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City of London Investment Trust PLC

Earnings Release Mar 3, 2021

4624_rns_2021-03-03_5bf611ae-25da-499a-b3db-64b7ccca5cf5.pdf

Earnings Release

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The City of London Investment Trust plc

Update for the half-year ended 31 December 2020

Objective

The Company's objective is to provide long-term growth in income and capital, principally by investment in equities listed on the London Stock Exchange. The Board continues to recognise the importance of dividend income to shareholders.

This update contains material extracted from the unaudited half-year results of the Company for the six months ended 31 December 2020. The unabridged results for the half year are available on the Company's website:

www.cityinvestmenttrust.com

Performance

Total Return Performance for 10 years to 31 December 2020 (rebased to 100) 50 100 150 200 250 NAV per ordinary share 31 Dec 2020 30 June 2020 357.4p 344.0p Ordinary share price 31 Dec 2020 30 June 2020 370.5p 340.0p NAV per ordinary share (debt at fair value) 31 Dec 2020 30 June 2020 351.2p 338.7p Dividend yield 31 Dec 2020 30 June 2020 5.4% 5.6%

Dec 10 Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec 19 Dec 20 Ordinary share price NAV FTSE All-Share Index AIC UK Equity Income sector IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector

Total Return Performance to 31 December 2020 (including dividends reinvested)

6 months
%
1 year
%
3 years
%
5 years
%
10 years
%
NAV1 6.9 -13.8 -6.1 16.0 95.0
Share price2 12.3 -11.8 -2.7 19.8 96.0
FTSE All-Share Index (Benchmark) 9.3 -9.8 -2.7 28.5 71.9
AIC UK Equity Income sector3 12.0 -9.7 -1.1 24.7 100.9
IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector4 11.9 -10.9 -4.3 16.2 76.9

Sources: Morningstar for the AIC, Janus Henderson, Refinitiv Datastream

  • 1 Net asset value ("NAV") per ordinary share total return with debt at fair value
  • 2 Share price total return using mid-market closing price
  • 3 AIC UK Equity Income sector size weighted average NAV total return (shareholders' funds)
  • 4 The Investment Association ("IA") peer group average is based on mid-day NAV whereas the returns of the investment trust are calculated using close of business NAV

Chairman's Statement

Net Asset Value Total Return

The UK equity market fell slightly over the first four months of the period under review, with the outlook uncertain for many companies due to the Covid-19 virus. A strong rally took place in the final two months of the period after newly developed vaccines were revealed to be effective against the virus. The FTSE All-Share Index recovered all of its losses from the first four months to produce a total return of 9.3% for the six months to 31 December 2020.

City of London's net asset value total return of 6.9% lagged the FTSE All-Share Index over the six month period. While gearing contributed positively by 0.7%, stock selection was negative by 3.0%. The biggest detracting sector was not holding equity investment instruments, especially Scottish Mortgage, followed by being underweight in travel & leisure, including not holding Flutter Entertainment. The third biggest detracting sector was our above average exposure to gas, water & multi-utilities. In general, some of the portfolio's more defensive holdings were underperformers, such as Nestlé (food manufacturer), Verizon Communications (US telecommunications operator) and RELX (information provider).

On a more positive note, the underweight positions in pharmaceuticals and oil & gas were the two biggest sector contributors followed by our holdings in real estate investment trusts, which recovered well in the last two months of the year. It was also pleasing to note strong stock contributions from M&G (life insurer and asset manager), Croda (chemicals) and La Française des Jeux (French National Lottery operator).

UK medium-sized and small companies, which are in general more domestic and cyclical, significantly outperformed UK large companies over the six months to 31 December 2020. The FTSE 250 Index of medium-sized companies produced a total return of 21.0% and the FTSE Small Cap Index 25.7%, while the FTSE 100 Index was 6.4%. This outperformance occurred despite dividend cuts

being even more severe among medium-sized and small companies compared with FTSE 100 companies. City of London's relatively high FTSE 100 weighting and the defensive bias of its portfolio led to a total return underperformance over the six months compared with the averages of other UK equity income investment trusts and OEICs.

Earnings and Dividends

Against the background of a significantly lower dividend base across the UK market compared with the same period last year, City of London's revenue earnings per share fell by 15.6%. Compared to our experience during the first half of 2020, when our earnings fell by 38.2% compared with the same period the previous year, there was a significant improvement with a number of investee companies returning to the dividend list, such as BAE Systems (aerospace and defence), Persimmon (housebuilder) and Direct Line Insurance. So far this financial year, City of London has declared two interim dividends of 4.75p each. City of London's diverse portfolio, strong cash flow and revenue reserve give the Board confidence that it will be able to increase the dividend for the fifty-fifth consecutive year. The quarterly rate will be reviewed by the Board before the third interim dividend is declared in March 2021.

Expenses

Expenses remain under tight control. The ongoing charge ratio is expected to remain around 0.36% for the year to 30 June 2021. There will, however, be a drop in interest costs following the redemption of our last debenture of £30 million, with a fixed interest rate of 8.5%, on 31 January 2021.

Material Events and Transactions during the Period

During September 2020, 1,175,000 shares were bought back into treasury, at a discount to net asset value, for a total cost of £3,736,000. These were then reissued, at a premium to net asset value, for total proceeds of £3,860,000. A further

Chairman's Statement

5,445,000 ordinary shares were issued at a premium to net asset value for total proceeds of £19,622,000.

The proceeds were predominantly invested in existing holdings in the portfolio considered to offer a realistic share price valuation relative to prospects and above average dividend yields. Areas of notable additions were: aerospace & defence (BAE Systems), financials (Direct Line Insurance, Legal & General, M&G and IG Group), tobacco (British American Tobacco and Imperial Brands) and utilities (SSE). One new holding was purchased, which was Cisco, the leading maker of network equipment for the internet.

Complete sales were made of Halma (health and safety equipment), Renishaw (precision measuring instruments) and Spirax-Sarco Engineering. All three stocks have performed exceptionally well over the period they have been in the portfolio, but their prospects were considered to be more than fully reflected in their share price valuations. Complete sales were also made of Greggs and National Express (bus and coach operator) given what was considered to be slow recovery prospects due to the pandemic. A complete sale was also made of TP ICAP (wholesale financial intermediary) following its change in corporate strategy. Overall, the number of holdings in the portfolio fell from 90 (at 30 June 2020) to 85 (at 31 December 2020).

The Board

Philip Remnant retired as Chairman at the conclusion of the Annual General Meeting on 27 October 2020 after nine years on the Board. It was unfortunate that the lockdown rules prevented shareholders from attending the Annual General Meeting in person, as I am sure that they would have wished to join the Board in thanking Philip for his outstanding leadership of the Company.

Martin Morgan will be retiring as a Director at the Annual General Meeting later this year, having served for nine years, and the Board will be starting a process to appoint a new Director shortly.

Outlook for the Six Months to 30 June 2021

The roll-out of three vaccines against the Covid-19 virus is very encouraging and provides "light at the end of the tunnel". It is unlikely, however, that there will be a smooth path to herd immunity for the UK or globally given current limitations to the supply of the vaccines and the apparent scope for the virus to mutate.

Governments and central banks have responded to the enforced lockdowns of economies as a result of Covid-19 with unprecedented fiscal and monetary easing. It is likely that, after a contraction in the first quarter of 2021, the UK and global economy will recover sharply over the rest of the year, with consumer demand bolstered by running down the high savings ratios accumulated while economic activity was restricted. The scale of the lockdowns could still leave deep scarring in some sectors, such as travel and hospitality, with the resumption of dividends some way off. City of London's portfolio remains biased towards large companies with defensive and cash generative qualities.

The UK's trade deal with the EU at the end of 2020 removed an uncertainty and may improve sentiment towards UK equities from global investors. While interest rates remain at a rock bottom level, UK equities offer a much more attractive yield and have scope to build on recent capital appreciation if expectations for profits and dividends are met.

Sir Laurie Magnus Chairman 18 February 2021

Financial Summary

Half year ended
Extract from Income Statement
(Unaudited)
31 December
2020
Revenue return
£'000
31 December
2020
Capital return
£'000
31 December
2020
Total
£'000
31 December
2019
Total
£'000
Gains on investments 68,598 68,598 65,349
Income from investments 32,496 32,496 35,645
Other income 154 154 116
Gross revenue and capital
gains
32,650 68,598 101,248 101,110
Expenses, finance costs
and taxation
(2,399) (3,711) (6,110) (6,971)
Net return after taxation 30,251 64,887 95,138 94,139
Return per ordinary share –
basic and diluted
7.25p 15.56p 22.81p 24.45p1

1 For the half year ended 31 December 2019, the revenue return per share was 8.59p and the capital return per share was 15.86p

Extract from Statement of Financial Position
(Unaudited except June 2020 figures)
31 December
2020
£'000
31 December
2019
£'000
30 June 2020
£'000
Investments held at fair value through profit or loss 1,637,961 1,862,969 1,571,371
Net liabilities (130,321) (133,135) (139,112)
Net assets 1,507,640 1,729,834 1,432,259
Net asset value per ordinary share –
basic and diluted 357.4p 435.7p 344.0p

Dividends

A first interim dividend of 4.75p per ordinary share was paid on 30 November 2020. The second interim dividend of 4.75p per ordinary share (declared on 15 December 2020) will be paid on 26 February 2021 to shareholders on the register on 29 January 2021. The Company's shares went ex-dividend on 28 January 2021.

Share Capital and Reserves

During the half-year ended 31 December 2020, 1,175,000 ordinary shares were bought back into treasury for a total cost of £3,736,000. These shares were then re-issued for total proceeds of £3,860,000 and a further 5,445,000 new ordinary shares were issued for total proceeds of £19,622,000 (half-year ended 31 December 2019: 18,185,000 ordinary shares issued for total proceeds of £76,325,000; year ended 30 June 2020: 37,570,000 ordinary shares issued for total proceeds of £148,648,000). The number of ordinary shares in issue at 31 December 2020 was 421,849,868. There are no shares in treasury. At 31 December 2020, the Company's revenue reserve was £36,371,000 (31 December 2019: £54,979,000; 30 June 2020: £45,623,000), capital reserve arising on investments sold was £300,424,000 (31 December 2019: £341,539,000; 30 June 2020: £271,839,000), both of which are distributable; and the capital reserve arising on revaluation of investments held was £291,324,000 (31 December 2019: £545,864,000; 30 June 2020: £255,022,000), which is not distributable.

Portfolio Informationat 31 December 2020

Forty Largest Investments

Company Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
Company Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
British American Tobacco 69,325 Anglo American 28,618
Diageo 56,979 St. James's Place 28,054
Unilever 54,241 Tesco 26,842
Rio Tinto 49,777 Vodafone 26,607
Royal Dutch Shell 47,942 Schroders 26,277
RELX 45,695 Nestlé 25,886
GlaxoSmithKline 42,944 Persimmon 23,519
M&G 38,600 Barclays 22,002
HSBC 37,506 Direct Line Insurance 21,851
Imperial Brands 36,852 Taylor Wimpey 21,305
BHP 35,280 IG 20,688
SSE 34,500 Lloyds Banking 20,406
National Grid 34,168 Land Securities 20,214
Phoenix 33,979 Ferguson 19,545
Reckitt Benckiser 32,710 Legal & General 18,634
BAE Systems 32,261 Novartis 18,205
BP 31,723 Wm Morrison 17,735
Prudential 31,655 Severn Trent 17,167
Verizon Communications 30,060 Segro 17,057
AstraZeneca 29,296 Munich Re 16,817

These investments total £1,242,922,000 or 75.9% of the portfolio

Convertibles and all classes of equity in any one company are treated as one investment.

Sector Exposure

As a percentage of the investment portfolio excluding cash.

Source: Janus Henderson

Portfolio Informationat 31 December 2020

Sector Breakdown of Investments

Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
OIL & GAS
Oil & Gas Producers
Royal Dutch Shell 47,942
BP 31,723
Total1 11,059
90,724
Total Oil & Gas 90,724
BASIC MATERIALS
Chemicals
Croda International 7,585
Victrex 6,100
Johnson Matthey 4,365
18,050
Construction & Materials
Ibstock 11,473
Marshalls 6,952
18,425
Forestry & Paper
Mondi 11,177
11,177
Mining
Rio Tinto 49,777
BHP 35,280
Anglo American 28,618
113,675
Total Basic Materials 161,327
INDUSTRIALS
Aerospace & Defence
BAE Systems 32,261
Meggitt 2,426
34,687
Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
Electronic & Electrical
Equipment
XP Power 9,380
9,380
General Industrials
Siemens1 9,993
Smiths 7,603
Swire Pacific1 4,100
21,696
Industrial Engineering
IMI 10,881
Rotork 5,565
16,446
Support Services
Ferguson 19,545
Paypoint 5,559
25,104
Total Industrials 107,313
CONSUMER GOODS
Beverages
Diageo 56,979
Coca-Cola1 15,251
Britvic 8,120
80,350
Food Producers
Nestlé1 25,886
Tate & Lyle 15,174
41,060

Portfolio Information (continued)

Sector Breakdown of Investments (continued)

Tobacco
British American Tobacco
Imperial Brands
Total Consumer Goods
HEALTH CARE
Health Care Equipment &
Services
Smith & Nephew
Pharmaceuticals &
Biotechnology
GlaxoSmithKline
AstraZeneca
Novartis1
Merck1
Johnson & Johnson1
Total Health Care
42,944
29,296
18,205
16,749
11,962
119,156
130,359
11,203
11,203
370,506
106,177
36,852
69,325
54,241
Unilever 54,241
Personal Goods
88,678
Berkeley 11,144
Taylor Wimpey 21,305
Persimmon 23,519
Reckitt Benckiser 32,710
Household Goods & Home
Construction
2020
£'000
Market value
31 December
Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
CONSUMER SERVICES
Food & Drug Retailers
Tesco 26,842
Wm Morrison 17,735
44,577
General Retailers
Kingfisher 7,842
Halfords 5,874
DFS 3,520
17,236
Media
RELX
Daily Mail & General
ITV
45,695
3,725
2,884
52,304
Travel & Leisure
La Française des Jeux1 15,068
Ten Entertainment 6,255
Young 3,026
Go-Ahead 2,363
Carnival 2,119
28,831
Total Consumer Services 142,948
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Fixed Line Telecommunications
30,060
Verizon Communications1 30,060

Portfolio Information (continued)

Sector Breakdown of Investments (continued)

Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
Mobile Telecommunications
Vodafone 26,607
Orange1 11,760
Deutsche Telekom1 11,713
50,080
Total Telecommunications 80,140
UTILITIES
Electricity
SSE 34,500
34,500
Gas, Water & Multi-utilities
National Grid 34,168
Severn Trent 17,167
United Utilities 9,666
Pennon 9,421
70,422
Total Utilities 104,922
FINANCIALS
Banks
HSBC 37,506
Barclays 22,002
Lloyds Banking 20,406
Nationwide Building Society
10.25% Var Perp CCDS 11,552
91,466
Financial Services
M&G 38,600
Schroders 26,277
IG 20,688
Brewin Dolphin 13,115
98,680
Market value
31 December
2020
£'000
Life Insurance
Phoenix 33,979
Prudential 31,655
St. James's Place 28,054
Legal & General 18,634
112,322
Non-life Insurance
Direct Line Insurance 21,851
Munich Re1 16,817
Hiscox 11,247
Sabre Insurance 9,213
59,128
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Land Securities 20,214
Segro 17,057
British Land 13,447
Hammerson 3,512
54,230
Total Financials 415,826
TECHNOLOGY
Software & Computer Services
Microsoft1 16,254
Sage 9,114
25,368
Technology Hardware &
Equipment
Cisco Systems1 8,181
8,181
Total Technology 33,549
TOTAL INVESTMENTS 1,637,614

Financial Summary

Principal Risks and Uncertainties

The principal risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business can be divided into the following main areas:

  • ● Global pandemic
  • ● Portfolio and market price
  • ● Dividend income
  • ● Investment activity, gearing and performance
  • ● Tax and regulatory
  • ● Operational

Information on these risks and how they are managed are given in the Annual Report for the year ended 30 June 2020. In the view of the Board, the principal risks and uncertainties at the year end remain and are as applicable to the remaining six months of the financial year as they were to the six months under review.

Related Party Transactions

Other than the relationship between the Company and its Directors, the provision of services by Janus Henderson is the only related party arrangement currently in place. Other than fees payable by the Company in the ordinary course of business and the provision of marketing services, there have been no material transactions with this related party affecting the financial position of the Company during the period under review.

Going Concern

The assets of the Company consist of securities that are readily realisable. The Directors have also considered the impact of Covid-19, including cash flow forecasting, a review of covenant compliance including the headroom above the most restrictive covenants and an assessment of the liquidity of the portfolio and have concluded that the Company has adequate resources to meet its financial obligations, including the repayment of the debenture stock and the bank overdraft, as they fall due for a period of at least twelve months from the date of approval of the financial statements. Having assessed these factors and the principal risks, the Board has determined that it is appropriate for the financial statements to be prepared on a going concern basis.

Directors' Responsibility Statement

The Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:

  • ● the condensed set of financial statements has been prepared in accordance with FRS 104 "Interim Financial Reporting";
  • ● the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and
  • ● the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.8R (disclosure of related party transactions and changes therein).

On behalf of the Board Sir Laurie Magnus Chairman 18 February 2021 9

The City of London Investment Trust plc 201 Bishopsgate London EC2M 3AE

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