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CAL — Investor Presentation 2020
Aug 26, 2020
52164_rns_2020-08-26_0ba35c67-3005-484a-b174-977ee5d291d0.pdf
Investor Presentation
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China Airlines 2020 Investor Conference
August 26, 2020 TSE:2610
• The information contained in this presentation, including all forward-looking information, is subject to change without notice, whether as a result of new further events or information, otherwise, and China Airlines(the “Company”) undertakes no to or obligation publicly update revise the information contained in this presentation.
- No guarantees regarding the completeness, accuracy, and reliability of information contained are made explicitly or implicitly. They are not intended to represent complete statement of the Company,industryorfuturedevelopment.
1. First Half Year Financial Results for 2020
- 1) Operating Performance 2) Composition of Op. Revenue & Cost 3) Financial Risk Management
2. Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic
- 1) Industry Environment Update 2) Operational Performance Update 3) Response to COVID-19
3. Post-COVID-19 Outlook
First Half Year Financial Results for 2020
4
O eratin Performance –2020Q2 p g
| Operating Performance –2020Q2 | Operating Performance –2020Q2 | Operating Performance –2020Q2 | Operating Performance –2020Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated Financial Statistics TWD 100 Million |
|||
| 2019Q2 | 2020Q2 | YoY % | |
| Operating Revenue | 428.92 | 263.16 | -38.64% |
| Net Operating Income | 5.73 | 27.48 |
379.58% |
| Net Income(Loss) After Tax | -2.91 | 22.53 |
- |
| Net Income(Loss) Attributable to Owners ofthe company |
-4.43 | 24.59 | - |
| Earnings(Loss) Per Share (TWD) | -0.08 | 0.45 |
- |
| Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019Q2 | 2020Q2 | YoY % | |
| Passenger Revenue | 282.06 | 15.13 | -94.63% |
| Cargo Revenue | 109.56 | 234.42 | 113.96% |
| Other Operating Revenue | 37.3 | 13.61 | -63.51% |
| Total Group Operating Revenue | 428.92 | 263.16 | -38.64% |
O eratin Performance –2020H1 p g
| Operating Performance –2020H1 | Operating Performance –2020H1 | Operating Performance –2020H1 | Operating Performance –2020H1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated Financial Statistics TWD 100 Million |
|||
| 2019H1 | 2020H1 | YoY % | |
| Operating Revenue | 832.98 | 588.73 | -29.32% |
| Net Operating Income(Loss) | 13.34 | -2.23 |
- |
| Net Loss After Tax | -4.38 | -15.58 |
- |
| Net Loss Attributable to Owners ofthe company |
-6.86 | -13.14 | - |
| Loss Per Share (TWD) | -0.13 | -0.24 |
- |
| Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
Group Revenue TWD 100 Million |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019H1 | 2020H1 | YoY % | |
| Passenger Revenue | 554.56 | 202.42 |
-63.49% |
| Cargo Revenue | 211.18 | 345.37 | 63.54% |
| Other Operating Revenue | 67.24 | 40.94 | -39.11% |
| Total Group Operating Revenue | 832.98 | 588.73 | -29.32% |
Composition of Op. Revenue -CI
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4%
2020H1 Passenger Revenue Cargo Revenue 64%
32%
2019H1 Passenger Revenue 66% Cargo Revenue 29%
5%
Other Op. Revenue
Other Op. Revenue
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Passenger, Cargo and other operating revenue accounted for 32%, 64% and 4% respectively in 2020H1.
Composition of Op. Expenses -CI
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2.1%
Airport&Ground
2020H1 Fuel Handling Personnel Rental&Depreciation Maintenance
21.8% 12.1% 16.5% 22.5% 19.1% 3.5%
3.5%
2.4%
Airport&Ground
2019H1 Fuel Personnel Rental&Depreciation Maintenance
Handling
30.5% 13.5% 13.8% 16.8% 13.4%
3.7%
4.3% 4.0%
Others
Pax Service
Sales&General Adm.
Others
Pax Service
Sales&General Adm.
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Fuel cost accounted for 21.8% of operating expenses due to COVID-19 pandemic in 2020H1.
Financial Risk Management –Fuel (CI)
| Financial Risk Management –Fuel (CI) | Financial Risk Management –Fuel (CI) | Financial Risk Management –Fuel (CI) | Financial Risk Management –Fuel (CI) | Financial Risk Management –Fuel (CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel Cost | ||||
| 2019H1 | 2020H1 | YoY% | ||
| Jet Fuel (MOPS) | USD/BBL | 78.05 | 45.01 | -42.3% |
| Fuel Consumption | 10KBBL | 854.58 | 664.63 | -22.2% |
| Fuel Expend | TWD/100Million | 219.23 | 114.43 | -47.8% |
| Hedging Loss | TWD/100Million | 0.07 | 0.26 | 271.4% |
| Total Fuel Cost | TWD/100Million | 219.3 | 114.69 | -47.7% |
Fuel Hedging
| Fuel Hedging | ||
|---|---|---|
| Year | Hedging% | |
| 2020.09-20201.08 | 0.8% |
Financial Risk Management – Currency of Revenue and Expenditure
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2020H1 2019H1
Rev. Exp. Rev. Exp.
100%
7% 7%
15% 2% 16% 2%
1% 2%
7% 7%
6%
6%
12% 7%
5% 38% 9%
42%
13%
15%
50%
49%
47%
45%
40%
0%
TWD USD JPY CNY HKD Others
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Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic Industry Environment Update
11
COVID-19: Severe Impact on the Global Airline Industry
A slump in air travel demand due to COVID-19 pandemic which has forced airlines to cut flights.
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Air Airport Freighter
RPKs
Passengers Revenue Tonnes
YoY% YoY% YoY% YoY%
-55% -60% -57% -17%
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IATA forecasted airlines across the world are expected to lose USD 84.3 billion in 2020.
2019 Level Recovered Only by 2024
-
Five years to return to pre-pandemic level of passenger demand
-
75% growth forecast for 2021 but RPKs still 36% below 2019 levels
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Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Performance Update
14
Passenger Performance
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Revenue Composition by Region
Australia/
New
Zealand
Trans 10%
TWD 47.76 Billion
Pacific
Europe
Ocean
11%
21%
▼ 63.8%
Hong Kong
4%
TWD 17.27 Billion South East
Asia
20% North East
Asia
27%
Mainland
China
2019H1 2020H1 7%
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-
Passenger revenue decreased by 63.8% to TWD 17.27 billion in 2020H1.
-
Northeast Asia accounted for the largest share (27%) of revenue, followed by Trans Pacific Ocean with revenue share of 21%.
Passenger Operation Index
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ASK (MN) Load Factor Yield (TWD)
79.8% 2.32 2.34
▼14.2ppt 65.6% ▲0.9%
25,821
▼56.5%
11,227
2019H1 2020H1 2019H1 2020H1 2019H1 2020H1
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ASK and load factor decreased by 56.5% and 14.2ppt respectively while yield increased by 0.9% in 2020H1.
Impact on Passenger Traffic
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5,000
4%
0%
4,000
-23%
3,240
3,253 3,229 3,271 3,194
3,128
2,984
3,000
-40%
2,309
-65%
2,000
1,150 -80%
-97% -98% -97%
1,000
89 53 86
- -120%
Round Trips Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020 YoY change(%)
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-
CAL provided a minimum passengers-carried schedule to meet market demand.
-
Our frequencies between April and June plunged more than 97% compared to the same period last year.
Passenger Impact-Skeletal Network
| Region | Route Adjustments |
|---|---|
| North America | Los Angeles/ San Francisco 2 Flights/wk、Vancouver 1 Flight/wk、New York 1~4 Flights/mth |
| Europe | Amsterdam/ Frankfurt/ London 1 Flight/wk |
| Oceania | Sydney/ Melbourne/ Brisbane 2 Flights/mth |
| Northeast Asia | Tokyo1~2 Flights/wk |
| Southeast Asia | Jakarta/ Ho Chi Minh City 2~3 Flights/wk、Yangon 2~4 Flights/mth、 Others routes 1~3 Flights/wk |
| Mainland China | Shanghai 3~4 Flights/wk、Xiamen 1~3 Flights/wk、 |
| (KHH departures included) | Chengdu 1 Flight/wk、Beijing 2 Flights/mth |
| Hong Kong | 4~5 Flights/wk |
Cargo Performance
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Revenue Composition by Region
Australia/
New
Zealand 2%
TWD 34.45Billion
Europe 9% Hong Kong
4%
▲64.6% North East
TWD 20.93Billion Asia 5%
Mainland
China 7%
Trans
Pacific South East
Ocean 58% Asia 15%
2019H1 2020H1
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-
Cargo revenue totaled TWD 34.45 billion, a 64.6% increase, in 2020H1.
-
Trans Pacific Ocean accounted for the largest share(58%) of revenue, followed by Southeast Asia and Europe with revenue share of 15% and 9% respectively.
Cargo Performance Index
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FATK (MN) Load Factor Yield (TWD)
3,852 3,894 12.52
▲ 1.1% 70.6%
65.8%
▲ 4.8ppt 8.25 ▲51.8%
2019H1 2020H1 2019H1 2020H1 2019H1 2020H1
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FATK increased by 1.1% and load factor grew 4.8 ppt with a 51.8% rise in yield in 2020H1.
Response to COVID-19
- Passenger - Cargo
21
Flight Schedule Adjusted in Line with Market Demand
Operations remain active in adapting to the dynamic changes of the market landscape and governments regulations.
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Operate selected routes to maintain network connectivity. Gradually resume flights to align with boarder reopening and regional business travel needs. Gain Taiwan domestic air travel market via CAL Group’s subsidiaries Operate charter flights or repatriation flights to generate revenue
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Resuming Operation with Safety Procedures
CAL is committed to providing passengers a safe and comfortable travel experience by implementing enhanced measures to ensure travel safety.
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On board
Prepare for travel
-
Cabin Crew Protective Equipment
-
Clean Cabin
-
Sky Boutique Pre-Order
-
PA Announcement
-
COVID-19 Service Information
-
Inflight Supplies
-
Inflight Meal
-
Flight Messaging Service
-
Fresh and recycled air
At the Airport
quality
Arrival
- Onboard Lavatory
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-
Cabin Disinfection & Cleaning
-
Wear face masks
-
Temperature checks
-
Social distancing
-
Meal Carts Disinfection
-
CAL Lounges closed temporarily
-
Safe Airport Journey Plan
-
Luggage Disinfection upon Arrival
Expanding Cargo Service to Seize the window of Opportunity
COVID-19 has significantly disrupted global supply chain, also led to air cargo capacity crunch stemming from the evaporation of the belly capacity of passenger aircraft.
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-
Utilize CAL 18 747-400 freighters
-
Make the most of belly capacity of passenger aircraft
-
Improve operational efficiency with upcoming 777F deliveries
-
Monthly route review and flexible route adjustment
-
Priority for high-yield goods and regular project shipment for route profit boost
-
Pursue charter or BSA business to maintain load factor and revenue uplift
36 destinations with 101 flights per week for cargo service
Post-COVID-19 Outlook
25
New Normal of Air travel in Post-Covid-19 Age
Market
-
Domestic and regional air travel will recover first.
-
3[rd] /4[th] traffic rights will be dominant.
-
Business travel will recover first, followed by family visit and leisure travel.
-
Local staycation becomes popular.
Passenger
-
International travelers will most concern with safety.
-
Wearing masks, checking temperatures, and cleaning hands throughout the journey will be required.
Service
- Digital solution will be implemented to reduce touchpoints literally in the check-in and boarding process
Post-COVID-19 Cargo Market Outlook
Potential Business
-
COVID-19 has led to a major change in consumer behavior toward online channels. Online demand for essentials and entertainment has increased.
-
Work-from-home triggers a jump in demand for chips, laptops and network goods.
Market Challenge
-
Appreciation of TWD may have an adverse effect on exports .
-
-
-
US China trade war results in a slowdown in economic and industrial output growth.
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Proactive COVID-19 Response Strategies
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Reduce cost and conserve cash
Create business resiliency
Integrate sales and marketing strategy
Rebuild passenger confidence in air travel
Comply with regulations to promote safe travel
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Thank you
# We fly We fight # We will all be fine
China Airlines│No.1, Hangzhan S. Rd., Dayuan Dist., Taoyuan City, Taiwan TEL│03.399.8888
2020.08