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Carrefour

Earnings Release Mar 10, 2016

1182_iss_2016-03-10_30ab464f-93da-4351-af6a-28b009a90f84.pdf

Earnings Release

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FULL-YEAR RESULTS: FURTHER GROWTH IN 2015 Strong improvement in free cash flow

Lower debt

Continued investments in multiformat

Increase in net sales: €76.9bn, +3.0% on an organic basis

  • Faster growth in Europe, notably in Spain and Italy; all formats grew in France again this year
  • Excellent performance in Latin America in a more difficult environment

Growth in Recurring Operating Income: €2,445m, +7.0% at constant exchange rates, +11.5% proforma1

  • In Europe, all countries, including France, posted an increase in their operating margin. ROI in Europe was up almost 10%1
  • Profitability in Emerging Markets continued to improve, illustrated by a sharp increase in ROI in Latin America (+23.5% at constant exchange rates)

Marked rise in adjusted net income, Group share: €1,113m, +7.1%

Improved financial structure; continued investments in multiformat and omnichannel transformation

  • Free Cash Flow excluding exceptional items of €951m, strongly up vs 2014
  • Net debt reduced by €408m, to €4.5bn

  • Sustained investments of €2.4bn in the modernization of our store network and multiformat expansion, with 1,123 store openings, of which 850 convenience stores

  • Integration of DIA stores in France and acquisition of Billa supermarkets in Romania
  • Digital ramp-up throughout the company and acquisition in France of Rue du Commerce

Proposed dividend: €0.70 per share, in cash or shares

1 At constant exchange rates and excluding the integration of DIA, the increase of the Tascom tax on selling space and the transfer to Carmila of rental income from shopping malls

Key figures (m€) 2014 2015 Variation
at constant
exch. rates
Variation
at current
exch. rates
Net sales
Organic growth
74,706 76,945 +4.1%
+3.0%
+3.0%
Recurring Operating Income before D&A (EBITDA) 3,803 3,955 +6.7% +4.0%
Recurring Operating Income (ROI) 2,387 2,445 +7.0% +2.4%
ROI including income from associates and joint ventures 2,423 2,489 +7.2% +2.7%
Adjusted net income, Group share 1,040 1,113 +7.1%
Free cash flow (continuing operations, excluding exceptional items) 664 951 +€287m
Net debt at close 4,954 4,546 -€408m
Net debt/EBITDA 1.3x 1.1x

Further growth in ROI (+7.0% at constant exchange rates, +11.5% proforma) and in adjusted net income, Group share (+7.1%)

Income statement

In 2015, Carrefour recorded a significant increase in sales. Net sales were up by +4.1% at constant exchange rates and by +3.0% on an organic basis. All regions reported sales growth at current exchange rates, with Europe up by +2.7% and Emerging Markets up by +3.8%.

Recurring Operating Income (ROI) grew once again to €2,445m, up +7.0% at constant exchange rates (+2.4% at current exchange rates), increasing both in Europe (+9.9% proforma) and in Emerging Markets (+9.2% at constant exchange rates).

In France, ROI stood at €1,191m. Operating margin in France was up compared to 2014, after adjusting for the integration of DIA, the increase in the tax on sales space and the transfer to Carmila upon its creation in 2014 of rental income from shopping malls. The transformation plan of DIA stores accelerated as planned during the second half.

In Other European countries, ROI rose sharply, to €567m vs €425m in 2014, up +33.4%. In 2015, commercial margin improved, reflecting the positive impact of our various action plans. Operating margin was up by 70 bp to 2.9% of sales. This performance was largely driven by the continuing recovery in Spain and improvement in Italy. Operating margin improved in all countries.

Latin America continued to grow strongly, with an increase in ROI of +23.5% at constant exchange rates, to €705m. This improvement reflected excellent LFL sales growth in Brazil and Argentina, combined with an improvement in commercial margin. SG&A included the increase in energy costs in Brazil. Operating margin stood at 4.9%, up 20 bp.

In Asia, ROI stood at €13m. In China, amid an economic slowdown and rapidly-changing consumer needs, we are continuing the repositioning of our model. In Taiwan, sales returned to growth for the first time in over two years, driven by the roll-out of our multiformat model and the modernization of some hypermarkets, and ROI was up.

In 2015, non-recurring income was a net expense of €257m, principally linked to reorganization costs in various countries. This compares to a gain of €149m in 2014, essentially linked to the capital gain from the contribution of assets to Carmila. Net income from continuing operations, Group share, stood at €977m, including the following elements:

  • A drop in financial expenses, largely attributable to lower interest costs for €52m. This drop resulted from the combination of continued low interest rates in Europe, partly offset by higher interest rates elsewhere;
  • A broadly stable effective tax rate.

Net income, Group share, stood at €980m. When adjusted mainly for non-recurring income, net income, Group share, stood at €1,113m, up by +7.1%.

Cash flow and debt

In 2015, free cash flow improved sharply and stood at €687m vs €306m in 2014. This variation principally stemmed from:

  • A sharp improvement in gross cash flow which stood at €2,733m vs €2,504m in 2014;
  • Working capital requirements represented an inflow of €81m in the year, vs €19m last year;
  • An improved variation of fixed-asset supplier payables, which constituted an inflow of €136m, while business-related asset disposals generated an inflow of €104m;
  • Continued capex of €2.4bn to bring up to standards, modernize and develop our store network.

Adjusted for exceptional items, free cash flow from continuing operations reached €951m, sharply up vs 2014.

Net financial debt at December 31, 2015 stood at €4.5bn, a reduction of €408m compared to December 31, 2014. It benefited from:

  • The improvement in free cash flow described above;
  • The sale of part of our treasury shares in March 2015, which generated a cash-in of €394m;
  • The sale of an additional stake in Carrefour Brazil to Península Participações in April 2015. Peninsula's stake now stands at 12%.

2016 priorities

Carrefour is continuing its transformation, with strong ambitions for its multiformat model, which allows it to offer its clients a shopping experience adapted to their evolving aspirations and to changing consumption habits.

The world's most multi-format retailer, Carrefour continues to invest in expansion. In 2016, the Group will continue opening stores in its different formats, notably in convenience, at a sustained pace. In France, the conversion of the DIA store network is proceeding according to plan, with another 500 stores to be transformed in 2016.

Carrefour is also investing for sustainable growth. The Group continues to modernize its stores in all countries and to enhance the attractiveness of its sites by capitalizing on Carmila. Carrefour is making further headway in its structural projects, including the revamp of its supply-chain and IT rationalization in several countries. The repositioning of its model in China is one of Carrefour's priorities.

Carrefour is accelerating its digital transformation as it pursues its omnichannel ambition. This ambition capitalizes on Carrefour's physical store network and on the development of e-commerce services in all Group countries. In France, the acquisition of Rue du Commerce will allow us to enrich our offer via a marketplace.

In 2016, Carrefour will maintain its financial discipline:

  • o Total investments of between €2.5bn and €2.6bn
  • o Constant focus on free cash flow generation
  • o Maintain BBB+ rating

Agenda

  • Q1 2016 sales: April 15, 2016
  • Shareholders' Assembly: May 17, 2016

Contacts

Investor Relations Alessandra Girolami, Mathilde Rodié and Matthew Mellin Tel: +33 (0)1 41 04 28 83 Shreholder Relations Tel: 0 805 902 902 (toll-free in France) Group Communication Tel: +33 (0)1 41 04 26 17

APPENDIX

Geographic breakdown of sales and Recurring Operating Income

Net sales Recurring operating income
(€m) 2014 2015 Organic
growth 1
Variation
at
current
exch.
rates
2014
restated2
2015 Proforma
variation3
Variation
at
constant
exch.
rates
Variation
at
current
exch.
rates
France 35,336 36,272 +1.1% +2.6% 1,271 1,191 +1.8% -6.4% -6.4%
Other European countries 19,191 19,724 +1.2% +2.8% 425 567 +34.2% +33.4% +33.4%
Europe 54,527 55,996 +1.2% +2.7% 1,697 1,758 +9.9% +3.6% +3.6%
Latin America 13,891 14,290 +15.7% +2.9% 660 705 +23.5% +23.5% +6.9%
Asia 6,288 6,659 -9.5% +5.9% 97 13 -87.6% -87.6% -87.0%
Emerging Markets 20,179 20,949 +7.6% +3.8% 757 718 +9.2% +9.2% -5.2%
Global functions (67) (31)
TOTAL 74,706 76,945 +3.0% +3.0% 2,387 2,445 +11.5% +7.0% +2.4%

1 Ex petrol and ex VAT

2 Cf appendix page 6

3 At constant exchange rates and excluding the integration of DIA, the increase of the Tascom tax on sales space the transfer to Carmila of rental income from shopping malls

Adjustments to Recurring Operating Income

Comparative information for 2014 has been restated to reflect the application of IFRIC 21 – Levies. There is no impact on 2014 full-year recurring Operating Income. Comparative information for 2014 and the first half of 2015 has also been adjusted for head office cost allocations.

Recurring operating income (€m)

First half 2014 Reported Restated for
IFRIC 21
Adjusted for cost
allocation
France 515 406 406
Europe excluding France 43 36 36
Latin America 247 247 229
Asia 83 83 83
Global functions -55 -55 -37
Total 833 717 717
Second half 2014 Reported Restated for
IFRIC 21
Adjusted for cost
allocation
France 756 865 865
Europe excluding France 382 389 389
Latin America 438 438 430
Asia 14 14 14
Global functions -37 -37 -29
Total 1,554 1,670 1,670
Full-year 2014 Reported Restated for
IFRIC 21
Adjusted for cost
allocation
France 1,271 1,271 1,271
Europe excluding France 425 425 425
Latin America 685 685 660
Asia 97 97 97
Gobal functions -92 -92 -67
Total 2,387 2,387 2,387
First-half 2015 Reported Adjusted for cost
allocation
France 321 321
Europe excluding France 122 122
Latin America 296 291
Asia 50 50
Global functions -63 -58
Total 726 726

Consolidated income statement

(€m) 2014 2015
Net sales 74,706 76,945
Net sales net of loyalty program costs 74,097 76,393
Other revenue 2,221 2,464
Total revenue 76,318 78,857
Cost of goods sold (59,270) (60,838)
Gross margin 17,049 18,019
SG&A (13,281) (14,105)
Recurring operating income before D&A (EBITDA) 3,803 3,955
Depreciation and amortization (1,381) (1,470)
Recurring operating income (ROI) 2,387 2,445
Recurring operating income including income from associates and joint
ventures
2,423 2,489
Non-recurring income and expenses 149 (257)
Operating income 2,572 2,232
Financial expense (563) (515)
Income before taxes 2,010 1,717
Income tax expense (709) (597)
Net income from continuing operations 1,300 1,120
Net income from discontinued operations 67 4
Net income 1,367 1,123
Of which Net income – Group share 1,249 980
Of which net income from continuing operations, Group share 1,182 977
Of which net income from discontinued operations, Group share 67 4
Of which Net income – Non-controlling interests (NCI) 118 143
Of which net income from continuing operations NCI 118 143
Of which net income from discontinued operations NCI 0 0
Net income, Group share, adjusted for exceptional items 1,040 1,113

Consolidated balance sheet

(€m) December 31, 2014 December 31, 2015
ASSETS
Intangible assets 9,543 9,510
Tangible assets 12,272 12,071
Financial investments 2,810 2,725
Deferred tax assets 759 744
Investment properties 296 383
Consumer credit from financial-services companies – long-term 2,560 2,351
Non-current assets 28,240 27,784
Inventories 6,213 6,362
Trade receivables 2,260 2,269
Consumer credit from financial-services companies – short-term 3,420 3,658
Tax receivables 1,136 1,168
Other receivables 853 705
Current financial assets 504 358
Cash and cash equivalents 3,113 2,724
Current assets 17,500 17,245
Assets held for sale 49 66
TOTAL 45,789 45,095
LIABILITIES
Shareholders' equity, Group share 9,191 9,633
Minority interests in consolidated companies 1,037 1,039
Shareholders' equity 10,228 10,672
Deferred tax liabilities 523 508
Provisions for contingencies 3,581 3,014
Borrowing – Long-term 6,815 6,662
Bank loans refinancing – long-term 1,589 1,921
Non-current liabilities 12,508 12,106
Borrowings – short-term 1,757 966
Trade payables 13,384 13,648
Bank loan refinancing – short-term 3,718 3,328
Tax payables & others 1,172 1,097
Other debts 3,022 3,244
Current liabilities 23,052 22,282
Liabilities related to assets held for sale 1 34
TOTAL 45,789 45,095

Consolidated Cash Flow Statement

(€m) 2014 2015
NET DEBT OPENING (4,117) (4,954)
Gross cash flow (ex. discontinued activities) 2,504 2,733
Change in working capital 19 81
Impact of discontinued activities 86 3
Cash flow from operations 2,609 2,818
Capital expenditure (2,411) (2,378)
Changed in net payables to fixed asset suppliers (inc. receivables) (17) 136
Asset disposals (business related) 124 104
Impact of discontinued activities 2 7
Free Cash Flow 306 687
Financial investments (1,336) (85)
Proceeds from disposals of subsidiaries and from other tangible & intangible assets 236 109
Others (5) (28)
Impact of discontinued activities 11 0
Cash Flow after investments (789) 682
Dividends/Capital increase (214) (474)
Acquisition and disposal of investments without change of control 311 208
Treasury shares (18) 384
Cost of net financial debt (399) (347)
Others 287 (44)
Impact of discontinued activities (16) 0
NET DEBT CLOSING (4,954) (4,546)

Changes in Shareholders' Equity

(€m) Total
shareholders' equity
Shareholders' equity,
Group share
Minority
interests
At December 31, 2014 10,228 9,191 1,037
Total comprehensive income for 2015 1,123 980 143
2014 dividend (488) (390) (98)
Impact of scope changes and others (191) (148) (43)
At December 31, 2015 10,672 9,633 1,039

Net income, Group share, adjusted for exceptional items

(€m) 2014 2015
Net income from continuing operations, Group share 1,182 977
Restatement for non-recurring income and expenses (before tax) (149) 257
Restatement for exceptional items in net net financial expenses 3 65
Tax impact 1 (10) (159)
Restatement on share of income from minorities and companies consolidated
by the equity method
14 (27)
Net income, Group share, adjusted for exceptional items 1,040 1,113

2015 dividend payment procedure

The ex-dividend payment date has been set at May 23, 2016. The period during which shareholders may opt for the dividend payment in cash or shares will begin on May 23, 2016 and end on June 10, 2016, included. Payment of the cash dividend and settlement of the stock dividend will occur on June 21, 2016.

1 Tax impact of restated items (non-recurring income and expenses and financial expenses) and non-recurring tax items.

Organic sales growth

Like for like sales growth plus net openings over the past twelve months, including temporary store closures.

Gross margin

Gross margin is the difference between the sum of net sales, other income, reduced by loyalty program costs and the cost of goods sold. Cost of sales comprises purchase costs, changes in inventory, the cost of products sold by the financial services companies, discounting revenue and exchange rate gains and losses on goods purchased.

Recurring Operating Income (ROI)

Recurring Operating Income is defined as the difference between gross margin and sales, general and administrative expenses, depreciation and amortization.

Recurring Operating Income Before Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA)

Recurring Operating Income Before Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) excludes depreciation from supply chain activities which is booked in cost of goods sold and excludes non-recurring items as defined below.

Operating Income (EBIT)

Operating Income (EBIT) is defined as the difference between gross margin and sales, general and administrative expenses, depreciation, amortization and non-recurring items

Non-recurring income and expenses are certain material items that are unusual in terms of their nature and frequency, such as impairment, restructuring costs and expenses related to the revaluation of preexisting risks on the basis of information that the Group became aware of during the accounting period.

Free cash flow

Free cash flow is defined as the difference between funds generated by operations (before net interest costs), the variation of working capital requirements and capital expenditures.

Disclaimer

This press release contains both historical and forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Carrefour management's current views and assumptions. Such statements are not guarantees of future performance of the Group. Actual results or performances may differ materially from those in such forwardlooking statements as a result of a number of risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to the risks described in the documents filed with the Autorité des Marchés Financiers as part of the regulated information disclosure requirements and available on Carrefour's website (www.carrefour.com), and in particular the Annual Report (Document de Référence). These documents are also available in English language on the company's website. Investors may obtain a copy of these documents from Carrefour free of charge. Carrefour does not assume any obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements in the future.

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