Earnings Release • Mar 3, 2021
Earnings Release
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Update for the half-year ended 31 December 2020
The Company's objective is to provide long-term growth in income and capital, principally by investment in equities listed on the London Stock Exchange. The Board continues to recognise the importance of dividend income to shareholders.
This update contains material extracted from the unaudited half-year results of the Company for the six months ended 31 December 2020. The unabridged results for the half year are available on the Company's website:
www.cityinvestmenttrust.com
Dec 10 Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec 19 Dec 20 Ordinary share price NAV FTSE All-Share Index AIC UK Equity Income sector IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector
| 6 months % |
1 year % |
3 years % |
5 years % |
10 years % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAV1 | 6.9 | -13.8 | -6.1 | 16.0 | 95.0 |
| Share price2 | 12.3 | -11.8 | -2.7 | 19.8 | 96.0 |
| FTSE All-Share Index (Benchmark) | 9.3 | -9.8 | -2.7 | 28.5 | 71.9 |
| AIC UK Equity Income sector3 | 12.0 | -9.7 | -1.1 | 24.7 | 100.9 |
| IA UK Equity Income OEIC sector4 | 11.9 | -10.9 | -4.3 | 16.2 | 76.9 |
Sources: Morningstar for the AIC, Janus Henderson, Refinitiv Datastream
The UK equity market fell slightly over the first four months of the period under review, with the outlook uncertain for many companies due to the Covid-19 virus. A strong rally took place in the final two months of the period after newly developed vaccines were revealed to be effective against the virus. The FTSE All-Share Index recovered all of its losses from the first four months to produce a total return of 9.3% for the six months to 31 December 2020.
City of London's net asset value total return of 6.9% lagged the FTSE All-Share Index over the six month period. While gearing contributed positively by 0.7%, stock selection was negative by 3.0%. The biggest detracting sector was not holding equity investment instruments, especially Scottish Mortgage, followed by being underweight in travel & leisure, including not holding Flutter Entertainment. The third biggest detracting sector was our above average exposure to gas, water & multi-utilities. In general, some of the portfolio's more defensive holdings were underperformers, such as Nestlé (food manufacturer), Verizon Communications (US telecommunications operator) and RELX (information provider).
On a more positive note, the underweight positions in pharmaceuticals and oil & gas were the two biggest sector contributors followed by our holdings in real estate investment trusts, which recovered well in the last two months of the year. It was also pleasing to note strong stock contributions from M&G (life insurer and asset manager), Croda (chemicals) and La Française des Jeux (French National Lottery operator).
UK medium-sized and small companies, which are in general more domestic and cyclical, significantly outperformed UK large companies over the six months to 31 December 2020. The FTSE 250 Index of medium-sized companies produced a total return of 21.0% and the FTSE Small Cap Index 25.7%, while the FTSE 100 Index was 6.4%. This outperformance occurred despite dividend cuts
being even more severe among medium-sized and small companies compared with FTSE 100 companies. City of London's relatively high FTSE 100 weighting and the defensive bias of its portfolio led to a total return underperformance over the six months compared with the averages of other UK equity income investment trusts and OEICs.
Against the background of a significantly lower dividend base across the UK market compared with the same period last year, City of London's revenue earnings per share fell by 15.6%. Compared to our experience during the first half of 2020, when our earnings fell by 38.2% compared with the same period the previous year, there was a significant improvement with a number of investee companies returning to the dividend list, such as BAE Systems (aerospace and defence), Persimmon (housebuilder) and Direct Line Insurance. So far this financial year, City of London has declared two interim dividends of 4.75p each. City of London's diverse portfolio, strong cash flow and revenue reserve give the Board confidence that it will be able to increase the dividend for the fifty-fifth consecutive year. The quarterly rate will be reviewed by the Board before the third interim dividend is declared in March 2021.
Expenses remain under tight control. The ongoing charge ratio is expected to remain around 0.36% for the year to 30 June 2021. There will, however, be a drop in interest costs following the redemption of our last debenture of £30 million, with a fixed interest rate of 8.5%, on 31 January 2021.
During September 2020, 1,175,000 shares were bought back into treasury, at a discount to net asset value, for a total cost of £3,736,000. These were then reissued, at a premium to net asset value, for total proceeds of £3,860,000. A further
5,445,000 ordinary shares were issued at a premium to net asset value for total proceeds of £19,622,000.
The proceeds were predominantly invested in existing holdings in the portfolio considered to offer a realistic share price valuation relative to prospects and above average dividend yields. Areas of notable additions were: aerospace & defence (BAE Systems), financials (Direct Line Insurance, Legal & General, M&G and IG Group), tobacco (British American Tobacco and Imperial Brands) and utilities (SSE). One new holding was purchased, which was Cisco, the leading maker of network equipment for the internet.
Complete sales were made of Halma (health and safety equipment), Renishaw (precision measuring instruments) and Spirax-Sarco Engineering. All three stocks have performed exceptionally well over the period they have been in the portfolio, but their prospects were considered to be more than fully reflected in their share price valuations. Complete sales were also made of Greggs and National Express (bus and coach operator) given what was considered to be slow recovery prospects due to the pandemic. A complete sale was also made of TP ICAP (wholesale financial intermediary) following its change in corporate strategy. Overall, the number of holdings in the portfolio fell from 90 (at 30 June 2020) to 85 (at 31 December 2020).
Philip Remnant retired as Chairman at the conclusion of the Annual General Meeting on 27 October 2020 after nine years on the Board. It was unfortunate that the lockdown rules prevented shareholders from attending the Annual General Meeting in person, as I am sure that they would have wished to join the Board in thanking Philip for his outstanding leadership of the Company.
Martin Morgan will be retiring as a Director at the Annual General Meeting later this year, having served for nine years, and the Board will be starting a process to appoint a new Director shortly.
The roll-out of three vaccines against the Covid-19 virus is very encouraging and provides "light at the end of the tunnel". It is unlikely, however, that there will be a smooth path to herd immunity for the UK or globally given current limitations to the supply of the vaccines and the apparent scope for the virus to mutate.
Governments and central banks have responded to the enforced lockdowns of economies as a result of Covid-19 with unprecedented fiscal and monetary easing. It is likely that, after a contraction in the first quarter of 2021, the UK and global economy will recover sharply over the rest of the year, with consumer demand bolstered by running down the high savings ratios accumulated while economic activity was restricted. The scale of the lockdowns could still leave deep scarring in some sectors, such as travel and hospitality, with the resumption of dividends some way off. City of London's portfolio remains biased towards large companies with defensive and cash generative qualities.
The UK's trade deal with the EU at the end of 2020 removed an uncertainty and may improve sentiment towards UK equities from global investors. While interest rates remain at a rock bottom level, UK equities offer a much more attractive yield and have scope to build on recent capital appreciation if expectations for profits and dividends are met.
Sir Laurie Magnus Chairman 18 February 2021
| Half year ended | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extract from Income Statement (Unaudited) |
31 December 2020 Revenue return £'000 |
31 December 2020 Capital return £'000 |
31 December 2020 Total £'000 |
31 December 2019 Total £'000 |
| Gains on investments | – | 68,598 | 68,598 | 65,349 |
| Income from investments | 32,496 | – | 32,496 | 35,645 |
| Other income | 154 | – | 154 | 116 |
| Gross revenue and capital gains |
32,650 | 68,598 | 101,248 | 101,110 |
| Expenses, finance costs and taxation |
(2,399) | (3,711) | (6,110) | (6,971) |
| Net return after taxation | 30,251 | 64,887 | 95,138 | 94,139 |
| Return per ordinary share – basic and diluted |
7.25p | 15.56p | 22.81p | 24.45p1 |
1 For the half year ended 31 December 2019, the revenue return per share was 8.59p and the capital return per share was 15.86p
| Extract from Statement of Financial Position (Unaudited except June 2020 figures) |
31 December 2020 £'000 |
31 December 2019 £'000 |
30 June 2020 £'000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investments held at fair value through profit or loss | 1,637,961 | 1,862,969 | 1,571,371 |
| Net liabilities | (130,321) | (133,135) | (139,112) |
| Net assets | 1,507,640 | 1,729,834 | 1,432,259 |
| Net asset value per ordinary share – | |||
| basic and diluted | 357.4p | 435.7p | 344.0p |
A first interim dividend of 4.75p per ordinary share was paid on 30 November 2020. The second interim dividend of 4.75p per ordinary share (declared on 15 December 2020) will be paid on 26 February 2021 to shareholders on the register on 29 January 2021. The Company's shares went ex-dividend on 28 January 2021.
During the half-year ended 31 December 2020, 1,175,000 ordinary shares were bought back into treasury for a total cost of £3,736,000. These shares were then re-issued for total proceeds of £3,860,000 and a further 5,445,000 new ordinary shares were issued for total proceeds of £19,622,000 (half-year ended 31 December 2019: 18,185,000 ordinary shares issued for total proceeds of £76,325,000; year ended 30 June 2020: 37,570,000 ordinary shares issued for total proceeds of £148,648,000). The number of ordinary shares in issue at 31 December 2020 was 421,849,868. There are no shares in treasury. At 31 December 2020, the Company's revenue reserve was £36,371,000 (31 December 2019: £54,979,000; 30 June 2020: £45,623,000), capital reserve arising on investments sold was £300,424,000 (31 December 2019: £341,539,000; 30 June 2020: £271,839,000), both of which are distributable; and the capital reserve arising on revaluation of investments held was £291,324,000 (31 December 2019: £545,864,000; 30 June 2020: £255,022,000), which is not distributable.
| Company | Market value 31 December 2020 £'000 |
Company | Market value 31 December 2020 £'000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| British American Tobacco | 69,325 | Anglo American | 28,618 |
| Diageo | 56,979 | St. James's Place | 28,054 |
| Unilever | 54,241 | Tesco | 26,842 |
| Rio Tinto | 49,777 | Vodafone | 26,607 |
| Royal Dutch Shell | 47,942 | Schroders | 26,277 |
| RELX | 45,695 | Nestlé | 25,886 |
| GlaxoSmithKline | 42,944 | Persimmon | 23,519 |
| M&G | 38,600 | Barclays | 22,002 |
| HSBC | 37,506 | Direct Line Insurance | 21,851 |
| Imperial Brands | 36,852 | Taylor Wimpey | 21,305 |
| BHP | 35,280 | IG | 20,688 |
| SSE | 34,500 | Lloyds Banking | 20,406 |
| National Grid | 34,168 | Land Securities | 20,214 |
| Phoenix | 33,979 | Ferguson | 19,545 |
| Reckitt Benckiser | 32,710 | Legal & General | 18,634 |
| BAE Systems | 32,261 | Novartis | 18,205 |
| BP | 31,723 | Wm Morrison | 17,735 |
| Prudential | 31,655 | Severn Trent | 17,167 |
| Verizon Communications | 30,060 | Segro | 17,057 |
| AstraZeneca | 29,296 | Munich Re | 16,817 |
These investments total £1,242,922,000 or 75.9% of the portfolio
Convertibles and all classes of equity in any one company are treated as one investment.
As a percentage of the investment portfolio excluding cash.
Source: Janus Henderson
| Market value | |
|---|---|
| 31 December 2020 |
|
| £'000 | |
| OIL & GAS | |
| Oil & Gas Producers | |
| Royal Dutch Shell | 47,942 |
| BP | 31,723 |
| Total1 | 11,059 |
| 90,724 | |
| Total Oil & Gas | 90,724 |
| BASIC MATERIALS | |
| Chemicals | |
| Croda International | 7,585 |
| Victrex | 6,100 |
| Johnson Matthey | 4,365 |
| 18,050 | |
| Construction & Materials | |
| Ibstock | 11,473 |
| Marshalls | 6,952 |
| 18,425 | |
| Forestry & Paper | |
| Mondi | 11,177 |
| 11,177 | |
| Mining | |
| Rio Tinto | 49,777 |
| BHP | 35,280 |
| Anglo American | 28,618 |
| 113,675 | |
| Total Basic Materials | 161,327 |
| INDUSTRIALS | |
| Aerospace & Defence | |
| BAE Systems | 32,261 |
| Meggitt | 2,426 |
| 34,687 |
| Market value 31 December 2020 £'000 |
|
|---|---|
| Electronic & Electrical | |
| Equipment | |
| XP Power | 9,380 |
| 9,380 | |
| General Industrials | |
| Siemens1 | 9,993 |
| Smiths | 7,603 |
| Swire Pacific1 | 4,100 |
| 21,696 | |
| Industrial Engineering | |
| IMI | 10,881 |
| Rotork | 5,565 16,446 |
| Support Services | |
| Ferguson | 19,545 |
| Paypoint | 5,559 |
| 25,104 | |
| Total Industrials | 107,313 |
| CONSUMER GOODS | |
| Beverages | |
| Diageo | 56,979 |
| Coca-Cola1 | 15,251 |
| Britvic | 8,120 |
| 80,350 | |
| Food Producers | |
| Nestlé1 | 25,886 |
| Tate & Lyle | 15,174 |
| 41,060 | |
| Tobacco British American Tobacco Imperial Brands Total Consumer Goods HEALTH CARE Health Care Equipment & Services Smith & Nephew Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology GlaxoSmithKline AstraZeneca Novartis1 Merck1 Johnson & Johnson1 Total Health Care |
42,944 29,296 18,205 16,749 11,962 119,156 130,359 |
|---|---|
| 11,203 | |
| 11,203 | |
| 370,506 | |
| 106,177 | |
| 36,852 | |
| 69,325 | |
| 54,241 | |
| Unilever | 54,241 |
| Personal Goods | |
| 88,678 | |
| Berkeley | 11,144 |
| Taylor Wimpey | 21,305 |
| Persimmon | 23,519 |
| Reckitt Benckiser | 32,710 |
| Household Goods & Home Construction |
|
| 2020 £'000 |
|
| Market value 31 December |
| Market value 31 December 2020 £'000 |
|
|---|---|
| CONSUMER SERVICES | |
| Food & Drug Retailers | |
| Tesco | 26,842 |
| Wm Morrison | 17,735 |
| 44,577 | |
| General Retailers | |
| Kingfisher | 7,842 |
| Halfords | 5,874 |
| DFS | 3,520 |
| 17,236 | |
| Media RELX Daily Mail & General ITV |
45,695 3,725 2,884 |
| 52,304 | |
| Travel & Leisure | |
| La Française des Jeux1 | 15,068 |
| Ten Entertainment | 6,255 |
| Young | 3,026 |
| Go-Ahead | 2,363 |
| Carnival | 2,119 |
| 28,831 | |
| Total Consumer Services | 142,948 |
| TELECOMMUNICATIONS Fixed Line Telecommunications |
| 30,060 | |
|---|---|
| Verizon Communications1 | 30,060 |
| Market value | |
|---|---|
| 31 December | |
| 2020 £'000 |
|
| Mobile Telecommunications | |
| Vodafone | 26,607 |
| Orange1 | 11,760 |
| Deutsche Telekom1 | 11,713 |
| 50,080 | |
| Total Telecommunications | 80,140 |
| UTILITIES | |
| Electricity | |
| SSE | 34,500 |
| 34,500 | |
| Gas, Water & Multi-utilities | |
| National Grid | 34,168 |
| Severn Trent | 17,167 |
| United Utilities | 9,666 |
| Pennon | 9,421 |
| 70,422 | |
| Total Utilities | 104,922 |
| FINANCIALS | |
| Banks | |
| HSBC | 37,506 |
| Barclays | 22,002 |
| Lloyds Banking | 20,406 |
| Nationwide Building Society | |
| 10.25% Var Perp CCDS | 11,552 |
| 91,466 | |
| Financial Services | |
| M&G | 38,600 |
| Schroders | 26,277 |
| IG | 20,688 |
| Brewin Dolphin | 13,115 |
| 98,680 | |
| Market value 31 December 2020 £'000 |
|
|---|---|
| Life Insurance | |
| Phoenix | 33,979 |
| Prudential | 31,655 |
| St. James's Place | 28,054 |
| Legal & General | 18,634 |
| 112,322 | |
| Non-life Insurance | |
| Direct Line Insurance | 21,851 |
| Munich Re1 | 16,817 |
| Hiscox | 11,247 |
| Sabre Insurance | 9,213 |
| 59,128 | |
| Real Estate Investment Trusts | |
| Land Securities | 20,214 |
| Segro | 17,057 |
| British Land | 13,447 |
| Hammerson | 3,512 |
| 54,230 | |
| Total Financials | 415,826 |
| TECHNOLOGY | |
| Software & Computer Services | |
| Microsoft1 | 16,254 |
| Sage | 9,114 |
| 25,368 | |
| Technology Hardware & Equipment |
|
| Cisco Systems1 | 8,181 |
| 8,181 | |
| Total Technology | 33,549 |
| TOTAL INVESTMENTS | 1,637,614 |
The principal risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business can be divided into the following main areas:
Information on these risks and how they are managed are given in the Annual Report for the year ended 30 June 2020. In the view of the Board, the principal risks and uncertainties at the year end remain and are as applicable to the remaining six months of the financial year as they were to the six months under review.
Other than the relationship between the Company and its Directors, the provision of services by Janus Henderson is the only related party arrangement currently in place. Other than fees payable by the Company in the ordinary course of business and the provision of marketing services, there have been no material transactions with this related party affecting the financial position of the Company during the period under review.
The assets of the Company consist of securities that are readily realisable. The Directors have also considered the impact of Covid-19, including cash flow forecasting, a review of covenant compliance including the headroom above the most restrictive covenants and an assessment of the liquidity of the portfolio and have concluded that the Company has adequate resources to meet its financial obligations, including the repayment of the debenture stock and the bank overdraft, as they fall due for a period of at least twelve months from the date of approval of the financial statements. Having assessed these factors and the principal risks, the Board has determined that it is appropriate for the financial statements to be prepared on a going concern basis.
The Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:
On behalf of the Board Sir Laurie Magnus Chairman 18 February 2021 9
The City of London Investment Trust plc 201 Bishopsgate London EC2M 3AE
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