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Commerzbank AG Earnings Release 2014

Nov 6, 2014

81_ip_2014-11-06_4e468de5-0d07-4c49-8333-f6959c4d4ca2.pdf

Earnings Release

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Growing loan volumes in Core Bank –CET1 fully phased-in at 9.6%

Analyst conference – Q3 2014 results

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 2014

Commerzbank passed ECB Comprehensive Assessment with 8.0% Basel III CET1 phase-in

Key Financial Facts Q3 2014

Increased Group operating result of €343m in Q3 leads to €924m for 9M 2014 exceeding 9M 2013 by 44% – Group net result of €225m in Q3 sums up to €525m after 9M 2014

Sound core bank operating result of €593m with slight revenue increase q-o-q despite summer season – further loan growth in PC (+2%) and MSB (+2%) compared to Q2 2014

NCA with continued asset run-down in Q3 2014 - Exposure at Default at €36bn for Commercial Real Estate and Ship Finance1)

LLP of €341m in line with our expectation – costs again managed flat at €1.7bn

Further strengthening of capital – CET1 fully phased in at 9.6%2) compared to 9.4% as of Q2 2014

1) Deutsche Schiffsbank 2) Includes net profit of YTD Sep 2014

Key financial figures at a glance

Increased Group operating result in Q3 2014

Q3 2014 vs. Q2 2014

  • Group operating result increased by 5% q-o-q when excluding the CRE portfolio sales in Q2 2014
  • Revenues, LLPs and costs reflect overall stable business mix
  • Normalised tax rate of 27% leads to net result of €225m

1) Consolidated result attributable to Commerzbank shareholders

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 20145

Total costs again managed flat at €1.7bn

  • ►Slight increase of personnel expenses predominantly due to collectively agreed salary increases
  • ►Operating expenses in general still affected by regulatory requirements

LLPs of €341m in line with our expectation

  • Core Bank LLPs benefit from very low MSB figure
  • ►LLPs in NCA at expected level after releases of €112m in Q2 2014 due to the CRE portfolio sales
  • All in all significantly lower LLPs after 9M 2014 compared to 2013

Core Bank: Sound operating result with increased revenues despite summer season

  • ▲Slight revenue increase despite summer season
  • ▲ Sum of NII and NDI as well as NCI with increase of overall 6.1% y-o-y underlining the strategic progress in the Core Bank divisions despite the persisting low interest rate environment
  • ▲Others & Consolidation with €-142m compared to €-211m in Q2 benefits from good Treasury result and positive one-offs

Private Customers: Operating result on track – strategy is paying off

  • ▲Increased net commission income in recurring revenue streams from premium and managed accounts
  • ▲Further loan volume growth of 2% q-o-q
  • ▲77k net new customers in Q3 2014 lead to nearly 215k after 9M 2014

PC divisional split

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Mittelstandsbank: Good operating result benefits from low LLPs –further growth in loan volumes

  • ▲ Higher NII from loans compensates for the ongoing pressure on deposit revenues as well as for the negative valuation effects of counterparty risks in derivative business accounting for a negative swing of €19m q-o-q
  • ▲ Growth of loan volume by 10% y-o-y and 2% q-o-q – again increase with corporates in Germany above market development
  • ▲Very low LLP level of €36m in Q3 2014

MSB divisional split

Financial Institutions – Revenues before LLP €m

  • Stable revenues from direct customer business
  • Declining positive valuation effects from counterparty risks in derivative business

Central & Eastern Europe: Growth story in mBank continues

  • ▲ Operating result is driven by higher revenues, which are again on record level, despite pressure on commission income from regulatory reduction of interchange fees in Q3 2014
  • ▲Positive trend of growing NII due to continuously growing loan volume
  • ▲Partnership with AXA and cooperation with Orange Polska provide new strategic benefits in the future

Corporates & Markets: Strong third quarter with good performance in FIC and Corporate Finance

  • Improved performance in FIC driven by increased volatility and volumes as FX and IR markets benefit from variances across global monetary policies
  • ▲Robust performance in Corporate Finance supported by healthy pipeline
  • ►EMC solid, with natural seasonality

1)Net of hedges. 2) Excl. OCS effect and net CVA/DVA (net of hedges)

Corporates & Markets divisional split

FIC – Revenues before LLPs (excl. OCS effect, CVA/DVA1))

€m

  • Significantly improved revenue levels in Interest Rates and FX products driven by increasing market volatility
  • Continued solid performance in credit products

  • Loan income from Multi-National Corporates remains stable
  • ► Expected decline in contributions in run-down portfolios of Structured Credit Legacy continued

1) Net of hedges.

Core Bank: LLPs in Q3 benefit from low LLPs in Mittelstandsbank

  • Risk density in Core Bank further improved in almost all segments
  • Default portfolio slightly reduced in Q3 2014 high coverage and low NPL ratio maintained
  • Very low LLP level especially in MSB

Default volume and coverage

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 2014

NCA: Portfolio run-down continues – development as expected

  • ►Operating result of €-250m due to lower revenues and higher LLPs
  • ►Revenue stream affected by further asset run-down and volatility of valuation effects

NCA: Further EaD run-down of €4bn – LLPs increased to expected level after release of €112m in Q2 2014 due to CRE portfolio sales

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding 1) Deutsche Schiffsbank 2) As % of EaD

  • LLPs at expected level in Ship Finance1) as well as in CRE
  • EaD run-down of €4bn driven by CRE and further transfer of highly liquid Public Finance assets to Treasury of €2.8bn – Ship Finance1) run down of €0.8bn fully offset by USD-FX effects
  • Default portfolio reduced by €0.4bn with slightly improved coverage and lower NPL ratio

NCA: Focus risk cluster with reduction of 58% in EaD since Q3 2012

Common Equity Tier 1 ratio fully phased-in increased to 9.6%

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 2014

Leverage ratio further improved

Total assets

€bn

Leverage ratio after stricter revised CRD4/CRR rules1) as of Q3 2014 %

1)Leverage ratio according to revised CRD4/CRR rules published 10 October 2014 implementing final Basel rules from January 2014 2) Includes net profit of YTD Sep 2014

Outlook 2014

1)Deutsche Schiffsbank

Appendix

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 201423

German economy 2014/2015 – Economy defies politics (as yet)

Current development

  • › German economy has taken a breather. Real GDP slightly fell in Q2 and probably at most stagnated in Q3.
  • › The downtick in Q2 is mainly due to a special effect (mild winter pumping up construction in Q1, correction in Q2), but world economy has lost steam, too.
  • ›Labour market has improved further.
  • › Government is about to reregulate the economy which will push up labour costs significantly.

DAX

(average p.a.)

Our expectation for 2014/2015

  • › Despite the set-back in mid-2014 we expect the recovery to continue.
  • › The expansionary monetary policy will continue to mask the dampening impetus from politics. We are looking for a growth rate of 1.3% in 2014 and 2015, which will still be above EMU average.
  • › Underlying inflation will rise slowly. We expect inflation to average 1.0% in 2014 and at 1.7% in 2015.

2012 2013

0.57

2014e

0.22

2015e

0.19

0.05

Euribor

2011

in % (average p.a.)

1.39

Reasons for outperformance

  • ›No bubble in the housing market.
  • › Low level of private sector debt translating to low refinancing cost.
  • ›Less need for fiscal consolidation.
  • › Improved competitiveness since start of EMU; however, the advantage is about to decline due to cyclical and political reasons.
  • › Strong position in Asian markets and Emerging Markets in general.

GDP

(Change vs previous year in %)

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 2014

24

Hedging & Valuation Adjustments


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3.
7

1) Deutsche Schiffsbank

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 2014

Default Portfolio (30 September 2014)

1
Gr
ou
p
9
0
%
/
9
6
%
1
2,
4
2
0
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2
7
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Commerzbank financials at a glance

G
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3
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1
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1

1)Attributable to Commerzbank shareholders 2) Includes net profit of YTD September 2014

Stephan Engels | CFO | Frankfurt | 06 November 201431

Commerzbank Group

in

m
Q
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in

m
Q
1
2
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1
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2
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1
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3
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1
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4
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1
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1
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To
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ve
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2,
28
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25
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22
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To
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4
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5
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5
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(
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71
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Op
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Re
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- -

Private Customers

in

m
Q
1
2
0
1
3
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2
2
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1
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3
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To
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85
8
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To
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43
1
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inc
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42
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Pro
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Op
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75
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6
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1
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2
Imp
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a
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on
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- - - - - - - - -
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ex
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- - - - - - - - -
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in
los
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f
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t g
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m
sa
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ro
6
9
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Mittelstandsbank

in

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Op
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Central & Eastern Europe

in

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Op
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Corporates & Markets

in

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Re
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Non-Core Assets

in

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(
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Re
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Others & Consolidation

in

m
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Re
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str
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uc
ex
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49
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in
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Pr
f
it
tax
e-
p
ro
-6
8
4
-1
1
6
-1
6
5
-9
5
-2
6
9
-2
1
1
-1
4
2
1
3.
9
3
2.7
Av
ita
l e
loy
d
era
g
e c
ap
mp
e
1,
6
0
9
2,
05
3
2,
9
11
3,
28
6
2,
6
18
2,
3
0
6
3,
43
8
18
.1
49
.1
(
)
R
W
A
En
d o
f
Pe
io
d
r
12
0
37
,
12
8
87
,
12
13
4
,
10
6
9
3
,
20
6
3
4
,
16
67
2
,
22
16
5
,
8
2.7
3
3.
0
Co
/
inc
io
(
%
)
st
at
om
e r
/a
n
/a
n
/a
n
/a
n
/a
n
/a
n
/a
n
- -

Group equity composition

C
i
l
ta
a
p
Q
2
2
0
1
4
C
i
l
ta
a
p
Q
3
2
0
1
4
C
i
l
ta
a
p
S
Y
T
D
2
0
1
4
e
p
En
d
f
o
En
d
f
o
Av
e
ra
g
e

b
n
Pe
io
d
r
1)
Pe
io
d
r
S
b
i
b
d
i
l
ta
u
s
c
r
e
c
a
p
1.
1
1.
1
C
i
l r
ta
a
p
e
s
e
rve
1
9
5.
1
9
5.
Re
in
d
in
ta
e
e
a
rn
g
s
1
0.
4
1
0.
3
C
la
io
tra
t
rre
nc
ns
n
re
s
e
rve
u
y
-0
1
-0
0
Re
lu
io
t
va
a
n
re
s
e
rve
-1
0
-0
9
C
f
h
lo
he
d
a
s
w
g
e
s
-0
3
-0
3
C
l
i
d
d
P
&
L
te
o
ns
o
a
0.
3
0.
5
S
I
F
R
i
l w
i
h
l
l
i
i
t
t
t
t
t
t
c
a
p
a
o
u
n
o
n-
c
o
n
r
o
n
g
n
e
r
e
s
s
2
6.
4
2
6.
7
2
6.
3
Ba
is
fo
Ro
E
l
t r
t
s
r
on
n
e
es
u
No
l
l
in
in
(
I
F
R
S
)
tro
te
ts
n-
c
o
n
g
re
s
0.
9
0.
9
0.
9
I
F
R
S
i
l
t
c
a
p
a
2
3
7.
2
6
7.
2
3
7.
Ba
is
fo
in
Ro
E
d
Ro
E
t
-ta
s
r o
p
er
a
g
an
p
re
x
G
dw
i
l
l a
d
in
i
b
le
ta
o
o
n
ng
s
-3
0
-3
0
D
T
A
-1
5
-1
2
De
du
io
i
iz
io
t
t
t
c
ns
o
n
s
e
cu
r
a
ns
-0
3
-0
4
De
du
io
la
d
l
l
in
in
t
te
to
tro
te
ts
c
ns
re
n
o
n-
c
o
n
g
re
s
-0
6
-0
6
Inv
in
f
in
ia
l e
i
ie
d
ha
tm
ts
t
t
e
s
e
n
a
nc
n
s
a
n
ow
n
s
re
s
-0
1
-0
1
O
he
la
d
j
2)
t
to
tm
ts
r r
e
g
u
ry
a
u
s
e
n
-1
4
-1
7
C
i
i
B
i
l
(
fu
l
ly
h
d-
i
)
ty
t
1
3
t
o
m
m
o
n
e
q
u
e
r
c
a
p
a
p
a
s
e
n
2
0.
4
2
0.
7
Ba
is
fo
C
E
T
1
s
r
B
3
fu
l
ly
ha
d-
in
io
t
p
se
ra
Tr
i
io
d
j
t
tm
ts
a
ns
n
a
s
e
n
u
4.
9
4.
9
C
(
)
i
i
1
i
l
h
i
ty
t
t
o
m
m
o
n
e
q
u
e
r
c
a
p
a
p
a
s
e
n
2
5.
3
2
5.
5
fo
C
Ba
is
E
T
1
s
r
B
3
ha
-in
io
t
p
se
ra

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding 1) Includes net profit of YTD Sep 2014 2) Include mainly capital deductions e.g. for shortfall and prudent valuation

Glossary - Capital Allocation / RoE Calculation

C
i
l
A
l
l
i
t
t
a
p
a
o
c
a
o
n
f a
Am
i
l a
l
lo
d
bu
in
is
lcu
la
d
by
l
ip
ly
in
he
t o
ta
te
to
ts
te
t
t
ts
t

ou
n
ve
ra
g
e
ca
p
ca
s
es
s
se
g
m
en
ca
m
u
g
s
eg
m
en
c
ur
re
n
(
C
S
C
C
O
C
C
Y
T
D
Ba
l
3
R
W
A
P

2
8.
bn
M
B

6
4.
3
bn
E
E

1
3.
4
bn
&
M

3
6
bn
&

1
9.
bn
N
A
7
7.
7
av
er
ag
e
se
,
,
,
,
,

4.
6
bn
)
by
io
f
9
%
5
t
a
ra
o
In
d
d
i
io
la
i
l
de
du
io
l
lo
d
i
bu
b
le
bu
in
h
ic
h
l
in
t
to
ta
t
te
t
tr
ta
to
ts
ts

a
n
av
er
ag
e
re
g
ry
c
ap
c
ns
a
re
a
ca
a
s
es
s
se
g
m
en
re
su
u
w
in
d
i
l p
(
P
C

bn
M
S
B

bn
C
E
E

bn
C
&
M

bn
O
&
C

bn
1.
4
1.
0
0.
4
0.
9
0.
1
ta
t
cr
ea
se
av
er
ag
e
ca
p
er
s
eg
m
en
,
,
,
,
,
C
)
N
A

0.
4
bn
O
C
Ex
i
l
is
l
lo
d
he
&
l
i
da
io
ta
te
to
t
t

ce
ss
c
ap
a
ca
rs
on
so
n
Re
l
lo
io
f

1.
bn
E
B
A
C
i
l
Bu
f
fe
ba
k
(
O
&
C
) -
io
ly
l a
f

4
bn
ig
d
t
5
ta
to
to
ta
t o
to

a
ca
n
o
ap
r
c
or
e
n
p
re
us
m
ou
n
as
a
ss
ne
v
w
N
C
A
C
i
l a
l
lo
io
is
d
isc
lo
d
in
he
bu
in
in
f
C
ba
k
G
ta
t
t
t r
t

ap
ca
n
se
s
es
s
se
g
m
en
ep
or
g
o
om
m
er
z
n
ro
up
C
i
R
E
l
l
t
o
a
c
a
o
n
u
S
Ro
E
is
lc
la
d
lev
l o
f
I
F
R
i
l
te
ta

ca
u
on
a
n
av
er
ag
e
e
ca
p
C
lc
la
io
he
ke
da
d
f
lo
l a
d
in
io
l
f
in
ia
l
in
i
t
ts
t
t m
t s
ta
te
t
t
tu
te

a
n
re
p
re
se
n
c
ur
re
n
ar
n
r
o
ca
n
rn
a
na
an
c
s
s
u

For more information, please contact Commerzbank's IR team:

Tanja Birkholz (Head of Investor Relations / Executive Management Board Member)P: +49 69 136 23854M: [email protected]

Christoph Wortig (Head of IR Communications)P: +49 69 136 52668

M: [email protected]

Institutional Investors and Financial Analysts

Michael H. KleinP: +49 69 136 24522M: [email protected]

Maximilian BickerP: +49 69 136 28696M: [email protected]

Retail Investors

Florian Neumann P: +49 69 136 41367M: [email protected]

Ute Heiserer-Jäckel P: +49 69 136 41874M: [email protected]

Simone Nuxoll P: +49 69 136 45660M: [email protected]

Dirk Bartsch (Head of Strategic IR / Rating Agency Relations)P: +49 69 136 22799 M: [email protected]

[email protected]

Disclaimer

Investor Relations

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