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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. Annual Report 2023

May 25, 2023

43491_rns_2023-05-24_1a46c3d0-78e7-4b3f-97e2-20de497e099f.pdf

Annual Report

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COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP LTD.

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CEO Letter to Shareholders

May 24, 2023

Dear fellow shareholders,

As I stepped into the CEO role in May of 2022, I did so with tremendous enthusiasm for the opportunity and an appreciation of the amount of change that the company would undergo in the next 12 months. My objective was twofold; embark on a multi-faceted transformation journey that would instill the tenets of a market-led technology company, leading to a return of strong organic growth, and

equip the company with the necessary competencies to pursue diversification and expansion through acquisitions and partnerships.

While it is early in our journey, a great deal was accomplished in the past year.

Fiscal 2023 Highlights:

  • Total revenue increased by 12% vs prior year

  • Adjusted operating profit margin* increased to 40%

  • Generated free cash flow* of $21.7 million

  • Derived 14% of total software revenue from energy transition

  • Established a strategic alliance with Hatch-McDaniel to deliver comprehensive solutions for carbon capture

  • Completed the first acquisition in CMG’s history, launching our capabilities in data analytics

  • Welcomed senior talent including Chief Technology Officer, Vice President Americas, Head of Corporate Development, Head of People and Culture, Head of Business Operations and Head of Legal

  • Opened CMG Collaboration Centre (C3) in India

*See Non-IFRS Measures

In addition to these highlights we have established a product management function responsible for our product development roadmap which is focused on building scalable, extensible software, and adding features for speed and workflows. We have begun the transition from a product company to a solutions company that develops a combination of product, services, and partnerships to provide holistic solutions for the energy industry’s most complex problems.

Values

Most importantly, we are establishing a culture of accountability, to ourselves and to each other, to our customers, to our shareholders and to the values that define our organization. These values preserve the best of what has made CMG successful in the past and introduces the elements that will shift us to the performance driven culture that will make us successful in the future.

  • Entrepreneurial Talent – We create our own future and don’t settle for “no” as an answer

  • Curiosity – We explore new ideas without settling for what we already know

  • Extreme Ownership – We accept responsibility to own our work and the results we create

  • Customer Centricity – We work relentlessly to delight our customers

COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP LTD.

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  • Integrity – We always do the right thing even if it’s hard

  • Collaboration - We believe it takes a Team to accomplish something great and we work as partners across the organization

Culture does not happen overnight, it is something that is built over time when there is a clear understanding of strategic objectives, and a clarity and commitment to the individual roles we play in attaining our common goals. We have high expectations for our leaders to set an example within the organization and we challenge each other daily to ensure that we have the courage to question the status quo, ruthlessly prioritize what will bring us closer to our goals, provide constructive feedback to our teams, have the difficult conversations that will make us better and remain committed to developing and elevating our incredible workforce.

Fiscal 2023 Review

Closing out fiscal year 2023 with total revenue growth of 12% marked a turning point for our company. Strong industry fundamentals, healthy balance sheets amongst our customers and an acceleration of digital transformation within the industry supported our financial performance this year with increased licensing by both new and existing customers.

On a full-year basis, total software license revenue increased across all regions except Canada which experienced a slight decline due to the negative affect of consolidation activity that impacted annuity and maintenance revenue in the first quarter of the year. Growth in the US and Eastern Hemisphere, particularly Europe, was positively impacted by increased licensing for carbon capture and storage projects. South America was positively impacted by a multi-year lease that commenced in the second quarter of fiscal 2022.

Compared to fiscal 2022, our annuity and maintenance revenue grew by 12%, offset by a decline in the much smaller, more volatile segment of perpetual licenses. Our expanded consulting practice is driving awareness of our expertise in the energy transition space in addition to supporting our customers in the use and adoption of our simulation technology in the traditional upstream energy arena. Growth in professional services revenue of 37% was amplified by the receipt of funding related to our innovative Joint Industry Project (JIP) with Kongsberg Digital, to develop new technology focused on the carbon capture and storage processes.

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Software License Revenue
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Earnings Per Share

Total Revenue

($ Thousands)

($ Thousands)

(Basic)

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$0.30
$0.25
$0.20
$0.15
$0.10
$0.05
$0.00
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
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COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP LTD.

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Full year operating expenses increased by 20%, however, when adjusted for CEWS and CERS subsidies and restructuring charges, the increase is a more modest 8%. The increase is driven by a combination of increased variable compensation, such as stock-based compensation and bonuses, higher professional services and travelrelated costs. In addition, we made investments in our sales and marketing functions.

Our research and development efforts resulted in multiple performance and functional enhancements to our products. This included improved speed and stability, updated user experience in our pre-processor, CCS workflow development, enhanced functionality in our EOR and thermal applications as well as advancements in CoFlow.

Full year adjusted operating profit margin was 40% compared to 38% in the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 45% compared to 44% in the prior year. We are pleased to see improvement in profitability margins alongside the increase in top-line revenue. Basic earnings per share were $0.25 compared to $0.23 last year.

We maintain a strong financial position and closed out the year with $66.9 million of cash and no debt. We generated $0.27 per share of free cash flow, similar to the prior year.

Operating Profit

($ Thousands)

Adjusted Operating Profit ($ Thousands)

Adjusted EBITDA ($ Thousands)

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$35,000 $35,000 $40,000
$30,000 $30,000 $35,000
$25,000 $25,000 $30,000
$25,000
$20,000 $20,000
$20,000
$15,000 $15,000
$15,000
$10,000 $10,000
$10,000
$5,000 $5,000
$5,000
$0 $0 $0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
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Note: Adjusted operating profit and adjusted EBITDA are non-IFRS financial measures. Additional disclosures for these non-IFRS measures can be found on page 2 of the Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”). A reconciliation of adjusted operating profit to operating profit can be found on page 22 of the MD&A, and a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA to net income can be found on page 23 of the MD&A.

CMG 4.0

We wrapped up fiscal 2023 with the first acquisition in CMG’s history by acquiring the assets of Unconventional Subsurface Integration LLC (“USI”), an early-stage AI-based data analytics technology for maximizing asset valuation and production performance of shale reservoirs. Our acquisition of USI will enable us to further expand our presence in the shale market by offering a data analytics tool which uses pre-run reservoir simulation data, using CMG’s simulators, to quickly and accurately predict well interaction and performance in varying development scenarios. Deploying capital in a manner that is both financially and strategically accretive is a responsibility I take earnestly, and I believe this acquisition was a positive step toward product diversification and honing our acquisition process.

We continue to build our M&A pipeline of opportunities within traditional upstream energy, energy transition and in adjacent industries where we can access new addressable markets. We are identifying acquisitions that could grow our software portfolio and enhance our competitive position.

Turning to energy transition, we have undertaken several initiatives aimed at growing our presence in energy transition.

COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP LTD.

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We were honored to have an influential group of executives, representing many of the most important organizations in the energy space, join us as we hosted our first editorial roundtable on the topic of energy transformation. Joining the roundtable conversation were leaders from Pathways Alliance, the Alberta Energy Regulator, Heartland Generation and the Energy & Environmental Research Center. The insights from the discussion led to the launch of CMG’s editorial platform, Accelerate, which will be an ongoing initiative in thought leadership to explore energy transition and the role of technology in the coming years.

We also announced our continued commitment to working with global partners by signing an agreement with Wood LLC, a global engineering and consulting company, to partner in the delivery of carbon capture solutions.

Looking Ahead

In fiscal 2024, we are committed to growing our core business with new and existing customers, continuing to focus on energy transition opportunities and advancing the commercialization of CoFlow. We will not lose sight of the innovation and incredible expertise for which CMG is known and we will invest to drive product enhancements and improvements to enhance our competitiveness and evaluate opportunities to build our product portfolio with new capabilities.

I am optimistic for the opportunities that lie ahead for CMG and I am grateful to our Board of Directors for their support and counsel during this year of transition. On behalf of CMG’s leadership team, I extend my sincere thanks to our loyal customers, our dedicated employees, our collaborative partners and our supportive shareholders. You are all what make CMG a success and I look forward to an energizing coming year together.

Sincerely,

Pramod Jain Chief Executive Officer

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of financial condition and results of operations for Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (“CMG”, the "Company", "we" or "our"), dated May 24, 2023, should be read in conjunction with CMG's audited consolidated financial statements (the “Financial Statements”) and accompanying notes for the year ended March 31, 2023 and CMG’s Annual Information Form dated May 24, 2023 (“AIF”), which are available online under CMG’s issuer profile at www.sedar.com.

The Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). The Financial Statements are presented in Canadian dollars, which is the functional and presentation currency of CMG.

Figures within this MD&A are presented in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise indicated. Financial data, other than non-IFRS financial measures, have been prepared in accordance with IFRS.

This MD&A was reviewed and approved by the Audit Committee and Board of Directors and is effective as of May 24, 2023.

Forward-Looking Information

Certain information included in this MD&A is forward-looking. Forward-looking information includes statements that are not statements of historical fact and which address activities, events or developments that the Company expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future, including such things as investment objectives and strategy, the development plans and status of the Company’s software development projects, the Company’s intentions, results of operations, levels of activity, future capital and other expenditures (including the amount, nature and sources of funding thereof), business prospects and opportunities, research and development timetable, and future growth and performance. When used in this MD&A, statements to the effect that the Company or its management “believes”, “expects”, “expected”, “plans”, “may”, “will”, “projects”, “anticipates”, “estimates”, “would”, “could”, “should”, “endeavours”, “seeks”, “predicts” or “intends” or similar statements, including “potential”, “opportunity”, “target” or other variations thereof that are not statements of historical fact should be construed as forward-looking information. These statements reflect management’s current beliefs with respect to future events and are based on information currently available to management of the Company. The Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking information are reasonable, but no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking information should not be unduly relied upon.

With respect to forward-looking information contained in this MD&A, we have made assumptions regarding, among other things:

  • future software license sales;

  • the continued financing by and participation of the Company's CoFlow partner and it being completed in a timely manner, associated costs and future revenue;

  • the Company’s ability to increase or sustain its revenue in a volatile oil price environment;

  • the Company’s ability to pay dividends;

  • ability to enter into additional software license agreements;

  • ability to continue current research and new product development; and

  • ability to recruit and retain qualified staff.

Forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance and involves a number of risks and uncertainties, only some of which are described herein. Many factors could cause the Company’s actual results, performance or achievements, or future events or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking information including, without limitation, the following factors, which are discussed in greater detail in the “Business Risks” section of this MD&A:

  • Economic conditions in the energy industry;

  • Reliance on key customers;

  • Foreign exchange;

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

  • Economic and political risks in countries where the Company currently does or proposes to do business;

  • Increased competition;

  • Reliance on employees with specialized skills or knowledge;

  • Protection of proprietary rights.

Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievement may vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking information contained in this MD&A. These factors should be carefully considered, and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date of this MD&A. All subsequent forward-looking information attributable to the Company herein is expressly qualified in its entirety by the cautionary statements contained in or referred to herein. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to forward-looking information contained in this MD&A to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date of this MD&A or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.

Additional IFRS Measure

Funds flow from operations is an additional IFRS measure that the Company presents in its consolidated statements of cash flows. Funds flow from operations is calculated as cash flows provided by operating activities adjusted for changes in non-cash working capital. Management believes that this measure provides useful supplemental information about operating performance and liquidity, as it represents cash generated during the period, regardless of the timing of collection of receivables and payment of payables, which may reduce comparability between periods.

Non-IFRS Financial Measures

Certain financial measures in this MD&A – namely, adjusted total operating expenses, direct employee costs, adjusted direct employee costs, other corporate costs, adjusted other corporate costs, adjusted operating profit, adjusted net income, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow – do not have a standard meaning prescribed by IFRS and, accordingly, may not be comparable to measures used by other companies. Management believes that these indicators nevertheless provide useful measures in evaluating the Company’s performance.

Direct employee costs include salaries, bonuses, stock-based compensation, benefits (including termination benefits), commission expenses, and professional development. Other corporate costs include facility-related expenses, corporate reporting, professional services, marketing and promotion, computer expenses, travel, and other office-related expenses. Direct employee costs and other corporate costs should not be considered an alternative to total operating expenses as determined in accordance with IFRS. People-related costs represent the Company’s largest area of expenditure; hence, management considers highlighting separately corporate and direct employee costs to be important in evaluating the quantitative impact of cost management of these two major expenditure pools. See “Expenses” heading for a reconciliation of direct employee costs and other corporate costs to total operating expenses.

EBITDA refers to net income before adjusting for depreciation expense, finance income, finance costs, and income and other taxes. Adjusted EBITDA also excludes Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy (“CEWS”) and Canada Emergency Rent Subsidy (“CERS”) and restructuring charges. EBITDA/adjusted EBITDA should not be construed as an alternative to net income as determined by IFRS. The Company believes that EBITDA/adjusted EBITDA are useful supplemental measures as they provide an indication of the results generated by the Company’s main business activities prior to consideration of how those activities are amortized, financed or taxed. See “Adjusted EBITDA” heading for a reconciliation of EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA to net income.

Free cash flow is a non-IFRS financial measure that is calculated as funds flow from operations less capital expenditures, repayment of lease liabilities, and cash consideration for acquisitions. Free cash flow per share is calculated by dividing free cash flow by the number of weighted average outstanding shares during the period. Management uses free cash flow and free cash flow per share to help measure the capacity of the Company to pay dividends and invest in business growth opportunities.

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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Free Cash Flow Reconciliation to Funds Flow from Operations

Fiscal 2022 Fiscal 2023
($ thousands, unless otherwise stated) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Funds flow from operations 4,811 4,904 7,022 7,105 4,558 4,974 8,169 7,656
Capital expenditures(1) (27) (133) (481) (62) - (130) (211) (1,707)
Repayment of lease liabilities (306) (277)
(314)
(459) (303) (339) (413) (553)
Free cash flow 4,478 4,494 6,227 6,584 4,255 4,505 7,545 5,396
Weighted average shares – basic
(thousands) 80,286 80,307 80,335 80,335 80,335 80,412 80,511 80,603
Free cash flowper share - basic 0.06 0.06
0.08
0.08 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.07
Free cash flowper share - basic
0.06
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.07
(1) Capital expenditures include cash consideration for acquisitions.
Years ended March 31,
($thousands) 2023 2022
2021
Funds flow from operations 25,357 23,842
26,283
Capital expenditures(1) (2,048) (703)
(397)
Repayment of lease liabilities (1,608) (1,356)
(1,413)
Free cash flow 21,701 21,783
24,473
Weighted average shares–basic (thousands) 80,464 80,316
80,272
Free cash flowper share - basic 0.27 0.27
0.30

(1) Capital expenditures include cash consideration for acquisitions.

Corporate Profile

CMG is a global software and consulting company providing advanced reservoir modelling capabilities to the energy industry. CMG provides cutting-edge technologies that support critical field development decisions for upstream planning and energy transition strategies. The Company has a diverse customer base of international oil companies in approximately 60 countries. The Company’s professional services consist of highly specialized support, consulting, training, and contract research activities. CMG has sales and technical support services based in Calgary, Houston, London, Dubai, Bogota and Kuala Lumpur. CMG’s Common Shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) and trade under the symbol “CMG”.

Business Overview

Since its inception more than 40 years ago, CMG made the strategic decision to focus its research and development efforts on providing solutions for the simulation of difficult hydrocarbon recovery techniques, a decision that created the foundation for CMG’s dominant market presence today in the simulation of advanced hydrocarbon recovery processes. CMG has demonstrated this commitment by continuously investing in research and development and working closely with its customers to develop simulation tools relevant to the challenges and opportunities they face.

The petroleum industry utilizes reservoir simulation to provide both vital information and a visual interpretation on how reservoirs will behave under various recovery techniques. With this visualization and reservoir simulation modelling, reservoir professionals obtain valuable insight into predicting the physics and chemistry of fluid flows, drilling locations, well operating conditions, risks, and best-case economics of oil and gas property investment. Understanding the science of how a petroleum reservoir will react to difficult hydrocarbon recovery processes through simulation prior to spending the capital on drilling wells and injecting expensive chemicals and steam, for instance, is far less costly and risky than trying the various techniques on real wells.

With petroleum production using conventional methods on the decline, the petroleum industry must use more difficult and costly advanced process extraction methods. In addition, brand-new fields are increasingly difficult to find, especially on a

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

large scale, and there is a large number of mature fields and unconventional prospects where known petroleum reserves exist. The problem facing the producers is how to economically extract more of the petroleum reserves in place while utilizing environmentally conscious processes and meeting governmental and regulatory requirements. These challenges are made even more formidable by the volatile macroeconomic environment and the global political climate, which has led to increased uncertainty regarding capital markets, commodity prices and global energy demand.

Due to the maturity of conventional petroleum reservoirs and the complexities of both current and emerging production processes we believe that the oil industry will continue to be increasingly reliant on the use of simulation technology. Reservoir simulation is a cost-effective and high-value tool to reduce risks, improve recovery processes, increase margins and incremental recovery.

CMG’s success can be attributed to a number of factors: advanced physics, ongoing enhancements to the Company’s already robust product line, improved computational speed, parallel computing ability, ease of use features of the pre- and post-processor applications, cost effectiveness of the CMG solution for customers, and the knowledge base of CMG’s personnel to support and advance its software.

In addition to offering reservoir simulation solutions, CMG has invested into the development of CoFlow, the industry’s first fully implicit, multi-user and multi-disciplinary Integrated Reservoir and Production System Modelling (IPSM) software application. It provides a unified solution for integrated asset modelling by combining reservoir, production networks and geomechanics in one environment and allows reservoir and production engineers to make informed decisions on large, integrated oil and gas projects. While this has been a significant undertaking for the Company, we believe that oil producers are seeking integrated solutions of this type, which connect the surface and subsurface simulation on the same platform, to enable better decision-making and optimization of their assets.

Energy transition has been a growing area for CMG. A shift toward public and government support of climate change initiatives enable us to use technological innovation to help energy and resource companies minimize their impact on the environment. CMG has an established technology that has been effectively leveraged and utilized in the development of projects around the world for safe sequestering and long-term storage of carbon dioxide. CMG’s GEM simulator is the industry-leading simulator capable of modelling all of the applicable physics associated with carbon storage processes. These projects have been of increasing interest to governments and the oil and gas industry, as well as new “green energy” entrants for the beneficial application in the reduction of carbon footprint. CMG’s products can also be used for hydrogen storage and geothermal processes.

Growth Strategy

At CMG, we are committed to the development of cutting-edge technologies that support critical field development decisions for upstream planning and energy transition strategies.

Our growth strategy was developed around three main objectives.

  • maintain and grow our core business competencies in reservoir simulation, capitalizing on our leadership position as experts in the science, technology and customer support for complex hydrocarbon recovery techniques

  • expand our product offering and market presence, including the introduction of data analytics solutions, to deliver greater value to new and existing customers

  • reach into new market segments with applications in Integrated Production Systems Modelling (IPSM) and energy transition, specifically carbon capture and storage, hydrogen storage, and geothermal processes

To achieve these objectives, investment in research and development is important as it helps maintain our competitive advantage for our existing software product suite and advances new product development. CMG's approach to investment in research and development is to invest in initiatives that are driven by customers’ needs. Integrating new and innovative features into our existing product suite as well as developing simplified, fit-for-purpose applications is anticipated to help us to increase revenue from new and existing customers.

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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

We pursue revenue growth through direct sales using our internal sales force, and are focused on enhancing our market engagement framework through the addition of a strategic marketing function and additional sales tools and training. We are also committed to partnering with industry leaders in two key areas:

  • 1) Assist in the development, testing and refinement of new technology

  • During fiscal 2023, CMG entered into a Joint Industry Partnership (JIP) with Kongsberg to, with the participation and support of numerous leading energy companies, research and develop a new technology focused on carbon capture and storage.

  • 2) Extend our reach into other ecosystems while enabling sales

  • During fiscal 2023, CMG announced a strategic partnership with McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and Hatch Ltd. to deliver comprehensive industry leading solutions for carbon capture and storage.

In addition to organic growth, we intend to engage in strategic and disciplined acquisitions to expand our product offering and customer base, and to grow our business.

On February 16, 2023, we announced the acquisition of the assets of Unconventional Subsurface Integration LLC (“USI”), an early-stage AI-based data analytics technology for maximizing asset valuation and production performance of shale reservoirs. CMG’s reservoir simulation technology has a very extensive and efficient unconventional modelling workflow, which has been successful in simulation and modelling of reservoirs using hydraulic fracturing processes. Our acquisition of USI will enable us to further expand our presence in the shale market by offering a data analytics tool for reservoir valuation and production performance. This technology uses pre-run reservoir simulation data, using CMG’s simulators, to quickly and accurately predict well interaction and performance in varying development scenarios.

Business Model

CMG’s software can be licensed on a term or perpetual basis:

  • Term licenses are made up of annuity/maintenance license fees charged for the use of the Company’s software products, generally for a term of one year or less. Annuity licenses give the customers the right to use CMG’s software for a fixed time-period. Maintenance licenses are offered to the customers who purchase perpetual licenses, which gives them access to support and latest software releases for the duration of the license term. This revenue stream is reported as “Annuity/maintenance license revenue.”

  • Perpetual licenses represent one-time software license sale, whereby the customer purchases the then-current version of the software and has the right to use that version in perpetuity. This revenue stream is reported as “Perpetual license revenue.”

Annuity/maintenance license fees have historically had a high renewal rate and, accordingly, provide a recurring revenue stream, while perpetual license sales are more variable and unpredictable in nature as the purchase decision and its timing fluctuate with the customers’ needs and budgets. The majority of CMG’s customers, who have acquired perpetual software licenses, subsequently purchase our maintenance package to ensure ongoing product support and access to current versions of CMG’s software. Annuity/maintenance and perpetual licenses are typically installed on customers’ premises.

Approximately 95% of our software license revenue was derived from annuity and maintenance contracts during fiscal 2023. We generally invoice our customers for the full amount of their contractual payment obligations at the time that they contract with us.

We also offer a public cloud solution which enables customers to securely access Company’s simulators and submit simulation jobs to some of the latest and fastest hardware available in the industry optimized for maximum efficiency and faster simulation results. The cloud solution gives customers the ability to take advantage of the flexibility and economies of scale with the "pay as you go" model for hardware and CMG software. This currently represents a small part of the Company’s business and is reported under annuity/maintenance license revenue.

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

In combination with its principal business of licensing its software, CMG also provides professional services consisting of highly specialized consulting, support, training, and funded research activities for its customers. CMG performs specialized consulting services, which are typically of a highly complex and/or experimental nature. These studies provide hands-on practical knowledge, allowing CMG staff to test the boundaries of our software, and provide us the opportunity to sell additional software licenses to both new and existing customers. In addition, providing consulting services is important from the customer service perspective as it enables our customers to become more proficient users of CMG’s software. Professional research revenue is also derived from the customers who partner with CMG to assist in the development, testing and refinement of new simulation technologies.

In addition to consulting, we allocate significant resources to training, which is an instrumental part of our Company’s success, as it enables our customers to become more efficient and effective users of our software. Our training is continuous in nature, is offered worldwide, and it helps us in developing and maintaining long-term relationships with our customers.

We sell our products primarily through our direct salesforce in North and South America, Europe and Asia. In Asia and Middle East we sell our products through both our direct salesforce and agents.

CMG is in a solid financial position with $45.7 million in positive working capital, no bank debt and a long history of generating earnings and cash from operating activities. Combined with its strong balance sheet is the strength of its employees in all areas of the Company.

We continue to be profitable and have solid cash generation. During fiscal 2023, operating profit represented 35% of total revenue and we generated $0.27 per share in free cash flow.

Annual Performance

Annual Performance
($thousands,unless otherwise stated) March 31, 2023 March 31,2022
March 31,2021
Annuity/maintenance license revenue 59,690 53,406
55,934
Perpetual license revenue 3,240 4,819
3,619
Software license revenue 62,930 58,225
59,553
Professional service revenue 10,916 7,977
7,810
Total revenue 73,846 66,202
67,363
Operating profit 25,860 26,080
30,565
Operating profit (%) 35% 39%
45%
Net income for the year 19,797 18,405
20,190
EBITDA(1) 29,505 30,278
34,836
Cash dividends declared and paid 16,099 16,064
16,055
Funds flow from operations 25,357 23,842
26,283
Free cash flow(1) 21,701 21,783
24,473
Total assets 137,128 125,148
122,491
Total shares outstanding 80,637 80,335
80,286
Trading price per share at March 31 7.26 5.36
5.75
Market capitalization at March 31 585,425 430,596
461,645
Per share amounts – ($/share)
Earnings per share – basic 0.25 0.23
0.25
Earnings per share – diluted 0.24 0.23
0.25
Cash dividends declared and paid 0.20 0.20
0.20
Funds flow from operations per share – basic 0.32 0.30
0.33
Free cash flowper share – basic(1) 0.27 0.27
0.30

(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the “Non-IFRS Financial Measures” section.

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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Quarterly Performance

Fiscal 2022(2) Fiscal 2023(3) Fiscal 2023(3) Fiscal 2023(3)
($thousands,unless otherwise stated) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2

Q3
Q4
Annuity/maintenance license revenue 12,286 13,239 13,575 14,306 13,529
14,825

15,533
15,803
Perpetual license revenue 125 846 1,497 2,351 386
780

518
1,556
Software license revenue 12,411 14,085 15,072 16,657 13,915
15,605

16,051
17,359
Professional services revenue 2,003 1,864 1,973 2,137 2,192
2,477

3,341
2,906
Total revenue 14,414 15,949 17,045 18,794 16,107
18,082

19,392
20,265
Operating profit 5,573 5,440 7,755 7,312 4,961
5,555

8,435
6,909
Operating profit (%) 39 34 45 39 31
31

43
34
Profit before income and other taxes 4,827 5,321 7,310 6,563 5,182
5,989

8,350
7,127
Income and other taxes 1,094 1,175 1,736 1,611 1,369
1,579

2,002
1,901
Net income for the period 3,733 4,146 5,574 4,952 3,813
4,410

6,348
5,226
EBITDA(1) 6,596 6,473 8,843 8,366 5,892
6,492

9,300
7,821
Cash dividends declared and paid 4,015 4,016 4,017 4,016 4,017
4,025

4,025
4,032
Funds flow from operations 4,811 4,904 7,022 7,105 4,558
4,974

8,169
7,656
Free cash flow(1) 4,478 4,494 6,227 6,584 4,255
4,505

7,545
5,396
Per share amounts – ($/share)
Earnings per share (EPS) – basic 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.05
0.05

0.08
0.07
Earnings per share (EPS) – diluted 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.05
0.05

0.08
0.06
Cash dividends declared and paid 0.05
0.05
0.05 0.05 0.05
0.05

0.05
0.05
Funds flow from operations per share – basic 0.06
0.06
0.09 0.09 0.06
0.06

0.10
0.09
Free cash flowper share – basic(1) 0.06
0.06
0.08 0.08 0.05
0.06

0.09
0.07

(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the “Non-IFRS Financial Measures” section.

(2) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2022 include $nil, $0.5 million, $nil and $0.8 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

(3) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2023 include $0.2 million, $0.3 million, $0.3 million and $0.4 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

Commentary on Quarterly Performance

For the Three Months Ended

For the Year Ended

March 31, 2023 and compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, when appropriate:

  • Annuity/maintenance license revenue increased by 10%;

  • Perpetual license revenue decreased by $0.8 million, or 34%;

  • Total revenue increased by 8%;

  • Total operating expenses increased by 16%. Adjusted for CEWS/CERS benefits, operating expenses increased by 8%, primarily due to an increase in variable direct employee costs;

  • Operating profit margin was 34%, decreasing from 39% in the comparative quarter of the prior year but consistent with the adjusted operating profit in the comparative quarter of the prior year;

  • Basic EPS of $0.07 was higher than the comparative quarter’s EPS of $0.06;

  • Achieved free cash flow per share of $0.07;

  • Declared and paid a dividend of $0.05 per share.

  • Annuity/maintenance license revenue increased by 12%;

  • Perpetual license revenue decreased by $1.6 million, or 33%;

  • Total revenue increased by 12%;

  • Total operating expenses increased by 20%. Adjusted for the restructuring charges and CEWS/CERS benefits, operating expenses increased by 8%, due to an increase in variable direct employee costs as well as higher professional services and travel-related costs;

  • Operating profit margin was 35%, decreasing from 39% in the comparative year. Adjusted for the restructuring charges and CEWS/CERS benefits, operating profit was 40%, increasing from 38% in the prior year;

  • Basic EPS of $0.25 was higher than the comparative year’s EPS of $0.23;

  • Achieved free cash flow per share of $0.27;

  • Declared and paid dividends of $0.20 per share.

7

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Revenue

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022
$ change

% change
($thousands)
Software license revenue 17,359 16,657 702
4%
Professional services revenue 2,906 2,137
769

36%
Total revenue 20,265 18,794 1,471
8%
Software license revenue as a % of total revenue 86% 89%
Professional services revenue as a % of total revenue 14% 11%
Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change
% change
($thousands)
Software license revenue 62,930 58,225
4,705

8%
Professional services revenue 10,916 7,977 2,939
37%
Total revenue 73,846 66,202
7,644

12%
Software license revenue as a % of total revenue 85% 88%
Professional services revenue as a % of total revenue 15% 12%

CMG’s revenue is comprised of software license sales, which provides the majority of the Company’s revenue, and fees for professional services.

Total revenue for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 increased by 8% and 12%, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year, due to increases in both software license revenue and professional services revenue.

Software License Revenue

Software license revenue is made up of annuity/maintenance license fees charged for the use of the Company’s software products, which is generally for a term of one year or less, and perpetual software license sales, whereby the customer purchases the then-current version of the software and has the right to use that version in perpetuity. Annuity/maintenance license fees have historically had a high renewal rate and, accordingly, provide a recurring revenue stream, while perpetual license sales are more variable and unpredictable in nature as the purchase decision and its timing fluctuate with the customers’ needs and budgets. The majority of CMG’s customers, who have acquired perpetual software licenses, subsequently purchase our maintenance package to ensure ongoing product support and access to current versions of CMG’s software.

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022
$ change

% change
($thousands)
Annuity/maintenance license revenue 15,803 14,306
1,497

10%
Perpetual license revenue 1,556 2,351
(795)

-34%
Total software license revenue 17,359 16,657
702
4%
Annuity/maintenance as a % of total software license revenue 91% 86%
Perpetual as a % of total software license revenue 9% 14%

8

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Years ended March 31, 2023
2022
$ change
% change
($thousands)
Annuity/maintenance license revenue 59,690
53,406
6,284
12%
Perpetual license revenue 3,240
4,819
(1,579)
-33%
Total software license revenue 62,930
58,225
4,705
8%
Annuity/maintenance as a % of total software license revenue 95%
92%
Perpetual as a % of total software license revenue 5%
8%

Total software license revenue for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 increased by 4% and 8%, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year, due to the increases in annuity/maintenance license revenue, partially offset by the decreases in perpetual license revenue.

Annuity/maintenance license revenue increased by 10% and 12% during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, due to increases in all regions except Canada, supported by license fee increases, increased license usage by existing customers and the addition of new customers. We continue to see an increase in revenue from the customers involved in carbon capture and storage projects and estimate that about 18% and 14% of total software revenue for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, is attributable to the energy transition solutions.

Perpetual license revenue decreased by 34% and 33% during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year. Sales of perpetual licenses may fluctuate significantly between periods due to the uncertainty associated with the timing and the location where sales are generated. For this reason, even though we expect to achieve a certain level of perpetual sales on an annual basis, we expect to observe fluctuations in the quarterly perpetual revenue amounts throughout the fiscal year. In our experience, the majority of perpetual sales are generated in South America and the Eastern Hemisphere, as North American customers usually prefer annuity licenses to perpetual purchases.

We can observe from the tables below that the exchange rate between the US and Canadian dollar had a positive impact on reported software license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year.

Three months ended March 31, 2022
Incremental License

Foreign Exchange

2023
($thousands) Growth/(Decrease) Impact
Annuity/maintenance license revenue 14,306 887 610
15,803
Perpetual license revenue 2,351 (883) 88
1,556
Total software license revenue 16,657
4

698

17,359
Years ended March 31, 2022
Incremental License

Foreign Exchange

2023
($thousands) Growth/(Decrease) Impact
Annuity/maintenance license revenue 53,406 5,556 728
59,690
Perpetual license revenue 4,819 (1,730) 151
3,240
Total software license revenue 58,225
3,826

879

62,930

9

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Software Revenue by Geographic Region

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022
$ change
% change
($thousands)
Annuity/maintenance license revenue
Canada 3,203 3,274 (71) -2%
United States 3,813 3,408 405 12%
South America 2,239 1,663
576
35%
Eastern Hemisphere(1) 6,548 5,961
587
10%
15,803 14,306 1,497 10%
Perpetual license revenue
Canada - - - -
United States 145 - 145 100%
South America - - - -
Eastern Hemisphere 1,411 2,351
(940)
-40%
1,556 2,351 (795) -34%
Total software license revenue
Canada 3,203 3,274 (71) -2%
United States 3,958 3,408 550 16%
South America 2,239 1,663
576
35%
Eastern Hemisphere 7,959 8,312
(353)
-4%
17,359 16,657 702 4%
Years ended March 31, 2023 2022
$ change
% change
($thousands)
Annuity/maintenance license revenue
Canada 12,602 12,699 (97) -1%
United States 14,928 12,910 2,018 16%
South America 8,079 6,858 1,221 18%
Eastern Hemisphere(1) 24,081 20,939
3,142
15%
59,690 53,406 6,284 12%
Perpetual license revenue
Canada - - - -
United States 302 401 (99) -25%
South America - - - -
Eastern Hemisphere 2,938 4,418
(1,480)
-33%
3,240 4,819 (1,579) -33%
Total software license revenue
Canada 12,602 12,699 (97) -1%
United States 15,230 13,311 1,919 14%
South America 8,079 6,858 1,221 18%
Eastern Hemisphere 27,019 25,357
1,662
7%
62,930 58,225 4,705 8%

(1) Includes Europe, Africa, Asia and Australia.

During the three months ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, total software license revenue increased in the United States and South America and decreased in the Eastern Hemisphere and Canada. During the year ended March 31, 2023, compared to the previous fiscal year, total software license revenue increased across all of the regions with the exception of Canada which experienced only a slight decrease.

10

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

The Canadian region (representing 20% of annual total software license revenue) experienced slight decreases of 2% and 1% in annuity/maintenance license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year, due to the region continuing to be negatively affected during fiscal 2023 by consolidation activity that started affecting its annuity/maintenance revenue in the first quarter of the current fiscal year.

The United States (representing 24% of annual total software license revenue), experienced increases of 12% and 16% in annuity/maintenance license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year, due to new customers, including those within the carbon capture and storage industry, and increased licensing by existing customers. Perpetual license revenue increased by 100% during the quarter and decreased by 25% during the year, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year.

South America (representing 13% of annual total software license revenue) experienced increases of 35% and 18% in annuity/maintenance license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, due to increased licensing by new and existing customers, which included reactivation of maintenance on perpetual licenses. In addition, yearover-year increase was positively affected by a multi-year lease that commenced in the second quarter of the previous fiscal year. There were no perpetual sales in South America during the current quarter or year.

The Eastern Hemisphere (representing 43% of annual total software license revenue) experienced increases of 10% and 15% in annuity/maintenance license revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, due to increased license fees as well as increased licensing by existing customers, and the addition of new customers, including new customers in the carbon capture and storage industry in Europe. Perpetual revenue during the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 decreased by 40% and 33%, respectively, due to not realizing the same level of perpetual sales in the current fiscal year.

As footnoted in the Quarterly Software License Revenue graph, during the normal course of business CMG may complete the negotiation of certain annuity/maintenance contracts and/or fulfill revenue recognition requirements within a current quarter that includes usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters. This situation particularly affects contracts negotiated with countries that face increased economic and political risks, leading to the revenue recognition criteria being satisfied only at the time of the receipt of cash. The dollar magnitude of such contracts may be significant to the quarterly comparatives of our annuity/maintenance license revenue stream. To provide a normalized comparison, we specifically identify the revenue component where revenue recognition is satisfied in the current period for products provided in previous quarters. Please refer to the yellow bars and the footnotes in the following graph:

11

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Quarterly Software License Revenue

($ thousands)

==> picture [506 x 107] intentionally omitted <==

==> picture [506 x 106] intentionally omitted <==

==> picture [506 x 107] intentionally omitted <==

(1) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2019 include $0.1 million, $0.3 million, $2.3 million, and $1.8 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

(2) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2020 include $0.2 million, $0.3 million, $0.2 million and $0.5 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

(3) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2021 include $0.2 million, $0.2 million, $nil and $1.1 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

(4) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2022 include $nil, $0.5 million, $nil and $0.8 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

(5) Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2023 include $0.2 million, $0.3 million, $0.3 million and $0.4 million, respectively, in revenue that pertains to usage of CMG’s products in prior quarters.

Deferred Revenue

Deferred Revenue
($thousands) Fiscal 2023 Fiscal 2022
$change

% change
Deferred revenue at:
Q1 (June 30) 24,409 23,451 958 4%
Q2 (September 30) 24,164 21,242 2,922 14%
Q3 (December 31) 26,717 23,056
3,661
16%
Q4(March 31) 34,797 30,454
4,343
14%

CMG’s deferred revenue consists primarily of amounts for prepaid licenses. Our annuity/maintenance revenue is deferred and recognized ratably over the license period, which is generally one year or less. Amounts are deferred for licenses that have been provided and revenue recognition reflects the passage of time.

The above table illustrates the normal trend in the deferred revenue balance from the beginning of the calendar year (which corresponds with Q4 of our fiscal year), when most renewals occur, to the end of the calendar year (which corresponds with

12

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Q3 of our fiscal year). Our fourth quarter corresponds with the beginning of the fiscal year for most oil and gas companies, representing a time when they enter a new budget year and sign/renew their contracts.

The deferred revenue balance at the end of Q4 of fiscal 2023 was 14% higher than Q4 of fiscal 2022.

Professional Services Revenue

Professional services revenue for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 increased by 36% and 37%, respectively, compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year. These increases were due to increased revenue from consulting projects and due to a technology development contract with Kongsberg Digital (“Kongsberg”). During the second quarter, CMG entered into a joint development agreement with Kongsberg to research and develop a new technology focused on carbon capture and storage.

Professional services revenue consists of specialized consulting, training, and contract research activities. CMG performs consulting and contract research activities on an ongoing basis. Our experience is that consulting activities are variable in nature as both the timing and dollar magnitude of work are dependent on activities and budgets within customer companies.

Expenses

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change
% change
($thousands)
Sales, marketing and professional services 5,587 4,933
654

13%
Research and development 4,661 4,106
555

14%
General and administrative 3,108 2,443
665

27%
Total operatingexpenses 13,356 11,482 1,874
16%
Direct employee costs(1) 10,235 7,889 2,346
30%
Other corporate costs(1) 3,121 3,593
(472)

-13%
13,356 11,482 1,874
16%
Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change
% change
($thousands)
Sales, marketing and professional services 17,161 15,995
1,166

7%
Research and development 18,145 16,705
1,440

9%
General and administrative 12,680 7,422 5,258
71%
Total operatingexpenses 47,986 40,122
7,864

20%
Direct employee costs(1) 36,983 30,592
6,391

21%
Other corporate costs(1) 11,003 9,530
1,473

15%
47,986 40,122 7,864
20%

(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the “Non-IFRS Financial Measures” section.

Adjusted total operating expenses, adjusted direct employee costs and adjusted other corporate costs are non-IFRS financial measures. They do not have a standard meaning prescribed by IFRS and, accordingly, may not be comparable to measures used by other companies. They are calculated by excluding CEWS subsidies, CERS subsidies and restructuring charges, as applicable, from the related non-adjusted measures. Management believes that analyzing the Company’s expenses exclusive of these items illustrates underlying trends in our costs and provides better comparability between periods.

13

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

The following tables provide a reconciliation of total operating expenses to adjusted total operating expenses, direct employee costs to adjusted direct employee costs and other corporate costs to adjusted other corporate costs:

Three months ended Three months ended Years ended
March 31 March 31
($thousands) 2023 2022 2023
2022
Total operating expenses 13,356
11,482

47,986

40,122
CEWS -
916

-

1,499
CERS -
-
-
183
Restructuring charge - - (3,943) (851)
Adjusted total operatingexpenses 13,356 12,398
44,043

40,953
Direct employee costs 10,235
7,889

36,983

30,592
CEWS -
916

-

1,499
Restructuring charge - - (3,771) (851)
Adjusted direct employee costs 10,235
8,805

33,212

31,240
Other corporate costs 3,121
3,593

11,003

9,530
CERS -
-
-
183
Restructuring charge -
-
(172) -
Adjusted other corporate costs 3,121
3,593

10,831

9,713

Total operating expenses increased by 16% for the three months ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year. Adjusted total operating expenses increased by 8%.

Total operating expenses increased by 20% for the year ended March 31, 2023, compared to the previous fiscal year. Adjusted total operating expenses increased by 8%.

Direct Employee Costs

As a technology company, CMG’s largest investment is its people, and approximately 77% of total operating expenses during the year ended March 31, 2023 relate to direct employee costs (year ended March 31, 2022 – 77%).

In May 2022, Ryan Schneider stepped down as the Company’s President and CEO and Pramod Jain was appointed CEO. This change resulted in restructuring costs of $1.6 million in the first quarter of the current fiscal year. During the second quarter of the current fiscal year, the Company restructured primarily its Calgary office, resulting in additional restructuring costs of $2.3 million in the second quarter and bringing the total restructuring charges for the fiscal year to $3.9 million. The restructuring that occurred in the second quarter was mainly aimed at streamlining operations to align resources with the Company’s priorities. This prioritization will allow the Company to strengthen other business operations that are necessary for the Company to be responsive, resilient and able to adapt more quickly to changing business priorities.

The restructuring decreased our headcount and at March 31, 2023, CMG’s full-time equivalent staff complement was 165 employees and consultants (March 31, 2022: 175 employees).

Adjusted direct employee costs increased for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 by $1.4 million (16%) and $2.0 million (6%), compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year primarily due to increased variable compensation such as stock-based compensation and bonuses.

Other Corporate Costs

Adjusted other corporate costs decreased by 13% for the three months ended March 31, 2023 compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, due to the write-off of receivables from Russian customers included in the comparative period of the previous fiscal year.

14

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Adjusted other corporate costs increased by 12% for the year ended March 31, 2023, compared to prior year, primarily due to higher professional services costs and travel-related costs.

Research and Development

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Research and development, net of government grants 4,911 4,318 593 14%
SR&ED credits (250) (212) (38) -18%
Research and development 4,661 4,106 555 14%
Research and development as a % of total revenue 23% 22%
Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Research and development, net of government grants 18,913 17,581 1,132 8%
SR&ED credits (768) (876) 108 12%
Research and development 18,145 16,705 1,440 9%
Research and development as a % of total revenue 25% 25%

CMG works closely with its customers to provide solutions to complex problems related to proven and new advanced recovery processes through investment in research and development.

The above research and development costs include $2.2 million and $7.7 million of costs for CoFlow for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, up from $1.8 million and $7.4 million in the same periods of the previous fiscal year. See discussion under “Commitments, Off Balance Sheet Items and Transactions with Related Parties”.

Research and development costs for the three months ended March 31, 2023 increased by 14%, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, primarily due to the increase in direct employee costs. During the year ended March 31, 2023 research and development costs increased by 9%, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, primarily due to the increase in direct employee costs and higher restructuring costs incurred in the current fiscal year compared to the previous fiscal year, partially offset by CEWS benefits received during the previous fiscal year which did not occur in the current fiscal year, and fewer full-time employees during the current fiscal year.

SR&ED credits increased slightly for the three months ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, while they decreased by 12% for the year ended March 31, 2023, compared to the prior year.

Depreciation

Depreciation
Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Depreciation of property and equipment, allocated to:
Sales, marketing and professional services 213 219
(6)
-3%
Research and development 529 698 (169) -24%
General and administrative 174 137 37 27%
Total depreciation 916 1,054
(138)
-13%

15

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Depreciation of property and equipment, allocated to:
Sales, marketing and professional services 836 888
(52)
-6%
Research and development 2,275 2,764 (489) -18%
General and administrative 538 546 (8) -1%
Total depreciation 3,649 4,198
(549)
-13%

Depreciation for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 both decreased by 13% compared to the same periods of the previous fiscal year.

Finance Income and Costs

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Interest income 705 101 604 598%
Total finance income 705 101 604 598%
Interest expense on lease liabilities (474) (494) (20) -4%
Net foreign exchange loss (13) (356) (343) -96%
Total finance costs (487) (850) (363) -43%
Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Interest income 1,810 440 1,370 311%
Net foreign exchange gain 910 - 910 100%
Total finance income 2,720 440 2,280 518%
Interest expense on lease liabilities (1,932) (2,004) (72) -4%
Net foreign exchange loss - (495) (495) -100%
Total finance costs (1,932) (2,499) (567) -23%

Interest income for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 was higher than in the same periods of the previous fiscal year, mainly due to higher interest rates and higher cash balances.

Interest expense on the lease liabilities for the three months and year ended March 31, 2023 was consistent with the comparative periods.

CMG is impacted by foreign exchange fluctuations, as 74% of CMG’s revenue for the year ended March 31, 2023 (2022 – 70%) is denominated in US dollars, whereas only 27% (2022 – 24%) of CMG’s total costs are denominated in US dollars.

16

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

The following chart shows the exchange rates used to translate CMG’s USD-denominated working capital at March 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021 and the average exchange rates used to translate income statement items during the years ended March 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021:

CDN$to US$ At March 31
Yearlyaverage
2021 0.7952
0.7520
2022 0.8003
0.7980
2023 0.7383
0.7534

CMG recorded a very minor net foreign exchange loss for the three months ended March 31, 2023. During the year ended March 31, 2023, CMG recorded a net foreign exchange gain of $0.9 million due to a strengthening of the US dollar during the period, which positively affected the valuation of the USD-denominated portion of the Company’s working capital.

Income and Other Taxes

CMG’s effective tax rate for the year ended March 31, 2023 is 25.7% (2022 – 23.4%), whereas the blended Canadian statutory tax rate for the Company’s 2023 fiscal year is 23% (2022- 23%). The difference between the effective rate and the statutory rate is primarily due to the non-tax deductibility of stock-based compensation expense.

The benefit recorded in CMG’s books on the scientific research and experimental development (“SR&ED”) investment tax credit program impacts deferred income taxes. The investment tax credit earned in the current fiscal year reduces income taxes otherwise payable for the current fiscal year, but bears an inherent tax liability as the amount of the credit is included in the subsequent year’s taxable income for both federal and provincial purposes. The inherent tax liability on these investment tax credits is reflected in the year the credit is earned as a non-current deferred tax liability and then, in the following fiscal year, is transferred to income taxes payable.

Operating Profit and Net Income

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands,exceptper share data)
Total revenue 20,265 18,794 1,471 8%
Operatingexpenses (13,356) (11,482) (1,874) -16%
Operating profit 6,909 7,312 (403) -6%
Operating profit as a % of revenue 34% 39%
Net income 5,226 4,952 247 6%
Net income as a % of total revenue 26% 26%
Basic earningsper share($/share) 0.07 0.06 0.01 17%
Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands,exceptper share data)
Total revenue 73,846 66,202 7,644 12%
Operatingexpenses (47,986) (40,122) (7,864) -20%
Operating profit 25,860 26,080 (220) -1%
Operating profit as a % of revenue 35% 39%
Net income 19,797 18,405 1,392 8%
Net income as a % of total revenue 27% 28%
Basic earningsper share($/share) 0.25 0.23 0.02 9%

Adjusted operating profit and adjusted net income are non-IFRS financial measures. They do not have a standard meaning prescribed by IFRS and, accordingly, may not be comparable to measures used by other companies. Adjusted operating profit

17

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

is calculated as operating profit excluding CEWS and CERS subsidies and restructuring charges. Adjusted net income is calculated as net income excluding tax-affected CEWS and CERS subsidies and restructuring charges. Management believes that analyzing the Company’s performance exclusive of these items illustrates underlying trends in our business and provides better comparability between periods.

The following table provides a reconciliation of operating profit to adjusted operating profit and net income to adjusted net income:

Three months ended Three months ended Years ended
March 31 March 31
($thousands) 2023 2022 2023
2022
Operating profit 6,909
7,312
25,860 26,080
CEWS - (916) - (1,499)
CERS - - - (183)
Restructuring charge - - 3,943 851
Adjusted operating profit 6,909
6,396
29,803 25,249
Adjusted operating profit as a % of revenue 34% 34% 40%
38%
Net income 5,226
4,952
19,797 18,405
CEWS - (916) - (1,499)
CERS - - - (183)
Restructuring charge - - 3,943 851
Tax impact of adjusting items - 211 (907) 191
Adjusted net income 5,226
4,247
22,833 17,765
Adjusted net income as a % of total revenue 26%
23%
31%
27%

Operating profit as a percentage of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2023 was 34%, down from 39% in the comparative quarter and consistent with the adjusted operating profit in the comparative quarter.

Operating profit as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended March 31, 2023 was 35%, down from 39% in the comparative year. Adjusted operating profit was 40%, up from 38% in the comparative year.

Net income as a percentage of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2023 was 26%, consistent with the comparative quarter. Adjusted net income as a percentage of total revenue was 26% in the current quarter, up from 23% in the comparative quarter.

Net income as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended March 31, 2023 was 27%, down from 28% in the comparative year. Adjusted net income as a percentage of total revenue was 31%, up from 27% in the prior year.

18

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Adjusted EBITDA[(1) ]

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Net income 5,226 4,952 274 6%
Add (deduct):
Depreciation 912 1,054 (142) -13%
Finance (income) costs (218) 749 (967) -129%
Income and other taxes 1,901 1,611 290 18%
EBITDA(1) 7,821 8,366 (545) -7%
Add (deduct):
CEWS - (916) (916) -100%
Adjusted EBITDA(1) 7,821 7,450 371 5%
Adjusted EBITDA(1)as a % of total revenue 39% 40%
Year ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Net income 19,797 18,405 1,392 8%
Add (deduct):
Depreciation 3,645 4,198 (553) -13%
Finance (income) costs (788) 2,059 (2,847) -138%
Income and other taxes 6,851 5,616 1,235 22%
EBITDA(1) 29,505 30,278 (773) -3%
Add (deduct):
CEWS - (1,499) (1,499) -100%
CERS - (183) (183) -100%
Restructuring charge 3,943 851 3,092 363%
Adjusted EBITDA(1) 33,448 29,447 4,001 14%
Adjusted EBITDA as a % of total revenue 45% 44%

(1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. See the “Non-IFRS Financial Measures” section.

Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of total revenue was 39% in the current quarter, slightly down from 40% in the prior year quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of total revenue was 45% in the current year, up from 44% in the prior year.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Three months ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Cash, beginning of period 59,886 47,727 12,159 25%
Cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities 12,624 16,470 (3,846) -23%
Financing activities (3,953) (4,475) 522 12%
Investing activities (1,707) (62) (1,645) -2653%
Cash,end ofperiod 66,850 59,660 7,190 12%

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Years ended March 31, 2023 2022 $ change % change
($thousands)
Cash, beginning of period 59,660 49,068 10,592 22%
Cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities 25,879 28,715 (2,836) -10%
Financing activities (16,641) (17,420) 779 4%
Investing activities (2,048) (703) (1,345) -191%
Cash,end ofperiod 66,850 59,660 7,190 12%

At March 31, 2023, CMG had $66.9 million in cash, no borrowings and access to approximately $1.1 million under a line of credit with its principal banker. The Company’s primary non-operating use of cash during the year ended March 31, 2023 was dividend payments. Management believes that the Company has sufficient capital resources to meet its operating and capital expenditure needs.

During the year ended March 31, 2023, 15.3 million shares of CMG’s public float were traded on the TSX. As at March 31, 2023, CMG’s market capitalization based upon its March 31, 2023 closing price of $7.26 was $585.4 million.

Operating Activities

Cash provided by operating activities decreased by $3.8 million during the three months ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year. While funds flow from operations was $0.5 million higher in the current quarter than the comparative quarter due to higher revenue, it was offset by the changes in non-cash working capital during the current quarter.

Cash provided by operating activities decreased by $2.8 million during the year ended March 31, 2023, compared to the previous fiscal year. This was because of a $4.4 million decrease due to the movement in non-cash working capital, mainly in the receivables balance which was partially offset by a $1.5 million increase in funds flow from operations, primarily due to higher revenue in the current fiscal year.

Financing Activities

Cash used in financing activities increased by 12% and 4% in the three months and year ended March 31, 2023, respectively, compared to same periods of the previous fiscal year primarily due to the proceeds received for the issuance of common shares.

In the year ended March 31, 2023, CMG paid $16.1 million in dividends, representing the following quarterly dividends:

($per share) Q1
Q2

Q3
Q4
Totaldividends declared and paid 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

In the year ended March 31, 2022, CMG paid $16.1 million in dividends, representing the following quarterly dividends:

($per share) Q1
Q2

Q3
Q4
Totaldividends declared and paid 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

On May 24, 2023, CMG announced the payment of a quarterly dividend of $0.05 per share on CMG’s common shares. The dividend will be paid on June 15, 2023 to shareholders of record at the close of business on June 7, 2023. Decisions with respect to dividend payments are made by the Board of Directors on a quarterly basis and take into account market conditions and the financial performance of the Company.

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Investing Activities

CMG’s investing activities consist of capital asset additions, all of which are funded internally. During the year ended March 31, 2023, CMG’s net capital asset additions were $0.6 million for computer equipment and $1.3 million of intangible asset additions, compared to $0.7 million in capital asset additions in the previous fiscal year. CMG’s capital budget for fiscal 2024 is $1.5 million.

Commitments, Off Balance Sheet Items and Transactions with Related Parties

CMG, in partnership with Shell Global Solutions International B.V. (“Shell”) at present, and also in partnership with Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. historically, is the developer of CoFlow, the newest generation of reservoir and production system simulation software.

On January 1, 2017, Shell and CMG entered into an agreement (the “CoFlow Agreement”) for an initial five-year term, whereby CMG would be responsible for the research and development costs of CoFlow and Shell would be responsible for providing a contribution for the continuing development of the software.

On December 21, 2020, the CoFlow Agreement was amended when Shell exercised its right to request a five-year term extension, commencing January 1, 2022. All other terms and conditions in the CoFlow Agreement, including any related amendments, remain unchanged and in full force and effect during the extended term. In September 2021, CMG and Shell agreed that CMG will add and/or allocate up to six additional full-time employees in order to accelerate CoFlow development and support targeted CoFlow deployments, and Shell’s contribution will increase accordingly.

CMG has only minor ongoing material contractual obligations other than prepaid licenses, which are reflected as deferred revenue on the statement of financial position, and contractual obligations for office leases, which are estimated to be as follows as at March 31, 2023:

Undiscounted lease
Operating costs
(thousands of$) liability payments
and short-term leases

Total commitments
Less than one year 3,674
812

4,486
Between one and five years 13,820
4,332

18,152
More than five years 36,173 10,379
46,552
53,667
15,523

69,190

Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments

The preparation of financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the dates of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. By their nature, these estimates are subject to estimation uncertainty. The effect on the financial statements of changes in such estimates in future periods could be material and would be accounted for in the period in which the estimates are revised and in any future periods affected.

Functional currency – the determination of the functional currency is a matter of determining the primary economic environment in which an entity operates. IAS 21 Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates sets out a number of factors to apply in making the determination of the functional currency. However, applying the factors in IAS 21 does not always result in a clear indication of functional currency. Where IAS 21 factors indicate differing functional currencies within a subsidiary, the Company uses judgment in the ultimate determination of that subsidiary’s functional currency, including an assessment of the nature of the relationship between the Company and the subsidiary. Judgment was applied in the determination of the functional currency for certain operating entities of the Company.

Property and equipment – estimates are used in determining useful economic lives of property and equipment for the purposes of calculating depreciation.

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Contracts with multiple products or services – contracts with customers often include promises to deliver multiple products, such as licenses and maintenance. Determining whether such bundled products and services are considered i) distinct performance obligations that should be separately recognized or ii) non-distinct and therefore should be combined with another good or service and recognized as a combined unit of accounting may require significant judgment. The determination of the standalone selling prices (“SSP”) for distinct performance obligations can also require judgment and estimates. SSP for a performance obligation in a contract with customers is an estimate of the price that would be charged for the specific product or service if it was sold separately in similar circumstances and to similar customers.

Professional services revenue – the Company applies estimates when calculating professional services revenue from certain consulting contracts as it relates to remaining labour hours required to complete the contract. Estimates are continually and routinely revised as new information becomes available. In assessing revenue recognition, judgment is also used in assessing the ability to collect the corresponding accounts receivable.

Research and development – assumptions are made in respect to the eligibility of certain research and development projects in the calculation of scientific research and experimental development (“SR&ED”) investment tax credits which are netted against the research and development costs in the statement of operations and comprehensive income. SR&ED claims are subject to audits by relevant taxation authorities and the actual amount may change depending on the outcome of such audits.

Stock-based compensation – assumptions and estimates are used in determining the inputs used in the Black-Scholes option pricing model, including assumptions regarding volatility, dividend yield, risk-free interest rates, forfeiture estimates and expected option lives.

Outstanding Share Data

The following table represents the number of common shares, stock options, restricted share units and performance share units outstanding:

As at May 24, 2023
(thousands)
Common shares 80,668
Stock options 4,975
Restricted share units(1) 412
Performance share units(1) 51

(1) Upon vesting, restricted share units and performance share units can be exchanged for common shares of the Company or surrendered for cash.

The maximum number of common shares that may be reserved for issuance under the Company’s security-based compensation plans is limited to 10% of the issued and outstanding common shares. Based on this calculation, at May 24, 2023, CMG could reserve up to 8,066,763 common shares for issuance under its security-based compensation plans.

Business Risks

CMG’s activities expose it to a variety of business risks, such as:

Commodity Price Risk

CMG’s customers are primarily oil and gas companies, and we depend on our customers’ capital and operating spending budgets. Commodity price volatility and changing economic conditions could adversely affect our customers’ budgets, which could negatively affect demand for CMG’s products and CMG’s financial results. Additionally, sales of perpetual licenses, which require a relatively higher initial outlay, may decrease in favour of leasing software on a term basis.

Volatility in commodity prices could have an impact on CMG’s consulting business; however, this revenue stream generates less than 10% of total revenues.

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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Credit and Liquidity Risks

Our product demand is dependent on our customers’ overall spending plans, which are driven by commodity prices and the availability of capital. This risk is mitigated by having a diversified customer base with the majority of revenue being derived from larger entities which are not as affected by the market volatility or cyclical downturns in commodity prices. In addition, our diversified geographic profile helps to mitigate the effects of economic recessions and instability experienced in any particular geographic region.

The Company mitigates the collection risk by closely monitoring its accounts receivable and assessing creditworthiness of its customers. The Company has not had any material losses to date.

In terms of liquidity, the Company held $66.9 million of cash at March 31, 2023, which more than covers its obligations, and it has approximately $1.1 million of the credit facility available for its use. The Company’s cash is held with reputable banking institutions. For the described reasons, we believe that our liquidity risk is low.

Sales Variability Risk

CMG’s software license revenue consists primarily of annuity/maintenance software licensing, which is generally for a term of one year or less, and, to a lesser extent, perpetual software licensing, whereby the customer purchases the then-current version of the software and has the right to use that version in perpetuity. Software licensing under perpetual sales has comprised 5-8% of total software licensing revenue over the last two fiscal years, but is more variable in nature as the purchase decision, and its timing, fluctuate with customers’ needs and budgets. CMG has found that a number of customers prefer to acquire perpetual software licenses rather than leasing the software on an annual basis. The Company’s experience is that a number of these customers are purchasing additional licenses to allow more users to access CMG technology in their operations. CMG has found that a large percentage of its customers who have acquired perpetual software licenses are subsequently purchasing maintenance licenses to ensure they have access to current CMG technology.

The variability in sales of perpetual licenses may cause significant fluctuations in the Company’s quarterly and annual financial results, and these results may not meet the expectations of investors. Accordingly, the Company’s past results may not be a good indication of its future performance.

CMG’s customers are both domestic and international oil and gas companies, and for the year ended March 31, 2023, one customer comprised more than 10% of the Company’s total revenue (year ended March 31, 2022 – one customer).

Foreign Exchange Risk

CMG’s reported results are affected by the exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the US dollar as 74% of product revenues in fiscal 2023 were denominated in US dollars (2022 – 70%). 27% of CMG’s total costs in fiscal 2023 were denominated in US dollars (2022 – 24%), which provides a partial economic hedge against the fluctuation in currency exchange between the US and the Canadian dollar on revenues. CMG’s residual revenues and costs are primarily denominated in Canadian dollars, and its policy is to convert excess US dollar cash into Canadian dollars when received.

Geopolitical Risk

CMG sells its products and services in approximately 60 countries and maintains offices in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, the United Arab Emirates, Colombia and Malaysia. Some of these countries have greater economic, political and social risks than North America. Some of those risks include:

  • Costs associated with the use of foreign agents and contractors;

  • Difficulties in collecting accounts receivable;

  • Currency restrictions and exchange rate fluctuations;

  • The burdens of complying with a wide variety of foreign laws;

  • Changes in laws governing existing operations and contracts;

  • Changes to taxation policies dramatically increasing tax costs to the Company;

  • Possible social, labor, political, and economic instability, including the war in Ukraine;

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

  • Economic and legal sanctions (including with respect to the economic sanctions on Russia as a result of the war in Ukraine); and

  • Non-compliance with applicable anti-corruption and bribery laws.

Any disruption in our ability to complete a sale cycle, including disruption of travel to customers’ locations to provide training and support, and the cost of reorganizing daily activities of foreign operations, could have an adverse effect on CMG’s business, financial condition and operational results. CMG mitigates the potential adverse effect on sales by invoicing for the full license term in advance for the majority of software license sales and by invoicing as frequently as the contract allows for consulting and contract research services. CMG consults with tax advisors on complex tax issues and engages professional tax firms to review its tax filings in foreign jurisdictions. CMG closely monitors the business and regulatory environments of the countries in which it conducts operations to minimize the potential impact on costs and operations.

Non-compliance with applicable anti-corruption and bribery laws could subject the Company to onerous penalties and the costs of prosecution. CMG has established business practices and internal controls to minimize the potential occurrence of any irregular payments. In addition, the Company has established well-defined anti-corruption and bribery policies and procedures that each employee and contractor is required to sign indicating their compliance.

Competition Risk

Competition is a risk for CMG as it is for almost every company in every sector. The reservoir simulation software industry currently consists of three major suppliers (including CMG) and a number of small suppliers. Some of the other suppliers offer products or oil field services outside the scope of reservoir simulation. Some potential customers may prefer to deal with such multi-service suppliers, while others prefer an independent supplier, such as CMG.

Increased consolidation in oil and gas industry can result in a concentration of market share and reduced licensing of CMG’s products. If CMG’s customers acquire or merge with entities not using CMG’s products, such consolidation may have a positive impact on CMG. However, in most cases, consolidation leads to reduced engineering teams and spending to drive post-acquisition synergies, which leads to reduced licensing of CMG’s products.

Although competition is very active, CMG believes that its proven technology and the comprehensive scope of its products, combined with its international presence and recognition as a major independent supplier, provide distinct competitive advantages.

Sustaining competitive advantage is another issue, which CMG addresses by making a significant ongoing commitment to research and development spending. CMG spent $18.1 million on product research and development in its most recently completed fiscal year (2022 – $16.7 million).

The introduction by competitors of products embodying new technology and the emergence of new industry standards and practices could render CMG’s products obsolete and unmarketable and could exert price pressures on existing products, which could have negative effects on the Company’s business, operating results and financial condition.

Any new products CMG develops could require long development and testing and may not be introduced in a timely manner or may not achieve the broad market acceptance necessary to generate significant revenue. CMG also continues to face the challenge of the increasingly complex integration of its products to address customers’ requirements. If CMG is unable to successfully develop new products, or enhance and improve existing products or if we fail to position and/or price our products to respond on a timely basis to the changing needs of our customer base, then our business, operating and financial results will be adversely affected.

The competition in the reservoir simulation market has been increasing as existing and new competitors enhance and expand their products and service offerings. While switching costs for customers remain high, some competitors could facilitate switching or offer incentives for switching, which would have a negative impact on CMG’s revenue. Some competitors have greater name recognition and significantly greater financial, technical, sales, marketing and other resources. Competitors may offer lower prices, additional products or services, or other incentives that we cannot match or offer. Increased competition could result in pricing pressure, reduced sales, loss of market share, lower margins or other adverse effects on the business.

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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Our continuing ability to address these risks will depend, to a large extent, on our ability to retain a technically competent research and development staff and to adapt to technological advances in the industry.

There is a significant barrier for new entrants into the reservoir simulation software industry. The cost of entry is substantial as a significant investment in research and development is required. In addition, to become a major supplier, a significant time investment is required to build up quality relationships with potential customers.

CMG’s financial position allows us to grow in other product categories to provide a deeper offering to our customer base.

We seek to develop and offer high-value solutions that can be implemented with relative ease. We believe our products have advantages over many of our competitors including, but not limited to, leadership in modelling of difficult processes; exceptional customer training and support, and quality and performance such as speed, flexibility, functionality and ease of use leadership in modelling of difficult processes, exceptional customer support and training, and functionality and ease of use.

Qualified Personnel Risk

The Company’s continued success is substantially dependent on the performance of its key employees and officers. The loss of the services of these personnel as well as failure to attract additional key personnel could have a negative impact upon the Company’s business, operating results and financial condition. As a result of more flexible working arrangements, employees have more options when looking for employment, as they can work remotely for employers located in other provinces or countries. Consequently, employers find themselves competing for talent not only locally, but with other employers from around the world. Due to high levels of competition for qualified personnel, there can be no assurance that the Company will be successful in retaining and attracting such personnel. The Company attempts to overcome this by offering an attractive compensation package and providing an environment that provides the intellectual and professional stimulation sought by our employee group.

Intellectual Property Risk

CMG regards its software as proprietary and attempts to protect it with copyrights, trademarks and trade secret measures, including restrictions on disclosure and technical measures. Despite these precautions, it may be possible for third parties to copy CMG’s programs or aspects of its trade secrets. CMG has no patents, and existing legal and technical precautions afford only limited practical protection. CMG could incur substantial costs in protecting and enforcing its intellectual property rights. Moreover, from time to time third parties may assert patent, trademark, copyright and other intellectual property rights to technologies that are important to CMG. In such an event, CMG may be required to incur significant costs in litigating a resolution to the asserted claim. There can be no assurance that such a resolution would not require that CMG pay damages or obtain a license of a third party’s proprietary rights in order to continue licensing its products as currently offered, or, if such a license is required, that it will be available on terms acceptable to CMG.

CMG is not aware of any infringement of any third party’s patent rights, copyrights, trade secrecy rights or other intellectual property disputes in the development or support of its products.

Cyber Risk

CMG is dependent on information technology (“IT”) infrastructure to process, transmit and store electronic information, to advertise, inform and train around CMG’s products and services, to manage business operations and for the functioning and/or delivery of the Company’s products and services. CMG’s IT infrastructure is composed of hardware, software, networks, data center facilities, web servers, and all related equipment. Natural disasters, energy blackouts, operating malfunction, software viruses or malware, cyber security attacks, theft, computer or telecommunication errors, human error, internal or external misconduct or other unknown disruptive events could result in the temporary or permanent loss of any or all parts of CMG’s IT infrastructure. Any such incident or breach could create system disruptions and slowdowns or could result in the loss of potential sales and existing customers. In such an event, the information stored in CMG’s IT infrastructure could be accessed, publicly disclosed, lost, or stolen, which could subject CMG to liability and cause the Company to incur significant costs to eliminate or alleviate the problem. Additionally, such occurrences could cause negative publicity, loss of sales, litigation, affect our business and financial results and harm CMG’s reputation. CMG mitigates such risks by:

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

  • ensuring its core network is not connected to the Internet;

  • firewalling the servers that are connected to the Internet;

  • restricting access to information through user authentication;

  • completing frequent back-ups of data in accordance with the Company’s Backup and Data Classification Policy;

  • having a disaster recovery plan in place;

  • having an Information and Cyber Security Policy in place, which informs employees, contractors and other authorized users of the Company’s IT infrastructure of their obligatory requirements for protecting the technology and information assets of the Company; and

  • conducting mandatory annual cyber security training for all employees.

CMG’s cyber risk oversight is conducted by the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors.

Although CMG has implemented disaster recovery plans and extensive technology security initiatives to prevent, detect and address these threats, it is virtually impossible to entirely mitigate these risks. To date, CMG has not experienced any material losses relating to cyber attacks or other information security breaches.

Evolving Laws and Regulation

CMG’s website and operations collect some user information, including personal information. However, the website is not used for e-commerce transactions, and CMG neither receives nor retains financial information from its website users. CMG’s products are not known to have any security vulnerabilities. CMG’s products are engineering decision-making tools and are not employed in a cyber security (mitigation or defensive) role, as part of our customers’ IT infrastructure. CMG’s software releases are scanned for software viruses and malware, confirming a lack thereof, prior to delivery to customers.

Companies that use, transmit or store data are increasingly becoming subject to legislation and regulations in numerous jurisdictions. Privacy and data protection laws are constantly evolving and there is a risk that these laws may be interpreted and applied in conflicting ways from country to country. Because CMG’s products and services are sold worldwide, certain jurisdictions may claim that we are required to comply with such laws and may cause CMG to incur additional costs. CMG could also be affected if legislation or regulations are expanded to require changes in our products, services or business practices.

Tax Liability Risk

With operations and sales in various countries, CMG is subject to taxes in several jurisdictions around the world. Significant judgment is required in determining the Company’s worldwide liability for income, indirect and other taxes, as well as potential penalties and interest. Although management believes that all expenses and tax credits claimed by the Company, including research and development expenses and foreign tax credits, are reasonable, deductible and have been correctly determined, tax authorities may disagree with the treatment of items reported by the Company, the result of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. CMG mitigates these risks by staying informed of changes in tax legislation, consulting with tax advisors on complex tax issues and having professional tax firms review the Company’s tax filings.

CMG conducts operations worldwide through subsidiaries in various tax jurisdictions pursuant to transfer pricing arrangements with its subsidiaries. If two or more affiliated companies are located in different countries, the tax laws or regulations of each country generally will require that transfer prices be the same as those between unrelated companies dealing at arm’s length. While we believe that we operate in compliance with applicable transfer pricing laws and intend to continue to do so, a tax authority in one or more jurisdictions could challenge the validity of our related-party transfer pricing methodologies, which could result in adjustments in favor of the taxing authority. To address this risk, CMG engages local professional tax firms to review the Company’s transfer pricing agreements and dealings with foreign tax authorities.

Climate Change Risk

The recent shift toward public and government support of climate change initiatives, such as emission reduction targets, clean energy standards, and alternative energy incentives and mandates, could impact the demand for hydrocarbons in Canada and around the world. CMG’s customers are oil and gas companies; therefore, increasing environmental regulations, taxes, laws or

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Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report

Management’s Discussion & Analysis

penalties could reduce oil and gas producers’ cash flow by way of reduced demand, increased capital expenditures and increased operating expenses, as well as increased delays, costs or legal hurdles, which may not be recoverable in the marketplace. Such regulation changes include, but are not limited to, curtailment rules, new climate change regulations and the implementation of the Canadian Energy Regulator Act . The complexity and breadth of changes in environmental regulation make it extremely difficult to predict the potential impact to CMG; however, it is possible to conclude that these developments and future global developments in the energy sector could adversely impact the demand for CMG’s products.

Extreme Climatic Conditions

Climate change may increase the frequency of severe weather conditions and natural disasters, such as flooding and forest fires, shifts in temperature and precipitation, and changing sea levels. The Company's major customers are oil and gas exploration and production companies, and the operations of these customers can be affected by extreme weather, which can threaten their assets and available cash. This may result in cessation or diminishment of production or implementation of new projects, which can affect the demand for CMG's products and adversely affect the Company's financial results.

Energy Transition

In addition to emissions regulations and the physical risks of climate change, climate-related transition risks could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations, and could adversely impact the Company’s reputation. For example, increased public opposition to companies in the oil and gas sector could lead to constrained access to insurance, liquidity and capital and changes in demand for the Company’s products, which may impact its revenue. Increasing pressure by the Company’s customers to develop new technologies to help them reduce the intensity of their operations and their emissions could require significant capital investment in research and development.

The Company’s management and Board monitor these risks on a quarterly basis and discusses strategies to deal with these risks (along with all other identified risks of the Company) at its annual strategic planning session. Overall, the Company is not able to estimate, at this time, the degree to which climate change related regulatory, climatic conditions, and transition risks could impact the Company’s financial and operating results.

Disclosure Controls and Procedures and Internal Control over Financial Reporting

Management is responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (“DC&P”) and internal control over financial reporting (“ICFR”) as defined under National Instrument 52-109.

At March 31, 2023, the Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) and the Chief Financial Officer (“CFO”) concluded that the design and operation of the Company’s DC&P were effective (in accordance with the COSO control framework (2013)) and that material information relating to the Company, including its subsidiaries, was made known to them and was recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified under applicable securities legislation. Further, the CEO and the CFO concluded that the design and operation of the Company’s ICFR were effective at March 31, 2023 in order to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with IFRS. It should be noted that while the Company’s CEO and CFO believe that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures and internal controls over financial reporting provide a reasonable level of assurance that they are effective, they do not expect that such controls and procedures will prevent all errors and fraud. A control system, no matter how well conceived or operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met.

During the year ended March 31, 2023, there have been no significant changes to the Company’s ICFR that have materially affected or are reasonably likely to materially affect the Company’s ICFR.

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Management’s Discussion & Analysis

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 2023 Financial Report