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Commerzbank AG Earnings Release 2018

Feb 14, 2019

81_ip_2019-02-14_5b79b451-cd17-4823-8eca-9e1864dbe38b.pdf

Earnings Release

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Successful first half of Commerzbank 4.0 – net result of €865m

Analyst conference – Q4 2018 / FY 2018 preliminary and unaudited results

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 14 February 2019

Commerzbank 4.0 simple – digital – efficient

All figures in this presentation are subject to rounding

Growth on the back of successful strategy implementation

Commerzbank 4.0 drives…

Simple

  • › We will focus on businesses in two operating segments: PSBC and CC
  • › We will discontinue non-core activities

Digital

  • › We will transform the bank into a digital enterprise
  • › We will digitalise 80% of all relevant processes until 2020

Efficient

  • › We will simplify the bank, creating efficiency
  • › We will generate additional competitive advantages

... business model transformation … … and growth in core segments

PSBC

  • Consumer Finance business on own balance sheet
  • › Setup of market segment Small Business Customers within PSBC

Integration of all corporate client activities in one segment

Sale of EMC business

  • Run-down legacy portfolios
  • › Legacy portfolios cleaned up
  • › Ship finance <€500m

based on high quality balance sheet

PSBC

  • 1m net new customers (GER)
  • +€46bn Assets under Control (GER)
  • › Underlying revenue growth of €234m in 2018

CC

  • 8.9k net new corporate customers
  • › Loan growth of €7bn with corporates
  • › RWA efficiency of 3.9%

Balance sheet quality

  • › Clean balance sheet with NPL <0.9%
  • › Capital reallocated to growth in core segments

Significant progress in digitalisation – roll out of new delivery model

Sound and robust compliance framework established – Commerzbank recognised as reliable partner

Substantial investment of approx. €600m Increase of global headcount in compliance department to over 700

Full year operating profit of €1.2bn and net result of €865m

Highlights 2018

Improved underlying revenues and benign risk result

  • › FY underlying revenues increased by 5% vs. 2017
  • › Q4 underlying revenues remain stable vs. Q3 despite challenging markets
  • › Risk Result of €-446m significantly (43%) below 2017 LLPs thanks to reduced ship finance

Costs in line with guidance

  • › Expenses of €6.9bn in line with full year guidance of €7.1bn when adding back €200m from discontinued operations (EMC)
  • › Cost management largely compensating effects of strong investments

Net RoTE of 3.4% in second transformation year

  • › Q4 contributing €240m to FY operating result of €1.2bn
  • › Ongoing loan demand reflected in FY RWA growth of 6% and CET1 ratio of 12.9%
  • › Dividend of €20ct per share planned for AGM

Exceptional revenue items

2017
(€m)
Revenues 2018
(€m)
Revenues

Q1
Hedging & valuation adjustments
108
108
Hedging & valuation adjustments
-24

Polish group insurance business (PSBC)
52

PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC)
-27
1

Q2
Hedging & valuation adjustments
8
8
Hedging & valuation adjustments
42

PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC)
-25
18



Q3
-
Hedging & valuation adjustments
28
Concardis
(PSBC)
89
Consumer Finance Joint Venture
160
thereof PPA (PSBC)
-16
Property sales gains (O&C)
225
502
Hedging & valuation adjustments
41

PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC)
-23
18

Q4
Hedging & valuation adjustments
-32
PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC)
-29
-60
Hedging & valuation adjustments
-95

PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC)
-21
-115
FY 557 -78

Key financial figures at a glance

Revenues and operating results of Commerzbank divisions

Operating result with substantially increased revenue quality

Group operating result Group P&L
(€m) in €m Q4 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 FY 2017 FY 2018
609 Revenues 2,105 2,140 2,035 8,764 8,570
Exceptional items -60 18 -115 557 -78
Revenues excl. exceptional items 2,165 2,122 2,151 8,208 8,648
o/w Net interest income 1,169 1,243 1,254 4,370 4,828
401 o/w Net commission income 778 771 754 3,192 3,089
346 o/w Net fair value result 69 53 17 456 410
278 258 240 o/w Other income 149 55 126 189 321
Risk result (2017: LLP) -251 -133 -154 -781 -446
141 122 Operating expenses 1,731 1,661 1,641 6,834 6,879
Operating profit 122 346 240 1,149 1,245
Restructuring expenses - - - 808 -
Pre-tax profit discontinued operations 16 -15 -30 118 -15
Pre-tax profit Commerzbank Group 137 331 210 459 1,230
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Taxes on income 35 89 75 237 262
Minority interests 27 24 22 94 103
Net result ¹ 75 218 113 128 865
2017 2018 CIR (%) 82.3 77.6 80.6 78.0 80.3
Net RoTE (%) 1.2 3.5 1.8 0.5 3.4
Operating RoCET (%) 2.0 6.0 4.1 4.9 5.4
  • › Significantly improved revenue quality (+€441m) largely compensating for exceptional items (-€635m)
  • › FY 5% increase in underlying revenues driven by NII while NCI and NFV slightly lower
  • › Low risk result due to further balance sheet improvement drives increased operating result
  • › Discontinued operations reflect agreement on sale of EMC

Positive trajectory of NII throughout 2018 – reflecting growth in PSBC and CC

Net Interest Income (excluding exceptional items) (€m)

Cost development in line with FY guidance

Highlights

  • › Continued strategic investments in digitalisation and growth peaked in mid 2018 as planned
  • › Higher costs for regulatory requirements and compulsory contributions 12M overall compulsory contribution of €420m
  • › Cost Management driven by staff reduction and sourcing

For reference: 2018 costs of €6,879m correspond to guided €7.1bn when adding €246m from discontinued EMC business

Further cost savings through increased efficiency and FTE reductions

  • › Targeted cost reduction to <€6.8bn in 2019 and €6.5bn in 2020
  • FTE reductions based on efficiency gains including digitisation
  • Efficiencies from new Campus 2.0 delivery model including benefits of internalisation
  • Other ongoing cost management measures offset effects from cost inflation and growth
  • › Growth, sourcing and internalisation in IT lead to revised expected FTE of >38k

Continued low risk result

Risk Result (Provisions for loan losses in 2017) (€m)

Risk Result divisional split
Risk Result in €m
Q4 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 FY 2017 FY 2018
Private and Small Business Customers -24 -69 -49 -154 -233
Corporate Clients -172 -60 -71 -295 -194
Asset & Capital Recovery -59 2 -23 -336 -8
Others & Consolidation 4 -4 -10 4 -11
Group -251 -133 -154 -781 -446
NPL in €bn
Private and Small Business Customers 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8
Corporate Clients 2.6 1.7 1.7 2.6 1.7
Asset & Capital Recovery 1.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.4
Others & Consolidation - - - -
Group 5.6 3.8 3.8 5.6 3.8
Group NPL ratio (in %) ¹ 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.9
Group CoR (bps) ² 18 9 10 18 10
  • › PSBC and CC reflect healthy risk profile based on prudent lending standards and stable German economy
  • › Underlying credit losses stable throughout 2018 with H1 benefitting from write backs H2 run-rate baseline going forward
  • › PSBC reflects transferred consumer finance portfolio on own balance sheet since Q3 2017
1)
NPL ratio = Default volume loans held at Amortised Cost and Fair Value OCI;
Stephan Engels CFO Frankfurt 14 February 2019 Exposure at Default (in 2017 LaR
loans)
2)
Cost of Risk (CoR) = Risk Result / Exposure at Default (in 2017 Loan Loss Provisions)

Private and Small Business Customers: net new customer acquisition on target – lower securities volume due to weak Q4 markets

Private and Small Business Customers: underlying revenue growth in 2018

(€m) Operating result Segmental P&L
380 in €m Q4 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 FY 2017 FY 2018
Revenues 1,188 1,204 1,163 4,823 4,803
o/w
Private Customers
598 610 581 2,243 2,392
o/w
Small Business Customers
199 200 206 775 804
203 o/w
mBank
260 265 257 998 1,040
191 174 186 172 o/w
comdirect
103 95 95 378 389
140 147 o/w
Commerz Real
56 56 46 219 222
o/w
exceptional revenue items
-29 -22 -23 210 -44
Revenues excl. exceptional items 1,216 1,226 1,185 4,613 4,847
Risk result (2017: LLP) -24 -69 -49 -154 -233
Operating expenses 1,016 949 941 3,811 3,835
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Operating profit 147 186 172 858 735
RWA (end of period in €bn) 38.5 40.5 41.4 38.5 41.4
CIR (%) 85.6 78.8 81.0 79.0 79.8
2017 2018 Operating return on equity (%) 12.5 15.5 14.1 19.0 15.5
  • › FY €234m (5%) increase of underlying revenues with all subdivisions contributing
  • › Q4 underlying revenues below Q3 increased NII (+€17m) more than offset by lower NCI impacted by weak markets and fair value result
  • › YoY loan volume in German mortgage business up 9% to €75.6bn and consumer finance book at €3.6bn

Corporate Clients: Further customer growth and increased loan volume

1) Calculation based on RWA and operating revenues before Risk Result (LLP in 2016, 2017), XVA and OCS

– both excluding discontinued EMC business Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 14 February 2019

2) Volumes Mittelstand and International Corporates

Corporate Clients: solid result considering ongoing margin pressure

Operating result Segmental P&L
(€m) in €m Q4 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 FY 2017 FY 2018
Revenues 893 865 808 3,613 3,451
o/w
Mittelstand
463 456 449 1,864 1,766
221 223 o/w
International Corporates
215 206 232 889 877
197 221 o/w
Financial Institutions
103 116 121 458 474
184 o/w
others
115 73 54 373 377
122 o/w
exceptional revenue items
-3 15 -49 29 -43
102 Revenues excl. exceptional items 896 850 857 3,584 3,495
Risk result (2017: LLP) -172 -60 -71 -295 -194
34 Operating expenses 687 620 615 2,642 2,628
Operating profit 34 184 122 676 629
Pre-tax profit discontinued operations 16 -15 -30 118 -15
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 RWA (end of period in €bn) 88.1 97.4 97.6 88.1 97.6
CIR (%) 76.9 71.7 76.1 73.1 76.2
2017 2018 Operating return on equity (%) 1.3 6.6 4.3 6.0 5.8
  • › Underlying revenues in Q4 slightly above Q3 in a challenging market environment driven by slightly higher NII reflecting the resilient business model
  • › Loan growth based on prudent lending standards
  • › Financial Institutions continues positive development
  • › FY International Corporates and Mittelstand reflecting margin competition and subdued demand for capital markets products

Asset & Capital Recovery: operating result driven by valuation effects

Operating result Segmental P&L
(€m) 60
in €m Q4 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 FY 2017 FY 2018
16 14 Revenues 24 28 -20 170 114
Revenues excl. exceptional items 54 2 22 75 103
Risk result (2017: LLP) -59 2 -23 -336 -8
Operating expenses 19 16 12 98 72
-33 Operating profit -54 14 -56 -264 34
-54 -56
RWA (end of period in €bn) 18.0 12.6 12.1 18.0 12.1
-82
-94 CRE (EaD in €bn) 1.5 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.9
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ship Finance (EaD in €bn) 2.6 0.8 0.4 2.6 0.4
Public Finance (EaD in €bn) 10.0 7.5 7.7 10.0 7.7
2017 2018
Group Ship Finance (EaD in €bn) 3.4 1.1 0.5 3.4 0.5
  • › Operating result reflecting reduced portfolio size and valuation effects
  • › Reduction of legacy positions progressing with an EaD reduction of €5bn in 2018
  • › Well marked Shipping portfolio below €500m and fewer than 60 ships financed

Capital ratio of 12.9% due to growth and increased capital deductions

  • › Stable Market Risk RWA in line with business model
  • › Higher Credit RWA driven by increased lending in PSBC and CC
  • › Capital change driven by lower discount rate and reduced valuations of pension plan assets due to weak Q4 markets
  • › Capital incorporates €0.20 per share dividend accrual

Objectives and expectations for 2019

2019 – Outlook

We continue our growth strategy and expect higher underlying revenues We target a cost base below €6.8bn

We expect a Risk Result not below €550m

We plan to maintain a dividend at level comparable to 2018

We target a CET1 ratio ≥12.75% in line with anticipated SREP requirements

Commerzbank 4.0 simple – digital – efficient

We continue with the implementation of Commerzbank 4.0 – Strategic outlook towards 2020

We pursue our strategy based on a simplified business model and high quality balance sheet

We continue our growth strategy in a challenging macro environment – targeting average revenue growth of 3% p.a.

We further intensify our digitalisation efforts with Campus 2.0 – contributing to our targeted cost base of €6.5bn in 2020

Commerzbank 4.0 simple – digital – efficient

Appendix

Commerzbank Group

Commerzbank financials at a glance 24
Key figures Commerzbank share 25
Key execution indicators 26
Digitalisation progress 27
Loan and Deposit volumes 28
Scenario: NII sensitivity 29
Funding & Rating
Funding structure 30
Rating overview 31

Risk & Capital Management

IAS 19 32
Exchange rate development effects on capital 33
Group equity composition 43
Glossary –
capital allocation & return calculation
44

P&L Tables

Commerzbank Group 36
Private and Small Business Customers 37
Corporate Clients 38
Asset & Capital Recovery 39
Others & Consolidation 40
mBank 41
Exceptional Revenue Items 42

Other Information

German economy 23
Residential mortgage business 34
Corporate responsibility 35

German economy 2019 – ongoing upswing

In the course of 2018 the German economy significantly lost momentum, and
the ongoing downward trend of the sentiment indicators signals that this soft
patch is not yet over.
DAX
(avg. p.a.)
12,272
Current
development
The main reasons are probably the temporarily stronger Euro and less
dynamic demand from Asia. The US trade policy and the Brexit might have
been an additional burden for the economy.
10,196
10,957
12,431 11,800
In contrast, the internal demand has grown further driven by the ECB's still
very expansionary monetary policy.
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
As long as risks do not materialise, e.g. no global trade war, a recession is
unlikely because of the still expansionary stance of monetary policy.
Euribor
(avg. p.a. in %)
Our expectation
for 2019
In the further course of the year somewhat stronger demand in some parts of
the world economy (especially in China based on the government's stimulus
measures) will probably even lead to a little bit higher QoQ
growth rates of
the German economy. This should be signalled by an improvement of
sentiment indicators starting in spring.
-0.02 -0.26 -0.32 -0.32 -0.30
On average the German economy will expand by 1.2% in 2019 (after 1.5% in
2018) which would be roughly in line with the long-term growth potential.
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
The export oriented German economy could suffer especially from rising
protectionism initiated by the US government.
GDP (change vs. previous year in %) Germany
Eurozone
Risks in the In the medium term EMs –
a very important market for German exports –
could grow more slowly than in the past.
1.7 2.0 1.9
1.8
2.6
2.2
1.9
1.5
1.4
long-run Germany's price and non-price competitiveness within the Euro area has
eroded since 2009.
1.2
Economic policy has been geared more towards redistribution of wealth than
support for growth, and this will not change with the current government.
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e

Commerzbank financials at a glance

Group Q4 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 FY 2017 FY 2018
Operating result (€m) 122 346 240 1,149 1,245
Net result (€m) 75 218 113 128 865
CET1 ratio Basel 3 fully phased-in (%)¹ 14.1 13.2 12.9 14.1 12.9
Total assets (€bn) 452 493 462 452 462
RWA B3 fully phased-in (€bn) 171 178 180 171 180
Leverage ratio fully phased-in (%) 5.1 4.5 4.8 5.1 4.8
Cost/income ratio (%) 82.3 77.6 80.6 78.0 80.3
Net RoE (%) 1.0 3.1 1.6 0.4 3.1
Net RoTE (%) 1.2 3.5 1.8 0.5 3.4
Total capital ratio fully phased-in (%)¹ 17.5 16.4 15.9 17.5 15.9
NPL ratio (in %) 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.9
CoR (bps) 18 9 10 18 10

Key figures Commerzbank share

ytd
as of
31 Dec 2016 31 Dec 2017 31 Dec 2018
Number of shares issued (in m) 1,252.4 1,252.4 1,252.4
Market capitalisation (in €bn) 9.1 15.7 7.2
Net asset value per share (in €) 21.69 21.88 21.34
Low/high Xetra
intraday prices YtD
(in €)
5.16/9.50 6.97/12.96 5.50/13.82

Key Execution Indicators

Digitalisation progress in Commerzbank 4.0

Continuing loan and deposit growth

  • › Loan growth in Private and Small Business Customers mainly driven by mortgage business in Germany and mBank's loan book
  • › Corporate Clients loan volume slightly lower with growth in corporate customers more than balanced by reductions with Financial Institutions and legacy books

Significant NII potential in scenario of rising interest rates

  • › Year 1 effect of €500-550m driven by short-end rates due to large stock of overnight (excess) deposits
  • › Thereof ~1/3 stem from leaving the negative interest rate territory
  • › Year 4 effect of €900-1,000m driven by higher reinvestment yield of modelled deposits used to refinance longer term loans

Capital markets funding activities

  • › €10.5bn issued in 2018 (average term ~7 years), with focus on longer tenors, thereof:
  • Pfandbriefe: €3.75bn Benchmarks with maturities between 4 years and 10 years
  • Preferred Senior: Benchmark transactions with total volume of €3.1bn following inaugural dual tranche in August 2018
  • Non-Preferred Senior: €0.5bn inaugural green bond backed by renewable energy loans
  • Tier 2: Diversification in Asian markets (AUD 225m 10 years, SGD 400m 10 years non-call 5 years)
  • mBank: €1.2bn issuances; €0.5bn Senior Unsecured Benchmark and mBank Hipoteczny with €300m 7 years covered bond
  • › Total funding volume for 2019 expected to be approx. €10bn

Rating overview Commerzbank

As of 14 February 2019
Bank
Ratings
S&P Moody's Fitch Scope
Counterparty Rating/ Assessment1 A A1/ A1 (cr) A-
(dcr)
-
Deposit Rating2 A-
negative
A1 stable A- -
Issuer Credit Rating (long-term debt) A-
negative
A1 stable BBB+ stable A stable
Stand-alone Rating (financial strength) bbb+ baa2 bbb+ -
Short-term debt A-2 P-1 F2 S-1
Product Ratings (unsecured issuances)
Preferred senior unsecured debt A-
negative
A1 stable A- A
stable
Non-preferred senior unsecured debt BBB Baa1 BBB+
stable
A-
stable
Subordinated debt (Tier
2)
BBB- Baa3 BBB BBB
stable

Rating events 2018

  • Q2 2018: Moody's assigned the new Counterparty Risk Rating of "A2". S&P Global assigned the new Resolution Counterparty Rating of "A"
  • Q3 2018: Moody's upgraded counterparty risk rating, deposit rating and "preferred" senior unsecured debt rating to "A1" and subordinated debt rating to "Baa3" triggered by an uplift of the stand-alone Rating by 1 Notch to "baa2" Methodical change: issuer credit rating positioned at "preferred" senior unsecured rating level and increased therefore by 3 notches to "A1"

Rating events 2019

Fitch confirmed Commerzbank's ratings in a regular rating review in January 2019

  • 1) Includes client business (i.e. counterparty for derivatives)

32

IAS 19: Development of pension obligations

Additional information

  • › Pension obligations decreased YtD mainly due to regular benefits paid
  • › The discount rate is derived from a AA rated corporate bond basket yield with average duration of 18 years
  • › The average funding ratio (plan assets vs. pension obligations) of all Group plans is 93.2%
  • › Value of plan assets decreased due to market developments, resulting in a negative YtD OCI capital effect of -€286m after tax

Strengthening of USD with net negative impact on capital ratio

Explanation

  • › QoQ the EUR weakened by -1.1% against the USD resulting in +€0.3bn higher Credit Risk RWA
  • › Due to USD strengthening the currency translation reserve for USD increased by +€10m impacting the CET1 ratio
  • › Negative impact of USD strengthening on CET1 ratio due to higher Credit Risk RWA not compensated by increasing currency translation reserve in USD

Residential mortgage business vs. property prices

Source: Immobilienscout24, Commerzbank Research

› Prices of houses and flats, existing stock and newly constructed dwellings, averages, index: March 2007 = 100; Munich (MUC), Berlin (BER), Hamburg (HAM), Frankfurt (FRA), Cologne (COL)

  • › Growing mortgage volume with a very good risk quality:
  • 12/15: EaD €62.6bn RD 12bp
  • 12/16: EaD €66.8bn RD 10bp
  • 12/17: EaD €75.2bn RD 9bp
  • 12/18: EaD €81.0bn RD 9bp
  • › Rating profile with a share of 90% in investment grade ratings
  • › Vintages of recent years developed more favourably so far and NPLs remain at a low level
  • › Due to risk-oriented selection, RD still very low
  • › As a consequence of low interest rates, repayment rates remain on a very high level
  • › Average "Beleihungsauslauf" (BLA) in new business of 84% in 2018. German BLA is more conservative than the internationally used LtV definition due to the application of the strict German Pfandbrief law

Risk parameters still on very good level, loan decisions remain conservative

We are a leading German provider of Renewable Energy Project Finance funding and will become Germany's most sustainable commercial bank

Commerzbank's Sustainability Ratings1

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 14 February 2019

Commerzbank Group

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
€m 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018
Total clean revenues 2,160 1,956 1,926 2,165 8,208 2,216 2,160 2,122 2,151 8,648
Exceptional items 108 8 502 -60 557 1 18 18 -115 -78
Total revenues 2,268 1,964 2,428 2,105 8,764 2,217 2,178 2,140 2,035 8,570
o/w
Net interest income
1,064 1,035 1,065 1,132 4,295 1,098 1,190 1,223 1,237 4,748
o/w
Net commission income
889 786 739 778 3,192 802 763 771 754 3,089
o/w
Net fair value result
266 149 137 46 598 203 200 85 -121 366
o/w
Other income
49 -5 486 149 679 115 25 62 166 367
o/w
Dividend income
28 27 17 34 106 14 6 9 6 36
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
-33 -53 -7 8 -85 -16 36 6 22 48
o/w
Other result from realisation and measurement (2017 only)
-3 -14 -29 -29 -76 - - - - -
o/w
Other financial result
47 25 83 89 244 -19 3 6 35 26
o/w
At equity result
7 9 5 2 23 6 3 1 2 12
o/w
Other net income
3 1 417 45 466 129 -24 40 101 245
Risk result (2017: Provision for possible loan losses) -195 -167 -168 -251 -781 -77 -82 -133 -154 -446
Operating expenses 1,795 1,656 1,652 1,731 6,834 1,882 1,694 1,661 1,641 6,879
o/w
European bank levy / Polish banking tax
179 37 22 18 256 209 23 17 23 273
Operating profit 278 141 609 122 1,149 258 401 346 240 1,245
Restructuring expenses - 807 - - 808 - - - - -
Pre-tax profit discontinued operations 49 39 14 16 118 42 -12 -15 -30 -15
Pre-tax profit Commerzbank Group 326 -628 623 137 459 301 389 331 210 1,230
Taxes on income 81 -13 134 35 237 5 94 89 75 262
Minority Interests 20 25 21 27 94 34 23 24 22 103
Consolidated Result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders 226 -640 467 75 128 262 272 218 113 865
Total Assets 490,262 487,266 489,925 452,495 452,495 470,013 487,518 493,203 462,369 462,369
o/w
Discontinued operations
- - - - - - - - 12,996 12,996
Average capital employed 23,375 23,390 23,463 24,074 23,609 22,468 22,640 23,097 23,399 22,886
RWA credit risk (end of period) 144,074 140,530 138,204 136,155 136,155 136,014 141,648 142,633 145,229 145,229
RWA market risk (end of period) 19,159 16,395 14,333 12,090 12,090 10,987 10,673 11,507 10,801 10,801
RWA operational risk (end of period) 21,669 20,549 22,722 21,041 21,041 21,090 21,297 21,685 21,393 21,393
RWA (end of period) continued operations 184,903 177,474 175,259 169,285 169,285 168,091 173,618 175,825 177,423 177,423
RWA (end of period) discontinued operations 1,259 989 1,338 1,734 1,734 1,999 1,890 2,535 3,075 3,075
RWA (end of period) 186,162 178,464 176,597 171,019 171,019 170,090 175,508 178,360 180,498 180,498
Cost/income ratio (%) 79.2% 84.3% 68.0% 82.3% 78.0% 84.9% 77.8% 77.6% 80.6% 80.3%
Operating return on CET1 (%) 4.8% 2.4% 10.4% 2.0% 4.9% 4.6% 7.1% 6.0% 4.1% 5.4%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 4.1% 2.1% 9.1% 1.8% 4.3% 4.0% 6.1% 5.3% 3.6% 4.8%
Return on equity of net result (%) 3.2% -8.9% 6.6% 1.0% 0.4% 3.8% 3.9% 3.1% 1.6% 3.1%
Net return on tangible equity (%) 3.5% -9.8% 7.3% 1.2% 0.5% 4.2% 4.3% 3.5% 1.8% 3.4%

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 14 February 2019 36

Private and Small Business Customers

€m Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
FY
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
FY
2018
Total clean revenues 1,165 1,108 1,123 1,216 4,613 1,211 1,225 1,226 1,185 4,847
Exceptional items - 1 237 -29 210 25 -25 -22 -23 -44
Total revenues 1,165 1,110 1,360 1,188 4,823 1,236 1,200 1,204 1,163 4,803
o/w
Net interest income
567 574 583 627 2,351 616 644 649 667 2,576
o/w
Net commission income
543 476 464 488 1,971 508 471 483 465 1,927
o/w
Net fair value result
39 36 37 36 148 32 54 48 26 160
o/w
Other income
16 24 277 36 354 80 32 24 4 140
o/w
Dividend income
4 7 4 9 24 2 2 7 -1 10
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
- -1 -1 -1 -2 - -1 -1 1 -1
o/w
Other result from realisation and measurement (2017 only)
- -3 -1 -8 -12 - - - - -
o/w
Other financial result
6 6 93 16 119 11 20 9 8 48
o/w
At equity result
- 2 - - 2 - 1 -1 - -
o/w
Other net income
7 14 182 21 224 67 10 10 -5
Risk result (2017: Provision for possible loan losses) -33 -43 -55 -24 -154 -49 -66 -69 -49 -233
Operating expenses 941 927 926 1,016 3,811 984 961 949 941 3,835
o/w
European bank levy / Polish banking tax
63 27 22 23 136 71 23 24 24 141
Operating profit 191 140 380 147 858 203 174 186 172 735
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 191 140 380 147 858 203 174 186 172 735
Total Assets 120,494 123,068 125,528 128,280 128,280 130,561 131,846 136,646 138,409 138,409
Liabilities 143,656 147,131 149,196 152,028 152,028 155,262 160,259 164,992 169,933 169,933
Average capital employed 4,327 4,389 4,619 4,704 4,509 4,633 4,676 4,787 4,902 4,751
RWA credit risk (end of period) 28,604 30,927 32,351 32,591 32,591 32,897 33,529 34,643 35,523 35,523
RWA market risk (end of period) 845 786 831 851 851 876 782 802 780 780
RWA operational risk (end of period) 6,424 6,010 6,023 5,092 5,092 5,024 5,012 5,033
5,111
5,111
RWA (end of period) 35,873 37,722 39,205 38,534 38,534 38,797 39,323 40,478 41,414 41,414
Cost/income ratio (%) 80.8% 83.6% 68.0% 85.6% 79.0% 79.6% 80.0% 78.8% 81.0% 79.8%
Operating return on CET1 (%) 17.7% 12.8% 32.9% 12.5% 19.0% 17.5% 14.8% 15.5% 14.1% 15.5%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 16.9% 12.3% 31.8% 12.2% 18.4% 17.2% 14.6% 15.1% 13.8% 15.1%

Corporate Clients

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
€m 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018
Total clean revenues 953 853 882 896 3,584 872 916 850 857 3,495
Exceptional items 32 -8 9 -3 29 -1 -8 15 -49 -43
Total revenues 985 845 891 893 3,613 871 908 865 808 3,451
o/w
Net interest income
498 437 444 458 1,837 426 444 464 484 1,818
o/w
Net commission income
351 321 281 305 1,258 300 298 295 299 1,191
o/w
Net fair value result
125 64 161 126 475 108 193 101 21 422
o/w
Other income
11 23 4 4 42 38 -28 5 5 21
o/w
Dividend income
18 3 2 2 25 10 -3 5 3 14
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
-1 -2 - 2 - -1 2 -1 3 3
o/w
Other result from realisation and measurement (2017 only)
-7 -4 -9 -18 -38 - - - - -
o/w
Other financial result
-1 5 -1 10 12 1 -2 -5 -16 -22
o/w
At equity result
7 7 5 2 21 6 2 2 2 12
o/w
Other net income
-5 14 7 5 21 22 -27 5 13 14
Risk result (2017: Provision for possible loan losses) -43 -33 -47 -172 -295 -25 -37 -60 -71 -194
Operating expenses 720 614 620 687 2,642 744 650 620
615
2,628
o/w
European bank levy
83 4 - -5 82 91 - -7 - 84
Operating profit 221 197 223 34 676 102 221 184 122 629
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit discontinued operations 49 39 14 16 118 42 -12 -15 -30 -15
Pre-tax profit (total) 270 236 237 50 794 144 209 169 92 614
Total Assets 208,694 198,179 189,753 173,011 173,011 176,752 187,193 189,891 179,330 179,330
o/w
Discontinued operations
- - - - - - - - 12,996 12,996
Liabilities 235,082 231,222 215,009 196,709 196,709 195,180 196,613 193,378 178,988 178,988
o/w
Discontinued operations
- - - - - - - - 12,375 12,375
Average capital employed 12,099 11,256 10,938 10,664 11,254 10,414 10,648 11,127 11,346 10,870
RWA credit risk (end of period) 78,444 75,213 74,690 72,332 72,332 72,449 76,507 78,247 78,493 78,493
RWA market risk (end of period) 8,442 7,217 5,862 4,614 4,614 4,635 4,702 5,007 4,566 4,566
RWA operational risk (end of period) 9,765 9,552 10,230 9,469 9,469 10,092 10,338
11,562
11,449 11,449
RWA (end of period) continued operations 96,651 91,982 90,782 86,415 86,415 87,176 91,547 94,817 94,507 94,507
RWA (end of period) discontinued operations 1,259 989 1,338 1,734 1,734 1,999 1,890 2,535 3,075 3,075
Cost/income ratio (%) 73.1%
72.7%
69.6%
76.9%
73.1%
85.4%
71.6%
71.7%
76.1%
76.2%
Operating return on CET1 (%) 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 1.3% 6.0% 3.9% 8.3% 6.6% 4.3% 5.8%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 6.7% 6.4% 7.5% 1.2%
5.5%
3.6%
7.7%
6.2%
4.1% 5.4%

Asset & Capital Recovery

€m Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
FY
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
FY
2018
Total clean revenues 24 22 -25 54 75 68 10 2 22 103
Exceptional items 91 16 18 -29 96 -23 52 26 -43 12
Total revenues 115 39 -7 24 170 45 62 28 -20 114
o/w
Net interest income
34 47 27 75 183 14 16 18 12 61
o/w
Net commission income
- - - 1 2 - - 1 - 1
o/w
Net fair value result
72 8 -11 -41 28 67 51 -6 -78 35
o/w
Other income
8 -16 -24 -10 -42 -37 -6 16 45 17
o/w
Dividend income
- - - - - - - 1 -1 -
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
-4 -17 -7 -6 -34 -5 3 2 1 1
o/w
Other result from realisation and measurement (2017 only)
-1 -5 -22 -5 -32 - - - - -
o/w
Other financial result
- - - 4 4 -40 -14 6 40 -7
o/w
At equity result
- - - - - - -
-
- -
o/w
Other net income
13 5 5 -3 21 7
5
6 5 23
Risk result (2017: Provision for possible loan losses) -119 -92 -65 -59 -336 -2 16 2 -23 -8
Operating expenses 29 28 22 19 98 27 17 16 12 72
o/w
European bank levy
5 3 - - 7 10 - - - 10
Operating profit -33 -82 -94 -54 -264 16 60 14 -56 34
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit -33 -82 -94 -54 -264 16 60 14 -56 34
Total Assets 25,905 24,876 23,583 24,374 24,374 21,374 19,446 18,365 18,904 18,904
o/w
Assets excl repos, collaterals and trading assets
11,143 9,670 8,804 9,222 9,222 9,632 8,841 8,215 7,985 7,985
Liabilities 19,599 19,368 19,264 19,903 19,903 18,735 17,040 16,316 17,034 17,034
Exposure at default 16,107 15,253 14,278 14,039 14,039 10,794 9,827 9,226 8,916 8,916
Average capital employed 3,165 3,182 2,916 2,751 2,982 2,483 2,254 2,054 1,883 2,174
RWA credit risk (end of period) 15,384 13,710 12,809 12,538 12,538 10,717 9,778 9,319 8,806
RWA market risk (end of period) 5,598 4,649 4,288 3,302 3,302 2,802 2,203 2,060 1,965 1,965
RWA operational risk (end of period) 1,786 1,720 1,968 2,127 2,127 2,334 2,386 1,263 1,305 1,305
RWA (end of period) 22,768 20,079 19,064 17,967 17,967 15,853 14,367 12,643 12,075 12,075

Others & Consolidation

€m Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
FY
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
FY
2018
Total clean revenues 18 -28 -54 -1 -65 65 9 43 86 204
Exceptional items -15 -1 238 1 222 - - -1 -1 -2
Total revenues 3 -29 184 - 158 66 8 43 85 202
o/w
Net interest income
-35 -22 10 -28 -75 42 85 93 73 293
o/w
Net commission income
-5 -12 -6 -15 -38 -7 -6 -8 -10 -30
o/w
Net fair value result
30 41 -49 -75 -53 -4 -98 -58 -90 -251
o/w
Other income
14 -36 229 118 325 34 27 16 112 189
o/w
Dividend income
6 17 12 22 57 3 8 -4 5 12
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
-28 -34 1 13 -49 -11 33 6 17 46
o/w
Other result from realisation and measurement (2017 only)
5 -3 2 2 6 - - - - -
o/w
Other financial result
43 14 -9 60 109 9 - -4 3 7
o/w
At equity result
- - - - - - - - - -
o/w
Other net income
-12 -31 223 22 201 33 -13
18
87 125
Risk result (2017: Provision for possible loan losses) - - - 4 4 -1 5 -4 -10 -11
Operating expenses 105 86 84 9 284 127 67 76 73 344
o/w
European bank levy
28 2 - 1 31 37 - - - 37
Operating profit -102 -115 100 -5 -122 -62 -54 -38 2 -153
Restructuring expenses - 807 - - 808 - - - - -
Pre-tax profit -102 -922 100 -6 -929 -62 -54 -38 2 -153
Total Assets 135,169 141,143 151,060 126,831 126,831 141,326 149,033 148,301 125,727 125,727
Liabilities 91,924 89,545 106,456 83,856 83,856 100,836 113,606 118,517 96,415 96,415
Average capital employed 3,783 4,563 4,989 5,956 4,864 4,941 5,061 5,129 5,268 5,091
RWA credit risk (end of period) 21,643 20,680 18,354 18,694 18,694 19,950 21,834 20,423 22,408 22,408
RWA market risk (end of period) 4,274 3,743 3,352 3,323 3,323 2,674 2,986 3,638 3,490 3,490
RWA operational risk (end of period) 3,695 3,267 4,502 4,352 4,352 3,640 3,561 3,827 3,529 3,529
RWA (end of period) 29,612 27,690 26,207 26,369 26,369 26,264 28,381 27,887 29,427 29,427

mBank

Part of Segment Private and Small Business Customers

€m Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
FY
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
FY
2018
Total clean revenues 241 243 254 260 998 253 265 265 257 1,040
Exceptional items - - - - - 52 - - -1 52
Total revenues 241 243 254 261 998 305 265 266 257 1,092
o/w
Net interest income
143 151 160 166 619 158 167 172 176 673
o/w
Net commission income
59 61 62 58 239 65 59 56 52 233
o/w
Net fair value result
36 32 33 34 135 31 40 38 22 131
o/w
Other income
3 -1 -1 4 5 51 - -1 6 55
o/w
Dividend income
- 1 - - 1 - 1 - - 1
o/w
Net income from hedge accounting
- -1 -1 -1 -2 - -1 -1 1 -1
o/w
Other result from realisation and measurement (2017 only)
- -3 - - -3 - - - - -
o/w
Other financial result
- -1 -2 4 1 1 - - 2 4
o/w
At equity result
- - - - - - - - - -
o/w
Other net income
2 4 2 - 9 49 1 -
2
52
Risk result (2017: Provision for possible loan losses) -19 -28 -38 -33 -119 -18 -48 -35 -20
Operating expenses 155 146 142 152 595 173 149 154 149 625
o/w
European bank levy / Polish banking tax
44 26 22 23 116 47 23 24 24 117
Operating profit 66 69 74 75 285 113 68 77 88 346
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 66 69 74 75 285 113 68 77 88 346
Total Assets 30,708 30,564 30,745 31,381 31,381 31,505 31,734 34,408 33,802 33,802
Liabilities 27,674 27,401 27,636 29,001 29,001 29,621 29,881 32,075 32,048 32,048
Average capital employed 1,807 1,842 1,897 1,945 1,874 1,956 2,028 2,094 2,129 2,049
RWA credit risk (end of period) 13,255 13,579 14,108 14,246 14,246 14,553 14,880 15,681 15,694 15,694
RWA market risk (end of period) 401 369 389 404 404 453 419 367 411
RWA operational risk (end of period) 1,477 1,491 1,598 1,449 1,449 1,702 1,707 1,777
1,524
1,524
RWA (end of period) 15,133
15,439
16,095
16,100
16,100
16,707 17,005 17,825 17,629 17,629
Cost/income ratio (%) 64.6% 59.9% 55.8% 58.4% 59.6% 56.8% 56.4% 58.1% 57.9% 57.3%
Operating return on CET1 (%) 14.6% 15.0% 15.6% 15.5% 15.2% 23.2% 13.4% 14.6% 16.6% 16.9%
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 14.0% 14.6% 15.4% 15.4% 14.9% 23.0% 13.3% 14.2% 16.3% 16.6%

Commerzbank Group

Exceptional Revenue Items

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
€m 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018
Exceptional Revenue Items 108 8 502 -60 557 1 18 18 -115 -78
o/w
Net interest income
-9 -5 -24 -37 -75 -26 -17 -20 -17 -80
o/w
Net fair value result
117 13 36 -23 142 14 50 31 -139 -44
o/w
Other income
- - 490 - 490 14 -14 7 40 46
o/w
FVA, CVA / DVA, OCS, Other ACR valuations (NII, NFVR)
108 8 28 -32 111 -24 43 41 -95 -36
PSBC - 1 237 -29 210 25 -25 -22 -23 -44
o/w
Net interest income
- - -28 -29 -57 -27 -25 -23 -21 -95
o/w
Net fair value result
- 1 1 - 2 - - 1 -2 -2
o/w
Other income
- - 265 - 265 52 - - - 52
o/w
FVA, CVA / DVA (NII, NFVR)
- 1 1 - 2 - - 1 -2 -2
CC 32 -8 9 -3 29 -1 -8 15 -49 -43
o/w
Net interest income
3 -5 - -8 -10 1 - -2 -2 -3
o/w
Net fair value result
29 -3 9 5 39 -1 -8 16 -47 -40
o/w
Other income
- - - - - - - - - -
o/w
FVA, CVA / DVA, OCS (NII, NFVR)
32 -8 9 -3 29 -1 -8 15 -49 -43
ACR 91 16 18 -29 96 -23 52 26 -43 12
o/w
Net interest income
- - -1 - -1 - 7 5 6 17
o/w
Net fair value result
91 16 18 -29 96 15 59 15 -89 -
o/w
Other income
- - - - - -38 -14 7 40 -6
o/w
FVA, CVA / DVA, Other ACR valuations (NII, NFVR)
91 16 18 -29 96 -23 52 26 -43 12
O&C -15 -1 238 1 222 - - -1 -1 -2
o/w
Net interest income
-12 - 5 - -7 - - - - -
o/w
Net fair value result
-3 -1 8 1 5 - - -1 -1 -2
o/w
Other income
- - 225 - 225 - - - - -
o/w
FVA, CVA / DVA (NII, NFVR)
-15 -1 1 1 -15 - - -1 -1 -2

Description of Exceptional Revenue Items

2017 €m 2018 €m 2018 €m
Q3 Concardis (PSBC) 89 Q1 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -27 Q3 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -23
Q3 Consumer Finance Joint Venture incl PPA (PSBC, O&C) 160 Q1 Polish group insurance business (PSBC) 52 Q4 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -21
Q3 Property sales gains (O&C) 225 Q2 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -25
Q4 PPA Consumer Finance (PSBC) -29

Group equity composition

Capital
Q3 2018
End of period
€bn
Capital
Q4 2018
End of period
€bn
Capital
Q4 2018
Average
€bn
Ratios
Q4 2018
%
Ratios
FY 2018
%
Ratio
FY 2018
%
Common equity tier 1 B3 capital 23.5 23.2 23.4 1 Op. RoCET 4.1% 5.4% CET1 ratio 12.9%
DTA 1.2 1.2
Deductions on securitizations 0.2 0.2
Deductions related to non-controlling interests 0.4 0.4
IRB shortfall 0.2 0.2
Other regulatory adjustments 1.0 1.0
Tangible equity 26.5 26.3 26.4 1 Op. RoTE 3.6% 4.8%
Goodwill and other intangible assets 2.8 2.8 2.8 Pre-tax RoE 3.3% 4.3%
IFRS capital 29.4 29.2 29.3 1 Op. RoE 3.3% 4.3%
Subscribed capital 1.3 1.3
Capital reserve 17.2 17.2
Retained earnings 2 9.2 8.9
Currency translation reserve -0.2 -0.3
Revaluation reserve 0.1 -0.0
Cash flow hedges -0.0 -0.0
Consolidated P&L 0.8 0.9
IFRS capital without non-controlling interests 28.2 28.0 28.1 1 RoE on net result 1.6% 3.1%
Non-controlling interests (IFRS) 1.2 1.2 1.2 RoTE on net result 1.8% 3.4%
  • 1) Includes consolidated P&L reduced by dividend accrual

Glossary – Capital Allocation / RoE, RoTE & RoCET1 Calculation

Capital Allocation


Amount of average capital allocated to business segments is calculated by multiplying the
segments current YtD
average RWA (PSBC €39.6bn, CC €92.8bn, O&C €27.2bn, ACR €14.5bn)
by a ratio of 12% (and 15% for ACR respectively) -
reflecting current regulatory and market
standard
Excess capital reconciling to Group CET1 Basel 3 fully phased-in is allocated to Others &
Consolidation
CET1 capital allocation is disclosed in the business segment reporting of Commerzbank Group
For the purposes of calculating the segmental RoTE, average regulatory capital deductions
(excluding Goodwill and other intangibles) are allocated to the business segments additionally
(PSBC €0.1bn, CC €0.8bn, O&C €2.0bn, ACR €0.4bn)
RoE, RoTE,
RoCET1 Calculation



RoE
is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital on Group level and on an average level of
12% (and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs on segmental level
RoTE
is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital after deduction of goodwill and other
intangible assets on Group level and on an average level of 12% (and 15% for ACR respectively)
of the RWAs after addition of capital deductions (excluding goodwill and other intangible assets) on
segmental level
RoTE
calculation represents the current market standard
RoCET1 is calculated on average CET1 capital

For more information, please contact Commerzbank's IR team

Christoph Wortig (Head of Investor Relations) P: +49 69 136 52668 M: [email protected]

Mail: [email protected] www.ir.commerzbank.com

Ansgar Herkert (Head of IR Communications) P: +49 69 136 44083 M: [email protected]

Investors and Financial Analysts

Michael H. Klein

P: +49 69 136 24522 M: [email protected]

Jutta Madjlessi

P: +49 69 136 28696 M: [email protected]

Dirk Bartsch (Head of Strategic IR / Rating Agency Relations / ESG)

P: +49 69 136 22799

M: [email protected]

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include, inter alia, statements about Commerzbank's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates, projections and targets as they are currently available to the management of Commerzbank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and Commerzbank undertakes no obligation to update any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, among others, the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which Commerzbank derives a substantial portion of its revenues and in which it hold a substantial portion of its assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of its strategic initiatives and the reliability of its risk management policies.

In addition, this presentation contains financial and other information which has been derived from publicly available information disclosed by persons other than Commerzbank ("external data"). In particular, external data has been derived from industry and customer-related data and other calculations taken or derived from industry reports published by third parties, market research reports and commercial publications. Commercial publications generally state that the information they contain has originated from sources assumed to be reliable, but that the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed and that the calculations contained therein are based on a series of assumptions. The external data has not been independently verified by Commerzbank. Therefore, Commerzbank cannot assume any responsibility for the accuracy of the external data taken or derived from public sources.

Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from https://www.commerzbank.de/en/hauptnavigation/aktionaere/investor_relations.html