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Cambi ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Aug 31, 2021
3566_rns_2021-08-31_1c383e03-d091-4b19-be92-1898b51088d2.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Capital Markets Day
31 August 2021
Cambi ASA
Capital Markets Day 2021 Agenda
| Eirik Fadnes | CEO Cambi Group | Second-quarter report |
|---|---|---|
| Lluis Soler | EVP Operations | Status on project deliveries |
| Q&A |
| Per Lillebø | President and CEO Cambi ASA | |
|---|---|---|
| Julien Chauzy | Sales Director APAC | Sales updates from selected markets |
| Bill Barber | Technical Director | Carbon footprint – the impact of THP |
| Maarten Kanters | Managing Director Cambi Invest | Update on new business areas |
| Q&A |
Eirik Fadnes, CEO Cambi Group
Disclaimer
This Presentation is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or distributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. This Presentation is for information purposes only, and it is expressly noted that no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of any information included herein is given by the CAMBI ASA and that no information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained in this Presentation is or can be relied upon as a promise or representation by CAMBI ASA.
This Presentation contains information obtained from third parties. Such information has been accurately reproduced and, as far as CAMBI ASA is aware and able to ascertain from the information published by that third party, no facts have been omitted that would render the reproduced information to be inaccurate or misleading. While all steps have been taken to ensure the accuracy of this Presentation, CAMBI ASA does not accept any responsibility for any errors or resulting loss or damage whatsoever caused and readers have the responsibility to thoroughly check these aspects for themselves. Enquiries about reproduction of content from this publication should be directed to CAMBI ASA.
This Presentation contains forward-looking statements that relate to the current plans, objectives, forecasts and estimates of CAMBI ASA. These statements only take into account information that was available up to and including the date that this Presentation was prepared. CAMBI ASA makes no guarantee that these forward-looking statements will prove to be right. The future development of CAMBI ASA and its subsidiaries and the results that are actually achieved are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events or results to differ significantly from those reflected in the forward-looking statements. Many of these factors are beyond the control of CAMBI ASA and its subsidiaries and therefore cannot be precisely predicted.
Q2 2021 | Revenue, EBITDA and pipeline growth
- Revenue growth across all segments
- EBITDA margin expansion of 970 basis points (bps) to 17.1%
- Order intake down 56%
- Order backlog up 3% at constant currency*
Numbers are in million NOK
Q2 2021 | Order intake down 56%
Fewer projects awarded in the market
Warsaw, Poland
This is Cambi's first project with this thermal hydrolysis configuration, set to maximise biogas production and biosolids dewatering, reducing energy, transportation, and incineration costs.
Trondheim, Norway
Grønn Vekst was awarded a contract for handling and composting garden waste in Trondheim. Firm duration of 18 months, with two options for one-year extensions.
Jarocin, Poland
This is Cambi's fourth project in Poland, strengthening the company's position as a leader in sustainable sewage sludge treatment in this market.
Q2 2021 | Revenue growth across all segments
Revenue development by segment | Q2 2021 vs. Q2 2020 | Million NOK
Q2 2021 | EBITDA growth due to scalability
EBITDA growth | Q2 2021 vs. Q2 2020 | Million NOK
H1 2021 | Order backlog up 7.3% from 4Q20
- Revenue growth of 41%
- EBITDA margin expansion before non-recurring items of 545 bps to 11.7%
- Order intake down 34%
- Order backlog up 3% at constant currency*
Numbers are in million NOK
H1 2021 | Equipment driving revenue growth
Revenue development by segment | H1 2021 vs. H1 2020 | Million NOK
H1 2021 | Revenue mix and challenging weather lowering GM %
EBITDA growth | H1 2021 vs. H1 2020 | Million NOK
Backlog distribution
June 2021
86% 14% Backog by segment
Cambi Group Cambi Invest
Backlog distribution
Numbers are in million NOK
Backlog by currency
NOK equivalent at Q2021 FX
Cambi holds a solid financial position
| Assets | ||
|---|---|---|
| - | - | |
| Q2 | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | ||
| Q2 | Q2 | |
| 2020 | ||
Outlook
- Revenue estimated between 480 and 510 million
- NOK 47 million in spare parts sales, soil sales and new equipment contracts during the second half-year to reach lower end of the range
- EBITDA margin estimated between 12 and 14 per cent
Status on project deliveries
Lluis Soler, EVP Operations
Cambi projects
Standardised, modular solutions sludge line
Project scope
Overview – EPC project environment
Main Contractor
| Civil | Mechanical | Electrical | Cambi Equipment |
Auxiliary Equipment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Know-how Consultant |
Know-how | Know-how | Know-how | Know-how |
| Sub-contractor | Sub-contractor | Sub-contractor | In-house | Supplier |
Cambi projects
Operations – How are we organised?
Headquarters
- Project Manager
- Site & Commissioning
- Legal
- Engineering
- Support functions
USA
- Project Manager
- Site & Commissioning
UK
- Manufacturing
- Project Manager
- Site & commissioning
- QA
China
- Project Manager
- Site & Commissioning
Project scope
Example from two projects with different scope
Washington DC – Piscataway (WSSC)
Plant Owner
Main Contractor
| Civil | Mechanical | Electrical | Cambi Equipment |
Aux Equipment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Know-how Consultant |
Know-how | Know-how | Know-how | Know-how |
| Sub contractor |
Sub contractor |
Sub contractor |
Supervision | Supervision |
Verdal – Ecopro
Plant Owner
Main Contractor
| Civil | Mechanical | Electrical | Cambi Equipment |
Aux Equipment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Know-how Consultant |
Know-how | Know-how | Know-how | Know-how |
| Sub contractor |
Sub contractor |
Sub contractor |
Supervision | Supplier |
Strenghts & Results
Strengths Results
Flexibility Standardised solutions Local presence HQ expertise Own production
On time On budget High quality Highly efficient
Customers Customer Satisfaction – Q2 2021
Strongford
"All the Cambi staff I have dealt with are extremely competent, they have extensive knowledge of the product, helpful and courteous, even in difficult situations."
"Cambi have been a very helpful and open partner throughout the project, I would hope to work with them on future projects."
93%
Average satisfaction score
Timeliness
- Reliability
- Working methods
- Professionalism
- Finding solutions
- Availability
- Training
- Relationship
Oxley Creek
"Cambi were essential to the successful delivery of the upgrade project. Their site personnel went above and beyond the requirements to making sure that the upgraded system worked «as sold»."
Cambi projects
Status overview – Q2 2021
| Q2 | US | CN | UK | HQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Execution | 21 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Engineering | 8 | Calgary, AB Kansas City, MO |
Hong Kong | Burgess Hill, UK | Lviv Ecopro upgrade Warsaw Jarocin |
| Manufacturing | 4 | Raleigh, NC Piscataway (WSSC) |
Beijing – Gaoantun upgrade (PGU) |
- | Sasol |
| Installation | 5 | Dallas, TX Franklin, TN |
Chongqing | Coventry | Panama City |
| Commissioning | 2 | - | - | Nottingham | Sydney |
| Performance (Operation) | 2 | Virginia Beach, VA | Beijing – Qinghe 2 |
- | - |
Cambi projects
Milestones - Q2 2021
| Q2 | All | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milestones | 10 | 10 | Achieved at end of Q2 |
| Engineering | 2 | Burgess Hill – Goddards Green (UK) Verdal – Ecopro upgrade (NO) |
(+) Fully operative |
| Manufacturing | 4 | Secunda – Sasol (ZA) Raleigh, NC – Neuse River (US) Washington DC – Piscataway (US) Beijing – Gaoantun upgrade (CN) |
(+) Fully operative (-) Longer lead time key materials (-) Cost increase in raw materials |
| Installation | 1 | Chongqing – Luoqi (CN) |
(-) Covid: Panama City – Arraijan (PA) |
| Commissioning | 1 | Nottingham – Stoke Bardolph (UK) |
(-) Covid: Sydney – St Mary's (AU) |
| Performance (Operation) | 2 | Virginia Beach – Atlantic (USA) Beijing – Qinghe 2 (CN) |
Capital Markets Day 2021
Agenda
| Eirik Fadnes | CEO Cambi Group | Second-quarter report |
|---|---|---|
| Lluis Soler | EVP Operations | Status on project deliveries |
| Q&A |
| Per Lillebø | President and CEO Cambi ASA | |
|---|---|---|
| Julien Chauzy | Sales Director APAC | Sales updates from selected markets |
| Bill Barber | Technical Director | Carbon footprint – the impact of THP |
| Maarten Kanters | Managing Director Cambi Invest | Update on new business areas |
| Q&A |
Cambi status and key developments
Per Lillebø, President & CEO Cambi ASA
Cambi delivers responsible sludge management solutions
Transforming sewage sludge into renewable resources
The Cambi THP process boosts biogas production, a sustainable fuel for road transport or convertible to green electricity
Thermal hydrolysis is integrated in wastewater treatment plants
Where does Cambi's thermal hydrolysis fit?
Cambi: The undisputed #1 player in our market
Continued focus on technology improvement and standardisation
Status today
Global THP leader, with strong patent portfolio and unmatched know-how
Focus ahead
- Further THP energy efficiency improvements
- Optimising THP operations (Cambi PLUS)
- Improving alternative configurations, such as THP operating after anaerobic digestion
Technology Standardisation
Status today
Standardised product line, which enables scalability, by reducing the risk of errors, and construction and installation costs
Focus ahead
Standardisation of other sludge line processes (especially at smaller facilities), to improve integration, reduce complexity, cost and risk for costs overruns
Time to market – key challenges in the Cambi sales process
Project drivers must be sufficiently strong
Market challenges
- Low sludge disposal costs
- Zero or low cost of carbon
- No requirement for hygienisation
Cambi approach
- Focus on markets with strong drivers/ high long-term potential
- Incentives and regulations that strengthen the drivers for thermal hydrolysis are becoming common
Decision making process is long and complex
Market challenges
- Projects have high capital costs and long-term consequences
- Consultants take time to evaluate all possible alternatives
- Frequent delays, due to lack of firm deadlines or incentives to move quickly
Cambi approach
Increase the sales pipeline in current and new markets
Competition from other (THP) solution providers
Market challenges
- Cambi encounters competitive pressure in most tenders
- Cambi's value proposition not straightforward to understand compared to the alternatives
- Lower complexity/ Capex may trump Cambi's value proposition
Cambi approach
Offer reliable performance at competitive prices
Marketing and sourcing of quality leads is on top of the agenda
increasing outreach
Webinar participants Active projects in the sales pipeline
new projects per month during H1 2021
177 244 Value of submitted quotes million EUR
High tender activity
Carbon intensity of waste-water treatment is becoming a core KPI
Advanced anaerobic digestion is the winning solution for urban wastewater utilities
"By the end of 2022 it is likely that 70% of water utilities serving populations of more than 300,000 in high-income countries will have agreed a target date for achieving net zero carbon status (…) green energy from sludge is the main energy source available to achieve net zero carbon status to power the wastewater treatment plants." – Global Water Intelligence, 2021
The water sector uses 3.7% of global energy
864 TWh, more than 4 times Norway's total energy demand (212 TWh in 2020)
The sector's share of climate gas emissions is probably higher, due to the methane released from wastewater and sludge treatment.
Sales updates from selected markets
Julien Chauzy, Sales Director APAC
Typical municipal projects
In the sludge treatment business
- «From contact to contract» it takes 3-5 years or even longer
- Municipal / Public project phases
-
- Consultant selection
-
- Sludge master plan elaboration
-
- Basic engineering
-
- Financing
-
- Tender preparation
-
- Bids preparation
-
- Contractor selection and award
-
- Contract negotiation
-
- Contract signature
Other projects may move faster
Some exceptions (short-term projects):
- Cambi plant upgrades
- Private or industrial projects
- ‣ Consultancy phase not required
- ‣ Fast procurement process
- ‣ Sole sourcing
- Few municipal projects move fast
- ‣ When there's an urgent issue to solve
Project development & Commitment to Cambi
Buying journey
France
- 67 million inhabitants
- Approx. 1 million tonnes of sludge (as dry solids) produced every year
- 120 wastewater treatment plants with capacity of at least 100,000 people equivalent
- Historically mainly biological sludge type («WAS»)
- Land application is the preferred disposal route (75%)
- Disposal costs are high and keep increasing
- Anaerobic digestion uncommon in the past /
- ‣ Now strong incentives to produce Biomethane
- ‣ France has become a dynamic digestion market
- Post-Covid period: sludge must undergo hygienisation before land application
France
Market drivers Cambi THP
- 120 wastewater treatment plants with capacity of at least 100,000 people equivalent
- Mainly biological sludge («WAS»)
- Land application preferred disposal route (75%)
- Disposal costs are high and keep increasing
- Anaerobic digestion uncommon in the past /
- ‣ Now strong incentives to produce biomethane
- ‣ France has become a dynamic digestion market
-
Post-Covid period: sludge must undergo hygienisation before land application
-
Fits best at sites with capacity above 100,000 people equivalent
- Is extremely efficient on WAS
- Produces high-quality biosolids for agriculture
- Reduces the volume of biosolids after dewatering
- Improves anaerobic digestion performance and reduces the required digester tank volume
Sterilises the sludge – a safe product for farmers
France
- Is already familiar with thermal hydrolysis:
- ‣ Approximately 10 existing THP plants (by others)
- Has a growing interest in THP
- Is a very promising market for Cambi
Australia and New Zealand
Australia & New Zealand
- Small but active markets:
- ‣ Australia: 25 million inhabitants
- ‣ New Zealand: 5 million inhabitants
- Familiar with Cambi THP technology water utilities and consultants understand it:
- ‣ Reference plants in Brisbane and Sydney
Australia:
- ‣ Land application as main disposal route (>60%)
- ‣ High-quality biosolids recommended in the regulation (pathogen levels)
- New Zealand:
- ‣ Landfill is the main disposal route (>60%)
Australia and New Zealand
Market drivers Cambi THP
Australia:
- ‣ Land application is the main disposal route (>60%)
- ‣ High-quality biosolids recommended in the regulation (pathogen levels)
- ‣ Long transport distances
- ‣ Cake odour is often an issue (at site or during transport)
New Zealand:
- ‣ Landfill is the main disposal route (>60%) costly
- ‣ Landfill requires high shear strengh for storage
- ‣ Water utilities are planning to become energy neutral
Australia:
- ‣ Produces high-quality biosolids for agriculture
- ‣ Produces Grade A biosolids (low pathogen levels)
- ‣ Produces a no- or low-odour cake
- ‣ Reduces the volume of final cake
- New Zealand:
- ‣ Reduces the volume of final cake and the landfill disposal costs
- ‣ Produces a biosolids product suitable for storage (stable, high dryness, high shear strength) and avoids lime addition
- ‣ Produces more biogas, more electricity
India
- 1.4 billion inhabitants only approximately 130 large wastewater treatment plants
- Rapidly increasing sludge generation:
- ‣ Urbanisation, increased collection (from current low coverage of 30%) and treatment
- Many ongoing new tenders for wastewater treatment plants, including sludge anaerobic digestion
- Some large WWTPs, but most are small & medium sized:
- ‣ Opportunities for sludge centres and co-digestion
- Increased demand for biosolids to agriculture
- ‣ Large cities require hygienisation / Pathogen removal, referring to US EPA 503 in tenders
- ‣ Incineration is unpopular and expensive
- Increased demand & subsidies for biogas-based energy and power production
- Sludge disposal & treatment costs low, but continuously increasing
India
Market drivers Cambi THP
- 1.4 billion inhabitants
- Rapidly increasing sludge generation
- Many ongoing new tenders for wastewater treatment plants
- Some large WWTPs, but most are small & medium sized:
- ‣ Opportunities for sludge centres and co-digestion
- Increased demand for biosolids to agriculture
- ‣ Large cities require hygienisation / Pathogen removal, referring to US EPA 503 in tenders
- ‣ Incineration is unpopular and expensive
- Increased demand & subsidies for biogas-based energy and power production
- Sludge disposal & treatment costs low but continuously increasing
Compact solution (low footprint), avoid big digestion facilities, suitable solution for insertion of greenfield plants in existing big cities (land monetization)
Sludge centres have been successful business models for CambiTHP (UK and other places)
Cambi produce a high-quality cake for agriculture
Produces more biogas and more power
Conclusions & Perspectives
Carbon footprint – the impact of THP
Dr Bill Barber, Technical Director
Most technology on a sewage works is over
140years old
Capital Markets Day
Water Energy Nutrient Carbon NOT EFFICIENT
Carbon footprint of the UK Water Industry
Total emissions of 3 mt CO2e, of which 2.4 mt CO2e net, approx. 0.45% of UK*
Carbon footprint and thermal hydrolysis
Biosolids management
Reasons for thermal hydrolysis
Helps 19th century technology meet 21st century demands
Higher capacity for existing equipment
Drier material therefore less volume
Higher quality therefore more applications
Greater production of renewable energy
Impact on thermal hydrolysis on carbon footprint
Greater production of renewable energy
Greater off-set of fossil fuels
Lowest carbon footprint…
…irrespective of outlet
Typical carbon footprint of biosolids options
Basis 100 t DS/day, energy mix 0.43 kg CO2 /kWh
Carbon pricing is increasingly becoming a key driver for investment decisions in many markets
The number of carbon pricing initiatives implemented or scheduled for implementation has quadrupled in the past decade and almost doubled over the last five years, reaching 47 in 2017.
The World Bank, 2021
Global Emissions Trading Schemes (ETS) for carbon and carbon tax
ETS implemented or scheduled for implementation
ETS and carbon tax implemented or scheduled
Carbon tax implemented or scheduled for implementation
ETS implemented or scheduled, carbon tax under consideration
ETS or carbon tax under consideration
Carbon tax implemented or
scheduled, ETS under consideration In 2021, these initiatives would cover 11.6 GtCO2e, representing 21.5% of global GHG emissions
China
Xiaohongmen and Qinghe are in the top 10 lowest carbon footprint treatment works in China*
Gaoantun is on target to become the first carbon neutral wastewater treatment plant in China by 2025*
The current cost of carbon emissions
(at Washington DC's Blue Plains Plant) the carbon footprint was reduced by over 30%
Willis et al., 2018
Would save \$ 31.25 million over 25 years in avoided taxes
Capital Markets Day 64
A lower carbon footprint has value for customers
Assuming water sector pays the prevailing carbon tax rates for all emissions
| THP plant capacity | Reduction in carbon footprint |
Avoided cost of carbon (average cost of carbon) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| [tDS/day] | [tCO2/year] | [\$/over project life] | |
| Raleigh | 36 | 555 | \$ 350,000 |
| Stoke Bardolph | 75 | 586 | \$ 366,250 |
| Finham | 120 | 938 | \$ 586,250 |
| Shek Wu Hui | 84 | 10,448 | \$ 6,530,000 |
| Lviv | 70 | 128,600 | \$ 80,375,000 |
| WSSC | 70 | 5,000 | \$ 3,125,000 |
Timing is of the essence
Cumulative carbon footprint
Even short delays significantly lengthen the time to carbon neutrality
To conclude
Thermal hydrolysis changes sludge properties
Which changes performance
Which reduces risk
This enables wastewater treatment works to meet 21st century drivers
Improved performance reduces carbon footprint, irrespective of end use of the biosolids
By reducing exposure to environmental regulations, price and market fluctuations
Cambi Invest: Update on new business areas
Maarten Kanters, Managing Director Cambi Invest
Objectives for Cambi Invest
"Develop and follow up investment opportunities either in projects applying THP, or in companies related to the THP technology"
Recycling - Grønn Vekst DBO projects
Recycling - Grønn Vekst
Sludge recycling and soil production
Developments
- Preparing for international expansion, identified targets in selected countries, ready to engage in further discussions once travel restrictions are eased
- Grow the domestic business with following initiatives:
- ‣ Investing NOK 10 million in packaging facility to increase sales to consumer segment, preparing for 2023 season
- ‣ Establish soil production and sales in new areas, e.g. Bergen
- Maintain focus on existing sludge and garden waste contracts and winning new tenders
Strong growth outlook for private financing
Market trends – global capital expenditure through privately-financed procurement
0 50 100 150 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 CAGR +29% Sludge management (USD million)
Aug 2021
Feb 2021
May 2021
Cambi approach to DBO project development
Objectives
- Assuming the role of (co-)owner and/or operator of sludge treatment plants to take responsible for the performance of the THP facility during its lifetime
- Open to different types of projects, depending on customer preference (e.g. PPP, DBFO, BOT)
- Take minority interest, share dependent on country and project risk profile
- Work with reputable international and local partners
- Intention to maintain stake for duration of the contract, as Cambi can contribute to value creation during operations. Earlier asset sale can be considered.
Activities in last 12 months
- Solid development in DBO pipeline
- Project developers, owners and financiers have reached out to Cambi for cooperation since the IPO
- Several active tenders (mainly in US)
- Captured learnings from unsuccessful tenders to improve our approach
- Building specialized team for DBO development and operations
Main countries with DBO activities (1/4)
North America
USA
Market
- Tightening regulations
- Ageing infrastructure
- DBFO/PPP model well established
Cambi approach
• EQ Renewables – joint venture (non-exclusive) with construction company to develop financed projects
Main countries with DBO activities (2/4)
Europe and United Kingdom
United Kingdom Europe
Market
- Privatised utilities
- Potential for sludge treatment as a service
Cambi DBO approach
• Actively proposing DBO/BOT projects to help existing customers to increase their treatment standards
Market
- Sludge treatment largely a municipal function
- Regionalize sludge treatment
Cambi DBO approach
• Promote private sludge treatment centres
Main countries with DBO activities (3/4)
Middle East and South Korea
Middle East
Market
- High demand growth
- BOT & PPP models are the norm (e.g. Desal)
Cambi DBO approach
• Looking for partners to develop financed projects in the region
South Korea
Market
- Ageing infrastructure, retrofit potential
- Strong THP drivers
- DBFO/PPP models well established
Cambi DBO approach
• Partnering on project-byproject basis
Main countries with DBO activities (4/4)
Emerging Markets
Colombia & Brazil
Market
- Increasing private sector involvement
- Several wastewater concessions have recently been awarded to private operators
Cambi DBO approach
• In dialogue with development partners
India & South Africa
Market
• Increasing interest in private sector participation, national PPP frameworks cumbersome/ under development
Cambi DBO approach
- Looking for local partners to develop financed projects in the region
- Ongoing discussions with international financing institutions to co-invest in projects (e.g. Norfund)
Growth initiatives
Recycling – Grønn Vekst DBO projects
- Strengthen position in domestic market by increasing soil product range
-
Enter new markets, through M&A and on the back of DBO projects
-
Realise first DBO project in 18-24 months
- Strengthen DBO development organisation
- Identify development partners in key geographies
Thank you
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