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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. — Interim / Quarterly Report 2025
May 22, 2025
43491_rns_2025-05-22_75f5ea67-26b0-4fbd-8836-f94d1b421e1e.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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CEO Letter to Shareholders
May 22, 2025
Dear Fellow Shareholders,
CMG is steadily evolving into a performance-driven culture – an essential foundation for our future success. Just as our employees and executives undergo year-end reviews, so too should CMG. If we were to conduct a performance review for the organization, I believe two key themes would emerge:
- How do we think about growth in the context of our performance this year?
- Acquisition Strategy: Is it working and what's next?
Fiscal 2025 Performance: Organic Growth Challenged Short-Term
After two strong years of growth in our reservoir and production solutions, this year we experienced a setback. The question is why and how enduring is the impact.
Over the past two years, growth in our reservoir and production solutions has been driven by new customer acquisitions, increased share of wallet from existing clients, and expansion in Energy Transition —particularly in Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS).
Two things changed. Oil prices have declined, and while I firmly believe that during times of uncertainty the industry should lean more heavily on technology, we are not immune to the impact. Customers, especially the medium and smaller size operators, are reducing budgets leading to more scrutiny on technology spend. Add to that, many companies are reevaluating their energy transition and renewable strategies. Carbon capture and storage (CCS), which gained momentum as a result of U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) related tax incentives, has now taken a back seat and activity in the US has meaningfully pulled back.
The obvious question in investors' minds: how will we perform in a downturn? While it is impossible to say how long these cyclical and macro impacts may continue, I believe there are some fundamental differences in the market and in our organization that support a different outcome for CMG than in prior downturns.
Easy oil is gone - incremental global production is coming from areas that are harder and harder to recover. CMG has focused decades of research and developed differentiation in the market based on complex recovery. Ultimately, increased reliance on enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and unconventional methods aligns with our expertise and offering. This is CMG's specialization.
CCS has not gone away - US activity has slowed, and particularly hard hit were the new projects in early design and feasibility stage that made up a good portion of revenue growth for us in the US market. Still, other regions including Europe and Southeast Asia are steadily moving forward. We are seeing a number of approved projects moving into the build phase. As these projects are expected to be in operations for decades, so too is the need for simulation which is an integral part of ongoing monitoring. In fact, our strategic partner ABB recently secured an automation contract for a major long term CCS project in the UK, underscoring both the global relevance of CCS and the importance of strategic partnerships to CMG's long-term success.
CEO Letter to Shareholders
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
Commercially led organization - The work we started three years ago to shift to a more commercially agile organization resulted in a more disciplined approach to sales and marketing. CMG has shifted from mainly passive order-takers to a company with a holistic view of the market and the white space in front of us. For example, we are targeting new geographies and have already increased our strategic business development focus and sales presence in the Eastern Hemisphere where National Oil Companies (NOCs) are putting a premium on superior technology to optimize increasingly complex assets.
Power of 3 - With the completion of two acquisitions, we are more diversified, and this will be a valuable driver of growth. We have evolved from a single-product company into a multi-product, best-in-class organization that not only spans the subsurface workflow - from seismic to reservoir to production simulation - but also benefits from each product bringing its own unique opportunity set to drive value and innovation.
All of this does not mean that we may not have some challenging quarters ahead of us. It does mean we are better positioned than in the past to tackle them
Outlook for Fiscal 2025: Stable Profitability Amid Shifting Revenue Dynamics
Beginning this quarter, we have consolidated our financial reporting into one segment. Going forward, we will report on organic growth and growth from acquisitions. Recurring revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, and Free Cash Flow per share growth will be the key indicators of the successful execution of our strategy.
We will no longer report energy transition as a percentage of software revenue as that metric was calculated on the previously reported reservoir and production solutions segment only, but we will provide qualitative commentary when it is a material driver of performance.
Excluding the impact of future acquisitions, our outlook for fiscal 2026 reflects a mix of growth opportunities and near-term headwinds. While the Sharp acquisition will contribute to overall revenue growth, we remain cautious on organic growth. Seismic solutions is well positioned for expansion, benefiting from early market adoption, strong product differentiation, and increased sales execution. Conversely, our reservoir and production solutions may remain under pressure from the same macro factors that affected recent performance.
We also expect a $6–$7 million year-over-year decline in professional services revenue - driven by the wind-down of funded CoFlow development, a reduction in non-core services at Bluware, net of increased contributions from Sharp. This decline may offset or limit our ability to show total revenue growth in fiscal 2026.
Adjusted EBITDA and margin are expected to remain relatively flat as we absorb the services revenue decline. While we will manage costs carefully, there may be a lag in realizing the full impact of our efficiency measures. We expect this to be a temporary dynamic, with no carryover effect into fiscal 2027.
Acquisitions: Significant Driver of Future Growth
We spent the last two years building out the foundation for a scalable acquisition model with the ultimate objective of consistently deploying our excess Free Cash Flow. Having completed two acquisitions and deployed 95% of our Free Cash Flow during the past two years, we believe we are at a point where we can start increasing our transaction cadence shifting our growth profile to be more materially driven by acquisitions. Our strategic objectives are twofold. First, to generate high rates of return on invested capital and second, to diversify the company in a way that strengthens our core offerings.
Taking Bluware as an example, did we meet those two objectives? First, annualized software revenue is up 50% from pre-acquisition levels and Adjusted EBITDA Margin has expanded from roughly 5% to 15%. Financially, we are on track and performing well. Second, it has elevated our role as a strategic partner - enabling us to engage directly with key executives and procurement leaders in subsurface operations, where critical purchasing decisions are made.
CEO Letter to Shareholders
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
So where do we go from here?
Building on learnings from these first two acquisitions and with the insights gained from completing an extensive landscape exercise over the past 18 months, we have further refined our strategy.
We continue to believe that our vision of a connected ecosystem of differentiated upstream oil and gas solutions is highly relevant to customers, and it is possible to build through carefully chosen acquisitions. Bluware and Sharp are examples of the type of platform acquisitions that are a primary focus. In addition, we know that there are high-quality oil and gas businesses, extending into the midstream and downstream sectors, that could benefit from the optimization strategies we apply across our portfolio, even if they don't align with our current platform vision or go-to-market strategy. Including these standalone acquisitions broadens our investable universe and enables us to continue deploying capital at relatively predictable and attractive returns. We are also exploring differentiated, science-based, engineering focused technologies in adjacent verticals, outside the oil and gas sector.
With this framework, we are in a good position to increase our deal funnel and support a higher deal frequency. We are set up to deploy a large amount of capital during the next decade relative to our current market capitalization and that this will be a significant driver of the outcome for CMG shareholders.
In Closing
In the context of my journey with CMG, it feels like the past three years are just the start. While I acknowledge that we hit a partial setback in momentum, there are many reasons to be bullish for the long term. CMG has a healthy net cash balance. The existing business is generating attractive Free Cash Flow which has allowed us to self-fund two sizeable acquisitions. Our acquisition engine is maturing and is primed for forward momentum. Despite short-term headwinds, our mid to long-term outlook for the existing business remains solid, supported by sustained customer reliance on our solutions, which are deeply embedded in critical subsurface workflows. All of this gives me immense confidence that over time, our CMG 4.0 Strategy will create tremendous value for our customers and employees, and, as a result, significant returns for our shareholders. Thank you for being on the journey with us. I sincerely appreciate your trust and continued support and I don't take it for granted.
Sincerely,

Pramod Jain
Chief Executive Officer
This letter to shareholders forms an integral part of our Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") and includes forward-looking information and forward-looking statements (together, "Forward Looking Statements") within the meaning of applicable securities laws, and measures that do not have a standard meaning prescribed by the International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"), including the financial measure "Free Cash Flow" to indicate financial performance. For detailed information on these Forward-Looking Statements, non-IFRS measures, and associated risks, please see the relevant sections in our MD&A dated May 22, 2025, accessible on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) and our website (www.cmgl.ca/investors/financial-reports).
CEO Letter to Shareholders
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. announces its fourth quarter results for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025.
FOURTH QUARTER 2025 CONSOLIDATED HIGHLIGHTS
Select financial highlights
- Total revenue increased by 4% (13% Organic decline(1) and 17% growth from acquisitions) to $33.7 million;
- Recurring revenue(2) increased by 16% (7% Organic decline and 23% growth from acquisitions) to $24.2 million;
- Adjusted EBITDA(1) increased by 2% to $10.5 million;
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin(1) was 31%, compared to 32% in the comparative period;
- Earnings per share was $0.06, a 33% decrease;
- Free Cash Flow(1) decreased by 26% to $7.0 million; Free Cash flow per share decreased to $0.08 from $0.12.
FISCAL 2025 CONSOLIDATED HIGHLIGHTS
Select financial highlights
- Total revenue increased by 19% (1% Organic decline and 20% growth from acquisitions) to $129.4 million;
- Recurring revenue increased by 13% (1% Organic growth and 12% was growth from acquisitions) to $86.8 million;
- Adjusted EBITDA increased by 2% to $44.0 million;
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin was 34%, compared to 40% in the comparative period;
- Earnings per share was $0.27, a 16% decrease;
- Free Cash Flow decreased by 22% to $27.6 million; Free Cash flow per share decreased to $0.33 from $0.44.
(1) Organic growth/decline, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin and Free Cash Flow are not a standardized financial measures and might not be comparable to measures disclosed by other issuers. For more description see under "Non-IFRS Financial and Supplementary Financial Measures" heading.
(2) Recurring revenue includes Annuity/maintenance licenses and Annuity license fee, and excludes Perpetual licenses and Professional Services.
OVERVIEW
Macroeconomic factors and political instability, combined with a low oil price environment, resulted in challenged organic growth this year, particularly in reservoir and production solutions, where lengthened deal cycles and cautious customer spending prevailed. Despite these challenges, we continued to execute on our strategic M&A roadmap, and revenue growth during the quarter and year-to-date, was supported by meaningful contributions from acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA increases during the quarter and year-to-date were also supported by growth from acquisitions. Free Cash Flow decreased during the quarter and year-to-date due to pressures on top-line-growth, however, during the prior year period, Free Cash Flow also benefited from the tax deduction of approximately $4.6 million as a result of the acquisition of intellectual property. We generated $27.6 million of Free Cash Flow during fiscal 2025, maintaining our strong liquidity position and enabling us to invest in strategic acquisitions.
As we look forward to fiscal 2026, excluding any impact from future acquisitions, we anticipate a reduction of between $6 - $7 million in professional services revenue compared to fiscal 2025 which may make it challenging to demonstrate total revenue growth. It is a goal of the company to shift the revenue mix towards a higher percentage of software revenue and the reduction in professional services is a natural part of the shift. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin may also show limited growth due to anticipated delays in cost-saving measures in taking effect, but this impact is expected to be limited to fiscal 2026.
To ensure long-term resilience, we remain committed to evolving our business model through carefully targeted strategic acquisitions. Our acquisitions to date position us well by expanding our capabilities and helping to support long-term growth by complementing our core offering.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands, except per share data) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Annuity/maintenance licenses | 19,436 | 19,661 | (1%) | 77,525 | 71,530 | 8% |
| Annuity license fee | 4,728 | 1,142 | 314% | 9,280 | 5,146 | 80% |
| Recurring revenue(1)(2) | 24,164 | 20,803 | 16% | 86,805 | 76,676 | 13% |
| Perpetual licenses | 554 | 2,130 | (74%) | 5,617 | 5,739 | (2%) |
| Total software license revenue | 24,718 | 22,933 | 8% | 92,422 | 82,415 | 12% |
| Professional services | 8,965 | 9,358 | (4%) | 37,024 | 26,264 | 41% |
| Total revenue | 33,683 | 32,291 | 4% | 129,446 | 108,679 | 19% |
| Cost of revenue | 6,749 | 6,470 | 4% | 24,940 | 17,224 | 45% |
| Operating expenses | ||||||
| Sales & marketing | 5,094 | 4,361 | 17% | 18,617 | 14,957 | 24% |
| Research and development | 8,129 | 7,607 | 7% | 30,142 | 23,679 | 27% |
| General & administrative | 4,876 | 5,576 | (13%) | 21,599 | 18,835 | 15% |
| Operating expenses | 18,099 | 17,544 | 3% | 70,358 | 57,471 | 22% |
| Operating profit | 8,835 | 8,277 | 7% | 34,148 | 33,984 | -% |
| Net income | 5,104 | 7,229 | (29%) | 22,437 | 26,259 | (15%) |
| Adjusted EBITDA(1) | 10,500 | 10,295 | 2% | 44,009 | 43,345 | 2% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin(1) | 31% | 32% | 34% | 40% | ||
| Earnings per share – basic & diluted | 0.06 | 0.09 | (33%) | 0.27 | 0.32 | (16%) |
| Funds flow from operations per share - basic | 0.10 | 0.13 | (23%) | 0.38 | 0.47 | (19%) |
| Free Cash Flow per share – basic(1) | 0.08 | 0.12 | (33%) | 0.33 | 0.44 | (25%) |
(1) Non-IFRS financial measures are defined in the "Non-IFRS Financial Measures" section.
(2) Included in the number is a reduction of $0.5 million and $0.8 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, respectively ($0.1 million and $0.2 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2024, respectively), attributed to the amortization of a deferred revenue fair value reduction recognized on acquisition.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
This Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") of financial condition and results of operations for Computer Modelling Group Ltd. ("CMG Group", the "Company", "we" or "our"), dated May 22, 2025, should be read in conjunction with CMG Group's annual audited consolidated financial statements (the "Financial Statements") and accompanying notes for the year ended March 31, 2025 and CMG Group's Annual Information Form dated May 22, 2025 ("AIF"), which are available under CMG Group's SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca.
The Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with IFRS Accounting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB"). The Financial Statements are presented in Canadian dollars, which is the functional and presentation currency of CMG Group.
Figures within this MD&A are presented in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise indicated. Financial data, other than the non-IFRS financial measures, have been prepared in accordance with IFRS Accounting Standards.
This MD&A was reviewed and approved by the Audit Committee and Board of Directors and is effective May 22, 2025.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
Certain information included in this MD&A and the CEO Letter to Shareholders (attached hereto and incorporated by reference) is forward-looking. Forward-looking information includes statements that are not statements of historical fact and which address activities, events, or developments, that the Company expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future, including such things as investment objectives and strategy, the development plans and status of the Company's software development projects, the Company's intentions, results of operations, levels of activity, future capital and other expenditures (including the amount, nature and sources of funding thereof), business prospects and opportunities, research and development timetable, and future growth and performance. When used in this MD&A, statements to the effect that the Company or its management "believes", "expects", "expected", "plans", "may", "will", "projects", "anticipates", "estimates", "would", "could", "should", "endeavors", "seeks", "predicts" or "intends" or similar statements, including "potential", "opportunity", "target" or other variations thereof that are not statements of historical fact should be construed as forward-looking information. These statements reflect management's current beliefs with respect to future events and are based on information currently available to management of the Company. The Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking information are reasonable, but no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking information should not be unduly relied upon.
Forward-looking information contained in this MD&A is based on management's expectations and assumptions regarding, among other things:
- the Company's ability to maintain and grow annual adjusted EBITDA margin;
- the ability to achieve total revenue growth on an annual basis;
- the successful allocation of purchase price for completed acquisitions and the realization of anticipated synergies and benefits from such acquisitions;
- the ability to identify, complete, and integrate future acquisitions that are accretive to software revenue and enhance or diversify the Company's software solutions;
- the continued financing by and participation of the Company's CoFlow partner, and the associated costs and future revenue related to CoFlow;
- the ability to recognize financial results of acquired businesses and assets, including the realization of anticipated growth projections, revenue increases, and cost savings;
- the ability to manage acquisition-related expenses, including the potential for further performance-based earnouts;
- the ability to avoid or manage unanticipated acquisition-related expenses, liabilities, or goodwill impairment adjustments;
- the ability to successfully execute on commercial partnerships and strategic alliances for product development, consulting projects, and sales;
- the ability to maintain and grow the Company's core business competencies in reservoir simulation and capitalize on its leadership position in complex hydrocarbon recovery techniques;
- the ability to invest in research and development initiatives that are driven by customer needs and maintain a competitive advantage for the existing software product suite;
- the ability to retain and attract qualified staff and key personnel in all relevant territories;
- the ability to manage and protect intellectual property, including acquired and internally developed technologies; and
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
- the ability to avoid to manage significant disruptions or information technology infrastructure, including cyber security risks.
Forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance and involves a number of risks and uncertainties, only some of which are described herein. Many factors could cause the Company's actual results, performance or achievements, or future events or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking information including, without limitation, the following factors, which are discussed in greater detail in the "Business Risks" section of this MD&A:
- Economic conditions in the energy industry;
- Reliance on key customers;
- Foreign exchange;
- Economic and political risks in countries where the Company currently does or proposes to do business;
- Increased competition;
- Reliance on employees with specialized skills or knowledge;
- Protection of proprietary rights;
- Information security breaches or other cyber-security threats; and
- Ability to successfully execute on acquisitions and to integrate acquired businesses and assets.
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievement may vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking information contained in this MD&A. These factors should be carefully considered, and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date of this MD&A. All subsequent forward-looking information attributable to the Company herein is expressly qualified in its entirety by the cautionary statements contained in or referred to herein. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to forward-looking information contained in this MD&A to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date of this MD&A or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
CORPORATE PROFILE
CMG Group is a global software and consulting company providing complex, science-based software solutions to the energy industry. CMG Group provides cutting-edge technologies that support critical field development decisions for upstream planning and energy transition strategies. The Company has a diverse customer base of international oil and gas production and exploration companies in approximately 60 countries. The Company also provides professional services consisting of highly specialized support, consulting, training, and contract research activities. CMG Group has sales and technical support services based in Calgary, Houston, Oxford, Dubai, Bogota, Rio de Janeiro, Bengaluru, Kuala Lumpur, Oslo, Stavanger, and Kaiserslautern. The Company's Common Shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") and trade under the symbol "CMG". CMG Group and its subsidiaries include the following: Computer Modelling Group Inc., CMG Middle East FZ LLC, CMG Europe Ltd., CMG Collaboration Centre India Private Ltd., and Computer Modelling Group Brazil Soluções Tecnológicas Ltda., (together referred to as "CMG"), and CMG Holdings (USA) Inc., Bluware-Headwave Ventures Inc., Bluware Inc., and Bluware AS, (together referred to as "BHV") and CMGL Services Corporation Inc., CMG Germany GmbH, Sharp Reflections GmbH, Sharp Reflections Inc., Sharp Reflections AS, Sharp Reflections Ltd., (together referred to as "SR" or "Sharp").
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Since its inception more than 40 years ago, CMG Group made the strategic decision to focus its research and development efforts on providing reservoir modelling solutions for the simulation of difficult hydrocarbon recovery techniques, a decision that created the foundation for our dominant market presence today in the simulation of advanced hydrocarbon recovery processes. The Company has demonstrated this commitment by continuously investing in research and development and working closely with its customers to develop simulation tools relevant to the challenges and opportunities they face. We are experts in modelling and de-risking subsurface exploration with the use of advanced physics-based simulation software and expert consulting.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
In combination with its principal business of licensing its software, the Company also provides professional services consisting of multi-disciplinary upstream consultants that provide software proficiency and technical expertise to build and optimize reservoir development plans.
In fiscal 2023, CMG Group announced a new strategy called CMG 4.0. Under this strategy the company aims to drive sustained revenue growth, both organically and by acquisition, while maintaining strong profitability.
Our growth strategy was developed around three main objectives:
- maintain and grow our core business competencies in reservoir simulation, capitalizing on our leadership position as experts in the science, technology and customer support for complex hydrocarbon recovery techniques;
- optimize and accelerate market penetration of newly acquired businesses leveraging the global reputation of CMG Group and growing portfolio of solutions
continuous deployment of available capital into acquisitions
We are committed to the development of cutting-edge technologies that support critical field development decisions for upstream planning and energy transition strategies. To achieve these objectives, investment in research and development is important as it helps maintain our competitive advantage for our existing software product suite and advances new product development to drive organic growth. Our approach to investment in research and development is to invest in initiatives that are driven by customers' needs. Integrating new and innovative features into our existing product suite as well as developing simplified, fit-for-purpose applications is anticipated to help us to increase revenue from new and existing customers.
We pursue organic growth through direct sales using our internal sales force and are focused on enhancing our market engagement framework through the addition of a strategic marketing function and additional sales tools and training. We are also committed to partnering with industry leaders for product development, consulting projects, and sales. The Company sees mergers and acquisitions ("M&A") as a growth accelerator and maintains a robust and dynamic pipeline of opportunities, investing in both engagement and outreach. The acquisition strategy aims to invest excess capital, at attractive after-tax rates of return, to acquire businesses that enhance and diversify our software solutions across the upstream energy workflow. The company also intends to explore opportunities to diversify further within midstream and downstream energy and adjacent industries.
The company now comprises three companies providing market-leading software solutions as described below.
Reservoir and Production Solutions: Computer Modelling Group delivers market-leading reservoir simulation software, recognized as the industry standard in traditional oil and gas including Enhanced Oil Recovery ("EOR"), Heavy Oil and unconventionals, and in Energy Transition including Carbon Capture and Storage ("CCS"), geothermal and hydrogen. In addition of the company is developing CoFlow, the industry's first fully implicit, multi-user and multi-disciplinary Integrated Reservoir and Production System Modelling ("IPSM") software application. It provides a unified solution for integrated asset modelling by combining reservoir, production networks and geomechanics in one environment and allows reservoir and production engineers to make informed decisions on large, integrated oil and gas projects.
Seismic Interpretation Solutions: Bluware (BHV): InteractivAITM is a cutting-edge deep learning seismic interpretation tool that enables geoscientists to quickly analyze vast amounts of seismic data. InteractivAI leverages Bluware's proprietary VDSTM (Volume Data Storage) data format which compresses raw and interpreted seismic data sets, making them adaptable and scalable depending on customer business needs, workflows and visualization requirements. VDSTM enables fast data access, cost-effective cloud storage, and compute-intensive workflows. FASTTM is a data streaming and transcoding tool, providing the ability to use VDSTM with existing interpretation applications to stream subsurface data from the cloud to legacy applications and workflows.
Sharp Reflections (SR): Pre-Stack Pro (now known as Sharp Reflections software), is a leading high performance computing platform for seismic data processing and interpretation, with a specific expertise in large pre-stack seismic data sets. Sharp has recently expanded its offering to include 4D seismic analysis.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
REVENUE STREAMS
Annuity/Maintenance Licenses: Annuity license agreements, which include a term-based software license bundled with maintenance. These agreements provide customers with rights to use the software for a fixed term, typically one year, but could be shorter or longer, and include maintenance consisting of customer support and unspecified upgrades. This revenue component is recorded under "Annuity/maintenance licenses" and "Annuity license fee" revenue. For certain contracts, the total annual contract value of the annuity license fee is allocated 50% to the standalone software license fee (included in "Annuity license fee") and 50% to maintenance (included in "Annuity/maintenance license revenue" and recognized over the license term). The annuity license fee is recognized in revenue when the software license is delivered to the customer at the start of the license term. While both annuity/maintenance license revenue and annual license fee represent recurring revenue base, the annual license fee revenue will fluctuate quarterly due to the timing of agreement renewals which tend to be skewed towards the last two quarters of our fiscal year, and may not be indicative of the performance in a particular reporting period. Our annuity and maintenance license agreements must be renewed upon their agreement expiry. Based on our experience, a majority of customers renew their agreements upon expiry. We also offer a public cloud solution which enables customers to securely access Company's solutions using some of the latest and fastest hardware available in the industry optimized for maximum efficiency and faster results. This currently represents a small part of the Company's business and is reported under "Annuity/maintenance license" revenue.
Perpetual Licenses: Perpetual license agreements grant the customer the right to use the then-current version of software and has the right to use that version in perpetuity. This revenue stream is recorded under "Perpetual licenses" revenue and is recognized at a point in time, upon delivery of the licensed product. Perpetual license sales are variable and unpredictable in nature as the purchase decision and its timing fluctuate with the customers' needs and budgets. Customers purchasing perpetual licenses may also enter into a separate maintenance and support agreement giving them access to customer support and access to current versions of the Company's software. The majority of customers who have acquired perpetual software licenses subsequently purchase a maintenance package which is reported under "Annuity/maintenance licenses" revenue.
We generally invoice our customers for the full amount of their agreement at the time that they contract with us, with payment generally due within a period of 30 days.
Professional Services: In combination with its principal business of licensing its software, the Company also provides professional services consisting of multi-disciplinary, specialized consulting, training, and contract research activities. Our training is continuous in nature, is offered worldwide, and enables our customers to become more efficient and effective users of our software which helps us in developing and maintaining long-term relationships with our customers. In our experience, consulting activities are variable in nature as both the timing and dollar magnitude of work are dependent on activities and budgets within customer companies.
SIGNIFICANT EVENTS
Acquisition of Sharp Reflections GmbH
On November 12, 2024, CMG Group announced the acquisition of Sharp Reflections GmbH a software company, specializing in seismic processing and interpretation. Sharp leverages high-performance computing to process and analyze pre-stack seismic datasets in real time thereby enhancing the efficiency and quality of decision making in subsurface interpretation. The acquisition of Sharp is a natural extension of CMG Group and will enable us to further expand CMG Group's solutions in the seismic processing and interpretation in the upstream energy workflow.
Sharp is headquartered in Kaiserslautern, Germany with operations in UK, USA, Norway and Germany. Sharp's customer base includes integrated oil companies (IOCs), national oil companies (NOCs) and super majors with further opportunities to expand to energy transition through CCS, offshore wind-farm development and hydrogen storage where subsurface integrity is critical.
Sharp's flagship solution, Pre-Stack Pro (now known as Sharp Reflections software), is a leading high performance computing platform for seismic data processing and interpretation, with a specific expertise in large pre-stack seismic data sets. Sharp has recently expanded its offering to include 4D seismic analysis. Sharp works with some of the world's largest oil and gas operators for sponsor driven development through foundation projects which aids in the continuous improvement and features offered within the Sharp Reflections software. Sharp also offers tech-enabled consulting services, leveraging its software to deliver studies and solutions to their customers.
This acquisition is intended to grow CMG Group's existing software revenues and continues to demonstrate our ability to add strategic IP to our portfolio.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
NON-IFRS FINANCIAL AND SUPPLEMENTARY FINANCIAL MEASURES
Certain financial measures in this MD&A – namely, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Free Cash Flow, adjusted operating expenses, direct employee costs, adjusted direct employee costs, other corporate costs, adjusted other corporate costs, adjusted operating profit, adjusted operating profit margin, organic growth and recurring revenue – do not have a standard meaning prescribed by IFRS and, accordingly, may not be comparable to measures used by other companies. Management believes that these indicators nevertheless provide useful measures in evaluating the Company's performance.
Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin refers to net income before adjusting for depreciation and amortization expense, amortization of fair value adjustments recognized on acquisition, interest income/expense, income and other taxes, stock-based compensation, restructuring charges, foreign exchange gains and losses, repayment of lease obligations, asset impairments, acquisition related costs and other expenses directly related to business combinations, including compensation expenses. Adjusted EBITDA should not be construed as an alternative to operating income, net income or liquidity as determined by IFRS. The Company believes that Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin are useful supplemental measures as they provide an indication of the results generated by the Company's main business activities prior to consideration of how those activities are amortized, financed or taxed. In addition, management has determined that Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin is a more accurate measurement of the Company's operating performance and our ability to generate earnings as compared to EBITDA and EBITDA Margin.
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 |
| Net income (loss) | 5,104 | 7,229 | 22,437 | 26,259 |
| Add (deduct): | ||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 2,368 | 2,151 | 8,465 | 5,688 |
| Acquisition costs | 216 | 186 | 2,567 | 1,456 |
| Stock-based compensation | (435) | 922 | 2,625 | 6,292 |
| Loss on contingent consideration | 88 | - | 2,151 | - |
| Deferred revenue amortization on acquisition fair value reduction | 535 | 76 | 845 | 188 |
| Income and other tax expense | 2,154 | 1,935 | 10,448 | 8,963 |
| Interest income | (313) | (658) | (2,605) | (3,096) |
| Interest expense | 189 | - | 189 | - |
| Foreign exchange loss (gain) | 1,143 | (743) | (363) | (50) |
| Repayment of lease liabilities | (549) | (803) | (2,750) | (2,355) |
| Adjusted EBITDA (1) | 10,500 | 10,295 | 44,009 | 43,345 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin (1) | 31% | 32% | 34% | 40% |
(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. Refer to definition of the measures above.
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 2% during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 20% was growth from acquisitions, partially offset by an Organic decline of 18%, primarily attributable to lower revenue in the quarter partially offset by lower expenses.
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 2% for the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 3% of the increase was due to growth from acquisitions, partially offset by a 1% Organic decline due to higher expenses.
Free Cash Flow Reconciliation to Funds Flow from Operations
Free Cash Flow is a non-IFRS financial measure that is calculated as funds flow from operations less capital expenditures and repayment of lease liabilities. Free Cash Flow per share is calculated by dividing Free Cash Flow by the number of weighted average outstanding shares during the period. Management believes that this measure provides useful supplemental information about operating performance and liquidity, as it represents cash generated during the period, regardless of the timing of collection of receivables and payment of payables, which may reduce comparability between periods. Management uses free cash flow and free cash flow per share to help measure the capacity of the Company to pay dividends and invest in business growth opportunities.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Fiscal 2024
Fiscal 2025
| ($ thousands, unless otherwise stated) | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Funds flow from operations | 7,920 | 11,491 | 8,477 | 10,367 | 6,515 | 7,101 | 9,937 | 8,227 |
| Capital expenditures | (45) | (51) | (459) | (95) | (93) | (236) | (432) | (661) |
| Repayment of lease liabilities | (412) | (412) | (728) | (803) | (743) | (769) | (689) | (549) |
| Free Cash Flow | 7,463 | 11,028 | 7,290 | 9,469 | 5,679 | 6,096 | 8,816 | 7,017 |
| Weighted average shares – basic (thousands) | 80,685 | 80,834 | 81,067 | 81,314 | 81,476 | 81,887 | 82,753 | 83,064 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - basic | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Funds flow from operations per share- basic | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| ($ thousands, unless otherwise stated) | March 31, 2025 | March 31, 2024 | March 31, 2023 | |||||
| --- | --- | --- | --- | |||||
| Funds flow from operations | 31,780 | 38,255 | 25,357 | |||||
| Capital expenditures | (1,422) | (650) | (2,048) | |||||
| Repayment of lease liabilities | (2,750) | (2,355) | (1,608) | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 27,608 | 35,250 | 21,701 | |||||
| Weighted average shares – basic (thousands) | 82,546 | 80,975 | 80,464 | |||||
| Free Cash Flow per share – basic | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.27 | |||||
| Funds flow from operations per share (basic) | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.32 |
Free Cash Flow decreased by 26% and 22%, respectively, for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025 from the same periods of the previous fiscal year. These decreases are primarily due to lower funds flow from operations, higher capital expenditures, and increased repayment of lease liabilities as a result of office leases in acquired entities. During year ended March 31, 2024, Free Cash Flow benefited from the tax deduction of approximately $4.6 million as a result of the acquisition of the BHV intellectual property.
Adjusted operating expenses, direct employee and other corporate costs
Adjusted operating expenses include adjusted direct employee costs and adjusted other corporate costs in which adjustments are made with respect to restructuring costs, stock-based compensation, acquisition of acquired intangible assets, and acquisition related expenses. Adjusted direct employee costs include salaries, bonuses, benefits, commission expenses, and professional development. Adjusted other corporate costs include facility-related expenses, corporate reporting, professional services, marketing and promotion, computer expenses, travel, other office-related expenses, depreciation and amortization on property and equipment and right-of-use assets. Adjusted direct employee costs and adjusted other corporate costs should not be considered an alternative to total operating expenses as determined in accordance with IFRS. People-related costs represent the Company's largest area of expenditure; hence, management considers highlighting separately corporate and direct employee costs to be important in evaluating the quantitative impact of cost management of these two major expenditure pools. See "Operating Expenses" heading for a reconciliation of direct employee costs and other corporate costs to total operating expenses.
Organic Growth
Organic growth is not a standardized financial measure and might not be comparable to measures disclosed by other issuers. The Company measures Organic growth on a quarterly and year-to-date basis at the revenue and Adjusted EBITDA levels and includes revenue and Adjusted EBITDA under CMG Group's ownership for a year or longer, beginning from the first full quarter of CMG Group's ownership in the current and comparative period(s). For example, BHV was acquired on September 25, 2023 (Q2 2024). September 25, 2024, marked one full year of ownership under CMG Group and on October 1, 2024 (Q3 2025), which is the first full quarter under CMG Group's ownership in the current and comparative period, started being tracked under Organic growth. Any revenue and Adjusted EBITDA generated by BHV prior to October 1, 2024, would not be included in Organic growth. Sharp was acquired on November 12, 2025 (Q3 2025) and will start contributing to Organic growth on January 1, 2026 (Q4 2026).
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
For further clarity, current statements include Organic growth from the following:
- CMG revenue and Adjusted EBITDA; and
- BHV revenue and Adjusted EBITDA generated beginning on October 1, 2024.
Recurring Revenue
Recurring revenue represents the revenue recognized during the period from contracts that are recurring in nature and includes revenue recognized as “Annuity/maintenance licenses” and “Annuity license fee”. We believe that Recurring revenue is an indicator of business expansion and provides management with visibility into our ability to generate predictable cash flows.
The table under “Revenue” heading reconciles Recurring revenue to total revenue for the periods indicated.
REVENUE
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Annuity/maintenance licenses | 19,436 | 19,661 | (1%) | 77,525 | 71,530 | 8% |
| Annuity license fee | 4,728 | 1,142 | 314% | 9,280 | 5,146 | 80% |
| Recurring revenue(1) (2) | 24,164 | 20,803 | 16% | 86,805 | 76,676 | 13% |
| Perpetual licenses | 554 | 2,130 | (74%) | 5,617 | 5,739 | (2%) |
| Total software license revenue | 24,718 | 22,933 | 8% | 92,422 | 82,415 | 12% |
| Professional services | 8,965 | 9,358 | (4%) | 37,024 | 26,264 | 41% |
| Total revenue | 33,683 | 32,291 | 4% | 129,446 | 108,679 | 19% |
(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure.
(2) Included in the number is a reduction of $0.5 million and $0.8 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, respectively ($0.1 million and $0.2 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2024, respectively), attributed to the amortization of a deferred revenue fair value reduction recognized on acquisition.
The components of Recurring revenue growth were as follows:
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | |
| Total recurring revenue % change | 16% | 32% | 13% | 28% |
| Growth from acquisitions | 23% | 19% | 12% | 14% |
| Foreign exchange impact | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| Organic growth (decline) | (11%) | 9% | -% | 11% |
Total revenue increased during the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same periods of the previous year, as the growth from acquisitions of 17% and 20%, respectively, was partially offset by the decreases of 13% and 1% in Organic revenue. Organic revenue in the current quarter decreased due to decreases in both total software license revenue and professional services revenue. Year-to-date Organic revenue was positively impacted by the growth in total software license revenue which was offset by the decrease in professional services revenue.
Recurring revenue increased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, as the growth from acquisitions of 23% was partially offset by a 7% decrease in Organic revenue (11% Organic decline, partially offset by 4% of foreign exchange). The decrease was mainly due to customer attrition and reduced licensing of reservoir and production solutions by existing customers. We began experiencing this impact in the previous quarter, driven by macroeconomic and political instability combined with a low oil price environment, leading our customers to delay projects and focus on cost reductions.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Recurring revenue increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 12% was growth from acquisitions and 1% was Organic growth, all of which was attributable to foreign exchange. Organic growth was mainly due to increased revenue from sales of seismic solution products.
Perpetual license revenue decreased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, due to fewer perpetual license sales made in the current quarter. Perpetual license sales are variable in nature and fluctuate on a quarterly basis. Perpetual license revenue during the year ended March 31, 2025, was comparable to the same period of the previous year with only a modest decrease. Acquisitions did not contribute to perpetual license revenue in any of the periods.
Professional services revenue decreased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, as the growth from the acquisition of 9% was offset by a 13% decrease in Organic revenue, mainly due to the expected reduction in the tailored software development funding of our seismic solutions. Professional services revenue increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, as the growth from acquisitions of 48% was partially offset by a 7% decline in Organic revenue, as explained under the quarterly commentary.
Software Revenue by Geographic Region
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Annuity/maintenance license | ||||||
| Canada | 3,038 | 3,310 | (8%) | 12,777 | 13,208 | (3%) |
| United States | 4,272 | 4,955 | (14%) | 17,514 | 18,454 | (5%) |
| South America | 2,445 | 2,401 | 2% | 9,753 | 9,185 | 6% |
| Eastern Hemisphere(1) | 9,681 | 8,995 | 8% | 37,481 | 30,683 | 22% |
| 19,436 | 19,661 | (1%) | 77,525 | 71,530 | 8% | |
| Annuity license fee | ||||||
| Canada | - | - | -% | - | - | -% |
| United States | 825 | 88 | 838% | 1,610 | 667 | 141% |
| South America | 775 | 874 | (11%) | 1,018 | 893 | 14% |
| Eastern Hemisphere(1) | 3,128 | 180 | 1638% | 6,652 | 3,586 | 85% |
| 4,728 | 1,142 | 314% | 9,280 | 5,146 | 80% | |
| Perpetual license | ||||||
| Canada | - | - | -% | 170 | 270 | (37%) |
| United States | 46 | 974 | (95%) | 1,383 | 1,207 | 15% |
| South America | - | - | -% | - | 324 | (100%) |
| Eastern Hemisphere(1) | 508 | 1,156 | (56%) | 4,064 | 3,938 | 3% |
| 554 | 2,130 | (74%) | 5,617 | 5,739 | (2%) | |
| Total software license revenue | ||||||
| Canada | 3,038 | 3,310 | (8%) | 12,947 | 13,478 | (4%) |
| United States | 5,143 | 6,017 | (15%) | 20,507 | 20,328 | 1% |
| South America | 3,220 | 3,275 | (2%) | 10,771 | 10,402 | 4% |
| Eastern Hemisphere(1) | 13,317 | 10,331 | 29% | 48,197 | 38,207 | 26% |
| 24,718 | 22,933 | 8% | 92,422 | 82,415 | 12% |
(1) Includes Europe, Africa, Asia and Australia.
Canada (representing 14% of year-to-date total software license revenue) experienced decreases in total software license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same periods in the previous year, due to lower annuity/maintenance license revenue of reservoir and production solutions.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
The United States (representing 22% of year-to-date total software license revenue) experienced a decrease in total software license revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period in the previous year, due to lower annuity/maintenance revenue as well as perpetual license sales. The decrease in annuity/maintenance license revenue was due to customer attrition and reduced licensing by existing customers of reservoir and production solutions, partially offset by the increase due to the Sharp acquisition. Total software license revenue increased slightly during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period in the previous year, as the decrease in software license revenue of our reservoir and production solutions was offset by the increase in revenue from the seismic solutions as well as revenue contribution from acquisitions.
South America (representing 12% of year-to-date total software license revenue) was flat during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year. Total software license revenue increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period in the previous year, mainly due to acquisitions.
Eastern Hemisphere (representing 52% of year-to-date total software license revenue) experienced increases in total software license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same periods in the previous year. The quarterly increase was driven by contribution from the Sharp acquisition, partially offset by a decline in perpetual license sales in the quarter. The year-to-date increase was supported by both increased licensing across all our solutions, and contributions by acquisitions.
Deferred Revenue
| ($ thousands) | Fiscal 2025 | Fiscal 2024 | $ change | % change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deferred revenue at: | ||||
| Q1 (June 30) | 30,890 | 26,616 | 4,274 | 16% |
| Q2 (September 30) | 32,274 | 32,339 | (65) | -% |
| Q3 (December 31) | 34,822 | 27,089 | 7,733 | 29% |
| Q4 (March 31) | 40,276 | 41,120 | (844) | (2%) |
The Company's deferred revenue consists primarily of amounts for prepaid licenses. Amounts are deferred for licenses that have been provided and revenue recognition reflects the passage of time.
The above table illustrates the normal trend in the deferred revenue balance from the beginning of the calendar year (which corresponds with Q4 of our fiscal year), when most renewals occur, to the end of the calendar year (which corresponds with Q3 of our fiscal year). Our fourth quarter corresponds with the beginning of the fiscal year for most oil and gas companies, representing a time when they enter a new budget year and sign/renew their contracts.
The deferred revenue balance at the end of Q4 of fiscal 2025 was 2% lower than in Q4 of fiscal 2024. The acquisition contributed to 14% of the increase, and was offset by 16% of the decrease in Organic revenue, as a result of lower revenue and some negative impact from the timing of when contracts were invoiced this quarter compared to the same quarter of last year.
COST OF REVENUE
Cost of revenue primarily consists of direct employee costs, external consultants, overhead costs associated with customer support, training, and consulting, and public cloud hosting applications. These costs are generally related to headcount and are driven by management's decision to add customer success and consulting capacity. In general, these costs fluctuate as a percentage of revenue as the Company adds headcount to support increased demand for our software and consulting services.
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Cost of revenue (1) (2) | 6,749 | 6,470 | 4% | 24,940 | 17,224 | 45% |
(1) Depreciation and amortization related to property and equipment and right of use assets is $0.7 million and $1.1 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, respectively and $0.1 million and $0.4 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2024.
(2) Stock based compensation is $0.01 million and $0.4 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, respectively, and $0.1 million and $0.6 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2024.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Cost of revenue increased slightly during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, as the increase due to the acquisition was partially offset by the decrease in the rest of the business as costs were scaled back in line with lower professional services revenue in the quarter. Cost of revenue increased for the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 47% of the increase is due to acquisitions offset by the 2% decrease for the same reason as noted in the quarterly explanation.
OPERATING EXPENSES
Sales and marketing
Sales and marketing expenses are comprised primarily of employee salaries, commissions, benefits and stock-based compensation, as well direct costs related to the delivery of marketing programs and events. Sales and marketing expenses also include travel-related expenses and corporate overhead allocations. We plan to continue to expand sales and marketing efforts to attract new customers, retain existing customers and increase revenues from both new and existing customers.
Research and development
Research and development expenses are comprised primarily of personnel expenses including employee salaries, benefits and stock-based compensation, product-related expenses including product management, product research and development, and other corporate overhead allocations off-set by certain tax benefits realized through the Canadian Scientific Research and Experimental Development Tax Credit program ("SR&ED"), Skattefunn, and NRC (Norwegian Research Council), collectively referred to as ("Government grants for research and development"). We continue to invest in our research and development program by adding new features and functionality to our products, maintaining our expansive artifact infrastructure, and delivering new products to market.
General and administrative
General and administrative expenses are comprised primarily of personnel expenses including employee salaries, benefits, and stock-based compensation expense for our administrative, finance, legal, information technology, and people and culture teams, allocated rent expenses, travel and travel related expenses, and general office and administrative expenses, and professional service expenses.
The below table provides a reconciliation of operating expenses to adjusted operating expenses:
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Sales and marketing (1)(2) | 5,094 | 4,361 | 17% | 18,617 | 14,957 | 24% |
| Research and development (1)(2) | 8,129 | 7,607 | 7% | 30,142 | 23,679 | 27% |
| General and administrative (1)(2) | 4,876 | 5,576 | (13%) | 21,599 | 18,835 | 15% |
| Operating expenses | 18,099 | 17,544 | 3% | 70,358 | 57,471 | 22% |
| Acquisition related expenses | (216) | (186) | 16% | (2,567) | (1,456) | 76% |
| Amortization of acquired intangibles | (1,375) | (664) | 107% | (3,709) | (1,501) | 147% |
| Stock-based compensation (expense) recovery | 452 | (813) | (156%) | (2,258) | (5,735) | (61%) |
| Adjusted operating expenses (3) | 16,960 | 15,881 | 7% | 61,824 | 48,779 | 27% |
| Direct employee costs (3) | 10,838 | 11,445 | (5%) | 43,724 | 38,213 | 14% |
| Other corporate cost (3) | 7,261 | 6,099 | 19% | 26,634 | 19,258 | 38% |
| 18,099 | 17,544 | 3% | 70,358 | 57,471 | 22% |
(1) Included in sales and marketing, research and development, and general and administrative expenses is depreciation related to property and equipment, right of use assets, and amortization of acquired intangible assets of $0.2 million, $1.3 million, $0.1 million, respectively for the three months ended March 31, 2025 (three months ended March 31, 2024, $0.1 million, $1.2 million, $0.7 million, respectively) and $0.5 million, $4.9 million, $2.0 million, respectively, for the year ended March 31, 2025 (year ended March 31, 2024 $0.5 million, $3.3 million, $1.4 million, respectively).
(2) Included in sales and marketing, research and development, and general and administrative expenses is stock based compensation expense of ($0.2) million, ($0.03) million, ($0.3) million, respectively, for the three months ended March 31, 2025 (three months ended March 31, 2024, $0.2 million, $0.3 million, $0.3 million respectively) and $0.6 million, $0.7 million, $1.0 million, respectively, for the year ended March 31, 2025 (year ended March 31, 2024 $1.9 million, $1.7 million, $2.1 million, respectively).
(3) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the "Non-IFRS Financial Measures" section.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Operating expenses increased slightly during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year. While the acquisition contributed to 24% of the increase, it was partially offset by a 21% decrease in expenses mainly due to lower stock-based compensation. Operating expenses increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, with 25% of the increase being contributed from acquisitions offset by a 3% decrease.
Adjusted total operating expenses increased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 21% was due to acquisitions, otherwise, operating expenses declined by 14% due to lower variable compensation. Adjusted total operating expenses increased for the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, of which 26% was due to acquisitions and the remaining 1% increase is due to increases in both direct employee and other corporate costs.
Sales and marketing expenses increased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which acquisitions contributed 23% of the increase. This increase was partially offset by 6% decrease primarily due to a decrease in stock-based compensation and a decrease in commissions. Sales and marketing expenses increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 20% was due to the acquisitions. The remaining 4% increase is due to an increase in employee-related costs as well as agent commissions to support sales efforts.
Research and development expenses increased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year of which acquisitions contributed to 21% of the increase. The offsetting 14% decrease is primarily due to a decrease in headcount and headcount related costs including stock-based compensation. Research and development expenses increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 27% was due to acquisitions with remaining costs remaining flat.
General and administrative expenses decreased during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which the acquisition contributed to a 30% increase. The offsetting 43% decrease is primarily due lower headcount and headcount related costs including stock-based compensation. General and administrative expenses increased during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, of which 26% was the contribution from acquisitions. The offsetting 11% decrease is due to the same reason that impacted the three months ended March 31, 2025.
Direct employee costs
As a technology company, the Company's largest investment is its people, and approximately 62% of total operating expenses relate to direct employee costs during the year ended March 31, 2025. At March 31, 2025, CMG Group's full-time equivalent staff complement was 296 employees and consultants (CMG - 177; BHV - 82; Sharp - 37); (March 31, 2024 - CMG - 193; BHV - 97).
The below table provides a reconciliation of direct employee costs to adjusted direct employee costs:
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Direct employee costs | 10,838 | 11,445 | (5%) | 43,724 | 38,213 | 14% |
| Stock based compensation | 452 | (813) | (156%) | (2,258) | (5,735) | (61%) |
| Adjusted direct employee costs (1) | 11,290 | 10,632 | 6% | 41,466 | 32,478 | 28% |
(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the "Non-IFRS Financial Measures" section. Adjusted direct employee costs exclude stock-based compensation expenses and restructuring charges.
For the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, adjusted direct employee costs increased by 6% and 28%, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, the acquisition contributed 20% of the increase, with the remaining 14% decrease primarily due to a decrease in variable compensation and commissions. For the year ended March 31, 2025, acquisitions contributed to 26% of the increase, with the remaining 2% increase due to increased headcount related costs, partially offset by a decrease in variable compensation and commissions.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Other Corporate costs
The below table provides a reconciliation of other corporate costs to adjusted other corporate costs:
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % change | 2025 | 2024 | % change |
| Other corporate costs | 7,261 | 6,099 | 19% | 26,634 | 19,258 | 38% |
| Acquisition-related costs | (216) | (186) | 16% | (2,567) | (1,456) | 76% |
| Amortization of acquired intangible assets | (1,375) | (664) | 107% | (3,709) | (1,501) | 147% |
| Adjusted other corporate costs(1) | 5,670 | 5,249 | 8% | 20,358 | 16,301 | 25% |
(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the "Non-IFRS Financial Measures" section. Adjusted other corporate costs exclude acquisition-related costs, amortization of acquired intangible assets and restructuring charges.
For the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, adjusted other corporate costs increased by 8% and 25%, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, the Sharp acquisition contributed 22%, while the remaining 14% decrease in other corporate costs is primarily attributable to a decrease in professional service costs. For the year ended March 31, 2025, the acquisitions contributed 25%, while the remaining costs remained flat year over year.
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
The Company is impacted by foreign exchange fluctuations, as 77% of our revenue for year ended March 31, 2025 (2024 – 79%) is denominated in US dollars, whereas only 52% (2024 – 46%) of our total costs are denominated in US dollars.
The following chart shows the exchange rates used to translate the Company's US dollar-denominated working capital at March 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 and the average exchange rate used to translate income statement expense items during the three and year ended March 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023:
| CDN$ to US$ | At March 31 | Yearly average |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.7383 | 0.7980 |
| 2024 | 0.7384 | 0.7407 |
| 2025 | 0.6967 | 0.7168 |
The Company recorded a foreign exchange loss of ($1.1 million) and foreign exchange gain of $0.4 million for the three months and year ended March 31, 2025, respectively, due to the weakening of the US dollar during the three months ended March 31, 2025 as compared to the three months ended December 31, 2024, which negatively affected the valuation of the US dollar - denominated portion of the Company's working capital, as compared to the strengthening during the year-ended March 31, 2025, which had a positive impact.
INCOME AND OTHER TAXES
Our consolidated effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2025 is 27.1% (2024 – 25.5%), whereas the Canadian statutory tax rate for each of 2025 and 2024 fiscal years is 23%. The difference between the effective rate and the statutory rate is primarily due to the non-tax deductibility of stock-based compensation expense and the benefit of certain foreign withholding taxes being realized only as a tax deduction as opposed to a tax credit.
The benefit recorded in CMG Group's books on the scientific research and experimental development ("SR&ED") investment tax credit program impacts deferred income taxes. The investment tax credit earned in the current fiscal year reduces income taxes otherwise payable for the current fiscal year but bears an inherent tax liability as the amount of the credit is included in the subsequent year's taxable income for both federal and provincial purposes. The inherent tax liability on these investment tax credits is reflected in the year the credit is earned as a non-current deferred tax liability and then, in the following fiscal year, is transferred to income taxes payable.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
SELECTED ANNUAL INFORMATION
| ($ thousands, unless otherwise stated) | March 31, 2025 | March 31, 2024 | March 31, 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annuity/maintenance licenses | 77,525 | 71,530 | 59,690 |
| Annuity license fee | 9,280 | 5,146 | - |
| Recurring revenue(1) | 86,805 | 76,676 | 59,690 |
| Perpetual licenses | 5,617 | 5,739 | 3,240 |
| Total software license revenue | 92,422 | 82,415 | 62,930 |
| Professional service revenue | 37,024 | 26,264 | 10,916 |
| Total revenue | 129,446 | 108,679 | 73,846 |
| Total assets | 204,756 | 172,373 | 137,128 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 50,814 | 40,394 | 38,136 |
| Per share amounts – ($/share) | |||
| Earnings per share – basic | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| Earnings per share – diluted | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Cash dividends declared and paid | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the "Non-IFRS Financial Measures" section.
QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE
The following table summarizes selected results for the eight most recently completed quarters:
| ($ thousands, unless otherwise stated) | Fiscal 2024(2) | Fiscal 2025(3) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
| Annuity/maintenance license | 15,607 | 17,610 | 18,814 | 19,661 | 19,335 | 18,302 | 20,452 | 19,436 |
| Annuity license fee | - | - | 3,846 | 1,142 | 178 | 71 | 4,303 | 4,728 |
| Recurring revenue(1) | 15,607 | 17,610 | 22,660 | 20,803 | 19,513 | 18,373 | 24,755 | 24,164 |
| Perpetual license | 1,849 | 1,176 | 584 | 2,130 | 2,110 | 2,149 | 804 | 554 |
| Total software license revenue | 17,456 | 18,786 | 23,244 | 22,933 | 21,623 | 20,522 | 25,559 | 24,718 |
| Professional services revenue | 3,292 | 3,847 | 9,763 | 9,358 | 8,900 | 8,945 | 10,214 | 8,965 |
| Total revenue | 20,748 | 22,633 | 33,007 | 32,291 | 30,523 | 29,467 | 35,773 | 33,683 |
| Operating profit | 9,764 | 7,726 | 8,217 | 8,277 | 5,666 | 8,430 | 11,217 | 8,835 |
| Operating profit Margin (%) | 47% | 34% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 29% | 31% | 26% |
| Net income for the period | 6,904 | 6,516 | 5,610 | 7,229 | 3,964 | 3,763 | 9,606 | 5,104 |
| Adjusted EBITDA(1) | 9,948 | 10,718 | 12,384 | 10,295 | 9,527 | 10,020 | 13,962 | 10,500 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin (1)% | 48% | 47% | 38% | 32% | 31% | 34% | 39% | 31% |
| Free Cash Flow(1) | 7,463 | 11,028 | 7,290 | 9,469 | 5,679 | 6,096 | 8,816 | 7,017 |
| Per share amounts – ($/share) | ||||||||
| Earnings per share (EPS) – basic | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| Earnings per share (EPS) – diluted | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| Cash dividends declared and paid | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Free Cash Flow per share – basic(1) | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Funds flow from operations per share - basic | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the "Non-IFRS Financial Measures" section.
(2) Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 of fiscal 2024 include $0.1 million, $0.4 million, $0.2 million, $0.7 million, respectively, of annuity/maintenance revenue that pertains to usage of CMG Group's products in prior quarters.
(3) Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 of fiscal 2025 include $1.2 million, $0.5 million, $0.3 million, $0.03 million, respectively, of annuity/maintenance revenue that pertains to usage of CMG Group's products in prior quarters.
The above table illustrates the normal trend in annuity/maintenance license revenue from the beginning of the calendar year (which corresponds with Q4 of our fiscal year), when most renewals occur, to the end of the calendar year (which corresponds with Q3 of our fiscal year). Our fourth quarter corresponds with the beginning of the fiscal year for most oil and gas companies, representing a time when they enter a new budget year and sign/renew their contracts. We anticipate that contract renewals for annuity license fees will occur during the third and fourth quarters when the majority of renewals take place. This seasonality has a similar impact on both operating profit and net income.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
The growth and future success of our business depends on many factors and variables. While each of these items present significant opportunities for our business, they also present challenges which are discussed in the "Business Risks" section of our MD&A.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
| Three months ended March 31, | Year ended March 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | $ change | % change | 2025 | 2024 | $ change | % change |
| Cash, beginning of period | 39,731 | 45,183 | (5,452) | (12%) | 63,083 | 66,850 | (3,767) | (6%) |
| Cash provided by (used in): | ||||||||
| Operating activities | 15,883 | 21,409 | (5,526) | (26%) | 29,917 | 36,077 | (6,160) | (17%) |
| Financing activities | (4,238) | (4,037) | (201) | 5% | (13,670) | (16,381) | 2,711 | (17%) |
| Investing activities | (7,999) | 501 | (8,500) | (1,697%) | (37,961) | (23,464) | (14,497) | 62% |
| Effect of foreign exchange on cash | 507 | 27 | 480 | 1,778% | 2,515 | 1 | 2,514 | 2,51400% |
| Cash, end of period | 43,884 | 63,083 | (19,199) | (30%) | 43,884 | 63,083 | (19,199) | (30%) |
At March 31, 2025, the Company had $43.9 million in cash, no borrowings and access to approximately $2.5 million under a line of credit with its principal banker, of which $0.4 million is available for use. The Company's primary non-operating use of cash was for the acquisition of Sharp and dividend payments. Management believes that the Company has sufficient capital resources to meet its operating and capital expenditure needs.
During the year ended March 31, 2025, 43.2 million shares of the Company's public float were traded on the TSX. As at March 31, 2025 the Company's market capitalization based upon its March 31, 2025 closing price of $8.06 was $665.3 million.
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Cash provided by operating activities decreased by $5.5 million during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year due to the decrease in funds flow from operations of $2.1 million, mainly due to lower revenue in the quarter, and the change in non-cash working capital of $3.4 million, mainly due to changes in accounts receivable and deferred revenue balances.
Cash provided by operating activities decreased by $6.2 million during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year. Funds flow from operations decreased by $6.5 million from the previous fiscal year, offset by $0.3 million of changes in non-cash working capital.
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Cash used in financing activities increased by $0.2 million during the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year. The increase is primarily due to an increase in the repayment of lease liabilities, partially offset by an increase in proceeds received from the issuance of common shares.
Cash used in financing activities decreased by $2.7 million during the year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period in the previous fiscal year. The decrease in cash used is primarily attributable to an increase in the proceeds from the issuance of common shares related to option exercises, and last year's repayment of the acquired line of credit from BHV. In the years ended March 31, 2024, and 2025, CMG Group paid dividends of $16.2 million and $16.4 million respectively, representing a quarterly dividend of $0.05 per share on the Company's common shares.
On May 22, 2025, CMG Group announced the payment of a quarterly dividend of $0.05 per share on the Company's common shares. The dividend will be paid on June 14, 2024, to shareholders of record at the close of business on June 6, 2024. Decisions with respect to dividend payments are made by the Board of Directors on a quarterly basis and take into account market conditions and the financial performance of the Company.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Cash used in investing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2025 was primarily impacted by repayment of acquisition holdback payable for both Sharp and Bluware and increased capital asset additions (net of disposals).
The Company's investing activities in the current year consist of the acquisition of Sharp (net of cash acquired) for $27.3 million, the repayment of acquisition holdbacks payable for both Sharp and Bluware, and increased capital asset additions (net of disposals) of $1.4 million, all of which are funded internally. Our capital budget for fiscal 2025 was $1.7 million which was intended to expand our existing compute infrastructure and improve R&D infrastructure to support development initiatives.
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND OTHER INSTRUMENTS
The Company's financial instruments consist of financial assets which include cash, restricted cash, trade and other receivables, which are classified as and measured at amortized cost, which approximates their fair values, as well as financial liabilities and include trade payables and accrued liabilities (excluding stock-based compensation payable), acquisition holdback payable, and other long-term liabilities which are classified as other financial liabilities and, using level 2 inputs, are measured at amortized cost, which approximates their fair values.
The acquisition earnout liability is contingent consideration that was valued using level 3 inputs and recorded at its fair value at March 31, 2024 ($1.5 million). As the initial earn-out period has ended, the acquisition earnout liability has been valued using level 2 inputs at March 31, 2025. Adjustments to the estimated fair value will be recorded in the statement of operations and comprehensive income.
On May 5, 2020, Sharp Reflections GmbH received a loan from the German Government as part of the KfW Special Programme 2020, which was introduced to support businesses affected by the economic disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. On September 24, 2021, Sharp Reflections received an amendment on the loan from the German Government. As at the date of acquisition of Sharp, the loan had an outstanding balance of €1.2 million ($1.7 million), will be repaid in quarterly installments of €0.05 million ($0.07 million), ending June 30, 2030, and accrues interest at a rate of 1%.
The Government loan was measured at fair value at the acquisition date using valuation techniques including discounted cash flows, taking into account market information, market rates of interest, and current conditions in credit markets. At acquisition, the estimated fair value of the Government loan was €1.0 million ($1.5 million) compared to the carrying value of €1.2 million ($1.7 million). The Government loan subsequent to the acquisition date is measured at amortized cost using the effective interest rate method. The carrying value of the loan at March 31, 2024 was €1.1 million ($1.6 million).
The different levels in the fair value hierarchy have been defined as follows:
- Level 1: Quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities;
- Level 2: Inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly; and
- Level 3: Inputs for the asset or liability that are not based on observable market data.
At March 31, 2024, the fair value of contingent consideration was measured using a discounted cash flow analysis of expected cash flows in future periods. A 1% change in the discount rate would increase the Company's determination of fair value by approximately $0.2 million as at March 31, 2024.
There were no transfers between the levels in the fair value hierarchy, other than the acquisition earnout liability, during the year ended March 31, 2025 and 2024.
Overview:
The Company is exposed to risks of varying degrees of significance and likelihood, which could affect its ability to achieve its strategic objectives for growth. The main objectives of the Company's risk management process are to ensure that risks are properly identified and that the capital base is adequate in relation to those risks. The principal financial risks to which the Company is exposed are described below:
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
(a) Credit Risk
Credit risk is the risk of an unexpected loss if a customer or third party to a financial instrument fails to meet its contractual obligation and arises principally from the Company's trade and other receivables. The amounts reported in the statements of financial position for trade receivables are net of expected credit losses, estimated by the Company's management based on prior experience and their assessment of the current economic environment.
The Company's trade receivables consist primarily of balances from customers operating in the oil and gas industry, both domestically and internationally, as the Company sells its products and services in approximately 60 countries worldwide. Some of these countries have greater economic and political risk than experienced in North America, and as a result there may be greater risk associated with sales in those jurisdictions. The Company manages this risk by invoicing for the full license term in advance for the majority of software license sales and by invoicing as frequently as the contract allows for consulting and contract research services. In cases where collectability is not deemed probable, revenue is recognized upon receipt of cash, providing all other criteria have been met. Historically, the Company has not experienced any significant losses related to individual customers or groups of customers in any particular geographic area. At March 31, 2025, the Company assessed credit risk related to its accounts receivable and established an allowance for doubtful accounts of $0.1 million (2024 – $0.5 million). In fiscal 2025, most of the allowance for doubtful accounts related to receivables from customers located in geopolitically unstable countries.
As at March 31, 2025, the Company has a concentration of credit risk with 5 customers which have an outstanding balance of 5% or more of total trade and accrued receivables. These 5 customers represent 51% of total trade and accrued receivables (2024 – 4 customers; 51%).
The carrying amount of trade and other receivables represents the maximum credit exposure. The maximum exposure to credit risk at March 31, 2025 was $41.5 million (2024 – $36.5 million). The aging of trade and other receivables at the reporting date was:
| (thousands of $) | March 31, 2025 | March 31, 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 29,007 | 14,942 |
| 31-60 days | 6,792 | 13,730 |
| 61-90 days | 490 | 5,615 |
| Over 90 days | 5,168 | 2,263 |
| Balance, end of year | 41,457 | 36,550 |
The Company assesses the creditworthiness of its customers on an ongoing basis and regularly monitors the amount and age of balances outstanding. Payment terms with the majority of customers are 30-90 days from invoice date; however, industry practice can extend these terms. Accordingly, the Company views the credit risk on these amounts as normal for the industry.
The Company minimizes the credit risk of cash by depositing only with a reputable financial institution in highly liquid interest-bearing cash accounts.
(b) Market Risk
i. Foreign Exchange Risk
The Company operates internationally and primarily prices its products in either the Canadian or US dollar. This gives rise to exposure to market risks from changes in the foreign exchange rates between the Canadian and US dollar. Approximately 77% (2024 – 79%) of the Company's revenues for the year ended March 31, 2025 were denominated in US dollars, and at March 31, 2025, approximately US $50.4 million (2024 – US $53.3 million) of the Company's working capital was denominated in US dollars. The Company currently does not use derivative instruments to hedge its exposure to those risks, but since approximately 52% (2024 – 46%) of the Company's total costs are also denominated in US dollars, they provide a partial economic hedge against the fluctuation in this currency exchange.
The Company's operations are exposed to currency risk on US-dollar denominated financial assets and liabilities with fluctuations in the rate recognized as foreign exchange gains or losses in the consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive income. It is estimated that a one cent change in the US dollar would result in a net change of approximately $0.4 million to equity and net income for the year ended March 31, 2025. A weaker US dollar with respect to the Canadian dollar will result in a negative impact, while the reverse would result from a stronger US dollar.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
ii. Interest Rate Risk
The Company has significant cash balances and $1.6 million of interest-bearing debt from an acquired government loan. The Company's policy is to invest excess cash in interest-bearing deposits and/or guaranteed investment certificates issued by a reputable financial institution. The Company is exposed to interest cash flow risk from changes in interest rates on its cash balances. Based on the March 31, 2025 cash balance, each 1% change in the interest rate on the Company's cash balance would change equity and net income for the year ended March 31, 2025 by approximately $0.3 million.
(c) Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk is the risk that the Company is not able to meet its financial obligations as they fall due or can do so only at excessive cost. The Company manages liquidity risk through the management of its capital structure as outlined in note 19 of the audited consolidated financial statements. The Company's growth is financed through a combination of the cash flows from operations and its cash balances on hand. Given the Company's available liquid resources as compared to the timing of the payments of its liabilities, management assesses the Company's liquidity risk to be low. The Company monitors its expenditures by preparing annual budgets that are periodically updated. The company's trade payables are due within one year. At March 31, 2025, the Company has significant cash balances in excess of its obligations and approximately $0.4 million of the line of credit available for its use.
COMMITMENTS, OFF BALANCE SHEET ITEMS AND TRANSACTIONS WITH RELATED PARTIES
CMG, in partnership with Shell Global Solutions International B.V. ("Shell") at present, and also in partnership with Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. historically, is the developer of CoFlow, the newest generation of reservoir and production system simulation software.
On January 1, 2017, Shell and CMG entered into an agreement (the "CoFlow Agreement") for an initial five-year term, whereby CMG would be responsible for the research and development costs of CoFlow and Shell would be responsible for providing a contribution for the continuing development of the software.
On December 21, 2020, the CoFlow Agreement was amended when Shell exercised its right to request a five-year term extension, commencing January 1, 2022. All other terms and conditions in the CoFlow Agreement, including any related amendments, remain unchanged and in full force and effect during the extended term. In September 2021, CMG and Shell agreed that CMG would add and/or allocate up to six additional full-time employees in order to accelerate CoFlow development and support targeted CoFlow deployments, and Shell's contribution would increase accordingly.
During the year ended March 31, 2025, Shell exercised its right to terminate the CoFlow Agreement one year prior to the original five-year anniversary.
CMG Group has only minor ongoing material contractual obligations other than prepaid licenses, which are reflected as deferred revenue on the statement of financial position, and contractual obligations for office leases, which are estimated to be as follows as at March 31, 2025:
| (thousands of $) | Undiscounted lease liability payments | Operating costs and short-term leases | Total commitments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than one year | 4,102 | 1,484 | 5,586 |
| Between one and five years | 16,488 | 5,197 | 21,685 |
| More than five years | 28,785 | 7,983 | 36,768 |
| 49,375 | 14,664 | 64,039 |
As at March 31, 2025, the Company has an off-balance sheet line of credit with its principal banker. For more information on this line of credit, refer to note 22 of the 2025 audited consolidated financial statements.
The Company enters into transactions with related parties in the normal course of business with its wholly owned subsidiaries which are eliminated upon consolidation. For more information on these transactions and Key Management Personnel Compensation, refer to note 24 of the 2025 audited consolidated financial statements.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA
The following table represents the number of common shares, stock options, restricted share units and performance share units outstanding:
As at May 22, 2025
(thousands)
| Common shares | 82,540 |
|---|---|
| Stock options | 3,553 |
| Restricted share units(1) | 146 |
| Performance share units(1) | 109 |
(1) Upon vesting, restricted share units and performance share units can be exchanged for common shares of the Company or surrendered for cash.
The maximum number of common shares that may be reserved for issuance under the Company's security-based compensation plans is limited to 10% of the issued and outstanding common shares. Based on this calculation, at May 22, 2025, CMG Group could reserve up to 8,254,002 common shares for issuance under its security-based compensation plans.
BUSINESS RISKS
CMG Group's activities expose it to a variety of business risks, such as:
Commodity Price Risk
The Company's customers are primarily oil and gas companies, and the Company depends on its customers' capital and operating spending budgets. Commodity price volatility and changing economic conditions could adversely affect the Company's customers' budgets, which could negatively affect demand for the Company's products and the Company's financial results. Additionally, sales of perpetual licenses, which require a relatively higher initial outlay, may decrease in favour of leasing software on a term basis. Volatility in commodity prices could also have an impact on the Company's professional services business
Demand for Seismic Data
The Company's ability, to generate revenue, EBITDA, free cash flow and earnings from seismic software licencing depends on the demand for seismic data from its oil and gas, and energy customers over geological plays and areas that such customers focus on in a given period. Activity in such plays and areas depends on commodity prices, clients' budgets, geological understanding, advances in drilling technology, government fiscal and regulatory regimes, and access to processing and pipeline capacity, all of which are beyond the Company's control. The Company will continue to diversify its operations and revenue streams, to reduce any potentially negative impact on any particular revenue stream.
Credit and Liquidity Risks
The Company's product demand is dependent on its clients' overall spending plans, which are driven by commodity prices and the availability of capital. The Company's accounts receivable balances are with clients involved with the oil and gas industry. During times of depressed oil and gas markets, our clients may experience financial constraints. While we monitor our exposure to credit risk, lack of payment from multiple clients may have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial condition. Furthermore, inflationary pressures, to the extent applicable, increase debt servicing costs for our customers and potential customers putting a further strain on cash flows, capital spending budgets and business expansion activities. The Company mitigates the collection risk by closely monitoring its accounts receivable and assessing creditworthiness of our clients. We have not had any material losses to date. In terms of liquidity, the Company held $43.9 million of cash at March 31, 2025, which more than covers its obligations, and it has approximately $0.4 million of the credit facility available for its use. Our cash is held with reputable banking institutions. For the described reasons, we believe that our liquidity risk is low.
Sales Variability Risk
While the Company's software license revenue consists primarily of annuity/maintenance software licensing and annuity license fees, which are generally for terms of one year or less, a smaller portion of the Company's software license revenue consists of perpetual software licensing. Perpetual software licensing means that the client purchases a current version of certain software and obtains the right to use that version in perpetuity. Software licensing under perpetual sales comprised 6% to 7% of the Company's total software licensing revenue over the last two fiscal years but is more variable in nature as the purchase decision and timing fluctuate with customers' needs and budgets.
Management Discussion & Analysis
23
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
The Company has found that a number of customers prefer to acquire perpetual software licenses rather than leasing the software on an annual basis. The Company's experience is that a number of these customers are purchasing additional licenses to allow more users to access the Company's technology in their operations. The Company has found that a large percentage of its clients who have acquired perpetual software licenses are subsequently purchasing maintenance licenses to ensure they have access to current technology.
The variability in sales of perpetual licenses may cause significant fluctuations in the Company's quarterly and annual financial results, and these results may not meet the expectations of investors. Accordingly, the Company's past results may not be a good indication of its future performance.
Our customers are both domestic and international oil and gas companies, and for the year ended March 31, 2025, one customer comprised 22% of the Company's total revenue (year ended March 31, 2024 – one customer 20%). As we grow our revenue and expand our market segments, we will continue to diversify its customer base and reduce our reliance on one customer.
Customer Risk
The Company has a large customer base, however one single customer accounted for 22% of the consolidated revenues of the Company this fiscal year. Notwithstanding, the loss of one or more major customers, further consolidation in the industry, or a reduction in the amount of business the Company conducts with any of its major customers, could have a significant impact on the Company's revenue if not offset by obtaining new customers or increasing the amount of business it conducts with existing customers.
To increase its revenue and achieve and maintain profitability, the Company must regularly add new customers or sell additional technologies and services to its existing customers. Numerous factors, however, may impede its ability to add new customers and sell additional technologies and services to its existing customers, including its inability to convert companies that have been referred to the Company by its existing network into paying customers, failure to attract and effectively train new sales and marketing personnel, failure to retain and motivate its current sales and marketing personnel, failure to develop relationships with partners or resellers and/or failure to ensure the effectiveness of its marketing programs. In addition, if prospective customers do not perceive its technologies and services to be of sufficiently high value and quality, it will not be able to attract the number and types of new customers that it is seeking.
As we grow our revenue and expand our market segments, we will continue to diversify its customer base and reduce our reliance on one customer.
Foreign Exchange Risk
The Company's reported results are affected by the exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the US dollar as approximately 77% (2024 – 79%) of its revenues in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025 are denominated in US dollars. Approximately 52% (2024 – 46%) of the Company's costs in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025 are denominated in US dollars and provide a partial economic hedge on revenues, against the fluctuation in currency exchange between the US and the Canadian dollar.
Geopolitical Risk
The Company sells its products and services in approximately 60 countries and maintains offices in Canada, the US, the United Kingdom, Norway, the United Arab Emirates, Colombia, India, Brazil, Germany and Malaysia. Some of these countries have greater economic, political and social risks than North America. Some of those risks include:
- costs associated with the use of foreign agents and contractors;
- difficulties in collecting accounts receivable;
- currency restrictions and exchange rate fluctuations;
- the burdens of complying with a wide variety of foreign laws;
- changes in laws governing existing operations and contracts;
- changes to taxation policies dramatically increasing tax costs to the Company;
- possible social, labour, political, and economic instability, including the war in Ukraine;
- economic and legal sanctions (including with respect to the economic sanctions on Russia as a result of the war in Ukraine); and
- non-compliance with applicable anti-corruption and bribery laws.
There is material uncertainty about the extent to which the above risks will continue to impact economic and financial affairs, as the numerous issues arising from the conflict are in flux and there is the potential for escalation of the conflict both within Europe, the Middle East and globally. Any disruption in our ability to complete a sales cycle, including disruption of travel to clients'
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
locations to provide training and support, and the cost of reorganizing daily activities of foreign operations, could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operational results. We mitigate the potential adverse effect on sales by invoicing for the full license term in advance for the majority of software license sales and by invoicing as frequently as the contract allows for consulting and contract research services. In addition, we consults with tax advisors on complex tax issues and engages professional tax firms to review its tax filings in foreign jurisdictions. The Company closely monitors the business and regulatory environments of the countries in which it conducts operations to minimize the potential impact on costs and operations.
Non-compliance with applicable anti-corruption and bribery laws could subject the Company to onerous penalties and the costs of prosecution. We have established business practices and internal controls to minimize the potential occurrence of any irregular payments. In addition, the Company has established well-defined anti-corruption and bribery policies and procedures that each employee and contractor is required to sign indicating their compliance.
Tariff Risk
New tariffs and evolving trade policy between the United States and other countries, including Canada, may have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations. There is currently significant uncertainty with respect to trade policies, treaties, government regulations and tariffs. Any imposition of tariffs, counter tariffs or surtaxes between nations could negatively impact the Company's operations and financial health, raise operational costs, and diminish our ability to offer competitive pricing. These factors could also lead to reduced client spending and lower market demand. As of the date of this document, the extent and duration of such tariffs is unclear and the potential impact of these tariffs on the Company's operations remains uncertain.
Competition Risk
Competition is a risk for the Company as it is for almost every company in every sector. The reservoir software space currently consists of three major suppliers (including the Company) and a number of small suppliers. Some of the other suppliers offer products or oil field services outside the scope of reservoir simulation. Some potential customers may prefer to deal with such multi-service suppliers, while others prefer an independent supplier, such as the Company.
Increased consolidation in the oil and gas industry can result in a concentration of market share and reduced licensing of our products. If the Company's clients acquire or merge with entities which are not using the Company's products but begin to, such consolidation may have a positive impact on the Company. However, in most cases, consolidation leads to reduced engineering teams and spending to drive post-acquisition synergies, which leads to reduced licensing of the Company's products and reduced software licensing revenue.
Although competition is very active, the Company believes that its proven technology and the comprehensive scope of its products, combined with its international presence and recognition as a major independent supplier, provide distinct competitive advantages.
Sustaining competitive advantage is another issue, which the Company addresses by making a significant ongoing commitment to research and development spending.
The introduction by competitors of products embodying new technology and the emergence of new industry standards and practices could render the Company's products obsolete and unmarketable and could exert price pressures on existing products, which could have negative effects on the Company's business, operating results and financial condition.
Any new product or service the Company develops could require long development and testing and may not be introduced in a timely manner or may not achieve the broad market acceptance necessary to generate significant revenue. The Company also continues to face the challenge of the increasingly complex integration of its products to address customers' requirements. If the Company is unable to successfully develop new products, or enhance and improve existing products, or if it fails to position and/or price its products to respond on a timely basis to the changing needs of its client base, then its business, operating and financial results will be adversely affected.
The competition in the reservoir simulation market has been increasing as existing and new competitors enhance and expand their products and service offerings. While switching costs for customers remain high, some competitors could facilitate switching or offer incentives for switching, which would have a negative impact on the Company's revenue. Some competitors have greater name recognition and significantly greater financial, technical, sales, marketing and other resources. Competitors may offer lower prices, additional products or services, or other incentives that the Company cannot match or offer. Increased competition could result in pricing pressure, reduced sales, loss of market share, lower margins or other adverse effects on the business.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
The Company's continuing ability to address these risks will depend, to a large extent, on its ability to retain a technically competent research and development staff and to adapt to technological advances in the industry. There is a significant barrier for new entrants into the reservoir simulation and seismic interpretation software industry. The cost of entry is substantial as a significant investment in research and development is required. In addition, to become a major supplier, a significant time investment is required to build up quality relationships with potential customers.
Our financial position allows us to grow in other product categories to provide a deeper offering to our customer base.
We seek to develop and offer high-value solutions that can be implemented with relative ease. We believe our products have advantages over many of our competitors including, but not limited to, leadership in modelling of difficult processes; exceptional customer training and support, and quality and performance such as speed, flexibility, functionality and ease of use leadership in modelling of difficult processes, exceptional customer support and training, and functionality and ease of use.
Qualified Personnel Risk
The Company's continued success is substantially dependent on the performance of its key employees and officers. The loss of the services of qualified personnel as well as failure to attract additional key personnel could have a negative impact upon the Company's business, operating results and financial condition. As a result of more flexible working arrangements, employees have more options when looking for employment, because they can work remotely for employers located in other provinces or countries. Consequently, employers find themselves competing for talent not only locally, but with other employers from around the world. Due to high levels of competition for qualified personnel, there can be no assurance that the Company will be successful in retaining and attracting such personnel. The Company attempts to overcome this by offering an attractive compensation package and providing an environment that provides the intellectual and professional stimulation sought by our employee group.
Intellectual Property Risk
The Company regards its software as proprietary and attempts to protect it with copyrights, trademarks and trade secret measures, including restrictions on disclosure and technical measures. Despite these precautions, it may be possible for third parties to copy the Company's programs or aspects of its trade secrets. The Company's existing patents, patent applications and legal and technical precautions provide only limited practical protection. The Company could incur substantial costs in protecting and enforcing its intellectual property rights. Moreover, from time to time, third parties may assert patent, trademark, copyright and other intellectual property rights to technologies that are important to the Company. In such an event, the Company may be required to incur significant costs in litigating a resolution to the asserted claim. There can be no assurance that such a resolution would not require that the Company pay damages or obtain a license of a third party's proprietary rights in order to continue licensing its products as currently offered, or, if such a license is required, that it will be available on terms acceptable to the Company.
We are not aware of any infringement of any third party's patent rights, copyrights, trade secrecy rights or other intellectual property disputes in the development or support of its products.
Cyber Risk
The Company is dependent on information technology ("IT") infrastructure to process, transmit and store electronic information, to advertise, inform and train around the Company's products and services, to manage business operations and for the functioning and/or delivery of the Company's products and services. The Company's IT infrastructure is composed of hardware, software, networks, data centre facilities, web servers, and all related equipment.
Natural disasters, energy blackouts, operating malfunction, viruses or malware, cyber security attacks, theft, computer or telecommunication errors, human error, internal or external misconduct or other unknown disruptive events could result in the temporary or permanent loss of any or all parts of the Company's IT infrastructure. Any such incident or breach could create system disruptions and slowdowns or could result in the loss of potential sales and existing clients. In such an event, the information stored in the Company's IT infrastructure could be accessed, publicly disclosed, lost, or stolen, which could subject the Company to liability and cause the Company to incur significant costs associated with remediation efforts and recovery activities. As the Company's operational success places significant reliance on intellectual property and proprietary business data, such occurrences could cause negative publicity, loss of sales, and litigation, affect the Company's business and financial results, and harm the Company's reputation.
To date, the Company has not experienced any material losses relating to cyber attacks or other information security breaches.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
The Company's cyber risk oversight is conducted by the audit committee of the Board (the "Audit Committee").
Evolving Laws and Regulation
The Company's website and operations collect some user information, including personal information. The website is not used for e-commerce transactions, and we neither receives nor retains financial information from its website users. Our products are not known to have any security vulnerabilities and are engineering decision-making tools and are not employed in a cyber security (mitigation or defensive) role, as part of its clients' IT infrastructure. The Company's software releases are scanned for software viruses and malware, confirming a lack thereof, prior to delivery to clients.
Companies that use, transmit or store data are increasingly becoming subject to legislation and regulations in numerous jurisdictions. Privacy and data protection laws are constantly evolving and there is a risk that these laws may be interpreted and applied in conflicting ways from country to country. Because the Company's products and services are sold worldwide, certain jurisdictions may claim that it is required to comply with such laws and may cause us to incur additional costs. The Company could also be affected if legislation or regulations are expanded to require changes in its products, services or business practices.
General State of the Economy Risk
Our business is affected by general economic conditions, including international, national, regional and local economic conditions, all of which are outside of our control. Recent events in the financial markets have demonstrated that businesses and industries throughout the world are closely connected to each other. As a result, financial developments seemingly unrelated to us or to our industry may materially adversely affect us over the course of time. Economic slowdowns or downturns, weak economic conditions or recessions, cyclical trends, increases in interest rates, variations in currency exchange rates, reduced client spending, employment levels, lower than expected job growth, labor shortage, the general health of the economy and other factors could have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. Although our operations are functionally and geographically diversified, significant erosion in levels of activity in any segment in which we operate could have a negative impact on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Refer to discussion above under Commodity Price Risk, Credit and Liquidity Risks, and Inflation Risk for the mitigation of these risks which addresses the overall economic risk.
Tax Liability Risk
The Company is subject to taxes in several jurisdictions around the world. Significant judgment is required in determining the Company's worldwide liability for income, indirect and other taxes, as well as potential penalties and interest. Although management believes that all expenses and tax credits claimed by the Company, including research and development expenses and foreign tax credits, are reasonable, deductible and have been correctly determined, tax authorities may disagree with the treatment of items reported by the Company, the result of which could have a material adverse effect on its financial condition and results of operations.
The Company conducts operations worldwide through subsidiaries in various tax jurisdictions pursuant to transfer pricing arrangements with its subsidiaries. If two or more affiliated companies are located in different countries, the tax laws or regulations of each country generally will require that transfer prices be the same as those between unrelated companies dealing at arm's length. While the Company believes that it operates in compliance with applicable transfer pricing laws and intends to continue to do so, a tax authority in one or more jurisdictions could challenge the validity of the Company's related-party transfer pricing methodologies, which could result in adjustments in favor of the taxing authority.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Risks
There is an increased expectation by various stakeholders to address social, sustainability and environmental challenges, including but not limited to: (i) addressing climate change, (ii) upholding fundamental human rights and promoting a fair and inclusive work environment; and (iii) demonstrating exemplary governance in managing ESG risk. As a result, new ESG standards, regulations and trends have been rapidly evolving over the past few years. An inability to manage this risk can result in higher costs of capital, regulatory compliance and disclosures.
We are making efforts toward reducing our carbon footprint, promoting social initiatives and implementing strong governance policies. If our initiatives do not meet the expectations of various stakeholders or satisfy regularly evolving regulations, standards and trends, there could be a material adverse impact on our operations. This could be in the form of lost revenues, loss of market share, negative publicity, damage to our reputation, regulatory penalties and/or fines, decreased attractiveness to investors and key personnel, as well as significant operating costs, each of which could have a material adverse effect on the Company's
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
business, financial condition and results of operations.
Further, reducing climate change and the environmental impacts of industry have become the subject of increased focus by stakeholders and governments. Environmental concerns may result in environmental taxes, charges, regulatory schemes, assessments or penalties that affect our clients, particularly those in sectors which are otherwise sensitive to climate change legislation and regulation. Our clients could suffer increased costs and decreased demand for their products and services, which could lead them to reduce costs and the use of our services.
We continue to monitor ESG standards and implementation of ESG disclosure as required by the IASB.
To the extent required, we involves external experts in the discussion and evaluation of these risks to ensure the Company understands the nature and implications of any potential disclosure and planning initiatives undertaken to comply with disclosure standards.
Climate Change Risk
The recent shift toward public and government support of climate change initiatives, such as emission reduction targets, clean energy standards, and alternative energy incentives and mandates, could impact the demand for hydrocarbons in Canada and around the world. Our clients are predominantly oil and gas exploration and production companies; therefore, increasing environmental regulations, taxes, laws or penalties could reduce oil and gas producers' cash flow by way of reduced demand, increased capital expenditures and increased operating expenses, as well as increased delays, costs or legal hurdles, which may not be recoverable in the marketplace. Such regulation changes include, but are not limited to, curtailment rules, new climate change regulations and the implementation of the Canadian Energy Regulator Act. The complexity and breadth of changes in environmental regulation make it extremely difficult to predict the potential impact to the Company; however, it is possible to conclude that these developments and future developments in the energy sector could adversely impact the demand for the Company's products.
Extreme Climatic Conditions
Climate change may increase the frequency of severe weather conditions and natural disasters, such as flooding and forest fires, shifts in temperature and precipitation, and changing sea levels. The Company's major customers are oil and gas exploration and production companies, and the operations of these customers can be affected by extreme weather, which can threaten their assets and available cash. This may result in cessation or diminishment of production or implementation of new projects, which can affect the demand for the Company's products and adversely affect the Company's financial results. Our client base is well diversified geographically with customers in more than 60 countries.
Energy Transition
In addition to emissions regulations and the physical risks of climate change, climate-related energy transition risks could have a material adverse effect on the Company's business, financial condition and results of operations, and could adversely impact the Company's reputation. For example, increased public opposition to companies in the oil and gas sector could lead to constrained access to insurance, liquidity and capital and changes in demand for the Company's products, which may impact its revenue. Increasing pressure by the Company's clients to develop new technologies to help such clients reduce the intensity of the clients' operations and emissions could require significant capital investment in research and development.
Certain of our existing technology has differentiating capabilities built into its software products that can also be directly applied to the energy transition needs of its customers.
Revenue from Energy Transition
Revenue from energy transition, particularly carbon capture and storage ("CCS"), has been growing over the past several years. Various governments have implemented policies and funding to promote the adoption of CCS as part of their climate change initiatives and our CCS customers rely on government grants to subsidize their CCS projects.
Our CCS clients are exposed to risk of regulatory uncertainty surrounding CCS policies and funding. Reduced support and funding by the governments may affect the cost and timeline of CCS projects and have a negative impact on the Company's revenue derived from CCS customers. Revenue from energy transition, particularly carbon capture and storage ("CCS"), has grown over the past several years. Various governments have implemented policies and funding to promote the adoption of CCS as part of their climate change initiatives and our CCS customers rely on government grants to subsidize their CCS projects.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Our CCS clients are exposed to risk of regulatory uncertainty surrounding CCS policies and funding. Reduced support and funding by the governments may affect the cost and timeline of CCS projects and have a negative impact on the Company's revenue derived from CCS customers.
Inflation Risk
Inflation rates in the jurisdictions in which the Company operates have continued to increase. General inflationary pressures, may affect the Company's labour and other input costs and such pressures may or may not be transitory. As nearly 70% of the Company's costs relate to its people, wage inflation could affect the Company's ability to retain qualified staff and may also impact the Company's succession planning. Any continued upward trajectory in the inflation rate for the Company's inputs may have a material adverse effect on the Company's operating and capital expenditures for the development of its projects as well as its financial condition and results of operations.
Acquisition Risk
The Company's growth strategy partly depends on our ability to obtain additional technologies and complementary product lines through selective acquisitions and strategic investments. There is no assurance that we will find suitable companies to acquire or be successful in completing such acquisitions.
Each acquisition that we complete may present risks, including: challenges in achieving our strategic goals and initiatives; failing to achieve anticipated growth projections, revenue increases or cost savings; failure to develop new products and services that utilize the technologies and resources of the acquired companies; disruption of our ongoing business and diversion of management's attention to transition or integration issues; liabilities that were not identified during the acquisition process; the loss of our key employees, customers, and partners or those of the acquired companies or businesses; and cybersecurity and data privacy risks as described above.
Future acquisitions may involve the expenditure of significant cash resources; the incurrence of debt, which increases interest expense and leverage; or the issuance of equity, which could be dilutive to shareholders and may decrease earnings per share. We allocate a portion of the purchase price to goodwill and intangible assets. If we do not realize all the economic benefits of an acquisition, there could be an impairment of goodwill or intangible assets. Furthermore, impairment charges are generally not tax-deductible and will result in an increased effective income tax rate in the period the impairment is recorded. If we do not achieve the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions as rapidly or to the extent anticipated by our management or financial and industry analysts, there could be a significant adverse effect on our share price, business and consolidated financial statements.
Artificial Intelligence Risk
Our predictive analytics and AI offerings may be subject to increased legal and regulatory risks, as jurisdictions around the world begin to introduce laws and regulations relating to the use of Artificial Intelligence ("AI"). The interpretation of these laws and regulations is constantly evolving. There is a risk that these laws may be interpreted and applied in conflicting ways from country to country. Many of these current and proposed laws and regulations, including the EU AI Act and Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Act (AIDA), contain detailed requirements regarding the use of AI and require internal accountability and governance frameworks. Complying with these varying international requirements could cause us to incur additional costs and change our business practices.
We could be adversely affected if laws or regulations are expanded to require changes in our products or business practices, if governmental authorities in the jurisdictions in which we do business interpret or implement their laws or regulations in ways that negatively affect our business or if clients or other parties allege that their information was misappropriated in the delivery of an AI solution. This could reduce the demand for our products if we fail to design or enhance our products and third party suppliers management procedures to comply, and enable our clients and suppliers to comply, with the AI measures required in relevant jurisdictions. Additionally, AI offerings that require data sets to train our AI models are impacted by availability of such data, including customer data where applicable. AI driven offers also introduce new risks such as model risk, explainability, transparency, bias, intellectual property, hallucinations, and others risks. These risks can have material impact on the performance of our AI offers.
The Company's management and Board monitor these risks on a quarterly basis and discusses strategies to deal with these risks (along with all other identified risks of the Company) at its annual strategic planning session. Overall, we are not able to estimate, at this time, the degree to which climate change related regulatory, climatic conditions, and energy transition risks could impact the Company's financial and operating results.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES AND JUDGMENTS
The preparation of financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the dates of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. By their nature, these estimates are subject to estimation uncertainty. The effect on the Financial Statements of changes in such estimates in future periods could be material and would be accounted for in the period in which the estimates are revised and in any future periods affected.
Revenue recognition and Determination and Allocation of the Transaction Price
Our contracts with clients often include promises to deliver multiple products, such as licenses and maintenance. Determining whether such bundled products and services are considered i) distinct performance obligations that should be separately recognized or ii) non-distinct and therefore should be combined with another good or service and recognized as a combined unit of accounting may require significant judgment. The determination of the standalone selling prices ("SSP") for distinct performance obligations can also require judgment and estimates. SSP for a performance obligation in a contract with customers is an estimate of the price that would be charged for the specific product or service if it was sold separately in similar circumstances and to similar customers.
Functional currency
The determination of the functional currency is a matter of determining the primary economic environment in which an entity operates. IAS 21 Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates ("IAS 21") sets out a number of factors to apply in making the determination of the functional currency. However, applying the factors in IAS 21 does not always result in a clear indication of functional currency. Where IAS 21 factors indicate differing functional currencies within a subsidiary, the Company uses judgment in the ultimate determination of that subsidiary's functional currency, including an assessment of the nature of the relationship between the Company and the subsidiary. Judgment was applied in the determination of the functional currency for certain operating entities of the Company.
Property and equipment
We make estimates in determining useful economic lives of property and equipment for the purposes of calculating depreciation.
Professional services revenue
The Company applies estimates when calculating professional services revenue from certain consulting contracts as it relates to remaining labour hours required to complete the contract. Estimates are continually and routinely revised as new information becomes available. In assessing revenue recognition, judgment is also used in assessing the ability to collect the corresponding account receivable. For professional service contracts billed on a fixed price basis, revenue is recognized over time based on the proportion of services performed and completed.
Research and development
We use assumptions in respect to the eligibility of certain research and development projects in the calculation of investment tax credits or other government grants, which are netted against the research and development costs in the statement of operations and comprehensive income. These investment tax credits and government grants are subject to audits by relevant taxation authorities and the actual amount may change depending on the outcome of such audits. This critical accounting estimate impacts CMG and SR, as BHV doesn't participate in any applicable research of development projects in relevant jurisdictions.
Stock-based compensation
We evaluate and calculate assumptions and estimates used in determining the inputs used in the Black-Scholes option pricing model, including assumptions regarding volatility, dividend yield, risk-free interest rates, forfeiture estimates and expected option lives.
Estimated impairment of goodwill
We account for business combinations using the acquisition method. The excess of the purchase price over the fair value of the identifiable net assets represents goodwill and is allocated to the cash generating units ("CGUs") expected to benefit from the business combination. Goodwill has an indefinite useful life and is not subject to amortization, however, the carrying value is subject to impairment testing at least once a year, or more frequently if events or changes in circumstances indicate the carrying amount may be impaired. After initial recognition, goodwill is measured at cost less any accumulated impairment losses.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Recoverable amount is the higher of fair value less costs to sell and value in use. In assessing the value in use, the estimated cash flows are discounted to their present value using a post-tax risk adjusted discount rate that reflects current market assessments of the time value of money and risks specific to the asset for which the estimates of future cash flows have not been adjusted. An impairment loss is recognized if the carrying amount of a CGU exceeds its estimated recoverable amount. As a result, any impairment losses are a result of management's best estimates of expected cash flows at a specific point in time. These estimates are subject to measurement uncertainty as they are dependent on factors outside of management's control. In addition, by their nature, impairment tests involve a significant degree of judgment as expectations concerning future cash flows and the selection of appropriate market inputs are subject to considerable risks and uncertainties.
Segment reporting
An operating segment is a component of the Company that engages in business activities from which it may earn revenues and incur expenses, including revenues and expenses that relate to transactions with any of the Company's other components. The operating results of all operating segments are reviewed regularly by the Company's CEO to make operational decisions and assess their performance.
The Company has aggregated its operating segments into a single reportable segment, consistent with the objective and basic principles of IFRS 8. In aggregating these operating segments, there was significant judgment applied with respect to economic similarities, including trends in sales growth and operating cash flows whereby all operating segments are expected to experience similar trends in the long-term.
Intangible Assets
Acquired intangible assets – The Company uses the income approach to value acquired technology, customer relationships and trade name/trademarks. The income approach is a valuation technique that calculates the estimated fair value of an intangible asset based on the estimated future cash flows that the asset can be expected to generate over its remaining useful life.
The Company utilizes the discounted cash flow methodology which is a form of the income approach that begins with a forecast of the annual cash flows that a market participant would expect the subject intangible asset to generate over a discrete projection period. The forecasted cash flows for each of the years in the discrete projection period are then converted to their present value equivalent using a rate of return appropriate for the risk of achieving the intangible assets' projected cash flows, again, from a market participant perspective. The present value of the forecasted cash flows is then added to the present value of the residual value of the intangible asset (if any) at the end of the discrete projection period to arrive at a conclusion with respect to the estimated fair value of the subject intangible assets. The significant assumptions used to develop the forecasted annual cash flows include forecasted revenue, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"), EBITDA margin, contributory asset charges, and discount rates.
The Company specifically uses the relief-from-royalty method to value trade name/trademarks, the multiple period excess earnings to value intellectual property, and the distributor method to value customer relationships.
Determination of Cash Generating Units ("CGUs")
A CGU is the lowest group of assets that generate identifiable cash inflows that are largely independent of the cash inflows of other assets or groups of assets. The allocation of assets into CGUs require judgment and interpretations with respect to the existence of active markets, integration between assets, and the way in which management monitors the operations.
Income Taxes
We operate within multiple international jurisdictions where we are subject to income taxes. In these diverse regulatory environments, complexities often arise regarding the interpretation of tax regulations. Consequently, significant judgment may be required in calculating the provision for income taxes. The results of audits and assessments, and changes in interpretation of the standards may result in a material increase or decrease in CMG Group's assets, liabilities and net income. Deferred income tax liabilities are recognized when there are taxable temporary differences that will reverse and result in a future outflow of funds to a taxation authority. Management's judgement is required to determine the amount that is expected to be settled.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
CHANGES IN MATERIAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
Adoption of Recent Accounting Pronouncements
Amendments to IAS 1 and IFRS Practice Statement 2: Disclosure of Accounting Policies
The Company has adopted Classification of Liabilities as Current or Non-current – Amendments to IAS 1, as issued in 2020 and 2022. The amendments apply retrospectively for annual reporting periods beginning on or after January 1, 2024. They clarify certain requirements for determining whether a liability should be classified as current or non-current.
Due to the change in policy, there is a retrospective impact on the comparative statement of financial position, as the Company has a deferred share unit (DSU) plan for non-management directors which are redeemable in cash upon the director's retirement. In the case of a director retiring, the director's respective DSU liability would become payable and the Company would not have the right to defer settlement of the liability for at least 12 months. Additionally, the Company has a restricted share unit (RSU) plan for employees, of which those employees under the Canadian RSU plan have the option to settle RSU's in cash or for an equal number of common shares and employees under the International RSU plan have the option to settle in cash. For employee's over the age of sixty, all of the participant's RSU's and dividend RSU's will vest one year following the participant's retirement or throughout the vesting period, whichever is earlier. The participant's respective RSU liability would therefore become payable within 12 months and the Company would not have the right to defer settlement of the liability beyond a 12 month period.
As such, certain liabilities are impacted by the revised policy and are now classified to current at March 31, 2025, because the DSU's can be redeemed by the holders within 12 months after the reporting period and RSU participants that will retire will have all RSU units available to settle within 12 months after the reporting period. Additionally, the following presentation changes were made to the Statement of Financial Position to reflect the retrospective impact of the revised policy:
- As of April 1, 2023, accounts payable and accrued liabilities increased by $1.2 million and long-term stock-based compensation liabilities decreased by $1.2 million.
- As of March 31, 2024, accounts payable and accrued liabilities increased by $2.0 million and long-term stock-based compensation liabilities decreased by $2.0 million.
The change in accounting policy is reflected in the Company's consolidated statements as at and for the year ended March 31, 2025.
Future Accounting Pronouncements
We have not early adopted any standard, interpretation or amendment that has been issued but is not yet effective.
DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES AND INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING
Management is responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures ("DC&P") and internal control over financial reporting ("ICFR") as defined under National Instrument 52-109.
At March 31, 2025, the Chief Executive Officer ("CEO") and the Chief Financial Officer ("CFO") concluded that the design and operation of the Company's DC&P were effective (in accordance with the COSO control framework (2013)) and that material information relating to the Company, including its subsidiaries, was made known to them and was recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified under applicable securities legislation. Further, the CEO and the CFO concluded that the design and operation of the Company's ICFR were effective at March 31, 2025 in order to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with IFRS. It should be noted that while the Company's CEO and CFO believe that the Company's disclosure controls and procedures and internal controls over financial reporting provide a reasonable level of assurance that they are effective, they do not expect that such controls and procedures will prevent all errors and fraud. A control system, no matter how well conceived or operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met.
During the year ended March 31, 2025, there have been no significant changes to the Company's ICFR that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company's ICFR, except for the matter described below.
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025
CMG
Section 3.3(1)(b) of NI 52-109 allows an issuer to limit its design of DC&P and ICFR to exclude controls, policies and procedures of a business that the issuer acquired not exceeding 365 days from the date of acquisition. On November 12, 2024, we completed the acquisition of SR, a privately held software and services company headquartered in Kaiserslautern, Germany. SR's operations have been included in the consolidated financial statements of CMG Group since November 12, 2024. However, we have not had sufficient time to appropriately determine and assess the extent of DC&P and ICFR previously used by SR and integrate them with those of CMG Group. As a result, the certifying officers have limited the scope of their design of DC&P and ICFR to exclude any applicable controls, policies, and procedures of SR (as permitted by applicable securities laws in Canada). Amounts in respect of SR included in CMG Group's consolidated statement of financial position and statement of operations and comprehensive income as at March 31, 2025, are as follows:
(thousands)
| Current Assets | 14,836 |
|---|---|
| Total Assets | 16,680 |
| Current Liabilities | 9,040 |
| Total Liabilities | 10,572 |
| Total Revenues | 7,526 |
| Net Income (Loss) | (1,162) |
Management Discussion & Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2025