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CMT — Investor Presentation 2024
Mar 27, 2024
52166_rns_2024-03-27_5545a923-0a64-4657-bfc6-d076321f0c37.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Stock Code:2612 TT
Q1 Investor Presentation
By: Ban-Jen Tarng Company Spokesperson 29[th] March 2024
Summar of Presentation y
Capesize Market Outlook
- Dry Bulk Shipping Market Trends
The Company Overview
- Appendices
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1
Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
Outlook
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Ca esize Market Outlook p
Q1 Average Spot Rate Reached Highest Level Since 2010
-
Cape 5TC averaged US$ 24,365 in Q1; PRC iron ore imports increased by 8% YoY during January and February while coal imports increased by 30% YoY during the same period
-
Strong freight rates reflect higher Brazilian iron ore export, tighter tonnage supply in the Atlantic, and iron ore price averaging +$100/tonne
Iron Ore Prices Remain High and FFA Rates Improves
-
Iron ore prices averaged at US$128/tonne in Q1; 2H 2024 FFA averages US$ 25,000
-
Rising ship asset values reflect optimism over next few years
Global Fleet Net Growth Remains Relatively Low
-
14 new ships joined the global fleet so far in 2024, while 4 vintage ships were scrapped in first 3 months
-
Capesize net fleet growth is about 0.54% in Q1
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Short-term Outlook
-
PRC iron ore and coal imports increase over same period last year but iron ore stockpile has increased to highest level in a year. Overall economy and real estate market is still under great stress but appetite for steel product remains strong
-
The 3[rd] and 4[th] NBs will be delivered during Q2 2024 which will further enhance the Company’s overall performance; one ship is now trading in the spot market as part of the diverse chartering strategy
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 3
Market Influencin Factors g
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Bullish Factors Bearish Factors
Low NB Delivery Numbers High Iron Ore Stockpile in PRC
Stronger Commodity Exports PRC Economy and Real Estate
Higher Demand for Coal in Asia Volatile FFA Trading
Increase of Tonne-miles Vintage Tonnages Delay Exiting
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4
Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
PRC Ke Indicators y
-
PRC’s gross domestic product in 2023 reached about 18 trillion U.S. Dollars or equivalent to growth of about 5.2% The full for 2024 is around 5.3% y-o-y. year target
-
PRC’s crude steel production between January and February reached about 168 million tonnes, up by about 1.6% y-o-y; the country exported about 15 million tonnes of steel products between January and February, about 32.6%
-
up by y-o-y
-
Compared to end 2023, China Steel Price Index (CSPI) decreased by 1.18% at end-February to 111.57 points
-
The country imported about 209 million tonnes of iron ore between and about 8.1% January February, up by y-
-
o-y, while coal imports reached about 74 million tonnes, about 22.9%
-
up by y-o-y
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 5
Shi in Market Outlook - Demand pp g
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Iron Ore Coal
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Clarksons Platou forecasts Chinese iron ore imports to decrease by 1% in 2024 while Brazilian export volume is expected to increase by 2% and Australian export volume to increase by 1%; global iron ore demand is remain the same level in 2024
Clarksons Platou forecasts Chinese coal imports to decrease by 7% in 2024 while Australian export volume is expected to increase by 2% and Indonesian export volume to decrease by 4%; global coal demand is projected to reduce by 1% in 2024
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6
Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
Shi in Market Outlook - Su l pp g pp y
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Newbuildings
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Ship Scrapping
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According to S&P Global, total 56 capesize bulkers were delivered in 2023 with fleet net growth at 2.4%; 42 capesize bulkers are expected to be delivered in 2024
Demolition quantity of capesize bulkers reached 9 in 2023 while more vintage - bulkers are to be recycled this year 15 units are expected to be scrapped in 2024
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
7
Dry Bulk Shipping Market Trends
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BDI 2022-2024
Baltic Exchange Dry Index
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BDI Avg.
Year 2022 1,934
5000
Year 2023 1,378
Jan - Mar 2024 1,823 23/May/2022
BDI: 3,369 4/Dec/2023
4000 BDI: 3,346
18/Mar/2024
BDI: 2,419
3000
17/Jan/2024 31/Aug/2022
BDI: 1,308 BDI: 965
2000
1000
16/Feb/2023
BDI: 530
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2022 BDI 2023 BDI 2024 BDI
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
9
BCI 2022-2024
Baltic Exchange Capesize Index
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7000
5TC Avg. BCI Avg.
Year 2022 $16,177 1,951
4/Dec/2023
6000 Year 2023 $16,389 1,976 BCI: 6,582
Jan - Mar 2024 $24,365 2,938
23/May/2022
5000 BCI: 4,602
11/Mar/2024
BCI: 4,314
4000
17/Jan/2024
BCI:1,733
3000
2000
1000
31/Aug/2022
17/Feb/2023
BCI:302
BCI: 271
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2022 BCI 2023 BCI 2024 BCI
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 10
2022- 2024 BCI/BPI/BSI/BHSI Rates
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Spot TCE (US$)
90,000
80,000
70,000
Capesize 5TC (180K)
60,000
2024/3/26 - $24,580
50,000
Kamsarmax 5TC (82K)
2024/3/26 - $18,392
40,000
30,000
Supra/Ultramax 10TC (58K)
2024/3/26 - $15,130
20,000
10,000
Handysize 7TC (38K)
2024/3/26 - $14,118
0
Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Jul-23 Oct-23 Jan-24
Capesize 5TC (180K) Kamsarmax 5TC (82K) Supra/Ultramax 10TC (58K) Handysize 7TC (38K)
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 11
Global Econom and Dr Bulk Trade y y
-
IMF projects global GDP to grow by 3.1% in 2024
-
Clarksons Platou forecasts dry bulk seaborne trade to increase by 1.2% in 2024
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8
6.2
5.8 5.8
6 5.6
4.8
3.8 3.7
4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.4
3.1 3.1
2.7 2.8
2 1.6
1.2
0.4 0.5
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024(f)
-1.1
-2
-2.9
-3.1
-4
Global GDP Growth (%) Dry Bulk Trade Growth (%)
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Source: IMF & Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 12
Dr Bulk Seaborne Trade Forecast y
| -0.1% -0.5% 6.1% 0.1% 1.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.7% -0.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.1% -4.5% 2.1% 1.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% Iron Ore 1,546 Coal 1,296 Bauxite 174 Capesize focus cargoes total 3,016 Grain 533 Forest Products 347 Steel Products 386 Fertilizer 192 Agribulks 189 Cement 119 Scrap 101 Petroleum Coke 96 Sugar 64 Salt 49 Nickel Ore 54 Manganese Ore 48 Others 372 2024(E) Total Dry Bulk 5,565 YoY Million Tonnes Cape Focus |
-0.1% -0.5% 6.1% 0.1% 1.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.7% -0.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.1% -4.5% 2.1% 1.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% Iron Ore 1,546 Coal 1,296 Bauxite 174 Capesize focus cargoes total 3,016 Grain 533 Forest Products 347 Steel Products 386 Fertilizer 192 Agribulks 189 Cement 119 Scrap 101 Petroleum Coke 96 Sugar 64 Salt 49 Nickel Ore 54 Manganese Ore 48 Others 372 2024(E) Total Dry Bulk 5,565 YoY Million Tonnes Cape Focus |
-0.1% -0.5% 6.1% 0.1% 1.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.7% -0.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.1% -4.5% 2.1% 1.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% Iron Ore 1,546 Coal 1,296 Bauxite 174 Capesize focus cargoes total 3,016 Grain 533 Forest Products 347 Steel Products 386 Fertilizer 192 Agribulks 189 Cement 119 Scrap 101 Petroleum Coke 96 Sugar 64 Salt 49 Nickel Ore 54 Manganese Ore 48 Others 372 2024(E) Total Dry Bulk 5,565 YoY Million Tonnes Cape Focus |
|---|---|---|
| 2024(E) Total Dry Bulk 5,565 | 1.2% |
Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 13
Dry Bulk Seaborne Trade vs. Fleet Growth
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7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024(f)
-1.0%
-2.0%
-3.0%
-4.0%
Seaborne Trade Growth (YoY) Dry Bulk Fleet Growth (YoY)
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 14
Global Iron Ore Ex orts p
Clarksons Platou forecasts global iron ore exports remain the same level in 2024
Iron Ore
Million Tonnes
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1600 1528 1547 1546
1478
1400
1200
1000 871 884 894 902
800
600
355 342 373 379
400
200
0
2021 2022 2023 2024(f)
Brazil Australia Total
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 15
Global Coal Ex orts p
Clarksons Platou forecasts global coal exports to reduce by 1% in 2024
Coal
Million Tonnes
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1600
1400 1303 1295
1226 1228
1200
1000
800
600 517 498
465
432
366 339 353 359
400
200
0
2021 2022 2023 2024(f)
Australia Indonesia Total
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 16
Global Coal Prices
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Source: MacroMicro
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 17
Iron Ore Price Trend
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240
220 May 2021
200 US$ 233.10/MT
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
December 2015
20 US$ 37.00/MT
62% FE CFR China, US$/MT
0
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21 Jan-22 Jan-23 Jan-24
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Source: MacroMicro
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 18
PRC Crude Steel Price
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180 7500
160
6700
140
120
5900
100
80
5100
60
40
4300
20
0 3500
1-Jan-2022 1-Jun-2022 1-Nov-2022 1-Apr-2023 1-Sep-2023 1-Feb-2024
62% FE CFR China, US$/mt Hot Roll Steel Plate (SPHC), RMB/mt
62% FE CFR China, US$/mt
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Source: MacroMicro
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 19
World Steel Production Trend
PRC’s y-o-y growth rate in 2023: +2.0%; Full year y-o-y projection for 2024: +2.0%
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Source: Drewry Maritime Research
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
20
PRC Commodit Seaborne Im orts y p
-
PRC’s demand for iron ore is projected to decrease by 1% in 2024 to 1.147 billion tonnes
-
PRC’s demand for coal imports is estimated to decrease by 7% in 2024 to 336 million tonnes
Iron Ore
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Million Tonnes
1180 77%
1160 76%
1140
75%
1120
74%
1100
73%
1080
72%
1060
71%
1040
70%
1020
1000 69%
980 68%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024(f)
Chinese Iron Ore Import % of global imports
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Coal
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Million Tonnes
400 30%
350
25%
300 %
20%
250
200 15%
150
10%
100
5%
50
0 0%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024(f)
Chinese Coal Import % of global imports
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 21
PRC Iron Ore Im orts p
| 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Million |
Tonnes |
|---|---|
| Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2022 2023 2024 |
Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 22
Iron Ore Stock iles at PRC Ports p
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165
152
139
126
113
100
Source: MacroMicro
Million tonnes
Jan 21 Mar 21 May 21 Jul 21 Sep 21 Nov 21 Jan 22 Mar 22 May 22 Jul 22 Sep 22 Nov 22 Jan 23 Mar 23 May 23 Jul 23 Sep 23 Nov 23 Jan 24 Mar 24
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 23
Newbuildin Orders are Limited g
Capesize Supply Development
Capesize Orderbook for delivery
m. DWT
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No.
160
140
120
100
80
60 39
40 28 21
14 11
20
0
Delivered in Remaining 2025 2026 2027
Mar 2024 2024
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160 30
3.76% 4.32%
140 25 3.91% 5.00%
20
120
15 1.79% 2.29% 3.00%
100
10
80 0.54%
5 1.00%
60 39 0
40 14 28 21 11 -5 -1.00%
20 -10
0 -15 -3.00%
Delivered in Remaining 2025 2026 2027 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Jan-Mar
Mar 2024 2024 2024
Scrapping New Deliveries Net Fleet Growth
MAR 2024
ORDERBOOK AS %
AVERAGE AGE OVER 15 YEARS OLD SCRAPPING AS %
OF EXISTING FLEET
OF EXISTING FLEET
Handysize
10% 13.3 26% 0.00%
(10,000 - 40,000 dwt)
Handymax (incl. Supramax & Ultramax)
9% 11.9 23% 0.00%
(40,000 - 65,000 dwt)
Panamax (incl, Kamsarmax)
12% 11.8 26% 0.00%
(65,000 - 100,000 dwt)
Capesize
6% 10.6 14% 0.00%
(100,000 + dwt)
Total Dry Bulk > 10,000 dwt
9% 12.1 20% 0.00%
Source: Clarksons Platou
CMT Fleet Average Age: 10.33
Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 24
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Ca esize A e Profile p g
Capesize Age Profile (170,000 - 220,000 DWT)
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No.
200
187
173
150 143
100 90
83
79
71 73 71
63
55 57
51 50 52
47
50 38 43
32
24 23
13 14
10
2 3
0
25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Years
Total Vessels: 1,547
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Source: S&P Global
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 25
CII Regulation
It is expected that half bulkers will fall into CII - D&E rating in 2026
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 26
Newbuildin /2[nd] Hand Sale Prices g
| TYPE | TYPE | PRICE (IN US$ MILLION) | PRICE (IN US$ MILLION) | PRICE (IN US$ MILLION) | PRICE (IN US$ MILLION) | PRICE (IN US$ MILLION) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YEAR | 2022 | 2023 | Mar 2024 | |||
| 208,000 DWT | NB | 67.0 | 74.0 |
10% |
75.0 | 1% |
| 180,000 DWT | NB | 60.5 | 67.0 |
11% |
68.0 | 1% |
| 180,000 DWT (ECO) | 5-YR | 43.0 | 52.3 |
22% | 62.0 | 19% |
| 180,000 DWT | 10-YR | 28.0 | 31.0 |
11% | 43.0 | 39% |
| 176,000 DWT | 15-YR | 18.5 | 20.5 |
11% | 29.0 | 41% |
Source: Clarksons Platou & Internal Assessment
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 27
The Company Overview
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Com an Profile p y
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Shipping :
CMT owns and manages a fleet of 12 capesize bulkers to offer dedicated services to customers for transportation of dry bulk commodities around the globe
Trucking :
Associated Transport Inc. is one of Taiwan’s largest intermodal container trucking operators that provides container drayage and related services island-wide
Terminals :
CMT Logistics Co., Ltd. operates two containers terminals in northern Taiwan with great access the country’s major ports to offer import/export express services to customers
Air & Tourism :
CMT Air Cargo Department is the General Sales Agent (GSA) of Saudi Arabian Airlines in Taiwan
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation
29
Entities Revenue Ratio for 2023
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59%
Shipping
Trucking and
39%
Terminals
Agency and
2%
Travel
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 30
CMT Ca esize Fleet p
| China Peace | China Peace | China Progress | China Progress | China Progress | China Pride | China Pride | China Pride | China Triumph | China Triumph | China Triumph | China Prosperity | China Prosperity | China Prosperity | China Pioneer | China Pioneer | China Pioneer | China Fortune | China Fortune |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 中華和平輪 | 中華富進輪 | 中華榮耀輪 | 中華光輝輪 | 中華鴻運輪 | 中華先鋒輪 | 中華偉運輪 | ||||||||||||
| 174,413 DWT | 174,322 DWT | 177,856 DWT | 203,028 DWT | 203,028 DWT | 206,079 DWT | 206,061 DWT | ||||||||||||
| 2005 | 2006 | 2009 | 2011 | 2012 | 2012 | 2013 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | 2017 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||||||||
| Newbuilding 210,000 DWT |
Newbuilding 210,000 DWT |
China Champion 中華冠軍輪 210,183 DWT |
China Venture 中華興業輪 210,269 DWT |
China Honour 中華名望輪 179,562 DWT |
China Enterprise 中華偉業輪 207,986 DWT |
China Harmony 中華和諧輪 179,505 DWT |
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 31
2019-2023 Financial Hi hli hts g g
Expressed in millions of New Taiwan Dollars
| Year | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,763 | 3,132 | 3,554 | 4,410 | 4,015 |
| Net Profit/(Loss) | 324 | 320 | 1,031 |
758 | 324 |
| EPS | 1.64 | 1.67 | 5.27 | 3.88 | 1.66 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
3,288 | 3,221 |
3,057 |
3,989 | 3,947 |
| Total liabilities | 10,022 | 9,735 | 8,650 | 8,799 | 11,764 |
| Total equity | 9,934 | 9,750 | 10,428 | 11,652 | 11,649 |
| ROE % | 3.2% | 3.3% | 10.3% | 6.87% | 2.78% |
| ROA % | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.45% | 2.82% |
| Liability % | 50% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 51% |
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 32
Dividends Distribution
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Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash dividends/ Capital
1.30 2.50 0.50 0.50 1.60 0.80 1.60 2.68 2.18 1.00
Reduction (NT$)
EPS (NT$) 1.30 1.30 0.21 0.50 2.60 1.64 1.67 5.27 3.88 1.66
3.50 238% 250%
3.00 192%
200%
2.50 2.68
2.30
150%
2.00
2.18
100%
1.50 100% 1.60
1.60 100%
96%
1.00 1.30 60%
56%
62% 1.00 50%
51%
0.80
0.50 49%
0.50 0.50
0.20
0.00 0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash Dividend Capital Reduction Dividend Payout Ratio
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*Cash dividend NT$ 0.20 plus capital reduction NT$2.30 = NT$2.50
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 33
Appendix 1:Condensed Balance Sheet
| Expressed in millions of New Taiwan Dollars | Expressed in millions of New Taiwan Dollars | |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 |
| Current assets | 5,279 | 4,974 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 15,963 | 13,875 |
| Intangible assets | 4 | 5 |
| Other non current assets | 2,168 | 1,597 |
| Total assets | 23,414 | 20,451 |
| Liabilities and Equity | ||
| Current liabilities | 4,283 | 3,290 |
| Non Current liabilities | 7,481 | 5,509 |
| Total liabilities | 11,764 | 8,799 |
| Equity attributable to owners of parent | ||
| Common stock | 1,975 | 1,975 |
| Capital surplus | 53 | 53 |
| Retained earnings | 9,464 | 9,568 |
| Other equityinterest | 93 | 47 |
| Non-controllinginterests | 65 | 9 |
| Total equity | 11,650 | 11,652 |
| Total liabilities and equity | 23,414 20,451 |
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 34
: Appendix 2 Condensed Statement of Comprehensive Income
| Expressed in thousands of New Taiwan Dollars | Expressed in thousands of New Taiwan Dollars | |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |
| Operating Revenues | 4,014,892 | 4,409,999 |
| Operating costs | 3,157,517 | 3,024,721 |
| Gross profit | 857,375 | 1,385,278 |
| Operating expenses | 483,101 | 456,075 |
| Net operating income | 374,274 | 929,203 |
| Non operating income and expenses | 58,289 | (88,010) |
| Profit before tax | 432,563 | 841,193 |
| Less: tax expenses | 108,695 | 83,222 |
| Profit | 323,868 | 757,971 |
| Other comprehensive income, net | 44,381 | 994,840 |
| Comprehensive income | 368,249 | 1,752,811 |
| Earnings per share | 1.66 3.88 |
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 35
: Appendix 3 Corporate Bonds Issuance
| Tranche | 2020-the first secured -A |
2020-the first secured -B |
2020-the first secured -C |
2020-the first secured -D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amount (NT$ 100M) |
10 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Tenor | 5 Years | 5 Years | 5 Years | 5 Years |
| Due Date | 28-Aug-2025 | 28-Aug-2025 | 28-Aug-2025 | 28-Aug-2025 |
| Interest Rate | 0.64% | 0.64% | 0.66% | 0.66% |
| Interest Payment | Annually | Annually | Annually | Annually |
| Guarantee Bank | Mega Bank | Shanghai Commercial Bank |
Mega Bank |
Shanghai Commercial Bank |
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 36
Disclaimer
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by CMT. Though the information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from market sources believed to be reliable, CMT makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.
The material and the information contained herein are provided for general information purposes, and may not be reproduced without the written permission of CMT. CMT shall not be liable to the recipient or any third party for any loss, liability or damage, cost or expense including without limitation, direct, indirect, consequential loss or damage, any loss of profit, loss of use, loss of or interruption in business, loss of goodwill, loss of data arising out of, or in connection with, the use of and the reliance on the information whether in contract, tort, negligence, bailment, breach of statutory duty or otherwise, even if foreseeable. This disclaimer shall be governed by and construed in accordance with Laws of Taiwan, R.O.C.
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statement contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. In light of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward looking events discussed in this presentation might not occur, and our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.
Contact Information
Web Site: www.cmt.tw
Head Office:
15 Jinan Road Sect 1 Taipei Taiwan R.O.C. Tel:+886(0)2 2396 3282 Fax:+886(0)2 2391 6165
Investor Relations:
Spokesperson: BJ Tarng, Vice President Tel: +886(0)2 2397 6670 Fax: +886(0)2 2356 8085 Email: [email protected]
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Mar/2024 Investor Presentation 37
Thank You!
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