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Commerzbank AG

Quarterly Report May 15, 2024

81_ip_2024-05-15_d81a1d74-b75a-4638-8d55-929ada3825fa.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Strong start in 2024

Analyst conference – Q1 2024

15 May 2024 Commerzbank, Manfred Knof, CEO, and Bettina Orlopp, CFO, Frankfurt

Manfred Knof CEO

Strong start in 2024 with record quarterly result

CET1 ratio

Significantly improved earnings power reflects strong client franchise

Increasingly healthy return profile in positive rates environment targeting RoTE of at least 8% for 2024

Strong capital ratio underpins significant capital return potential

German leading indicators point to a pick-up of GDP

Expected wage inflation will likely impact rates trajectory and requires high cost discipline

Strong performance in a dynamic macro environment

Loan demand in Germany still muted with investments trending abroad

Customer centric business model with high asset quality pays off in challenging environment

Delivering on management priorities for 2024

Ensure delivery of targeted capital return 50% pay-out by €600m buyback and €35ct dividend completed, application for next buyback planned with H1 results

Grow fee income

Good start in Q1 – contribution of Aquila Capital Management and Global Payments JV only after closing later in the year

Strict performance & execution management

Steering focus on fee generating business and Cost-Income-Ratio

Strengthen customer loyality

Commerzbank and comdirect awarded best retail banks (€uro Magazin) and best bank in Germany (Global Finance Magazine)

Improve employee satisfaction

Employee survey in Q1 indicates improved sentiment

Key take-aways from Q1 2024

Moving Forward

We had a strong start in 2024

We confirm our outlook for 2024

We target a pay-out ratio1 of at least 70%

1) Pay-out ratio based on net result after potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon payments; pay-out not exceeding net result after potential AT1 coupon payments

Bettina Orlopp CFO

Record operating result of €1.1bn

Revenue growth driven by strong customer business

51 23 60 28 72

-173 -347 -234 -340 -318

Revenues up 3% YoY reflects high level of client activity in both customer segments

Net interest income (NII) up 9% YoY and stable compared to Q4 with volume growth offsetting higher pass-through rate (deposit beta)

Net commission income (NCI) up 1% YoY with seasonally strong securities business – on track to 4% growth YoY

Net fair value result (NFV) reflects partial offset of NII – in Corporate Clients good contribution from capital markets business

Other income excluding provisions for FX loans benefits mainly from early repayment of legacy loans

Provisions for FX loans at mBank in Q1 2024 amounted €318m. In total, provisions for FX loans at the end of Q1 stood at €1.9bn

Other Income (excl. FX loan prov.)

FX loan provisions

Net interest income in Q1 still close to peak level

Corporate Clients (CC) with increasing deposit beta at stable deposit volumes

Private and Small-Business Customers Germany (PSBC Germany) with ongoing growth in call deposits at positive margins offsetting higher beta. Additionally, adjustment of the replication portfolio in Q4 23 leads to higher NII in Q1 with offset in O&C

mBank with stable NII QoQ based on continued effective deposit margin management and beginning rebound in lending

Others & Consolidation (O&C) with lower NII QoQ mainly reflecting other side of the adjustment in the replication portfolio of PSBC

Continued substantial growth in call deposits

Deposit volume (Group ex mBank)

Loan volume (Group ex mBank)

(Quarterly average in €bn)

German mortgage business stable with positive new business trend from low level

Consumer finance book slightly lower at €3.1bn

CC with slight growth in investment loans

Higher PSBC deposit volume driven by inflows into call accounts partly offset by lower sight deposits

CC stable deposit volume with ongoing shift from sight to term and call deposits

Corporate Clients Private and Small-Business Customers Germany

NII outlook improved from ~€7.9bn to ~€8.1bn on good Q1

Development of NII1 (€bn)

Assumptions and outlook1

ECB deposit rates

Average ECB deposit rate expected at 3.8% in 2024 (~€45m annualized sensitivity to +/-10bps in ECB rate)

Deposit volume

Deposit volume increased by ~€9bn in Q1 due to strong inflow of call money – softer trend expected in the next quarters

Deposit beta2

Q1 average deposit beta in Germany at ~35% reflecting strong inflow of call money

FY average deposit beta in Germany expected to increase with lower ECB rates (~€90m annualized sensitivity to +/-1pp beta change)

Replication portfolio

Replication portfolio of €124bn targeted to grow over time and contribute ~€400m in 2024; a larger replication portfolio supports future NII while reducing 2024 results

mBank

NII expected above 2023 level

1) Outlook based on forward rates as of 2 May 2024

2) Deposit beta is the average interest pass-through rate to customers across interest bearing and non-interest bearing deposit products based on ECB deposit rate

Good start in fee based business in 2024

Corporate Clients (CC) with exceptionally strong start in the year across all product and client groups

Private and Small-Business Customers Germany (PSBC Germany) with stable performance YoY when excluding €20m one-off contribution from Commerz Real in Q1 23

mBank with QoQ higher income from payment cards and account fees as well as lower commission expenses

Confirming outlook of 4% growth in 2024

Strong start in CC in all product areas

194 187 188 103 191 199 334 320 327 300 361 Net commission income Corporate Clients (€m)

Net commission income PSBC Germany (€m)

35

Q3 23

106

28 Q2 23

Payments business Pension products / other

Corporate Clients

Strong growth from DCM business (bond issuance and syndications) in Capital Markets, more than offsetting slightly weaker FX business

Trade finance and cash management with better international business

Lending with strong domestic guarantees business and increased loan fees

Private and Small-Business Customers Germany

YoY increased securities revenues ex Commerz Real

Securities volume up €15bn with €1.7bn from net new money in Q1

Payments business stable YoY

114

27 Q1 23

Continued strict cost discipline

Costs (€m)

Total group costs below last year due to lower compulsory contribution, especially European bank levy

Compared to last year, operating expenses for Group ex mBank are nearly on the same level as general salary increases were compensated by active cost management

Operating expenses for mBank rose as a result of investments in business growth and FX effects

Decreasing compulsory contribution in 2024 due to suspended contribution to single resolution fund as target volume has been reached

Operating expenses Compulsory contributions

High credit quality maintained

Overall risk result on the level of previous year driven by single cases and releases mBank with very low risk result of -€11m

NPE ratio unchanged at 0.8% Russia exposure further reduced (see page 32) Cost of risk on loans (CoR) of 11 bps on the level of Q1 2023

Re-calculation of TLA led to reduction in PSBC (from €175m to €169m) and in CC (from €274m to €252m)

TLA of O&C slightly lower at €2m

€423m TLA available to cover expected secondary effects from supply chains, uncertainties from inflation, and the impact of the current restrictive monetary policy

(€m)

(bp)

Record results based on growth in clients segments

Operating result (€m)

CC: record result on strong revenues in all client groups

P&L CC

€m Q1 23 Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q1 24
Revenues 1,079 1,126 1,171 1,106 1,224
o/w Mittelstand 603 654 658 665 656
o/w International Corporates 249 266 286 282 298
o/w Institutionals 192 206 207 211 233
o/w others 34 - 0 19 -52 37
Risk result 54 -169 -4 -36 -54
Operating expenses 514 514 522 561 508
Compulsory contributions 78 -6 - 0 - 0 - 0
Operating result 541 449 645 508 661
RWA (end of period in €bn) 82.0 82.7 83.3 82.8 80.6
CIR (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 54.9 45.1 44.6 50.8 41.6
Operating return on equity (%) 20.8 17.1 24.5 19.3 25.5

YoY higher revenues in all products and customer groups – mainly higher NII from the deposit business but also growth in commission generating businesses

QoQ lower contributions from deposits due to higher deposit beta at overall stable volumes

In International Corporates and Institutionals strong commission growth more than offsetting lower revenues from deposits QoQ

Mittelstand's fee business could not fully offset lower deposit contributions QoQ

RWA decreased 3% QoQ mainly due to lower credit risk RWA driven by improved ratings of several larger corporates

Good customer business in PSBC Germany

P&L PSBC Germany

€m Q1 23 Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q1 24
Revenues 1,146 1,050 1,046 895 1,166
o/w Private Customers 833 768 781 670 895
o/w Small-Business Customers 230 223 229 183 225
o/w Commerz Real 83 59 36 42 47
Risk result -91 -9 -39 -92 -15
Operating expenses 702 723 705 800 714
Compulsory contributions 64 18 4 15 15
Operating result 289 299 299 -11 423
RWA (end of period in €bn) 32.4 31.8 30.8 31.5 32.1
CIR (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 66.8 70.6 67.7 90.9 62.4
Operating return on equity (%) 28.1 29.3 30.0 -1.1 42.0

Private Customers mainly benefiting from good deposit business – further supported by adjustment of replication portfolio in Q4 23

Small-Business Customers with overall stable revenues – QoQ revenue growth also due to adjustment of replication portfolio in Q4 23

Commerz Real maintains stable revenues from core business – Q1 23 benefitted from one-offs of €35m

Net increase of customer base in Germany by 88k in Q1 largely due to new deposit customers

mBank with excellent underlying customer business

P&L mBank

€m Q1 23 Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q1 24
Revenues 356 226 346 307 341
Risk result -37 -39 -55 -109 -11
Operating expenses 143 157 161 184 172
Compulsory contributions 76 44 41 43 76
Operating result 100 -14 89 -28 82
RWA (end of period in €bn) 21.3 21.7 20.9 22.3 22.9
CIR (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 61.6 88.7 58.4 73.7 72.7
Operating return on equity (%) 14.9 -2.0 12.9 -4.1 11.5
Provisions for legal risks of FX loans of mBank -173 -347 -234 -340 -318
Credit holidays in Poland 11 -2 - 0 4 - 0

Operating result excluding additional provisions for FX loans and credit holidays increased to record €400m

Volume of CHF loans before deductions at €1.6bn; total provisions for legal risk of €1.9bn (thereof €0.6bn liabilities for repaid loans as well as for legal fees) – net volume €0.3bn and coverage ratio of 116%

Additional provisions of ~€80m are expected to be booked in Q2 for prolongation of credit holidays by the Polish government

Others & Consolidation's NII decrease offset in PSBC

P&L O&C

€m Q1 23 Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q1 24
Revenues 86 227 192 101 15
o/w Net interest income 229 315 291 367 169
o/w Net commission income -11 -10 -12 -11 -14
o/w Net fair value result -170 -100 -132 -248 -192
o/w Other income 38 22 45 -7 52
Risk result 6 9 7 -15 5
Operating expenses 104 87 116 13 102
Compulsory contribution 42 -4 - 0 1 - 0
Operating result -54 153 84 72 -82
RWA (end of period in €bn) 35.8 37.8 38.7 38.5 37.5

NII at O&C lower after adjustment of replication portfolio of PSBC Germany in Q4 23

No remuneration of minimum reserves at ECB since end of Q3 23

QoQ improved NFV due to AT1 FX effect

NFV result continues to reflect offset to higher NII at higher short-term rates compared to negative rate environment

CET1 ratio of 14.9% provides large buffer to MDA

RWA development by risk types (€bn | eop)

Market risk Operational risk Credit risk

Credit RWA lower driven by improved ratings of several larger corporates

Capital nearly unchanged – no inclusion of net result in Q1 2024

Impact of recent acquisitions on CET1 ratio expected at around 10bp after closing

Increased capital distribution for 2024

1) Pay-out ratio based on net result after potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon payments; pay-out not exceeding net result after potential AT1 coupon payments

Targets for 2024 – improved NII outlook

NII ~€8.1bn and 4% growth in NCI

Cost-income-ratio of ~60%

Risk result <€800m assuming usage of TLA

CET1 ratio >14%

Net result above last year → pay-out ratio1≥70% subject to future development of CHF burden in mBank

1) Pay-out ratio based on and not exceeding net result after potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon payments; share buyback as part of pay-out subject to approval by ECB and German Finance Agency

Appendix

Commerzbank at a glance 25

Corporate Clients
Private and Small-Business Customers
mBank
Financials at a glance
Key figures Commerzbank share

26

27

28

29

30

German Economy 31

Exposure and risk related information

Russia net exposure 32
Commerzbank's risk provisions related to
stages
33
Focus sectors: automotive, machinery,
energy/utilities, construction/paper,
chemicals/plastics, metals
34-40
Commercial real estate 41
Residential mortgage business 42
Corporate responsibility
ESG ratings 43
Sustainable products target 44
Green Infrastructure Finance portfolio 45
Green bonds 46
Funding & rating
Liquidity position / ratios 47
Capital markets funding 48-49
Pfandbrief cover pools 50-51
MREL requirements 52
Distance to MDA 53
Rating overview 54
Loan and deposit volumes 55
Capital management
IAS 19: Pension obligations 56
FX impact on CET1 ratio 57
Capital Return Policy 58
Group equity composition 59

P&L tables

Commerzbank Group 60
Corporate Clients 61
Private and Small-Business Customers 62
PSBC Germany 63
mBank 64
Others & Consolidation 65
Exceptional revenue items
by segment
66
Glossary 67
Contacts & financial calendar 68
Disclaimer 69

Commerzbank at a glance

  • 2 nd largest listed bank in Germany
  • Member of German blue chip index DAX 40
  • Approximately 37k employees
  • Market capitalisation ~€16.6bn1
  • Total assets ~€550bn

Customer segments

  • Corporate Clients
  • Private and Small-Business Customers
    • Germany
    • mBank in Poland

1) As of 7 May 2024

Corporate Clients

German Corporate Clients

  • Small and medium-sized enterprises (Mittelstand, over €15m turnover)
  • Large customers with affinity for capital markets as well as public sector

International Clients

  • International Large Corporates with connectivity to Germany
  • Austria and Switzerland (DACH) and selected future-oriented sectors as well as leading German multinational companies

Institutionals

  • Financial Institutions (FIs)
  • Selected Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs)
  • (Sub)Sovereigns

We are delivering service excellence for our corporate clients - in Germany and globally

No 1 in financing German Mittelstand based on trustful client relationships and strong expertise

Leading bank in processing German foreign trade finance with approximately 30% market share

Strong regional franchise in Germany, global presence in more than 40 countries worldwide

Excellence in supporting our clients with their transformation journey based on dedicated ESG advisory teams and tailored structured finance solutions for green infrastructure projects

Private and Small-Business Customers Germany

  • Customers with daily banking needs
  • Convenient standard banking products (e.g. current account, consumer finance)

  • Self-directed customers with high digital affinity

  • Excellent brokerage product portfolio for beginners to professionals

comdirect Small-Business Customers

  • Customers with an entrepreneurial background, under €15m turnover
  • Our product portfolio is a one-stop shop for private and professional needs

Private Customers Wealth Management & Private Banking

  • Customers with higher need for individual and personal advice on site
  • Product focus on lending and asset management solutions

We are the bank at our customers' side – addressing needs via our two-brand strategy

C C
1 2
(

One of the leading banks for private and smallbusiness customers in Germany with approximately 11m customers

€uro Magazin voted Commerzbank best branch based bank and comdirect best direct bank in Germany

Strong direct banking capabilities and excellent remote advice for all customers with focus on scale and efficiency

Individually tailored advisory model with excellent solutions and personal advice for premium clients

mBank | Part of segment Private and Small-Business Customers

Client Groups

Private Customers

  • Serving private customers across Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia with state-of-the-art digital banking solutions
  • Steady 2% CAGR in private customer base over the last seven years
  • Addressing especially highly digital-affine young customers

Corporate Clients

  • Strong customer base of SME and large corporates
  • Continuous CAGR of +7% in number of corporate clients over the last seven years
  • Preferred business partner of German corporates in Poland

~1.7k ~2k

As an innovative digital Bank, mBank is Poland's fifth largest universal banking group1

Serving approximately 5.7m private customers and corporate clients across Poland (4.6m), Czech Republic and Slovakia (1.1m)

Beneficial demographic profile with average age of private customers of approximately 37 years

Leading mobile banking offer for individual client needs

Attractive mix of around 350 private customer service locations in Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia and 43 branches for corporate clients in Poland

1) In terms of total assets, net loans and deposits, as of 31 December.2023

Client Groups

Client Groups

Commerzbank financials at a glance

Group Q1 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024
Total revenues €m 2,668 2,409 2,747
Risk result €m -68 -252 -76
Personnel expenses €m 899 878 918
Administrative expenses (excl. depreciation) €m 381 466 385
Depreciation €m 185 213 193
Compulsory contributions €m 260 59 91
Operating result €m 875 542 1,084
Net result €m 580 395 747
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) % 64.6 67.1 57.8
Accrual for potential AT1 coupon distribution current year €m -48 -47 -49
Net RoE % 8.0 5.0 10.1
Net RoTE % 8.3 5.2 10.5
Total assets €m 497,357 517,166 551,977
Deposits (amortised cost) €m 363,235 379,311 390,279
Loans and advances (amortised cost) €m 269,405 268,935 273,966
RWA €m 171,528 175,114 173,081
CET1 €m 24,368 25,720 25,769
CET1 ratio % 14.2 14.7 14.9
Total capital ratio (with transitional provisions) % 18.9 19.3 19.5
Leverage ratio % 4.8 4.9 4.6
Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) % 139.1 145.4 144.9
Net stable funding ratio (NSFR) % 127.2 130.2 131.5
NPE ratio % 1.1 0.8 0.8
Group CoR on Loans (CoRL) (year-to-date) bps 10 23 11
Full-time equivalents excl. junior staff (end of period) 35,971 36,559 36,508

Key figures Commerzbank share

Figures per share

(€)

YE 2021 YE 2022 YE 2023 Q1 2024
Number of shares issued (m) 1,252.40 1,252.40 1,240.22 1,184.673
Market capitalisation (€bn) 8.4 11.1 13.3 15.1
Net asset value per share (€) 20.502 21.602 23.33 24.57
Low/high Xetra
intraday prices (€)
4.70/7.19 5.17/9.51 8.31/12.01 10.15/12.85

1) Based on average number of outstanding shares in the period

2) Restatement

3) Number of outstanding shares after share buyback Q1 2024

Outlook for German economy improving

Latest development

At the start of the year, there are first signs of hope for the German economy. The mood among companies has recently brightened considerably and real GDP increased by 0.2% in the first quarter compared to the final quarter of 2023, after shrinking by 0.5% at the end of last year.

The dampening effect of the interest rate hikes implemented by the ECB and many other Western central banks over the past two years seems to have peaked. The global manufacturing appears to be turning, which is also benefiting the German economy. In addition, energy prices have fallen significantly, even if they are still much higher than before the Covid pandemic and the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. Finally, the headwind from the FX market has eased.

Due to the weak economy, the number of unemployed has increased in recent months. However, unemployment remains significantly lower than it has been for most of the past 40 years.

As in the previous month, the inflation rate in April was 2.2%, just above the ECB target of 2%. However, excluding the often highly volatile energy and food prices, the core inflation rate was still significantly higher at 3.0%.

Outlook for 2024

The modest improvement of leading indicators gives hope that the German economy has gradually reached the bottom of the cycle and that the economy will pick up again as the year progresses. In addition to the diminishing effect of rate hikes, this is also supported by falling inflation, which, together with the stronger rise in wages, is leading to higher real wages. This should stimulate private consumption in the coming months.

1)

Germany Eurozone

However, a strong upturn is not to be expected. The adjustment of construction production to significantly lower demand has not yet been completed. This is compounded by a rather restrictive financial policy and the numerous structural problems in the German economy.

Furthermore, although the ECB is likely to gradually lower its key interest rate from June, they will proceed very cautiously in terms of both the extent and speed of the rate cuts, thus giving the economy less of a boost than at the start of previous recovery phases. This is because it is likely to become increasingly clear in the coming months that the inflation problem has not yet been solved. In fact, both in Germany and in the eurozone as a whole, service prices will continue to rise sharply as a result of rapidly increasing wage costs. The core inflation rate is therefore likely to stabilise at well above 2% and prevent the ECB from significantly easing its monetary policy.

Russia exposure

2022 2023 2024
Net exposure (€m) 18 Feb 31 Dec 31 Mar 30 Jun 30 Sep 31 Dec 28 Mar
Corporates 621 261 217 184 161 148 116

thereof
at Eurasija
392 61 46 37 31 21 11
Banks 528 46 44 15 15 14 13
Sovereign
(at Eurasija)
127 87 66 57 45 47 37
Pre-export finance 590 350 318 320 190 135 5
Total 1,866 744 645 576 411 344 171

Group exposure net of ECA and cash held at Commerzbank reduced to €171m

Additionally, Eurasija holds domestic RUB deposits of equivalent ~€0.5bn at Russian Central Bank/Moscow Currency Exchange

We continue to reduce exposures while supporting existing clients in compliance with all sanctions regulations

Overall exposure with adequate risk provisions including TLA

Exposure increase in stage 1 due to deposits at central banks

Overall risk provisions nearly unchanged with shifts between the stages

Overall level of TLA decreased to €423m

TLA increases the effective coverage of our credit portfolio mainly in stage 2

1) Exposure at Default relevant for IFRS 9 accounting (on- and off-balance exposures in the accounting categories AC and FVOCI; figures of previous quarters partly adjusted)

2) Note: TLA is not assigned to stages, hence it is not included in the coverage

15 May 2024 Commerzbank, Bettina Orlopp, CFO, Frankfurt 33

Focus sectors

Corporates' sectors

(EaD | €bn)

Share within Commerzbank's Group portfolio 03/2024

Sector exposures Group ex mBank

Automotive

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • OEM/Tier1-supplier are the cornerstone of our portfolio and are assessed to emerge from current challenges fundamentally intact. Exceptionally strong OEM profit levels seen in 2022 and 2023 are expected to moderate in 2024
  • 2023 full year results for the suppliers continued to trail the OEMs, though came in within expectations. 2024 is expected to prove no less challenging for suppliers mainly due to inflation and volatile demand (especially for eMobility)
  • Even though global car demand is forecasted to continue to grow, the challenges of the disruptive and dynamic technological transformation, management of supply chains in light of geopolitical risks, advent of new competitors and more and more indications of eroding competitiveness in the EU and particularly Germany is putting pressure on OEMs and suppliers alike
  • Suppliers had already to deal with margin pressure due to strong increases of input price levels. Clients with weaknesses in their business model, e.g. a weaker market position, will find it hard to pass through increased costs, leading to eroding margins. Effective cost optimisation will be a key area of management attention for many suppliers. We also observe that profits are increasingly driven by operations outside Germany, which is creating challenges for corporates without sufficient size or financial means to localise operations
  • Client-specific risk factors are assessed to materialise from time to time, leading to a moderate increase of intensive care cases. Usual reasons triggering a transfer to intensive care include short term liquidity needs or complex refinancing situations. Commerzbank is continuously evaluating and mitigating respective risks by increasing structural protections and approach the client and all related internal functions at an early stage, including the intensive care department

Group ex mBank / Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key)

Machinery

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • Overall stable sector due to internationalisation and very high diversification within the portfolio
  • Supply chain disruptions eased and higher material, as well as upstream products costs are included in calculations, while partially falling prices support earnings. On the other hand continuously rising costs for services and labour are putting pressure on the margins. The shortage of manpower is the main mid-to-long-term challenge for the clients, even though the current cooldown of economy helps to ease the effects
  • The decline in new orders due to the general cooling-down of the world economy and high interest rates have a visible effect for the majority of our clients. Where relevant, order books cover the production for 2024. With falling interest rates expected from mid 2024 onwards, clients are expecting a pick-up of orders towards the end of the year
  • With slowing demand, prices for new orders could come under pressure and therefore negatively influence future earnings in 2024/2025. A strict cost management will help clients to cope with these effects
  • While higher cost of production will support the demand for cash facilities, we expect to see an overall declining utilisation due to melting order books, especially for guarantee facilities. There is a demand for cash loans driven by strong market players seeing good opportunities to consolidate their respective market or broaden their product range or production capability

Energy / Utilities

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • Energy sector: As part of the critical infrastructure, the sector is fundamentally stable, albeit strongly affected by the erratic price development, especially of gas in 2022. Thanks to massive governmental interventions across Europe and the very mild winter periods 2022/23 and 2023/24, the price levels have stabilised on an overall acceptable level. The energy supply seems to be secure so far. Gas storage is high across Europe. Russian energy exports no longer play a significant role in Europe's energy supply (the US is now the main supplier of LNG to Europe), however, some risk factors remain (e.g. the physical safety of critical infrastructure is vulnerable)
  • Our portfolio is dominated by large international corporates with integrated business models (generation, trade, storage, grids, distribution). Current development includes the strong expansion of renewable energy capacities with increasing investment requirements, the security of supply and the decarbonisation of the heating sector. Fossil energy sources continue to decline. Renewable energies expansion requires the expansion/optimisation of the grid and the construction of additional storage capacities. Meanwhile the outlook for the main sub-sectors is "green", but we are still very reluctant towards wholesale electricity, gas and coal companies (especially discount providers). Our outlook "red" for the sub-sector "energy trading" remains unchanged
  • In Germany there is an urgent need to establish a regulatory framework for 1) new gas-fired power plants (acc. to BMWK2 15-25 GW by 2030), incentive and investment security for implementation are still unclear and must be established as soon as possible (e.g. capacity mechanism), 2) building up a hydrogen economy and infrastructure and 3) and a further decarbonised heating infrastructure
  • Nevertheless and overall, the financial effects for the energy sector should be manageable

Group ex mBank / Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

  • 1) "Other" sub-portfolio generally includes individual major exposures that carry out business activities in various subsectors and are not allocated to a sub-portfolio. Due to the diversification of these clients, no uniform sector outlook can be given
  • 2) BMWK: Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz / Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action

Construction / Paper

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • The construction portfolio is diversified with a high proportion of borrowers with investment grade ratings. Bigger customers are international companies in Europe. The financing focus lies in the short-term and guarantee business
  • The increases in material and energy costs led to a significant increase of building costs. Due to higher energy costs, the rise in interest rates and the accelerating inflation consumers suffered a significant loss of purchasing power. This has led to a significant decline of incoming orders mainly from private households but also for commercial investments in Germany. In comparison, infrastructure investments are more stable
  • The slowing demand negatively impacts the construction supply industry and the building materials trade. The trend will continue in 2024.
  • Due to necessary investments in the production plants the portfolio in the paper sector has a higher part of mid-and-long-term credit facilities. The credit exposure increased continuously over the last months. Due to the deteriorating economy and existing overcapacities, companies are currently postponing further investments
  • The paper industry is experiencing a significant decline in demand due to the overall economic reluctance to buy. This requires price reductions on the sales side, which exceed the savings in raw material costs and the relief on the energy side. Some companies temporarily reduce there production. Therefore we see a lower profitability, but nevertheless still on an acceptable level
  • Mainly the larger companies have broader opportunities to face the current challenges and were able to build up sufficient buffers in the past

Group ex mBank / Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

Chemicals / Plastics

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • A weak global economy due to multiple crises as well as the falling export quota to China slowed down the chemical industry. Global chemical production rose by only 2.9% by December 2023. Production losses due to unfavourable site conditions were at -8.0% in the EU27 and at -10% in Germany. Despite the decline in production, 82% of the portfolio remain investment grade. Outlook: After a difficult 2023, there was a slight increase in incoming orders in Q1 2024. Industry expects rapid recovery only if the investment and consumer climate becomes more favorable. Large companies and global players generally have strong financial resources and are able to cope with the economic impact whereas the risk profile of SMEs is temporarily worsening (especially in the plastics sector)
  • As an energy-intensive sector, the chemical industry uses oil/gas as raw material. Due to the numerous crises in the global environment, current oil/gas prices are rising again and demand in consumer markets is low. Companies are taking countermeasures like cost-cutting programs, price increases (price escalation clauses), and investment reductions in order to stabilise their operating income. In Germany, in particular, the industry is faced with high production costs, regulations, bureaucracy and weak demand for chemicals. For this reason, the trend of domestic deindustrialisation continues.
  • Plastic is an important industry with composite materials and follows the cyclical nature of its market. It is mostly anchored in the small and medium-sized business. Companies are often not able to pass on the energy/raw material prices directly (time lag). Therefore the margins are temporarily weakened.

  • Group ex mBank / Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

  • 1) EaD peak in 09/23 due to technical reasons only

2) ¼ of the EaD peak in 03/24 caused by growth within the portfolio, remaining ¾ due to reclassification of already existing risks to the chemicals sector

Metals

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • The metal portfolio is diversified with a high share of borrowers with investment grade ratings. The portfolio is also regionally wide spread with a high share of international exposures. The focus is primarily on short-and-mid-term business. Against this background, the portfolio is well-prepared for a recession scenario. However our sector strategy is still on hold due to the ongoing structural challenges
  • Metal production and processing were highly affected by the energy and gas price development. Compared to international competitors, German companies in particular are at a disadvantage. Gas serves both as a process component and a primary energy source in the production process. The metal industry is often at the beginning of the value chain and can trigger a knock-on effect with considerable consequences for the buying industries, especially automotive, machinery and construction. Global positioning protects some groups with diversified locations. Production sites in America, Asia and parts of Europe outside the primarily affected countries can temporarily balance out negative influences in individual locations
  • The metal industry had a strong performance in the past two years and the first quarter 2023 because of the rising prices and the good business environment. Due to the economic downturn this came to an end in 2023. The earnings' situation deteriorated especially in the second half of 2023 due to shrinking demand and higher costs (materials, energy, personal). However, producers are entering this downturn in a better leveraged position than in previous periods with better liquidity and equity reserves, which were built up on the basis of the good operating profitability in the last years. Companies expect a sideways trend in 2024 at best. Overall, the sector outlook is slightly negative

Group ex mBank / Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

1) "Other" sub-portfolio generally includes individual major exposures that carry out business activities in various subsectors and are not allocated to a sub-portfolio. Due to the diversification of these clients, no uniform sector outlook can be given

Commercial Real Estate (asset-based)

Group ex mBank (mBank CRE exposure €2.2bn)

1) City categories according to Bulwiengesa. Category A represents the seven most attractive and liquid real estate cities in Germany

2) Until further notice or variable interest rate

Location 03/241 (€bn | EaD Performing) Germany A-cities B-cities C-cities D-cities Other Outside Germany 0.7 0.3 0.5 2.0 0.0

Fixed interest period 03/24

Portfolio

  • Portfolio amounts to €9.2bn of which €0.3bn is non performing exposure (~4% of total portfolio)
  • Sound rating profile with a high share of 80% with investment grade quality
  • EaD share IFRS9 stages: 89% in S1 (91% 12/23), 7% in S2 (5% 12/23) and 4% in S3 (4% 12/23)
  • Assets focused on most attractive A-cities. More than 99% of financed objects are located in Germany
  • Offices and residential with the highest share of the portfolio (together €6.4bn)
  • Average LTV is 52% largest asset class office with 51% LTV
  • Nearly 50% of the portfolio with full or partial recourse to the sponsor or borrower
  • Development risk with about 4% share of the portfolio; increased requirements implemented

Strategy

▪ As a result of the current macroeconomic situation, the new business strategy will continue to be cautious. Strong restraint in the non-food retail sector

German residential mortgage business & property prices

Residential properties

(index values)

Owner occupied housing Single family houses Condominiums Multi family houses

Prices of houses and flats, existing stock and newly constructed dwellings, averages

Overall mortgage portfolio

Mortgage volume rises slightly in Q1/24 – risk quality remained stable so far:

Rating profile with a share of 92.9% in investment grade ratings (12/23: 92.9%); poor rating classes 4.x/5.x with 1.7% share only

Vintages of recent years developed more favorably so far; NPE-ratio remains at a low level of less than 0.4% (coverage 87%)

New business in Q1/24 with €2.3bn around 69% higher than in previous quarter

Repayment rates slightly down from 2.57% to 2.49%

Portfolio guidelines and observations for PD, LtCV and repayment rates are continuously monitored. Compared to the drawn loan volume, the EaD (exposure at default) also considers undrawn commitments

Average "Beleihungsauslauf" (BLA) in new business of 81.9% in Q1/24 (82.6% in Q4). German BLA is more conservative than the internationally used LtV definition due to the application of the strict German Pfandbrief law

Increased costs of living are adequately taken into account in the application process

Quality of residential real estate portfolio remains stable in a still challenging environment

ESG ratings prove that we are on the right track

ESG Rating

Double A rated in the upper part of the MSCI ESG rating scale

Above industry average positions in terms of privacy & data security, human capital development and financing environmental impact

Severe High Medium Low Negligible

ESG Risk Rating

Commerzbank is at medium risk of experiencing material financial impacts from ESG factors (score of 26.0 / 100 with 0 being the best)

D- D D+ C- C C+ B- B B+ A- A A+

ESG Corporate Rating

Rated in the ISS ESG prime segment and within the top 20% of the industry group

Excellent ratings especially in the categories staff & suppliers, environmental management, corporate governance and business ethics

ESG QualityScores

Commerzbank assigned with low ESG risks by ISS ESG QualityScores

Social QualityScore 1, Environmental QualityScore 2, Governance QualityScore 3

(D-/D) Leadership (A-/A) Management (B-/B) Awareness (C-/C)

Climate Change Rating

Rated B, which indicates that Commerzbank is taking coordinated action on climate issues

Excellent ratings and above industry average positions particularly in the categories emissions reduction initiatives and low carbon products, governance as well as risk management processes

Good start of sustainable products in Q1 2024

1) 2021 and 2022 numbers based on different method of calculation due to broader scope of included advisory products. * Flow value / ** Stock value

2) Adjustment on 28 February 2024 – based on audited figures

Development of Green Infrastructure Finance portfolio

2) MLA = Mandated Lead Arranger

Commerzbank AG has 3 green bonds outstanding with a total volume of €1.6bn

(%)

Commerzbank Green Bond Framework1

An amount equivalent to the net proceeds will be used exclusively to (re)finance eligible renewable energy loans. The assigned green assets are subject to an annual review by Sustainalytics.

58

Wind Onshore Wind Offshore

PV

13

29

Assigned assets Green Bond DE000CB0HRQ92

Allocation by country Allocation by technology

(%)

1) The Green Bond Framework can be found here.

2) Based on allocation reporting as of 06/2023.

Assigned assets Green Bond DE000CZ45W572

(%)

Comfortable liquidity position

Highly liquid assets

(€bn | eop)

Net stable funding ratio (NSFR)

Liquidity risk management

  • Daily calculation of the liquidity gap profile
  • Liquidity reserves are ring-fenced in separate portfolios on the balance sheet (assets and funding respectively)
  • Intraday liquidity reserve portfolio (central bank eligible collateral) serves as cushion for a possible intraday stress
  • Stress liquidity reserve portfolio consists of highly liquid assets and covers potential liquidity outflows according to the liquidity gap profile under stress

Half of the funding plan has been executed in Q1 2024

Group Funding structure1

Benchmarks / Highlights

  • Pfandbriefe: €2bn dual tranche Pfandbriefe with 3 and 7 years maturities, €1bn 10 year Mortgage-Pfandbrief
  • Preferred senior: €500m 3NC2 Floating Rate Note
  • Non-preferred senior: €750m 7NC6 year benchmark
  • Various private placements of secured and unsecured funding
  • In April 2024 (not included in figures): Tier 2 €750m 10.5NC5.5 year benchmark

Issuance activities Q1 2024 (€bn | nominal values)

Funding plan 2024 around €10bn

1) Based on balance sheet figures

Expected funding volume 2024 around €10bn

Covered Prefered Senior Non-preferred Senior Subordinated Additional Tier 1 others

Continued focus on diversification of funding Well-balanced maturity profile

1) Nominal value

Funding activities1

(€bn)

2) Based on balance sheet figures, senior unsecured bonds includes preferred and non-preferred senior bonds

15 May 2024 Commerzbank, Bettina Orlopp, CFO, Frankfurt 49

Mortgage Pfandbrief cover pool (03/2024)

Overview by property type

Others

SFH Flats MFH

  • €1m to €10m
  • Over €10m
Cover pool details1
--------------------- --
Total assets: €43.2bn
o/w cover loans: €41.6bn
o/w further assets: €1.6bn
Fixed rated assets: 98%
Weighted avg. LTV ratio: 51%
Outstanding Pfandbriefe: €30.6bn
Fixed rated
Pfandbriefe
76%
Cover surplus: €12.5bn
(41% nom.)
Moody's rating: Aaa

Highlights

  • German mortgages only
  • 98% German residential mortgages, only 2% commercial
  • Over 70% of the mortgages are "owner occupied"
  • Highly granular cover pool with 74% of the loans €300k or smaller

1) Commerzbank Disclosures according to §28 Pfandbriefgesetz 31 March 2024

74%

€41.6bn

20%

Public Sector Pfandbrief cover pool (03/2024)

Borrower / guarantor & country breakdown

Euro USD GBP

Currency breakdown

zerland
tria
ice

Cover pool details1

Total assets: €16.3bn
o/w municipal loans : €8.3bn
o/w export finance loans : €2.7bn
Fixed rated assets: 77%
Outstanding Pfandbriefe: €9bn
Fixed rated Pfandbriefe: 62%
Cover surplus: €7.2bn
(80% nom.)
Moody's rating: Aaa

Highlights

  • Commerzbank utilises the public sector Pfandbrief to support its German municipal lending and guaranteed export finance business.
  • 75% are assets from Germany

  • 89% of the assets are EUR denominated

1) Commerzbank Disclosures according to §28 Pfandbriefgesetz 31 March 2024

Comfortable fulfilment of RWA and LRE MREL requirements

MREL Requirements and M-MDA

Based on data as of 31 March 2024, Commerzbank fulfils its current MREL RWA requirement1 of 27.98% RWA with an MREL ratio of 32.6% RWA and the MREL subordination requirement of 20.34% RWA with a ratio of 28.5% RWA, both including the combined buffer requirement (CBR)

Both, the MREL LRE ratio of 8.9% and MREL subordination LRE ratio of 7.8% comfortably meet the requirement of 6.53%

The issuance strategy is consistent with all RWA and LRE based MREL requirements

  • 1) In May 2023, Commerzbank AG received its current MREL requirement calibrated based on data as of 31 December 2021. The resolution approach is a multiple point of entry (MPE) with two separate resolution groups (resolution group A: Commerzbank Group without mBank subgroup; resolution group B: mBank subgroup). The legally binding MREL (subordination) requirement is defined as a percentage of risk-weighted assets (RWA) and leverage ratio exposure (LRE)
  • 2) Includes amortized amount (regulatory) of Tier 2 instruments with maturity > 1 year
  • 3) According to §46f KWG or non-preferred senior by contract

Commerzbank's MDA

Distance to MDA

(%)

455bps distance to MDA based on Q1 2024 CET1 ratio of 14.89% and 2023 SREP requirements

  • MDA increased by 18bps compared to Q4 2023 driven by increase in P2R requirement2 (+14bps), increase in AT1 shortfall (+3bps) and CCyB increase (+2bp)
  • Q1 2024 AT1 shortfall of 7bps
  • Well prepared for small MDA increase in 2024 due to upcoming increase of CCyB ~4bps

AT1 layer will continue to be managed to maintain appropriate distance to MDA. Based on the new SREP P2R we target a Tier 2 layer above 2.56% in 2024 – Tier 2 with moderate maturities and issuance needs in 2024

1) Based on RWAs of €173.1bn as of Q1 2024. AT1 requirement of 1.922% and Tier 2 requirement of 2.563%

2) New 2023 SREP determined a slight increase of Pillar 2 requirement (P2R) by 25bps to 2.25%, hence increase in CET1 P2R by 14bps

Rating overview Commerzbank

As of 15 May 2024 Recent rating events
Bank
ratings
S&P Moody's
Counterparty rating/assessment1 A A1/ A1 (cr)
Deposit rating2 A-
positive
A1 positive
Issuer credit rating (long-term debt) A-
positive
A2 positive
Stand-alone rating (financial strength) bbb baa2
Short-term debt A-2 P-1
Product ratings (unsecured issuances)
Preferred senior unsecured debt A-
positive
A2 positive
Non-preferred senior unsecured debt BBB- Baa2
Subordinated debt (Tier
2)
BB+ Baa3
Additional Tier 1 (AT1) BB- Ba2
Product ratings (secured issuances)
Mortgage Pfandbriefe - Aaa
Public Sector Pfandbriefe - Aaa

Moody´s has raised the outlook of Commerzbank's issuer credit rating (=preferred senior rating) and deposit rating to positive in April 2024

2) Includes corporate and institutional deposits

1) Includes parts of client business (i.e. counterparty for derivatives)

Loan and deposit development

(€bn | quarterly average)

Corporate Clients

Private and Small-Business Customers

Performing loan volume Deposit volume

In CC, increase of loan volumes mainly with International Corporates

Deposit volumes increased in Mittelstand and decreased in International Corporates

Increase in deposit volume at PSBC Germany driven by call money

In PSBC Germany >90% of deposits are insured (>65% statutory and >25% private insurance)

In CC >55% of deposits are insured (<5% statutory and almost 55% private insurance)

IAS 19: Development of pension obligations

Cumulated actuarial gains and losses (€m)

Cumulated OCI effect1 Pension obligations (gross)

Discount rate in %2

In Q1 24, the relevant market rates broadly moved sideways, leaving the IAS19 discount rate at 3.7% in Q1, unchanged versus year-start. The present-valued pension obligations (DBO) therefore changed only marginally, mainly due to non-valuation effects such as regular pension payments

On the same market environment, pension assets produced a minor OCI loss YtD

Together, pension obligations and pension assets produced a minor YtD net OCI loss of -€4m (after tax) on Group level

The discount rate is derived from an AA rated government bond basket, re-calibrated on corporate bond level, with an average duration of roughly 14 years

The funding ratio (plan assets vs. pension obligations) is 106% across all Group plans

1) OCI effect driven by development of plan assets versus pension obligations, after tax, without minorities; cumulated since 1/1/2013 (new IAS19 standard) including possible restatements

2) Discount rate for German pension obligations (represents 97% of Group pension obligations)

FX impact on CET1 ratio

QoQ change in FX capital position

Balanced impact on CET1 ratio1 since increasing effect of the currency translation reserve is nearly offset by higher FX driven credit risk RWA

Slight increase in credit risk RWA from FX effects mainly due to stronger USD (+€426m), GBP (+€101m) and PLN (+€81m) partly offset by RUB (-€6m) and other currencies

Higher currency translation reserve mainly due to increase from USD (+47m), PLN (+€15m) and GBP (+€8m) partly offset by RUB (-€3m)

FX rates3 12/23 03/24
EUR / GBP 0.869 0.855
EUR / PLN 4.340 4.312
EUR / USD 1.105 1.081
EUR / RUB 99.321 100.402

1) Based on current CET1 ratio

2) Change in credit risk RWA solely based on FX not on possible volume effects since 12/23

3) FX rates of main currencies only

Commerzbank Capital Return Policy

Clear capital return plan with prudent capital buffer

Capital return 2022-24

Capital return 2022-2024 based on increasing pay-out ratios leading to a capital return of ~€3bn1

2022: 30% (€0.4bn) 2023: 50% (€1.0bn) 2024: ≥70%

2024 return consists of share buyback2 applied for after H1 2024 results and dividend approved at AGM in 2025

Capital return 2025-27

2025-2027 capital return with a pay-out ratio well above 50% but not more than the net result1 ; pay-out is depending on economic development and business opportunities

Return consists of share buyback2 and dividend approved at AGM of following year

Commerzbank aims for a steady development of the dividend with increasing results. Share buybacks will be applied for remaining capital to be returned within the pay-out ratio

CET1 ratio

Reaching and maintaining prudent CET1 ratio of 13.5%

CET1 ratio of at least 250bp above MDA after distribution prerequisite for dividend payment

Additional prerequisite for a share buyback is a CET1 ratio of at least 13.5% after distribution2

Updated with FY 2023 figures

1) Pay-out based on net result after potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon payments

2) Subject to approval by ECB and German Finance Agency

Group equity composition

Capital €bn Q4 2023
EoP
Q1 2024
EoP
Q1 2024
Average
P&L €m Q1 2024 Ratios Q1 2024
1
Common equity tier 1 capital 1
25.7 25.8 25.7 Operating Result 1,084 à
Op. RoCET
16.9%
DTA 0.2 0.2
Minority interests 0.5 0.5
Prudent Valuation 0.4 0.4
Defined Benefit pension fund assets 0.6 0.4
Instruments that are given recognition in AT1 Capital 3.1 3.1
Other regulatory adjustments 0.2 0.4
1
Tangible equity 1
30.7 30.7 30.7 Operating Result 1,084 à
Op. RoTE
14.1%
Goodwill and other intangible assets (net of tax) 1.1 1.1 1.1
1
IFRS capital 1
31.8 31.9 31.9
Subscribed capital 1.2 1.2
Capital reserve 10.1 10.1
Retained earnings 16.8 16.8
t/o consolidated P&L 2.2 0.7
t/o cumulated accrual for pay-out and potential AT1 coupons -1.2 -1.4
Currency translation reserve -0.3 -0.2
Revaluation reserve -0.1 -0.1 Consolidated P&L 747
Cash flow hedges -0.1 0.0 ./. accrual for potential AT1
coupon distribution current year
-49
1
IFRS capital attributable to Commerzbank shareholders 1
27.7 27.7 27.7 Consolidated P&L adjusted
for RoE/RoTE
698 à
Net RoE
10.1%
1
Tangible equity attributable to Commerzbank shareholders 1
26.6 26.6 26.7 Net RoTE 10.5%
Additional equity components 3.1 3.1 3.1
Non-controlling interests 1.0 1.0 1.0

1) Includes consolidated P&L reduced by pay-out accrual and accrual for potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupons

Q1 2024
Average
P&L €m Q1 2024 Ratios Q1 2024
Operating Result 1,084 à
Op. RoCET
16.9%
1,084 à
Op. RoTE
14.1%
./. accrual for potential AT1
coupon distribution current year
-49
698 à
Net RoE
10.1%
for RoE/RoTE

Commerzbank Group

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1
€m 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2024
Total underlying revenues 2,655 2,621 2,727 2,434 10,438 2,719
Exceptional items 13 9 27 -25 23 28
Total revenues 2,668 2,629 2,755 2,409 10,461 2,747
o/w Net interest income 1,947 2,130 2,166 2,126 8,368 2,126
o/w Net commission income 915 841 831 798 3,386 920
o/w Net fair value result -72 -17 -67 -202 -359 -53
o/w Other income -122 -324 -175 -313 -933 -246
o/w Dividend income - 0 4 9 14 26 8
o/w Net income from hedge accounting -3 10 -8 40 39 -12
o/w Other financial result 3 15 60 -25 52 45
o/w At equity result 1 3 - 0 1 4 - 0
o/w Other net income -123 -355 -235 -342 -1,055 -287
Risk result -68 -208 -91 -252 -618 -76
Operating expenses 1,464 1,481 1,504 1,557 6,006 1,496
Compulsory contributions 260 52 45 59 415 91
Operating result 875 888 1,116 542 3,421 1,084
Restructuring expenses 4 4 6 4 18 1
Pre-tax result Commerzbank Group 871 885 1,109 537 3,403 1,083
Taxes on income 279 338 405 166 1,188 322
Minority Interests 12 -19 20 -24 -10 14
Consolidated Result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders and investors in 580 565 684 395 2,224 747
additional equity components
Total Assets / Total Liabilities 497,357 501,603 509,885 517,166 517,166 551,977
Average capital employed 24,048 24,729 25,365 25,642 24,945 25,694
RWA credit risk (end of period) 142,866 144,802 144,128 144,044 144,044 142,739
RWA market risk (end of period) 7,588 8,326 8,701 8,280 8,280 7,766
RWA operational risk (end of period) 21,074 20,849 20,797 22,790 22,790 22,576
RWA (end of period) 171,528 173,977 173,626 175,114 175,114 173,081
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 64.6% 58.3% 56.2% 67.1% 61.4% 57.8%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 14.6% 14.4% 17.6% 8.5% 13.7% 16.9%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 11.8% 11.8% 14.6% 7.0% 11.3% 14.1%
Return on equity of net result (%) 8.0% 7.6% 9.2% 5.0% 7.4% 10.1%
Net return on tangible equity (%) 8.3% 7.9% 9.6% 5.2% 7.7% 10.5%

Corporate Clients

€m Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
FY
2023
Q1
2024
Total underlying revenues 1,061 1,125 1,166 1,117 4,469 1,216
Exceptional items 18 1 5 -11 13 8
Total revenues 1,079 1,126 1,171 1,106 4,482 1,224
o/w Net interest income 627 696 718 741 2,781 713
o/w Net commission income 334 320 327 300 1,281 361
o/w Net fair value result 132 128 129 75 463 152
o/w Other income -15 -18 -2 -9 -44 -1
o/w Dividend income - 0 2 - 0 2 4 - 0
o/w Net income from hedge accounting - 0 -1 -1 1 - 0 - 0
o/w Other financial result -2 -1 2 -1 -2 - 0
o/w At equity result 1 3 1 - 0 5 - 0
o/w Other net income -14 -21 -3 -12 -50 -2
Risk result 54 -169 -4 -36 -155 -54
Operating expenses 514 514 522 561 2,111 508
Compulsory contributions 78 -6 - 0 - 0 73 - 0
Operating result 541 449 645 508 2,143 661
Total Assets 135,005 135,282 139,461 134,434 134,434 134,392
Total Liabilities 161,953 163,634 170,851 169,034 169,034 174,731
Average capital employed 10,393 10,512 10,508 10,521 10,481 10,378
RWA credit risk (end of period) 72,741 73,457 73,687 72,594 72,594 70,586
RWA market risk (end of period) 4,767 5,000 5,398 5,118 5,118 4,753
RWA operational risk (end of period) 4,474 4,271 4,168 5,122 5,122 5,287
RWA (end of period) 81,983 82,727 83,252 82,834 82,834 80,626
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 54.9% 45.1% 44.6% 50.8% 48.7% 41.6%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 20.8% 17.1% 24.5% 19.3% 20.4% 25.5%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 19.1% 15.7% 22.7% 17.9% 18.8% 23.6%

Private and Small-Business Customers

€m Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
FY
2023
Q1
2024
Total underlying revenues 1,495 1,284 1,399 1,182 5,360 1,507
Exceptional items 7 -7 -6 20 13 1
Total revenues 1,502 1,276 1,392 1,202 5,373 1,508
o/w Net interest income 1,091 1,119 1,157 1,018 4,385 1,244
o/w Net commission income 592 531 517 510 2,150 573
o/w Net fair value result -34 -45 -64 -29 -173 -13
o/w Other income -147 -328 -218 -296 -988 -296
o/w Dividend income - 0 1 10 7 18 10
o/w Net income from hedge accounting - 0 -2 4 -5 -3 1
o/w Other financial result -12 -5 1 29 14 2
o/w At equity result - 0 - 0 -1 - 0 -1 -1
o/w Other net income -134 -321 -232 -328 -1,016 -309
Risk result -128 -49 -94 -201 -472 -26
Operating expenses 846 880 866 983 3,575 886
Compulsory contributions 140 62 45 57 303 91
Operating result 389 286 388 -39 1,023 505
Total Assets 172,230 173,963 176,152 179,698 179,698 178,399
Total Liabilities 208,616 211,608 215,713 228,351 228,351 236,522
Average capital employed 6,804 6,817 6,742 6,681 6,769 6,891
RWA credit risk (end of period) 39,857 40,042 39,300 39,703 39,703 41,845
RWA market risk (end of period) 598 683 691 777 777 700
RWA operational risk (end of period) 13,289 12,738 11,729 13,336 13,336 12,406
RWA (end of period) 53,744 53,463 51,720 53,816 53,816 54,952
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 65.6% 73.8% 65.4% 86.5% 72.2% 64.8%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 22.9% 16.8% 23.0% -2.3% 15.1% 29.3%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 21.8% 16.1% 22.2% -2.3% 14.5% 28.5%
Provisions for legal risks of FX loans of mBank -173 -347 -234 -340 -1,094 -318
Operating result ex legal provisions on FX loans 562 632 622 301 2,117 823

PSBC Germany | Part of segment Private and Small-Business Customers

€m Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1
2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2024
Total underlying revenues 1,153 1,056 1,052 879 4,139 1,166
Exceptional items -7 -6 -5 17 -2 - 0
Total revenues 1,146 1,050 1,046 895 4,138 1,166
o/w Net interest income 603 572 596 438 2,209 661
o/w Net commission income 511 450 436 438 1,836 489
o/w Net fair value result 8 2 -8 -28 -26 4
o/w Other income 24 26 21 47 119 13
o/w Dividend income - 0 - 0 10 6 16 9
o/w Net income from hedge accounting - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
o/w Other financial result - 0 - 0 - 0 25 26 - 0
o/w At equity result - 0 - 0 -1 - 0 -1 -1
o/w Other net income 25 26 12 15 78 5
Risk result -91 -39 -92 -231 -15
Operating expenses 702 723 705 800 2,930 714
Compulsory contributions 64 18 4 15 100 15
Operating result 289 299 299 -11 877 423
Total Assets 126,025 126,286 127,621 127,630 127,630 126,711
Total Liabilities 162,826 164,313 167,921 176,738 176,738 185,200
Average capital employed 4,118 4,089 3,988 3,927 4,032 4,025
RWA credit risk (end of period) 23,522 23,359 23,261 23,078 23,078 24,364
RWA market risk (end of period) 247 311 281 326 326 330
RWA operational risk (end of period) 8,676 8,125 7,294 8,115 8,115 7,392
RWA (end of period) 32,445 31,795 30,837 31,520 31,520 32,086
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 66.8% 70.6% 67.7% 90.9% 73.2% 62.4%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 28.1% 29.3% 30.0% -1.1% 21.7% 42.0%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 27.7% 28.7% 29.3% -1.1% 21.3% 41.1%

mBank | Part of segment Private and Small-Business Customers

€m Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
FY
2023
Q1
2024
Total underlying revenues 342 228 347 304 1,221 341
Exceptional items 14 -1 -1 3 15 1
Total revenues 356 226 346 307 1,235 341
o/w Net interest income 488 547 561 580 2,176 583
o/w Net commission income 81 80 80 72 313 84
o/w Net fair value result -42 -47 -56 -2 -147 -17
o/w Other income -171 -354 -239 -343 -1,107 -309
o/w Dividend income - 0 1 - 0 1 2 1
o/w Net income from hedge accounting - 0 -2 4 -5 -3 1
o/w Other financial result -12 -5 1 4 -12 2
o/w At equity result - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
o/w Other net income -159 -347 -245 -343 -1,094 -314
Risk result -37 -39 -55 -109 -241 -11
Operating expenses 143 157 161 184 645 172
Compulsory contributions 76 44 41 43 203 76
Operating result 100 -14 89 -28 146 82
Total Assets 46,204 47,677 48,531 52,068 52,068 51,688
Total Liabilities 45,790 47,294 47,792 51,613 51,613 51,323
Average capital employed 2,686 2,729 2,754 2,754 2,737 2,866
RWA credit risk (end of period) 16,334 16,683 16,039 16,625 16,625 17,481
RWA market risk (end of period) 351 372 410 451 451 371
RWA operational risk (end of period) 4,613 4,613 4,435 5,220 5,220 5,014
RWA (end of period) 21,299 21,668 20,883 22,296 22,296 22,865
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 61.6% 88.7% 58.4% 73.7% 68.7% 72.7%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 14.9% -2.0% 12.9% -4.1% 5.4% 11.5%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 13.5% -1.9% 12.2% -3.9% 5.0% 11.1%

Others & Consolidation

€m Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
FY
2023
Q1
2024
Total underlying revenues 99 212 163 135 609 -4
Exceptional items -13 15 29 -34 -2 19
Total revenues 86 227 192 101 606 15
o/w Net interest income 229 315 291 367 1,202 169
o/w Net commission income -11 -10 -12 -11 -45 -14
o/w Net fair value result -170 -100 -132 -248 -650 -192
o/w Other income 39 22 45 -7 99 52
o/w Dividend income -1 - 0 -1 5 4 -2
o/w Net income from hedge accounting -2 13 -11 44 43 -13
o/w Other financial result 16 21 57 -53 41 43
o/w At equity result - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
o/w Other net income 26 -12 - 0 -3 11 24
Risk result 6 9 7 -15 8 5
Operating expenses 104 87 116 13 320 102
Compulsory contributions 42 -4 - 0 1 40 - 0
Operating result -54 153 84 72 255 -82
Restructuring expenses 4 4 6 4 18 1
Pre-tax result -59 150 77 68 236 -83
Total Assets 190,122 192,359 194,272 203,035 203,035 239,185
Total Liabilities 126,788 126,361 123,321 119,781 119,781 140,724
Average capital employed 6,851 7,400 8,115 8,439 7,695 8,424
RWA credit risk (end of period) 30,268 31,303 31,141 31,747 31,747 30,308
RWA market risk (end of period) 2,223 2,643 2,612 2,386 2,386 2,313
RWA operational risk (end of period) 3,311 3,840 4,900 4,331 4,331 4,883
RWA (end of period) 35,802 37,787 38,653 38,464 38,464 37,503

Exceptional Revenue Items Commerzbank Group

€m Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
FY
2023
Q1
2024
Exceptional Revenue Items 13 9 27 -25 23 28
Net interest income -7 -6 -5 -5 -23 - 0
Net fair value result 9 17 33 -45 13 28
o/w Hedging & valuation adjustments¹ 9 17 33 -45 13 28
Other income 11 -2 - 0 25 34 - 0
PSBC Germany -7 -6 -5 17 -2 - 0
Net interest income -7 -6 -5 -5 -23 - 0
o/w PPA Consumer Finance -7 -6 -5 -5 -23 - 0
Other income - 0 - 0 - 0 21 21 - 0
o/w Prov. re judgement on pricing of accounts - 0 - 0 - 0 21 21 - 0
mBank 14 -1 -1 3 15 1
Net fair value result 3 1 -1 -1 3 1
o/w Hedging & valuation adjustments¹ 3 1 -1 -1 3 1
Other income 11 -2 - 0 4 12 - 0
o/w Credit holidays in Poland 11 -2 - 0 4 12 - 0
CC 18 1 5 -11 13 8
Net fair value result 18 1 5 -11 13 8
o/w Hedging & valuation adjustments¹ 18 1 5 -11 13 8
O&C -13 15 29 -34 -2 19
Net fair value result -13 15 29 -34 -2 19
o/w Hedging & valuation adjustments¹ -13 15 29 -34 -2 19

¹ FVA, CVA / DVA; in O&C incl AT1 FX effect

Glossary – Key ratios

Key
Ratio
Abbreviation Calculated
for
Numerator Denominator
Group Private and Small Business
Customers and Corporate Clients
Others & Consolidation
Cost/income ratio
(incl. compulsory contributions) (%)
CIR (incl. compulsory
contributions) (%)
Group as well as segments
PSBC and CC
Operating expenses and compulsory
contributions
Total revenues Total revenues n/a
Operating return on CET1 (%) Op. RoCET (%) Group and segments
(excl. O&C)
Operating profit Average CET1¹ 12.7% ² of the average RWAs
(YTD: PSBC Germany €31.7bn,
mBank €22.6bn, CC €81.7bn)
n/a
(note: O&C contains the
reconciliation to Group CET1)
Operating return on tangible equity (%) Op. RoTE (%) Group and segments
(excl. O&C)
Operating profit Average IFRS capital after deduction of
intangible assets ¹
12.7% ² of the average RWAs plus
average regulatory capital deductions
(excluding intangible assets)
(YTD: PSBC Germany €0.1bn,
mBank €0.1bn, CC €0.8bn)
n/a
(note: O&C contains the
reconciliation to Group tangible
equity)
Return on equity of net result (%) Net RoE (%) Group Consolidated Result attributable to
Commerzbank shareholders and investors in
additional equity components after pay-out
accrual (if applicable) and after deduction of
potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon
Average IFRS capital without non
controlling interests and without
additional equity components ¹
n/a n/a
Net return on tangible equity (%) Net RoTE (%) Group Consolidated Result attributable to
Commerzbank shareholders and investors in
additional equity components after pay-out
accrual (if applicable) and after deduction of
potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon
Average IFRS capital without non
controlling interests and without
additional equity components after
deduction of intangible assets (net of
tax) ¹
n/a n/a
Non-Performing Exposure ratio (%) NPE ratio (%) Group Non-performing exposures Total exposures according to EBA Risk
Dashboard
n/a n/a
Cost of Risk on Loans (bps) CoRL (bps) Group Risk Result Loans and Advances
[annual report note (25)]
n/a n/a
Key
Parameter
Calculated
for
Calculation
Deposit beta Group ex mBank Interest pass-through rate across interest bearing and non-interest bearing deposit products
Total underlying revenues Group and segments Total revenues excluding exceptional revenue items
Underlying Operating Performance Group and segments Operating result excluding exceptional revenue items and compulsory contributions

1) Reduced by potential pay-out accrual and potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon

2) Charge rate reflects current regulatory and market standard

For more information, please contact our IR team

mail: [email protected] / internet: investor-relations.commerzbank.com

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forwardlooking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include, inter alia, statements about Commerzbank's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates, projections and targets as they are currently available to the management of Commerzbank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and Commerzbank undertakes no obligation to update any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, among others, the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which Commerzbank derives a substantial portion of its revenues and in which it hold a substantial portion of its assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of its strategic initiatives and the reliability of its risk management policies.

In addition, this presentation contains financial and other information which has been derived from publicly available information disclosed by persons other than Commerzbank ("external data"). In particular, external data has been derived from industry and customer-related data and other calculations taken or derived from industry reports published by third parties, market research reports and commercial publications. Commercial publications generally state that the information they contain has originated from sources assumed to be reliable, but that the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed and that the calculations contained therein are based on a series of assumptions. The external data has not been independently verified by Commerzbank. Therefore, Commerzbank cannot assume any responsibility for the accuracy of the external data taken or derived from public sources.

Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from Quarterly Results – Commerzbank AG

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