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COMET RIDGE LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2017
Sep 13, 2017
64686_rns_2017-09-13_796f7bd8-889c-49a3-b3dc-9bc59a637286.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Comet Ridge Limited
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Tor McCaul Managing Director
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
Important Notice and Disclaimer
Disclaimer
This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Comet Ridge Limited (ABN 47 106 092 577) (Comet Ridge). The Presentation and information contained in it is being provided to shareholders and investors for information purposes only. Shareholders and investors should undertake their own evaluation of this information and otherwise contact their professional advisers in the event they wish to buy or sell shares. To the extent the information contains any projections, Comet Ridge has provided these projections based upon the information that has been provided to Comet Ridge. None of Comet Ridge or its directors, officers or employees make any representations (express or implied) as to the accuracy or otherwise of any information or opinions in the Presentation and (to the maximum extent permitted by law) no liability or responsibility is accepted by such persons.
Summary information
This Presentation contains summary information about Comet Ridge and its subsidiaries and their activities current as at the date of this Presentation. The information in this Presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with Comet Ridge’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), which are available at www.asx.com.au.
ASX Releases
Investors are advised that by their nature as visual aids, presentations provide information in a summary form. The key information on detailed Resource statements can be found in Comet Ridge’s ASX releases. Resource statements are provided to comply with ASX guidelines but investors are urged to read supporting information in full on the website.
Past performance
Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance
This Presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. Forward looking words such as, “expect”, “should”, “could ”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Such forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are not guarantees of future performance.
Forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. This presentation contains such statements that are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge, and may involve significant elements of subjective judgement and assumptions as to future events which may or may not be correct. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Such forward-looking statements are relevant at the date of this Presentation and Comet Ridge assumes no obligation to update such information.
Investment risk
An investment in Comet Ridge shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge. Comet Ridge does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Comet Ridge. Persons should have regard to the risks outlined in this Presentation.
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 2
Comet Ridge Limited
- ASX listed - based in Brisbane
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[[+ ]]
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Focus on natural gas in eastern Australia
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Very large blocks & multi-basin presence:
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Galilee – Queensland
- Significant resource base northwest of Gladstone (over 2200 PJ 3C)[+ ]
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Southern Bowen (Mahalo) – Queensland
- Coal Seam Gas (CSG) pilot schemes running with initial 2P and 3P reserves
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Gunnedah – NSW
- Resources strategically located to meet NSW gas requirements (over 560 PJ 3C)[[+ ]]
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 3
+Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 22
Corporate Overview
Capital Structure – ASX: COI
| Share price (13 September 2017) | $0.145 |
|---|---|
| Shares on issue | 617.7m |
| Performance rights | 5.0m |
| Diluted market cap | $90.3m |
| Cash (30 June 2017) | $6.0m |
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28 years in business
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James McKay (commerce/law background) Non-Exec Chairman Former Chairman, Sunshine Gas
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- Tor McCaul Petroleum engineer with 29 Managing Director years in oil & gas Former Head of Commercial for Cairn plc in India
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30+ years in Finance & Resources
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Former Chair of WA Council of Chartered Sec.
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Gillian Swaby Non-Exec Director
12 Month Share Price Performance
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Geologist with 12 years in oil &
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Chris Pieters gas
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Commercial Director
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Former Chief Commercial Officer, Sunshine Gas
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20 years experience in M&A and Finance
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Director of Dart Capital Partners, private venture capital fund
Mike Dart
- Non-Exec Director
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 4
Eastern Australia – More Gas Required
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Substantial green activism against gas despite the significant contribution gas makes to industry & the national economy
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Some (MOST) states and territories – limiting gas supply as demand increases dramatically !
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Queensland and South Australia have been blessed with gas common sense
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Additional gas supply is the only effective and rational response
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
5
Comet Ridge – Supply Solutions
- Comet Ridge assets can form part of the supply solution for eastern gas market
Near term – Mahalo:
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Complete current programme to substantially increase 2P reserves base
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Develop asset with JV partners (Santos 30% & APLNG 30%)
Medium term – Galilee:
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Substantial resources - 2,200 PJ 3C[+] across coals & sandstones
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Substantial scale - 9,700 km[2]
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100% equity position allowing farm-down options
Longer term – Gunnedah:
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Assets cover 17,000 km[2] & are located north of Santos’ Narrabri development
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Longer term hold-then-follow strategy
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 6
+Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 22
Comet Ridge - Strategic East Coast Gas Portfolio
| +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 30 219 112 232 372 +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 67 1870 Albany Structure 56 153 417 +Reserve(PJ) +Contingent Resource(PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 562 |
+Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 30 219 112 232 372 +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 67 1870 Albany Structure 56 153 417 +Reserve(PJ) +Contingent Resource(PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 562 |
+Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 30 219 112 232 372 +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 67 1870 Albany Structure 56 153 417 +Reserve(PJ) +Contingent Resource(PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 562 |
+Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 30 219 112 232 372 +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 67 1870 Albany Structure 56 153 417 +Reserve(PJ) +Contingent Resource(PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 562 |
+Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 30 219 112 232 372 +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 67 1870 Albany Structure 56 153 417 +Reserve(PJ) +Contingent Resource(PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 562 |
+Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 30 219 112 232 372 +Reserve (PJ) +Contingent Resource (PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 67 1870 Albany Structure 56 153 417 +Reserve(PJ) +Contingent Resource(PJ) Type 2P 3P 1C 2C 3C CSG 562 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +Reserve (PJ) | +Contingent Resource (PJ) | |||||||
| Type | 2P | 3P | 1C | 2C | 3C | |||
| CSG | 67 | 1870 | ||||||
| Albany Structure | 56 | 153 | 417 | |||||
| +Reserve (PJ) | +Contingent Resource (PJ) | |||||||
| Type | 2P | 3P | 1C | 2C | 3C | |||
| CSG | 30 | 219 | 112 | 232 | 372 | |||
| +Reserve(PJ) | +Contingent Resource(PJ) | |||||||
| Type | 2P | 3P | 1C | 2C | 3C | |||
| CSG | 562 | |||||||
2017 target to significantly grow Mahalo 2P reserves
+Refer to the Competent Persons Statement at end of this presentation and the ASX announcement dated 6 August 2015 for further information on COI’s Reserves and Contingent Resources
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
7
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Mahalo Project
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ASX Code : COI
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www.cometridge.com.au
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Mahalo Production Performance
Overall performance of JV Equity: horizontal well and Mahalo Pilot has been very Comet Ridge 40% pleasing Santos 30% APLNG 30% Gas flowrate 426 mcfd from horizontal with only 361 metres in coal
Scale up of short Mahalo 7 horizontal well to longer development wells is logical and achievable
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 9
Mira Production Performance – Mira 3, 4 & 5
- Well production enhancement process
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Coal (fractures plugged by fines) is removed from around wellbore
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Provides easier pathway for gas and water to flow to well
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Drilling tool run inside casing with expandable arms
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Tool placed across coals and rotated at high speed
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Water pumped down inside of drillpipe carries coal material back to surface outside of drillpipe and inside of casing
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Production tubing and downhole pump then run back into the well and well returned to production
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Wells on line late August - already producing minor gas with flare intermittently lit
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 10
Mahalo – Comet Ridge Managing Subsurface Work
Target – move significant volume of 219 PJ 3P[+] across to 2P this year
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March - Executed agency agreement for Comet Ridge to manage subsurface
- April - Work Program and Budget approved by Santos and APLNG
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August - Field work commenced
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Program focused in north of block:
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Mira 3, 4 & 5 successfully under-reamed
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Humboldt South 1 corehole drilled – good results
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Mira 6 Horizontal well – spud October
Full work programme to be completed for under $5m gross JV spend – currently on track
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
11
+Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 22
Mahalo Development Concept
Significant analysis work completed – examining the most efficient and effective way to move the northern pilot schemes into production via available export pipeline capacity and field infrastructure
Three Step Process:
1. Conversion of existing 3P to 2P reserve
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Production enhancement at Mira Pilot
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Single step-out corehole in north east
2. Initial production phase targeting 25 TJ/d from northern part of the block
- Utilise existing facilities to minimise capex spend and construction time
3. Expand initial production phase to full field target of 100+TJ/d
- Based around well production rates from initial production phase to guide field development
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
12
The Right Ingredients For Development
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Shallow Mahalo Pilot only 225 metres to coal
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Lower drilling and completion costs
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Permeable
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Mahalo 7 flowed 1.2 mcfd gas per metre of coal intersected along horizontal well
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Higher flowrates / less wells
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Low water rates Mahalo 7 peaked at only 30 bwpd so exceptionally low water-gas ratio
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Lower water handling capex and opex / less workovers
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Gas Quality
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Close to
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infrastructure
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No expensive CO2 or H2S removal to get to sales gas spec
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Use basic carbon steel in wells, flowlines and plant
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14 km - nearest pipeline connection
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60 km - Mira Pilot to Jemena pipeline
These key parameters will place Mahalo at the low end of the cost curve
- 63 km - Mira Pilot to GLNG pipeline
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 13
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Galilee Basin
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
Galilee Basin – Significant Scale
- Basin covers a large part of central western Queensland (~250,000km[2] )
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Comet has a massive position in the east at 100%
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Land use is grazing on very large stations
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Historic oil exploration (1964 & 1995) includes gas flows from Sandstones at 2800 metres
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Comet has a dual sandstone and CSG opportunity
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Significant 3C resources certified in both
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Planned Galilee coal mine just to the east
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 15
Galilee Basin – Sandstones
Koburra Trough
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3 historic petroleum wells recovered oil gas & flowed gas from Lake Galilee Sandstone - all now in Comet Ridge acreage
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Koburra 1, Carmichael 1 and Lake Galilee 1 flowed gas to surface at low rates - active petroleum system
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However early basin wells were targeting oil and not designed to evaluate gas potential (high mud overbalance / not tested immediately on penetration etc.)
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120km
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Lake Galilee 1 – oil recovered
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Potential for significant gas volumes
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GTS – flowed gas to surface
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• OTS – recovered oil to surface
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Targeting Late Carboniferous to Permian sandstones to depths of ~2800 metres
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Comet Ridge has Basin’s first sandstone contingent resource
153PJ (2C)[+] over Albany structure in Koburra Trough
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
16
+Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 22
Galilee Basin – Sandstone Leads & Prospects
Galilee Sandstone Targets
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Galilee Basin lightly explored
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Previous gas flows from oil exploration wells in this area
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Seismic data set is sparse
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No targets (yet) in areas of no seismic
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Albany has approx. 150m of gross sandstone with approx. 40m of net
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Successful gas flow in the first well could foreshadow wider success right across the eastern basin
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Significant number of sandstone leads and prospects identified from relatively sparse seismic data set in the eastern Galilee
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
17
Galilee Basin - CSG
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Gunn Project Area
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6 individual coal seams
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depth to coal 700-1,000m
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16m net coal deposited over large area
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average gas content 4.3 m[3] /t (high 7.3 m[3] /t)
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good to excellent permeability within target coals
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Gunn-2 Production Test
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perforated single 4m coal interval
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seam isolated above and below by impermeable mudstone
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established connectivity to coals
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evaluated methods of formation water treatment
Gunn Project area and ATP 1015 area coals contain recoverable gas over an estimated 1,865 km[2 ]
- demonstrated long term production solution
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
18
Galilee Basin – Forward View
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Comet Ridge Work Programme to be funded by gas pre-sale or equity farm-in (process underway)
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A structurally short east coast market is now looking to the Galilee Basin for gas volume
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Comet Ridge’s eastern position with large gas resources will have increasing significance
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Sandstone Gas at Albany - logical first step due to size and position on the basin eastern edge
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Sandstone Gas at Lake Galilee structure - second step due to size and proximity to Albany (23km)
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CSG in the Gunn Project Area - third step due to the large volume and continuous nature of the coals
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Each of these three areas can be supported in the field as the one project with corresponding scale benefits
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
19
+Chapter 5 ASX Listing Rules disclosure Page 22
Comet Ridge - Summary
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Mahalo
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Production enhancement at Mira completed
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Single step-out corehole completed
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Planning for horizontal well commenced
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Major reserves upgrade targeted this year
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Galilee
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Well planning for drilling finalised
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Various pipeline options under consideration
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Funding options developed via pre-sale / farm-in
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Local market developing just east
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Gunnedah
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Long-term follower strategy to Narrabri
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- development
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
20
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Contact Telephone: +61 7 3221 3661 Facsimile: +61 7 3221 3668 Email
www.cometridge.com.au
Brisbane 4000 www.cometridge.com.au
ASX Code : COI
ASX Listing Rule 5 Disclosure
Competent Person Statement and ASX Listing Rules Chapter 5 - Reporting on Oil and Gas Activities
The Contingent Resource for the Albany Structure ATP 744 are taken from an independent report by Dr Bruce McConachie of SRK Consulting (Australasia) Pty Ltd, an independent petroleum reserve and resource evaluation company. The Contingent Resources information has been issued with the prior written consent of Dr McConachie in the form and context in which they appear in this Annual Reserves Statement for 2016. His qualifications and experience meet the requirements to act as a qualified petroleum reserves and resource evaluator as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42 to report petroleum reserves in accordance with the Society of Petroleum Engineers (“SPE”) 2007 Petroleum Resource Management System (“PRMS”) Guidelines as well as the 2011 Guidelines for Application.
of the PRMS approved by the SPE.
The estimate of Reserves and Contingent Resources for the Mahalo Project as part of ATP 1191P provided in this presentation, is based on, and fairly represents, information and supporting documentation determined by Mr Timothy L. Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants LLC Inc in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hower is a full-time employee of MHA, and is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42. Mr Hower is a Licensed Professional Engineer in the States of Colorado and Wyoming as well as being a member of The Society of Petroleum Engineers. Mr Hower has consented to the publication of the Reserve and Contingent Resource estimates for Mahalo in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
The reserve and contingent gas resource estimates for ATP 1191P provided in this presentation were originally released to the Market in the Company’s announcement of 28 August 2014 and subsequently updated in an announcement date 2 December 2015, and were estimated using the deterministic method with the estimate of contingent resources for ATP 337P not having been adjusted for commercial risk.
The contingent resource estimates for ATP 744P provided in this presentation are based on and fairly represent, information and supporting documentation determined by Mr John Hattner of Netherland, Sewell and Associates Inc, Dallas, Texas, USA, in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hattner is a full-time employee of NSAI, and is considered to be a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42 and has given his consent to the use of the resource figures in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
The contingent gas resource estimates for ATP 744P provided in this statement were originally released to the Market in the Company’s announcement of 25 November 2010, and were estimated using the deterministic method with the estimate of contingent resources for ATP 744P not having been adjusted for commercial risk.
COI confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in any of the announcements relating to either AYP 1191P or ATP 744P referred to above and that all of the material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed.
The contingent resource estimates for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 referred to in this presentation were determined by Mr Timothy L. Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants LLC in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hower is a full-time employee of MHA, and is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42. Mr Hower consented to the publication of the resource figures which appeared in the announcement of 7 March 2011 made by Eastern Star Gas Limited (ASX:ESG) and any reference and reliance on the resource figures for PEL 6, PEL 427 & PEL 428 in this presentation is only a restatement of the information contained in the ESG announcement.
The contingent resource estimates for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 were estimated using the deterministic method with the estimate of contingent resources for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 not having been adjusted for commercial risk.
COI confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the ESG announcement of 7 March 2011 and that all of the material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed.
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 22