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Commerzbank AG — Investor Presentation 2016
May 3, 2016
81_ip_2016-05-03_a9611480-3d0c-4a00-8595-05bcc267ce39.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 2016 with reasonable results in an adverse market environment
Analyst conference – Q1 2016 results
Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 03 May 2016
Q1 2016 with reasonable results in an adverse market environment
Reasonable operating result of €273m and net result of €163m
- › Revenues of €2.3bn affected by negative interest rates and customer reluctance in weak markets
- › Stable expenses of €1.9bn include European bank levies (€156m)
- › Operating RoTE of 4.1% and net RoTE of 2.5%
Low risk profile confirmed also in Q1 2016
- › Low level of LLPs (€148m)
- › Cost of risk remains at low 13bps and NPL ratio at 1.5%
- › New segment ACR with good asset run down of €1.0bn
Capital strong with stable CET1 ratio of 12.0%
- › Lower RWA (€195bn) benefit from stronger Euro and a securitization
- › Comfortable leverage ratio of 4.5% and total capital ratio of 15.4%
- › Consistent dividend accrual of 5ct per share
Q1 20162)
4.5
Q4 2015
4.5
12.0
12.0
Key financial figures at a glance
Operating result of Commerzbank divisions at a glance
Reasonable group operating result of €273m and net result of €163m
| in €m | Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 2,785 | 2,436 | 2,309 | 2,232 | 2,314 | |||||
| LLP | -158 | -280 | -146 | -112 | -148 | |||||
| Costs | 1,957 | 1,737 | 1,719 | 1,744 | 1,893 | |||||
| Operating result | 670 | 419 | 444 | 376 | 273 | |||||
| Restructuring expenses | 66 | - | 28 | 20 | - | |||||
| Taxes on income | 237 | 88 | 155 | 138 | 86 | |||||
| Minority Interests | 29 | 24 | 31 | 31 | 24 | |||||
| 1) Net result |
338 | 307 | 230 | 187 | 163 | |||||
| CIR (%) | 70.3 | 71.3 | 74.4 | 78.1 | 81.8 | |||||
| Ø Equity (€bn) | 27.6 | 29.4 | 29.7 | 30.0 | 29.9 | |||||
| Net RoE (%) | 5.1 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | |||||
| Operating RoTE (%) | 10.9 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 | |||||
| Net RoTE (%) | 5.7 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 | |||||
| Operating return on CET1 (%) | 13.1 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 4.7 |
- › Revenues down €471m y-o-y due to customer reluctance in adverse capital markets (ca -€400m) and negative interest rate environment (ca €-90m)
- › LLPs again at a low level reflecting the good quality of our loan book and the stable German economy
- › Expenses managed flat Q1 2016 costs burdened by bank levies (€156m)
Expenses managed flat − Q1 2016 costs burdened by bank levies
- › Q1 2016 includes expected full year European bank levy (€143m) and 2 months of Polish banking tax (€13m)
- › Strategic investments (e.g. digitization) and investments for regulatory and compliance fully compensated by ongoing cost initiatives
- › Personnel expenses benefit from staff reduction and lower variable compensation
Group LLPs again at a low level
| in € m | Q1 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Private Customers | 14 | -24 | 9 |
| Mittelstandsbank | 24 | 77 | 53 |
| Central & Eastern Europe | 23 | 22 | 13 |
| Corporates & Markets | -47 | -11 | 5 |
| Others & Consolidation | 35 | -2 | -2 |
| Asset & Capital Recovery | 109 | 50 | 70 |
| Group CoR (bps) | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| Group NPL (€bn) | 11.4 | 7.1 | 6.8 |
| Group NPL ratio (%) | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
- › Seasonally low LLPs of €148m reflect good quality of our loan book in a modestly growing stable German economy
- › Q1 2016 with lower releases in C&M and PC
- › LLP in ACR with net releases in CRE (-€5m) while Ship Finance LLPs consistently at a high level (€74m)
Group NPL ratio stable at low 1.5%
Highlights
- › NPL ratio further improves from 1.6% to 1.5% while default portfolio further decreased from €7.1bn to €6.8bn
- › Cost of Risk at an exceptionally low level in Q1 2016
- › NPL coverage ratio excluding collateral in Ship Finance maintained at 66% in Q1 2016
- › Overall good portfolio quality maintained with more than 80% of the portfolio in investment grade ratings
Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 03 May 2016 7 1) NPL ratio = Default volume LaR loans / Exposure at Default 2) Cost of Risk = Loan Loss Provisions / Exposure at Default (annualised)
Private Customers: Sound operating result with positive one-off gain offsetting adverse market environment
| in €m | Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 935 | 940 | 995 | 905 | 944 | |||||
| o/w Filialbank |
800 | 804 | 866 | 741 | 793 | |||||
| o/w Direct Banking |
97 | 92 | 94 | 88 | 88 | |||||
| o/w Commerz Real |
38 | 45 | 36 | 77 | 63 | |||||
| LLP | -14 | -24 | -13 | 24 | -9 | |||||
| Costs | 764 | 747 | 755 | 781 | 744 | |||||
| Operating result | 157 | 169 | 227 | 148 | 191 | |||||
| CIR (%) | 81.7 | 79.5 | 75.9 | 86.3 | 78.8 | |||||
| Ø Equity (€bn) | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 | |||||
| Operating return on equity (%) | 20.1 | 23.1 | 31.2 | 20.5 | 30.2 |
- › Further loan growth of 8% y-o-y and customer increase of 59k in Q1 mitigates burden from negative interest rate environment
- › One-off gain from extraordinary dividend from EKS (€44m / NII) largely offsets lower NCI (-€46m y-o-y) due to client reluctance in Q1 2016
- › Commerz Real revenues in Q1 2016 with positive contribution from regular asset appraisal processes
- › Healthy pipeline in new business: new consumer loans increased by 44% and new mortgage loans by 8% y-o-y
Mittelstandsbank: Solid result in corporate banking burdened by negative interest rate environment
Operating result Segmental P&L 2) (€m)
| in €m | Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2) Revenues |
790 | 729 | 673 | 727 | 702 | ||||
| o/w Mittelstand Germany |
370 | 335 | 354 | 349 | 346 | ||||
| o/w Large Corp. & Int. |
256 | 248 | 178 | 205 | 218 | ||||
| o/w Financial Institutions |
124 | 114 | 108 | 122 | 97 | ||||
| FVA and net CVA / DVA | 17 | 25 | -22 | -18 | 4 | ||||
| LLP | -24 | -55 | -31 | -77 | -53 | ||||
| Costs | 419 | 386 | 390 | 408 | 444 | ||||
| Operating result | 364 | 313 | 230 | 224 | 209 | ||||
| 2) CIR (%) |
53.1 | 52.9 | 58.0 | 56.1 | 63.3 | ||||
| Ø Equity (€bn) | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 8.1 | ||||
| Operating return on equity (%) | 2) 16.4 |
13.9 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 10.1 |
Highlights
- › NII down 3% q-o-q and 10% y-o-y due to negative interest rates at an increased deposit base of 10% y-o-y
- › Since Q2 2015 stable revenues in Mittelstand Germany underpin strong market position
- › Increasing revenues in Large Corporates & International due to growth in loan volume (+3% q-o-q)
- › Financial Institutions with lower revenues due to lower margins
1) Incl. FVA and net CVA/DVA 2) Excl. FVA and net CVA/DVA
Negative interest rates increasingly weigh on NII in PC and MSB
- › Strong loan growth mitigates margin pressure on deposits
-
› Further offsetting measures initiated, e.g. fees for paper based transactions but also intensified dialogue with customers regarding asset reallocation towards securities
-
› Increased margin compression on deposits at flat loan volumes due to subdued loan demand in Germany
- › In Q1 2016 decreased deposit volume due to initiated deposit charges
- › Client specific mitigation measures to be enhanced
Central & Eastern Europe: Good operating result despite newly introduced Polish banking tax
| Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | 207 | 226 | 252 | 220 | |||||
| -23 | -24 | -28 | -22 | -13 | |||||
| 142 | 114 | 101 | 151 | 130 | |||||
| 88 | 69 | 97 | 79 | 77 | |||||
| 56.1 | 55.1 | 44.7 | 59.9 | 59.1 | |||||
| 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | |||||
| 21.8 | 16.1 | 22.3 | 18.3 | 18.7 | |||||
- › Operating growth of business volumes and improvement of interest margin lead to strong NII performance y-o-y
- › Prudent cost management Q1 2016 includes 2 months of Polish banking tax (€13m)
- › mBank has reached more than 5m customers with ongoing dynamic customer growth of 90k in Q1 2016
Corporates & Markets: Affected by challenging market conditions and lower client activity due to ongoing global growth concerns
Operating result Segmental P&L 2) (€m) 2015 2016 Q1 70 Q4 71 Q3 24 Q2 136 Q1 250 1) 297 177 69 38 82
| 2) Operating result (€m) |
Segmental P&L | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in €m | Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | ||||||
| Revenues 2) |
634 | 500 | 381 | 429 | 463 | ||||||
| o/w APM |
132 | 117 | 96 | 198 | 119 | ||||||
| 250 | o/w EMC |
196 | 261 | 91 | 48 | 113 | |||||
| o/w FIC |
205 | 56 | 93 | 95 | 171 | ||||||
| o/w CPM |
102 | 84 | 88 | 86 | 74 | ||||||
| 136 | OCS, FVA and net CVA / DVA | 47 | 41 | 45 | -33 | 12 | |||||
| 71 | 70 | LLP | 47 | -11 | -11 | 11 | -5 | ||||
| 24 | Costs | 431 | 353 | 346 | 369 | 388 | |||||
| Operating result | 297 | 177 | 69 | 38 | 82 | ||||||
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | 2) CIR (%) |
68.0 | 70.6 | 90.9 | 86.1 | 83.8 | |
| 2015 | 2016 | Ø Equity (€bn) | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 | ||||
| Reported figures | 1) | 2) Operating return on equity (%) |
24.6 | 12.6 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 7.7 | ||||
| 297 | 177 | 69 | 38 | 82 |
Highlights
- › EMC impacted by weak equity markets with lower client demand on investment products
- › FIC with muted client activity in Rates and FX, Credit strongly benefitted from a €43m one-off sale of bond positions following a successful restructuring
- › Advisory & Primary Markets solid good performance in DCM Bonds partially compensated for the generally low issuance in both equity and debt capital markets
1) Incl. OCS, FVA and net CVA/DVA 2) Excl. OCS, FVA and net CVA/DVA
Asset & Capital Recovery: Operating result in line with expectations – good portfolio run-down of €1.0bn in Q1 2016
| in €m | Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | -19 | -74 | 157 | 12 | -21 | |||||
| LLP | -109 | -140 | -62 | -50 | -70 | |||||
| Costs | 59 | 49 | 41 | 31 | 31 | |||||
| Operating result | -187 | -263 | 54 | -69 | -122 | |||||
| Ø Equity (€bn) | 4.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.3 | |||||
| CRE (EaD in €bn) | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3.1 | 2.9 | |||||
| Ship Finance (EaD in €bn) | n/a | n/a | n/a | 6.1 | 5.5 | |||||
- › New segment ACR bundles €17bn more complex run down portfolios in Public Finance, Commercial Real estate and Ship Finance
- › Q1 2016 operating result in line with our expectations towards a cumulated operating loss of €750m-€850m until 2019
- › LLPs of €74m in Ship Finance confirm our cautious view on the shipping industry
Further decrease in RWA
Highlights Q1 2016 vs. Q4 2015
- › Decrease in Credit Risk benefits from changes of FX-rates particular USD and GBP (€2.2bn)
- › Relieving effects on Credit Risk from new securitization (€1.1bn)
- › Slight increase in Market Risk and Operational Risk at Group level
CET1 ratio fully phased-in with 12.0% stable at high level
Highlights
- › Net decrease in actuarial gains and losses of €-250m (-13bps CET1 ratio) due to lower discount rates on the back of the ongoing low interest rate environment
- › Slight reduction of currency translation reserve (€-86m) due to stronger Euro
- › Consistent dividend accrual of 5ct per share
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding 1)
Includes Q1 2016 net result excl. dividend accrual 2) Includes mainly IRB shortfall, DTA, DVA, minorities and prudential valuation
Outlook 2016 in an overall challenging environment
We pursue our strategy to increase market shares and further intensify our efforts to mitigate the negative interest rate environment
We aim to keep our cost base stable with exception of additional external burdens
We expect a moderate increase in loan loss provisions due to lower releases from impaired loans
Due to the slow start into 2016, it will be more challenging to reach the net profit posted in 2015
Appendix
German economy 2016/2017 – stronger Q1 2016 growth not sustainable
Current development
- › Growth probably accelerated in Q1 however, higher speed will not prove sustainable, as sentiment indicators are pointing to ongoing moderate growth
- › Main driver of the recovery is still private consumption helped also by the lower oil price − exports have slowed down as the world economy has lost steam
- › Labor market has improved further
- › Refugees still the main topic of German politics − economic effects remain uncertain
DAX (avg. p.a.)
Our expectation for 2016/2017
- › Recovery will continue as the lower oil price and the additional expenses for refugees will spur up domestic demand
- › However, headwinds from the EM and the recently stronger Euro are a burden for exports. In addition, shrinking profit margins of firms are hindering a significant increase of investment
- › Therefore we do not expect accelerating growth rates for the time being resulting in sub-consensus growth forecasts of 1.3% for 2016 and 2017
Euribor (avg. p.a. in %)
Mounting headwinds from EM
- › 40% of German exports go to EM, of which 6%pts to China
- › EM suffer from increased levels of private sector debt, …
- › ... high current account deficits, …
- › ... imminent US interest rate hike
- › Commodity exporting EM are hit by lower commodity prices, particularly oil prices
GDP (change vs. previous year in %)
Key figures of Commerzbank share
| ytd as of |
31 Dec 2014 | 31 Dec 2015 | 31 Mar 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of shares issued (in m) | 1,138.5 | 1,252.4 | 1,252.4 |
| Market capitalisation (in €bn) |
12.5 | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| Net asset value per share (in €) | 21.34 | 21.95 | 21.78 |
| Low/high Xetra intraday prices ytd (in €) |
9.91/14.48 | 8.94/13.39 | 6.21/9.50 |
Commerzbank financials at a glance
| Group | Q1 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating result (€m) | 670 | 376 | 273 |
| Net result (€m) | 338 | 187 | 1) 163 |
| CET1 ratio B3 phase-in (%) | 11.3 | 13.8 | 2) 13.6 |
| CET1 ratio B3 fully phased-in (%) | 9.5 | 12.0 | 2) 12.0 |
| Total assets (€bn) | 609 | 533 | 536 |
| RWA B3 fully phased-in (€bn) | 222 | 197 | 195 |
| Leverage ratio (fully phased-in revised rules) (%) | 3.7 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 70.3 | 78.1 | 81.8 |
| Net RoE(%) | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1), 2) 2.3 |
| Net RoTE (%) | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1), 2) 2.5 |
| Net RoCET (%) | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1), 2) 2.8 |
| Total capital ratio fully phased-in (%) | 12.4 | 14.7 | 15.4 |
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding
1) Attributable to Commerzbank shareholders
2) Includes net result of Q1 2016 excl. dividend accrual
Leverage ratio stable at 4.5% fully phased-in
2) Includes net result as of reporting date excl. dividend accrual
Hedging & Valuation adjustments
| €m | Q1 15 | Q2 15 | Q3 15 | Q4 15 | Q1 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P C |
OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | - | - | - | - | -2 |
| MSB | OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | 17 | 25 | -22 | -18 | 4 |
| CEE | OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2 |
| OCS | 7 | 39 | 57 | -32 | -25 | |
| C&M | FVA & Net CVA / DVA | 40 | 2 | -12 | -1 | 37 |
| OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | 47 | 41 | 45 | -33 | 12 | |
| O&C | OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | 9 | 21 | -138 | 5 | 30 |
| ACR | OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | 56 | 1 | 10 | -80 | 103 |
| Group | OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA | 130 | 88 | -102 | -127 | 145 |
Oil/gas exposure stands for <1% of total exposure – >75% investment grade
| Notes |
|---|
| Roughly 60% of the exposure to integrated oil & › gas majors and Tier II operators |
| Commodity trader exposure concentrated to › world's top independent energy traders |
| >75% of the overall portfolio rated investment › grade |
| High reactability – more than 50% of the › exposure with maturities below 1 year |
| No exposure to single asset operations › |
| No shale producers › |
| No project finance › |
Capital markets funding activities (as of Q1 2016)
Funding strategy
- › Commerzbank uses covered bonds (Pfandbriefe) and senior unsecured instruments for funding purposes
- › Funding via private placements and public transactions
- › Issuance programs in the Euromarkets (e.g. DIP)
- › Since 2011 USD Medium-Term Note Program (144a/3a2)
- › Issuance requirements 2016 well below €10bn
Funding Q1 2016 highlights
- › Commerzbank Group raised a total of €2.1bn in long-term funding on capital markets with an average term of around ten years
- › Euro Tier 2 benchmark of €1.0bn with maturity of ten years and USD Tier 2 private placement of \$0.4bn with twelve years maturity
- › Unsecured private placements of €0.65bn with an average maturity of around eight years
Capital market funding activities
Current Commerzbank Bank- and Covered Bond Ratings
Rating overview Commerzbank
| Bank Ratings | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Counterparty Risk Assessment | - | A2 | - |
| Deposit Rating | - | A2 stable | - |
| Issuer Credit Rating | BBB+ stable | Baa1 stable | BBB+ stable |
| Stand-alone (financial strength) | bbb+ | baa3 | bbb+ |
| Short-term debt | A-2 | P-1 | F2 |
| Covered Bond Ratings | |||
| Public Sector Pfandbriefe | - | Aaa | AAA stable |
| Mortgage Pfandbriefe | - | Aaa | AAA stable |
Rating Changes in Q1 2016
- › Stand-alone Rating: (Moody´s: upgrade to "baa3" rating comes back to investment-grade level; S&P: upgrade to "bbb+"; Fitch: upgrade to "bbb+")
- › Issuer Credit Rating (long-term senior unsecured debt): all three agencies in the upper "BBB" range now (Fitch: upgrade to "BBB+" with a stable outlook; S&P: remained at "BBB+", outlook revised to stable)
- › Counterparty Risk Assessment upgraded by Moody´s to "A2"
- › Deposit Rating upgraded by Moody´s to "A2" with a stable outlook
- › Short-term debt Rating: upgraded by Moody´s to "P-1" (previously "P-2")
Commerzbank Group
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | 2,785 | 2,436 | 2,309 | 2,232 | 9,762 | 2,314 | -16.9 | 3.7 |
| o/w Total net interest and net trading income |
1,986 | 1,496 | 1,469 | 1,275 | 6,226 | 1,344 | -32.3 | 5.4 |
| o/w Net commission income |
915 | 855 | 825 | 829 | 3,424 | 821 | -10.3 | -1.0 |
| o/w Other income |
-116 | 85 | 15 | 128 | 112 | 149 | >100 | 16.4 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | -158 | -280 | -146 | -112 | -696 | -148 | 6.3 | -32.1 |
| Operating expenses | 1,957 | 1,737 | 1,719 | 1,744 | 7,157 | 1,893 | -3.3 | 8.5 |
| o/w European bank levy |
167 | 2 | -4 | -46 | 119 | 156 | -6.6 | >100 |
| Operating profit | 670 | 419 | 444 | 376 | 1,909 | 273 | -59.3 | -27.4 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | 66 | - | 28 | 20 | 114 | - | -100.0 | -100.0 |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | 604 | 419 | 416 | 356 | 1,795 | 273 | -54.8 | -23.3 |
| Taxes on income | 237 | 88 | 155 | 138 | 618 | 86 | -63.7 | -37.7 |
| Minority Interests | 29 | 24 | 31 | 31 | 115 | 24 | -17.2 | -22.6 |
| Consolidated Result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders | 338 | 307 | 230 | 187 | 1,062 | 163 | -51.8 | -12.8 |
| Assets | 608,901 | 564,558 | 567,759 | 532,641 | 532,641 | 535,824 | -12.0 | 0.6 |
| Liabilities | 608,901 | 564,558 | 567,759 | 532,641 | 532,641 | 535,824 | -12.0 | 0.6 |
| Average capital employed | 27,579 | 29,427 | 29,739 | 30,027 | 29,193 | 29,867 | 8.3 | -0.5 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 221,547 | 214,422 | 213,465 | 197,442 | 197,442 | 194,523 | -12.2 | -1.5 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 70.3% | 71.3% | 74.4% | 78.1% | 73.3% | 81.8% | - | - |
| Operating return on equity (%) | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | - | - |
| Operating return on tangible equity (%) | 10.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | - | - |
| Return on equity of net result (%) | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | - | - |
| Net return on tangible equity (%) | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | - | - |
Private Customers
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | 935 | 940 | 995 | 905 | 3,775 | 944 | 1.0 | 4.3 |
| o/w Net interest income |
443 | 478 | 553 | 459 | 1,933 | 475 | 7.2 | 3.5 |
| o/w Net trading income |
- | 1 | - | 5 | 6 | -1 | - | >-100 |
| o/w Net commission income |
473 | 441 | 439 | 414 | 1,767 | 427 | -9.7 | 3.1 |
| o/w Other income |
19 | 20 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 43 | >100 | 59.3 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | -14 | -24 | -13 | 24 | -27 | -9 | 35.7 | >-100 |
| Operating expenses | 764 | 747 | 755 | 781 | 3,047 | 744 | -2.6 | -4.7 |
| o/w European bank levy |
16 | - | - | -4 | 12 | 16 | -1.0 | >100 |
| Operating profit | 157 | 169 | 227 | 148 | 701 | 191 | 21.7 | 29.1 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | 157 | 169 | 227 | 148 | 701 | 191 | 21.7 | 29.1 |
| Assets | 76,303 | 78,239 | 79,618 | 80,744 | 80,744 | 81,949 | 7.4 | 1.5 |
| Liabilities | 100,747 | 102,613 | 102,599 | 104,745 | 104,745 | 105,236 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| Average capital employed | 3,121 | 2,924 | 2,908 | 2,890 | 2,961 | 2,526 | -19.1 | -12.6 |
| RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) | 18,879 | 19,008 | 18,862 | 15,520 | 15,520 | 14,957 | -20.8 | -3.6 |
| RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) | 728 | 798 | 744 | 876 | 876 | 1,011 | 39.0 | 15.4 |
| RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) | 6,899 | 6,604 | 6,643 | 6,755 | 6,755 | 5,276 | -23.5 | -21.9 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 26,505 | 26,410 | 26,248 | 23,151 | 23,151 | 21,244 | -19.9 | -8.2 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 81.7% | 79.5% | 75.9% | 86.3% | 80.7% | 78.8% | - | - |
| Operating return on equity (%) | 20.1% | 23.1% | 31.2% | 20.5% | 23.7% | 30.2% | - | - |
| Operating return on tangible equity (%) | 19.6% | 22.5% | 30.1% | 19.6% | 22.9% | 29.2% | - | - |
Mittelstandsbank
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | 807 | 754 | 651 | 709 | 2,921 | 706 | -12.5 | -0.4 |
| o/w Net interest income |
489 | 472 | 455 | 451 | 1,867 | 438 | -10.4 | -2.9 |
| o/w Net trading income |
26 | 41 | -18 | -14 | 35 | -1 | >-100 | 92.9 |
| o/w Net commission income |
291 | 263 | 265 | 274 | 1,093 | 262 | -10.0 | -4.4 |
| o/w Other income |
1 | -22 | -51 | -2 | -74 | 7 | >100 | >100 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | -24 | -55 | -31 | -77 | -187 | -53 | >-100 | 31.2 |
| Operating expenses | 419 | 386 | 390 | 408 | 1,603 | 444 | 6.0 | 8.8 |
| o/w European bank levy |
48 | - | - | -10 | 38 | 53 | 11.0 | >100 |
| Operating profit | 364 | 313 | 230 | 224 | 1,131 | 209 | -42.6 | -6.7 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | 364 | 313 | 230 | 224 | 1,131 | 209 | -42.6 | -6.7 |
| Assets | 101,090 | 98,486 | 101,134 | 97,229 | 97,229 | 96,359 | -4.7 | -0.9 |
| Liabilities | 142,670 | 143,709 | 148,182 | 150,521 | 150,521 | 145,120 | 1.7 | -3.6 |
| Average capital employed | 8,441 | 8,315 | 8,317 | 8,410 | 8,371 | 8,114 | -3.9 | -3.5 |
| RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) | 72,610 | 70,068 | 70,774 | 69,421 | 69,421 | 66,128 | -8.9 | -4.7 |
| RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) | 1,206 | 1,169 | 1,008 | 1,319 | 1,319 | 1,406 | 16.6 | 6.7 |
| RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) | 3,845 | 3,495 | 3,174 | 3,096 | 3,096 | 4,784 | 24.4 | 54.6 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 77,661 | 74,732 | 74,957 | 73,835 | 73,835 | 72,319 | -6.9 | -2.1 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 51.9% | 51.2% | 59.9% | 57.5% | 54.9% | 62.9% | - | - |
| Operating return on equity (%) | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | - | - |
| Operating return on tangible equity (%) | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | - | - |
Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 03 May 2016 28
Central & Eastern Europe
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | 253 | 207 | 226 | 252 | 938 | 220 | -13.0 | -12.7 |
| o/w Net interest income |
134 | 132 | 143 | 153 | 562 | 150 | 11.9 | -2.0 |
| o/w Net trading income |
20 | 15 | 25 | 10 | 70 | 15 | -25.0 | 50.0 |
| o/w Net commission income |
47 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 215 | 49 | 4.3 | -12.5 |
| o/w Other income |
52 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 91 | 6 | -88.5 | -81.8 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | -23 | -24 | -28 | -22 | -97 | -13 | 43.5 | 40.9 |
| Operating expenses | 142 | 114 | 101 | 151 | 508 | 130 | -8.5 | -13.9 |
| o/w European bank levy |
5 | - | -4 | - | 1 | 13 | >100 | >100 |
| Operating profit | 88 | 69 | 97 | 79 | 333 | 77 | -12.5 | -2.5 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | 88 | 69 | 97 | 79 | 333 | 77 | -12.5 | -2.5 |
| Assets | 30,158 | 28,904 | 29,735 | 29,034 | 29,034 | 29,023 | -3.8 | - |
| Liabilities | 25,319 | 23,933 | 25,364 | 24,923 | 24,923 | 24,787 | -2.1 | -0.5 |
| Average capital employed | 1,618 | 1,713 | 1,744 | 1,723 | 1,699 | 1,645 | 1.7 | -4.5 |
| RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) | 14,391 | 14,411 | 14,228 | 13,630 | 13,630 | 13,671 | -5.0 | 0.3 |
| RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) | 558 | 483 | 492 | 584 | 584 | 369 | -33.9 | -36.8 |
| RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) | 760 | 781 | 830 | 796 | 796 | 1,146 | 50.9 | 44.0 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 15,709 | 15,675 | 15,550 | 15,010 | 15,010 | 15,186 | -3.3 | 1.2 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 56.1% | 55.1% | 44.7% | 59.9% | 54.2% | 59.1% | - | - |
| Operating return on equity (%) | 21.8% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 18.7% | - | - |
| Operating return on tangible equity (%) | 21.7% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 18.8% | - | - |
Corporates & Markets
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | 681 | 541 | 426 | 396 | 2,044 | 475 | -30.2 | 19.9 |
| o/w Total net interest and net trading income |
584 | 417 | 357 | 235 | 1,593 | 341 | -41.6 | 45.1 |
| o/w Net commission income |
104 | 99 | 67 | 97 | 367 | 91 | -12.5 | -6.2 |
| o/w Other income |
-7 | 25 | 2 | 64 | 84 | 43 | >100 | -32.8 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | 47 | -11 | -11 | 11 | 36 | -5 | >-100 | >-100 |
| Operating expenses | 431 | 353 | 346 | 369 | 1,499 | 388 | -10.0 | 5.1 |
| o/w European bank levy |
65 | 2 | - | -30 | 37 | 32 | -50.8 | >100 |
| Operating profit | 297 | 177 | 69 | 38 | 581 | 82 | -72.4 | >100 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | 50 | - | 7 | - | 57 | - | -100.0 | -100.0 |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | 247 | 177 | 62 | 38 | 524 | 82 | -66.8 | >100 |
| Assets | 225,917 | 182,966 | 192,699 | 163,279 | 163,279 | 164,624 | -27.1 | 0.8 |
| Liabilities | 197,293 | 158,773 | 164,368 | 127,116 | 127,116 | 131,544 | -33.3 | 3.5 |
| Average capital employed | 4,069 | 4,330 | 4,101 | 3,945 | 4,111 | 3,654 | -10.2 | -7.4 |
| RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) | 21,524 | 21,021 | 21,157 | 19,797 | 19,797 | 20,024 | -7.0 | 1.1 |
| RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) | 11,920 | 11,585 | 10,997 | 8,634 | 8,634 | 9,049 | -24.1 | 4.8 |
| RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) | 5,717 | 5,602 | 5,201 | 4,691 | 4,691 | 5,392 | -5.7 | 14.9 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 39,161 | 38,208 | 37,355 | 33,122 | 33,122 | 34,465 | -12.0 | 4.1 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 63.3% | 65.2% | 81.2% | 93.2% | 73.3% | 81.7% | - | - |
| Operating return on equity (%) | 29.2% | 16.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 14.1% | 9.0% | - | - |
| Operating return on tangible equity (%) | 23.5% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | - | - |
Asset & Capital Recovery
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | -19 | -74 | 157 | 12 | 76 | -21 | -10.5 | >-100 |
| o/w Net interest income |
107 | 39 | -16 | 3 | 133 | -1 | >-100 | >-100 |
| o/w Net trading income |
47 | -100 | 139 | 8 | 94 | -30 | >-100 | >-100 |
| o/w Net commission income |
6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | - | -100.0 | -100.0 |
| o/w Other income |
-179 | -19 | 32 | -2 | -168 | 10 | >100 | >100 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | -109 | -140 | -62 | -50 | -361 | -70 | 35.8 | -40.0 |
| Operating expenses | 59 | 49 | 41 | 31 | 180 | 31 | -47.5 | - |
| o/w European bank levy |
9 | - | - | -1 | 8 | 5 | -46.1 | >100 |
| Operating profit | -187 | -263 | 54 | -69 | -465 | -122 | 34.8 | -76.8 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | 16 | - | - | - | 16 | - | -100.0 | - |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | -203 | -263 | 54 | -69 | -481 | -122 | 39.9 | -76.8 |
| Assets | 27,951 | 25,184 | 22,814 | 21,716 | 21,716 | 21,285 | -23.8 | -2.0 |
| Liabilities | 15,002 | 14,240 | 12,969 | 14,976 | 14,976 | 15,105 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Average capital employed | 4,747 | 4,543 | 3,863 | 3,675 | 4,207 | 3,286 | -30.8 | -10.6 |
| RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) | 25,224 | 22,390 | 19,634 | 16,630 | 16,630 | 16,947 | -32.8 | 1.9 |
| RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) | 4,095 | 3,142 | 3,677 | 2,965 | 2,965 | 3,007 | -26.6 | 1.4 |
| RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) | 1,950 | 2,066 | 2,091 | 2,167 | 2,167 | 2,468 | 26.5 | 13.9 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 31,269 | 27,598 | 25,402 | 21,761 | 21,761 | 22,422 | -28.3 | 3.0 |
Others & Consolidation
| €m | Q1 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q4 2015 |
12M 2015 |
Q1 2016 |
% Q1 vs Q1 |
% Q1 vs Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | 128 | 68 | -146 | -42 | 8 | -10 | >-100 | 76.2 |
| o/w Total net interest and net trading income |
136 | 1 | -169 | -35 | -67 | -42 | >-100 | -20.0 |
| o/w Net commission income |
-6 | -10 | -4 | -15 | -35 | -8 | -33.3 | 46.7 |
| o/w Other income |
-2 | 77 | 27 | 8 | 110 | 40 | >100 | >100 |
| Provision for possible loan losses | -35 | -26 | -1 | 2 | -60 | 2 | >100 | - |
| Operating expenses | 142 | 88 | 86 | 4 | 320 | 156 | 9.9 | >100 |
| o/w European bank levy |
25 | - | - | -1 | 24 | 38 | 50.5 | >100 |
| Operating profit | -49 | -46 | -233 | -44 | -372 | -164 | >-100 | >-100 |
| Impairments on goodw ill |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Restructuring expenses | - | - | 21 | 20 | 41 | - | - | -100.0 |
| Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pre-tax profit | -49 | -46 | -254 | -64 | -413 | -164 | >-100 | >-100 |
| Assets | 147,482 | 150,779 | 141,759 | 140,639 | 140,639 | 142,584 | -3.3 | 1.4 |
| Liabilities | 127,870 | 121,290 | 114,277 | 110,360 | 110,360 | 114,032 | -10.8 | 3.3 |
| Average capital employed | 5,583 | 7,602 | 8,807 | 9,384 | 7,844 | 10,642 | 90.6 | 13.4 |
| RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) | 23,395 | 24,501 | 26,350 | 23,620 | 23,620 | 22,335 | -4.5 | -5.4 |
| RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) | 3,965 | 3,190 | 3,564 | 3,049 | 3,049 | 3,445 | -13.1 | 13.0 |
| RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) | 3,882 | 4,107 | 4,039 | 3,893 | 3,893 | 3,110 | -19.9 | -20.1 |
| RWA fully phased in (end of period) | 31,242 | 31,799 | 33,953 | 30,562 | 30,562 | 28,889 | -7.5 | -5.5 |
Group equity composition
| Capital Q4 2015 End of period €bn |
Capital Q1 2016 End of period €bn |
Capital Q1 2016 Average €bn |
Ratios Q1 2016 % |
Ratios Q1 2016 % |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common equity tier 1 B3 capital (phase in) | 27.3 | 26.5 4) | | CET1 ratio phase-in: | 13.6% | |||
| Transition adjustments | 3.6 | 3.1 1) | ||||||
| Common equity tier 1 B3 capital (fully phased-in) | 23.7 | 23.4 | 23.5 4) | | Op. RoCET: | 4.7% CET1 ratio fully phased-in: | 12.0% | |
| DTA | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||||||
| Deductions on securitizations | 0.3 | 0.3 | ||||||
| Deductions related to non-controlling interests | 0.5 | 0.4 | ||||||
| IRB shortfall | 0.7 | 0.6 | ||||||
| Other regulatory adjustments | 1.1 | 1.1 | ||||||
| Tangible equity | 26.9 | 26.7 | 26.6 4) | | Op. RoTE: | 4.1% | ||
| Goodwill and other intangible assets | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | Pre-tax RoE: | 3.7% | |||
| IFRS capital | 30.2 | 29.9 | 29.9 4) | | Op. RoE: | 3.7% | ||
| Subscribed capital | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||||||
| Capital reserve | 17.2 | 17.2 | ||||||
| Retained earnings | 10.4 | 11.2 2) 4) | ||||||
| Currency translation reserve | -0.0 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Revaluation reserve | -0.6 | -0.6 | ||||||
| Cash flow hedges | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Consolidated P&L | 1.1 | 0.2 3) | ||||||
| IFRS capital without non-controlling interests | 29.2 | 28.9 | 28.9 4) | | RoE on net result: | 2.3% | ||
| Non-controlling interests (IFRS) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | RoTE on net result: | 2.5% | |||
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding
- Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 03 May 2016 33 1) Include mainly AT1 positions and phase-in impacts
- 2) Excluding consolidated P&L 4)
- 3) Includes net result of Q1 2016
- Excluding dividend accrual
Glossary - Capital Allocation / RoE, RoTE & RoCET1 Calculation
| › Amount of average capital allocated to business segments is calculated by multiplying the segments current |
|---|
| YTD average Basel 3 RWA (fully phased-in) (PC €23.0bn, MSB €73.8bn, CEE €15.0bn, C&M €33.2bn, O&C |
| €31.2bn, ACR €21.9bn) by a ratio of 11% and 15% for ACR respectively - reflecting current regulatory and |
| market standard – figures for 2015 have been restated |
Capital Allocation
- › Excess capital reconciling to Group CET1 Basel 3 fully phased-in is allocated to Others & Consolidation
- › Capital allocation is disclosed in the business segment reporting of Commerzbank Group
- › For the purposes of calculating the segmental RoTE, average regulatory capital deductions Basel 3 fully phased-in (excluding Goodwill and other intangibles) are allocated to the business segments additionally (PC €0.1bn, MSB €0.4bn, C&M €0.8bn, O&C €2.3bn, ACR €0.4bn)
RoE, RoTE & RoCET1 Calculation
- › RoE is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital on Group level and on an average level of 11% (and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs Basel 3 fully phased-in on segmental level
- › RoTE is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital after deduction of goodwill and other intangible assets on Group level and on an average level of 11% (and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs Basel 3 fully phased-in after addition of capital deductions Basel 3 fully phased-in (excluding goodwill and other intangible assets) on segmental level
- › RoTE calculation represents the current market standard
- › RoCET1 is calculated on average B3 CET1 capital fully phased-in
Disclaimer
Investor Relations
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include, inter alia, statements about Commerzbank's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates, projections and targets as they are currently available to the management of Commerzbank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and Commerzbank undertakes no obligation to update any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, among others, the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which Commerzbank derives a substantial portion of its revenues and in which it hold a substantial portion of its assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential de faults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of its strategic initiatives and the reliability of its risk manageme nt policies.
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