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City of London Investment Trust PLC

Earnings Release Feb 28, 2023

4624_ir_2023-02-28_9843a208-b6e6-4392-963f-8680581c3234.pdf

Earnings Release

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The City of London Investment Trust plc

Update for the half-year ended 31 December 2022

Objective

The Company's objective is to provide long-term growth in income and capital, principally by investment in equities listed on the London Stock Exchange. The Board fully recognises the importance of dividend income to shareholders.

This update contains material extracted from the unaudited half-year results of the Company for the six months ended 31 December 2022. The unabridged results for the half year are available on the Company's website:

www.cityinvestmenttrust.com

Performance

NAV per share
31 Dec 2022
395.4p
30 June 2022
390.9p
NAV per share (debt at fair value)
31 Dec 2022
400.9p
30 June 2022
393.5p
Share price
31 Dec 2022
410.5p
30 June 2022
400.5p
Dividend yield
31 Dec 2022
4.8%
30 June 2022
4.9%

Total Return Performance for 10 years to 31 December 2022 (rebased to 100)

AIC UK Equity Income sector IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector

Total Return Performance to 31 December 2022

6 months
%
1 year
%
3 years
%
5 years
%
10 years
%
NAV1 4.5 5.1 8.8 18.4 105.1
Share price2 5.1 9.4 7.9 19.0 101.3
FTSE All-Share Index (Benchmark) 5.1 0.3 7.1 15.5 88.2
AIC UK Equity Income sector3 5.1 -2.4 5.8 16.2 108.6
IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector4 3.8 -2.2 3.1 10.8 84.5

Sources: Morningstar Direct, Janus Henderson, Refinitiv Datastream

  • 1 Net asset value ("NAV") per ordinary share total return with debt at fair value (including dividends reinvested)
  • 2 Share price total return using mid-market closing price
  • 3 AIC UK Equity Income sector size weighted average NAV total return (shareholders' funds)
  • 4 The Investment Association ("IA") peer group average is based on mid-day NAV whereas the returns of the investment trust are calculated using close of business NAV

Chairman's Statement

Introduction

City of London is reporting a 4.5% net asset value total return for the six months to 31 December 2022 despite continuing turbulence in global markets and a brief period of unprecedented political volatility in the UK.

The Markets

During the six months under review, UK inflation reached a 40-year high, driven by spiralling energy prices. The UK base rate, which was 1.25% at the end of June, was increased four times by the Bank of England, ending at 3.5% in December and with a further rise to 4.0% in the New Year. The 10-year Gilt yield, which was 2.2% in June, rose to 4.5% in September, partly due to rising inflation but also the unfunded tax cuts which were announced by the Truss government. The situation was made worse by a steep depreciation in the value of sterling and by selling from some pension funds to pay margin calls on derivative products. By the end of December, the 10-year Gilt yield had fallen back to 3.7% and the fall in sterling had reversed, with the new Sunak administration pursuing a more conventional fiscal policy. The trend of increasing inflation and tightening monetary policy also prevailed overseas with, for example, the US 10-Year Treasury yield rising from 2.9% to 3.9%. In contrast, UK equities were resilient, producing a return of 5.1%, as measured by the FTSE All-Share Index, helped by a strong performance from the mining sector (in anticipation of the reopening of the Chinese economy) and the oil and gas sector.

Net Asset Value Total Return

City of London's net asset value total return was 4.5%, slightly behind the FTSE All-Share and the AIC UK Equity Income average, but ahead of the IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector average. In terms of attribution, gearing contributed positively by 95 basis points (bps) due to the beneficial effect of the rise in Gilt yields on the fair value of the secured notes we have issued in recent years.

The £30 million 2.67% 2046 and £50 million 2.94% 2049 notes provide borrowings at fixed low interest rates for City of London, for the next quarter of a century, to finance investment in equities.

Stock and sector selection detracted by 147 bps, with being underweight in mining the largest sector detractor and not owning Glencore, the mining company, the biggest stock detractor. The next biggest stock detractors were our stakes in Persimmon, the housebuilder, and Verizon, the US telecommunications company. The best stock contributor was Munich Re, the reinsurer, followed by TotalEnergies, the oil company, and Swire Pacific, the Hong Kong-based conglomerate.

Earnings and Dividends

Earnings per share fell by 1.7%, compared with the same six month period last year, from 8.94p to 8.79p. A principal reason was the reduction in dividends from our stakes in mining companies Rio Tinto, Anglo American and BHP, reflecting lower prices of some commodities, such as iron ore. On the other hand, there were pleasing increases from the banks and oil companies in the portfolio, including special dividends from NatWest and TotalEnergies. In total, special dividends of £2.4 million were received and accounted as income, representing 5.5% of gross revenue.

City of London has declared two interim dividends of 5.00p each so far during this financial year. The Company's diverse portfolio, strong cash flow and revenue reserve give the Board confidence that it will be able, in line with its objective to provide shareholders with long-term income and capital growth, to increase the total annual dividend for the fifty-seventh consecutive year. The quarterly dividend rate will be reviewed by the Board before the third interim is declared in March 2023.

Chairman's Statement (continued)

Expenses

The ongoing charge, which represents the investment management fee and other administrative non-interest bearing expenses as a percentage of shareholder funds, remains low compared with most other equity investment products. The ongoing charge for the six months indicates a full year rate remaining at approximately 0.38% of net assets.

Material Events and Transactions during the Period

A total of 16,560,000 new shares, raising net proceeds of £65.5 million, were issued during the six months to 31 December 2022. The proceeds were invested across the portfolio. The Board is continuing its stated policy, subject to prevailing circumstances, of considering issuance of new shares within a narrow band relative to net asset value. As at 31 December 2022, the Company's shares were trading at a premium of 2.4% to NAV (with debt at fair value). As at 14 February 2023 (the last practicable date before printing this report), the Company's share price was trading at a premium of 1.7% to NAV (with debt at fair value).

Three new holdings were acquired during the period. DS Smith is a leading paper and packaging producer in the UK and Europe with an emphasis on recycling. Morgan Advanced Materials develops, manufactures and markets technological materials and components across international markets. NatWest is focused on the UK, where it is one of the leading banks and financial services groups. These purchases were partly financed by the sales of Brewin Dolphin, the private client wealth manager taken over by Royal Bank of Canada, and Synthomer, the chemicals company, after profit warnings and the suspension of its dividend.

Outlook for the Six Months to 30 June 2023

Inflation should fall over the next six months as the sharp upward movements in oil and gas prices at the start of the Ukraine war are timed out of the 12-month inflation calculation. The combination of a continuing tight labour market, higher wage settlements and strikes in various sectors of the economy is likely to keep inflation above the Bank of England's 2% target for some time. This will result in continuing elevated interest rates when compared with recent years since 2009, albeit remaining below the higher rates prevailing before the financial crisis in 2008.

The reopening of the Chinese economy, after its Covid lockdown finally ended, is positive for global growth, while lower oil and gas prices are helpful for consumers in the UK and overseas. The dividend yield premium of UK equities over bank deposits and 10-year Gilts has narrowed, but equities offer the prospect of dividend growth and can therefore provide some element of hedge against inflation.

Sir Laurie Magnus CBE Chairman 16 February 2023

Financial Summary

Half year ended
Extract from Income Statement
(Unaudited)
31 December
2022
Revenue return
£'000
31 December
2022
Capital return
£'000
31 December
2022
Total
£'000
31 December
2021
Total
£'000
Gains on investments - 29,737 29,737 81,154
Income from investments 43,544 - 43,544 42,134
Other income 129 - 129 75
Gross revenue and capital
gains
43,673 29,737 73,410 123,363
Expenses, finance costs
and taxation
(2,538) (3,672) (6,210) (5,763)
Net return after taxation 41,135 26,065 67,200 117,600
Return per ordinary share –
basic and diluted
8.79p 5.57p 14.36p 26.34p
Extract from Statement of Financial Position
(Unaudited except June 2022 figures)
31 December
2022
£'000
31 December
2021
£'000
30 June 2022
£'000
Investments held at fair value through profit or loss 2,018,773 1,954,891 1,923,617
Net liabilities (136,091) (149,209) (126,960)
Net assets 1,882,682 1,805,682 1,796,657
Net asset value per ordinary share –
basic and diluted 395.36p 404.36p 390.88p

Dividends

A first interim dividend of 5.00p per ordinary share was paid on 30 November 2022. The second interim dividend of 5.00p per ordinary share (declared on 14 December 2022) will be paid on 28 February 2023 to shareholders on the register on 27 January 2023. The Company's shares went ex-dividend on 26 January 2023.

Share Capital and Reserves

During the half-year ended 31 December 2022, 16,560,000 new ordinary shares were issued for total proceeds of £65,482,000 (half-year ended 31 December 2021: 925,000 new ordinary shares issued for total proceeds of £3,625,000; year ended 30 June 2022: 14,015,000 new ordinary shares issued for total proceeds of £57,050,000). The number of ordinary shares in issue at 31 December 2022 was 476,199,868 (31 December 2021: 446,549,868; 30 June 2022: 459,639,868). There were no shares in treasury at 31 December 2022 (31 December 2021 and 30 June 2022: nil).

At 31 December 2022, the Company's revenue reserve was £38,081,000 (31 December 2021: £34,602,000; 30 June 2022: £43,603,000), capital reserve arising on investments sold was £316,480,000 (31 December 2021: £307,144,000; 30 June 2022: £326,585,000), both of which are distributable; and the capital reserve arising on revaluation of investments held was £435,879,000 (31 December 2021: £490,601,000; 30 June 2022: £399,709,000), which is not distributable.

Portfolio Informationat 31 December 2022

Forty Largest Investments

Company Market value
31 December
2022
£'000
Company Market value
31 December
2022
£'000
British American Tobacco 85,319 Legal & General 33,433
Shell 78,176 GlaxoSmithKline 32,950
Diageo 70,810 IG 32,375
BAE Systems 66,340 Lloyds Banking 32,241
Unilever 60,639 Nestlé 28,881
AstraZeneca 60,016 Reckitt Benckiser 28,770
BP 59,837 Schroders 28,340
RELX 58,439 Severn Trent 27,836
Imperial Brands 57,988 Merck 25,824
Rio Tinto 52,762 Direct Line Insurance 25,217
HSBC 51,560 Barclays 23,778
National Grid 43,686 BHP 23,773
Phoenix 43,612 NatWest 22,542
M&G 42,642 Land Securities 21,438
Tesco 42,598 Novartis 19,754
SSE 41,418 Munich Re 19,381
St. James's Place 35,861 Rathbones 18,315
Anglo American 35,078 Ferguson 17,740
3i 34,183 Persimmon 17,403
TotalEnergies 33,824 Microsoft 16,946

These investments total £1,551,725,000 or 76.9% of the portfolio.

Convertibles and all classes of equity in any one company are treated as one investment.

Sector Exposure

As a percentage of the investment portfolio excluding cash

Source: Janus Henderson

Portfolio Information (continued)

Sector Breakdown of Investments

Valuation
31 December
2022
£'000
ENERGY
Oil, Gas and Coal
Shell 78,176
BP 59,837
TotalEnergies1 33,824
Woodside Energy1 13,832
185,669
Total Energy 185,669
BASIC MATERIALS
Chemicals
Croda International 7,595
Johnson Matthey 5,637
Victrex 5,107
18,339
Industrial Metals and Mining
Rio Tinto 52,762
Anglo American 35,078
BHP 23,773
111,613
Total Basic Materials 129,952
INDUSTRIALS
Aerospace and Defence
BAE Systems 66,340
66,340
Construction and Materials
Holcim1 13,982
Ibstock 12,677
Marshalls 6,420
33,079
Valuation
31 December
2022
£'000
Electronic and Electrical
Equipment
IMI 12,030
Morgan Advanced Materials 7,863
Rotork 5,366
XP Power 4,060
29,319
General Industrials
Swire Pacific1
Siemens1
15,664
12,625
Mondi 9,162
DS Smith 9,134
Smiths Group 5,595
52,180
Industrial Transportation
Wincanton 8,004
8,004
Industrial Support Services
Ferguson 17,740
Hays 14,810
PayPoint 9,162
41,712
Total Industrials 230,634
CONSUMER STAPLES
Beverages
Diageo 70,810
Coca-Cola1 11,634
Britvic 10,878
93,322
Food Producers
Nestlé1 28,881
Tate & Lyle 10,973
39,854

Portfolio Information (continued)

Sector Breakdown of Investments (continued)

Valuation
31 December
2022
£'000
Personal Care, Drug and
Grocery Stores
Unilever 60,639
Tesco 42,598
Reckitt Benckiser 28,770
132,007
Tobacco
British American Tobacco 85,319
Imperial Brands 57,988
143,307
Total Consumer Staples 408,490
Services
Smith & Nephew
8,217
8,217
Pharmaceuticals and
Biotechnology
AstraZeneca 60,016
GlaxoSmithKline 32,950
Merck1 25,824
Novartis1 19,754
Johnson & Johnson1 15,274
Sanofi1 12,753
166,571
Total Health Care 174,788
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
Retailers
Kingfisher 10,743
Halfords 5,813

DFS 3,855

20,411

Valuation
31 December
2022
£'000
Media
RELX 58,439
58,439
Household Goods and Home
Construction
Persimmon 17,403
Taylor Wimpey 13,062
30,465
Travel and Leisure
La Française des Jeux1 10,003
Young 2,366
12,369
Total Consumer Discretionary 121,684
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Telecommunications Service
Providers
Vodafone 16,006
Verizon Communications1 15,558
Deutsche Telekom1 13,676
Orange1 11,116
56,356
Telecommunications
Equipment
Cisco Systems1 9,901
9,901
Total Telecommunications 66,257
UTILITIES
Electricity
SSE 41,418
41,418

Portfolio Information (continued)

Sector Breakdown of Investments (continued)

Valuation
31 December
2022
£'000
Valuation
31 December
2022
£'000
Gas, Water and Multi-utilities Non-life Insurance
National Grid 43,686 Direct Line Insurance 25,217
Severn Trent 27,836 Munich Re1 19,381
United Utilities 12,373 Beazley 12,213
Pennon 6,841 Hiscox 9,261
90,736 Sabre Insurance 5,320
71,392
Total Utilities 132,154
Total Financials 493,060
FINANCIALS
Banks REAL ESTATE
HSBC 51,560 Real Estate Investment Trusts
Lloyds Banking 32,241 Land Securities 21,438
Barclays 23,778 Segro 13,741
NatWest 22,542 British Land 10,865
Nationwide Building Society 46,044
10.25% Var Perp CCDS 8,128
138,249 Total Real Estate 46,044
Investment Banking and TECHNOLOGY
Brokerage Services Software and Computer
M&G 42,642 Services
St. James's Place 35,861 Microsoft1 16,946
3i 34,183 Sage 12,750
IG 32,375 29,696
Schroders 28,340
Rathbones 18,315 Total Technology 29,696
191,716
TOTAL INVESTMENTS 2,018,428
Life Insurance
Phoenix 43,612
Legal & General 33,433
Prudential 14,658
91,703

1 Overseas listed

All classes of equity in any one company are treated as one investment.

Additional Information

Principal Risks and Uncertainties

The principal risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business can be divided into the following main areas:

  • ● Geopolitical and cyber
  • ● Global pandemic
  • ● Portfolio and market price

  • ● Investment activity, gearing and performance

  • ● Tax and regulatory
  • ● Operational

● Dividend income

Information on these risks and how they are managed are given in the Annual Report for the year ended 30 June 2022. In the view of the Board, these principal risks and uncertainties at the year end remain and are as applicable to the remaining six months of the financial year as they were to the six months under review.

Related Party Transactions

Other than the relationship between the Company and its Directors, the provision of services by Janus Henderson is the only related party arrangement currently in place. Other than fees payable by the Company in the ordinary course of business and the provision of marketing services, there have been no material transactions with this related party affecting the financial position of the Company during the period under review.

Going Concern

The assets of the Company consist of securities that are readily realisable. The Directors have also considered the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic and the risks arising from the wider ramifications of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, including cash flow forecasting, a review of covenant compliance including the headroom above the most restrictive covenants and an assessment of the liquidity of the portfolio. They have concluded that the Company has adequate resources to meet its financial obligations, including the repayment of the bank overdraft, as they fall due for a period of at least twelve months from the date of approval of the financial statements. Having assessed these factors and the principal risks, the Board has determined that it is appropriate for the financial statements to be prepared on a going concern basis.

Directors' Responsibility Statement

The Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:

  • ● the condensed set of financial statements has been prepared in accordance with FRS 104 "Interim Financial Reporting";
  • ● the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and
  • ● the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.8R (disclosure of related party transactions and changes therein).

On behalf of the Board Sir Laurie Magnus CBE Chairman 16 February 2023

The City of London Investment Trust plc 201 Bishopsgate London EC2M 3AE

This report is printed on Revive silk 100% recycled, contains 100% recycled waste and is manufactured at a mill certified with ISO 14001 environmental management standard. The pulp used in this product is bleached using an Elemental Chlorine Free process (ECF).

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