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Commerzbank AG Investor Presentation 2016

Aug 2, 2016

81_ip_2016-08-02_a79d30a6-e1dd-4d03-a89b-15957a6116a3.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Persistent strong market position but challenging environment

Analyst conference – Q2 2016 results

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 02 August 2016

Persistent strong market position but challenging environment

Operating result of €342m – growth track in PC and CEE continues

  • › Revenues of €2.2bn while drag from negative interest rates and persisting customer reluctance
  • › Stable expenses of €1.7bn further investments funded by ongoing cost initiatives
  • › H1 2016 with operating RoTE of 4.6% and net RoTE of 2.9%

Healthy risk profile sustained

  • › Q2 2016 again with low level of LLPs (€187m)
  • › Strong NPL ratio of 1.4% at benchmark level within European peers
  • › Low cost of risk in H1 2016 (15bps)

CET1 ratio of 11.5% and Leverage ratio of 4.4%

  • › Lower CET1 capital (~€600m / 0.3%p CET1) driven by pension liabilities and revaluation reserve including widening of Italian credit spreads
  • › Higher RWA (€3.8bn / 0.2%p CET1) mainly due to external op risk cases
  • › Consistent dividend accrual of 10ct per share as of H1 2016

11.5

4.4

Q2 2016 Q1 2016 2)

Q2 2016 Q1 2016 2)

12.0

4.5

Key financial figures at a glance

Operating result of Commerzbank divisions at a glance

Group operating result of €342m and net result of €209m

in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
Revenues 2,436 2,314 2,231 5,221 4,545
LLP -280 -148 -187 -438 -335
Costs 1,737 1,893 1,702 3,694 3,595
Operating result 419 273 342 1,089 615
Restructuring expenses - - 40 66 40
Taxes on income 88 86 55 325 141
Minority Interests 24 24 38 53 62
1)
Net Result
307 163 209 645 372
CIR (%) 71.3 81.8 76.3 70.8 79.1
Ø Equity (€bn) 29.4 29.8 29.7 28.5 29.8
Net RoE (%) 4.3 2.3 2.9 4.7 2.6
Net RoTE (%) 4.8 2.5 3.3 5.2 2.9
Operating return on CET1 (%) 7.5 4.7 5.9 10.2 5.3
  • › Revenues y-o-y affected by negative interest rate environment (€71m in PC and MSB) and customer reluctance in adverse capital markets (€156m in EMC and €48m NCI in PC and MSB) exceeding one off-gain from Visa (€123m)
  • › LLPs remain at a very favorable level due to the quality of our loan book and the stable German economy
  • › Expenses managed flat: investments compensated by cost initiatives booking of €40m restructuring charges predominantly due to back office-sourcing initiatives

Expenses managed flat – investments compensated by cost initiatives

Highlights

  • › Personnel expenses in H1 2016 benefit from FTE reduction and sourcing initiatives as well as lower accruals for variable compensation
  • › H1 2016 with further increase of expenses from IT investments especially for digitization as well as from investments into regulatory and into the strengthening of the compliance function
  • › Operating expenses include external burden from Polish banking tax (€20m in Q2 2016) since February 2016

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 02 August 2016 5 1) Q1 2015 incl. European bank levy (€167m) 2) Q1 2016 incl. European bank levy (€143m) and Polish banking tax (€13m)

Group LLPs again at a low level in Q2 2016

in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
Private Customers 24 9 2 38 11
Mittelstandsbank 55 53 93 79 146
Central & Eastern Europe 24 13 29 47 42
Corporates & Markets 11 5 -12 -36 -7
Others & Consolidation 26 -2 - 61 -2
Asset & Capital Recovery 140 70 75 249 145
Group CoR (bps) 19 13 15 19 15
Group NPL (€bn) 10.4 6.8 6.5 10.4 6.5
Group NPL ratio (in %) 2.3 1.5 1.4 2.3 1.4
  • › LLPs in MSB still at a low level reflecting the good portfolio quality and the stable German economy
  • › LLPs in PC benefit from very good solvency of German households
  • › LLPs in ACR with net releases in CRE (-€26m) while Ship Finance LLPs at a high level (€99m)

Group NPL ratio of 1.4% at benchmark level within European peers

Highlights

  • › NPL ratio further decreased to 1.4% strong Texas ratio3) of 23%
  • › Exceptionally low level of Cost of Risk maintained in Q2 2016
  • › Overall good portfolio quality maintained with more than 80% of the portfolio in investment grade ratings

3)

1) NPL ratio = Default volume LaR loans / Exposure at Default

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 02 August 2016 7 2) Cost of Risk = Loan Loss Provisions (annualised) / Exposure at Default

Texas ratio: This ratio measures NPLs as a percentage of tangible book value and stock of loan loss provisions

Private Customers: Ongoing strong demand for loan products – market environment reinforces customer reluctance in securities

Operating result (€m) Segmental P&L
in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
Revenues 940 944 925 1,875 1,869
228 o/w
Filialbank
804 793 752 1,603 1,545
191 o/w
Direct Banking
92 88 126 189 214
158 169 180 o/w
Commerz Real
45 63 47 83 110
146 LLP -24 -9 -2 -38 -11
Costs 747 744 743 1,510 1,487
Operating result 169 191 180 327 371
CIR (%) 79.5 78.8 80.3 80.5 79.6
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Ø Equity (€bn) 2.9 2.5 2.3 3.0 2.4
2015 2016 Operating return on equity (%) 23.1 30.2 31.3 21.6 30.7
Highlights
Increasing loan volume +8% y-o-y and persisting high demand for new consumer loans well above 2015
rate environment (€-45m y-o-y) One-off gain from sales transaction of VISA Europe (€58m) offsets declining NII from deposit margins in the negative interest
Persistent customer reluctance in securities business in light of
ongoing
negative geo-political newsflow (€-17m y-o-y)
Continuing high level of
net
new
customers
in Q2 2016 of
62k (940k since
2013)
  • › Increasing loan volume +8% y-o-y and persisting high demand for new consumer loans well above 2015
  • › One-off gain from sales transaction of VISA Europe (€58m) offsets declining NII from deposit margins in the negative interest rate environment (€-45m y-o-y)
  • › Persistent customer reluctance in securities business in light of ongoing negative geo-political newsflow (€-17m y-o-y)

Mittelstandsbank: Ongoing solid results in corporate banking burdened by negative interest rate environment

in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
2)
Revenues
730 702 699 1,521 1,401
o/w
Mittelstand Germany
334 347 358 704 705
o/w
Large Corp. & Int.
248 215 231 502 447
o/w
Financial Institutions
114 97 95 238 192
FVA and net CVA / DVA 25 4 -12 42 -8
LLP -55 -53 -93 -79 -146
Costs 386 444 391 805 835
Operating result 314 209 203 679 412
2)
CIR (%)
52.8 63.3 55.9 52.9 59.6
Ø Equity (€bn) 8.3 8.1 7.9 8.4 8.0
2)
Operating return on equity (%)
13.9 10.1 10.9 15.2 10.5
  • › Revenues y-o-y burdened by lower NII from deposit margins in the negative interest rate environment (€-26m) and by lower fee income due to customer reluctance (€-22m)
  • › Mittelstand Germany with increasing revenues y-o-y due to increased loan margins at stable loan volumes
  • › Large Corporates & International with revenue increase q-o-q but below Q2 2015 due to lower NCI from client hedges and documentary business
  • › Financial Institutions with lower revenues y-o-y mainly as a result of internally tightened risk and compliance framework

Negative interest rates with significant impact in H1 2016

  • › While loan growth in PC mitigates margin pressure on deposits, MSB faces virtually flat loan volumes due to subdued loan demand in Germany
  • › Deposit margins suffer from negative rates reduction of deposits in MSB since YE 2015 improves LtD ratio to 92%
  • › Setting of sticky sight deposits against longer term loans slows down margin compression
  • › Given the roll-over of our loan book into loans with lower customer rates, pressure of the current interest rate environment on NII will continue – this leads to an additional ~€100m decrease in NII from 2017 onwards

Measures taken to mitigate revenue burden from negative interest rates

Measures in PC complement successful growth strategy

  • › Pursue successful loan growth in mortgage and consumer finance
  • › Introduction of fees for paper based transactions
  • › Repricing, e.g. fees for credit cards and fees for security accounts
  • › Removal of individually granted discounts for customers

Measures in MSB fit position as market leader in SME banking

  • › Sharp reduction of deposits since year end 2015
  • › First mover in introduction of "deposit facility fee" to already most of relevant deposits of customer base
  • › Execution of pricing measures in several product areas
  • › Comprehensive implementation of interest rate floors on variable loans

Central & Eastern Europe: Gain from VISA transaction (€65m) more than offsets impact from Polish banking tax

in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
Revenues 206 220 272 459 492
LLP -24 -13 -29 -47 -42
Costs 113 130 134 255 264
Operating result 69 77 109 157 186
CIR (%) 54.9 59.1 49.3 55.6 53.7
Ø Equity (€bn) 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7
Operating return on equity (%) 16.1 18.7 26.3 18.9 22.5
  • › Strong sale of consumer loans on record level in Q2 2016 leading to growth of +24% in H1 2016 vs. 2015
  • › Stable underlying cost base cost base in total burdened by Polish banking tax (€20m in Q2 2016)
  • › mBank's contribution to Commerzbank in H1 2016 with negative impact from weaker Zloty of €9m based on FX-rate from H1 2015

Corporates & Markets: Challenging environment for equity business burdens result, solid performance in debt capital markets and FX

in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
2)
Revenues
500 463 373 1,133 837
o/w
Advisory & Primary Markets
117 119 128 249 246
o/w
EMC
261 113 104 456 218
o/w
FIC
56 171 82 261 253
o/w
CPM
84 74 66 186 140
OCS, FVA and net CVA / DVA 41 12 64 88 75
LLP -11 -5 12 36 7
Costs 354 388 330 784 718
Operating result 176 82 119 473 201
2)
CIR (%)
70.8 83.8 88.4 69.2 85.8
Ø Equity (€bn) 4.3 3.7 3.8 4.2 3.7
2)
Operating return on equity (%)
12.5 7.7 5.8 18.3 6.7
  • › APM with solid performance in debt capital markets while equity issuance activity remains subdued
  • › FIC benefits from continued demand for FX products, while rates and credit remain muted due to low interest rates and market liquidity following expanded ECB bonds and credit purchases
  • › EMC significantly burdened by volatility impacting our structured products business for institutionals realignment of securities finance business following lower client activity in equity products
  • › Restructuring costs of €12m due to realignments of London and New York operations

Asset & Capital Recovery: Operating result in line with expectations

in € m Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
Revenues -76 -21 -27 -95 -48
LLP -140 -70 -75 -249 -145
Costs 47 31 32 107 63
Operating result -263 -122 -134 -451 -256
CIR (%) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Ø Equity (€bn) 4.5 3.3 3.5 4.6 3.4
CRE (EaD in €bn) 7.5 2.9 2.8 7.5 2.8
Ship Finance (EaD in €bn) 7.9 5.5 5.4 7.9 5.4
Public Finance (EaD in €bn) 10.4 9.0 9.1 10.4 9.1
  • › NII/NDI burdened by volatile mark-to-market valuation of hedge derivatives in Q2 2016
  • › Slight further run down of EaD in CRE (€0.1bn) and Ship Finance (€0.1bn)
  • › Still difficult shipping markets with no sustainable turn-around in sight

Increase in RWA in particular from operational risk

Highlights Q2 2016 vs. Q1 2016

  • › Stable credit risk RWA with currency effects levelling out (GBP and PLN vs USD and JPY)
  • › Slightly increased market risk RWA due to methodical adjustment
  • › Increase in operational risk RWA due to new/extended external cases in database

Lower CET1 ratio mainly results from non-operating valuation and methodology effects

  • › CET1 ratio of 11.5% burdened by RWA increase (-0.2%p) and capital reduction (-0.3%p)
  • › Net decrease in actuarial gains and losses of €137m due to lower discount rates for pension liabilities from 2.0% to 1.7%
  • › Decrease in revaluation reserve of €263m due to VISA transfer to P&L and credit spreads on European sovereigns
  • › Lower currency translation reserve of €56m due to weaker GBP and PLN
  • › Consistent dividend accrual of 10ct per share as of H1 2016

Outlook 2016 in an overall challenging environment

We pursue our strategy to further increase our market share in PC and strengthen our No. 1 position in MSB while keeping our sound risk profile

We expect the negative rate environment and the adverse markets to further weigh on revenues

We aim to keep our cost base stable with exception of additional external burdens

We expect a moderate increase in loan loss provisions due to lower releases from impaired loans and continuously challenging shipping markets

Our ambition remains to keep our capital ratio under full application of Basel 3 above SREP-requirements

Appendix

German economy 2016/2017 – no significant effect of Brexit

Current development

  • › After a strong Q1 economy significantly slowed down again in Q2. On average growth should have been in line with the trend observed in 2015.
  • › Main driver of the recovery is still private consumption supported by higher wages and rising employment − exports have slowed down as the world economy has lost steam.
  • › Labor market has improved further.
  • › Refugees crisis has subsided − economic effects remain uncertain.

DAX (avg. p.a.)

Our expectation for 2016/2017

  • › Recovery will continue as there is no negative shock ahead. Monetary policy will stay expansionary and the negative effect of Brexit will be very limited.
  • › Headwinds from the EM and the recently stronger Euro are still a burden for exports. In addition, shrinking profit margins of firms are still restraining investment.
  • › Therefore we do not expect accelerating growth rates for the time being resulting in sub-consensus growth forecasts of 1.5% for 2016 and 1.3% for 2017.

Euribor (avg. p.a. in %)

Mounting headwinds from EM

  • › 40% of German exports go to EM, of which 6%pts to China.
  • › Imports of EM has fallen since year end 2014 after it had increased significantly and pumped up German export growth.
  • › EM in particular suffer from increased levels of private sector debt. In addition commodity exporting EM are hit by lower commodity prices, particularly oil prices.

GDP (change vs. previous year in %)

Key figures of Commerzbank share

ytd
as of
31 Dec 2014 31 Dec 2015 30 Jun 2016
Number of shares issued (in m) 1,138.5 1,252.4 1,252.4
Market capitalisation
(in €bn)
12.5 11.8 7.3
Net asset value per share (in €) 21.34 21.95 21.35
Low/high Xetra
intraday prices ytd
(in €)
9.91/14.48 8.94/13.39 5.65/8.65

Commerzbank financials at a glance

Group Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016
Operating result (€m) 419 273 342 1,089 615
Net result (€m) 307 163 1)
209
645 1)
372
CET1 ratio B3 phase-in (%) 12.4 13.6 2)
13.2
12.4 2)
13.2
CET1 ratio B3 fully phased-in (%) 10.5 12.0 2)
11.5
10.5 2)
11.5
Total assets (€bn) 565 536 533 565 533
RWA B3 fully phased-in (€bn) 214 195 198 214 198
Leverage ratio (fully phased-in revised rules) (%) 4.0 4.5 4.4 4.0 4.4
Cost/income ratio (%) 71.3 81.8 76.3 70.8 79.1
Net RoE(%) 4.3 2.3 1)
2.9
4.7 1)
2.6
Net RoTE (%) 4.8 2.5 1)
3.3
5.2 1)
2.9
Total capital ratio fully phased-in (%) 13.3 15.4 14.7 13.3 14.7
NPL ratio (in %) 2.3 1.5 1.4 2.3 1.4
CoR (bps) 19 13 15 19 15

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding

1) Attributable to Commerzbank shareholders

2) Includes net result of Q2 2016 excl. dividend accrual

Leverage ratio at 4.4% fully phased-in

Leverage ratio according to revised CRD4/CRR rules published 10 October 2014

2) Includes net result as of reporting date excl. dividend accrual

Hedging & Valuation adjustments

€m Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16
P
C
OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA - - - - -2 -1
MSB OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 17 25 -22 -18 4 -12
CEE OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 1 1 2 -2 -2 -
OCS 7 39 57 -32 -25 21
C&M FVA & Net CVA / DVA 40 2 -12 -1 37 43
OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 47 41 45 -33 12 64
O&C OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 9 21 -138 5 30 7
ACR OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 56 1 10 -80 103 4
Group OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 130 88 -102 -127 145 62

Exposure to UK is very limited

Capital markets funding activities (as of H1 2016)

Funding strategy

  • › Commerzbank uses covered bonds and senior unsecured instruments for funding purposes
  • › Funding via private placements and public transactions
  • › Issuance programs in the Euromarkets (e.g. DIP)
  • › Since 2011 USD Medium-Term Note Program (144a/3a2)
  • › Issuance requirements 2016 well below €10bn

Funding H1 2016 highlights

  • › Commerzbank Group raised a total of €2.8bn in long-term funding with an average term of around ten years
  • › Euro Tier 2 of €1.0bn with maturity of ten years and USD Tier 2 of \$0.4bn with twelve years maturity
  • › Mortgage covered bond benchmark of €0.5bn with maturity of ten years

Capital market funding activities

H1 2016 – Notional €2.8bn

Rating overview Commerzbank

As of 02 August 2016

Bank Ratings
Counterparty Risk Assessment - A2 -
Deposit Rating - A2 stable -
Issuer Credit Rating BBB+ stable Baa1 stable BBB+ stable
Stand-alone (financial strength) bbb+ baa3 bbb+
Short-term debt A-2 P-1 F2
Covered Bond Ratings
Public Sector Pfandbriefe - Aaa
RWN
AA RWN
Mortgage Pfandbriefe - Aaa AAA stable

Rating Changes in Q2 2016

  • › Commerzbank AG has completed the wind-up of Hypothekenbank Frankfurt AG (HF) in May 2016 large portfolio portions and outstanding Pfandbriefe of HF were transferred to Commerzbank
  • › Mortgage Pfandbriefrating: maintained at "AAA"
  • › Public Sector Pfandbriefrating:
  • › Fitch downgrade to "AA" Rating Watch Negative (RWN) from "AAA"
  • › Moody´s: maintained at "AAA" but outlook on RWN

Commerzbank Group

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
H1
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
H1
2016
% Q2
vs Q2
% Q2
vs Q1
Total Revenues 2,785 2,436 5,221 2,309 2,232 9,762 2,314 2,231 4,545 -8.4 -3.6
o/w
Total net interest and net trading income
1,986 1,496 3,482 1,469 1,275 6,226 1,344 1,274 2,618 -14.8 -5.2
o/w
Net commission income
915 855 1,770 825 829 3,424 821 781 1,602 -8.7 -4.9
o/w
Other income
-116 85 -31 15 128 112 149 176 325 >100 18.1
Provision for possible loan losses -158 -280 -438 -146 -112 -696 -148 -187 -335 33.2 -26.4
Operating expenses 1,957 1,737 3,694 1,719 1,744 7,157 1,893 1,702 3,595 -2.0 -10.1
o/w
European bank levy
167 2 169 -4 -46 119 156 32 188 >100 -79.7
Operating profit 670 419 1,089 444 376 1,909 273 342 615 -18.4 25.3
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses 66 - 66 28 20 114 - 40 40 >100 -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 604 419 1,023 416 356 1,795 273 302 575 -27.9 10.6
Taxes on income 237 88 325 155 138 618 86 55 141 -37.5 -36.0
Minority Interests 29 24 53 31 31 115 24 38 62 58.3 58.3
Consolidated Result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders 338 307 645 230 187 1,062 163 209 372 -31.9 28.2
Assets 608,901 564,558 564,558 567,759 532,641 532,641 535,824 532,602 532,602 -5.7 -0.6
Liabilities 608,901 564,558 564,558 567,759 532,641 532,641 535,824 532,602 532,602 -5.7 -0.6
Average capital employed 27,539 29,387 28,463 29,699 29,987 29,153 29,827 29,681 29,754 1.0 -0.5
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 221,547 214,422 214,422 213,465 197,442 197,442 194,523 198,300 198,300 -7.5 1.9
Cost/income ratio (%) 70.3% 71.3% 70.8% 74.4% 78.1% 73.3% 81.8% 76.3% 79.1% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 9.7% 5.7% 7.7% 6.0% 5.0% 6.5% 3.7% 4.6% 4.1% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 10.9% 6.4% 8.6% 6.7% 5.6% 7.3% 4.1% 5.2% 4.6% - -
Return on equity of net result (%) 5.1% 4.3% 4.7% 3.2% 2.6% 3.8% 2.3% 2.9% 2.6% - -
Net return on tangible equity (%) 5.7% 4.8% 5.2% 3.6% 2.9% 4.2% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% - -

Private Customers

Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 12M Q1 Q2 H1 % Q2 % Q2
€m 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 vs Q2 vs Q1
Total Revenues 935 940 1,875 995 906 3,776 944 925 1,869 -1.6 -2.0
o/w
Net interest income
439 477 916 553 459 1,928 474 430 904 -9.9 -9.3
o/w
Net trading income
- 1 1 - 5 6 -1 - -1 -100.0 100.0
o/w
Net commission income
473 441 914 439 414 1,767 427 415 842 -5.9 -2.8
o/w
Other income
23 21 44 3 28 75 44 80 124 >100 81.8
Provision for possible loan losses -14 -24 -38 -13 24 -27 -9 -2 -11 91.7 77.8
Operating expenses 763 747 1,510 754 784 3,048 744 743 1,487 -0.5 -0.1
o/w
European bank levy
16 - 16 - -4 12 16 1 16 >100 -95.4
Operating profit 158 169 327 228 146 701 191 180 371 6.5 -5.8
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 158 169 327 228 146 701 191 180 371 6.5 -5.8
Assets 76,303 78,239 78,239 79,618 80,744 80,744 81,949 84,224 84,224 7.6 2.8
Liabilities 100,747 102,613 102,613 102,599 104,745 104,745 105,124 107,170 107,170 4.4 1.9
Average capital employed 3,121 2,924 3,023 2,908 2,890 2,961 2,526 2,303 2,415 -21.2 -8.8
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 18,879 19,008 19,008 18,862 15,520 15,520 14,957 14,709 14,709 -22.6 -1.7
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 728 798 798 744 876 876 1,011 971 971 21.6 -4.0
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 6,899 6,604 6,604 6,643 6,755 6,755 5,276 5,815 5,815 -12.0 10.2
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 26,505 26,410 26,410 26,248 23,151 23,151 21,244 21,495 21,495 -18.6 1.2
Cost/income ratio (%) 81.6% 79.5% 80.5% 75.8% 86.5% 80.7% 78.8% 80.3% 79.6% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 20.2% 23.1% 21.6% 31.4% 20.2% 23.7% 30.2% 31.3% 30.7% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 19.7% 22.5% 21.1% 30.2% 19.4% 22.9% 29.2% 29.5% 29.3% - -

Mittelstandsbank

Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 12M Q1 Q2 H1 % Q2 % Q2
€m 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 vs Q2 vs Q1
Total Revenues 808 755 1,563 651 706 2,920 706 687 1,393 -9.0 -2.7
o/w
Net interest income
490 473 963 456 448 1,867 438 460 898 -2.7 5.0
o/w
Net trading income
26 41 67 -18 -14 35 -1 -17 -18 >-100 >-100
o/w
Net commission income
292 263 555 265 273 1,093 262 241 503 -8.4 -8.0
o/w
Other income
- -22 -22 -52 -1 -75 7 3 10 >100 -57.1
Provision for possible loan losses -24 -55 -79 -31 -77 -187 -53 -93 -146 -69.1 -75.5
Operating expenses 419 386 805 390 407 1,602 444 391 835 1.3 -11.9
o/w
European bank levy
48 - 47 - -10 38 53 2 55 >100 -95.5
Operating profit 365 314 679 230 222 1,131 209 203 412 -35.4 -2.9
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 365 314 679 230 222 1,131 209 203 412 -35.4 -2.9
Assets 100,997 98,408 98,408 101,078 97,202 97,202 96,332 97,183 97,183 -1.2 0.9
Liabilities 142,696 143,732 143,732 148,203 150,541 150,541 144,780 128,039 128,039 -10.9 -11.6
Average capital employed 8,460 8,335 8,397 8,334 8,427 8,389 8,118 7,932 8,025 -4.8 -2.3
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 72,789 70,228 70,228 70,933 69,567 69,567 66,128 66,708 66,708 -5.0 0.9
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 1,206 1,169 1,169 1,008 1,319 1,319 1,406 1,394 1,394 19.2 -0.9
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 3,845 3,495 3,495 3,174 3,096 3,096 4,784 4,989 4,989 42.7 4.3
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 77,840 74,892 74,892 75,115 73,981 73,981 72,319 73,091 73,091 -2.4 1.1
Cost/income ratio (%) 51.9% 51.1% 51.5% 59.9% 57.6% 54.9% 62.9% 56.9% 59.9% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 17.3% 15.1% 16.2% 11.0% 10.5% 13.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.3% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 16.6% 14.4% 15.5% 10.5% 10.1% 12.9% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% - -

Central & Eastern Europe

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
H1
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
H1
2016
% Q2
vs Q2
% Q2
vs Q1
Total Revenues 253 206 459 228 251 938 220 272 492 32.0 23.6
o/w
Net interest income
134 132 266 143 153 562 150 146 296 10.6 -2.7
o/w
Net trading income
20 15 35 25 10 70 15 13 28 -13.3 -13.3
o/w
Net commission income
47 56 103 56 56 215 49 48 97 -14.3 -2.0
o/w
Other income
52 3 55 4 32 91 6 65 71 >100 >100
Provision for possible loan losses -23 -24 -47 -28 -22 -97 -13 -29 -42 -20.8 >-100
Operating expenses 142 113 255 103 150 508 130 134 264 18.6 3.1
o/w
European bank levy (including Polish banking tax)
5 - 5 -4 - 1 13 20 34 >100 53.1
Operating profit 88 69 157 97 79 333 77 109 186 58.0 41.6
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 88 69 157 97 79 333 77 109 186 58.0 41.6
Assets 30,158 28,904 28,904 29,735 29,034 29,034 29,023 29,080 29,080 0.6 0.2
Liabilities 25,319 23,933 23,933 25,364 24,923 24,923 24,815 24,782 24,782 3.5 -0.1
Average capital employed 1,618 1,713 1,665 1,744 1,723 1,699 1,645 1,656 1,651 -3.3 0.7
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 14,391 14,411 14,411 14,228 13,630 13,630 13,671 13,615 13,615 -5.5 -0.4
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 558 483 483 492 584 584 369 415 415 -14.0 12.6
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 760 781 781 830 796 796 1,146 1,158 1,158 48.3 1.0
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 15,709 15,675 15,675 15,550 15,010 15,010 15,186 15,188 15,188 -3.1 -
Cost/income ratio (%) 56.1% 54.9% 55.6% 45.2% 59.8% 54.2% 59.1% 49.3% 53.7% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 21.8% 16.1% 18.9% 22.3% 18.3% 19.6% 18.7% 26.3% 22.5% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 21.7% 16.0% 18.8% 22.2% 18.4% 19.6% 18.8% 26.3% 22.5% - -

Corporates & Markets

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
H1
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
H1
2016
% Q2
vs Q2
% Q2
vs Q1
Total Revenues 680 541 1,221 426 397 2,044 475 437 912 -19.2 -8.0
o/w
Total net interest and net trading income
584 417 1,001 357 235 1,593 341 344 685 -17.5 0.9
o/w
Net commission income
103 99 202 68 97 367 91 83 174 -16.2 -8.8
o/w
Other income
-7 25 18 1 65 84 43 10 53 -60.0 -76.7
Provision for possible loan losses 47 -11 36 -11 11 36 -5 12 7 >100 >100
Operating expenses 430 354 784 346 369 1,499 388 330 718 -6.8 -14.9
o/w
European bank levy
65 2 67 - -30 37 32 1 33 -30.5 -96.6
Operating profit 297 176 473 69 39 581 82 119 201 -32.4 45.1
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses 50 - 50 7 - 57 - 12 12 >100 -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 247 176 423 62 39 524 82 107 189 -39.2 30.5
Assets 225,917 182,966 182,966 192,699 163,279 163,279 164,624 168,279 168,279 -8.0 2.2
Liabilities 197,293 158,773 158,773 164,368 127,116 127,116 131,581 138,443 138,443 -12.8 5.2
Average capital employed 4,069 4,330 4,200 4,101 3,945 4,111 3,654 3,815 3,735 -11.9 4.4
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 21,524 21,021 21,021 21,157 19,797 19,797 20,024 19,653 19,653 -6.5 -1.9
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 11,920 11,585 11,585 10,997 8,634 8,634 9,049 9,897 9,897 -14.6 9.4
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 5,717 5,602 5,602 5,201 4,691 4,691 5,392 6,511 6,511 16.2 20.8
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 39,161 38,208 38,208 37,355 33,122 33,122 34,465 36,061 36,061 -5.6 4.6
Cost/income ratio (%) 63.2% 65.4% 64.2% 81.2% 92.9% 73.3% 81.7% 75.5% 78.7% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 29.2% 16.3% 22.5% 6.7% 4.0% 14.1% 9.0% 12.5% 10.8% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 23.5% 13.4% 18.4% 5.5% 3.3% 11.6% 7.4% 10.7% 9.1% - -

Asset & Capital Recovery

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
H1
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
H1
2016
% Q2
vs Q2
% Q2
vs Q1
Total Revenues -19 -76 -95 157 14 76 -21 -27 -48 64.5 -28.6
o/w
Net interest income
110 39 149 -17 5 137 -1 -51 -52 >-100 >-100
o/w
Net trading income
47 -100 -53 139 8 94 -30 24 -6 >100 >100
o/w
Net commission income
6 6 12 2 3 17 - 2 2 -66.7 -
o/w
Other income
-182 -21 -203 33 -2 -172 10 -2 8 90.5 -100.0
Provision for possible loan losses -109 -140 -249 -62 -50 -361 -70 -75 -145 46.4 -7.1
Operating expenses 60 47 107 42 32 181 31 32 63 -31.9 3.2
o/w
European bank levy
9 - 9 - -1 8 5 1 6 >100 -79.0
Operating profit -188 -263 -451 53 -68 -466 -122 -134 -256 49.0 -9.8
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses 16 - 16 - - 16 - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit -204 -263 -467 53 -68 -482 -122 -134 -256 49.0 -9.8
Assets 27,425 24,581 24,581 23,776 22,604 22,604 24,128 30,429 30,429 23.8 26.1
Liabilities 14,970 14,210 14,210 12,941 14,951 14,951 15,186 22,768 22,768 60.2 49.9
Average capital employed 4,720 4,516 4,618 3,839 3,652 4,182 3,280 3,470 3,375 -23.2 5.8
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 25,045 22,229 22,229 19,475 16,483 16,483 16,947 17,077 17,077 -23.2 0.8
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 4,095 3,142 3,142 3,677 2,965 2,965 3,007 3,150 3,150 0.3 4.8
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 1,950 2,066 2,066 2,091 2,167 2,167 2,468 3,021 3,021 46.2 22.4
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 31,090 27,438 27,438 25,243 21,615 21,615 22,422 23,249 23,249 -15.3 3.7

Others & Consolidation

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
H1
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
H1
2016
% Q2
vs Q2
% Q2
vs Q1
Total Revenues 128 70 198 -148 -42 8 -10 -63 -73 >-100 >-100
o/w
Total net interest and net trading income
136 1 137 -169 -34 -66 -41 -75 -116 >-100 -82.9
o/w
Net commission income
-6 -10 -16 -5 -14 -35 -8 -8 -16 20.0 0.0
o/w
Other income
-2 79 77 26 6 109 39 20 59 -74.7 -48.7
Provision for possible loan losses -35 -26 -61 -1 2 -60 2 - 2 >100 -100.0
Operating expenses 143 90 233 84 2 319 156 72 228 -20.0 -53.8
o/w
European bank levy
25 - 25 - -1 24 38 6 44 >100 -83.5
Operating profit -50 -46 -96 -233 -42 -371 -164 -135 -299 >-100 17.7
Impairments on goodw
ill
- - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - 21 20 41 - 28 28 - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit -50 -46 -96 -254 -62 -412 -164 -163 -327 >-100 0.6
Assets 148,101 151,460 151,460 140,853 139,778 139,778 139,768 123,407 123,407 -18.5 -11.7
Liabilities 127,877 121,297 121,297 114,284 110,365 110,365 114,338 111,400 111,400 -8.2 -2.6
Average capital employed 5,550 7,569 6,560 8,773 9,350 7,811 10,603 10,505 10,554 38.8 -0.9
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 23,395 24,501 24,501 26,350 23,620 23,620 22,335 22,929 22,929 -6.4 2.7
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 3,965 3,190 3,190 3,564 3,049 3,049 3,445 3,454 3,454 8.3 0.3
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 3,882 4,107 4,107 4,039 3,893 3,893 3,110 2,833 2,833 -31.0 -8.9
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 31,242 31,799 31,799 33,953 30,562 30,562 28,889 29,216 29,216 -8.1 1.1

Group equity composition

Capital
Q1 2016
End of period
€bn
Capital
Q2 2016
End of period
€bn
Capital
Q2 2016
Average
€bn
Ratios
Q2 2016
%
Ratios
Q2 2016
%
Common equity tier 1 B3 capital (phase in) 26.5 26.3 4) CET1 ratio phase-in: 13.2%
Transition adjustments 3.1 3.5 1)
Common equity tier 1 B3 capital (fully phased-in) 23.4 22.8 23.1 4) Op. RoCET: 5.9% CET1 ratio fully phased-in: 11.5%
DTA 0.9 0.9
Deductions on securitizations 0.3 0.3
Deductions related to non-controlling interests 0.4 0.4
IRB shortfall 0.6 0.8
Other regulatory adjustments 1.1 1.2
Tangible equity 26.7 26.3 26.5 4) Op. RoTE: 5.2%
Goodwill and other intangible assets 3.2 3.2 3.2 Pre-tax RoE: 4.1%
IFRS capital 29.9 29.6 29.7 4) Op. RoE: 4.6%
Subscribed capital 1.3 1.3
Capital reserve 17.2 17.2
Retained earnings 11.1 10.9 2),4)
Currency translation reserve -0.1 -0.2
Revaluation reserve -0.6 -0.9
Cash flow hedges -0.1 -0.1
Consolidated P&L 0.2 0.4 3)
IFRS capital without non-controlling interests 28.9 28.6 28.7 4) RoE on net result: 2.9%
Non-controlling interests (IFRS) 1.0 1.0 1.0 RoTE on net result: 3.3%

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding

  • 1) Include mainly AT1 positions and phase-in impacts 2) Excluding consolidated P&L 4)
  • 3) Includes net result of H1 2016
  • Excluding dividend accrual

Glossary - Capital Allocation / RoE, RoTE & RoCET1 Calculation

Capital
Allocation

Amount of average capital allocated to business segments is calculated by multiplying the segments current
YTD average Basel 3 RWA (fully phased-in) (PC €22.0bn, MSB €73.0bn, CEE €15.0bn, C&M €34.0bn, O&C
€29.7bn, ACR €22.5bn) by a ratio of 11% and 15% for ACR respectively
-
reflecting current regulatory and
market standard –
figures for 2015 have been restated

Excess capital reconciling to Group CET1 Basel 3 fully phased-in is allocated to Others & Consolidation

Capital allocation is disclosed in the business segment reporting of Commerzbank Group

For the purposes of calculating
the
segmental RoTE, average regulatory capital deductions Basel 3 fully
phased-in (excluding Goodwill and other intangibles) are allocated to the business segments additionally (PC
€0.1bn, MSB €0.4bn, C&M €0.7bn, O&C €2.4bn, ACR €0.4bn)

RoE
is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital on Group level and on an average
level
of
11%

(and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs Basel 3 fully phased-in on segmental level

› RoTE is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital after deduction of goodwill and other intangible assets on Group level and on an average level of 11% (and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs Basel 3 fully phased-in after addition of capital deductions Basel 3 fully phased-in (excluding goodwill and other intangible assets) on segmental level

  • › RoTE calculation represents the current market standard
  • › RoCET1 is calculated on average B3 CET1 capital fully phased-in

RoE, RoTE & RoCET1 Calculation

For more information, please contact Commerzbank's IR team

Tanja Birkholz (Head of Investor Relations / Executive Management Board Member) P: +49 69 136 23854 M: [email protected]

Christoph Wortig (Head of IR Communications)

P: +49 69 136 52668 M: [email protected]

Institutional Investors and Financial Analysts

Michael H. Klein P: +49 69 136 24522 M: [email protected]

Fabian Brügmann P: +49 69 136 28696 M: [email protected]

Retail Investors

Florian Neumann P: +49 69 136 41367 M: [email protected]

Simone Nuxoll P: +49 69 136 45660 M: [email protected]

Dirk Bartsch (Head of Strategic IR / Rating Agency Relations)

P: +49 69 136 22799

M: [email protected]

[email protected] www.ir.commerzbank.com

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include, inter alia, statements about Commerzbank's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates, projections and targets as they are currently available to the management of Commerzbank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and Commerzbank undertakes no obligation to update any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, among others, the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which Commerzbank derives a substantial portion of its revenues and in which it hold a substantial portion of its assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of its strategic initiatives and the reliability of its risk management policies.

In addition, this presentation contains financial and other information which has been derived from publicly available information disclosed by persons other than Commerzbank ("external data"). In particular, external data has been derived from industry and customer-related data and other calculations taken or derived from industry reports published by third parties, market research reports and commercial publications. Commercial publications generally state that the information they contain has originated from sources assumed to be reliable, but that the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed and that the calculations contained therein are based on a series of assumptions. The external data has not been independently verified by Commerzbank. Therefore, Commerzbank cannot assume any responsibility for the accuracy of the external data taken or derived from public sources.

Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from https://www.commerzbank.de/en/hauptnavigation/aktionaere/investor_relations.html