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Commerzbank AG Earnings Release 2023

May 17, 2023

81_ip_2023-05-17_cc4eb6ed-a4dd-41f0-a7f3-67ef92df9295.pdf

Earnings Release

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Strong start to the year – Q1 operating result of €875m

Analyst conference – Q1 2023

17 May 2023 Commerzbank, Manfred Knof, CEO & Bettina Orlopp, CFO, Frankfurt All figures in this presentation are subject to rounding

Manfred Knof CEO

Transformation on track – on course to reach 2023 targets

Good revenues from fee business and higher rates

CHF mortgages in Poland remain a burden on revenues

High asset quality and low risk result

Costs on track – Cost Income Ratio of 65%

First share buyback of €122m approved – accrued for 50% pay-out

Managing the bank in a dynamic environment

Deposits

Focus on deposit beta while ensuring sound level of volumes and funding mix

Assets

Seize lending opportunities at healthy margins while maintaining strict underwriting standards

Expenses

Manage inflation pressure and prioritize investment programs within CIR target

Good progress on ESG priorities

Key take-aways

Strong start to the year and transformation on track

Strict performance management towards targets 2023 and 2024 ✓

Capital return plan on track with approval of 1st share buyback

Bettina Orlopp CFO

High profitability in Q1

Strong operating result
Strong operating result
Strong operating result
of €875m
of €875m
of €875m
Revenues stable YoY
Revenues stable YoY
Revenues stable YoY
excluding provisions
excluding provisions
excluding provisions
for legal risks of
for legal risks of
for
risks
Costs of €1,724m
Costs of €1,724m
Costs of €1,724m
reflect
reflect higher accrual
reflect higher accrual
for variable
for variable
for
Low
Low risk result of
Low risk result of
result of
-€68m
-€68m
-€68m
CET1 ratio at 14.2%
CET1 ratio at 14.2%
with comfortable buffer
buffer
to MDA
to
Net result of €580m
of
Net result of €580m
CHF
CHF loans
CHF loans
compensation and
compensation and
reduced compulsory
reduced compulsory
reduced compulsory
TLA
remains
TLA of €483m remains
of
remains
available
available
Accrual for 50% pay
for
pay
Net
Net RoTE
RoTE
of 8.3%
of 8.3%
QoQ
QoQNII growth
NII growth
QoQ
NII growth
compensating loss of
compensating loss of
compensating loss of
benefits
TLTRO
TLTRO
benefits from TLTRO
contributions
contributions
contributions
CIR reached 65%
65%
CIR reached 65%
NPE ratio at 1.1%
NPE ratio at 1.1%
NPE ratio at 1.1%
out ratio
out
NCI improved QoQ
NCI improved QoQ
NCI improved QoQ
due to better securities
due to better securities
due to better securities
business but below
business but below
business but
exceptional Q1 2022
Q1
exceptional Q1 2022

Strong operating performance and low risk result

1) Consolidated result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders and investors in additional equity components

2) Includes net result reduced by pay-out accrual if applicable and potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupons

Only minor exceptional items in Q1

2022 (€m) Revenues 2023
(€m)
Revenues
Q1 Hedging
&
valuation
adjustments
17 56 Q1
Hedging
&
valuation
adjustments
9 13
PPA
Consumer
Finance
(PSBC)
-6 PPA
Consumer
Finance
(PSBC)
-7
TLTRO
benefit
(O&C)
45 Credit
holidays
in
Poland
(PSBC)
11
Q2 Hedging
&
valuation
adjustments
48 111
Consumer
(PSBC)
PPA
Finance
-5
TLTRO
benefit
(O&C)
42
of
(PSBC)
Prov
judgement
pricing
accounts
. re
on
27
Q3 Hedging
&
valuation
adjustments
84 181
-
PPA
Consumer
Finance
(PSBC)
-5
TLTRO
benefit
(O&C)
9
Credit
holidays
in
Poland
(PSBC)
-270
Q4 Hedging
&
valuation
adjustments
-118 38
-
Consumer
(PSBC)
PPA
Finance
-4
TLTRO
benefit
(O&C)
93
Credit
holidays
in
Poland
(PSBC)
-9
F
Y
52
-
Q1 13

Increased fees from securities business

Underlying net commission income (€m)

Highlights Q1

NCI in PSBC Germany higher QoQ mainly due to good securities business

In PSBC Germany increase in securities volumes and number of transactions as well as higher sales volumes of life insurance business

NCI in CC stable QoQ with good performance of the bond business and weaker contribution from FX business

NII with so far limited impact from higher deposit beta

Underlying net interest income (excl. TLTRO) (€m)

Highlights Q1

QoQ lower NII at PSBC Germany mainly due to less benefits from prepayment of mortgages – offsetting effect in O&C

Stable revenue contribution from mortgages

QoQ lower NII at mBank mainly due to higher deposit beta

QoQ lower NII at CC with higher funding costs for trading books and slightly lower contribution from loans not fully compensated by better NII from deposits

Improved NII at O&C mainly due to higher short term rates that increase NII from floating rate and short term instruments – offset in NFV by corresponding hedges

Base scenario improved to €7bn with potential upside

Interest rate1 and deposit beta2 assumptions

EUR

Average base scenario ECB deposit rate (Q2-Q4): 3.4% Average base scenario 5y swap rate (Q2-Q4): 3.0%

Deposit beta² in Germany rising from ~15% in Q1 to average ~35% in Q2-Q4 (→ FY average ~30%)

PLN Increasing deposit beta at largely unchanged rates

Scenario assumptions

Average deposit volume slightly below level of Q1 Slight reduction in PSBC Germany loan volumes

Sensitivity to deposit beta²: change of +/- 1 percentage point of deposit beta in Q2-Q4 leads to ~ -/+ €55m change in NII

1) EUR scenario based on forward rates from end March 2023

2) Deposit beta is the average interest pass-through rate to customers across interest bearing and non-interest bearing deposit products

Active cost management continued

Operating expenses (€m) 1,306 1,321 132 Q1 2022 143 Q1 2023 1,438 1,464 +1.8% / +€26m mBank Group excl. mBank

Compulsory contributions (€m)

Total expenses (€m)

Highlights Q1

Operating expenses benefit from 984 net FTE reduction YoY to 35,971 and decreased administrative expenses but offset by higher accruals for variable compensation due to better performance

Decreasing European bank levy due to lower target volume for 2023 driven by reduced growth for European covered deposits

Lower compulsory contribution and cost management lead to decreasing total expenses

High credit quality maintained: low risk result of -€68m

Risk result (€m)

2022 2023 -464 -106 -84 -222 -68 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 TLA

Risk result divisional split

Risk
Result
(€m)
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Small-Business
Customers
Germany
Private
and
-17 -46 -52 -102 -91
mBank -55 -41 -38 -39 -37
Corporate
Clients
-286 -52 13 -121 54
Others
&
Consolidation
-106 34 -6 40 6
Group -464 -106 -84 -222 -68
NPE
(€bn)
Small-Business
Customers
Germany
Private
and
0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
mBank 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2
Private
and
Small-Business
Customers
1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
Corporate
Clients
1.9 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.7
Others
&
Consolidation
0.2 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.8
Group 3.9 4.8 5.6 5.7 5.5
Group
NPE
ratio
(in
%)
0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1
Group
CoR
(bps)
(year-to-date)
39 24 15 17 5
Group
CoR
(CoRL)
on Loans
(bps)
(year-to-date)
69 42 32 33 10

Highlights Q1

PSBC Germany risk result impacted by €42m TLA increase and single cases mBank's risk result on lower level

CC risk result driven by write backs and TLA net release

NPE ratio remains on low level of 1.1% CoRL of 10bps on a low level in Q1

€483m top level adjustment remains available

Highlights Q1

Increase of TLA in PSBC due to growing uncertainty regarding interest rates, energy prices and inflation requiring minor adjustments of assumptions and TLA relevant sub-portfolio

Decrease of TLA in CC mainly driven by materialized downgrades as well as changes within the portfolio

TLA of O&C unchanged at €9m Remaining €483m TLA available to cover expected secondary effects from supply chains, inflation and higher interest rates in 2023

Operating result driven by good revenues and low LLPs

Group operating result

Group P&L

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Revenues 2,793 2,420 1,886 2,363 2,668
Exceptional
items
56 111 -181 -38 13
Revenues
excl.
exceptional
items
2,737 2,309 2,066 2,401 2,655
o/w
Net
interest
income
1,362 1,441 1,617 1,869 1,954
o/w
Net
commission
income
970 894 849 806 915
o/w
fair
Net
value
result
336 21 87 -25 -81
o/w
Other
income
69 -48 -487 -249 -133
Risk
result
-464 -106 -84 -222 -68
Personnel
expenses
859 825 851 880 899
Administrative
expenses
579 598 579 673 566
Operating
expenses
1,438 1,423 1,429 1,553 1,464
Compulsory
contributions
347 144 91 59 260
Operating
result
544 746 282 528 875
Restructuring
expenses
15 25 14 40 4
Pre-tax
profit
Commerzbank
Group
529 721 267 488 871
Taxes
on income
199 226 228 -41 279
Minority
interests
32 25 -155 57 12
Net
result
298 470 195 472 580
CIR
(excl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
51.5 58.8 75.8 65.7 54.9
CIR
(incl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
63.9 64.8 80.6 68.2 64.6
Net
RoTE
(%)
4.0 6.7 2.2 6.7 8.3
Operating
RoCET
(%)
9.2 12.4 4.7 8.8 14.6

Highlights Q1

YoY 2% increase of underlying revenues excluding burdens from CHF mortgages (€132m higher YoY) driven by strong NII growth of 43%

Other income reflects provisions for CHF mortgages

NFV driven by effect of higher rates on banking book hedges – offset to higher NII in O&C

Q1 tax rate of 32% – bank levy expenses and provisions for legal risk of CHF mortgages in Poland not tax deductible but partly offset by lower foreign profit taxation

PSBC: customers adjust deposits as rates increase

Loan and securities volumes (Germany)

Deposits (Germany) (€bn | eop)

Highlights Q1

Increase in securities volume by €13.4bn QoQ – thereof ~€10.3bn due to market moves and €3.1bn net new money

German mortgage business stable at €95bn – pickup of mortgage new business in March but well below volumes one year ago Consumer finance book decreased to €3.4bn

QoQ cyclical and seasonal decrease in deposit volume mainly from shifts into securities, higher spending due to inflation and increasing competitive pressure

(€bn | eop)

Growth of customer business in PSBC Germany

Operating result PSBC Germany (€m)

Segmental P&L PSBC Germany

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Revenues 1,060 1,139 1,069 1,052 1,147
Exceptional
items
-6 22 -5 -4 -7
Revenues
excl.
exceptional
items¹
1,066 1,117 1,074 1,057 1,154
o/w
Private
Customers
795 823 784 794 845
o/w
Small-Business
Customers
204 218 205 218 226
o/w
Commerz
Real
66 76 85 45 83
Risk
result
-17 -46 -52 -102 -91
Operating
expenses
689 691 692 805 703
Compulsory
contributions
84 23 4 22 64
Operating
result
270 378 320 122 290
(end
of
€bn)
RWA
period
in
32.4 32.1 32.1 32.5 32.4
CIR
(excl.
contributions)
(%)
compulsory
65.0 60.7 64.7 76.5 61.2
CIR
(incl.
contributions)
(%)
compulsory
73.0 62.7 65.1 78.7 66.8
Operating
(%)
return
on equity
27.8 37.3 31.9 12.2 28.1

1) Minor impacts from shifts in Q1 2023 between the customer groups of PC and SBC have not been restated for 2022

Highlights Q1

Increase in underlying revenues in all customer segments drives improvement of operating result Operating result includes -€42m TLA increase

Underlying NII up €114m (23%) YoY benefits from increased interest rates – decrease of -€13m QoQ mainly due to less benefits from early repayment of mortgages following change in internal calculation method

NCI -€28m YoY (-5%) due to lower trading volumes in a less volatile market Net reduction of customer base in Germany by 31k in Q1 – revenue churn still well below expectations

mBank: strong underlying business

Operating result mBank

(€m)

…excluding provisions for legal risks of CHF loans and credit holidays

175 143 219 301 262

Segmental P&L mBank

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Revenues 408 402 -278 417 356
Exceptional
items
-1 -1 -271 -7 14
Revenues
excl.
exceptional
items
409 402 -7 423 342
Risk
result
-55 -41 -38 -39 -37
Operating
expenses
132 138 129 141 143
Compulsory
contributions
87 119 83 36 76
Operating
result
134 103 -528 201 100
RWA
(end
of
period
in
€bn)
22.1 22.0 21.2 21.1 21.3
CIR
(excl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
32.3 34.3 n/a 33.8 40.3
CIR
(incl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
53.6 64.0 n/a 42.5 61.6
Operating
on equity
(%)
return
19.3 14.8 -77.7 30.2 14.9
Provisions
for
legal
risks
of
CHF
loans
of
mBank
-41 -40 -477 -92 -173
Credit
holidays
in
Poland
- - -270 -9 11
CHF
Op.
result
ex prov. for
loans
&
credit
holidays
175 143 219 301 262

Highlights Q1

Operating result excluding additional provisions for CHF loans and credit holidays increased 49% YoY but below record Q4 2022

Underlying NII up 54% YoY driven by higher rates but 4% lower QoQ due to increased deposit beta

Volume of CHF loans before deductions at €2.3bn; provisions for legal risk of €1.4bn (thereof €0.2bn liabilities for repaid loans as well as for legal fees) – net volume €1.1bn and coverage ratio of 61.3%

CC: ongoing shift into higher yielding deposits

Loan volume corporates

(€bn | quarterly avg. | Mittelstand and International Corporates)

Deposits

(€bn | quarterly avg.)

Highlights Q1

Loan volumes stable QoQ across client groups. YoY loan volume increase in Mittelstand mainly from working capital and investment loans

Growth in deposit volumes throughout the quarter and reallocation to higher yielding products

Average RWA efficiency of corporates portfolio further improved to 6.7% (6.1% in Q4)

CC: record quarter supported by positive risk result

Operating result

Segmental P&L CC

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Revenues 926 882 1,021 962 1,078
Exceptional
items
2 -18 15 -31 18
Revenues
excl.
exceptional
items
924 900 1,006 993 1,060
o/w
Mittelstand
488 471 524 592 604
o/w
Corporates
International
227 235 247 215 248
o/w
Institutionals
137 141 146 176 192
o/w
others
71 52 89 10 16
Risk
result
-286 -52 13 -121 54
Operating
expenses
532 504 497 627 514
Compulsory
contributions
115 1 2 1 78
Operating
result
-7 324 535 213 539
RWA
(end
of
period
in
€bn)
80.5 78.8 81.0 81.6 82.0
CIR
(excl
. compulsory
contributions)
(%)
57.5 57.2 48.7 65.2 47.7
CIR
(incl
contributions)
(%)
. compulsory
69.9 57.3 48.9 65.3 55.0
Operating
on equity
(%)
return
-0.3 13.0 21.5 8.4 20.8

Highlights Q1

YoY increased revenues in all customer segments driven by higher NII from deposits Operating result additionally reflects positive risk result

Underlying NII up 36% YoY Underlying NFV of €114m benefits from good capital markets activities in bonds and commodities

Pre-provision result up 74% YoY based on 15% higher underlying revenues and 8% lower costs

O&C: operating loss in line with expectations

Operating result

Segmental P&L O&C

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Revenues 399 -2 74 -68 86
Exceptional
items
61 108 80 4 -13
Revenues
excl.
exceptional
items
338 -110 -6 -72 99
o/w
Net
interest
income
89 -3 68 98 229
o/w
Net
commission
income
-11 -9 -17 -9 -11
o/w
Net
fair
value
result
167 -54 -29 -54 -158
o/w
Other
income
93 -44 -28 -107 39
Risk
result
-106 34 -6 40 6
Operating
expenses
86 91 112 -20 104
Compulsory
contribution
61 1 1 - 42
Operating
result
147 -60 -45 -8 -54
(end
of
€bn)
RWA
period
in
40
0
42
2
40
2
33
.5
35
8

Highlights Q1

QoQ increased underlying NII driven by rising short-term rates – offset in NFV by corresponding hedging derivatives

QoQ higher costs impacted by accrual for variable compensation and compulsory contributions Valuation effects of -€5m from CommerzVentures

CET1 ratio of 14.2% and buffer to MDA of 420bps

Highlights Q1

Credit risk RWA increase of €2bn mainly due to anticipated effects of model adjustments in the context of IRB Repair ("Future of the IRB")

Capital increase based on positive net result and improved other comprehensive income

Increase of MDA driven by German countercyclical risk buffer and sectoral systemic risk buffer activation in Feb 2023

1) Includes net result reduced by pay-out accrual if applicable and potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupons

Q1 2023

10.01

Targets and expectations for 2023 confirmed

We anticipate NCI
on previous year's
level and NII
around €7bn
with further upside
potential
We target total
expenses of
€6.3bn.
However, CIR is
key steering metric
We expect a risk
result < €900m
assuming usage of
TLA
We expect
a CET1 ratio of
~14%
We aim for
a net result
well above
previous year and
we intend to
increase the pay
out ratio to 50%1

Expectations based on assumption of a mild recession in 2023 and subject to future development of CHF burdens in mBank

1) Pay-out ratio based on net result after potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon payments

Appendix

2023 strategy
KPIs
26
German economy 27
Russia, Covid and risk related
information
Russia net exposure 28
Commerzbank's risk provisions
related to stages
29
Vulnerable sectors: automotive,
energy/utilities, machinery,
construction/paper, chemicals/plastics,
metals 30-36
Commercial real estate 37
Residential mortgage business 38
Corporate responsibility

Renewable energy portfolio 39

Sustainable products target 40

ESG ratings 41

Commerzbank Group P&L tables

Commerzbank financials at a glance 42 Key figures Commerzbank share 43 Loan and deposit volumes 44

Funding & rating

Commerzbank's MREL requirements 45
Distance to MDA 46
Capital markets funding 47
Liquidity position / ratios 48
Rating overview 49
Capital management
IAS 19: Pension obligations 50
FX impact on CET1 ratio 51
Group equity composition 52
53
Private and Small-Business Customers 54
PSBC Germany 55
mBank 56
Corporate Clients 57
Others & Consolidation 58
Exceptional revenue items
by segment
59
Glossary 60
Contacts & financial calendar 61
Disclaimer 62
Commerzbank Group

2023 strategy KPIs

KPI YE 2020 YE 2021 YE 2022 Q1 2023 Target 2023
Domestic locations (#) ~800 ~550 ~450 ~450 400
PSBC Active digital banking users (%) 66 70 72 73 72
Loan and securities volumes
(GER €bn)
290 340 313 327 345
International locations exited (#) - 6 10 11 13
CC Digital banking users activated (%) - 24 52 60 70
Portfolio with RWA efficiency
< 3% (%)
34 29 26 23 26
Operations & IT capacity in nearshoring locations
(%)
14 20 24 26 26
Head Office Apps on cloud1
(%)
32
41
61
Target reached YE 2022
Reduction of external staff (#) Reduction starts 2023 To be reported on
annual basis
400
Group Contracted gross FTE reduction (#) - >6,000 8,850 9,150 10,0002

1) Apps on cloud target 2022 reached. Strategic shift from volume-driven to value-driven approach. Future app migration focuses on optimisation – hence no target set for 2023

2) Planned gross reduction as part of Strategy 2024

German economy to stay weak

After a decline in the fourth quarter of 2022, the German economy stagnated in the first quarter of 2023. Many industrial companies were able to expand their production in view of a lower risk in energy supply and a better supply of intermediate products again. In the energy-intensive sectors, the somewhat lower energy costs also had a positive impact.

On the demand side, private consumption remained weak. The tighter monetary policy slowed down residential construction investments in particular. A positive contribution at the beginning of the year came in particular from higher exports, which also benefited from the diminishing problems in the supply chains.

Due to the sluggish economy, the number of unemployed has risen slightly in recent months. However, this is partly due to the fact that more refugees from Ukraine are officially counted as unemployed.

The inflation rate has fallen from its high of almost 9% last autumn to 7.2% in April. Energy prices, for example, have recently not risen nearly as much as they did a year earlier; in some cases they have even fallen somewhat. However, the core inflation rate excluding energy and food, has continued to rise and stood at just under 6%.

1) Latest development Outlook for 2023/2024

Germany Eurozone

Even though business sentiment has improved in recent months, the economy is likely to remain weak this year and for much of the coming year. This is because the massive interest rate hikes by the ECB and many other central banks will increasingly weigh on the economy. This is especially true for the construction sector, where activity is expected to decline noticeably in the coming quarters. But other investments and demand from abroad are also likely to be slowed down. This should more than offset the relief in energy costs, so that a slight decline in real GDP is even to be feared for the second half of the year. In 2024, too, at best a slight recovery of the economy is to be expected, so that on average the economy is likely to show a slightly negative result in 2022 and stagnation in 2023.

The inflation rate will probably continue to fall in the coming months and reach about 4% at the end of the year. This is because energy prices are likely to be rather lower than a year earlier, also due to government interventions such as price brakes for natural gas and electricity. Food prices are also likely to be close to their peak. Finally, price pressures from higher material costs are also easing. However, underlying inflation will remain well above the ECB's target of 2%, as the next wave of costs will hit companies with the noticeable increase in wages.

Russia exposure

Net exposure
(€m)
18 Feb
2022
29 Apr
2022
15 Jul
2022
30 Sep
2022
31 Dec
2022
31 Mar
2023
Corporates 621 580 398 322 261 217

thereof
at Eurasija
392 374 182 98 61 46
Banks 528 78 75 61 46 44
Sovereign (at Eurasija) 127 137 182 161 87 66
Pre-export finance 590 396 362 369 350 318
Total 1,866 1,191 1,017 913 744 645

Group exposure net of ECA and cash held at Commerzbank reduced to €645m

Additionally, Eurasija holds domestic RUB deposits of ~€0.6bn (€0.8bn Dec. 22) at Russian Central Bank/Moscow Currency Exchange

We continue to reduce exposures while supporting existing clients in compliance with all sanctions regulations

Stable overall risk provisions

Exposure1

(€bn | excluding mBank)

Risk provisions

(€m | excluding mBank)

Highlights Q1

Exposure increase driven by deposits at German central bank

Decrease of stage 3 exposure by €0.2bn, coverage slightly increased

Overall level of TLA nearly unchanged at €483m TLA increases the effective coverage of our credit portfolio mainly in stage 2

1) Exposure at Default relevant for IFRS 9 accounting (on- and off-balance exposures in the accounting categories AC and FVOCI), changes in stage distribution in previous quarters due to model adjustment

2) Note: TLA is not assigned to stages, hence it is not included in the coverage

Vulnerable sectors

Corporates' sectors

(€bn | EaD)

Share within Commerzbank's portfolio 03/2023

Automotive

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • Economic slowdown with its impact on the demand side have overtaken from supply chain disruptions (Covid / Ukraine-Russia) as a main risk concern. Our forecast of acceptable results for 2023 is gaining traction as the year progresses supported by the still material order backlog, easing supply chain challenges and continued absence of new event risks
  • While we are convinced of the fundamental allure of individual mobilization, the challenges of the disruptive and dynamic technological transformation, management of supply chains in light of geopolitical risks and more and more indications of eroding competitiveness in the EU and particularly Germany is putting pressure on OEMs and suppliers alike
  • EaD levels moderated, primarily driven by derivative exposure with OEMs/mega-suppliers due to market movements. OEM/tier1-supplier continue to be the cornerstone of our portfolio and are assessed to emerge from current challenges fundamentally intact. Exceptionally strong OEM profit levels observed in 2022 are expected to moderate somewhat in 2023
  • Automotive suppliers had already to deal with margin pressure due to strong rise of price levels for energy, logistics and others. Clients with weaknesses in its business model, e.g. a weak market position will find it hard to pass through increased costs, eroding margins. Further rating migrations are hence expected to be more pronounced for those clients
  • Client specific risk factors are assessed to materialize from time to time, leading to an moderate increase of intensive care cases. Usual reasons triggering a transfer include short term liquidity needs or complex refinancing situations. Commerzbank is continuously evaluating and mitigating respective risks by increasing structural protections and consult early on with the client and all related internal functions, including the intensive care department

Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

1) "Other" sub-portfolio generally includes individual major exposures that carry out business activities in various subsectors and are not allocated to a sub-portfolio. Due to the diversification of these clients, no uniform sector outlook can be given.

Machinery

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • Overall stable sector due to internationalization and very high diversification within the portfolio
  • The sub-segments are affected to varying degrees by various trouble spots
  • Supply chain disruptions (delays, shortages, esp. critical parts) eased slightly, however prices for materials and services are still high and labour costs are expected to increase further. Measures to partially offset these negative effects were taken
  • Continued delays in transport, unless local sourcing are in place
  • Energy prices have less effects on engineering part of machinery but burdening effects on producers. Therefore the manufacturers have started changing their processes to achieve a better energy efficiency
  • Prices: even companies that previously had no price escalator clauses were able to renegotiate prices with customers and pass on the increased costs for the most part (enormous importance of mechanical and plant engineering for end customers). For new orders the higher costs are prices into the offer. However, delayed price transfers have partially led to a weakening of the profit margins

Energy / Utilities

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • Energy sector : as part of the critical infrastructure the utilities sector is fundamentally stable, albeit was strongly affected by the erratic price developments of fossil fuels, especially gas, last year. Thanks to heavy state interventions in all of Europe and a very mild winter the price levels have evened out on an overall acceptable level and as of today the energy supply seems secure for the coming winter 2023/2024. Gas storage levels are high in all of Europe. Russian energy export do not play a significant role in Europe's energy supply anymore
  • Some risk factors remain: the operating LNG terminals in Germany have not reached full capacity yet. Due to lower prices the energy savings dropped again for private households and the industry sector under the necessary level. The upcoming winter might not be as mild as the last one. Asian and especially Chinas demand for LNG is rising again. Even if this might not lead to a gas shortage it at least will have effects on the price level. Prices may rise again starting the end of summer / beginning of autumn. To be prepared for this we observe high liquidity reserves by our clients
  • On the other hand the climate transition is on a good way. More and more (offshore) wind parks and large array of solar panels are coming online and the share of the energy production of sustainable fuels rose last year to a record high of 12% worldwide (39% incl. nuclear). Even if coal remained an important energy source due to the crisis last year and pushed the global warming emissions, we believe that from 2024 on we might see a significant drop in the demand for fossil fuels
  • Overall, the financial effects for the energy sector should be manageable

Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

1) "Other" sub-portfolio generally includes individual major exposures that carry out business activities in various subsectors and are not allocated to a sub-portfolio. Due to the diversification of these clients, no uniform sector outlook can be given.

Construction / Paper

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • The construction portfolio is diversified with a high proportion of borrowers with investment-grade ratings. Bigger customers are international companies in Europe. The financing focus lies in the short-term and guarantee business
  • The industry was in 2022 able to pass on increases in material and energy costs to there customers. But the sharp rise in energy costs, the rise in interest rates and due to the accelerating inflation consumers suffer a significant loss of purchasing power. This has already led to a noticeable decline of incoming orders mainly in the private sector but also for infrastructure investments in Germany. An opposite effect is expected for investments for saving energy
  • Due to necessary investments in the production plants the portfolio in the paper sector has a higher part of mid- and long-term credit facilities. The credit exposure increased continuously over the last months
  • The Paper industry is highly affected by the increasing energy and production costs. The possibility to pass through these costs to the customers becomes more and more difficult, although many companies have moved to include a price-sliding clause in their contracts. For 2023 the companies calculate with a lower profitability
  • In 2022 we saw and we expect it also for 2023 more rating shifts from investment grade into sub-investment grade. However, the larger companies have broader opportunity to face the current challenges

Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

Chemicals / Plastics

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • Despite the effects of the Ukraine war and the recessionary trends with high inflation and rising interest rates, the portfolio's risk profile is satisfactory, with 86% investment-grade addresses. 75% of the loans have a term of 3y and are therefore flexible. Outlook: at best, all companies expect stable sales for 2023 without volume growth. EBITDA is expected to reduce by 15-25%, margin pressure are noticeable. Large caps and global players generally have strong financials and are able to absorb the impact of the economic slowdown. While the risk profile of SMEs will temporarily weaken (especially in the plastics sector)
  • Commodity chemicals: gas serves as a raw material/primary energy source in the production process. The danger of a gas limitation in the winter 2022/2023 was avoided. The rise in energy costs leads to margin erosion and less attractive production in Germany. Companies are taking the following measures: cost-cutting programs, price increases (price escalation clauses), investment reduction, plant refitting to oil, reactivation of coal-fired power plants and increased use of renewable energies. Some companies are considering to transfer unprofitable production sites to other countries (domestic de-industrialization)
  • Global player with production sites in America, Asia and parts out of Western Europe can temporarily balance out negative influences in individual locations. The chemical industry is often at the beginning of the value chain and can trigger a chain reaction with unforeseeable consequences if pre-products or intermediates are missing
  • Plastic as an important industry with composite materials follow the cyclical nature of their costumer markets and is mostly anchored in the small and medium-sized businesses. Companies are often not able to pass on the energy/raw material prices directly (time lag). Therefore the margin are temporarily weaken

Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

Metals

Portfolio comments / sector outlook

  • The metal portfolio is diversified with a high share of borrowers with investment grade ratings. The portfolio is also regionally wide spread with a high share of international exposures. The focus is primarily on short and mid term business. Against this background, the portfolio is well-prepared for a recession scenario. However sector strategy is still on hold due to the ongoing structural challenges
  • Metal production and processing are highly affected by energy and gas-crisis. Gas serves both as a process component and a primary energy source in the production process. The metal industry is often at the beginning of the value chain and can trigger a knock-on effect with considerable consequences for the buying industries, especially automotive, machinery and construction. Global positioning protects some groups with diversified locations. Production sites in America, Asia and parts of Europe outside the primarily affected countries can temporarily balance out negative influences in individual locations. Moreover, many players have fixed energy contracts for the next years (usually until 2024) to mitigate the bulk of the energy price risk. However some groups (especially aluminium and steel production) have cut production because of the high energy prices
  • The metal industry had a strong performance in the past two years because of the rising prices and the good business environment. Due to the economic downturn this might come to an end in 2023. Some problems are yet to materialize in terms of shrinking demand and rising energy costs. However, producers are entering this downturn in a better leveraged position than in previous periods. Therefore the sector outlook overall is stable

Sector portfolio based on BSS (Industry Control Key) Sector Outlook

1) Foundries, Pipe Manufacturing and Cold Rolling Mills with yellow sector outlook but not part of top 5 sub-portfolios

2) "Other" sub-portfolio generally includes individual major exposures that carry out business activities in various subsectors and are not allocated to a sub-portfolio. Due to the diversification of these clients, no uniform sector outlook can be given.

Commercial Real Estate (Asset Based)

Location 03/231 (€bn | EaD performing)

Fixed interest period 03/23 (€bn | EaD)

Portfolio

  • Portfolio amounts to 8.9 €bn of which 0.2 €bn is non-performing exposure (~2% of total portfolio)
  • Sound rating profile with a high share of 83% with investment grade quality
  • EaD share to IFRS9-stages: 95% in S1, 3% in S2 and 2% in S3 (almost completely one legacy-case)
  • Assets focused on most attractive A-Cities. Over 99% of financed objects are located in Germany
  • Offices and residential with the highest share of the portfolio (together 6.3 €bn)
  • Average LTV is 51% largest asset class office with 49% LTV
  • Nearly 50% of the portfolio with full or partial recourse to the sponsor or borrower
  • Development risk with about 5% share of the portfolio; increased requirements implemented

Strategy

▪ As a result of the current macroeconomic situation, the new business strategy will continue to be cautious. Strong restraint in the non-food retail sector

1) City categories according to Bulwiengesa. Category A represents the seven most attractive and liquid real estate cities in Germany

2) Until further notice or variable interest rate

Residential mortgage business and property prices

German residential properties (index values)

Prices of houses and flats, existing stock and newly constructed dwellings, averages

Overall mortgage portfolio

  • In Q1 mortgage volume went slightly down risk quality remained stable so far:
  • − 12/17: EaD €75.2bn RD 9bps
  • − 12/18: EaD €81.0bn RD 9bps
  • − 12/19: EaD €86.6bn RD 8bps
  • − 12/20: EaD €95.1bn RD 7bps
  • − 12/21: EaD €102.0bn RD 7bps
  • − 12/22: EaD €102.9bn RD 7bps
  • − 03/23: EaD €102.2bn RD 7bps
  • Rating profile with a share of 92.6% in investment grade ratings; poor rating classes 4.x/5.x with 1.3% share only
  • Vintages of recent years developed more favorably so far; NPE-ratio remains at a low level of less than 0.3% (coverage 85%)

  • New business in Q1 2023 with €1.5bn around 33% higher than in previous quarter but still on much lower level than in previous years

  • PD in new business improved to 0.48%, repayment rates increased slightly from 2.51% to 2.59%
  • Portfolio guidelines and observations for PD, LtCV and repayment rates are continuously monitored
  • Average "Beleihungsauslauf" (BLA) in new business of 79.3% in Q1 2023. German BLA is more conservative than the internationally used LtV definition due to the application of the strict German Pfandbrief law
  • Increased costs of living are adequately taken into account in the application process

Risk parameters unchanged, but economic environment of rising interest rates, inflation and recession is still challenging – however, we do not expect significant price declines in the German real estate market within the next months

Development of renewable energy portfolio

Renewable energy portfolio (€bn | eop)

Global footprint of renewable energy financing

Offshore:

Commerzbank active globally as MLA1 and lender with offshore projects in Germany, France, Belgium, UK and Taiwan

International RE project finance:

amongst others UK, France, Spain, US, Italy and Chile

Core market Germany: approx. 46% of portfolio in Germany

invested in Germany

54% invested globally

Good development of sustainable products in Q1 2023

1) 2021 and 2022 numbers based on different method of calculation due to broader scope of included advisory products. * Flow value / ** Stock value

ESG ratings prove that we are on the right track

ESG Rating

  • Double A rated in the upper part of the MSCI ESG rating scale
  • Above industry average positions in terms of privacy & data security, human capital development and financing environmental impact

Severe High Medium Low Negligible

ESG Risk Rating

  • Commerzbank is at medium risk of experiencing material financial impacts from ESG factors (score of 21.1 / 100 with 0 being the best)
  • Very well positioned above industry average on the 1st quantile

ESG Corporate Rating

D- D D+ C- C C+ B- B B+ A- A A+

  • Rated in the ISS ESG prime segment – top 10% of industry group
  • Excellent ratings especially in the categories staff & suppliers, environmental management, corporate governance and business ethics

ESG QualityScores

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 1

  • Commerzbank assigned with low ESG risks by ISS ESG QualityScores
  • Social QualityScore 1, Environmental QualityScore 2, Governance QualityScore 3

Climate Change Rating

E D B A

C

  • Until 11 / 22: rated B (above-average in financial sector). Positioned as "Sector Leader Financials" in DACH region (ranked top 15% of financials in Germany, Austria and Switzerland)
  • 12 / 22: rated C, global average (all industries)
  • Supplier Engagement Rating: rated A-

Commerzbank financials at a glance

Group Q1
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Total
revenues
€m 2
793
,
2
363
,
2
668
,
Risk
result
€m -464 -222 -68
Personnel
expenses
€m 859 880 899
Administrative
expenses (excl
depreciation)
€m 375 465 381
Depreciation €m 204 208 185
Compulsory
contributions
€m 347 59 260
Operating
result
€m 544 528 875
Net
result
€m 298 472 580
Cost/income
ratio
(excl
. compulsory
contributions)
% 51
5
65
7
54
9
Cost/income
ratio
(incl
. compulsory
contributions)
% 63
9
68
2
64
6
Accrual
for
potential
AT1
coupon distribution
current
year
€m -48 -45 -48
Net
RoE
% 3
9
6
5
8
0
Net
RoTE
% 4
0
6
7
8
3
Total
assets
€bn 519 477 497
Loans
and
advances
(amortised
cost)
€bn 269 267 269
RWA €bn 175 169 172
CET1
ratio¹
% 13
5
14
1
14
2
Total
capital
ratio
(with
transitional
provisions)¹
% 18
0
18
9
18
9
Leverage
ratio¹
% 4
7
4
9
4
8
(LCR)
Liquidity
coverage ratio
% 135
9
144
9
139
1
funding
(NSFR)
Net
stable
ratio
% 132
2
128
3
127
2
NPE
ratio
% 0
8
1
1
1
1
Group
CoR
(year-to-date)
bps 39 17 5
Group
CoR
on Loans
(CoRL)
(year-to-date)
bps 69 33 10
Full-time
equivalents
excl
junior
staff
(end
of
period)
36
955
,
36
192
,
35
971
,

1) Capital reduced by pay-out accrual if applicable and potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupons

Key figures Commerzbank share

Figures per share

(€)

FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 Q1 2023
Number of shares issued (m) 1,252.40 1,252.40 1,252.40 1,252.40
Market capitalisation (€bn) 6.6 8.4 11.1 12.2
Net asset value per share (€) 19.80 20.501 21.601 22.21
Low/high Xetra
intraday prices (€)
2.80/6.83 4.70/7.19 5.17/9.51 8.31/12.01

EPS Operating result per share

Loan and deposit development

PSBC (€bn | monthly average)

Corporate Clients (€bn | monthly average)

Highlights

Loan volume slightly down in PSBC – driven by Private Customers in PSBC Germany

Increase in deposit volume in mBank overcompensating slight decrease in PSBC Germany

In CC, loan volumes increased in all customer groups

Higher deposit volumes in Mittelstand and International Corporates

In PSBC Germany >90% of deposits are insured (>65% statutory and >25% private insurance)

In CC >60% of deposits are insured (<5% statutory and ~60% private insurance)

Comfortable fulfilment of RWA and LRE MREL requirements

MREL Requirements and M-MDA

  • Based on data as of 31 March 2023, Commerzbank fulfils its current MREL RWA requirement1 of 22.97% plus the combined buffer requirement (CBR) of 4.39% with an MREL ratio of 31.8% and the MREL subordination requirement of 13.5% plus CBR of 4.39% with a ratio of 27.7% of RWA
  • Both, the MREL LRE ratio of 9.6% and MREL subordination LRE ratio of 8.3% comfortably meet the unchanged requirement of 6.52%, each as of 31 March 2023
  • The issuance strategy is consistent with both, the RWA and the LRE based MPE MREL requirements

  • 1) In May 2022, Commerzbank AG received its current MREL requirement calibrated based on data as of 31 Dec 2020. The resolution approach is a multiple point of entry (MPE) with two separate resolution groups (resolution group A: Commerzbank Group without mBank subgroup; resolution group B: mBank subgroup). The legally binding MREL (subordination) requirement is defined as a percentage of risk-weighted assets (RWA) and leverage ratio exposure (LRE)

  • 2) Includes amortized amount (regulatory) of Tier 2 instruments with maturity > 1 year
  • 3) According to §46f KWG or non-preferred senior by contract

17 May 2023

Commerzbank, Bettina Orlopp, CFO, Frankfurt

Commerzbank's current MDA

Highlights

420bp distance to MDA based on Q1 2023 CET1 ratio of 14.21% and SREP requirement for 2022

Further regulatory comments:

  • MDA increase driven by German CCyB (+44bp) and sSyRB (+10bp) activation in Feb 2023
  • Currently no AT1 shortfall
  • Tier 2 with moderate maturities and issuance needs in 2023
  • Well prepared for further upcoming MDA increases in 2023:
  • − Increasing CCyBs in UK (Jul 2023: impact on institution-specific CCyB ~6bp)

AT1 issuance strategy continues in light of economical decisions and in relation to distance to MDA while goal for the Tier 2 layer is ≥ 2.5%

1) Based on RWAs of €171.5bn as of Q1 2023. AT1 requirement of 1.875% and Tier 2 requirement of 2.5%

Capital markets funding – €2.6bn issued in Q1 2023

Highlights

  • Pfandbriefe: €1bn 3y Mortgage-Pfandbrief benchmark
  • Non-preferred senior: €750m 7NC6 year benchmark and CHF200m 4year transaction
  • Tier 2: SGD300m 10.25NC5.25 transaction
  • Private placements: €0.5bn Pfandbriefe and unsecured bonds

Expected funding volume of €8-10bn in 2023

Further strengthen Commerzbank's liquidity position through additional Pfandbrief issuance

● Issued in April2:

€1.25bn 6y Mortgage-Pfandbrief benchmark and CHF125m non-preferred senior transaction

Group issuance activities Q1 2023 (€bn | nominal values)

1) Based on balance sheet figures

2) Not included in figures

Comfortable liquidity position

(% | eop)

LCR Net stable funding ratio (NSFR)

Liquidity risk management

  • Daily calculation of the liquidity gap profile
  • Liquidity reserves are ring-fenced in separate portfolios on the balance sheet (assets and funding respectively)
  • Intraday liquidity reserve portfolio (central bank eligible collateral) serves as cushion for a possible intraday stress
  • Stress liquidity reserve portfolio consists of level 1, level 2 and HQLA and covers potential liquidity outflows according to the liquidity gap profile under stress

Highly liquid assets

Rating overview: S&P upgraded Issuer Credit Rating

As of 17 May
2023
Recent rating events
Bank
ratings
S&P Moody's
In March 2023, S&P upgraded
Counterparty rating/assessment1 A A1/ A1 (cr)
Deposit rating2 A-
stable
A1 stable "A-" with stable outlook
Issuer credit rating (long-term debt) A-
stable
A2 stable
Stand-alone rating (financial strength) bbb baa2
Short-term debt A-2 P-1
Product ratings (unsecured issuances) hypothetical resolution scenario
Preferred senior unsecured debt A-
stable
A2 stable
Non-preferred senior unsecured debt BBB- Baa2
Subordinated debt (Tier
2)
BB+ Baa3
Additional Tier 1 (AT1) BB- Ba2
Sustainability assessments rating "bbb" is now achieved
Environment, Social, Governance3 2, 2, 2 3, 4, 3
Credit impact score3 - 3

1) Includes parts of client business (i.e. counterparty for derivatives)

2) Includes corporate and institutional deposits

3) Scale of 1-5

  • In March 2023, S&P upgraded Commerzbank's issuer credit rating (= preferred senior rating) by 1 notch to "A-" with stable outlook
  • Rating action was driven by a strong loss-absorbing buffer providing further protection for senior creditors in a hypothetical resolution scenario
  • So-called additional loss absorbing capacity (ALAC) exceeded the S&P model-theoretically relevant threshold of 6%. As a result, an uplift of 2 notches (previously 1 notch) to the stand-alone rating "bbb" is now achieved
  • S&P expects Commerzbank to be able to maintain the threshold of above 6% over the next few years

IAS 19: Development of pension obligations

Cumulated actuarial gains and losses (€m)

Cumulated OCI effect1 Pension obligations (gross) Discount rate in %2

Explanation

The EUR IAS19 discount rate remained unchanged YtD at Q1 2023, the lower IR component therein being compensated by a higher CS component. The present-valued pension obligations (DBO) therefore decreased only slightly mainly due to a lower USD discount rate, which correspondingly produced a small valuation gain in OCI

Due to several basis risks working in the right direction the market movement in Q1 2023 produced a modest increase in the market value of plan assets and, correspondingly, a modest valuation gain in OCI

In total the liability gain and the asset gain lead to a YtD OCI effect of +€118m (after tax) on Group level

The discount rate is derived from an AA rated government bond basket, re-calibrated on corporate bond level, with average duration of 14 years

Funding ratio (plan assets vs. pension obligations) is 109% across all Group plans

1) OCI effect driven by development of plan assets versus pension obligations, after tax, without minorities; cumulated since 1/1/2013 (new IAS19 standard) including possible restatements

2) Discount rate for pension plans in Germany (represents 96% of total pension obligations)

FX impact on CET1 ratio

QoQ change in FX capital position

Explanation

Nearly no impact on CET1 ratio1 from the decreasing effect of currency translation reserve as it is mostly offset by lower FX driven credit risk RWA

Decrease in credit risk RWA from FX effects mainly due to weaker USD (-€356m) and RUB (-€103m) partly compensated by GBP (+€58m) and PLN (+€28m)

Lower currency translation reserve mainly due to decrease from USD (-€56m) and RUB (-€18m) slightly compensated by PLN (+€6m) and GBP (+€4m)

FX rates3 12/22 03/23
EUR / GBP 0.887 0.879
EUR / PLN 4.681 4.670
EUR / USD 1.067 1.088
EUR / RUB 78.123 84.815

1) Based on current CET1 ratio

  • 2) Change in credit risk RWA solely based on FX not on possible volume effects since 12/22
  • 3) FX rates of main currencies only

Group equity composition

Capital
Q4
2022
EoP
€bn
Capital
Q1
2023
EoP
€bn
Capital
Q1
2023
Average
€bn
P&L
Q1
2023
€m
Ratios
Q1
2023
%
Common
equity
tier
1
capital
23.9 24.4 1
24.0
Operating
Result
875 RoCET

Op.
14.6%
DTA 0.8 0.6
Minority
interests
0.3 0.3
Prudent
Valuation
0.4 0.5
Defined
Benefit
pension
fund
assets
0.6 0.6
Instruments
that
are given
recognition
in
AT1
Capital
3.1 3.1
Other
regulatory
adjustments
0.3 0.5
Tangible
equity
29.4 29.9 1
29.6
Operating
Result
875 Op.
RoTE
11.8%
Goodwill
and
other
intangible
(net
of
tax)
assets
1.0 1.0 1.0
IFRS
capital
30.4 30.9 1
30.6
Subscribed
capital
1.3 1.3
Capital
reserve
10.1 10.1
Retained
earnings
16.0 16.4
t/o
consolidated
P&L
1.4 0.6
t/o
cumulated
accrual
for
and
potential
AT1
pay-out
coupons
-0.5 -0.8
Currency
translation
reserve
-0.3 -0.4
Revaluation
reserve
-0.4 -0.3 Consolidated
P&L
580
Cash
flow
hedges
-0.1 -0.1 ./.
accrual
for
potential
AT1
coupon distribution
current
year
-48
IFRS
capital
attributable
Commerzbank
shareholders
to
26.4 26.9 1
26.6
Consolidated
P&L
adjusted
for
RoE/RoTE
531 Net
RoE
8.0%
Tangible
equity
attributable
Commerzbank
shareholders
to
25.4 25.9 1
25.6
Net
RoTE
8.3%
Additional
equity
components
3.1 3.1 3.1

1) Includes consolidated P&L reduced by pay-out accrual if applicable and accrual for potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupons

Non-controlling interests 0.9 0.9 0.9

Commerzbank Group

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Total underlying revenues 2,737 2,309 2,066 2,401 9,513 2,655
Exceptional items 56 111 -181 -38 -52 13
Total revenues 2,793 2,420 1,886 2,363 9,461 2,668
o/w Net interest income 1,401 1,478 1,621 1,958 6,459 1,947
o/w Net commission income 970 894 849 806 3,519 915
o/w Net fair value result 353 69 172 -143 451 -72
o/w Other income 69 -22 -757 -258 -967 -122
o/w Dividend income - 8 13 11 32 -
o/w Net income from hedge accounting 13 -55 -39 -33 -113 -3
o/w Other financial result 26 -24 -284 -11 -292 3
o/w At equity result - 4 5 4 13 1
o/w Other net income 30 45 -452 -229 -606 -123
Risk result -464 -106 -84 -222 -876 -68
Operating expenses 1,438 1,423 1,429 1,553 5,844 1,464
Compulsory contributions 347 144 91 59 642 260
Operating result 544 746 282 528 2,099 875
Restructuring expenses 15 25 14 40 94 4
Pre-tax result Commerzbank Group 529 721 267 488 2,005 871
Taxes on income 199 226 228 -41 612 279
Minority Interests 32 25 -155 57 -42 12
Consolidated Result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders and investors in
additional equity components
298 470 195 472 1,435 580
Total Assets 519,322 528,903 535,645 477,428 477,428 497,357
Average capital employed 23,755 23,988 24,102 24,112 24,003 24,048
RWA credit risk (end of period) 144,783 146,222 144,789 140,473 140,473 142,866
RWA market risk (end of period) 10,432 8,934 9,784 7,060 7,060 7,588
RWA operational risk (end of period) 19,891 19,891 19,891 21,199 21,199 21,074
RWA (end of period) 175,106 175,047 174,464 168,731 168,731 171,528
Cost/income ratio (excl. compulsory contributions) (%) 51.5% 58.8% 75.8% 65.7% 61.8% 54.9%
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 63.9% 64.8% 80.6% 68.2% 68.6% 64.6%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 9.2% 12.4% 4.7% 8.8% 8.7% 14.6%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 7.6% 10.3% 3.8% 7.2% 7.2% 11.8%
Return on equity of net result (%) 3.9% 6.5% 2.2% 6.5% 4.7% 8.0%
Net return on tangible equity (%) 4.0% 6.7% 2.2% 6.7% 4.9% 8.3%

Private and Small-Business Customers

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Total
underlying
revenues
1,475 1,519 1,067 1,480 5,540 1,496
Exceptional
items
-7 21 -275 -11 -272 7
Total
revenues
1,467 1,540 791 1,469 5,268 1,503
o/w
Net
interest
income
808 986 1,023 1,125 3,942 1,092
o/w
Net
commission
income
640 586 535 484 2,245 592
o/w
Net
fair
value
result
55 -47 -38 -49 -79 -34
o/w
Other
income
-36 15 -728 -92 -841 -147
o/w
Dividend
income
- 4 13 2 19 -
o/w
Net
income
from
hedge
accounting
- 1 -12 10 -2 -
o/w
Other
financial
result
-5 -5 -270 -14 -294 -12
o/w
At
equity
result
-1 -1 3 4 5 -
o/w
Other
net income
-30 16 -462 -93 -569 -134
Risk
result
-72 -88 -90 -141 -392 -128
Operating
expenses
821 828 821 946 3,416 846
Compulsory
contributions
171 143 88 58 460 140
Operating
result
404 481 -207 323 1,000 390
Total
Assets
168,321 168,145 169,140 170,749 170,749 172,229
Liabilities 203,033 204,423 206,145 210,294 210,294 208,604
Average
capital
employed
6,661 6,844 6,737 6,669 6,724 6,804
(end
period)
RWA
credit
risk
of
42,157 41,586 40,862 39,699 39,699 39,857
RWA
market
risk
(end
of
period)
908 802 850 575 575 598
RWA
operational
risk
(end
of
period)
11,465 11,644 11,577 13,343 13,343 13,289
RWA
(end
of
period)
54,529 54,033 53,289 53,616 53,616 53,744
Cost/income
ratio
(excl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
55.9% 53.8% 103.7% 64.4% 64.8% 56.3%
Cost/income
ratio
(incl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
67.6% 63.0% 114.8% 68.4% 73.6% 65.6%
Operating
return on CET1
(RoCET)
(%)
24.2% 28.1% -12.3% 19.4% 14.9% 22.9%
Operating
(%)
return on tangible
equity
22.9% 26.3% -11.5% 18.3% 14.0% 21.9%
Provisions
for
legal
risks
of
CHF
loans
of
mBank
-41 -40 -477 -92 -650 -173
Operating
on CHF
result
ex legal
provisions
loans
445 521 270 415 1,651 563

PSBC Germany | Part of segment Private and Small-Business Customers

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Total
underlying
revenues
1,066 1,117 1,074 1,057 4,313 1,154
Exceptional
items
-6 22 -5 -4 7 -7
Total
revenues
1,060 1,139 1,069 1,052 4,320 1,147
o/w
Net
interest
income
491 585 550 619 2,245 604
o/w
Net
commission
income
539 495 451 418 1,904 511
o/w
Net
fair
value
result
22 3 4 9 37 8
o/w
Other
income
8 55 64 6 133 24
o/w
Dividend
income
- 3 13 2 18 -
o/w
from
Net
income
hedge
accounting
- - - - - -
o/w
Other
financial
result
- - - 1 1 -
o/w
At
equity
result
-1 -1 3 4 5 -
o/w
Other
income
net
8 52 48 - 109 25
Risk
result
-17 -46 -52 -102 -218 -91
Operating
expenses
689 691 692 805 2,877 703
Compulsory
contributions
84 23 4 22 134 64
Operating
result
270 378 320 122 1,091 290
Total
Assets
124,960 125,571 126,975 126,178 126,178 126,024
Liabilities 160,355 162,229 164,263 166,273 166,273 162,789
Average
capital
employed
3,882 4,049 4,018 4,015 3,983 4,118
RWA
credit
risk
(end
of
period)
24,584 24,146 24,257 23,611 23,611 23,522
RWA
market
risk
(end
of
period)
449 466 492 245 245 247
(end
period)
RWA
operational
risk
of
7,361 7,455 7,382 8,685 8,685 8,676
RWA
(end
of
period)
32,394 32,067 32,131 32,541 32,541 32,445
Cost/income
(excl.
contributions)
(%)
ratio
compulsory
65.0% 60.7% 64.7% 76.5% 66.6% 61.2%
Cost/income
ratio
(incl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
73.0% 62.7% 65.1% 78.7% 69.7% 66.8%
Operating
on CET1
(RoCET)
(%)
return
27.8% 37.3% 31.9% 12.2% 27.4% 28.1%
Operating
on tangible
equity
(%)
return
27.2% 36.5% 31.2% 12.1% 26.8% 27.8%

mBank | Part of segment Private and Small-Business Customers

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Total underlying revenues 409 402 -7 423 1,227 342
Exceptional items -1 -1 -271 -7 -279 14
Total revenues 408 402 -278 417 948 356
o/w
Net interest income
317 400 473 506 1,697 488
o/w
Net commission income
101 90 84 66 341 81
o/w
Net fair value result
33 -49 -42 -57 -116 -42
o/w
Other income
-44 -40 -792 -98 -974 -171
o/w
Dividend income
- 1 - - 1 -
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
- 1 -12 10 -2 -
o/w
Other financial result
-5 -5 -270 -15 -295 -12
o/w
At equity result
- - - - - -
o/w
Other net income
-38 -36 -510 -93 -678 -159
Risk result -55 -41 -38 -39 -174 -37
Operating expenses 132 138 129 141 539 143
Compulsory contributions 87 119 83 36 326 76
Operating result 134 103 -528 201 -90 100
Total Assets 43,361 42,574 42,164 44,570 44,570 46,204
Liabilities 42,679 42,193 41,882 44,021 44,021 45,815
Average capital employed 2,780 2,795 2,719 2,654 2,741 2,686
RWA credit risk (end of period) 17,572 17,441 16,604 16,087 16,087 16,334
RWA market risk (end of period) 459 336 358 331 331 351
RWA operational risk (end of period) 4,103 4,189 4,195 4,657 4,657 4,613
RWA (end of period) 22,134 21,965 21,158 21,075 21,075 21,299
Cost/income ratio (excl. compulsory contributions) (%) 32.3% 34.3% n/a 33.8% 56.8% 40.3%
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) 53.6% 64.0% n/a 42.5% 91.2% 61.6%
Operating return on CET1 (RoCET) (%) 19.3% 14.8% -77.7% 30.2% -3.3% 14.9%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 17.5% 13.0% -68.4% 26.9% -2.9% 13.5%

Corporate Clients

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Total
underlying
revenues
924 900 1,006 993 3,822 1,060
Exceptional
items
2 -18 15 -31 -32 18
Total
revenues
926 882 1,021 962 3,790 1,078
o/w
Net
interest
income
459 454 521 642 2,076 626
o/w
Net
commission
income
340 318 332 330 1,319 335
o/w
Net
fair
value
result
115 103 168 49 436 132
o/w
Other
income
12 7 -1 -59 -41 -15
o/w
Dividend
income
- 3 - 2 5 -
o/w
from
Net
income
hedge
accounting
-9 -7 -2 -1 -18 -
o/w
Other
financial
result
-2 -3 -2 -3 -10 -2
o/w
At
equity
result
1 5 2 - 8 1
o/w
Other
income
net
21 9 2 -57 -26 -14
Risk
result
-286 -52 13 -121 -446 54
Operating
expenses
532 504 497 627 2,160 514
Compulsory
contributions
115 1 2 1 120 78
Operating
result
-7 324 535 213 1,065 539
Total
Assets
137,696 144,368 144,601 136,696 136,696 135,005
Liabilities 161,361 172,206 173,590 156,187 156,187 161,845
Average
capital
employed
10,034 9,967 9,959 10,182 10,040 10,393
RWA
credit
risk
(end
of
period)
69,768 69,570 71,285 72,978 72,978 72,741
(end
of
period)
RWA
market
risk
6,462 4,980 5,409 4,090 4,090 4,767
RWA
operational
risk
(end
of
period)
4,311 4,244 4,299 4,534 4,534 4,474
RWA
(end
of
period)
continued
operations
80,541 78,795 80,994 81,601 81,601 81,983
Cost/income
(excl.
contributions)
(%)
ratio
compulsory
57.5% 57.2% 48.7% 65.2% 57.0% 47.7%
Cost/income
ratio
(incl.
compulsory
contributions)
(%)
69.9% 57.3% 48.9% 65.3% 60.1% 55.0%
Operating
on CET1
(RoCET)
(%)
return
-0.3% 13.0% 21.5% 8.4% 10.6% 20.8%
Operating
(%)
on tangible
equity
return
-0.3% 12.0% 19.8% 7.7% 9.8% 19.1%

Others & Consolidation

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Total underlying revenues 338 -110 -6 -72 151 99
Exceptional items 61 108 80 4 253 -13
Total revenues 399 -2 74 -68 403 86
o/w
Net interest income
134 39 77 191 441 229
o/w
Net commission income
-11 -9 -17 -9 -46 -11
o/w
Net fair value result
183 13 41 -144 93 -170
o/w
Other income
93 -44 -28 -107 -85 39
o/w
Dividend income
-1 1 1 7 7 -1
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
22 -48 -25 -41 -93 -2
o/w
Other financial result
33 -16 -12 6 11 16
o/w
At equity result
- - - - - -
o/w
Other net income
39 20 8 -79 -11 26
Risk result -106 34 -6 40 -38 6
Operating expenses 86 91 112 -20 268 104
Compulsory contributions 61 1 1 - 63 42
Operating result 147 -60 -45 -8 34 -54
Restructuring expenses 15 25 14 40 94 4
Pre-tax result 132 -84 -60 -48 -60 -58
Total Assets 213,305 216,390 221,905 169,983 169,983 190,123
Liabilities 154,928 152,274 155,911 110,947 110,947 126,907
Average capital employed 7,060 7,177 7,406 7,262 7,238 6,851
RWA credit risk (end of period) 32,858 35,066 32,642 27,797 27,797 30,268
RWA market risk (end of period) 3,063 3,152 3,525 2,394 2,394 2,223
RWA operational risk (end of period) 4,115 4,002 4,014 3,322 3,322 3,311
RWA (end of period) 40,036 42,220 40,181 33,513 33,513 35,802

Commerzbank Group | Exceptional revenue items

€m Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
FY
2022
Q1
2023
Exceptional Revenue Items 56 111 -181 -38 -52 13
o/w Net interest income 39 37 4 89 169 -7
o/w Net fair value result 17 48 84 -118 31 9
o/w Other income - 27 -270 -9 -252 11
o/w FVA, CVA / DVA, AT1 FX effect (NII, NCI, NFVR) 17 48 84 -118 31 9
PSBC Germany -6 22 -5 -4 7 -7
o/w Net interest income -6 -5 -5 -4 -20 -7
o/w Net fair value result - 1 - - - -
o/w Other income - 27 - - 27 -
o/w Net interest income -6 -5 -5 -4 -20 -7
o/w Net fair value result - 1 - - - -
o/w Other income - 27 - - 27 -
o/w FVA, CVA / DVA (NII, NFVR) - 1 - - - -
mBank -1 -1 -271 -7 -279 14
o/w Net fair value result -1 -1 -1 2 -1 3
o/w Other income - - -270 -9 -278 11
o/w FVA, CVA / DVA (NII, NFVR) -1 -1 -1 2 -1 3
CC 2 -18 15 -31 -32 18
o/w Net fair value result 2 -18 15 -31 -32 18
o/w FVA, CVA / DVA (NII, NFVR) 2 -18 15 -31 -32 18
O&C 61 108 80 4 253 -13
o/w Net interest income 45 42 9 93 189 -
o/w Net fair value result 16 66 70 -89 63 -13
o/w FVA, CVA / DVA, AT1 FX effect (NII, NCI, NFVR) 16 66 70 -89 63 -13

Description of Exceptional Revenue Items

2022 €m 2022 €m 2023 €m
Q1 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -6 Q4 TLTRO benefit (O&C) 93 Q1 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -7
Q1 TLTRO benefit (O&C) 45 Q4 Credit holidays in Poland (PSBC) -9 Q1 Credit holidays in Poland (PSBC) 11
Q2 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -5
Q2 TLTRO benefit (O&C) 42
Q2 Prov. re judgement on pricing of accounts (PSBC) 27
Q3 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -5
Q3 TLTRO benefit (O&C) 9
Q3 Credit holidays in Poland (PSBC) -270
Q4 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -4

Glossary – Key ratios

Key Ratio Abbreviation
Calculated for
Numerator Denominator
Group Private and Small Business
Customers and Corporate Clients Others & Consolidation
Cost/income ratio (excl. compulsory contributions) (%) CIR (excl. compulsory
contributions) (%)
Group as well as segments
PSBC and CC
Operating expenses Total revenues Total revenues n/a
Cost/income ratio (incl. compulsory contributions) (%) CIR (incl. compulsory
contributions) (%)
Group as well as segments
PSBC and CC
Operating expenses and compulsory
contributions
Total revenues Total revenues n/a
Operating return on CET1 (%) Op. RoCET (%) Group and segments (excl. O&C) Operating profit Average CET1¹ 12.7% ² of the average RWAs
(YTD: PSBC Germany €32.5bn,
mBank €21.1bn, CC €81.7bn)
n/a
(note: O&C contains the
reconciliation to Group CET1)
Operating return on tangible equity (%) Op. RoTE (%) Group and segments (excl. O&C) Operating profit Average IFRS capital after deduction
of intangible assets ¹
12.7% ² of the average RWAs plus
average regulatory capital deductions
(excluding intangible assets)
(YTD: PSBC Germany €0.1bn,
mBank €0.3bn, CC €0.9bn)
n/a
(note: O&C contains the
reconciliation to Group tangible
equity)
Return on equity of net result (%) Net RoE (%) Group Consolidated Result attributable to
Commerzbank shareholders and
investors in additional equity
components after pay-out accrual (if
applicable) and after deduction of
potential (fully discretionary) AT1
coupon
Average IFRS capital without non
controlling interests and without
additional equity components ¹
n/a n/a
Net return on tangible equity (%) Net RoTE (%) Group Consolidated Result attributable to
Commerzbank shareholders and
investors in additional equity
components after pay-out accrual (if
applicable) and after deduction of
potential (fully discretionary) AT1
coupon
Average IFRS capital without non
controlling interests and without
additional equity components after
deduction of intangible assets (net of
tax) ¹
n/a n/a
Non-Performing Exposure ratio (%) NPE ratio (%) Group Non-performing exposures Total exposures according to EBA
Risk Dashboard
n/a n/a
Cost of Risk (bps) CoR (bps) Group Risk Result Exposure at Default n/a n/a
Cost of Risk on Loans (bps) CoRL (bps) Group Risk Result Loans and Advances
[annual report note (25)]
n/a n/a
Key Parameter Calculated for Calculation
Total underlying revenues Group and segments Total revenues excluding exceptional revenue items
Underlying Operating Performance Group and segments Operating result excluding exceptional revenue items and compulsory contributions

1) reduced by potential pay-out accrual and potential (fully discretionary) AT1 coupon

2) charge rate reflects current regulatory and market standard

For more information, please contact our IR team

mail: [email protected] / internet: Commerzbank AG – Investor Relations

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forwardlooking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include, inter alia, statements about Commerzbank's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates, projections and targets as they are currently available to the management of Commerzbank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and Commerzbank undertakes no obligation to update any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, among others, the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which Commerzbank derives a substantial portion of its revenues and in which it hold a substantial portion of its assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of its strategic initiatives and the reliability of its risk management policies.

In addition, this presentation contains financial and other information which has been derived from publicly available information disclosed by persons other than Commerzbank ("external data"). In particular, external data has been derived from industry and customer-related data and other calculations taken or derived from industry reports published by third parties, market research reports and commercial publications. Commercial publications generally state that the information they contain has originated from sources assumed to be reliable, but that the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed and that the calculations contained therein are based on a series of assumptions. The external data has not been independently verified by Commerzbank. Therefore, Commerzbank cannot assume any responsibility for the accuracy of the external data taken or derived from public sources.

Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from Quarterly Results – Commerzbank AG