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BP PLC — Investor Presentation 2008
Jul 29, 2008
4622_ip_2008-07-29_113324fe-e888-4dab-91eb-8e8b0d34aad6.pdf
Investor Presentation
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First half 2008 update
29 July 2008
Cautionary Statement
Forward Looking Statements - Cautionary Statement
This presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward looking statements, particularly those regarding oil and gas prices and impact of price changes; continuing operational momentum; underlying production growth and effects of production-sharing agreements; expected start up and timing of projects; impact of seasonal turnarounds on volumes and costs; expected financial benefits of higher refinery throughputs; expected benefit from continued increase in refining availability; impact of higher energy costs and planned turnarounds on refinery earnings; impact of slowing economies and rising wholesale prices on marketing businesses; expected growth in oil demand; impact of planned refinery startup on global gasoline supplies; reduction in corporate overheads; expected timing of financial benefits of lower overheads and simplified business model; annual charge; effective tax rate. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors, including the timing of bringing new fields on stream; future levels of industry product supply; demand and pricing; operational problems; general economic conditions; political stability and economi cgrowth in relevant areas of the world; changes in laws and governmental regulations; exchange rate fluctuations; development and use of new technology; changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions; the actions of competitors; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this presentation.
Reconciliations to GAAP - This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). A quantitative reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP can be found on our website at www.bp.com
Cautionary Note to US Investors - The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as "resources" and "non-proved reserves", that the SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-06262, available from us at 1 St James's Square, London SW1Y 4PD. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive
Financial results for 1H 2008
Replacement cost profit
- •\$13.4bn, up 23% vs. 1H07
- •Per share 71.3¢, up 26% vs. 1H07
Post tax operating cashflow
•\$17.6bn, up 25% vs. 1H07
Quarterly dividend per share
•14.0¢, up 29% vs. 2Q07
Byron Grote Chief Financial Officer
Trading environment
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2008
2007
0
3
\$/mcf Gas realization
Change vs 2007 Average realizations 2Q 1H Liquids \$/bbl 76% 74% Natural gas \$/mcf 49% 34% Total hydrocarbons \$/boe 68% 60% Refining indicator margin \$/bbl (51)% (51)%
Financial results
Change vs. 2Q 2007
| R l f h d t t t e s s o e s e c o n q a e u r u r r |
\$ b n |
% | % h p e s a e r r |
|---|---|---|---|
| R l f i t t t • e p a c e m e n c o s p r o |
6 9 |
6 | 8 |
| f P i i l d i i i / l t t • r o n c u n g n v e n o r y g a n s o s s e s |
9 5 |
2 8 |
3 1 |
| N h i d d b i i i i t t t t • e c a s p r o e o p e r a n g a c e s v y v |
6 7 |
1 0 |
1 2 |
| / h ¢ s a r e |
|||
| D i i d d b i d t t t • e n o e p a n e q a r e r v x u |
1 4 0 |
2 9 % |
|
| C h H 2 0 0 1 7 a n g e v s |
|||
| f R l 1 H t e s u s o r |
\$ b n |
% | % h e a e p r s r |
| R l f i t t t • e p a c e m e n c o s p r o |
1 3 4 |
2 3 |
2 6 |
| f P i i l d i i i / l t t • r o n c u n g n v e n o r y g a n s o s s e s |
6 9 1 |
0 4 |
4 4 |
| N h i d d b i i i i t t t t • e c a s p r o e o p e r a n g a c e s v y v |
1 7 6 |
2 5 |
2 8 |
Exploration & Production
- •Higher realizations
- Strong underlying production growth •
- Greater TNK–BP contribution: prices and tax lag benefit •
- Higher costs: sector-specific inflation, DD&A, production taxes•
- Non-operating items: embedded derivatives•
Refining & Marketing
- •Lower US refining margins
- •Increased refinery throughputs
- •Strong International Businesses contribution
Other businesses & corporate
Non-operating items:
Restructuring costs
Sources & uses of cash
Net debt ratio = net debt / (net debt + equity)
Net debt includes the fair value of associated derivative financial instruments used to hedge finance debt
Outlook
Exploration & Production
- •Strong underlying growth in full-year production
- •Continued significant PSA effects
- •Seasonal turnarounds ongoing in 3Q: North Sea and US
Refining & Marketing
- •Higher refining availability
- •Current quarter-to-date refining margins significantly below 2Q 2008
- •Higher energy costs and planned turnarounds
- • Economic slowdown and rising wholesale prices impacting marketing businesses
Effective tax rate
•Around 36% for the second half of 2008
Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive
1H 2008 strategic progress Restoring revenues
Upstream production
- •Underlying production growth excluding PSA effects of 6% vs. 1H 2007
- • Four major project start-ups: Deep Water Gunashli (ACG), Mondo (Kizomba C), Saqqara, Egypt Gas Phase 1-Taurt
- •Commissioning of Thunder Horse underway
US refining
- •Whiting: full crude capacity and flexibility restored
- •Texas City: full crude capacity and majority of economic capability restored
1H 2008 strategic progress Reducing complexity
Restructuring
- •Headcount reduction on track
- •\$468 million 1H08 restructuring costs
Delayering
- •Reduction in management layers
- •20% senior positions removed
Business simplification
- •Integrated fuel value chain organisation established
- • Focussing marketing footprint
- Aviation: exiting 27 countries
- Lubricants: reduced direct presence in 20 countries
- •US convenience retail: 260 out of 800 sites moved to franchise offer so far
1H 2008 strategic progress Securing the future
- •Continued exploration success: Angola, Egypt, North Sea, Gulf of Mexico
- • New access to resources:
- Integrated oil sands / refining JVs with Husky
- Canadian Arctic Beaufort Sea
- −Arkoma Basin Woodford shale gas deal
- •Block 31 Angola: Approval of programme development
- •Denali/Alaska Gas Pipeline
- •Whiting Canadian Crude project: Final investment decision taken
- •Brazilian biofuels
TNK-BP performance 2003-7 Production growth
* In Russia; Organic - excluding acquisitions & divestments Source: Central Dispatch Union – Russian Ministry of Energy
TNK-BP performance 2003-7 Reserves replacement
* In Russia; Organic - excluding acquisitions & divestments Source: Company reports
TNK-BP performance 2003-7 Cash returns to shareholders
Source: Company reports
TNK-BP performance 2003-7 #1 in Russia
•Production #1
- Highest organic growth rate* of any major Russian oil company: 8%/year
- • Reserve replacement #1
- Highest reserve replacement* of any major Russian oil company: 138%
•Dividends to shareholders #1
Highest cash payments to shareholders of any Russian company
•Finding & development costs #1
Lowest F&D cost of any major Russian oil company: \$2.20/bll
•Return on average capital employed #1
Highest average ROACE of any major Russian oil company: 35%
* In Russia; Organic - excluding net acquisitions and divestments Source: Central Dispatch Union/Company reports
Changing business environment Oil and gas prices
Source: Platts; Futures data NYMEX & ICE
Changing business environment Refining margins
Source: BP
Responding to the changing business environment
Increased activity in Exploration & Production
- •Capturing new growth opportunities
- •Pull through of resources in established basins
Forward Agenda: continued focus on costs and efficiency
- •Capturing stronger business environment in the upstream
- •Mitigating weaker business environment in the downstream
- •Closing the competitive gap
Alternative Energy
- •Brazil biofuels
-
•Solar/Wind
-
•Upstream growth
- •Downstream turnaround
- •Corporate simplification
- •Alternative Energy growth and equity value
Q&A
Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive
Byron Grote Chief Financial Officer
Andy Inglis Chief Executive Exploration & Production
Iain Conn
Chief Executive Refining & Marketing
Vivienne Cox
Chief Executive Alternative Energy
Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations