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COMET RIDGE LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2012
Nov 12, 2012
64686_rns_2012-11-12_c5309142-e150-4f76-a4e2-79f46e570da8.pdf
Investor Presentation
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13 November 2012
Tor McCaul Managing Director
www.cometridge.com.au
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
Contents
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Company Overview
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Technical
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Commercial
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Community
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ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 2
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 3
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Comet Ridge – Corporate Overview
| Capital structure (ASX:COI) | 12 | 12 | 12 | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | month share price performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share price (as at 12-Nov-12) | $0.17 | $0.200 | 20,000 | |||||||||||||||||
| Shares on issue | 402.1m | $0.175 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Unlisted options | 2.5m | $0.150 | 15,000 | |||||||||||||||||
| Performance rights Undiluted market capitalisation1 |
6.6m $68.4m |
$0.125 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Fully diluted market capitalisation | $69.9m | $0.100 | 10,000 | |||||||||||||||||
| Cash (as at 30-Sep-12) | $13.5m | $0.075 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Enterprise value1 | $54.8m | $0.050 | 5,000 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1. Excludes options and performance rights. | $0.000 $0.025 |
0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14-Nov-11 | 25-Jan-12 | 6-Apr-12 | 19-Jun-12 | 30-Aug-12 | 12-Nov-12 | |||||||||||||||
| Volume (000's) (RHS) | Close | Price | (LHS) |
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 4
Introduction
Large acreage position and significant resource base established particularly in Eastern Galilee Basin
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Corporate focus on conversion to reserves
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Galilee Basin over 13,000 km[2] and 100% equity
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New Galilee Basin farm-in to expand position further
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Mahalo block with Santos, APLNG & Stanwell
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Gunnedah Basin with Santos expanding to over 18,000 km
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Experienced board and management team in key areas
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Exploration and Appraisal
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Production
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Domestic Gas
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LNG
Comet Ridge targeting first Qld 2P Reserves within 6 months
Asset Portfolio includes NZ and USA assets
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 5
Net Gas Resources
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Significant independent Resource bookings in four areas
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Galilee Basin Contingent Resource - 68% of company total
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Following the completion of current NSW transaction – 5400 PJ resources East Aus
Comet Ridge Limited – Net Recoverable Resources
| Project | COI Interest |
Location | Contingent Resource 3C (PJ) |
Prospective Resource (PJ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunn Project Area (ATP 744P) | 100% | Galilee Basin, QLD | 1,870 | 597** |
| Mahalo Block (ATP 337P) | 35% | Bowen Basin, QLD | 387 | - |
| PEL 427 and PEL 428 * | 25% & 40% | Gunnedah Basin, NSW |
231 | 1022 |
| PMP 50100 and PEP 50279 | 100% | West Coast, NZ | 244 | - |
| Total | 2,732 | 1,619 |
- Current interest – announced 21 June 2012 that Comet Ridge Limited is acquiring a further 25% interest in PEL 427, 20% in PEL 428 and 22.5% in PEL 6, subject to NSW Government and JV approvals. Following the completion of this transaction, Comet Ridge Limited net resources in NSW will increase to 474 PJ (Contingent) and 2101 PJ (Prospective), totalling in excess of 5400 PJ eastern Australia gas resources.
** Where the auditor has detailed Prospective Resources in a range, the mid-range case has been listed in the table
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au 6
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Galilee Basin – background
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Large area covering a large part of central western Queensland
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Approx 250,000 km[2 ]
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Overlain by Eromanga Basin and underlain by Drummond Basin
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Key towns include Longreach, Barcaldine, Blackall, Winton, Hughenden and particularly for Comet Ridge, Aramac
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Land use is grazing – cattle and sheep
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Oil recoveries and conventional gas flows over a number of years but remains under-explored
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One working pilot in the basin
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Permian Betts Creek Beds
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Up to 6 seams
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Total thickness up to 24m net coal
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Significant coal mine province evolving in shallow coals in the east
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Comet Ridge Position
Comet Ridge blocks ATP 743P & 744P
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12,991 km[2] (3.2 million acres)
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286 km from NW to SE corner
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Comet Ridge equity 100% - full upside exposure
Eastern basin selected
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Coals range from shallow to deep (east to west)
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Eastern edge closer to largest potential gas markets
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July 2012 Farm-in to part of ATP1015P
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Access to additional 825 km
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Three stages to allow equity up to 75%
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First stage completed shortly
Significant position in eastern part of basin
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Technical Understanding Growing
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2009 Sep/Oct - Blocks awarded
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including Qld Govt environmental approvals
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2010 - five core holes drilled
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Total drilled section 5000m with 1000m core
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Coal thickness from 16m to 24m with up to 22m shale
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2011 - 252 km 2D seismic survey
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Combined with gravity data
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Very good quality image of Betts Creek
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2012 - drilling programme underway
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Drilling final of three wells now
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Good to excellent productivity measured
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Gunn Project Area extended – significant area in eastern part of basin
2012 Remainder
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Gunn 2 Extended Production Test
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Positions company for 2013 pilot scheme
Building an excellent platform for reserves
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Galilee Basin – Greater Gunn Project Area
- Initially SW part of ATP 744P
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Recent drilling at Schmitt 1 in Farm-in Area shows easterly extension
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1,870 PJ of 3C Contingent Resource certified in 2010 with considerable upside
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Three-well drilling programme
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One production test well in Gunn Project Area
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Two appraisal wells in Farm-in Area to earn 20% equity as First Stage
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Extended Production Test on Gunn 2 is key step on path to reserves
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Determines key reservoir parameters for pilot scheme design for 2013
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Provides detailed Betts Creek water samples
Gunn Project Area already shown to be very large and contains significant gas volume
ASX Code : COI
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Gas Pricing & Volumes
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Historically, Eastern Australia has had some of the cheapest gas in the world
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Due to relatively small market size in comparison to reserves
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Gladstone LNG schemes have significantly shifted the market dynamic for gas in Eastern Australia
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LNG schemes provide linkage to world oil and energy prices and provide significant gas market
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Eastern Australian gas prices have already moved up and the market expects will continue to move up
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Just a matter now of how much and how quickly
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Market
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LNG manufacturers have insufficient gas for expansion
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Takeovers of Eastern Star Gas and Bow Energy means four large LNG consortia control almost 90% of 2P CSG gas reserves in Eastern Australia
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This will put intense pressure on domestic gas supply
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Resultant intensifying competition for uncommitted gas reserves from
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Major power consumers (including Galilee Basin coal projects)
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LNG schemes
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Domestic power generators
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- Other domestic/industrial gas consumers replacing expiring gas contracts
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2P Gas Reserves Consolidation
Concentration of Ownership: LNG Proponents 89% AGL 7% Other 4%
Acquisition of ESG and Bow have continued the trend of Gas Reserves consolidation in CSG
ASX Code : COI
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3C Gas Resources by Company
Concentration of Ownership: LNG Proponents 74% Comet Ridge 5% Other 21%
Comet Ridge has a material and expanding 3C Resource position with approx. 5% of East Australian Total
- COI is well positioned to start the conversion of Contingent Resources to 2P & 3P Reserves
ASX Code : COI
www.cometridge.com.au
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Galilee Basin – Commercial Options
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Different market segments emerging for commercial development options
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Coal mine users
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Power producers
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LNG market
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Other domestic/industrial consumers
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Stage 1 Development: Power for Coal Mines / Local generation
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Up to 1,500 MW energy demand just east of Gunn Project Area
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Mine developments will provide significant infrastructure development (including transmission network) into Eastern Galilee Basin
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Stage 2 Development: Gas supply to LNG projects at Gladstone or domestic/industrial market
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Coal Mining
Projects
Adani
Vale
Waratah Coal
Hancock Coal/GVK:
- Alpha
- Kevins Corner
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Responsible CSG Exploration & Development
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CSG industry has been operating in Queensland for >15 years
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CSG industry in Eastern Australia is one of the most heavily regulated industries in Australia
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APPEA suggests more regulated than the nuclear industry
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Queensland has established significant reporting, regulation and legislation
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CSG explorers and producers need to work in an increasingly complex regulatory system
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Queensland Legislation currently in effect (or being finalised) that places requirements on CSG companies:
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Petroleum & Gas Act 2004
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Environmental Protection Act 1994
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Aboriginal Cultural Heritage Act 2003
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Water Act (Qld) 2000 & Commonwealth (2007)
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Strategic Cropping Land Bill
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Wild Rivers Act 2005
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Nature Conservation Act 1992
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Land Protection (Pest & Stock Route Management)
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Act (2002)
Comments from some commentators, that CSG is an unregulated industry, are false and misleading
ASX Code : COI
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Galilee Basin – Community
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Cultural Heritage Management Plans successfully in place with three groups
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Galilee Basin Operators Forum undertaking detailed basin-wide aquifer study ― www.gbof.com.au
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Engagement and information sharing with local councils is ongoing
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Central West Remote Area Planning & Development Board (RAPAD)
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Mt Isa to Townsville Economic Development Zone (MITEZ)
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Direct Council interaction
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Interaction with community positive
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Seismic & drilling impact negligible
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Seismic acquired along existing roads and firebreaks where possible
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Exploration drilling sites rehabilitated back to natural state after wells plugged with cement and abandoned
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Site pictured (right) is Hergenrother 1 after drilling showing planned revegetation underway
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East Galilee Basin – Production Well Design
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Case Study: Wells & Agriculture Can Co-exist
| Qld | NSW | Texas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area(„000 sq km) | 1,731 | 802 | 696 |
| Gross Farm Product*($Bn) | 9.1 | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| Petroleum Wells | 7,000 | 249 | 218,556 |
*Source: ABS 1367.0 State and Terr Stat Indicators for 2009/10; 2009 Texas Agriculture Statistics, USDA
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Source APPEA
ASX Code : COI
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Important Notice and Disclaimer
Disclaimer
This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Comet Ridge Limited (ABN 47 106 092 577) (Comet Ridge). The Presentation and information contained in it is being provided to shareholders and investors for information purposes only. Shareholders and investors should undertake their own evaluation of this information and otherwise contact their professional advisers in the event they wish to buy or sell shares. To the extent the information contains any projections, Comet Ridge has provided these projections based upon the information that has been provided to Comet Ridge. None of Comet Ridge or its directors, officers or employees make any representations (express or implied) as to the accuracy or otherwise of any information or opinions in the Presentation and (to the maximum extent permitted by law) no liability or responsibility is accepted by such persons.
Summary information
This Presentation contains summary information about Comet Ridge and its subsidiaries and their activities current as at the date of this Presentation. The information in this Presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with Comet Ridge‟s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), which are available at www.asx.com.au.
ASX Releases
Investors are advised that by their nature as visual aids, presentations provide information in a summary form. The key information on detailed Resource statements can be found in Comet Ridge‟s ASX releases. Resource statements are provided to comply with ASX guidelines but investors are urged to read supporting information in full on the website.
Past performance
Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance
This Presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. Forward looking words such as, “expect”, “should”, “could ”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Such forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are not guarantees of future performance.
Forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. This presentation contains such statements that are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge, and may involve significant elements of subjective judgement and assumptions as to future events which may or may not be correct. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Such forward-looking statements are relevant at the date of this Presentation and Comet Ridge assumes no obligation to update such information.
Investment risk
An investment in Comet Ridge shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Comet Ridge. Comet Ridge does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Comet Ridge. Persons should have regard to the risks outlined in this Presentation.
Competent Person Statement
The gas resource estimates for ATP 774P, ATP 337P, PMP 50100 and PMP 50279 provided in this statement were determined by Mr John Hattner of Netherland, Sewell and Associates Inc, Dallas, Texas, USA, in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hattner is a full-time employee of NSAI, and is considered to be a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.11 and has given his consent to the use of the resource figures in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
The resource estimates for PEL 6, PEL 427 and PEL 428 referred to in this presentation were determined by Mr Timothy L. Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants LLC in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr Hower is a full-time employee of MHA, and is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.11. Mr Hower consented to the publication of certain resource figures which appeared in the announcement of 7 March 2011 made by Eastern Star Gas Limited (ASX:ESG) and any reference and reliance on the resource figures for PEL 6, PEL 427 & PEL 428 in this presentation is only a restatement of the information contained in the ESG announcement .
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Comet Ridge Limited
Level 1 283 Elizabeth Street Brisbane 4000 & GPO Box 798 Brisbane 4001 Telephone: +61 7 3221 3661 Facsimile: +61 7 3221 3668 Email: [email protected]
ASX Code : COI
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