AI assistant
CHORUS LIMITED — Interim / Quarterly Report 2020
Apr 8, 2020
64680_rns_2020-04-08_9b131c23-6dc6-4711-9025-b0f7facc4d74.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
==> picture [202 x 22] intentionally omitted <==
Chorus Limited Level 10, 1 Willis Street P O Box 632 Wellington New Zealand
Email: [email protected]
STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT
9 April 2020
Chorus Q3 FY20 Connections Update
The Q3 period saw the COVID-19 lockdown, from 25 March, confirm the utility role of fixed line broadband.
Monthly average data usage for March grew to 346GB, up 18% from 293GB in December;
-
copper broadband usage grew to 225GB vs 429GB for fibre users, and
-
the COVID-19 lockdown is reinforcing the value of unlimited datacaps, with 103GB average usage in just the last week of March, while two-way services such as video conferencing drove 85% greater upload usage during daytime.
Broadband connections grew 4k in Chorus UFB and rural areas, while total broadband connections reduced by 4k to 1,202,000 (Q2 FY20: no change; Q3 FY19: +5k);
-
fibre demand remained strong with 32k connections added (Q2 FY20: +36k) despite COVID-19 impacts (i.e. fewer returning students and reduced installations during lockdown in late March),
-
strong growth in 1Gbps connections to 105k (Q2: 87k), now 15% of mass market fibre connections, and
-
UFB uptake rose from 56% to 58% and fibre was extended past 13,000 more customers.
Total fixed line connections declined by 13k to 1,419,000 (Q2 FY20: -12k; Q3 FY19: - 14k)
- copper voice line reductions continued to moderate in Q3 (Q3 -8k; Q2 -12k).
Authorised by David Collins Chief Financial Officer
ENDS
For further information:
Brett Jackson Investor Relations Manager Phone: +64 4 896 4039 Mobile: +64 (27) 488 7808 Email: [email protected]
Steve Pettigrew Head of External Communications Mobile +64 (27) 258 6257 Email: [email protected]
==> picture [960 x 472] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Q3 FY20 Connections Update
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [182 x 20] intentionally omitted <==
9 April 2020
Q3 FY20 overview
COVID-19 lockdown from 25 March confirms utility role of fixed line broadband
-
Monthly average data usage for March grew to 346GB, up 18% from 293GB in December
-
copper broadband usage grew to 225GB vs 429GB for fibre users
-
the COVID-19 lockdown is reinforcing the value of unlimited datacaps, with 103GB average usage in just the last week of March, while two-way services such as video conferencing drove 85% greater upload usage during daytime
-
Broadband connections grew 4k in Chorus UFB and rural areas, while total broadband connections reduced by 4k to 1,202,000 (Q2 FY20: no change; Q3 FY19: +5k)
-
fibre demand remained strong with 32k connections added (Q2 FY20: +36k) despite COVID-19 impacts (i.e. fewer returning students and reduced installations during lockdown in late March)
-
strong growth in 1Gbps connections to 105k (Q2: 87k), now 15% of mass market fibre connections
-
UFB uptake rose from 56% to 58% and fibre was extended past 13,000 more customers
-
Total fixed line connections declined by 13k to 1,419,000 (Q2 FY20: -12k; Q3 FY19: -14k) ▪ copper voice line reductions continued to moderate in Q3 (Q3 -8k; Q2 -12k)
2
COVID-19: Keeping New Zealand connected
> Our network is supporting exponential growth in broadband traffic
-
record evening peak of 3Tbps on 27 March, up from Rugby World Cup record of 2.6Tbps
-
we’ve offered to enable existing connections in up to 50,000 non-broadband homes, free-of-charge for six months, to support government initiatives for online schooling
> Field force activity reduced to essential work only; focus on maintaining workforce capability
-
UFB2 rollout, subdivision and proactive work paused, while network restoration continues
-
we are working closely with service companies to identify support for them and our technician workforce, in the context of their significantly reduced workflow/revenue, so they can quickly return to extending the fibre network and connecting a backlog of customers post-lockdown
> We’re working with RSPs to address industry-wide challenges
-
fast tracking handover and backhaul capacity upgrades that keep services congestion free
-
CPI increase on wholesale charges delayed until October, possibly longer
-
introducing a process for RSP business customers so they can temporarily disconnect lines to limit network charges while they aren’t trading, and waiving our reconnection fee
3
COVID-19: post lockdown connection impact
-
Fibre installations have slowed significantly to ~100 per day vs ~650 prior as a result of alert Level 4 restrictions
-
broadband installations limited to premises with no existing fixed line broadband, or customers with essential business or educational requirements not met by an existing broadband service
-
number of active connection crews has reduced from ~640 pre-lockdown to ~260
-
we have suspended our door-to-door fibre migration programme, but have a new RSP incentive campaign focused on ~50k addresses where fibre is ready to activate remotely
-
non-essential installations are currently being scheduled to resume in May, with WIP expected to grow from current level of 18k orders
> Broadband service upgrades are continuing via remote provisioning
-
1Gbps upgrade orders grew ~50% in the first two weeks of lockdown; 3k upgrades to 1Gbps were completed in March (excluding RSP bulk migrations)
-
ADSL to VDSL upgrades have also increased since the lockdown began
-
Expect to see an increase in network disconnections as economic slowdown affects businesses and our temporary disconnection process is utilised
4
Fibre now makes up 51% of Chorus connections
| 31 March | 30 June | 30 Sept | 31 Dec | 31 March | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 1400000 | Baseband copper | |||||||||
| Unbundled copper (no broadband) |
31,000 | 24,000 | 21,000 | 18,000 | 17,000 | 1200000 | Unbundled copper | ||||||||
| Baseband copper (no broadband) |
233,000 | 214,000 | 201,000 | 192,000 | 185,000 | 1000000 | Copper ADSL | ||||||||
| Copper ADSL | 352,000 | 327,000 | 304,000 | 283,000 | 261,000 | ||||||||||
| (includes naked) VDSL (includes naked) |
283,000 | 270,000 | 257,000 | 242,000 | 228,000 | 800000 | VDSL | ||||||||
| Fibre broadband | 556,000 | 599,000 | 645,000 | 681,000 | 713,000 | 600000 | |||||||||
| (GPON) | |||||||||||||||
| Data services | 5,000 | 5,000 | 4,000 | 4,000 | 4,000 | 400000 | |||||||||
| (copper) | Fibre (GPON) | ||||||||||||||
| Fibre premium | 12,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 | 12,000 | 11,000 | 200000 | |||||||||
| (P2P) | |||||||||||||||
| Total connections | 1,472,000 | 1,450,000 | 1,444,000 | 1,432,000 | 1,419,000 | 0 | ~~Business premium~~ | ||||||||
| 31-Mar-19 | 30-Jun-19 | 30-Sep-19 | 31-Dec-19 | 31-Mar-20 |
> 1,202,000 broadband connections comprises:
-
713,000 fibre (GPON) connections
-
489,000 VDSL/ADSL (copper) connections
5
1Gbps plans grew from 13% to 15%
Total mass market fibre uptake by plan type
32,000 mass market fibre connections added
==> picture [490 x 315] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
100 Business/Education plans
1Gbps $60 p.m.
90
200Mbps
$55 p.m.
80
70
60 100Mbps $46 p.m.
% of
plans 50
40
30
20
10
50Mbps $42.50 p.m.
0
Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20
----- End of picture text -----
▪ 1Gbps connections grew from 87k to 105k, helped by RSP migration of 200Mbps customers, and now represent 15% of mass market fibre
-
100Mbps retained 70% share at 494k
-
50Mbps connections were flat at 88k or 12%
==> picture [350 x 152] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Fibre plan movement by quarter
30
Q1 Q2 Q3
20
Change in
connections
(‘000s) 10
0
-10
50Mbps 100Mbps 200Mbps 1Gbps
----- End of picture text -----
6
Connection changes by Zone (indicative)
-
Chorus UFB zone: 3k broadband growth despite signs of wireless migration of copper broadband customers earlier in Q3 and lower fibre volumes in March as a result of COVID-19, while copper voice line loss continued to slow
-
LFC zone : a clear reduction in VDSL disconnects in March, with LFC and wireless competition in prior months moderatingN/C
-
Rural : positive broadband growth, with VDSL/fibre adds exceeding ADSL reductions
| Chorus UFB zone* |
Rural (non- UFB) zone |
Local Fibre Company UFB zone |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total connections at 31 March** |
1,094,000 | 196,000 | 114,000 |
| Broadband connections | 972,000 | 155,000 | 75,000 |
| Copper (no broadband) connections |
122,000 | 41,000 | 39,000 |
- Includes planned UFB1, 2 and 2+ coverage
**Excludes 15k fibre premium and data services (copper) connections
Change in connections (‘000s) by zone**
==> picture [442 x 297] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
-15 -5 5 15
Q1 -3 -7 LFC
Q2 -2 -7 Zone
Q3 -2 -8
Q1 -2 1
Rural
Q2 -2
Zone
Q3 -11
Q1 -11 16
Chorus
Q2 -8 7 UFB Zone
Q3 -5 3
Broadband connections
Copper (no broadband) connections
----- End of picture text -----
7
Broadband mix in Chorus planned UFB zone
80% of Chorus broadband connections in Auckland on fibre
Fibre now 71% of Chorus broadband connections in planned UFB zone
Chorus’ Auckland broadband connections by type (%) 9 11 80 Fibre
No. of connections
1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0
Copper - VDSL
Copper - ADSL
ADSL VDSL Fibre
8
UFB rollout 87% complete
> UFB uptake increased from 56% to 58% within completed footprint
-
uptake in UFB1 areas grew from 58% to 60%
-
uptake in UFB2 areas grew from 34% to 35%
-
(note: uptake includes some UFB2 areas that have been partially built, but not yet submitted for Crown sign-off)
-
695,000 connections (Q2: 664,000) now within completed footprint, including business premium
-
1,198,000 customers able to connect (Q2: 1,185,000)
-
920,000 premises passed (Q2: 909,000) out of 1,054,000 target = UFB rollout 87% complete
> 38,000 fibre installations completed in Q3 (Q2: 45k)
-
customer satisfaction increased from 7.8 to 7.9
-
9k installations through our managed migrations programme
Fibre installations (NZ wide)
==> picture [391 x 245] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
20,000
FY18 FY19 FY20
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [36 x 12] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
8,000
----- End of picture text -----
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April May June
9
UFB1 uptake: 60%
% uptake relative to capable addresses
==> picture [762 x 296] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
70.00%
Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [700 x 56] intentionally omitted <==
10
Monthly average data usage grew 18% in Q3
Monthly average data usage per connection on our network
==> picture [430 x 285] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
450
429
400
363
350 346
300
293
Data
usage 250
(GB) 225
200 200
150
100
50
Copper Fibre Average
0
Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20
----- End of picture text -----
-
monthly average data usage per connection on our network grew to 346GB in Q3, up from 293GB (Dec)
-
429GB on fibre (Dec:363GB)
-
225GB on copper (Dec:200GB)
-
data usage in the last week of March averaged 103GB as New Zealanders spent time at home for the COVID-19 lockdown
-
the increase in data needs is driving increased consumer awareness of datacap limitations, along with upload/latency requirements
-
continued growth in demand for EdgeCentre colocation capability in Auckland; extending footprint to Tauranga
11
COVID-19 effect on network traffic
-
Download traffic set a new record of 3.03Tbps on 27 March, well within Chorus’ network capacity.
-
Daytime upload traffic has grown ~85% as Kiwis use services such as video conferencing, requiring greater bandwidth and low latency (latency above 30ms can result in poor experience of applications such as gaming and video calls – see Measuring Broadband NZ, Spring Report, December 2019 - Figure 13).
Chorus download traffic
Chorus upload traffic
==> picture [461 x 287] intentionally omitted <==
12