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CENTAURUS METALS LIMITED Investor Presentation 2012

Nov 22, 2012

64715_rns_2012-11-22_1ec39006-76b2-416b-87bb-ce58119add36.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Centaurus : Powering towards production

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  • Low costs

  • Strong margins

  • Outstanding growth

potential Darren Gordon Managing Director

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23 November 2012
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Disclaimer

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  • This presentation does not constitute investment advice. Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it constitutes an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation in relation to the purchase or sale of shares in any jurisdiction. This presentation does not take into account any person's particular investment objectives, financial resources or other relevant circumstances and the opinions and recommendations in this presentation are not intended to represent recommendations of particular investments to particular persons. All securities transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments.

  • To the fullest extent permitted by law, the Company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of any information, statements, opinions, estimates, forecasts or other representations contained in this presentation. No responsibility for any errors or omissions from this presentation arising out of negligence or otherwise is accepted.

  • This presentation may include forward looking statements. Forward looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions which are outside the control of Centaurus Metals. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions include commodity prices, currency fluctuations, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, environmental risks and legislative, fiscal or regulatory developments, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Actual values, results or events may be materially different to those expressed or implied in this presentation. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on forward looking statements. Any forward looking statements in this presentation speak only at the date of issue of this presentation. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law and the ASX Listing Rules, Centaurus Metals does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any information or any of the forward looking statements in this presentation or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such forward looking statement is based.

  • The information in this report that relates to Exploration Results and Mineral Resources is based on information compiled by Roger Fitzhardinge who is a Member of the Australasia Institute of Mining and Metallurgy and Volodymyr Myadzel who is a Member of Australian Institute of Geoscientists. Roger Fitzhardinge is a permanent employee of Centaurus Metals Limited and Volodymyr Myadzel is the Senior Resource Geologist of BNA Consultoria e Sistemas Limited, independent resource consultants engaged by Centaurus Metals. Roger Fitzhardinge and Volodymyr Myadzel have sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralization and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which they are undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve’. Roger Fitzhardinge and Volodymyr Myadzel consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on their information in the form and context in which it appears.

  • The information in this report that relates to Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Beck Nader who is a professional Mining Engineer and a Member of Australian Institute of Geoscientists. Beck Nader is the Managing Director of BNA Consultoria e Sistemas Ltda and is a consultant to Centaurus. Beck Nader has sufficient experience, which is relevant to the style of mineralization and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity, which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve’. Beck Nader consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on their information in the form and context in which it appears.

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Overview

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  • Building a long-term iron ore business in SE Brazil

  • Developing low capital and operating cost mines near existing infrastructure and customers

  • 2Mtpa domestic production on track to commence at Jambreiro by Q4 of 2013: • BFS confirms life-of-mine revenue of A$847M , EBITDA of A$556M , NPV of A$140M

  • High-grade, low impurity consistent quality product: growing domestic market

  • Outstanding growth potential from compact ore, regional exploration, export strategy

  • • Experienced in-country management and technical team, backed by a strong Board

  • • Supportive strategic shareholders: Atlas Iron (19.6%), Liberty Metals & Mining (12.8%)

Centaurus Metals is well advanced towards its goal of becoming a profitable iron ore producer in Brazil by late 2013.

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Brazil – Latin America’s Economic Powerhouse

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World economic ranking: 6th
Ranking in Latin America: 1st
GDP growth (2012) 1.5%
Revised GDP growth forecast (2013): 4.0%
Population: ~205M
Iron ore exports: >320Mtpa
Steel production: ~35Mtpa

By 2050, the Brazilian population is expected to increase to 260M and the economy is forecast to be one of the world’s Top Five, making it a highly attractive destination for foreign investment. (Source: Goldman Sachs)

Source: Brazilian Central Bank, CIA – The World Factbook, Bloomberg CRU International Limited – The Iron Ore Market Outlook – October 2012

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Aerial view of Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

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Brazilian Iron Ore Market

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Large domestic market for iron ore consumption
Brazilian economy expected to rebound in the medium term with
infrastructure investment for 2014 Soccer World Cup and 2016 Olympics
Significant market opportunity with major steel mills located within
180km radius of key Centaurus Projects
Brazil Crude Steel Production (Mt) Brazil Iron Ore Consumption (Mt)
26% 25%
Forecast
Forecast
33 33 26 32 34 34 37 39 41 43 53 48 34 45 48 48 53 56 58 60
Source: CRU International Limited – The Iron Ore Market Outlook – October 2012
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  • Large domestic market for iron ore consumption

  • Brazilian economy expected to rebound in the medium term with infrastructure investment for 2014 Soccer World Cup and 2016 Olympics

  • Significant market opportunity with major steel mills located within 180km radius of key Centaurus Projects

Source: CRU International Limited – The Iron Ore Market Outlook – October 2012

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2014 Soccer World Cup

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Corporate Overview

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Capital Structure (post capital raising) Capital Structure (post capital raising)
Shares on Issue 196.0m
Options 13.6m
Share Price A$0.30
Market Capitalisation A$58.8m
Cash at bank(30 September 2012) A$28.7m
Enterprise Value A$30.1m

Major Shareholders

Atlas Iron Ltd (19.6%) – An ASX-listed iron ore company (AGO), currently producing at the rate of ~7Mtpa. Since listing in 2004, Atlas has grown rapidly as is now an S&P ASX 100 company. Atlas employs over 450 people, has a market capitalisation of circa $1.5 billion, cash reserves of $313.6m (30 September 2012) and an underwritten US$325m term loan facility to fund its Horizon 1 growth strategy to 12Mtpa.

Liberty Metals and Mining Holdings LLC (12.8%) – A Boston-based subsidiary of Liberty Mutual Insurance, the third largest diversified property and casualty (“P&C”) insurer in the US and the sixth largest P&C insurer worldwide.

Broker Research

Broker Date 12-Month Price Target
Ord Minnett 08-11-12 $1.17
Canaccord Genuity 07-11-12 $1.15
PCF Securities 08-11-12 $1.13
RFC Ambrian 05-11-12 $0.91
Investec 07-11-12 $0.50
Hartleys 06-11-12 $0.44

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Centaurus Key Personnel – Board and Management

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Centaurus Metals Board

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Didier Murcia – Independent Non-Executive Chairman

Lawyer, 25 years experience, Non-executive Director – Gryphon Minerals and Rift Valley Resources. Honorary Australian Consul to Tanzania

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Darren Gordon - Managing Director

Chartered Accountant, 20 years experience, extensive resource financing and operations exposure. Previously CFO at Gindalbie Metals

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Peter Freund - Operations Director

Mechanical Engineer, 40 years experience, former General Manager of the Karara JV, and head of MIM team at Alumbrera Copper Mine, South America. Developed Oaky Creek Coal and MacArthur River Lead/Zinc Project

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Keith McKay – Independent Non-Executive Director

Geologist, 40 years experience, former Chairman – Gindalbie Metals and former Managing Director – Gallery Gold and Battle Mountain

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Richard Hill – Independent Non-Executive Director

Solicitor and Geologist, 20 years experience, co-founded Centaurus and director of resource Investment group, Westoria Capital

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Mark Hancock - Non-Executive Director

Chartered Accountant, 25 years experience, former Chief Commercial Officer and currently Executive Director, Commercial – Atlas Iron. Has previously held senior financial roles with Woodside Petroleum, Premier Oil & Lend Lease

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Sheila Lyons - Non-Executive Director

Investment Banker, 20 years experience, Current VP of Liberty Metals and Mining. Former executive with at HSBC Securities and Deutsche Bank focussed on power and utilities.

Centaurus Metals Senior Management

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Geoff James: CFO & Company Secretary

Chartered Accountant, 20 years experience, former Group Financial Accountant at Clough Limited

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Alexandro de Moura : GM – Operations

Engineer, 20 years experience, former Chief Operating Officer for MMX Mineracao

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Bruno Scarpelli: GM – Environmental & OH&S

Former Environmental Coordinator at Carajas Iron Ore Operations, previously held roles with Brandt Meio Ambiente and Golder Associates

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Roger Fitzhardinge: GM – Exploration & Evaluation

Geologist, former Manager of Technical Services and Senior Mine Geologist at Mirabela Nickel. Former geologist with BHP’s Pilbara iron ore operations

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Rodrigo Branco: GM – Commercial

Economist, 20 years experience, held various iron ore sales and commercial roles with Vale & CSN. Former Country Manager for ASX Listed SAFM Mineracao

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Luiz Carlos Noronha Jr.: Legal Counsel & Administrator Lawyer, 15 years experience in tax, commercial law and land access for mining company clients.

Centaurus has a strong management team, predominantly based in the Belo Horizonte office, experienced in developing Brazilian resource projects.

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Brazilian Domestic Project Hub

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Domestic Project Hub

  • 174Mt resource base – three projects

  • Cornerstone = Jambreiro Project (125.2Mt) – 180km from Ipatinga steelmaking region

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  • Future growth potential: G100, Guanhaes tenements, Passabem, Itambé

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Page 10

Jambreiro – Overview

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Jambreiro – A Low-Cost, High-Margin Iron Ore Project

  • Bankable Feasibility Study – November 2012:

  • Production: 2Mtpa @ 64.5% Fe

  • Life-of-Mine Revenue: A$847M

  • Operating costs: A$16.20/tonne

  • EBITDA: A$556M, annual cash flows: A$62M

  • Post-tax NPV: A$140M, IRR: 33%

  • Pre-production CAPEX: A$136M

  • Consistent and reliable supplier of high-quality, low impurity iron ore to domestic steel mills

  • Approvals on schedule: construction April 2013, first ore production December 2013

  • Friable Ore Reserve: 48.5Mt @ 28.1% Fe

  • ~18Mt of high grade product = 9 year mine life

  • Exceptional production and mine life upside

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Jambreiro – Financial Evaluation

Key Financial Outcome Key Financial Outcome
Total Revenue A$847M
EBITDA A$556M
Capital Costs A$136M
Annual Average Operating Cash Flow A$62M
Operating Cash Cost (per tonne of product – LoM) A$16.2/dmt
NPV8%Pre-tax A$242M
NPV8%Post-tax A$140M
Pre-tax IRR 47%
Post-tax IRR 33%

Jambreiro has very strong economics, with exceptionally low life-of-mine C1 cash operating costs (C1 + Royalties) of A$16.20/tonne – reflecting the low stripping ratio (0.97:1), the freedigging nature of the friable material and the extent of natural liberation of the ore. This will position Jambreiro at the bottom end of the global cost curve and underpin its ability to generate strong operating margins at all stages of the commodity price cycle.

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Jambreiro – Capital and Operating Costs

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Capital Cost Breakdown
A$ million
A$ million
Capital Cost Breakdown
A$ million
A$ million
Capital Cost Breakdown
A$ million
A$ million
Capital Cost Breakdown
A$ million
A$ million
Direct Costs
Mining & Mine Fleet 8.0
Processing Plant 69.1
Water Supply & Management 9.0
Power Supply 17.3
Administration & Support Facilities 7.1 110.5
Detailed Engineering & EPCM 8.3
Other Indirect Costs 7.7
Contingency (7.5%) 9.5
TOTAL CAPEX 136.0
Operating Cost Breakdown
A$ per Tonne Product
Mining 4.1
Processing & Beneficiation 8.1
Administration 2.3
SITE OPERATING CASH COST (C1) 14.5
Royalties – Government and Landowner 1.7
TOTAL OPERATING CASH COSTS (C1 + Royalties) 16.2

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Jambreiro – Process Flowsheet

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Jambreiro – Site Layout

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PRODUCT QUALITY
Fe%
SiO2%
Al2O3%
P%
Mass
Recovery %
PRODUCT QUALITY
Fe%
SiO2%
Al2O3%
P%
Mass
Recovery %
FRIABLE ORE – PILOT PLANT (30T) – Wet Magnetic Separation
Head Grade
30.4
52.3
2.7
0.02
Beneficiated Product
66.0
4.1
0.8
0.01
39.4
BFS Assumptions
Initial mine life: 9.0 years
Strip ratio: 0.97:1
Production rate: 2Mtpa

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Jambreiro – Site Layout

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Jambreiro – Land Access & Approval Process

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Environmental Approvals

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  • EIA/RIMA – Approved

  • Three stage approval process

  • LP October 2012 – Issued

  • LI April 2013 – Application Lodged

  • LO December Quarter 2013

  • Strong community support for Project

  • Job creation

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  • Share of royalty

Land Access

  • 10-year land access and co-operation signed with land owner CENIBRA

  • Project land used to grow eucalypt trees

  • Much of Project area already cleared

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Jambreiro – Development Timeline

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2012 2013 2014
On Site Construction
BFS Completed Commences Production
Commences
Commence Off-Site
Pre-Fabrication
Mining Lease
Application Lodged
Debt Financing
Drawdown
Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar
Anticipated LI
EIA/RIMA Lodged Operating Licence
EIA/RIMA Approved (LP) Approval
Issued (LO)
Installation Licence (LI) Lodged
Centaurus : Powering towards production
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Jambreiro – Project and Mine Life Upside

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Compact Ore

  • Comprises 65.8Mt @ 27.7% Fe within overall resource of 125.2Mt @ 26.7% Fe

Mass PRODUCT QUALITY Fe% SiO2% Al2O3% P% Recovery % COMPACT MINERALISATION – BENCH SCALE (Wet Magnetic Separation) Head Grade 25.0 55.9 2.2 0.07 Beneficiated Product 66.2 3.7 0.9 0.01 35.2

  • Successful test work has delivered beneficiated product grading 66.2% Fe

  • Pit optimisation incorporating this material has defined an In Pit Resource:

  • 102.6Mt @ 26.7% Fe (82% of global resource)

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  • Potential product of 36.3Mt of +65% Fe sinter blend concentrate

  • Strong opportunity to continue mining beyond the initial 9 years

  • Potential to double the mine life to 18 years

  • Regional Exploration

  • Potential to define additional resources within economic haulage distance

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Jambreiro – Exploration Upside

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  • Initial mapping and detailed ground magnetic survey completed

  • Large magnetic anomaly, with 30km strike only 15km from Jambreiro

G100 Project

  • Similar geological setting to the friable ore identified at Jambreiro

  • To date magnetic signature has not been explained – no outcrop

  • 2,500m initial RC drilling program underway

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Serra da Lontra Iron Ore Project – Bahia

  • 140km via sealed road from export port of Ilheus

  • Opportunity for relatively low CAPEX export business

  • Supportive State Government in Bahia

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  • Resource nearing completion

  • Scoping Study underway

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Curral Velho Iron Ore Project – Paraiba

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  • 20km strike of

  • prospective iron formation

  • 65km from major rail line under construction

  • 350km from major export port of Suapé

  • Tenement extensions being applied for with DNPM

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Summary

  • Brazil-focused iron ore developer

  • Proven business model: Mine Beneficiate Deliver , ,

  • Low capital intensity, low operating costs

  • Strong forecast cash flows

  • 15 months to production

  • Well-funded: $28m cash

  • Supportive strategic shareholders: Atlas & Liberty

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Centaurus : Powering towards production

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  • Low costs

  • Strong margins

  • Outstanding growth

  • potential Darren Gordon Managing Director

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Jambreiro Project – October 2012 Resources and Reserves

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Ore Reserve Classification Mt Fe% SiO2% Al2O3% P% LOI %
Proven 35.4 28.5 49.6 4.3 0.04 1.7
Probable 13.1 27.2 49.0 5.3 0.04 2.4
Total 48.5 28.1 49.4 4.6 0.04 1.9
Mineral Resource Classification
Measured 46.7 28.3 51.0 4.2 0.04 1.6
Indicated 35.5 26.5 49.9 4.3 0.05 1.7
Inferred 42.9 25.3 49.5 4.5 0.06 1.3
Total 125.2 26.7 50.2 4.4 0.05 1.5

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Jambreiro Project – Key BFS Assumptions

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Key Assumption Key Assumption
Ore Reserves 48.5Mt
Grade 28.1% Fe
Metal recovery per dry tonne 90%
Reserve – Final Product 18Mt
Grade +64.5% Fe
Waste Movement 46.8Mt
Total Material Movement (including pre-strip) 95.3Mt
Waste to Ore Ratio (LOM) 0.97 to 1
Production Rate 2Mtpa
Average LoM Exchange Rate AUD to BRL 1.90
Average LoM Exchange Rate AUD to USD 0.86
Average LoM Exchange Rate USD to BRL 2.21
Average Sales Price – FOB Mine Gate A$47/dmt
Discount Rate 8%

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Jambreiro Project – Sensitivity Analysis

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2 Mtpa Case Case Case Case Case Post Tax – NPV (A$M) Post Tax – NPV (A$M) Post Tax – NPV (A$M) Post Tax – NPV (A$M) Post Tax – NPV (A$M)
Variable -20% -10% Base +10% +20% -20% -10% Base +10% +20%
Average LoM Price (FOB Mine) A$/dmt 38 42 47 52 56 73.9 106.8 139.6 172.4 205.2
Capital Expenditure (A$M) 163 150 136 122 109 119.6 129.6 139.6 149.6 159.6
Direct Operating Expenditure (A$M/dmt) 17.4 16.0 14.5 13.1 11.6 117.4 128.5 139.6 150.7 161.9
Foreign Exchange Rate R$/A$ 2.28 2.09 1.90 1.71 1.52 116.3 126.9 139.6 155.1 174.5
Discount Rate % 10 9 8 7 6 119.1 129.0 139.6 151.0 163.1

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Price (FOB Mine)
Foreign Exchange
Discount Rate
Operating Expenditure
Capital Expenditure
50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225
NPV (A$M)
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