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COMET RIDGE LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2019
Sep 12, 2019
64686_rns_2019-09-12_ed934f7e-427e-46b2-87d0-065393dd01cb.pdf
Investor Presentation
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ASX Code : COI
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www.cometridge.com.au Tony Ford, RePL operator for TonyFordGeoConPL
Important Notice and Disclaimer
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Disclaimer
This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Comet Ridge Limited (ABN 47 106 092 577) (Comet Ridge). The Presentation and information contained in it is being provided to shareholders and investors for information purposes only. Shareholders and investors should undertake their own evaluation of this information and otherwise contact their professional advisers in the event they wish to buy or sell shares. To the extent the information contains any projections, Comet Ridge has provided these projections based upon the information that has been provided to Comet Ridge. None of Comet Ridge or its directors, officers or employees make any representations (express or implied) as to the accuracy or otherwise of any information or opinions in the Presentation and (to the maximum extent permitted by law) no liability or responsibility is accepted by such persons.
Summary information
This Presentation contains summary information about Comet Ridge and its subsidiaries and their activities current as at the date of this Presentation. The information in this Presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with Comet Ridge’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), which are available at www.asx.com.au.
ASX Releases
Investors are advised that by their nature as visual aids, presentations provide information in a summary form. The key information on detailed Resource statements can be found in Comet Ridge’s ASX releases. Resource statements are provided to comply with ASX guidelines but investors are urged to read supporting information in full on the website.
Past performance
Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance
This Presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. Forward looking words such as, “expect”, “should”, “could ”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Such forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are not guarantees of future performance.
Forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. This presentation contains such statements that are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge, and may involve significant elements of subjective judgement and assumptions as to future events which may or may not be correct. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Such forward-looking statements are relevant at the date of this Presentation and Comet Ridge assumes no obligation to update such information.
Investment risk
An investment in Comet Ridge shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge. Comet Ridge does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Comet Ridge. Persons should have regard to the risks outlined in this Presentation.
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
2
Comet Ridge - Corporate Overview
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12 Month Share Price Performance
Ca ital Structure – ASX:COI p
Share price (12 September 2019 close) $0.26
Shares on issue 727.9m
Performance rights 5.5m Market capitalisation $189m Cash (30 June 2019) $13.0m
Directors
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- 30 years in business (commerce/law background)
James McKay
- Non-Exec Chairman • Considerable public company experience including Sunshine Gas
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Petroleum engineer 30+ years oil & gas
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Tor McCaul • Previously Head of Commercial for Cairn Managing Director plc in India & LNG Contract Manager for VICO (Bontang)
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- 30+ years in Finance & Resources
Gillian Swaby
- Gillian Swaby • Former Chair of WA Council of Non-Exec Director Chartered Sec.
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Geologist with 12 years in oil & gas
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Chris Pieters • Previously Chief Commercial Officer, Executive Director Sunshine Gas
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35+ years upstream oil & gas
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Martin Riley • Influential in commercial inception and Non-Exec Director development of CSG industry in QLD with Origin Energy
Share Price and Volume Last 12 months to 10 September 2019
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0.45 6,000
0.40
5,000
0.35
0.30 4,000
0.25
3,000
0.20
0.15 2,000
0.10
1,000
0.05
0.00 0
SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG
Price - $A
Volume - '000
Share
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Share Registry Breakdown
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Board and Management
7.3%
Retail
Institutional
13.0%
36.6%
43.1%
Balance top 50
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
3
Comet Ridge (ASX:COI) – Project Summary
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❑ Mahalo Gas Project – Southern Bowen – CSG
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Initial Development Plan (IDP) currently being finalised
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JV with Santos (ASX:STO) and APLNG
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APLNG upstream operator is Origin Energy (ASX:ORG)
– ❑ Galilee Basin CSG, Sandstone and Shale
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Albany 1 well, Sandstone target - June 2018 First measured gas flow from Sandstones in the basin
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Albany 2 well drilled with gas shows and reservoir quality above pre-drilling expectation
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Opportunities for early commercialisation
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Gas Resources certified in Sandstones and Coal Seams
– ❑ Gunnedah Basin CSG – NSW
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Assets cover ~13,000 km[2 ] located north of Santos Narrabri development
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Santos working to have Narrabri Project approved - potential to get Gunnedah Basin appraisal moving
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 4
Comet Ridge - Investment Thesis
Mahalo CSG
Corporate Strategy
(with ASX:STO and ASX:ORG as upstream operator for APLNG)
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CSG project with significant appraisal work completed & development process commenced
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Diversified east coast gas play with multi-basin, multistructure focus
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Significant project upside through exploration, appraisal and development activities
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Proven low cost gas play close to Gladstone market
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High gas flow rates achieved from Mahalo 7 and Mira 6 lateral pilot wells
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Actively bidding additional tenure focusing on portfolio synergies
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- Progressing initial development plan in high gas flow zone with JV partners, Santos and APLNG
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Galilee Sandstones
(with ASX:VEN)
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Enormous project scale with 20+ sandstone gas leads & prospects
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Flow rate achieved at Albany 1
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Albany 2 shows good reservoir quality in a number of sandstones within structural closure
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Albany 1 will be sidetracked and production tested prior to end of year
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Potential for CSG pilot in “shallows” – 100% Comet Ridge
5
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
Mahalo Gas Project
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Joint Venture Equity
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Comet Ridge (ASX:COI) 40%
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Santos (ASX:STO) 30%
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APLNG 30%
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Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Upstream Operator for APLNG
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Central QLD
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between Emerald & Rolleston
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Area 911 km[2]
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Close to pipeline infrastructure (to Gladstone)
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Development application (PLAs) to government submitted
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FID June 2020
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 6
Mahalo – Initial Development Plan (IDP)
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Development concept – Initially targeting up to 80 TJ/d production
Recently submitted Petroleum Lease areas called “Mahalo” and “Humboldt” numbered PLA1083 and PLA 1082 respectively by Queensland Government
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Modular & simple gas plant (water treatment, dehydration, flare) likely sized for 80 TJ/d
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Modular plant could be expanded at a later time
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Initial production rate expected 40 to 60 TJ/d
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65km pipeline connection (two available export pipelines to the south) sized up to 120 TJ/d
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Initial development will be a series of mostly dual lateral wells, intersecting vertical production wells.
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Submission of key Federal and State government applications being submitted
Image of the planned dual lateral development well
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
7
Mahalo – Development Timetable
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Petroleum Survey Licence application lodged 65km pipeline connection
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Petroleum Lease Application Lodged – PLA numbers issued by government
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Initial Development Plan and equipment selection – on going
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Potential Simple Gas Plant design supplied by Equinox Engineering
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EPBC submission – expected to be lodged shortly
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FID - June 2020
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Comet Ridge - first gas achievable 15 – 18 months after FID
Comet Ridge’s view on timetable to First Gas
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Example of pipeline installation
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DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE 2019 2020 2021
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Pipeline Survey Licence
Initial Development Plan
PL Applications process Lodged
EPBC and EA process
FID preparation
First Gas
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
8
Galilee Basin – Targets at multiple levels
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- Basin covers a large part of central western Queensland (~250,000 km[2] )
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Comet has a massive position in the east portion of the Basin – 9,685 km[2]
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CSG (Shallows) – Comet Ridge 100%
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Sandstone (Deeps) JV
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Comet Ridge 70%, Vintage Energy (ASX:VEN) 30%
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Maiden gas flowrate of 230,000 scf/d from Albany 1 Sandstone (June 2018)
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Albany 2 Drilled – better than forecast reservoir quality
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Marine Shales in deeper section
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Potential for early commercialisation with nearby Mining and Industrial gas demand
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Significant interest from Infrastructure Providers to assist with gas transportation
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 9
Galilee Sandstone – Large Number of Potential Targets
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Significant gross 3C[+] resources certified in conventional Sandstones (417PJ gross) in one structure (Albany)
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Basin has up to 140m of gross sandstone section
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Koburra 336km 2D Seismic programme complete in late 2018 & early 2019
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✓ Data processing progressing
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✓ Initial interpretation ongoing and mapping to follow
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✓ Several possible leads identified in the vicinity of Lake Galilee 1
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✓ New structural trends ID by regional lines
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Significant number of sandstone leads, and prospects identified from relatively sparse seismic data set in the eastern Galilee
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
10
- Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 20
Galilee Sandstone – 2019 Work Programme
- Current work programme
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Albany 2 drilled to TD of 2702m
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Observed porosity values up to a maximum of 15%
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Preliminary analysis of logs indicates good reservoir quality in a number of sandstones within structural closure
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62m of predominately sandstone core being analysed to optimise stimulation
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Soon to move to Albany 1 to sidetrack and finish drilling all the original target zone
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Fracture Stimulation of both wells Q4 2019
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Targeted Outcomes
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Additional drilling targets, data being interpreted now
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Conversion of Resources to Reserves
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Gas Sales Agreement(s)
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+Contingent Resource (PJ) Net –
Albany Structure only
1C 2C 3C
39 107 292
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
11
Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 20
Galilee Sandstone – Lake Galilee Drilling Target
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Originally drilled in 1964 to evaluate hydrocarbon potential
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Recovered oil and gas-cut mud
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Newly acquired seismic survey shows that Lake Galilee 1 was drilled outside of potential structural closure
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Structure covers an area of ~20 km2 with a closure height of ~60 m. This structure represents a great target.
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A A
’ Proposed
Lake
Galilee-2
Betts Creek
Lake
Galilee
Sandstone
Basement
CK19-
20
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
12
Galilee CSG – recoverable gas estimated 2,173 km[2]
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Gunn Project area (COI 100%) extends across southern portion of ATP744 & ATP1015
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• 6 individual coal seams • Depth to coal 700 - 1,000m • 16 to 24m net coal deposited over large area
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• Average gas content 4.3 m[3] /t (high 7.3 m[3] /t)
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• Good to excellent permeability • To date, COI has only sought resource certification for ATP744
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+Contingent Resource (PJ) – limited to
ATP 744
1C 2C 3C
67 1,870
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
13
Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 20
What a Galilee CSG Pilot could look like…
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- Initial Pilot Development planning well progressed
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623km [2]
325km [2]
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Pilot to target 7.5m C1 coal seam located at the Schmitt 1 well, total coal package 21.1m
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With a 4 well pilot, outside wells ‘shelter’ the central wells, so the central well ends up producing much less water than a single well pilot
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Schmitt 1 to be used as a pressure monitoring well
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Each pilot well planned to be 500m in seam and 250m apart
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❖ Developable area could be 948km[2] , with 623km[2] accessed via dual laterals & 325km[2] via single lateral wells
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Image of potential 4 well coal seam pilot, targeting the C1 coal
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 14
Potential Galilee Gas Demand – Moranbah / Townsville
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- North Queensland Gas Pipeline (NQGP) is an existing 391km pipeline (capacity up to 108 TJ/d)
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Moranbah/Townsville market is currently supply constrained
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A number of gas customers with significant current and future gas requirements
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Proposed APA pipeline connects Comet Ridge Galilee Projects to Townsville via Moranbah
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Several new developments planned that will build on the volume of gas required
| Sponsor | Project | Status | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incitec Pivot | Ammonium nitrate | Online | Moranbah |
| RATCH | Townsville CCGT | Online | Townsville |
| Origin | Mt Stuart OCGT | Online | Townsville |
| Queensland Nickel | Nickel Refinery | Moth-balled | Townsville |
| Status | Potential Gas Required(TJ/D) |
|---|---|
| Online &Brown field | 50- 100 |
| Planned | 49-68 |
| Total potential Demand | 108-168 |
Information displayed in the table has been prepared by Comet Ridge from open source data and internal estimates
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
15
NSW Potential closer than expected
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Comet Ridge holds a significant block area with Santos as JV partner over 13,000 km[2 ] in northern NSW
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Comet Ridge also holds this area for conventional exploration as operator
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Increasing momentum inside NSW for gas development approvals for a state only producing a small fraction of its own gas requirements
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Opportunity to revisit the significant acreage held by Comet Ridge in JV with Santos once Narrabri is approved – 13,000 km[2]
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Comet Ridge has commenced an exploration review – magnetics, gravity surveys, seismic, old wells
Comet Ridge PEL 6, 427 and 428, which are contiguous to the Santos Narrabri Gas Project, located in PEL 238
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
16
Comet Ridge – Growth Pipeline
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Moving Resources to Reserves as quickly and capital efficiently as possible
Appraisal to
Exploration Production
Development
Galilee
Mahalo Gas Project
Gunnedah Sandstone
CSG
additional land releases
Maturity Curve
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
17
Comet Ridge – Key take away messages
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Mahalo is one of the east coast’s largest, most productive and proximal to market gas fields not currently in production
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Significant upside from Galilee – Proof of concept with successful flow of gas from Albany 1 and Albany 2 drilled with good reservoir quality in a number of sandstones
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East coast gas market continues to tighten due to moratoria on gas exploration, shutdown of coal fired generation and increasing LNG demand
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Comet Ridge well placed to form part of the supply solution for the east coast gas market
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
18
Glossary of Terms
EPBC Environment Protection & Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 EA Environmental Authority (Qld Govt) IDP Initial Development Plan FID Final Investment Decision PL Petroleum Lease (Qld Govt) PJ Peta Joule (measure of energy – 10[15] Joule) CSG Coal Seam Gas SCFD Standard Cubic feet (of gas) per day ATP Authority to Prospect (Qld Govt tenure)
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Contact Telephone: +61 7 3221 3661 Facsimile: +61 7 3221 3668 Email
www.cometridge.com.au
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
ASX Listing Rule 5 Disclosure
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Competent Person Statement and ASX Listing Rules Chapter 5 - Reporting on Oil and Gas Activities
The Contingent Resource for the Albany Structure located ATP 744 are taken from an independent report by Dr Bruce McConachie of SRK Consulting (Australasia) Pty Ltd, an independent petroleum reserve and resource evaluation company. The Contingent Resources information has been issued with the prior written consent of Dr McConachie in the form and context in which they appear in this Presentation. His qualifications and experience meet the requirements to act as a qualified petroleum reserves and resource evaluator as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42 to report petroleum reserves in accordance with the Society of Petroleum Engineers (“SPE”) 2007 Petroleum Resource Management System (“PRMS”) Guidelines as well as the 2011 Guidelines for Application.
The estimate of Reserves and Contingent Resources for the Mahalo Project as part of ATP 1191P provided in this Presentation, is based on, and fairly represents, information and supporting documentation determined by Mr Timothy L. Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants LLC Inc (MHA) in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hower is a full-time employee of MHA, and is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42. Mr Hower is a Licensed Professional Engineer in the States of Colorado and Wyoming as well as being a member of The Society of Petroleum Engineers. Mr Hower has consented to the publication of the Reserve and Contingent Resource estimates for Mahalo in the form and context in which they appear in this Presentation.
The reserve and contingent gas resource estimates for ATP 1191P provided in this presentation were originally released to the Market in the Company’s announcement of 28 August 2014, updated in an announcement dated 2 December 2015, and further upgraded in an announcement dated 6 March 2018 and were estimated using the deterministic method with the estimate of contingent resources not having been adjusted for commercial risk.
The contingent resource estimates for the unconventional gas located in ATP 744 provided in this Presentation are based on and fairly represent, information and supporting documentation determined by Mr John Hattner of Netherland, Sewell and Associates Inc, Dallas, Texas, USA, in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hattner is a full-time employee of NSAI, and is considered to be a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42 and has given his consent to the use of the resource figures in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
The contingent gas resource estimates for ATP 744 provided in this statement were originally released to the Market in the Company’s announcement of 25 November 2010, and were estimated using the deterministic method with the estimate of contingent resources for ATP 744 not having been adjusted for commercial risk.
COI confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in any of the announcements relating to either ATP 1191P or ATP 744P referred to above and that all of the material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed.
The contingent resource estimates for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 referred to in this presentation were determined by Mr Timothy L. Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants LLC in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hower is a full-time employee of MHA, and is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42. Mr Hower consented to the publication of the resource figures which appeared in the announcement of 7 March 2011 made by Eastern Star Gas Limited (ASX:ESG) and any reference and reliance on the resource figures for PEL 6, PEL 427 & PEL 428 in this Presentation is only a restatement of the information contained in the ESG announcement.
The contingent resource estimates for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 were estimated using the deterministic method with the estimate of contingent resources for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 not having been adjusted for commercial risk.
COI confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the ESG announcement of 7 March 2011 and that all of the material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed.
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 20