AI assistant
CHORUS LIMITED — Interim / Quarterly Report 2020
Oct 8, 2019
64680_rns_2019-10-08_a494bdc6-9c50-4c2a-a1f4-04f457f74cf7.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
==> picture [202 x 23] intentionally omitted <==
Chorus Limited Level 10, 1 Willis Street P O Box 632 Wellington New Zealand
Email: [email protected]
STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT
9 October 2019
Chorus Q1 FY20 Connections Update
The Q1 period saw line loss slow significantly as broadband uptake soared.
Total broadband connections grew by 10k to 1,206,000 (Q4 FY19: +5k)
-
record quarter for fibre demand, with 46k connections added
-
demand for 1Gbps connections grew to 69,000 connections, up from 58,000 in June
-
25,000 more customers were passed by the fibre rollout
-
UFB uptake rose from 53% to 55%
Total fixed line connections declined by 6k to 1,444,000 (Q4 FY19: -22k)
-
connections in Chorus UFB areas grew by 5k
-
disconnections in LFC areas slowed
Monthly average data usage grew to 279GB
-
fibre users now averaging 360GB monthly, up from 341GB in June
-
peak time network throughput now regularly above 2Tbps
-
new peak time record of 2.5Tbps coincided with Wales vs Australia match
ENDS
For further information:
Brett Jackson Investor Relations Manager Phone: +64 4 896 4039 Mobile: +64 (27) 488 7808 Email: [email protected]
Steve Pettigrew Stakeholder Communications Manager Mobile: +64 (27) 2586257 Email: [email protected]
==> picture [960 x 472] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Q1 FY20 Connections Update
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [182 x 20] intentionally omitted <==
9 October 2019
Q1 FY20 overview
Line loss slows significantly as broadband uptake soars
-
Total broadband connections grew by 10k to 1,206,000 (Q4 FY19: +5k)
-
record quarter for fibre demand, with 46k connections added
-
demand for 1Gbps connections grew to 69,000 connections, up from 58,000 in June
-
25,000 more customers were passed by the fibre rollout
-
UFB uptake rose from 53% to 55%
-
Total fixed line connections declined by 6k to 1,444,000 (Q4 FY19: -22k) ▪ connections in Chorus UFB areas grew by 5k
-
disconnections in LFC areas slowed
> Monthly average data usage grew to 279GB
-
fibre users now averaging 360GB monthly, up from 341GB in June
-
peak time network throughput now regularly above 2Tbps
-
new peak time record of 2.5Tbps coincided with Wales vs Australia match
2
Fibre now 53% of broadband connections
| 30 Sept | 31 Dec | 31 March | 30 June | 30 Sept | 1600000 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | ||||||||||||
| Unbundled copper | 45,000 | 39,000 | 31,000 | 24,000 | 21,000 | 1400000 | Baseband copper | |||||||||
| (no broadband) | ||||||||||||||||
| Baseband copper | 255,000 | 244,000 | 233,000 | 214,000 | 201,000 | 1200000 | Unbundled copper | |||||||||
| (no broadband) | ||||||||||||||||
| Copper ADSL | 402,000 | 374,000 | 352,000 | 327,000 | 304,000 | 1000000 | Copper ADSL | |||||||||
| (includes naked) | ||||||||||||||||
| VDSL | 309,000 | 295,000 | 283,000 | 270,000 | 257,000 | 800000 | ||||||||||
| (includes naked) | ||||||||||||||||
| Fibre broadband (GPON) |
479,000 | 517,000 | 556,000 | 599,000 | 645,000 | 600000 | VDSL | |||||||||
| Data services (copper) |
5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 4,000 | 400000 | ||||||||||
| Fibre premium (P2P) |
12,000 | 12,000 | 12,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 | 200000 | Fibre (GPON) | |||||||||
| Total connections | 1,507,000 | 1,486,000 | 1,472,000 | 1,450,000 | 1,444,000 | 0 | ~~Fibre premium~~ | |||||||||
| 30-Sep-18 | 31-Dec-18 | 31-Mar-19 | 30-Jun-19 | 30-Sep-19 |
> 1,206,000 broadband connections comprises:
-
645,000 fibre (GPON) connections
-
561,000 VDSL/ADSL (copper) connections
3
Active wholesaler campaigns driving ARPU growth
Total mass market fibre uptake by plan type
==> picture [516 x 315] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
100 Business/Education plans
1Gbps $60 p.m.
90
200Mbps
$55 p.m.
80
70
$46 p.m.
60 100Mbps
% of
plans 50
40
30
20
10
50Mbps $42.50 p.m.
0
Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19
----- End of picture text -----
-
46,000 mass market fibre connections added in Q1 (vs 43k in Q4 FY19)
-
1Gbps connections grew to 69k (Q4 FY19: 58k) and are now ~11% of mass market fibre connections
-
second tier retailers continue to grow market share with some promoting 1Gbps at ~$85p.m.
-
▪ 100Mbps connections stable at 71%
Copper pricing
| Regulated copper pricing |
Line only (monthly) |
With broadband (monthly) |
|---|---|---|
| Current pricing | $31.19 | $42.02 |
| From mid Dec 2019 | $31.68 | $42.35 |
4
Connection changes by Zone (indicative)
==> picture [509 x 298] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Connections
(’000s)
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
Q1 FY19 Q2 FY19 Q3 FY19 Q4 FY19 Q1 FY20
----- End of picture text -----
UFB: copper lines (no broadband) UFB: broadband lines LFC: copper lines (no broadband) LFC: broadband lines Rural: copper lines (no broadband) Rural: broadband lines
| Chorus UFB zone* |
Rural (non- UFB) zone |
Local Fibre Company UFB zone |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total connections at 30 Sept** |
1,097,000 | 198,000 | 133,000 |
| Broadband connections | 962,000 | 154,000 | 90,000 |
| Copper (no broadband) connections |
135,000 | 44,000 | 43,000 |
-
Includes planned UFB1, 2 and 2+ coverage
-
**Excludes 16k fibre premium and data services (copper) connections
-
premises growth, increasing broadband penetration and winback of offnet customers to fibre is fuelling broadband demand in Chorus UFB areas
-
VDSL vectoring upgrade and premises growth helping offset wireless competition in rural areas
-
mobile network operators are targeting their copper voice customers with wireless voice services across all Zones
5
Premises growth supporting broadband uptake
96,000 dwellings forecast to be consented in Auckland (2019-2024)
-
Auckland : new peak of ~13k dwelling unit consents in 2018, forecast to keep growing
-
New Zealand : average of 37,000 new dwellings forecast per annum for the next six years
-
New Zealand : multi-unit dwellings expected to grow from 36% to 41% of new residential dwellings by 2024
==> picture [535 x 284] intentionally omitted <==
6
UFB rollout 82% complete
-
53,000 fibre installations completed in Q1 (Q4 FY19: 50k)
-
weighted average lead times reduced from 8 to 6 days
-
work in progress stable at 23k
-
customer satisfaction increased from 7.7 to 7.8 (August)
-
field crews stable at ~670
-
UFB uptake increased from 53% to 55%
-
624,000 connections (30 June: 584,000)
-
1,133,000 customers able to connect (30 June: 1,108,000)
-
uptake in UFB2 areas already 29%
-
863,000 premises passed (30 June: 842,000) out of 1,054,000 target = 82% complete
Fibre installations (NZ wide)
==> picture [391 x 245] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
20,000
FY18 FY19 FY20
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [36 x 12] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
8,000
----- End of picture text -----
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April May June
7
UFB1 uptake
ROLLOUT ONGOING
% uptake relative to capable addresses
==> picture [762 x 296] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
70.00%
Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [86 x 53] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
55%
AVERAGE
UPTAKE
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [687 x 56] intentionally omitted <==
Note: % uptake can reduce in areas as the fibre rollout passes more addresses in a period and greenfield subdivisions are claimed
8
Monthly average data usage now 279GB
Monthly average data usage per connection on our network
==> picture [409 x 280] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
400
360
350
300
279
Data
250
usage
(GB)
200 187
150
100
Copper Fibre Average
50
0
Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19
----- End of picture text -----
-
Monthly average data usage per connection on our network grew to 279GB in Q1, up from 265GB (June) ▪ 360GB on fibre (June:341GB)
-
187GB on copper (June:188GB)
9
Rugby streaming driving higher data usage
Record 2.5 Tbps peak at 9:25pm on 30 Sept coincided with Australia vs Wales
==> picture [105 x 46] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NZ vs Sth Africa
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [239 x 46] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NZ vs Canada NZ vs Namibia
----- End of picture text -----
Chorus network throughput
Scheduled RWC match
Copper data usage
Fibre data usage
10