020.

On August 31, 2020, the Higher Administrative Court in Münster ruled against the complaints brought by several individual plaintiffs against the planning permission decision by Düsseldorf's district government approving the construction and operation of a carbon monoxide pipeline from Dormagen to Krefeld-Uerdingen. The Higher Administrative Court determined that the complaints were entirely unfounded, and the planning permission decision was unconditionally lawful. In addition, the Higher Administrative Court rejected an appeal against its ruling. The plaintiffs can now file an appeal against denial of leave to appeal with the Federal Administrative Court.

On September 30, 2020, Covestro signed an agreement to acquire the Resins & Functional Materials business (RFM) of DSM for a preliminary purchase price of €1.6 billion. The deal aims to grow Covestro's sustainable and innovative business activities in support of the long-term corporate strategy. Integrating RFM into the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment significantly expands the company's portfolio in the high-growth sustainable coating resins market. In connection with the announced acquisition Covestro successfully completed on October 13, 2020, a capital increase comprising 10,200,000 no-par bearer shares that were placed through partial utilization of Authorized Capital 2020. The gross proceeds amount to €447 million before commission and costs and will be used to finance part of the purchase price.

See "Acquisitions and divestitures"

Results of Operations and Financial Position of the Covestro Group

Results of operations

The results of operations continued to be impacted by the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic in the third quarter of 2020. In the course of the quarter, we saw demand for our products recover, albeit to different degrees in various regions and industries.

The Group's core volumes sold increased by 3.0% in the third quarter of 2020 compared with the prior-year quarter. After a substantial decline in volumes in the second quarter of 2020, the third quarter saw a strong recovery driven by volume growth in the APAC region and especially in China. The Polyurethanes and Polycarbonates segments reported increases in core volumes sold of 4.3% and 3.6%, respectively. In the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment, core volumes sold dropped 6.9% from the prior-year quarter.

Group sales amounted to €2,760 million, down 12.7% from the prior-year quarter (previous year: €3,162 million). The main factor here was a decline in selling prices, which had a negative impact of 9.0% on sales. This development was chiefly due to the increased competitive pressure in the Polyurethanes and Polycarbonates segments. Total volumes sold lifted sales slightly, by 1.0%. Exchange rate movements had a negative impact of 3.3% on sales, primarily because of the development of the U.S. dollar and the Chinese renminbi. In addition, the change in the portfolio resulted in an overall reduction in sales of 1.4%: The sale of the European polyurethane systems house business in the fourth quarter of 2019 as well as the European polycarbonate sheets business in the first quarter of 2020 adversely affected third quarter sales in 2020.

All segments saw sales decline in the third quarter of 2020. In the Polyurethanes segment, sales sank 11.0% to €1,315 million (previous year: €1,478 million), while the Polycarbonates segment's sales decreased 11.1% to €801 million (previous year: €901 million). Sales in the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment declined by 15.8% to €495 million (previous year: €588 million).

The Group's EBITDA improved by 7.3% to €456 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €425 million), primarily due to a lower level of costs attributable mainly to cost-cutting measures. In addition, the decline in selling prices compared with the previous year was largely balanced out by lower raw material prices. The effect of total volumes sold reduced earnings, however, chiefly on account of a decrease in non-core volumes sold.

In contrast to the decline in sales, EBITDA rose by 12.2% in the Polyurethanes segment to €220 million (previous year: €196 million) and by 12.1% in the Polycarbonates segment to €148 million (previous year: €132 million). EBITDA in the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment was down by 10.8% to €99 million (previous year: €111 million).

The Covestro Group's EBIT was up by 19.9% to €265 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €221 million).

Financial position

Operating cash flows increased compared with the prior-year quarter, rising 16.5% to €538 million (previous year: €462 million). The key driver here was the improvement in EBITDA. Whereas effects from changes in working capital remained almost neutral, lower income tax payments had a positive effect.

Free operating cash flow rose by 48.6% in the third quarter of 2020 to €361 million (previous year: €243 million). This development resulted from an increase in operating cash flows and reduced cash outflows for additions to property, plant and equipment, as planned.

Net financial debt

Dec. 31, 2019 Sep. 30, 2020
€ million € million
Bonds 997 1,989
Liabilities to banks 10 232
Lease liabilities 735 698
Liabilities from derivatives 10 7
Other financial liabilities 1
Receivables from derivatives (15) (7)
Financial debt 1,737 2,920
Cash and cash equivalents (748) (1,157)
Current financial assets (593)
Net financial debt 989 1,170

In comparison with December 31, 2019, the Covestro Group's financial debt increased by €1,183 million to €2,920 million as of September 30, 2020. The increase was due to the assumption of a loan from the European Investment Bank (EIB) in the first quarter of 2020 in the amount of €225 million for research and development. The focus here is, in particular, on sustainability and the circular economy in the European Union. On June 5, 2020, Covestro also successfully placed a total of €1.0 billion in euro bonds on the capital market. Shortterm loans assumed in the first quarter of 2020 totaling €500 million were repaid in full by the end of the third quarter of 2020.

In contrast, current financial assets increased to €593 million. These were held in the form of money market funds totaling €428 million and short-term bank deposits amounting to €165 million.

Development of the Segments

Polyurethanes

Key data Polyurethanes

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
Change 1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
Change
€ million € million % € million € million %
Core volume growth1 +5.1% +4.3% +1.9% –8.4%
Sales 1,478 1,315 –11.0 4,443 3,502 –21.2
Change in sales
Volume +2.5% +5.3% +2.1% –7.4%
Price –24.4% –11.5% –26.9% –11.5%
Currency +1.8% –3.8% +1.9% –1.2%
Portfolio 0.0% –1.0% 0.0% –1.1%
Sales by region
EMLA 629 558 –11.3 1,941 1,506 –22.4
NAFTA 431 363 –15.8 1,286 1,024 –20.4
APAC 418 394 –5.7 1,216 972 –20.1
EBITDA 196 220 +12.2 525 246 –53.1
EBIT 97 114 +17.5 226 (67)
Operating cash flows 173 217 +25.4 293 138 –52.9
Cash outflows for additions to
property, plant, equipment and
intangible assets 135 103 –23.7 375 271 –27.7
Free operating cash flow 38 114 >100 (82) (133) +62.2

1 Reference values calculated on the basis of the definition of the core business effective March 31, 2020

In the third quarter of 2020, core volumes sold in Polyurethanes rose by 4.3% over the prior-year quarter. Volumes sold were up primarily in the furniture and wood processing industry, driven by increased demand in the NAFTA and APAC regions. This was also true in the electrical, electronics and household appliances industry thanks to stronger demand in the EMLA and NAFTA regions.

Sales in the Polyurethanes segment decreased by 11.0% to €1,315 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €1,478 million). The change in average selling prices impacted sales, which declined by 11.5% largely due to the decline in selling prices in the previous year caused by an increase in competition and lower raw material price levels in effect since the second quarter of 2020. Furthermore, exchange rate movements resulted in a 3.8% decrease in sales, but total volumes gave sales a 5.3% lift. The portfolio effect from the sale of the European systems house business in the fourth quarter of 2019 negatively affected sales by 1.0% in the third quarter of 2020.

Sales in the EMLA region were down by 11.3% from the prior-year quarter to €558 million (previous year: €629 million), mainly on account of a significant drop in selling prices. In addition, the aforementioned portfolio effect and the change in exchange rates both decreased sales slightly. This stood in contrast to a sharp uptick in total volumes sold. In the NAFTA region, sales fell by 15.8% to €363 million (previous year: €431 million). The key drivers here were significantly lower selling prices and sharply negative exchange rate developments. Total volumes also pushed sales down somewhat. The APAC region's sales slid by 5.7% to €394 million (previous year: €418 million), primarily due to a substantial decline in selling prices. In addition, exchange rate movements had a slightly negative effect on sales, but higher total volumes gave sales a modest boost.

EBITDA in the Polyurethanes segment increased by 12.2% from the prior-year quarter to €220 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €196 million). The positive effect of volumes sold and reduced price levels as a result of cost-cutting measures increased earnings.

EBIT rose by 17.5% to €114 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €97 million).

In the third quarter of 2020, free operating cash flow tripled to €114 million (previous year: €38 million). This is mainly the result of the reduced cash outflows for additions to property, plant and equipment compared with the prior-year quarter, an increase in EBITDA as well as an overall increase in funds freed up from working capital.

Polycarbonates

Key data Polycarbonates

3rd quarter
2019
3rd quarter
2020
Change 1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
Change
€ million € million % € million € million %
Core volume growth1 +9.3% +3.6% +2.4% –5.0%
Sales 901 801 –11.1 2,659 2,182 –17.9
Change in sales
Volume +6.8% +3.6% +3.1% –5.1%
Price –20.7% –8.2% –17.4% –8.5%
Currency +2.0% –3.4% +2.1% –0.9%
Portfolio –1.3% –3.1% –2.8% –3.4%
Sales by region
EMLA 281 239 –14.9 876 698 –20.3
NAFTA 196 154 –21.4 574 456 –20.6
APAC 424 408 –3.8 1,209 1,028 –15.0
EBITDA 132 148 +12.1 441 353 –20.0
EBIT 57 94 +64.9 261 189 –27.6
Operating cash flows 178 203 +14.0 409 306 –25.2
Cash outflows for additions to
property, plant, equipment and
intangible assets 44 33 –25.0 125 96 –23.2
Free operating cash flow 134 170 +26.9 284 210 –26.1

1 Reference values calculated on the basis of the definition of the core business effective March 31, 2020

In the third quarter of 2020, core volumes sold in the Polycarbonates segment rose by 3.6% over the prior-year quarter. This was due to growth in volumes sold in the construction industry across all regions and in the electrical, electronics and household appliances industry thanks to increased demand in the APAC region. In contrast, lower demand in the automotive and transportation industry, primarily in the EMLA region, led to declines in volumes sold.

Sales in the Polycarbonates segment were down by 11.1% to €801 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €901 million). Changes in selling prices driven by lower raw material prices and exchange rate movements led to a decrease in sales of 8.2% and 3.4%, whereas higher total volumes sold had a positive effect on sales of 3.6%. Moreover, the portfolio effect from the sale of the European polycarbonate sheets business in the first quarter of 2020 caused sales to decline by 3.1% in the third quarter of 2020.

Sales in the EMLA region were down by 14.9% to €239 million (previous year: €281 million). Lower selling prices and the aforementioned portfolio effect had a significant negative impact on sales. In contrast, an increase in total volumes sold boosted sales slightly. Exchange rate movements had no notable effect on sales. In the NAFTA region, sales fell by 21.4% to €154 million (previous year: €196 million). The key drivers here were lower total volumes and exchange rate changes, which each drove sales down substantially. Lower average selling prices had an additional slightly negative effect on sales. The APAC region's sales dropped 3.8% to €408 million (previous year: €424 million), primarily due to a substantial decline in selling prices. Furthermore, exchange rate movements resulted in a modest decrease in sales, but the change in total volumes pushed sales up sharply.

In the third quarter of 2020, EBITDA in the Polycarbonates segment rose by 12.1% from the prior-year quarter, increasing to €148 million (previous year: €132 million). Improved cost levels as a result of cost-cutting measures had a positive effect on earnings. Higher margins had a positive effect. These resulted from lower raw material prices, which were able to more than offset lower selling prices.

EBIT was up by 64.9% to €94 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €57 million).

Free operating cash flow grew to €170 million in the third quarter of 2020, an increase of 26.9% (previous year: €134 million). This was attributable to an upturn in EBITDA, an overall increase in funds freed up from working capital and a decrease in cash outflows for additions to property, plant, and equipment compared to the prioryear quarter.

Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties

Key data Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties
-- -- -- -------------------------------------------
3rd quarter 3rd quarter 1st nine 1st nine
2019
€ million
2020
€ million
Change
%
months 2019
€ million
months 2020
€ million
Change
%
Core volume growth1 –4.0% –6.9% –3.0% –12.5%
Sales 588 495 –15.8 1,836 1,510 –17.8
Change in sales
Volume –4.7% –8.3% –2.7% –13.9%
Price –2.1% –5.0% –0.3% –4.0%
Currency +2.2% –2.5% +2.5% –0.3%
Portfolio +1.6% 0.0% +1.0% +0.4%
Sales by region
EMLA 257 214 –16.7 828 681 –17.8
NAFTA 145 113 –22.1 433 353 –18.5
APAC 186 168 –9.7 575 476 –17.2
EBITDA 111 99 –10.8 407 289 –29.0
EBIT 82 68 –17.1 320 196 –38.8
Operating cash flows 129 80 –38.0 179 214 +19.6
Cash outflows for additions to
property, plant, equipment and
intangible assets 39 41 +5.1 103 95 –7.8
Free operating cash flow 90 39 –56.7 76 119 +56.6

1 Reference values calculated on the basis of the definition of the core business effective March 31, 2020

Core volumes sold in the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment fell in the third quarter of 2020 by 6.9% compared with the prior-year quarter. This development was mainly due to a decline in volumes sold in the automotive and transportation industry as well as the construction industry caused by drops in demand in the EMLA and NAFTA regions.

In the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment third quarter sales in 2020 were down 15.8% to €495 million (previous year: €588 million). A reduction in total volumes sold and lower average selling prices resulted in 8.3% and 5.0% declines in sales. In addition, exchange rate movements had a negative effect on sales of 2.5%.

In the EMLA region, sales decreased by 16.7% to €214 million (previous year: €257 million), principally on account of a sharp drop in total volumes sold. Furthermore, average selling prices decreased sales minimally, while exchange rate changes were neutral overall with respect to sales. Sales in the NAFTA region declined by 22.1% to €113 million (previous year: €145 million), chiefly due to a significant decrease in total volumes sold. Moreover, exchange rate developments and average selling price changes both caused sales to decline slightly. In the APAC region, sales were down 9.7% to €168 million (previous year: €186 million), mainly on account of a considerable drop in selling price level. Exchange rate movements also had a modest negative impact on sales, while an increase in total volumes sold improved sales substantially.

In the third quarter of 2020, EBITDA in the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment decreased by 10.8% from the prior-year quarter, amounting to €99 million (previous year: €111 million). A negative effect exerted by volumes sold and a slight decline in margins caused earnings to decrease somewhat. Reduced costs as a result of cost-cutting measures were unable to compensate for these effects.

EBIT was down by 17.1% to €68 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €82 million).

Free operating cash flow dropped by 56.7% in the third quarter of 2020 to €39 million (previous year: €90 million). Although cash in working capital was freed up in the prior-year quarter, this quarter saw an increase in cash tied up, which adversely affected free operating cash flow. The decline in EBITDA also had a negative effect.

Forecast

Economic Outlook

Global economy

The grave consequences of the coronavirus pandemic are having a substantial negative impact on the global economy. In contrast with our outlook in the 2019 Annual Report, we now project global economic output to drop significantly for a decline in growth of 4.6% for 2020 as a whole. The expectations for all regions were revised sharply downward. According to current estimates, we expect only China to post slightly positive growth. The economies in Europe, North America and Latin America are forecast to report negative growth rates. After two quarters of recession in the first half of 2020, however, the third quarter of 2020 saw the global economy enter a recovery, which is expected to continue in the fourth quarter of 2020.

Economic growth1

Growth 2019 Growth
forecast 2020
(Annual
Report 2019)
Growth
forecast 2020
% % %
World +2.5 +2.5 –4.6
Europe +1.5 +1.2 –7.7
of which Western Europe +1.3 +0.9 –8.1
of which Germany +0.6 +0.4 –5.7
of which Eastern Europe +2.7 +2.4 –5.9
Middle East +1.1 +2.0 –7.7
Latin America –0.3 +0.9 –8.2
Africa +2.6 +2.9 –4.0
North America2 +2.0 +1.9 –4.0
of which United States +2.2 +2.1 –3.5
Asia-Pacific +4.2 +4.2 –2.1
of which China +6.1 +5.8 +1.9

1 Real growth of gross domestic product; source: IHS (Global Insight), Growth 2019 and Growth forecast 2020 as of October 16, 2020

2 North America (not including Central America): Canada, Mexico, United States

Main customer industries\*

We expect the coronavirus pandemic to also have a significant adverse impact on the performance of our main customer industries in fiscal 2020. In contrast to the significant losses felt in the first half of 2020, all of our main customer industries reported varying degrees of improvement in growth rates in the third quarter of 2020. Unlike our outlook in the 2019 Annual Report, we now believe the automotive industry will see a steep drop amounting to a double-digit percentage. Growth in the furniture industry will also likely be considerably weaker than expected. We project negative growth rates in the low single-digit range, down from our forecast in the 2019 Annual Report, for the electrical, electronics and household appliances industry as well as for the construction industry.

* Covestro's estimate, based on the following sources: LMC Automotive Limited, B+L, CSIL (Centre for Industrial Studies), Oxford Economics. We limited the economic data of our "automotive and transportation" and "furniture and wood processing" main customer industries to the automotive and furniture segments (not the transportation or wood processing segments).

Forecast for key performance indicators

As a consequence of the third quarter 2020 results and early fourth quarter 2020 business performance, which were both better than expected, Covestro adjusted the forecast given in the 2020 Half-Year Financial Report on October 9, 2020. Based on the business performance described in this Quarterly Statement and the aforementioned economic outlook, and taking into consideration our potential risks and opportunities, we confirm the forecast for the rest of the 2020 fiscal year adjusted as compared with the 2020 Half-Year Financial Report. We expect our key performance indicators to develop as follows:

In the course of fiscal 2020, core volume growth is still projected to decline year over year (forecast in the 2020 Half-Year Financial Report: year-over-year decline).

Free operating cash flow (FOCF) is expected to be in the range between €0 million and plus €300 million this year (forecast in the 2020 Half-Year Financial Report: between minus €200 million and plus €300 million). FOCF in the Polycarbonates and Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segments is anticipated to perform significantly better than FOCF in the Polyurethanes segment.

For fiscal 2020, the return on capital employed\* (ROCE) is projected to amount to a mid-single-digit percentage (forecast in the 2020 Half-Year Financial Report: between minus 1% and plus 4%).

* The return on capital employed is calculated as the ratio of EBIT after taxes to capital employed. Capital employed is the capital used by the company. It is the sum of current and noncurrent assets less noninterest-bearing liabilities such as trade accounts payable.

Employees and Pension Obligations

As of September 30, 2020, the Covestro Group had 16,626 employees worldwide (December 31, 2019: 17,201). Personnel expenses were down by €30 million from the prior-year quarter to €389 million in the third quarter of 2020 (previous year: €419 million). This was mainly due to lower provisions for short- and long-term variable compensation.

Employees by corporate function1

Dec. 31, 2019 Sep. 30, 2020
Production 11,162 10,811
Marketing and distribution 3,314 3,148
Research and development 1,217 1,219
General administration 1,508 1,448
Total 17,201 16,626

1 The number of employees on either permanent or temporary contracts is stated in full-time equivalents (FTE). Part-time employees are included on a pro-rated basis in line with their contractual working hours. Employees in vocational training are not included.

Provisions for pensions and other post-employment benefits increased to €2,031 million as of September 30, 2020 (December 31, 2019: €1,965 million). In particular, this was attributable to a lower discount rate in the United States. A positive change in the value of plan assets partly compensated for this development.

Discount rate for pension obligations

Dec. 31, 2019 Sep. 30, 2020
% %
Germany 1.00 1.001
United States 3.00 2.20

1 A third-party consulting firm has been calculating the discount rate for pension obligations in the euro area using a standard methodology since the first quarter of 2020. Without the change in calculation procedure, the discount rate would have been at 0.90% for Germany as of September 30, 2020.

Exchange Rates

In the reporting period, the following exchange rates were used for the major currencies of relevance to the Covestro Group:

Closing rates for major currencies

Average rates for major currencies

Closing rates Average rates
€1/ Sep. 30,
2019
Dec. 31,
2019
Sep. 30,
2020
€1/ 1st nine
months 2019
1st nine
months 2020
BRL Brazil 4.53 4.52 6.63 BRL Brazil 4.36 5.61
CNY China 7.78 7.82 7.97 CNY China 7.72 7.86
HKD Hong Kong 8.54 8.75 9.07 HKD Hong Kong 8.81 8.71
INR India 77.16 80.19 86.30 INR India 78.82 83.30
JPY Japan 117.59 121.94 123.76 JPY Japan 122.60 120.78
MXN Mexico 21.45 21.22 26.18 MXN Mexico 21.63 24.29
USD United States 1.09 1.12 1.17 USD United States 1.12 1.12

Scope of Consolidation

Changes in the scope of consolidation

As of September 30, 2020, the scope of consolidation comprised Covestro AG and 47 consolidated companies (December 31, 2019: 47 companies), and was therefore unchanged in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the end of fiscal 2019.

Acquisitions and divestitures

Acquisitions

On September 30, 2020, Covestro signed an agreement to acquire the Resins & Functional Materials business (RFM) of DSM. The acquisition of RFM will make the Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties segment one of the leading suppliers of sustainable coating resins. Thanks to the acquisition, the segment's more comprehensive and highly innovative portfolio of products enables it to offer its customers clear added value. In fiscal 2019, the core RFM business generated sales of €1.0 billion and an EBITDA amounting to €141 million. The transaction also includes the associated innovation ventures Additive Manufacturing, Advanced Solar Coatings and Niaga. Covestro agreed a preliminary purchase price of €1.6 billion. The acquisition is financed through a financing agreement which Covestro intends to fund with a combination of equity, debt instruments and own cash generation. Closing of the transaction is expected for the first quarter of 2021 and is subject to regulatory approvals, including antitrust clearance and other standard authorizations.

Divestitures

No divestitures were made in the third quarter of 2020.

Segment Information

Segment Information 3rd Quarter

Coatings, Adhesives,
Polyurethanes Polycarbonates Specialties Others/consolidation Covestro Group
3rd
quarter
2019
3rd
quarter
2020
3rd
quarter
2019
3rd
quarter
2020
3rd
quarter
2019
3rd
quarter
2020
3rd
quarter
2019
3rd
quarter
2020
3rd
quarter
2019
3rd
quarter
2020
€ million € million € million € million € million € million € million € million € million € million
Sales 1,478 1,315 901 801 588 495 195 149 3,162 2,760
Change in sales
Volume +2.5% +5.3% +6.8% +3.6% –4.7% –8.3% –4.4% –17.2% +2.1% +1.0%
Price –24.4% –11.5% –20.7% –8.2% –2.1% –5.0% –3.3% –5.8% –18.5% –9.0%
Currency +1.8% –3.8% +2.0% –3.4% +2.2% –2.5% +1.0% –0.6% +1.9% –3.3%
Portfolio 0.0% –1.0% –1.3% –3.1% +1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% –0.1% –1.4%
Core volume
growth1
+5.1% +4.3% +9.3% +3.6% –4.0% –6.9% +5.3% +3.0%
Sales by region
EMLA 629 558 281 239 257 214 150 127 1,317 1,138
NAFTA 431 363 196 154 145 113 40 18 812 648
APAC 418 394 424 408 186 168 5 4 1,033 974
EBITDA 196 220 132 148 111 99 (14) (11) 425 456
EBIT 97 114 57 94 82 68 (15) (11) 221 265
Depreciation,
amortization,
impairment losses
and impairment loss
reversals
99 106 75 54 29 31 1 204 191
Operating cash
flows2 173 217 178 203 129 80 (18) 38 462 538
Cash outflows for
additions to
property, plant,
equipment and
intangible assets
135 103 44 33 39 41 1 219 177
Free operating
cash flow
38 114 134 170 90 39 (19) 38 243 361
Trade working
capital3
1,083 943 694 563 605 503 75 52 2,457 2,061

1 Reference values calculated on the basis of the definition of the core business effective March 31, 2020.

2 Covestro applied a simplification rule in calculating the income taxes paid as a component of operating cash flows at the segment level (see note 4 "Segment and Regional Reporting" in the Consolidated Financial Statements in the 2019 Annual Report). The difference between the income tax payments of the reportable operating segments and the actual income taxes paid by the Covestro Group are taken into account in the Others/consolidation column.

3 Trade working capital comprises inventories plus trade accounts receivable, less trade accounts payable, as of September 30, 2020, or September 30, 2019.

Segment Information 1st Nine Months

Polyurethanes Polycarbonates Coatings, Adhesives,
Specialties
Others/consolidation Covestro Group
1st nine
months
2019
1st nine
months
2020
1st nine
months
2019
1st nine
months
2020
1st nine
months
2019
1st nine
months
2020
1st nine
months
2019
1st nine
months
2020
1st nine
months
2019
1st nine
months
2020
€ million € million € million € million € million € million € million € million € million € million
Sales 4,443 3,502 2,659 2,182 1,836 1,510 610 505 9,548 7,699
Change in sales
Volume +2.1% –7.4% +3.1% –5.1% –2.7% –13.9% –3.9% –8.6% +1.3% –8.1%
Price –26.9% –11.5% –17.4% –8.5% –0.3% –4.0% +0.1% –8.6% –18.5% –9.1%
Currency +1.9% –1.2% +2.1% –0.9% +2.5% –0.3% +1.4% 0.0% +2.0% –0.8%
Portfolio 0.0% –1.1% –2.8% –3.4% +1.0% +0.4% 0.0% 0.0% –0.6% –1.4%
Core volume
growth1
+1.9% –8.4% +2.4% –5.0% –3.0% –12.5% +1.5% –7.9%
Sales by region
EMLA 1,941 1,506 876 698 828 681 465 427 4,110 3,312
NAFTA 1,286 1,024 574 456 433 353 129 67 2,422 1,900
APAC 1,216 972 1,209 1,028 575 476 16 11 3,016 2,487
EBITDA 525 246 441 353 407 289 (47) (53) 1,326 835
EBIT 226 (67) 261 189 320 196 (48) (54) 759 264
Depreciation,
amortization,
impairment losses
and impairment loss
reversals
299 313 180 164 87 93 1 1 567 571
Operating cash
flows2
293 138 409 306 179 214 (135) (59) 746 599
Cash outflows for
additions to
property, plant,
equipment and
intangible assets
375 271 125 96 103 95 1 603 463
Free operating
cash flow
(82) (133) 284 210 76 119 (135) (60) 143 136
Trade working
capital3
1,083 943 694 563 605 503 75 52 2,457 2,061

1 Reference values calculated on the basis of the definition of the core business effective March 31, 2020.

2 Covestro applied a simplification rule in calculating the income taxes paid as a component of operating cash flows at the segment level (see note 4 "Segment and Regional Reporting" in the Consolidated Financial Statements in the 2019 Annual Report). The difference between the income tax payments of the reportable operating segments and the actual income taxes paid by the Covestro Group are taken into account in the Others/consolidation column.

3 Trade working capital comprises inventories plus trade accounts receivable, less trade accounts payable, as of September 30, 2020, or September 30, 2019.

Financial Calendar

Annual Report 2020 February 23, 2021
Annual General Meeting 2021 April 16, 2021
Quarterly Statement First Quarter 2021 April 28, 2021
Half-Year Financial Report 2021 July 27, 2021

Publishing information

Published by

Covestro AG Kaiser-Wilhelm-Allee 60 51373 Leverkusen Germany Email: [email protected]

covestro.com

Local Court of Cologne HRB 85281 VAT No. DE815579850

Investor contact Email: [email protected]

Press contact Email: [email protected] Translation

Leinhäuser Language Services GmbH Unterhaching, Germany

Design and layout nexxar GmbH, Vienna, Austria

Photo credits © Zffoto - stock.adobe.com; Covestro Deutschland AG

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