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CMT — Investor Presentation 2020
Apr 17, 2020
52166_rns_2020-04-17_029a2d96-279a-4f61-b1f3-70fcc5059155.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Stock Code:2612 TT
Investor Presentation
by: James Tarng , Vice President
17[th] April 2020
Summar of Presentation y
Outlook and Strategies
World Economic and Shipping Market Trends
-
The Company Overview
-
Appendices
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1
2019 Investor Presentation
Outlook and Strategies
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Outlook and Strate ies g
Impact of Coronavirus Crisis
- The Covid-19 epidemic has devastated the entire world causing meltdown of shipping, financial, and oil markets so far in 2020; if the pandemic could be somehow contained from 3Q/2020, we can still reasonably expect a recovery in freight rates
PRC Demand for Raw Materials
- PRC’s announcement of infrastructure investment shall increase its demand for iron ore and coal- indirectly supporting the cape market
2020 Sulphur Cap
- Crashing of crude oil price results in bunker prices plunging- IFO and LSFO price spread has been below US$100/ton
Tonnage Supply Tightens (for now)
-
Installation of scrubbers and accelerated scrapping is temporarily limiting fleet growth
-
Flexible Chartering Strategies
We continue to forge strong relationships with major miners and operators to have a mixture of long and short period charters in order to prevail in a cyclical market
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2019 Investor Presentation 3
Shi in Market Outlook pp g
Demand Supply Market Mechanism
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-
Iron Ore Brazilian exports gradually
return to normal but recently have
been disrupted by heavy rain; PRC
demand remains stable with +2% y-o-y
increase
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Newbuildings - newbuilding
deliveries remain high with 28 ships
joining fleet in 1Q/2020; fleet to grow
by 4.3% this year
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delivered
+1.3% Y-o-Y
in 2020
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-
Coal PRC domestic production shall
increase this year which may reduce
imports from Australia and Indonesia
this year
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Tonnage Supply- vintage VLOC
scrapping is likely to accelerate this
year and NB delivery schedule is
possibly delayed
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 4
World Economy and Shipping Market Trends
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World Econom Decelerates y
-
IMF projected global GDP in 2020 to grow by 3.4% it recently revised the figure drastically to -3%
-
Uncertainties: Covid-19 pandemic, economic meltdown worldwide, and volatility of oil prices
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EU
-7.1%
Japan
USA -5.2%
-5.9% China
India 1.2%
1.9%
Africa
-1.7%
Brazil
-5.3% Australia
-6.7%
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Source: IMF
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6
2019 Investor Presentation
Dry Bulk Seaborne Trade Expects to Grow by 0.5% in 2020
Dry bulk seaborne trade declined last year due to Vale dam incident and trade is expected to improve this year unless Covid-19 pandemic cannot be contained in 2H/2020
-
Major Driving Force:PRC’s demand for iron ore and coal together
-
with demand for minor bulk from other emerging markets
% of Dry Bulk Cargoes
YOY Growth
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28%
39%
Iron Ore
Coal
Grain
Minor Bulk
24%
9%
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6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020(f)
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 7
Global Iron Ore/Coal Ex orts p
-
Brazilian export volume is projected to improve by 28 million tons or 8.3% Y-o-Y
-
Clarksons Platou forecasts global iron ore export to increase by 1.0% while coal exports to decrease by 1.4% in 2020
Iron Ore
Million Tons
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1600
1473 1477 1455 1474
1400
1200
1000
828 835 836 850
800
600
380 387 366
400 338
200
0
2017 2018 2019 2020(f)
Brazil Australia Total
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Coal
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1400
1263 1291 1273
1205
1200
1000
800
600
457 459
386 422
365 380 386 388
400
200
83 100 80 68
0
2017 2018 2019 2020(f)
Australia Indonesia USA Total
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 8
Iron Ore/Coal Prices
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140 July 2019
Iron ore CFR prices hover
US$126.35/MT
120 between US$80-100/ton; highest
level of US$126/ton in July 2019
100
80
60
40
20
62% FE, US$/MT
0
Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20
140
120
100
80
60
Australian coal prices has been
40 weak since 1Q/2019 and
averaged US$68/ton in 2H/2019 August 2019
20 US$65.55/MT
Australian Steam Coal, US$/MT
0
Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20
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Source: GFI Iron Ore & Steel
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2019 Investor Presentation 9
Chinese Crude Steel Production and Electricit Consum tion y p
Jan-Feb 2020 accumulated growth rate in production: 3.1% Jan-Feb 2020 accumulated growth rate in consumption: -7.8%
China Crude Steel Production
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Million Tons Growth %
1200 16%
14%
1000
12%
10%
800
8%
600 6%
4%
400
2%
0%
200
-2%
0 -4%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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China Electricity Consumption
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TWH Growth %
8000 9%
7000 8%
7%
6000
6%
5000
5%
4000
4%
3000
3%
2000
2%
1000 1%
0 0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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Source: World Steel Association & 中國國家能源局
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2019 Investor Presentation 10
orts Chinese Iron Ore/Coal Im p
-
PRC’s demand for iron ore is estimated to increase by 2% in 2020 to 1.065 billion tons
-
PRC’s demand of coal imports is projected to decrease by 3% to 247 million tons
-
PRC ‘s demand of bauxite imports will grow by 13% to 119 million tons in 2020
Million Tons
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1200 73%
72%
1000
71%
800 70%
69%
600
68%
400 67%
66%
200
65%
0 64%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020(f)
%
Chinese Iron Ore % of global imports
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Million Tons
300 25%
250
20%
200%
15%
150
10%
100
5%
50
0 0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020(f)
%
Chinese Coal % of global imports
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 11
Bulker Newbuildin Orders g
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Dry Bulk New Ship Ordering
Capesize Orderbook for Delivery
% of Fleet (Dwt)
No. 100% 91%
140 87%
90% 81%
120 80%
100 70% 62%
60%
80
50%
37%
60 40%
40 30% [24%]
20% 17% [21%] 18% 13% [15%] [16%] 13% 12%
20
10%
0 0%
Delivered Remaining 2020 2021 2022 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Q1/2020 2020 Feb
Capesize Ordering (100,000 + dwt) Total Bulk Fleet Ordering
Jan/Feb 2020
ORDERBOOK AS %
AVERAGE AGE OVER 20 YEARS OLD SCRAPPING AS %
OF EXISTING FLEET
OF EXISTING FLEET
Handysize
4% 11.6 13% 0.19%
(10,000 - 40,000 dwt)
Handymax (incl. Supramax & Ultramax)
6% 9.8 7% 0.14%
(40,000 - 65,000 dwt)
Panamax (incl, Kamsarmax)
9% 10.0 8% 0.09%
(65,000 - 100,000 dwt)
Capesize
12% 8.7 4% 0.69%
(100,000 + dwt)
Total Dry Bulk > 10,000 dwt
9% 10.2 9% 0.35%
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 12
Ca esize Fleet Su l p pp y
Million DWT
Capesize Supply Development
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25.0 6.00%
19.00
20.0
3.91% 4.00%
15.0
10.0
6.81
2.00%
5.0
0.63%
0.0 0.00%
-5.0
4.62
5.90 -2.00%
-10.0
-15.0
-4.00%
-20.0
-25.0 -6.00%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Mar
Scrapping New Deliveries Net Fleet Growth
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 13
Newbuildin /2[nd] Hand Sale Prices g
| Prices | Prices | At End of Year | At End of Year | At End of Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (US$ Million) | 2018 | 2019 | March 2020 | |
| 180,000 dwt | NB | 50.0 | 49.5 | 49.5 |
| 180,000 dwt | Resale | 52.0 | 52.0 | 50.0 |
| 180,000 dwt (eco) |
5 – yr | 41.3 | 37.5 | 36.0 |
| 180,000 dwt (non-eco) |
5 – yr | 33.5 | 28.0 | 27.0 |
| 180,000 dwt | 10 – yr | 24.0 | 22.0 | 21.0 |
| 176,000 dwt | 15 - yr | 15.0 | 13.5 | 13.0 |
Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 14
BDI 2018-1Q/2020
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2600 3/Sep/2019
BDI: 2,501
2400
2200 24/Jul/2018
BDI: 1,774
2000
1800
1600
6/Apr/2018
1/Jan/2020 BDI: 948
1400
BDI: 974
1200
1000 11/Feb/2019
BDI: 595
800
600
400 10/Feb/2020
BDI: 411
200
0
2018 2019 2020 Mar
BDI averaged 592 points in 1Q/2020, versus 798 points in 1Q/2019
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2019 Investor Presentation 15
BCI 2018-1Q/2020
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5500 4/Sep/2019
BCI: 5,403
6/Aug/2018
BCI: 3,654
4500
3500
2/Jan/2020
BCI: 1,646
2500
5/Apr/2018
BCI: 809
1500
2/Apr/2019
500
BCI: 92
-500
9/Mar/2020
BCI: -372
-1500
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Source: Clarksons Platou
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2018 2019 2020 Mar
BCI averaged 93 points in 1Q/2020, versus 964 points in 1Q/2019
5TC averaged $4,558 in 1Q/2020, versus $8,739 in 1Q/2019
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2019 Investor Presentation 16
Dr Bulk Main Tradin Routes y g
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Source: Clarksons Platou & Fearnleys
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17
2019 Investor Presentation
BCI Plummeted to Ne ative Territor g y
| Route | Description | Route value | |
| C2 Tubarao to Rotterdam $3.84 |
|||
| C3 Tubarao to Qingdao $11.41 |
|||
| C4 Richards Bay to Rotterdam $4.00 |
|||
| C5 West Australia to Qingdao $4.28 |
|||
| C7 Bolivar to Rotterdam $6.17 |
|||
| C17 Saldanha Bay to Qingdao $8.88 |
|||
| C8_14 Gibraltar/Hamburg Trans Atlantic Round Voyage $3,000.00 |
|||
| C9_14 Continent/Mediterranean trip China-Japan $14,845.00 |
|||
| C10_14 China-Japan Trans Pacific Round Voyage $3,108.00 |
|||
| C14 China-Brazil Round Voyage $2,305.00 |
|||
| C16 Revised Backhaul -$12,590.00 |
|||
| Baltic Exchange Capesize Index (BCI)-372 | |||
| ~~Data:09th March 202~~ |
Source: Baltic Exchan ~~ge~~
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~~Data: 09[th] March, 2020~~
2019 Investor Presentation 18
Maritime Re ulation U dates g p
IMO: Low Sulphur Fuel Oil Requirement
-
Sulphur content has been capped at
-
0.5% m/m from 1[st] January 2020
-
CMT Fleet completed tank cleaning before end of 2019 and now all burning low Sulphur fuels
IMO: Ballast Water Management Convention
-
Entered into force on 8[th] September 2019
-
CMT Fleet’s retrofitting program will be completed before end of 2022
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19
2019 Investor Presentation
The Company Overview
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“Small Yet Refined" Operating Philosophy
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Diversification Discipline
Core Values
Diligence
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2019 Investor Presentation 21
Ma or O eratin Entities j p g
% of Total Revenue in FY 2019
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Bulk 50%
Shipping
Inland Trucking,
Terminal and
49%
Logistics
Agency and
1%
Travel
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22
2019 Investor Presentation
CMT Ca esize Fleet p
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China Peace China Progress China Pride China Triumph China Prosperity
中華和平輪 中華富進輪 中華榮耀輪 中華光輝輪 中華鴻運輪
174,413 DWT 174,322 DWT 177,856 DWT 203,028 DWT 203,028 DWT
2005 2006 2009 2010 2011
2017 2017 2016 2013 2012
China Honour China Enterprise China Harmony China Fortune China Pioneer
中華名望輪 中華偉業輪 中華和諧輪 中華偉運輪 中華先鋒輪
179,562 DWT 207,984 DWT 179,505 DWT 206,061 DWT 206,079 DWT
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2019 Investor Presentation 23
Inland Truckin g
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CMT stresses safe, punctual, efficient service and is fully responsive to customers’ requirement of transporting empty/laden containers to designated depots and locations
Associated Transport Inc., is one of Taiwan’s largest intermodal container trucking operators, providing inland container drayage and related services
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24
2019 Investor Presentation
Terminal and Lo istics g
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-
CMT Logictics Co., Ltd. is located in Yangmei, Taoyuan County in northern Taiwan
-
Inland container terminal with area coverage of 33,429.19 square meters, providing services of consolidation, repairs, warehousing, logistics, and distribution centers for major shipping lines
-
Except for obtaining ISO9002QA certification and Taiwan Customs Bureau’s authorization to operate independently
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25
2019 Investor Presentation
CMT Air Car o De artment g p
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CMT Air Cargo Department is the General Sales Agent (GSA) of Saudi Arabian Airlines (Saudia). Saudia is the flag carrier of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and a member of the SkyTeam Alliance
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- Saudia has a complete modern fleet a total of 151 aircrafts, including Boeing-777, 787, 747F, 777F; Airbus-A330, A320, A321. It reaches 95 destinations in worldwide
Image Source: https://www.arabianbusiness.com/transport/398084-saudia-offers-free-whatsapp-data-package-on-domestic-international-flights https://www.flickr.com/photos/canvaswings/15739042055
26
2019 Investor Presentation
Major Investment and Joint Venture
| Name of Company | Holding Since |
Effective Ownership Interest as of 31st December 2019 |
Main Operating Activities |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan Navigation, Co., Ltd. |
2006 | 10.41% | 50,000-80,000 DWT Bulk Carriers |
| Global Energy Maritime Co., Ltd. |
2011 | 12.00% | Crude and Product Tankers including VLCCs |
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2019 Investor Presentation 27
2015-2019 Financial Hi hli hts g g
Expressed in thousands of New Taiwan Dollars
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,361,457 | 3,294,834 | 3,218,366 | 3,820,224 | 3,762,725 |
| Net Profit/(Loss) | 332,787 | 47,941 | 98,052 | 513,711 | 323,842 |
| EPS | 1.30 | 0.21 | 0.50 | 2.60 | 1.64 |
| Cash on hand | 4,506,458 | 3,685,514 | 2,939,548 | 3,345,205 | 3,288,046 |
| ROE % | 3.04% | 0.45% | 0.99% | 5.24% | 3.22% |
| ROA % | 2.08% | 0.89% | 1.30% | 3.48% | 2.54% |
| Liability % | 48% | 52% | 53% | 50% | 50% |
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2019 Investor Presentation 28
Dividends Distribution
| Year | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | ~~~~ 2016* |
2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash dividends/ Capital Reduction(NT$) |
3.20 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| EPS (NT$) | 7.53 | 3.92 | 2.23 | 1.55 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.21 | 0.50 | 2.60 | 1.64 |
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250% 238%
193%
200%
150%
100%
97% [100%]
100%
62%
49%
42% 51% 45%
50%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
股息支付率
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*Cash dividend NT$ 0.20 plus capital reduction NT$2.30 = NT$2.50
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2019 Investor Presentation 29
Appendix 1:Condensed Balance Sheet
| Millions of New Taiwan Dollars Dec 31,2018 Dec 31,2019 4,107.046 3,959.012 14,439.746 13,549.411 12.655 11.659 1,863.870 2,436.537 20,423.317 19,956.619 2,338.599 3,109.700 7,897.903 6,912.556 10,236.502 10,022.256 1,974.846 1,974.846 53.411 53.411 8,437.441 8,441.796 (278.883) (535.690) 0 0 10,186.815 9,934.363 20,423.317 19,956.619 |
|
|---|---|
| Assets | |
| Current assets | |
| Property, plant and equipment | |
| Intangible assets | |
| Other non current assets | |
| Total assets | |
| Liabilities and Equity | |
| Current liabilities | |
| Non Current liabilities | |
| Total liabilities | |
| Equity attributable to owners of parent | |
| Common stock | |
| Capital surplus | |
| Retained earnings | |
| Other equity interest | |
| Non-controlling interests | |
| Total equity | |
| Total liabilities and equity |
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2019 Investor Presentation 30
Appendix 2:Condensed Statement of Comprehensive Income
| Thousands of New Taiwan Dollars 2018 2019 3,820,224 3,762,725 2,850,536 2,933,577 969,688 829,148 362,829 369,497 606,859 459,651 (47,626) (81,393) 559,233 378,258 45,522 54,416 513,711 323,842 337,780 (260,319) 851,491 63,523 2.60 1.64 |
|
|---|---|
| Operating Revenues | |
| Operating costs | |
| Gross profit | |
| Operating expenses | |
| Net operating income | |
| Non operating income and expenses | |
| Profit before tax | |
| Less: tax expense | |
| Profit (attributable to owners of parent) | |
| Other comprehensive income, net | |
| Comprehensive income (attributable to owners of parent) |
|
| Earnings per share |
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2019 Investor Presentation 31
: Appendix3 Corporate Bonds Issuance
| Tranche | 2016-1 | 2016-2 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tenor | 5 Years | 5 Years | 5 Years |
| Due Date | 16-Mar-2021 | 16-Mar-2021 | 10-Apr-2020(400 million) 10-Apr-2022(400 million) |
| Interest Rate | 0.88% | 1.00% | 1.13% |
| Amount (NT$ 100M) |
9 | 14 | 8 |
| Interest Payment | Annually | Annually | Annually |
| Guarantee Bank | Bank of Taiwan | Mega Bank | Shanghai Commercial Bank |
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2019 Investor Presentation 32
Disclaimer
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by CMT. Though the information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from market sources believed to be reliable, CMT makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.
The material and the information contained herein are provided for general information purposes, and may not be reproduced without the written permission of CMT. CMT shall not be liable to the recipient or any third party for any loss, liability or damage, cost or expense including without limitation, direct, indirect, consequential loss or damage, any loss of profit, loss of use, loss of or interruption in business, loss of goodwill, loss of data arising out of, or in connection with, the use of and the reliance on the information whether in contract, tort, negligence, bailment, breach of statutory duty or otherwise, even if foreseeable. This disclaimer shall be governed by and construed in accordance with Laws of Taiwan, R.O.C.
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statement contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. In light of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward looking events discussed in this presentation might not occur, and our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.
Contact Information
Web Site: www.cmt.tw
Head Office:
15 Jinan Road Sect 1 Taipei Taiwan R.O.C. Tel:+886(0)2 2396 3282 Fax:+886(0)2 2391 6165
Investor Relations:
Spokesperson: Man-Hung Yeh, VP Tel: +886(0)2 2357 5898 Fax: +886(0)2 2351 3082 Email: [email protected]
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2019 Investor Presentation 33
Thank You !
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