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CGPC — Interim / Quarterly Report 2020
May 25, 2020
51765_rns_2020-05-25_49ffa99f-c5d4-460e-93da-440132b6275d.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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| Time | Itinerary | Reporter |
|---|---|---|
| 14:00〜 14:30 |
VIP Registration | |
| 14:30〜 15:00 |
2020 Q1 Review & 2020 Q2 Outlook | 胡吉宏副總經理 Otto Hu, VP |
| 2020 Q1 Finance Information | 郭建洲經理 C C Kuo, Manager |
|
| 15:00〜 15:30 |
Q & A | 林漢福副董事長 H F Lin, Vice Chairman |
China General Plastics Corp. 2020 Q1 Review & 2020 Q2 Outlook Reported by: Otto Hu May 25, 2020
2020 Q1 Review: Ethylene & EDC
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Some results of trade war concluded in January 2020 encouraged ethylene demand and pushed the price at three months high in Asia. Covid-19 pandemic happened later in China and other countries. The lockdowns to prevent pandemic spreading really influenced the global ethylene demand and the market prices.
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Low EDC inventory in users’ side and more T/A
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scheduled in early this year led EDC price going up. The US chlor-alkali also ran with high OP rate. The Covid-19 pandemic slowed down the PVC demand and pulled down EDC price later in Q1.
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2020 Q1 Review: PVC
� The Covid-19 pandemic impacted China early this year and slowed down PVC demand. But the overall demand in SEA, Bangladesh, India and M. East was still not bad.
- The PVC market prices except in China were lasting the upward trend in the H1 Q1. However, the Asian PVC prices were softening since later March. The profit margin for non-integrate VCM or PVC plants can be maintained as which did in last year end.
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2020 Q1 Review: Consolidated Sales
� The consolidated net revenue was NT$3.591B, which decreased by NT$364M YoY.
� Sales Quantities (KMT)
| 2020 Q1 | 2019 Q1 | Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCM/PVC | 101.3 | 84.5 | 16.8 |
| PVC products | 16.0 | 15.5 | 0.5 |
| Alkaline | 15.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 |
| Total | 132.3 | 114.0 | 18.3 |
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2020 Q1 Review: Corporate Governance (I)
� CGPC was 2[nd] level of 5% in year ranking at the 1[st] listed companies in 2019 performance evaluation. In addition, CGPC was also the 2[nd] year ranking at the 1[st] level of 10% with NT$10B market capitalization in non-finance and non-electronics both listed companies and OTC companies included according to the performance evaluation in 2019.
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CGPC is working on all steps to target for better
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evaluation performance.
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2020 Q1Review: Corporate Governance (II)
� Ranking within 5% of the 1[st] level in listed companies
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- Ranking within 10% of the 1[st] level with NT$10B market capitalization in non-finance and non-electronics listed and OTC included
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2020 Q2 Outlook: Ethylene
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Due to Covid-19 impact, crude demand had been a big drop. The WTI future price reached negative value in May even thought the oil cut agreed with 9.7Mbpd. The ethylene prices in major markets followed the downward trend. The record low spot ethylene prices happened with $330 in Asia and ₵ 8/lb in US.
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The Covid-19 pandemic looks to gradually ease after May. Some countries plan to lift lockdown and reopen markets. The ethylene demand in Asia has much improved and led price going up. However, the market prices are expected not so much high as last year due to the worries for the second round of pandemic outbreak and the arguments between US and China for Covid-19 control and disease information disclosed.
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2020 Q2 Outlook: EDC
� US chlor-alkali producers ran with high OP rate in Q1. But the domestic demand was weak due to T/A in VCM and PVC. The surplus EDC were arranged to export and increased by 70% approx. against last year. The spot export price hit $65 FOB record low in April due to the global lockdown on Covid-19 pandemic outbreak.
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The US produces tried their best in Q2 to raise the domestic prices for caustic soda to improve the profit margin, and the OP rate for chlor-alkali is expected to increase as well. The EDC demand looks getting better after the pandemic situation but the EDC is still stable ease, price expected
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even though ethylene price is jumping high.
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Crude Oil & Ethylene Monthly Ave. Prices
Unit:US$/bbl WTI
Unit:US$/MT CFR NEA (Platts)
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PVC/VCM/EDC Monthly Avg. Prices (Platts)
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Unit:US$/MT CFR NEA (Platts)
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2020 Outlook: Alkaline
� The OP rate for US chlor-alkali was 90% to support the good demand for EDC and PVC in Q1. The OP rate dropped to 80% or less in Q2 due to the lockdown on Covid-19 pandemic. The US producers already raised selling prices for caustic soda. And the OP rate is expected to increase. � The PVC business was poor as well in Asia. But the market prices for caustic soda have no room to increase owing to the lockdown in major Asian markets. The situation is expected to improve once India reopen the market after end May.
US$/DMT
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2020 Q2 Outlook: PVC (I)
� PVC demand in China was impacted first by Covid-19. The price of carbide-base PVC hit ¥5,000 in end March and was rebound gradually. The demand in other markets got poor later because of the lockdown for pandemic outbreak. The surplus PVC temporally aimed at Chinese market with very low prices.
- The lockdowns are expected to lift gradually since 2H May. The buyers are looking for PVC cargos. The major PVC producers have raised $40 at least for June shipment. Even though the PMI for most countries significantly dropped, the PVC outlook is positive because 1) replenish for reopen, 2) post Ramadan business, 3) price low enough.
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2020 Q2 Outlook: PVC (II)
� The poor demand for pandemic outbreak and the drastic price drop for crude/ethylene, most PVC producers had reduced the productions. However, the PVC demand has been stronger than expect once the lockdown lifted. And PVC supply is expected to be limited in 2HQ2.
� Chinese carbide-base PVC is not competitive if crude at low prices. So Chinese PVC export will be less in near future this year. Chlor-alkali in US have been not profitable for years. So, US PVC producers decreased price slower and increased price earlier. The traders expect not easy to buy cheap PVC cargos from both China and US in Q2 or later. This will help PVC price firmer and going up.
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2020 Q2 Outlook: PVC Products
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The sales for both pipe and door panel in Q1 was almost same as last year. The pre-selling for new houses have been slow due to pandemic in Q2. However, the business outlook for construction materials should be not so much change based on the low interest rate for housing, land transaction, housing start and investors’ return from overseas.
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More orders of PVC film and leather shifted from China to Taiwan this year. The change is because of production based moved from China to SEA earlier due to trade war and the pandemic outbreak happened in China in Q1. The same kind of business from US and Europe are expected to improve later in Q2 after the lockdowns have been lifted gradually.
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2020 Outlook : PVC Sold by Month
PVC total quantity sold in 2020: YTD in in April : more than 124 kt YoY change: +4%
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Unit:KMT
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2020 Outlook :
Consolidated Sales
CGPC consolidated net revenue: YTD in April: NT$4.309B YoY change: -5.3%
Unit:NT$’000
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China General Plastics Corp. 2020 Q1 Financial Report
Report by: C C Kuo May 25, 2020
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2020 Q1 Sales by product
(NT$million)
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China General Plastics Corporation and Subsidiaries Consolidated Statements of Income (In millions of NTD, except per share data)
2020Q1 |
2019Q1 |
YoY% |
2019FY |
2018FY |
2017FY |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sales |
3,591 | 3,228 | 11.3% | 15,118 | 15,193 | 14,702 | ||
Cost of goods sold |
2,871 | 2,779 | 3.3% | 13,148 | 12,490 | 11,925 | ||
Gross profit |
720 | 449 | 60.6% | 1,969 | 2,703 | 2,777 | ||
gross profit ratio |
20% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 19% | |||
Operating expenses |
297 | 265 | 12.1% | 1,196 | 1,130 | 1,126 | ||
Operating income |
423 | 184 | 130.6% | 774 | 1,573 | 1,651 | ||
operating income ratio |
12% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 11% | |||
Non-operating income(loss) * |
23 | 43 | -46.2% | 84 | 89 | (37) | ||
Income before income taxes |
446 | 226 | 97.2% | 858 | 1,662 | 1,614 | ||
Income taxes |
97 | 35 | 176.1% | 160 | 306 | 275 | ||
Net income |
349 | 191 | 82.6% | 698 | 1,356 | 1,339 | ||
net income ratio |
10% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | |||
Net income attributable to |
||||||||
- China General Plastics Corporation |
311 | 184 | 68.8% | 643 | 1,276 | 1,270 | ||
- noncontrolling interest |
38 | 45 | -16.1% | 55 | 80 | 69 | ||
Earnings per share |
0.59 | 0.36 | 62.3% | 1.22 | 2.52 | 2.58 | ||
adjusted |
0.35 | 0.00 | 2.42 | 2.51 |
*note:Non-operating income(loss) included discontinued operations income(loss)
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| China General Plastics Corporation and Subsidiaries Financial ratio analysis 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 Q1 Q1 FY FY FY Operatingincome margin(%) 11.8 5.7 5.1 10.4 11.2 Net income margin(%) 9.7 5.9 4.6 8.9 9.1 Debt ratio(%) 28 32 29 33 35 Current ratio(%) 314 295 288 300 336 Quick ratio(%) 208 168 193 215 229 Accounts receivable turnover 39 49 40 42 39 Inventoryturnover days 50 70 44 52 55 |
China General Plastics Corporation and Subsidiaries Financial ratio analysis 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 Q1 Q1 FY FY FY Operatingincome margin(%) 11.8 5.7 5.1 10.4 11.2 Net income margin(%) 9.7 5.9 4.6 8.9 9.1 Debt ratio(%) 28 32 29 33 35 Current ratio(%) 314 295 288 300 336 Quick ratio(%) 208 168 193 215 229 Accounts receivable turnover 39 49 40 42 39 Inventoryturnover days 50 70 44 52 55 |
China General Plastics Corporation and Subsidiaries Financial ratio analysis 2020 2019 2019 2018 2017 Q1 Q1 FY FY FY Operatingincome margin(%) 11.8 5.7 5.1 10.4 11.2 Net income margin(%) 9.7 5.9 4.6 8.9 9.1 Debt ratio(%) 28 32 29 33 35 Current ratio(%) 314 295 288 300 336 Quick ratio(%) 208 168 193 215 229 Accounts receivable turnover 39 49 40 42 39 Inventoryturnover days 50 70 44 52 55 |
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|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Q1 |
2019 Q1 |
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| Operatingincome margin(%) | 11.8 | 5.7 | |
| Net income margin(%) | 9.7 | 5.9 | |
| Debt ratio(%) | 28 | 32 | |
| Current ratio(%) | 314 | 295 | |
| Quick ratio(%) | 208 | 168 | |
| Accounts receivable turnover | 39 | 49 | |
| Inventoryturnover days | 50 | 70 |
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� This presentation includes the Company’s current information and any development or adjustments thereof will be published according to laws, regulations or rulings. The Company is not obligated to update or revise this presentation.
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The information in this presentation is not
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for investment advices.
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Thank You
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