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Commerzbank AG Earnings Release 2016

Nov 4, 2016

81_ip_2016-11-04_45135d1b-97cc-4221-aa65-debc5998a1ee.pdf

Earnings Release

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Higher operating result – capital ratio increased to 11.8%

Analyst conference – Q3 2016 results

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 04 November 2016

Higher operating result – capital ratio increased to 11.8%

Higher operating result of €429m – further growth in PC and CEE

  • › Revenues of €2.4bn supported by positive valuation effects
  • › Stable expenses of €1.7bn capital neutral goodwill impairment of €627m
  • › 9M 2016 operating RoTE of 5.3%

Healthy risk profile confirmed despite shipping

  • › Higher LLPs in Q3 (€275m) deterioration in shipping timely reflected
  • › Strong NPL ratio of 1.7% maintained at a low level
  • › Low cost of risk in 9M 2016 of 19bps reflects good portfolio quality

CET1 ratio at 11.8%

  • › Effective risk management leads to RWA decrease of €4bn
  • › CET1 capital stable at €23bn
  • › Comfortable leverage ratio of 4.5%

Key financial figures at a glance

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 04 November 2016 2

1) Consolidated result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders

2) Leverage ratio according to revised CRD4/CRR rules published on 10 October 2014

Operating result of Commerzbank new divisions at a glance in new structure as of 9M 2016

Operating result of Commerzbank divisions in former structure

Group operating result of €429m

in € m Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
Revenues 2,317 2,240 2,437 7,555 7,000
LLP -146 -187 -275 -584 -610
Costs 1,719 1,702 1,733 5,413 5,328
Operating result 452 351 429 1,558 1,062
Impairments on goodw
ill & other intang. assets
- - 627 - 627
Restructuring expenses 28 40 57 94 97
Taxes on income 158 58 14 489 161
Minority interests 31 38 19 84 81
1)
Net result
235 215 -288 891 96
CIR (%) 74.2 76.0 71.1 71.6 76.1
Ø Equity (€bn) 29.6 29.6 29.7 28.8 29.7
Net RoE (%) 3.3 3.0 -4.0 4.3 0.4
Net RoTE (%) 3.7 3.4 -4.5 4.8 0.5
Operating return on CET1 (%) 7.9 6.1 7.5 9.5 6.1
  • › Revenue increase of €197m q-o-q stems mainly from positive valuation effects in ACR (+€130m) and XVA/OCS (+€51m in C&M and MSB)
  • › Increase in LLPs (+€88m q-o-q) as expected (Shipping) while costs remained almost flat (+€31m q-o-q)
  • › Capital neutral impairment on goodwill (€627m) leads to the expected negative net result of €-288m in Q3 2016

Active cost management compensates for investments and additional external burdens

  • › Investments mainly for digitization, strengthening the compliance function and implementing regulatory requirements
  • › Personnel expenses decreased due to net FTE reduction (~900 FTE), sourcing initiatives and lower variable compensation
  • › Additional burdens from banking tax and deposit guarantee scheme (incl. new Polish banking tax of €54m) fully compensated

Moderate increase of group LLPs in line with expectations

Private Customers
Mittelstandsbank
Central & Eastern Europe
Corporates & Markets
13
31
28
2
93
29
0
67
51
110
11
213
32 75 74
11 -12 29 -25 22
Others & Consolidation 1 - - 62 -2
Asset & Capital Recovery 62 75 147 311 292
Group CoR (bps) 18 15 19 18 19
Group NPL (€bn) 8.0 6.5 7.5 8.0 7.5
Group NPL ratio (in %) 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7
  • › Overall LLPs still at a low level reflecting the good portfolio quality and the stable German economy
  • › LLPs in PC benefit from very good solvency of German households
  • › A further deterioration in the shipping markets is reflected timely in a significant LLP increase in ACR compared to Q2 2016

Strong NPL ratio of 1.7% maintained at a low level

Highlights

  • › Increase of NPL ratio and Cost of Risk in ACR driven by shipping portfolio as expected and clearly addressed
  • › Temporary higher NPL ratio for MSB driven by an exceptional single case with high exposure and low loss expectation
  • › Increase in C&M driven by a single case with high exposure

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 04 November 2016 8

1) NPL ratio = Default volume LaR loans / Exposure at Default

2) Cost of Risk = Loan Loss Provisions (annualised) / Exposure at Default

Effective risk management leads to RWA decrease of €4bn

  • › Decrease in credit risk RWA due to active portfolio management and reductions in the financial institutions portfolio
  • › Slight decrease in operational RWA by €0.5bn
  • › Slight increase in market risk RWA by €1.2bn

CET1 ratio of 11.8% due to lower RWA and slightly increased capital

  • › Increase of CET1 ratio by 30bps predominantly due to lower credit risk RWA
  • › Positive contribution of Q3 2016 net profit excluding capital neutral impairment on goodwill
  • › Release of dividend accrual as of H1 2016
  • › Higher burden from actuarial gains and losses while revaluation reserve recovered as expected

Private Customers: Continued growth path within challenging market environment

in € m Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
Revenues 995 925 954 2,870 2,823
o/w
Filialbank
866 752 763 2,469 2,308
o/w
Direct Banking
94 126 82 283 296
o/w
Commerz Real
36 47 109 118 219
LLP -13 -2 -0 -51 -11
Costs 754 743
745
2,264
2,232
Operating result 228 180 209 555 580
CIR (%) 75.8 80.3 78.1 78.9 79.1
Ø Equity (€bn) 2.9 2.3 2.3 3.0 2.4
Operating return on equity (%) 31.4 31.3 35.7 24.8 32.4
  • › Sustainable loan growth (+8% y-o-y) at overall stable margins strong market position in new mortgages enhanced
  • › NCI with 3% increase q-o-q due to slightly better securities performance and pricing initiatives
  • › Revenues in Commerz Real benefit from strong real estate markets (e.g. Frankfurt)
  • › 994k net new customers since 2013 close to target of 1m net new customers

Mittelstandsbank: Stable operating results throughout 2016

in € m Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
2)
Revenues
674 701 678 2,195 2,078
o/w
Mittelstand Germany
356 354 335 1,060 1,033
o/w
Large Corp. & Int.
175 238 222 677 674
o/w
Financial Institutions
108 95 94 346 286
FVA and net CVA / DVA -22 -12 21 20 13
LLP -31 -93 -67 -110 -213
Costs 390 391 403 1,195 1,238
Operating result 231 205 229 910 640
2)
CIR (%)
57.9 55.8 59.5 54.4 59.6
Ø Equity (€bn) 8.3 7.9 7.9 8.4 8.0
Operating return on equity (%) 2)
12.1
11.0 10.6 14.2 10.5

Highlights

  • › Maintained strong market position in a seasonally weak quarter
  • › Weaker corporate finance business in Q3 2016 weighs on NCI mainly due to fewer transactions and lower deal size
  • › Financial Institutions with stable revenues q-o-q at lower level compared to 2015 due to internally tightened risk and compliance framework

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 04 November 2016 12

1) Incl. FVA and net CVA/DVA 2) Excl. FVA and net CVA/DVA

Negative interest rate environment further burdens NII

  • › Gross burden from negative rates environment on deposit margins adds up to €226m in PC and MSB
  • › Substantial mitigation in PC due to growing loan volumes softened negative impact on MSB (only additional gross burden of €-20m in Q3 vs 2015) due to reduction of deposits by €21bn since Dec. 2015
  • › Measures such as pricing initiatives remain in place expected net burden 2020 vs 2016 of €100m

Central & Eastern Europe: mBank with continued organic growth

Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
228 272 228 687 720
-28 -29 -32 -75 -74
103 134 139 358 403
97 109 57 254 243
45.2 49.3 61.0 52.1 56.0
1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
22.3 26.3 13.5 20.0 19.5
  • › Significant growth of operating revenues of +10% q-o-q (w/o gain from VISA in Q2 2016)
  • › Increase of interest income (+7% q-o-q) from further improvement of net interest margin and growth of deposit volume as well as higher commission income (+15% q-o-q)
  • › mBank's organic growth leads to strong increase of consumer loans by 15% YTD and deposits by 12% YTD
  • › 9M 2016 expenses include Polish banking tax of €54m

Corporates & Markets: Stable revenues in Q3 2016 across business divisions year-on-year

in € m Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
2)
Revenues
381 374 373 1,514 1,210
o/w
Advisory & Primary Markets
98 128 94 351 340
o/w
EMC
93 104 99 553 316
o/w
FIC
96 82 100 362 353
o/w
CPM
89 66 95 278 236
OCS, FVA and net CVA / DVA 45 64 82 133 158
LLP -11 12 -29 25 -22
Costs 345 331 322 1,129 1,041
Operating result 70 119 104 543 305
2)
CIR (%)
90.6 88.4 86.4 74.6 86.0
Ø Equity (€bn) 4.1 3.8 3.9 4.2 3.8
2)
Operating return on equity (%)
2.4 5.8 2.3 13.1 5.2

Highlights

  • › Corporate client business with solid contribution from debt capital markets
  • › FIC with stable revenue trend in sustained challenging low interest rate environment, EMC with flat revenues y-o-y
  • › FIC complex and exotic rates derivatives business discontinued, EMC business to be ring-fenced under new strategy and intended to be brought to the market

1) Incl. OCS, FVA and net CVA/DVA 2) Excl. OCS, FVA and net CVA/DVA

Asset & Capital Recovery: Positive valuation effects offset increase in LLPs

Segmental P&L
in € m Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
Revenues 157 -24 72 62 30
LLP -62 -75 -147 -311 -292
Costs 43 33 33 150 97
Operating result 52 -132 -108 -399 -359
CIR (%) 27.4 n/a 45.8 241.9 323.3
Ø Equity (€bn) 3.8 3.5 3.3 4.4 3.3
CRE (EaD in €bn) 3.5 2.8 2.7 3.5 2.7
Ship Finance (EaD in €bn) 6.9 5.4 5.0 6.9 5.0
Public Finance (EaD in €bn) 8.7 9.1 9.5 8.7 9.5
  • › Positive valuation effects (€130m q-o-q) due to movements in CVA/DVA as well as mark-to-market valuation of derivatives
  • › LLPs as expected at higher level in Q3 2016 driven by deterioration on ship markets
  • › Wind down of Ship Finance and CRE portfolio compensated by effects in Public Finance

Outlook 2016

We expect to keep our cost base stable compared to 2015 fully compensating additional external burdens

We expect loan loss provisions below €1.0bn despite continuously challenging shipping markets

Including goodwill impairment we expect a positive net result for the full year 2016

We expect an increase of CET1 ratio to around 12% at year-end

Appendix

German economy 2016/2017 – ongoing moderate growth ahead

Current development

  • › After a strong Q1 economy slowed down again in Q2 and in Q3 – on average growth should have been in line with the trend observed in 2015
  • › Main driver of the recovery is still private consumption supported by higher wages and rising employment − exports have slowed down as the world economy has lost steam
  • › Labor market has improved further
  • › Refugees crisis has subsided − economic effects remain uncertain

DAX (avg. p.a.)

Our expectation for 2016/2017

  • › Recovery will continue as there is no negative shock ahead – monetary policy will stay expansionary and the negative effect of Brexit will be very limited
  • › Headwinds from the EM are still a burden for exports – in addition, shrinking profit margins of firms are still restraining investment
  • › Therefore we do not expect accelerating growth rates for the time being resulting in growth forecasts of 1.8% for 2016 and 1.3% for 2017

Euribor (avg. p.a. in %)

Mounting headwinds from EM

  • › 40% of German exports go to EM, of which 6%pts to China
  • › Imports of EM has fallen since year end 2014 after it had increased significantly and pumped up German export growth
  • › EM in particular suffer from increased levels of private sector debt – in addition commodity exporting EM are hit by lower commodity prices, particularly oil prices

GDP (change vs. previous year in %)

Key figures of Commerzbank share

ytd
as of
31 Dec 2014 31 Dec 2015 30 Sep 2016
Number of shares issued (in m) 1,138.5 1,252.4 1,252.4
Market capitalisation (in €bn) 12.5 11.8 7.2
Net asset value per share (in €) 21.34 21.85 21.55
Low/high Xetra
intraday prices ytd
(in €)
9.91/14.48 8.94/13.39 5.16/6.70

Commerzbank financials at a glance

Group Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
Operating result (€m) 452 351 429 1,558 1,062
Net result (€m)1) 235 215 -288 891 96
CET1 ratio B3 phase-in (%) 12.5 13.2 13.6 12.5 13.6
CET1 ratio B3 fully phased-in (%) 10.8 11.5 11.8 10.8 11.8
Total assets (€bn) 568 533 513 568 513
RWA B3 fully phased-in (€bn) 213 198 195 213 195
Leverage ratio (fully phased-in revised rules) (%) 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.1 4.5
Cost/income ratio (%) 74.2 76.0 71.1 71.6 76.1
Net RoE (%)1) 3.3 3.0 -4.0 4.3 0.4
Net RoTE (%)1) 3.7 3.4 -4.5 4.8 0.5
Total capital ratio fully phased-in (%) 13.5 14.7 14.9 13.5 14.9
NPL ratio (in %) 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7
CoR (bps) 18 15 19 18 19

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding 1) Attributable to Commerzbank shareholders

Leverage ratio at 4.5% fully phased-in

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 04 November 2016 22

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding

1) Leverage ratio according to revised CRD4/CRR rules published 10 October 2014

Hedging & Valuation adjustments

€m Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16
P
C
OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA - - - - -2 -1 -
MSB OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 17 25 -22 -18 4 -12 21
CEE OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 1 1 2 -2 -2 - -1
OCS 7 39 57 -32 -25 21 53
C&M FVA & Net CVA / DVA 40 2 -12 -1 37 43 29
OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 47 41 45 -33 12 64 82
O&C OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 9 21 -138 5 30 7 6
ACR OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 56 1 10 -80 103 4 172
Group OCS, FVA & Net CVA/DVA 130 88 -102 -127 145 62 280
Other ACR valuation effects 102 87 56 21 13 -64 -102
Total 232 175 -46 -106 158 -2 178

Commerzbank 4.0 with new segmental structure requires capital neutral goodwill impairments of €627m in Q3 2016

Impairments on goodwill
and other intangible assets
Impairments on goodwill
and other intangible assets
PC C&M: €138m

Goodwill in C&M sees
impairment of €138m due to
Private &
Small
Business
Corporate Clients: €489m

From MSB's goodwill of €633m, €179m are
assigned to small business customers in the new
CEE planned reduction of trading
activities
Customers segment Private & Small Business Customers
while €454m belong to the new segment
Corporate Clients

As a consequence of the goodwill impairment in
C&M, a full goodwill impairment of the €454m has
also been required in the new corporate clients
segment ("inheritance effect")
MSB Corporate
Clients

Furthermore also other intangible assets of €35m
have been impaired leading to an overall
impairment in Corporate Clients of €489m
C&M Exit/Ringfence

Capital markets funding activities (as of 9M 2016)

Funding strategy

  • › Commerzbank uses covered bonds and senior unsecured instruments for funding purposes
  • › Funding via private placements and public transactions
  • › Issuance programs in the Euromarkets (e.g. DIP)
  • › Since 2011 USD Medium-Term Note Program (144a/3a2)
  • › Issuance requirements 2016 well below €10bn

Funding 9M 2016 highlights

  • › Within 9M 2016 Commerzbank issued a total of €6.7bn (in Q3 €3.9bn) with an average term of around nine years
  • › €1.0bn Tier 2 benchmark with maturity of ten years and \$0.4bn Tier 2 of with twelve years maturity
  • › Two senior unsecured benchmarks (incl. mBank €0.5bn)
  • › Three long-dated benchmark Mortgage Pfandbriefe

Capital market funding activities

2) Private Placements

Rating overview Commerzbank

As of 04 November 2016

Bank Ratings
Counterparty Risk Assessment - A2 -
Deposit Rating - A2 stable -
Issuer Credit Rating BBB+ stable Baa1 stable BBB+ stable
Stand-alone (financial strength) bbb+ baa3 bbb+
Short-term debt A-2 P-1 F2
Covered Bond Ratings
Public Sector Pfandbriefe - Aaa AA RWN
Mortgage Pfandbriefe - Aaa AAA stable

Rating actions in Q3 2016

  • › Mortgage Pfandbriefrating:
  • › Fitch: maintained at "AAA"
  • › Public Sector Pfandbriefrating:
  • › Moody´s: confirmed "Aaa"

Commerzbank Group

Q1 Q2 Q3 9M Q4 12M Q1 Q2 Q3 9M % Q3 % Q3
€m 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 vs Q3 vs Q2
Total Revenues 2,794 2,444 2,317 7,555 2,240 9,795 2,323 2,240 2,437 7,000 5.2 8.8
o/w
Total net interest and net trading income
1,986 1,496 1,469 4,951 1,275 6,226 1,344 1,274 1,508 4,126 2.7 18.4
o/w
Net commission income
915 855 825 2,595 829 3,424 821 781 777 2,379 -5.8 -0.5
o/w
Other income
-107 93 23 9 136 145 158 185 152 495 >100 -17.8
Provision for possible loan losses -158 -280 -146 -584 -112 -696 -148 -187 -275 -610 -88.4 -47.1
Operating expenses 1,957 1,737 1,719 5,413 1,744 7,157 1,893 1,702 1,733 5,328 0.8 1.8
o/w
European bank levy
167 2 -4 165 -46 119 156 32 21 208 >100 -34.4
Operating profit 679 427 452 1,558 384 1,942 282 351 429 1,062 -5.1 22.2
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - 627 627 - -
Restructuring expenses 66 - 28 94 20 114 - 40 57 97 >100 42.5
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 613 427 424 1,464 364 1,828 282 311 -255 338 >-100 >-100
Taxes on income 240 91 158 489 140 629 89 58 14 161 -91.1 -75.9
Minority Interests 29 24 31 84 31 115 24 38 19 81 -38.7 -50.0
Consolidated Result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders 344 312 235 891 193 1,084 169 215 -288 96 >-100 >-100
Assets 608,965 564,619 567,817 567,817 532,696 532,696 535,876 532,651 513,444 513,444 -9.6 -3.6
Liabilities 608,965 564,619 567,817 567,817 532,696 532,696 535,876 532,651 513,444 513,444 -9.6 -3.6
Average capital employed 27,436 29,290 29,605 28,777 29,901 29,058 29,746 29,606 29,664 29,672 0.2 0.2
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 176,024 171,399 171,005 171,005 158,617 158,617 154,061 154,692 150,256 150,256 -12.1 -2.9
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 22,471 20,368 20,481 20,481 17,427 17,427 18,286 19,281 20,508 20,508 0.1 6.4
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 23,053 22,655 21,978 21,978 21,398 21,398 22,176 24,327 23,836 23,836 8.5 -2.0
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 221,547 214,422 213,465 213,465 197,442 197,442 194,523 198,300 194,601 194,601 -8.8 -1.9
Cost/income ratio (%) 70.0% 71.1% 74.2% 71.6% 77.9% 73.1% 81.5% 76.0% 71.1% 76.1% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 9.9% 5.8% 6.1% 7.2% 5.1% 6.7% 3.8% 4.7% 5.8% 4.8% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 11.1% 6.5% 6.8% 8.1% 5.7% 7.5% 4.3% 5.3% 6.4% 5.3% - -
Return on equity of net result (%) 5.2% 4.4% 3.3% 4.3% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 3.0% -4.0% 0.4% - -
Net return on tangible equity (%) 5.8% 4.9% 3.7% 4.8% 3.0% 4.3% 2.6% 3.4% -4.5% 0.5% - -

Private Customers

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
9M
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
9M
2016
% Q3
vs Q3
% Q3
vs Q2
Total Revenues 935 940 995 2,870 906 3,776 944 925 954 2,823 -4.1 3.1
o/w
Net interest income
439 477 553 1,469 460 1,929 475 430 433 1,338 -21.7 0.7
o/w
Net trading income
- 1 - 1 5 6 -1 - 1 - - >100
o/w
Net commission income
473 441 439 1,353 414 1,767 427 415 426 1,268 -3.0 2.7
o/w
Other income
23 21 3 47 27 74 43 80 94 217 >100 17.5
Provision for possible loan losses -14 -24 -13 -51 24 -27 -9 -2 - -11 100.0 100.0
Operating expenses 764 746 754 2,264 784 3,048 744 743 745 2,232 -1.2 0.3
o/w
European bank levy
16 - - 16 -4 12 16 1 - 16 -100.0 -100.0
Operating profit 157 170 228 555 146 701 191 180 209 580 -8.3 16.1
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 157 170 228 555 146 701 191 180 209 580 -8.3 16.1
Assets 76,303 78,239 79,618 79,618 80,744 80,744 81,949 84,224 85,161 85,161 7.0 1.1
Liabilities 100,747 102,613 102,599 102,599 104,745 104,745 105,124 107,189 106,601 106,601 3.9 -0.5
Average capital employed 3,121 2,924 2,908 2,984 2,890 2,961 2,526 2,303 2,340 2,390 -19.5 1.6
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 18,879 19,008 18,862 18,862 15,520 15,520 14,957 14,637 14,623 14,623 -22.5 -0.1
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 728 798 744 744 876 876 1,011 971 653 653 -12.2 -32.8
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 6,899 6,604 6,643 6,643 6,755 6,755 5,276 5,815 5,494 5,494 -17.3 -5.5
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 26,505 26,410 26,248 26,248 23,151 23,151 21,244 21,423 20,769 20,769 -20.9 -3.0
Cost/income ratio (%) 81.7% 79.4% 75.8% 78.9% 86.5% 80.7% 78.8% 80.3% 78.1% 79.1% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 20.1% 23.3% 31.4% 24.8% 20.2% 23.7% 30.2% 31.3% 35.7% 32.4% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 19.6% 22.7% 30.2% 24.1% 19.4% 22.9% 29.2% 29.5% 34.2% 30.9% - -

Mittelstandsbank

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
9M
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
9M
2016
% Q3
vs Q3
% Q3
vs Q2
Total Revenues 808 755 652 2,215 705 2,920 703 689 699 2,091 7.2 1.5
o/w
Net interest income
490 473 456 1,419 448 1,867 435 463 445 1,343 -2.4 -3.9
o/w
Net trading income
26 41 -18 49 -14 35 -1 -17 21 3 >100 >100
o/w
Net commission income
292 262 266 820 273 1,093 262 241 224 727 -15.8 -7.1
o/w
Other income
- -21 -52 -73 -2 -75 7 2 9 18 >100 >100
Provision for possible loan losses -24 -55 -31 -110 -77 -187 -53 -93 -67 -213 >-100 28.0
Operating expenses 419 386 390 1,195 407 1,602 444 391 403 1,238 3.3 3.1
o/w
European bank levy
48 - - 48 -10 38 53 2 - 55 -14.1 -92.9
Operating profit 365 314 231 910 221 1,131 206 205 229 640 -0.9 11.7
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 365 314 231 910 221 1,131 206 205 229 640 -0.9 11.7
Assets 100,997 98,408 101,078 101,078 97,202 97,202 96,332 97,183 91,975 91,975 -9.0 -5.4
Liabilities 142,696 143,732 148,203 148,203 150,541 150,541 144,780 128,040 131,956 131,956 -11.0 3.1
Average capital employed 8,460 8,335 8,334 8,376 8,427 8,389 8,118 7,932 7,862 7,971 -5.7 -0.9
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 72,789 70,228 70,933 70,933 69,567 69,567 66,128 66,877 64,025 64,025 -9.7 -4.3
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 1,206 1,169 1,008 1,008 1,319 1,319 1,406 1,394 1,269 1,269 25.8 -9.0
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 3,845 3,495 3,174 3,174 3,096 3,096 4,784 4,989 4,837 4,837 52.4 -3.0
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 77,840 74,892 75,115 75,115 73,981 73,981 72,319 73,260 70,130 70,130 -6.6 -4.3
Cost/income ratio (%) 51.9% 51.1% 59.8% 54.0% 57.7% 54.9% 63.2% 56.7% 57.7% 59.2% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 17.3% 15.1% 11.1% 14.5% 10.5% 13.5% 10.2% 10.3% 11.7% 10.7% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 16.6% 14.4% 10.6% 13.9% 10.0% 12.9% 9.6% 9.8% 11.0% 10.1% - -

Central & Eastern Europe

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
9M
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
9M
2016
% Q3
vs Q3
% Q3
vs Q2
Total Revenues 253 206 228 687 251 938 220 272 228 720 0.0 -16.2
o/w
Net interest income
134 132 143 409 153 562 150 146 156 452 9.1 6.8
o/w
Net trading income
20 15 25 60 10 70 15 13 15 43 -40.0 15.4
o/w
Net commission income
47 56 56 159 56 215 49 48 55 152 -1.8 14.6
o/w
Other income
52 3 4 59 32 91 6 65 2 73 -50.0 -96.9
Provision for possible loan losses -23 -24 -28 -75 -22 -97 -13 -29 -32 -74 -14.3 -10.3
Operating expenses 142 113 103 358 150 508 130 134 139 403 35.0 3.7
o/w
European bank levy (including Polish banking tax)
5 - -4 1 - 1 13 20 21 54 >100 1.7
Operating profit 88 69 97 254 79 333 77 109 57 243 -41.2 -47.7
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 88 69 97 254 79 333 77 109 57 243 -41.2 -47.7
Assets 30,158 28,904 29,735 29,735 29,034 29,034 29,023 29,076 29,997 29,997 0.9 3.2
Liabilities 25,319 23,933 25,364 25,364 24,923 24,923 24,815 24,806 25,789 25,789 1.7 4.0
Average capital employed 1,618 1,713 1,744 1,691 1,723 1,699 1,645 1,656 1,689 1,664 -3.1 2.0
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 14,391 14,411 14,228 14,228 13,630 13,630 13,671 13,615 13,479 13,479 -5.3 -1.0
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 558 483 492 492 584 584 369 415 509 509 3.6 22.7
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 760 781 830 830 796 796 1,146 1,158 1,510 1,510 81.9 30.4
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 15,709 15,675 15,550 15,550 15,010 15,010 15,186 15,188 15,498 15,498 -0.3 2.0
Cost/income ratio (%) 56.1% 54.9% 45.2% 52.1% 59.8% 54.2% 59.1% 49.3% 61.0% 56.0% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 21.8% 16.1% 22.3% 20.0% 18.3% 19.6% 18.7% 26.3% 13.5% 19.5% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 21.7% 16.0% 22.2% 20.0% 18.4% 19.6% 18.8% 26.3% 13.2% 19.3% - -

Corporates & Markets

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
9M
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
9M
2016
% Q3
vs Q3
% Q3
vs Q2
Total Revenues 680 541 426 1,647 397 2,044 475 438 455 1,368 6.8 3.9
o/w
Total net interest and net trading income
584 417 357 1,358 235 1,593 341 344 357 1,042 - 3.8
o/w
Net commission income
103 99 68 270 97 367 91 83 78 252 14.7 -6.0
o/w
Other income
-7 25 1 19 65 84 43 11 20 74 >100 81.8
Provision for possible loan losses 47 -11 -11 25 11 36 -5 12 -29 -22 >-100 >-100
Operating expenses 430 354 345 1,129 370 1,499 388 331 322 1,041 -6.7 -2.7
o/w
European bank levy
65 2 - 67 -30 37 32 1 - 33 -62.5 -99.3
Operating profit 297 176 70 543 38 581 82 119 104 305 48.6 -12.6
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - 138 138 - -
Restructuring expenses 50 - 7 57 - 57 - 12 10 22 42.9 -16.7
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit 247 176 63 486 38 524 82 107 -44 145 >-100 >-100
Assets 225,917 182,966 192,699 192,699 163,279 163,279 164,624 168,279 139,257 139,257 -27.7 -17.2
Liabilities 197,293 158,773 164,368 164,368 127,116 127,116 131,581 138,702 112,584 112,584 -31.5 -18.8
Average capital employed 4,069 4,330 4,101 4,167 3,945 4,111 3,654 3,815 3,864 3,778 -5.8 1.3
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 21,524 21,021 21,157 21,157 19,797 19,797 20,024 19,653 18,324 18,324 -13.4 -6.8
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 11,920 11,585 10,997 10,997 8,634 8,634 9,049 9,897 10,402 10,402 -5.4 5.1
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 5,717 5,602 5,201 5,201 4,691 4,691 5,392 6,511 6,369 6,369 22.5 -2.2
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 39,161 38,208 37,355 37,355 33,122 33,122 34,465 36,061 35,096 35,096 -6.0 -2.7
Cost/income ratio (%) 63.2% 65.4% 81.0% 68.5% 93.2% 73.3% 81.7% 75.6% 70.8% 76.1% - -
Operating return on equity (%) 29.2% 16.3% 6.8% 17.4% 3.9% 14.1% 9.0% 12.5% 10.8% 10.8% - -
Operating return on tangible equity (%) 23.5% 13.4% 5.6% 14.1% 3.2% 11.6% 7.4% 10.7% 9.3% 9.1% - -

Asset & Capital Recovery

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
9M
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
9M
2016
% Q3
vs Q3
% Q3
vs Q2
Total Revenues -19 -76 157 62 14 76 -18 -24 72 30 -54.1 >100
o/w
Net interest income
110 39 -17 132 5 137 3 -49 60 14 >100 >100
o/w
Net trading income
47 -100 139 86 8 94 -30 24 37 31 -73.4 54.2
o/w
Net commission income
6 6 2 14 3 17 - 1 1 2 -50.0 -
o/w
Other income
-182 -21 33 -170 -2 -172 9 - -26 -17 >-100 >-100
Provision for possible loan losses -109 -140 -62 -311 -50 -361 -70 -75 -147 -292 >-100 -96.0
Operating expenses 60 47 43 150 31 181 31 33 33 97 -23.3 -
o/w
European bank levy
9 - - 9 -1 8 5 1 - 6 -100.0 -100.0
Operating profit -188 -263 52 -399 -67 -466 -119 -132 -108 -359 >-100 18.2
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Restructuring expenses 16 - - 16 - 16 - - - - - -
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit -204 -263 52 -415 -67 -482 -119 -132 -108 -359 >-100 18.2
Assets 27,425 24,581 23,776 23,776 22,604 22,604 24,128 30,429 30,875 30,875 29.9 1.5
Liabilities 14,970 14,210 12,941 12,941 14,951 14,951 15,186 22,677 22,465 22,465 73.6 -0.9
Average capital employed 4,720 4,516 3,839 4,359 3,652 4,182 3,280 3,470 3,287 3,346 -14.4 -5.3
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 25,045 22,229 19,475 19,475 16,483 16,483 16,947 17,077 14,217 14,217 -27.0 -16.7
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 4,095 3,142 3,677 3,677 2,965 2,965 3,007 3,150 4,471 4,471 21.6 41.9
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 1,950 2,066 2,091 2,091 2,167 2,167 2,468 3,021 2,856 2,856 36.6 -5.5
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 31,090 27,438 25,243 25,243 21,615 21,615 22,422 23,249 21,544 21,544 -14.7 -7.3

Others & Consolidation

€m Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
9M
2015
Q4
2015
12M
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
9M
2016
% Q3
vs Q3
% Q3
vs Q2
Total Revenues 137 78 -141 74 -33 41 -1 -60 29 -32 >100 >100
o/w
Total net interest and net trading income
136 1 -169 -32 -35 -67 -43 -80 -17 -140 89.9 78.7
o/w
Net commission income
-6 -9 -6 -21 -14 -35 -8 -7 -7 -22 -16.7 -
o/w
Other income
7 86 34 127 16 143 50 27 53 130 55.9 96.3
Provision for possible loan losses -35 -26 -1 -62 2 -60 2 - - 2 100.0 >-100
Operating expenses 142 91 84 317 2 319 156 70 91 317 8.3 30.0
o/w
European bank levy
25 - - 25 -1 24 38 6 - 44 >-100 >-100
Operating profit -40 -39 -226 -305 -33 -338 -155 -130 -62 -347 72.6 52.3
Impairments on goodw
ill and other intangible assets
- - - - - - - - 489 489 - -
Restructuring expenses - - 21 21 20 41 - 28 47 75 >100 67.9
Net gain or loss from sale of disposal groups - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-tax profit -40 -39 -247 -326 -53 -379 -155 -158 -598 -911 >-100 >-100
Assets 148,165 151,521 140,911 140,911 139,833 139,833 139,820 123,460 136,179 136,179 -3.4 10.3
Liabilities 127,941 121,358 114,342 114,342 110,420 110,420 114,390 111,237 114,050 114,050 -0.3 2.5
Average capital employed 5,447 7,472 8,679 7,199 9,264 7,716 10,522 10,430 10,622 10,525 22.4 1.8
RWA credit risk fully phased in (end of period) 23,395 24,501 26,350 26,350 23,620 23,620 22,335 22,832 25,589 25,589 -2.9 12.1
RWA market risk fully phased in (end of period) 3,965 3,190 3,564 3,564 3,049 3,049 3,445 3,454 3,205 3,205 -10.1 -7.2
RWA operational risk fully phased in (end of period) 3,882 4,107 4,039 4,039 3,893 3,893 3,110 2,833 2,769 2,769 -31.4 -2.2
RWA fully phased in (end of period) 31,242 31,799 33,953 33,953 30,562 30,562 28,889 29,119 31,563 31,563 -7.0 8.4

Group equity composition

Capital
Q2 2016
End of period
€bn
Capital
Q3 2016
End of period
€bn
Capital
Q3 2016
Average
€bn
Ratios
Q3 2016
%
Ratios
Q3 2016
%
Common equity tier 1 B3 capital (phase in) 26.3 26.5 CET1 ratio phase-in: 13.6%
Transition adjustments 3.5 3.5 1)
Common equity tier 1 B3 capital (fully phased-in) 22.8 23.0 23.0 Op. RoCET: 7.5% CET1 ratio fully phased-in: 11.8%
DTA 0.9 1.1
Deductions on securitizations 0.3 0.3
Deductions related to non-controlling interests 0.4 0.4
IRB shortfall 0.8 0.8
Other regulatory adjustments 1.1 1.3
Tangible equity 26.3 26.8 26.6 Op. RoTE: 6.4%
Goodwill and other intangible assets 3.2 2.6 3.1 Pre-tax RoE: -3.4%
IFRS capital 29.5 29.4 29.7 Op. RoE: 5.8%
Subscribed capital 1.3 1.3
Capital reserve 17.2 17.2
Retained earnings 10.9 10.9 2)
Currency translation reserve -0.2 -0.1
Revaluation reserve -0.9 -0.8
Cash flow hedges -0.1 -0.1
Consolidated P&L 0.4 0.1
IFRS capital without non-controlling interests 28.5 28.4 28.6 RoE on net result: -4.0%
Non-controlling interests (IFRS) 1.0 1.0 1.1 RoTE on net result: -4.5%

Include mainly AT1 positions and phase-in impacts 2) Excluding consolidated P&L

1)

Glossary - Capital Allocation / RoE, RoTE & RoCET1 Calculation


Amount of average capital allocated to business segments is calculated by multiplying the segments current
YTD average Basel 3 RWA (fully phased-in) (PC €21.7bn, MSB €72.5bn, CEE €15.1bn, C&M €34.3bn, O&C
€29.3bn, ACR €22.3bn) by a ratio of 11% and 15% for ACR respectively -
reflecting current regulatory and
market standard –
figures for 2015 have been restated
Capital
Excess capital reconciling to Group CET1 Basel 3 fully phased-in is allocated to Others & Consolidation
Allocation
Capital allocation is disclosed in the business segment reporting of Commerzbank Group

For the purposes of calculating the segmental RoTE, average regulatory capital deductions Basel 3 fully
phased-in (excluding Goodwill and other intangibles) are allocated to the business segments additionally (PC
€0.1bn, MSB €0.4bn, C&M €0.7bn, O&C €2.5bn, ACR €0.4bn)

RoE
is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital on Group level and on an average level of 11%
(and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs Basel 3 fully phased-in on segmental level
RoE, RoTE
& RoCET1

RoTE
is calculated on an average level of IFRS capital after deduction of goodwill and other intangible assets
on Group level and on an average level of 11% (and 15% for ACR respectively) of the RWAs Basel 3 fully
phased-in after addition of capital deductions Basel 3 fully phased-in (excluding goodwill and other intangible
assets) on segmental level
Calculation
RoTE
calculation represents the current market standard

RoCET1 is calculated on average B3 CET1 capital fully phased-in

For more information, please contact Commerzbank's IR team

IR contact

Christoph Wortig (Head of IR Communications) P: +49 69 136 52668 M: [email protected]

Institutional Investors and Financial Analysts Retail Investors
Michael H. Klein Florian Neumann
P: +49 69 136 24522 P: +49 69 136 41367
M: [email protected] M: [email protected]
Fabian Brügmann Simone Nuxoll
P: +49 69 136 28696 P: +49 69 136 45660
M: [email protected] M: [email protected]
Dirk Bartsch
(Head of Strategic IR / Rating Agency Relations)
P: +49 69 136 22799 [email protected]
M: [email protected] www.ir.commerzbank.com

Financial calendar

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include, inter alia, statements about Commerzbank's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates, projections and targets as they are currently available to the management of Commerzbank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and Commerzbank undertakes no obligation to update any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, among others, the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which Commerzbank derives a substantial portion of its revenues and in which it hold a substantial portion of its assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of its strategic initiatives and the reliability of its risk management policies.

In addition, this presentation contains financial and other information which has been derived from publicly available information disclosed by persons other than Commerzbank ("external data"). In particular, external data has been derived from industry and customer-related data and other calculations taken or derived from industry reports published by third parties, market research reports and commercial publications. Commercial publications generally state that the information they contain has originated from sources assumed to be reliable, but that the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed and that the calculations contained therein are based on a series of assumptions. The external data has not been independently verified by Commerzbank. Therefore, Commerzbank cannot assume any responsibility for the accuracy of the external data taken or derived from public sources.

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