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CNP Assurances Earnings Release 2018

Nov 16, 2018

1208_10-q_2018-11-16_c28dd1d6-4478-4eea-a70d-48accb7bba1d.pdf

Earnings Release

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PRESS RELEASE

Paris, 16 November 2018

Quarterly indicators – First nine months of 2018

Attributable net profit up 3.1% to €955 million Consolidated SCR coverage ratio1 of 193%

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Premium income up 3.1% (up 6.6% like-for-like) reflecting a positive momentum in unit-linked sales (+19.5%) and very strong growth in high net worth distribution channels for CNP Patrimoine and CNP Luxembourg
  • Proportion of savings/pensions premiums represented by unit-linked contracts up to 23.1% in France (versus 20.4% in the year-earlier period) and up to 42.2% at the Group level (versus 37.6% in the year-earlier period)
  • APE margin1 that remaining at a high level (22.7% versus 23.6% in 2017)
  • EBIT up 1.9% (up 8.9% like-for-like) to €2,169 million2
  • Attributable net profit of €955 million, up 3.1% (up 5.1% like-for-like2 )
  • Consolidated SCR coverage ratio1 of 193% (versus 198% at 30 June 2018)

Antoine Lissowski, CNP Assurances' Chief Executive Officer, said:

"CNP Assurances delivered a very good performance over the first nine months of the year, thanks to our steadily improving product mix in France and the measures taken to enhance our efficiency for the benefit of our customers. We therefore confirm our 2018 EBIT growth objective."

The results indicators for the first nine months of 2018, on which CNP Assurances' Statutory Auditors do not provide an opinion, were reviewed by the Board of Directors at its meeting on 15 November 2018. This press release includes a certain number of alternative performance measures (APMs). These APMs and their calculation method are presented in the Investor/Analyst section of the CNP Assurances website www.cnp.fr/en/Investor-Analyst (2018 Results).

1 Including the impacts of the new exclusive distribution agreement in Brazil.

2 Average exchange rates:

First nine months of 2018: Brazil: €1 = BRL 4.30; Argentina: €1 = ARS 29.85

First nine months of 2017: Brazil: €1 = BRL 3.54; Argentina: €1 = ARS 18.13

In the like-for-like comparatives, the contributions of CNP Luxembourg (Luxembourg) and Holding d'Infrastructures Gazières (the vehicle for the investment in GRTgaz) have been excluded from the 2018 figures.

1. Premium income and APE margin for the first nine months of 2018

On 30 August 2018, CNP Assurances announced the signing of a framework agreement providing for the establishment of a new long-term exclusive distribution agreement until 13 February 2041 in Brazil in the network of Caixa Econômica Federal (CEF). This new agreement will be taken into account in the Group's IFRS indicators as from the date the transaction is completed, which should occur in 2019 once the various conditions precedent have been met. However, in the interests of prudence and transparency, CNP Assurances has decided to recognise the impacts of the new agreement in its Solvency II and MCEV indicators with immediate effect.

Consolidated premium income for the period totalled €24.6 billion, up 3.1% (up 6.6% like-for-like) versus the first nine months of 2017.

In France, premium income declined 3.4% to €16.6 billion.

Savings/pensions premium income contracted by 2.8% to €13.3 billion. The period saw a favourable shift in the product mix, with very strong growth of 10.2% in unit-linked premiums and a 6.2% decline in premium income from traditional products. The shift drove a sharp rise in the proportion of savings and pensions premiums represented by unit-linked contracts, to 23.1% in the first nine months of 2018 from 20.4% in the year-earlier period. In the high net worth (HNW) customers savings segment, CNP Patrimoine is now the Group's third distribution channel in France3 , with premium income of €1.7 billion (versus €0.7 billion in the year-earlier period) and an excellent 44% unit-linked proportion. All told, savings/pensions for the period reflected a €1.9 billion net inflow to unit-linked contracts and a €4.2 billion net outflow from traditional savings and pensions products.

Personal risk/protection premium income contracted by 5.7% to €3.2 billion. Protection and health insurance premiums were up 2.2% at €1.3 billion. Term creditor insurance premiums were down 10.2% at €2.0 billion, due to the impact of the new agreements with Crédit Agricole under which CNP Assurances has given up its role as ceding insurer in favour of that of ceding co-insurer (accounting impact not affecting economic exposure). Excluding this impact, term creditor insurance premiums remained virtually stable compared with the first nine months of 2017.

The APE margin rose to 23.2% from 21.5% in 2017, thanks to an improved savings/pensions product mix and the more favourable economic environment.

In Latin America, premium income totalled €4.0 billion, up 2.5%. At constant exchange rates, the period-on-period increase was 24.9%, reflecting the Brazilian subsidiary's continued robust business performance. Pending fulfilment of the various conditions precedent in the new distribution agreement, the current agreement remains in effect, without any impact on premium income.

Savings/pensions premium income grew 13.6% (up 38.2% at constant exchange rates) to €2.9 billion, primarily led by the pensions business. Caixa Seguradora continued to outperform the Brazilian insurance market, lifting its market share to 10.2% from 8.1% at end-2017. The proportion of savings and pensions premiums represented by unit-linked contracts remained stable at 98.7%. Savings/pensions net inflows rose sharply to €1.7 billion, virtually all of which came from unit-linked contracts.

Personal risk/protection premium income amounted to €1.1 billion, down 18.8% (down 0.7% at constant exchange rates). The dip in term creditor insurance premiums (down 1.5% at constant exchange rates) was mainly due to a one-off premium adjustment in the mortgage term creditor insurance segment (hipotecario) and Caixa Econômica Federal's decision to apply stricter lending criteria.

The APE margin remained high, at 25.6%. This was nonetheless below the 31 December 2017 rate of 32.6%, reflecting a less favourable product mix and the advance recognition of the reduction in CNP Assurances' economic rights from 51.75% to 40% in the business lines included in the new distribution agreement (vida, prestamista, previdência4 ).

3 See table in the appendix, p.7.

4 Life insurance, consumer credit life insurance, private pension plans.

In Europe excluding France, premium income totalled €4.0 billion, an increase of 44.8% (up 29.4% like-for-like).

Savings/pensions premium income was 57.3% higher (up 36.7% like-for-like) at €3.2 billion. Growth was led by sales under the new distribution agreements with UniCredit, which added 32% to the Italian subsidiary's unit-linked premiums. CNP Luxembourg's HNW savings business also enjoyed very strong growth, generating premiums of €423 million over the nine-month period – of which 47% in unit-linked– and putting the subsidiary on track to meet its target of annual premium income of more than €600 million. Net inflows were positive at €1.3 billion (€1.2 billion to unit-linked contracts and €0.1 billion to traditional products).

Personal risk/protection premium income rose 7.7% to €0.7 billion, with growth led by the 8.1% increase in business written by CNP Santander and the 17.8% surge in CNP UniCredit Vita's personal risk/protection business.

The APE margin for the first nine months of 2018 was 15.8% versus 19.1% for the whole of 2017, with the decline attributable to the strong relative growth of the savings business.

Average net technical reserves for the Group totalled €313.7 billion at the period-end compared with €309.7 billion at 30 September 2017, an increase of €4.0 billion or 1.3%.

2. Nine-month 2018 results indicators

Net insurance revenue (NIR) for the first nine months of 2018 came to €2,245 million, up 2.2% (up 10.1% like-for-like).

In France, net insurance revenue grew 5.5% to €1,283 million. The increase was attributable to improved prior year loss ratios in personal risk insurance, higher unit-linked liabilities in the savings business, and stronger underwriting margins in the group pensions business.

In Latin America, net insurance revenue came to €787 million, a slight increase of 0.3% (up 22.5% at constant exchange rates). Growth factors included sharply higher technical reserves in the pensions business, improved loss ratios in the personal risk/protection business, and a one-off term creditor insurance reserve release following a change in local regulations concerning the calculation of insurance liabilities for mortgage insurance.

In Europe excluding France, net insurance revenue contracted by 10.8% to €175 million. As explained previously, during the initial three-year term of the new distribution agreement with UniCredit, which came into effect on 1 January 2018, the joint subsidiary CNP UniCredit Vita will pay UniCredit higher commissions than under the previous agreement. CNP Santander continued to enjoy strong growth in net insurance revenue, which rose 21.8% on the back of ongoing business expansion in Poland, Spain, Italy and Scandinavia.

Revenue from own-funds portfolios amounted to €592 million, down 1.6% (down 0.5% like-for-like). The slight decrease observed in the third quarter of 2018 reflected lower interest rates in Europe and Brazil5 and exceptional amortization of capitalised IT development costs, partly offset by profit-taking on bond portfolios in France.

Total revenue came to €2,837 million, an increase of 1.4% (up 7.8% like-for-like).

Administrative costs amounted to €668 million, down 0.1% (up 4.4% like-for-like). In light of this performance, the Group confirms its objective of a €60 million recurring annual reduction in the cost base by end-2018.

The cost/income ratio remained at a very healthy level (29.8% versus 30.5% for the year-earlier period).

5 The Brazilian central bank cut its base rate from 8.25% at 30 September 2017 to 6.50% at 30 September 2018.

At €2,169 million, EBIT was up 1.9% (up 8.9% like-for-like).

Attributable net profit came to €955 million, an increase of 3.1% (up 5.1% like-for-like).

IFRS book value was €16.2 billion at 30 September 2018, representing €23.55 per share (versus €24.02 per share at 31 December 2017).

The consolidated SCR coverage ratio was 193% at 30 September 2018 versus 198% at 30 June 2018. The decrease already takes into account the BRL 4.65 billion payment to be made by CNP Assurances upon fulfilment of the various conditions precedent included in the new distribution agreement in Brazil, the effect of which was eased slightly by the favourable impact of market conditions in the third quarter. The ratio at 30 September does not include the effect of redeeming the \$500 million Tier 1 subordinated notes issue on 18 October 2018.

*****

CNP Assurances confirms its objective of achieving organic EBIT growth of at least 5% in 2018 compared to the 2017 baseline.

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
%
change
(reported)
% change
(like-for-like)
Premium income 24,581 23,834 +3.1 +6.6
Average net technical reserves 313,662 309,670 +1.3 -
Total revenue 2,837 2,798 +1.4 +7.8
Net insurance revenue (NIR), of which: 2,245 2,196 +2.2 +10.1
France 1,283 1,217 +5.5 +5.5
Latin America 787 784 +0.3 +22.5
Europe excluding France 175 196 -10.8 -11.2
Revenue from own-funds portfolios 592 602 -1.6 -0.5
Administrative costs, of which: 668 669 -0.1 +4.4
France 443 434 +2.1 +2.1
Latin America excluding Youse 113 127 -10.7 +10.7
Youse 24 27 -8.1 +11.7
Europe excluding France 87 82 +6.7 +4.1
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 2,169 2,129 +1.9 +8.9
Finance costs (184) (194) -5.0 -5.0
Income tax expense (719) (691) +4.1 +14.9
Non-controlling and equity-accounted interests (195) (250) -22.3 +1.6
Fair value adjustments and net gains (losses) 136 158 -13.6 -11.3
Non-recurring items (253) (226) +11.8 +11.8
Attributable net profit 955 926 +3.1 +5.1

APPENDICES

Premium income by country

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
% change
(like-for-like)
France 16,564 17,148 -3.4 -1.3
Brazil 4,016 3,906 +2.8 +25.0
Italy 2,775 2,044 +35.8 +35.8
Luxembourg (1) 423 0 n.m. n.m.
Germany 361 346 +4.3 +4.3
Spain 193 153 +26.2 +26.2
Cyprus 111 104 +6.3 +6.3
Poland 61 50 +22.6 +22.6
Scandinavia 39 36 +9.3 +9.3
Argentina 22 31 -29.8 +15.6
Other International 16 15 +5.2 +5.2
Total International 8,017 6,685 +19.9 +32.2
Total 24,581 23,834 +3.1 +6.6

(1) CNP Luxembourg was consolidated for the first time at 31 December 2017.

Premium income by segment

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
% change
(like-for-like)
Savings 15,724 14,916 +5.4 +5.1
Pensions 3,772 3,436 +9.8 +28.0
Personal Risk Insurance 1,391 1,407 -1.1 +5.3
Term Creditor Insurance 3,055 3,333 -8.4 -5.5
Health Insurance 382 448 -14.8 -12.3
Property & Casualty 258 293 -11.9 +4.4
Total 24,581 23,834 +3.1 +6.6

Premium income by country and by segment

9 months 2018
(in € millions) Savings Pensions Personal
Risk
Term
Creditor
Insurance
Health
Insurance
Property &
Casualty
Total
France 12,463 855 965 1,976 305 0 16,564
Brazil 33 2,907 390 413 52 220 4,016
Italy 2,636 8 15 116 0 0 2,775
Luxembourg (1) 423 0 0 0 0 0 423
Germany 0 0 0 361 0 0 361
Spain 122 1 0 70 0 0 193
Cyprus 41 0 9 0 24 37 111
Poland 0 0 1 60 0 0 61
Scandinavia 0 0 0 39 0 0 39
Argentina 4 0 10 7 0 1 22
Other International 2 0 0 13 0 0 16
Total International 3,261 2,917 426 1,079 77 258 8,017
Total 15,724 3,772 1,391 3,055 382 258 24,581

(1) CNP Luxembourg was consolidated for the first time at 31 December 2017.

Premium income by region and by partner/subsidiary

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
La Banque Postale 6,176 7,010 -11.9
BPCE 5,763 6,259 -7.9
CNP Patrimoine 1,656 661 +150.4
Companies and local authorities 1,379 1,297 +6.3
Financial institutions 942 1,137 -17.2
Mutual insurers 390 427 -8.6
Amétis 234 250 -6.4
Other France 24 106 n.m.
Total France 16,564 17,148 -3.4
Caixa Seguradora (Brazil) 4,016 3,906 +2.8
CNP UniCredit Vita (Italy) 2,574 1,892 +36.1
CNP Santander Insurance (Ireland) 548 507 +8.1
CNP Luxembourg (Luxembourg) (1) 423 0 n.m.
CNP Partners (Spain) 280 206 +35.9
CNP Cyprus Insurance Holdings (Cyprus) 114 106 +7.3
CNP Assurances Compañía de Seguros (Argentina) 22 31 -29.8
Other International 39 36 +6.6
Total International 8,017 6,685 +19.9
Total 24,581 23,834 +3.1

(1) CNP Luxembourg was consolidated for the first time at 31 December 2017.

Unit-linked sales by region and by partner/subsidiary

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
La Banque Postale 1,013 1,075 -5.8
BPCE 1,224 1,354 -9.6
CNP Patrimoine 735 267 +175.7
Amétis 78 73 +7.2
Other France 26 22 +19.1
Total Unit-linked France 3,076 2,790 +10.2
Caixa Seguradora (Brazil) 2,906 2,547 +14.1
CNP UniCredit Vita (Italy) 1,890 1,436 +31.6
CNP Luxembourg (Luxembourg) (1) 201 0 n.m.
CNP Partners (Spain) 124 84 +48.3
CNP Cyprus Insurance Holdings (Cyprus) 40 36 +12.7
Total Unit-linked International 5,161 4,102 +25.8
Total Unit-linked 8,237 6,892 +19.5

(1) CNP Luxembourg was consolidated for the first time at 31 December 2017.

Unit-linked sales as a proportion of savings/pensions premiums by region

9 months 2018
(in € millions) Savings/Pensions o/w Unit-linked o/w Traditional % Unit-linked
France 13,318 3,076 10,242 23.1
Latin America 2,944 2,906 38 98.7
Europe excluding France 3,233 2,255 978 69.7
Total 19,495 8,237 11,259 42.2

Caixa Seguradora premium income by segment in BRL

(in BRL millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
Savings 143 137 +4.0
Pensions 12,493 9,013 +38.6
Personal Risk Insurance 1,676 1,628 +3.0
Term Creditor Insurance 1,774 1,798 -1.3
Health Insurance 223 339 -34.1
Property & Casualty 946 901 +5.0
Total 17,255 13,816 +25.0

CNP UniCredit Vita premium income by segment

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
Savings 2,492 1,820 +37.0
Pensions 8 10 -18.0
Personal Risk Insurance 14 12 +23.2
Term Creditor Insurance 60 51 +16.6
Total 2,574 1,892 +36.1

CNP Santander Insurance premium income by country

(in € millions) 9 months
2018
9 months
2017
% change
(reported)
Germany 361 346 +4.2
Poland 61 50 +22.6
Spain 53 44 +20.2
Scandinavia 39 36 +9.3
Italy 26 23 +10.7
Other International 9 8 +7.6
Total 548 507 +8.1

INVESTOR CALENDAR

  • 2018 premium income and profit: Thursday, 21 February 2019 at 7:30 a.m.
  • Annual General Meeting: Thursday, 18 April 2019
  • First-quarter 2019 results indicators: Thursday, 16 May 2019 at 7:30 a.m.
  • First-half 2019 premium income and profit: Monday, 29 July 2019 at 7:30 a.m.
  • Nine-month 2019 results indicators: Friday, 15 November 2019 at 7:30 a.m.

This press release, along with all of CNP Assurances' regulated information published in accordance with Article L.451-1-2 of the French Monetary and Financial Code and Articles 222-1 et seq. of the Autorité des Marchés Financiers' General Regulations, is available on the Group's investor information website www.cnp.fr/en/investoranalyst.

ABOUT CNP ASSURANCES

CNP Assurances is France's leading personal insurer, with net profit of €1,285 million in 2017. The Group has operations in other European countries and in Latin America, with a significant presence in Brazil, its second largest market.

It has more than 38 million personal risk/protection insureds worldwide and over 14 million savings/pensions policyholders. Acting as an insurer, co-insurer and reinsurer, CNP Assurances develops innovative personal risk insurance and savings solutions. These solutions are distributed by many partners and are tailored to their distribution methods, ranging from physical networks to full online, and to policyholders' needs in each country.

CNP Assurances has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since October 1998 and has a stable core shareholder base (Caisse des Dépôts, La Banque Postale, Groupe BPCE and the French State).

Contacts

Press Florence de Montmarin | +33 (0)1 42 18 86 51 Tamara Bernard | +33 (0)1 42 18 86 19 Investors and analysts

[email protected]

Vincent Damas | +33 (0)1 42 18 71 31 Jean-Yves Icole | +33 (0)1 42 18 86 70 Typhaine Lissot | +33 (0)1 42 18 83 66 Julien Rouch | +33 (0)1 42 18 94 93

[email protected]

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Disclaimer:

Some of the statements contained in this presentation may be forward-looking statements referring to projections, future events, trends or objectives that, by their very nature, involve inherent risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those currently anticipated in such statements. These risks and uncertainties may concern factors such as changes in general economic conditions and financial market performance, legal or regulatory decisions or changes, changes in the frequency and amount of insured claims, changes in interest rates and foreign exchange rates, changes in the policies of central banks or governments, legal proceedings, the effects of acquisitions and divestments, and general factors affecting competition. Further information regarding factors which may cause results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements is included in CNP Assurances' filings with the Autorité des Marchés Financiers. CNP Assurances does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements presented herein to take into account any new information, future event or other factors.

Certain prior-period information may be reclassified on a basis consistent with current year data. The sum of the amounts presented in this document may not correspond exactly to the total indicated in the tables and the text. Percentages and percentage changes are calculated based on unrounded figures and there may be certain minor differences between the amounts and percentages due to rounding. CNP Assurances' final solvency indicators are submitted post-publication to the insurance supervisor and may differ from the explicit and implicit estimates contained in this document.

This document may contain alternative performance measures (such as EBIT) that are considered useful by CNP Assurances but are not recognised in the IFRS adopted for use in the European Union. These measures should be treated as additional information and not as substitutes for the balance sheet and income statement prepared in accordance with IFRS. They may not be comparable with those published by other companies, as their definition may vary from one company to another.