Investor Presentation • May 5, 2021
Investor Presentation
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Dirk Tirez, CEO a.i. Leen Geirnaerdt, CFO
6 May 2021
Interim financial report 1Q21
12.05.2021 Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders
05.08.2021 (17:45 CET) Quarterly results 2Q21
09.11.2021 (17:45 CET) Quarterly results 3Q21
This presentation is based on information published by bpost group in its First Quarter 2021 Interim Financial Report, made available on May 5th, 2021 at 5.45pm CET on corporate.bpost.be/investors. This information forms regulated information as defined in the Royal Decree of November 14th, 2007. The information in this document may include forward-looking statements1 , which are based on current expectations and projections of management about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future whether or not outside the control of the Company. Such factors may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of the Presentation and the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements. This material is not intended as and does not constitute an offer to sell any securities or a solicitation of any offer to purchase any securities.
Highlights of 1Q21
€ 1,019.9m up 9.1% compared to last year's pre COVID-19 first quarter
€ 115.5m 11.3% EBIT margin
up € +39.9m compared to prior year
€ 70.6m 13.9% EBIT margin
€ 37.3m 13.0% EBIT margin
€ 8.2m 2.9% EBIT margin
Initial 2021 guidance raised, group adjusted EBIT expected to be above € 310m
1Q21
1 Adjusted excludes items that are non-recurring in nature and significant (> € 20m). All profits or losses on disposal of activities are adjusted whatever the amount they represent, as well as the amortization and impairment on the intangible assets recognized throughout the Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) of the acquisitions. Reversals of provisions whose addition had been excluded from income are also adjusted whatever the amount they represent.
FCF 194.2 147.4 246.2 160.0 -35.0% Net Debt at March 31 619.9 388.3 619.9 388.3 -37.4% Capex 20.5 19.6 20.5 19.6 -4.2% Average # FTEs and interims 34,695 37,602 34,695 37,602 8.4%
2 2
| € million | Reported | Adjusted1 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q20 | 1Q21 | 1Q20 | 1Q21 | % ↑ | 1 | ||
| Total operating income | 934.6 | 1,019.9 | 934.6 | 1,019.9 | 9.1% | ||
| Operating expenses | 797.4 | 842.7 | 797.4 | 842.7 | 5.7% | ||
| EBITDA | 137.2 | 177.2 | 137.2 | 177.2 | 29.2% | ||
| Depreciation & Amortization | 66.1 | 64.9 | 61.5 | 61.7 | 0.3% | ||
| EBIT | 71.0 | 112.3 1 |
75.6 | 115.5 1 |
52.8% | ||
| Margin (%) | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 2 | ||
| Financial result | -4.3 | -2.5 | -4.3 | -2.5 | -40.8% | ||
| Profit before tax | 71.5 | 109.8 | 76.1 | 113.0 | 48.5% | services | |
| Income tax expense | 23.6 | 29.2 1 |
23.8 | 29.9 1 |
25.6% | ||
| Net profit | 47.9 | 80.6 | 52.2 | 83.0 | 59.0% |
Amortization and impairments of intangibles recognized during PPA are adjusted, leading to increase in EBIT (€ +3.2m) and income tax expense (€ +0.8m)
Adjusted FCF excludes the cash Radial receives on behalf of its customers for performing billing
| M&R | PaLo Eurasia | PaLo N. Am. | Corp | Eliminations | Group | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External operating income | 446.9 | 283.9 | 281.1 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1,019.9 |
| Intersegment operating income | 59.9 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 102.6 | -167.3 | 0.0 |
| Total operating income | 506.8 | 287.8 | 282.1 | 110.6 | -167.3 | 1,019.9 |
| Operating expenses | 414.6 | 245.5 | 256.7 | 93.3 | -167.3 | 842.7 |
| EBITDA | 92.2 | 42.3 | 25.4 | 17.3 | 177.2 | |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 22.0 | 5.7 | 19.2 | 17.9 | 64.9 | |
| Reported EBIT | 70.2 | 36.6 | 6.2 | -0.6 | 112.3 | |
| Margin (%) | 13.9% | 12.7% | 2.2% | -0.6% | 11.0% | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 70.6 | 37.3 | 8.2 | -0.6 | 115.5 | |
| Margin (%) | 13.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | -0.6% | 11.3% |
-9.6% underlying volume decline against
No change in known structural trends of
-5.4% underlying volume decline against softer comparable base in Mar-20:
reduced footfall as a result of COVID-19,
Decline in banking & finance revenues due to the low interest rate environment and
4
Higher revenues from fines solution which were negatively impacted during lockdown of Mar-20.
| Mail & Retail | 1Q20 | 1Q21 | % ↑ |
|---|---|---|---|
| External operating income | 457.8 | 446.9 | -2.4% |
| Transactional | 193.3 | 190.2 | -1.6% |
| Advertising | 47.8 | 47.6 | -0.4% |
| Press | 86.1 | 86.0 | -0.1% |
| Proximity and convenience retail network | 103.1 | 94.9 | -7.9% |
| Value added services | 27.5 | 28.2 | 2.7% |
| Intersegment operating income | 42.2 | 59.9 | 41.8% |
| Total operating income | 500.0 | 506.8 | 1.4% |
| Operating expenses | 413.8 | 414.6 | 0.2% |
| EBITDA | 86.1 | 92.2 | 7.1% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 21.6 | 22.0 | 2.1% |
| Reported EBIT | 64.6 | 70.2 | 8.7% |
| Margin (%) | 12.9% | 13.9% | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 65.2 | 70.6 | 8.4% |
| Margin (%) | 13.0% | 13.9% | |
| Additional KPIs | |||
| Underlying Mail volume decline | -9.9% | -7.8% | |
| Transactional | -8.8% | -9.6% | |
| Advertising | -16.5% | -5.4% | |
| Press | -5.2% | -1.0% |
Total Parcels BeNe revenues up € 41.0m (+39.2%) driven by growth in Parcels B2X and strong quarter at Dynalogic.
Parcels B2X1 revenues up 51.0% driven by volume growth of +54.1% fueled by thriving online sales.
Negative price/mix -3.1% fully mixdriven.
Revenue up € +3.8m (+9.6%) mainly driven by:
Revenue up € +28.6m (+43.1%) driven by:
1 Parcels B2X sales and volumes do not include EuroSprinters and Dynagroup
| Parcels & Logistics Europe and Asia | 1Q20 | 1Q21 | % ↑ |
|---|---|---|---|
| External operating income | 210.5 | 283.9 | 34.9% |
| Parcels BeNe | 104.7 | 145.7 | 39.2% |
| E-commerce logistics | 39.3 | 43.1 | 9.6% |
| Cross-border | 66.5 | 95.1 | 43.1% |
| Intersegment operating income | 3.0 | 3.9 | 29.0% |
| Total operating income | 213.5 | 287.8 | 34.8% |
| Operating expenses | 192.2 | 245.5 | 27.8% |
| EBITDA | 21.3 | 42.3 | 98.5% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 5.1 | 5.7 | 11.3% |
| Reported EBIT | 16.2 | 36.6 | 126.1% |
| Margin (%) | 7.6% | 12.7% | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 16.9 | 37.3 | 121.2% |
| Margin (%) | 7.9% | 13.0% | |
| Additional KPIs | |||
| Parcels volume growth1 | 25.2% | 54.1% |
1 1Q20 restated to reflect Parcels B2X volume growth
PaLo North America external operating income, € million
YoY increase of +10.7% (+20.4% at constant exchange rate). Revenue increase mainly driven by Radial North America recording continued high growth from existing customers (+25.6%) and of new clients launched in 2020, partly
offset by some client churn. Landmark US, Apple Express and FDM recorded strong volumes from existing and new customers fueled by e-commerce development YoY.
Revenue decline (-19.4%, or -11.8% at constant exchange rate) driven by lower volumes in the business mail segment, partially compensated by higher domestic parcels revenues.
| Parcels & Logistics North America | 1Q20 | 1Q21 | % ↑ |
|---|---|---|---|
| External operating income | 259.9 | 281.1 | 8.2% |
| E-commerce logistics | 238.0 | 263.5 | 10.7% |
| International mail | 21.9 | 17.7 | -19.4% |
| Intersegment operating income | 1.4 | 0.9 | -31.8% |
| Total operating income | 261.3 | 282.1 | 7.9% |
| Operating expenses | 250.9 | 256.7 | 2.3% |
| EBITDA | 10.4 | 25.4 | 143.7% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 21.2 | 19.2 | -9.2% |
| Reported EBIT | -10.8 | 6.2 | - |
| Margin (%) | -4.1% | 2.2% | |
| Adjusted EBIT | -7.4 | 8.2 | - |
| Margin (%) | -2.8% | 2.9% | |
| Additional KPIs, adjusted | |||
| Radial North America revenue, \$m | 215.1 | 247.1 | |
| Radial North America EBITDA, \$m | 4.1 | 17.4 | |
| Radial North America EBIT, \$m | (12.9) | 0.0 |
| € million | |
|---|---|
| Corporate | 1Q20 | 1Q21 | % ↑ |
|---|---|---|---|
| External operating income | 6.4 | 7.9 | 24.3% |
| Intersegment operating income | 90.4 | 102.6 | 13.5% |
| Total operating income | 96.8 | 110.6 | 14.2% |
| Operating expenses | 77.5 | 93.3 | 20.3% |
| EBITDA | 19.3 | 17.3 | -10.3% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 18.3 | 17.9 | -1.7% |
| Reported EBIT | 1.0 | -0.6 | - |
| Margin (%) | 1.1% | -0.6% | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 1.0 | -0.6 | - |
| Margin (%) | 1.1% | -0.6% |
| 1Q20 | 1Q21 | Delta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| + | Cash flow from operating activities | 203.6 | 157.1 | -46.6 |
| out of which CF from operating activities before ∆ in WC & provisions | 137.7 | 165.1 | 27.4 | |
| + | Cash flow from investing activities | -9.4 | -9.7 | -0.3 |
| = | Free cash flow1 | 194.2 | 147.4 | -46.8 |
| + | Financing activities | -26.6 | -193.5 | -166.9 |
| = | Net cash movement | 167.6 | -46.1 | -213.7 |
| Capex | -20.5 | -19.6 | 0.9 |
€ +27.4m variance in "CF from operating activities before change in working capital and provisions", mainly due to higher EBITDA (€ +40.1m) combined with increased tax payments (€ -11.4m).
Change in working capital and provisions (€ -73.9m) of which:
1Free cash flow = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities
Proceeds from building sales: € -1.1m vs 1Q20
Capex at € 19.6m decreased by € +0.9m vs 1Q20 and was mainly spent on increased capacity for E-commerce on customer implementations at Radial US, additional sites for Active Ants, Parcels B2X sorting equipment and sustainability initiatives for e-fleet infrastructure.
A great majority of 1Q21 capex is invested in e-commerce and parcels activities.
Decision not to roll over maturing commercial paper in 2021: € -165.7m
1Q21
1Q21 Analyst Presentation
In light of the strong first quarter results, and based on current assumptions of normalization for COVID-19 volumes for the rest of the year, bpost now expects the group adjusted EBIT to be above € 310m
Total operating income:
7-9% adjusted EBIT margin
High single-digit % growth in total operating income with parcels and ecommerce logistics volumes expected to normalize from elevated COVID-19 levels
Operating expenses will include investments to grow omni-commerce logistics in Europe 9-11% adjusted EBIT margin
Mid- to high single-digit % growth in total operating income driven by Radial existing customers growth and new client launches, normalized for 2020 COVID-19 spike
4-5% adjusted EBIT margin
Low to mid-single-digit % growth in total operating income
Adjusted EBIT above € 310m
Gross capex around € 200-220m, geared towards the strategy to grow omni-commerce logistics
2021 dividend in the range of 30-50% of IRFS net profit and payable in May 2022 after the General Shareholders' Meeting, in accordance with the new dividend policy
Preparation of the end of year (EOY) peak
Management
bpost Board of directors (as of 12 May, 2021)
Audrey Hanard Chairperson
Jos Donvil Non-Executive Director (renewal) Ray Stewart Independent Director
Caroline Ven Non-Executive Director
Laurent Levaux Non-Executive Director
Mohssin El Ghabri Non-Executive Director (new) Michael Stone Independent Director
Jules Noten Independent Director (new)
Sonja Rottiers Independent Director (new)
| € million | € million | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | Dec 31, 2020 | Mar 31, 2021 | Equity and Liabilities | Dec 31, 2020 | Mar 31, 2021 |
| PPE | 1,138.0 | 1,145.9 | Total equity | 583.8 | 692.9 |
| Intangible assets | 771.7 | 790.4 | Interest-bearing loans & borrowings | 1,443.2 | 1,299.4 |
| Investments in associates and joint ventures | 0.1 | 0.1 | Employee benefits | 320.0 | 318.4 |
| Other assets | 54.1 | 51.7 | Trade & other payables | 1,487.0 | 1,333.5 |
| Trade & other receivables | 826.6 | 670.8 | Provisions | 27.0 | 24.3 |
| Inventories | 32.7 | 31.6 | Derivative instruments | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 948.1 | 911.2 | Other liabilities | 13.2 | 33.5 |
| Assets held for sale | 103.3 | 100.5 | |||
| Total Assets | 3,874.5 | 3,702.3 | Total Equity and Liabilities | 3,874.5 | 3,702.3 |
The decrease of trade and other receivables is mainly driven by the settlement of the SGEI for the delivery of newspapers and periodicals for the year 2020 and the peak sales of year-end 2020.
The decrease of cash and cash equivalents is due to the closure in the first quarter of 2021 of the commercial paper program and the unwinding of the temporary initiatives set up in the context of the pandemic in 2020.
The increase of equity was mainly explained by the realized profit of (€ +80.6m) and the exchange differences on translation of foreign operations (€ +28.1m).
The decrease of interest-bearing loans and borrowings was mainly due to the decision to reimburse the maturing commercial paper during the first quarter 2021 (€ -165.0m), partially compensated by the increase of leases and the unfavorable impact of exchange rates.
Net debt decreased by € 106.9m in 1Q21, from € 495.2m to 388.3m.
Trade and other payables decreased mainly due to the phasing of year-end peak 2020 and the unwinding of some temporary initiatives set up in the context of the pandemic, partially offset by the advance received of the SGEI compensation for the delivery of newspapers and periodicals.
| € million | ||
|---|---|---|
| Available Liquidity | Dec 31, 2020 | Mar 31, 2021 |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 948.1 | 911.2 |
| Cash in network | 167.2 | 163.2 |
| Transit accounts | 32.2 | 59.0 |
| Cash payment transactions under execution | -30.9 | -10.5 |
| Bank current accounts | 574.6 | 469.6 |
| Short-term deposits | 205.0 | 230.0 |
| Undrawn revolving credit facilities | 375.0 | 375.0 |
| Syndicated facility - 10/2024 | 300.0 | 300.0 |
| Bilateral facility - 06/2025 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Total Available Liquidity | 1,323.1 | 1,286.2 |
| € million | ||
|---|---|---|
| External Funding | Dec 31, 2020 | Mar 31, 2021 |
| Long-term | ||
| Long-term bond1 (1.25% - 07/2026) |
650.0 | 650.0 |
| Bank loans | 159.9 | 166.9 |
| Amortizing Loan (€ 100m) ‐ 12/2022 | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| Term Loan (\$ 185m) - 07/2023 | 150.8 | 157.8 |
| Short-term | ||
| Bank loans: Amortizing Loan (€ 100m) ‐ 12/2022 | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| Commercial Papers | 165.1 | 0.0 |
| Total External Funding | 984.1 | 826.0 |
Total available liquidity on March 31, 2021 consisted out of € 911.2m cash & cash equivalents of which € 699.6m is readily available on bank current accounts and as short-term deposits.
In addition, bpost group has 2 undrawn revolving credit facilities for a total amount of € 375.0m.
Out of € 826.0m external funding on balance sheet on March 31, 2021:
‐ € 9.1m need to be repaid in 4Q21 (i.e., the current portion of the amortizing loan)
1 € 650m long-term bond with a carrying amount of € 643.9m, the difference being the re-offer price and issuance fees.
Email: [email protected] Direct: +32 (0) 2 276 29 85 Mobile: +32 (0) 471 81 24 77 Address: bpost group, Centre Monnaie, 1000 Brussels, Belgium
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