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CANCOM SE Earnings Release 2012

Jun 19, 2012

71_rns_2012-06-19_1fe0987c-f2a4-49f7-9132-76c1b8711119.pdf

Earnings Release

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CANCOM AG Germany - IT Services

Buy (old: Buy) 19-June-12
Price target: EUR 18.50 (old: EUR 18.50) Tim Wunderlich, CFA
Analyst
Price: EUR 13.85 Next result: Q2 2012: 09.08.12
Bloomberg: COK GR Market cap: EUR 142.2 m [email protected]
Reuters: COKG.DE Enterprise Value: EUR 109.8 m Tel.: +49 40 4143885 81

TecDax entry and move towards Cloud Computing drive re-rating

Peer Computacenter's trading statement released last week underpinned the healthy IT market environment and presented a positive x-read for CANCOM. Service growth was 15% y-o-y in H1 '12 (at constant currency) implying an acceleration of growth in Q2 '12 given that growth in Q1 amounted to "merely" 11%. In our view, Computacenter's service growth in Germany in H1 '12 should have been even above the mentioned 15% given that a weak UK business biases group top-line growth to the downside. In its outlook, Computacenter said it expects growth rates to remain on these elevated levels throughout 2012.

Thriving on the positive IT climate, CANCOM has been a clear outperformer of the TecDax recently (50% in the last 3 months and 6 months) triggered not only by strong Q1 results (sales +13% y-o-y / EBITDA +50% y-o-y) but also by an expansion of the P/E multiple for 2013E from 6.7 at the beginning of 2012 to 8.6 currently (figures based on consensus estimates). This positive re-rating in times of growing macro uncertainty is seen to be due to:

  • Higher investor interest in light of the TecDax entry and index funds having to buy the stock.
  • Higher liquidity which improved from € 200,000 per day at the beginning of the year to € 650,000 per day currently (vs. € 900,000 per day for Bechtle).
  • The company's success in moving towards Cloud Computing on the back of its proprietary AHP platform making the implementation of a Cloud solution much faster and cheaper. Related projects are high-margin and throw off recurring maintenance sales (eH&A: Up to € 80,000 per month depending on project size).

That said, CANCOM remains our favoured pick in the German IT Services sector given (1) Cheap valuation in absolute (c. 8x earnings 2013E) and relative terms (10% discount to Bechtle on PER 2013E); (2) Strong footprint in Cloud Computing which has helped narrow the EBIT margin gap to Bechtle to 0.2pp (2012E) versus 2.6pp in 2008 despite CANCOM's smaller size; (3) Pure Play on Germany (90% of sales) with no exposure to ailing Southern European countries or France. This explains why CANCOM outgrew Bechtle in Q1 '12 (13% y-o-y sales growth vs. 7%). Remains a BUY with a PT of € 18.50 based on DCF.

Y/E 31.12 (EUR m) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Sales 342.8 348.3 474.6 544.4 594.0 624.4 654.4
Sales growth 14 % 2 % 36 % 15 % 9 % 5 % 5 %
EBITDA 7.8 9.5 19.0 25.0 29.9 32.9 35.8
EBIT 5.6 7.1 15.2 18.5 24.3 26.6 28.8
Net income 2.7 5.1 7.8 11.5 16.1 18.3 20.0
Net debt 3.9 -3.5 -0.9 -18.5 -32.5 -44.1 -56.8
Net gearing 9.9 % -8.0 % -1.8 % -30.4 % -44.0 % -49.5 % -54.1 %
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EPS fully diluted 0.26 0.49 0.76 1.11 1.55 1.76 1.92
CPS 1.05 0.80 1.28 2.18 2.13 1.86 2.06
DPS 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.40 0.40
Dividend yield 0.0 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 2.2 % 2.2 % 2.9 % 2.9 %
Gross profit margin 29.9 % 31.0 % 29.3 % 29.1 % 29.1 % 29.1 % 29.1 %
EBITDA margin 2.3 % 2.7 % 4.0 % 4.6 % 5.0 % 5.3 % 5.5 %
EBIT margin 1.6 % 2.0 % 3.2 % 3.4 % 4.1 % 4.3 % 4.4 %
ROCE 8.9 % 10.5 % 19.5 % 20.6 % 25.2 % 25.9 % 25.0 %
EV/sales 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
EV/EBITDA 18.9 14.8 7.4 4.9 3.7 3.0 2.4
EV/EBIT 26.3 19.7 9.3 6.7 4.5 3.7 3.0
PER 45.4 28.8 15.0 12.1 9.0 7.9 7.2
Adjusted FCF yield 3.0 % 4.4 % 8.2 % 12.8 % 16.7 % 20.5 % 26.3 %

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser Close price as of: 18.06.2012

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

High/low 52 weeks: 13.85 / 6.74
Price/Book Ratio: 1.9
Relative performance (TecDAX):
3 months 49.8 %
6 months 49.6 %
12 months 83.5 %

Changes in estimates

Sales EBIT EPS
2012 old: 594.0 24.3 1.55
- - -
old: 624.4 26.6 1.76
2013 - - -
2014 old: 654.4 28.8 1.92
- - -

Key share data:

Number of shares: (in m pcs) 10.4
Authorised capital: (in € m) 4.0
Book value per share: (in €) 7.1
Ø trading volume: (12 months) 60,000

Major shareholders:

Free Float 82.7 %
JP Morgan 5.3 %
AGI 5.0 %
Stefan Kober 2.5 %
Raymond Kober 2.5 %
Klaus Weinmann 2.0 %

Company description:

CANCOM is Germany's 3rd largest independent system house operating a scalable eCommerce business.

Financials

Profit and loss (EUR m) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Net sales 342.8 348.3 474.6 544.4 594.0 624.4 654.4
Sales growth 14.2 % 1.6 % 36.2 % 14.7 % 9.1 % 5.1 % 4.8 %
Increase/decrease in finished goods and work-in-process 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0
Total sales 343.1 349.3 475.8 545.3 594.8 625.4 655.4
Other operating income 0.3 2.3 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5
Material expenses 240.7 241.1 336.3 386.6 421.6 443.4 464.8
Personnel expenses 71.0 79.2 97.0 108.0 116.2 121.2 125.7
Other operating expenses 24.0 21.8 26.8 26.4 27.3 28.3 29.6
Total operating expenses 335.3 339.8 456.8 520.3 564.9 592.5 619.6
EBITDA 7.8 9.5 19.0 25.0 29.9 32.9 35.8
Depreciation 2.2 2.4 3.8 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.3
EBITA 5.6 7.1 15.2 22.2 26.5 29.1 31.5
Amortisation of goodwill 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Amortisation of intangible assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 2.2 2.5 2.7
Impairment charges 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EBIT 5.6 7.1 15.2 18.5 24.3 26.6 28.8
Interest income 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3
Interest expenses 1.4 1.3 1.9 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.6
Other financial result -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Financial result -1.2 -1.1 -1.8 -1.6 -1.1 -0.1 0.1
Recurring pretax income from continuing operations 4.4 5.9 13.3 16.9 23.2 26.5 28.9
Extraordinary income/loss 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Earnings before taxes 4.4 5.9 13.3 16.9 23.2 26.5 28.9
Taxes 1.3 0.9 3.7 4.9 7.0 7.9 8.7
Net income from continuing operations 3.2 5.0 9.6 12.0 16.3 18.5 20.2
Result from discontinued operations (net of tax) 0.5 -0.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net income 2.7 5.1 7.9 11.7 16.3 18.5 20.2
Minority interest 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Net income (net of minority interest) 2.7 5.1 7.8 11.5 16.1 18.3 20.0
Average number of shares 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4
EPS reported 0.26 0.49 0.76 1.11 1.55 1.76 1.92
Profit and loss (common size) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Net sales 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
Increase/decrease in finished goods and work-in-process 0.1 % 0.3 % 0.3 % 0.2 % 0.1 % 0.2 % 0.2 %
Total sales 100.1 % 100.3 % 100.3 % 100.2 % 100.1 % 100.2 % 100.2 %
Other operating income 0.1 % 0.6 % 0.7 % 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.1 %
Material expenses 70.2 % 69.2 % 70.9 % 71.0 % 71.0 % 71.0 % 71.0 %
Personnel expenses 20.7 % 22.7 % 20.4 % 19.8 % 19.6 % 19.4 % 19.2 %
Other operating expenses 7.0 % 6.3 % 5.7 % 4.8 % 4.6 % 4.5 % 4.5 %
Total operating expenses 97.8 % 97.6 % 96.3 % 95.6 % 95.1 % 94.9 % 94.7 %
EBITDA 2.3 % 2.7 % 4.0 % 4.6 % 5.0 % 5.3 % 5.5 %
Depreciation 0.6 % 0.7 % 0.8 % 0.5 % 0.6 % 0.6 % 0.7 %
EBITA 1.6 % 2.0 % 3.2 % 4.1 % 4.5 % 4.7 % 4.8 %
Amortisation of goodwill 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Amortisation of intangible assets 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.7 % 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.4 %
Impairment charges 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
EBIT 1.6 % 2.0 % 3.2 % 3.4 % 4.1 % 4.3 % 4.4 %
Interest income 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Interest expenses 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.3 % 0.1 % 0.1 %
Other financial result 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.1 % 0.1 % 0.1 %
Financial result -0.4 % -0.3 % -0.4 % -0.3 % -0.2 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Recurring pretax income from continuing operations 1.3 % 1.7 % 2.8 % 3.1 % 3.9 % 4.2 % 4.4 %
Extraordinary income/loss 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Earnings before taxes 1.3 % 1.7 % 2.8 % 3.1 % 3.9 % 4.2 % 4.4 %
Tax rate 28.3 % 15.6 % 28.1 % 28.8 % 30.0 % 30.0 % 30.0 %
Net income from continuing operations 0.9 % 1.4 % 2.0 % 2.2 % 2.7 % 3.0 % 3.1 %
Income from discontinued operations (net of tax) 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.4 % 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Net income 0.8 % 1.5 % 1.7 % 2.1 % 2.7 % 3.0 % 3.1 %
Minority interest 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Net income (net of minority interest) 0.8 % 1.5 % 1.6 % 2.1 % 2.7 % 2.9 % 3.1 %
Balance sheet (EUR m) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Intangible assets 28.3 31.5 42.5 39.6 40.2 40.7 41.0
Property, plant and equipment 5.4 6.5 9.7 12.9 16.6 19.4 22.1
Financial assets 3.5 0.2 3.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
FIXED ASSETS 37.3 38.2 55.4 54.6 58.9 62.2 65.2
Inventories 10.1 12.6 13.4 15.0 15.8 16.7 17.5
Accounts receivable 44.2 47.2 68.0 72.2 76.5 80.4 84.3
Other current assets 6.3 5.1 6.4 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2
Liquid assets 18.3 25.8 31.5 44.4 49.0 54.2 66.8
Deferred taxes 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Deferred charges and prepaid expenses 2.1 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
CURRENT ASSETS 83.4 96.7 122.0 140.2 150.0 159.9 177.2
TOTAL ASSETS 120.7 134.9 177.4 194.9 209.0 222.2 242.5
SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY 38.9 43.9 50.9 60.7 73.8 89.1 105.0
MINORITY INTEREST 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8
Long-term debt 20.3 21.6 29.0 16.7 11.6 5.6 5.6
Provisions for pensions and similar obligations 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Other provisions 3.2 4.3 3.2 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6
Non-current liabilities 23.6 26.0 32.2 24.4 19.2 13.2 13.2
short-term liabilities to banks 1.8 0.7 1.6 9.1 5.0 4.5 4.5
Accounts payable 39.3 47.9 64.4 72.9 83.0 87.2 91.4
Advance payments received on orders 2.0 1.1 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
Other liabilities (incl. from lease and rental contracts) 12.6 10.7 16.3 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4
Deferred taxes 1.3 2.0 4.3 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
Deferred income 1.2 2.7 6.0 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6
Current liabilities 58.1 65.0 94.2 109.6 115.5 119.3 123.5
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY 120.7 134.9 177.4 194.9 209.0 222.2 242.5
Balance sheet (common size) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Intangible assets 23.5 % 23.4 % 24.0 % 20.3 % 19.2 % 18.3 % 16.9 %
Property, plant and equipment 4.5 % 4.8 % 5.5 % 6.6 % 7.9 % 8.7 % 9.1 %
Financial assets 2.9 % 0.1 % 1.8 % 1.1 % 1.0 % 1.0 % 0.9 %
FIXED ASSETS 30.9 % 28.3 % 31.2 % 28.0 % 28.2 % 28.0 % 26.9 %
Inventories 8.4 % 9.3 % 7.5 % 7.7 % 7.6 % 7.5 % 7.2 %
Accounts receivable 36.6 % 35.0 % 38.3 % 37.1 % 36.6 % 36.2 % 34.8 %
Other current assets 5.2 % 3.8 % 3.6 % 3.7 % 3.4 % 3.2 % 3.0 %
Liquid assets 15.1 % 19.2 % 17.7 % 22.8 % 23.5 % 24.4 % 27.6 %
Deferred taxes 2.1 % 1.9 % 0.4 % 0.3 % 0.3 % 0.3 % 0.3 %
Deferred charges and prepaid expenses 1.7 % 2.5 % 1.1 % 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.4 %
CURRENT ASSETS 69.1 % 71.7 % 68.8 % 72.0 % 71.8 % 72.0 % 73.1 %
TOTAL ASSETS 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY 32.3 % 32.5 % 28.7 % 31.2 % 35.3 % 40.1 % 43.3 %
MINORITY INTEREST 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.2 % 0.3 % 0.3 %
Long-term debt 16.9 % 16.0 % 16.3 % 8.6 % 5.5 % 2.5 % 2.3 %
Provisions for pensions and similar obligations 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Other provisions 2.6 % 3.2 % 1.8 % 3.9 % 3.6 % 3.4 % 3.1 %
Non-current liabilities 19.6 % 19.3 % 18.2 % 12.5 % 9.2 % 5.9 % 5.5 %
short-term liabilities to banks 1.5 % 0.5 % 0.9 % 4.7 % 2.4 % 2.0 % 1.9 %
Accounts payable 32.5 % 35.5 % 36.3 % 37.4 % 39.7 % 39.3 % 37.7 %
Advance payments received on orders 1.6 % 0.8 % 0.9 % 1.0 % 0.9 % 0.8 % 0.8 %
Other liabilities (incl. from lease and rental contracts) 10.4 % 7.9 % 9.2 % 9.0 % 8.3 % 7.9 % 7.2 %
Deferred taxes 1.1 % 1.5 % 2.4 % 1.4 % 1.3 % 1.2 % 1.1 %
Deferred income 1.0 % 2.0 % 3.4 % 2.9 % 2.7 % 2.5 % 2.3 %
Current liabilities 48.2 % 48.2 % 53.1 % 56.2 % 55.3 % 53.7 % 50.9 %
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
Cash flow statement (EUR m) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Net profit/loss 2.7 5.1 7.9 11.7 16.3 18.5 20.2
Depreciation of fixed assets (incl. leases) 2.2 2.4 3.8 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.3
Amortisation of goodwill 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Amortisation of intangible assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 2.2 2.5 2.7
Others -10.8 -0.6 3.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash flow from operations before changes in w/c -6.0 6.9 14.7 22.9 21.9 24.8 27.2
Increase/decrease in inventory 0.9 -0.9 0.3 -6.3 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8
Increase/decrease in accounts receivable 4.4 0.8 -15.2 -5.2 -4.3 -3.9 -3.9
Increase/decrease in accounts payable 4.3 2.7 17.1 15.3 10.1 4.2 4.2
Increase/decrease in other working capital positions 9.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase/decrease in working capital 19.0 3.8 2.2 3.8 5.0 -0.5 -0.5
Cash flow from operating activities 13.1 10.7 16.9 26.7 26.8 24.3 26.8
CAPEX 3.0 4.7 8.1 9.4 9.9 9.6 10.0
Payments for acquisitions 6.6 0.4 10.5 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Financial investments -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income from asset disposals 8.1 2.3 1.1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash flow from investing activities -1.2 -2.6 -17.3 -7.9 -9.9 -9.6 -10.0
Cash flow before financing 11.9 8.0 -0.4 18.8 16.9 14.7 16.8
Increase/decrease in debt position -3.5 0.1 8.1 -2.6 -9.3 -6.5 0.0
Purchase of own shares 0.0 0.2 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Capital measures 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividends paid 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.6 3.1 3.1 4.1
Others -1.0 -1.0 -1.3 -1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Effects of exchange rate changes on cash -0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash flow from financing activities -4.5 -1.1 5.9 -5.8 -12.4 -9.6 -4.1
Increase/decrease in liquid assets 7.1 7.0 5.6 13.0 4.5 5.2 12.7
Liquid assets at end of period 18.9 25.8 31.5 44.5 49.0 54.2 66.8

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
322.2 386.1 441.7 502.0 549.5 578.8 608.6
n/a 19.8 % 14.4 % 13.7 % 9.5 % 5.3 % 5.1 %
0.0 36.4 32.9 42.4 44.6 45.6 45.8
n/a n/a -9.6 % 28.9 % 5.1 % 2.3 % 0.5 %
0.0 0.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
0.0 0.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
0.0 0.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
322.2 422.5 474.6 544.4 594.0 624.4 654.4
n/a 31.1 % 12.3 % 14.7 % 9.1 % 5.1 % 4.8 %
P&L growth analysis
Sales growth
14.2 %
1.6 %
36.2 %
14.7 %
9.1 %
5.1 %
4.8 %
EBITDA growth
-2.7 %
21.3 %
100.7 %
31.6 %
19.6 %
10.0 %
8.8 %
EBIT growth
-8.8 %
26.0 %
114.0 %
21.7 %
31.7 %
9.5 %
8.3 %
EPS growth
-42.4 %
87.8 %
55.5 %
46.4 %
39.5 %
13.9 %
9.2 %
Efficiency
Total operating costs / sales
97.8 %
97.6 %
96.3 %
95.6 %
95.1 %
94.9 %
94.7 %
Sales per employee
215.9
196.0
257.7
273.1
280.6
282.2
585.6
EBITDA per employee
4.9
5.3
10.3
12.5
14.1
14.9
32.0
Balance sheet analysis
Avg. working capital / sales
4.8 %
3.4 %
2.8 %
2.6 %
1.7 %
1.2 %
1.2 %
Inventory turnover (sales/inventory)
34.0
27.7
35.5
36.3
37.5
37.5
37.5
Trade debtors in days of sales
47.0
49.5
52.3
48.4
47.0
47.0
47.0
A/P turnover [(A/P*365)/sales]
41.8
50.1
49.6
48.9
51.0
51.0
51.0
Cash conversion cycle (days)
2.8
-3.9
-3.1
-6.3
-11.1
-11.1
-11.1
Cash flow analysis
Free cash flow
10.1
6.0
8.8
17.3
16.9
14.7
16.8
Free cash flow/sales
2.9 %
1.7 %
1.9 %
3.2 %
2.9 %
2.4 %
2.6 %
FCF / net profit
374.5 %
118.4 %
113.1 %
150.3 %
105.3 %
80.5 %
83.8 %
FCF yield
7.0 %
4.2 %
6.2 %
12.2 %
11.9 %
10.4 %
11.8 %
Capex / depn
122.1 %
188.4 %
206.6 %
139.0 %
176.8 %
152.4 %
142.9 %
Capex / maintenance capex
114.9 %
137.6 %
133.1 %
151.6 %
142.0 %
124.5 %
125.0 %
Capex / sales
0.8 %
1.3 %
1.7 %
1.7 %
n/a
n/a
n/a
Security
Net debt
3.9
-3.5
-0.9
-18.5
-32.5
-44.1
-56.8
Net Debt/EBITDA
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Net debt / equity
0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.5
Interest cover
4.0
5.4
8.0
8.3
14.3
33.3
47.7
Dividend payout ratio
0.0 %
30.7 %
19.7 %
26.7 %
19.2 %
22.4 %
20.5 %
Asset utilisation
Capital employed turnover
5.3
4.9
5.6
5.8
6.0
5.8
5.3
Operating assets turnover
18.6
20.1
18.9
21.5
24.7
22.8
21.4
Plant turnover
63.5
53.4
49.0
42.2
35.8
32.2
29.6
Inventory turnover (sales/inventory)
34.0
27.7
35.5
36.3
37.5
37.5
37.5
Returns
ROCE
8.9 %
10.5 %
19.5 %
20.6 %
25.2 %
25.9 %
25.0 %
ROE
6.9 %
11.5 %
15.4 %
19.0 %
21.8 %
20.6 %
19.1 %
Other
Interest paid / avg. debt
7.0 %
5.9 %
7.2 %
7.9 %
8.0 %
6.0 %
6.0 %
No. employees (average)
1588
1777
1842
1994
2117
2213
1118
Number of shares
10.4
10.4
10.3
10.4
10.4
10.4
10.4
DPS
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
EPS reported
0.26
0.49
0.76
1.11
1.55
1.76
1.92
Valuation ratios
P/BV
3.7
3.3
2.8
2.4
1.9
1.6
1.4
EV/sales
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
EV/EBITDA
18.9
14.8
7.4
4.9
3.7
3.0
2.4
EV/EBITA
26.3
19.7
9.3
5.6
4.1
3.4
2.7
EV/EBIT
26.3
19.7
9.3
6.7
4.5
3.7
3.0
EV/FCF
14.6
23.3
16.0
7.1
6.5
6.7
5.1
Dividend yield
0.0 %
1.1 %
1.1 %
2.2 %
2.2 %
2.9 %
2.9 %

Disclosure in respect of section 34b of the German Securities Trading Act (Wertpapierhandelsgesetz – WpHG)

Company Disclosure
CANCOM AG 2, 5

(1) Hauck & Aufhäuser or its affiliate(s) was Lead Manager or Co-Lead Manager over the previous 12 months of a public offering of this company.

(2) Hauck & Aufhäuser offers Equity Advisory Services.

(3) Over the previous 12 months, Hauck & Aufhäuser and/or its affiliate(s) has effected an agreement with this company for investment banking services or received compensation or a promise to pay from this company for investment banking services.

(4) Hauck & Aufhäuser and/or its affiliate(s) hold 5 % or more of the share capital of this company.

(5) Hauck & Aufhäuser holds a trading position in shares of this company.

(6) Hauck & Aufhäuser and/or its affiliate(s) holds a net short position of 1 % or more of the share capital of this company, calculated by methods required by German law as of the last trading day of the past month.

(7) Within the last five years Hauck & Aufhäuser was a member of the issuing syndicate of this company.

(8) The research report has been made available to the company prior to its publication / dissemination. Thereafter, only factual changes have been made to the report

Historical target price and rating changes for CANCOM AG in the last 12 months

Buy 83.33 % 100.00 %
Sell 7.14 % 0.00 %
Hold 9.52 % 0.00 %

Valuation basis/rating key

Buy: Sustainable upside potential of more than 10% within 12 months.

Sell: Sustainable downside potential of more than 10% within 12 months.

Hold: Upside/downside potential limited. No immediate catalyst visible.

Competent supervisory authority

Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht – BaFin – (Federal Financial Supervisory Authority), Graurheindorfer Straße 108, 53117 Bonn and Lurgiallee 12, 60439 Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Important Disclosures

This research report has been prepared by Hauck & Aufhäuser Institutional Research AG, Hamburg, or one of its affiliates ("Hauck & Aufhäuser").

Hauck & Aufhäuser has made every effort to carefully research all information contained in this financial analysis. The information on which the financial analysis is based has been obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable such as, for example, Reuters, Bloomberg and the relevant specialised press as well as the company which is the subject of this financial analysis.

Only that part of the research note is made available to the issuer, who is the subject of this analysis, which is necessary to properly reconcile with the facts. Should this result change considerably, a reference is made in the research note.

Opinions expressed in this financial analysis are the current, personal opinions of the analyst responsible for the document as of the issuing date indicated on this document and are subject to change without notice. Hauck & Aufhäuser does not commit itself in advance to whether and in which intervals an update is made. Also, the opinions in this document no not necessarily correspond to the opinions of Hauck & Aufhäuser.

The document and the recommendations and estimations contained therein are not linked - whether directly or indirectly - to the compensation of the analyst responsible for the document.

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Contacts: Hauck&Aufhäuser Investment Banking

Hauck & Aufhäuser Research

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