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Borr Drilling — Investor Presentation 2018
Mar 22, 2018
6241_rns_2018-03-22_3f3f5d7c-8224-4adf-abb1-78736912c522.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Borr Drilling – Every crisis creates opportunities
Header Header
Content Content - from 0 to 49 rigs in 15 months
Private placement of USD 250million
Footer Footer 22 March 2018
Important information and disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by representatives of Borr Drilling Limited (the "Company") and is general background information about the Company's activities current as at the date of this presentation. Information in this presentation, including forecast financial information, should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or other financial products or instruments and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transactions, currency risk.
No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company, its affiliates or representatives, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein, for any purpose whatsoever. Neither the Company nor any of their advisors or representatives shall have any responsibility or liability whatsoever (for negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to updating, revision, verification, correction, completion, amendment and may change materially and without notice. In giving this presentation, none of the Company or their respective affiliates or agents undertake any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information. The information contained in this presentation should be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time and has not been, and will not be, updated to reflect material developments which may occur after the date of the presentation.
Content Content Matters discussed in this document and any materials distributed in connection with this presentation may constitute or include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may be identified by words such as "believes", "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "estimates", "will", "may", "continues", "should" and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect the Company's beliefs, intentions and current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company's results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; developments of the Company's markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of the Company's competitors. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity of the Company or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements. No representation is made that any of these forward-looking statements or forecasts will come to pass or that any forecast result will be achieved and you are cautioned not to place any undue influence on any forward-looking statement.
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Contemplated equity offering to finance the acquisition of Paragon Offshore
Transaction overview
- Borr Drilling intends to raise up to USD 250m through issuing 54m new common shares at USD 4.60 per share
- The proceeds from the contemplated equity offering will be used to finance the acquisition of Paragon Offshore and general corporate purposes
- Borr Drilling has offered to purchase all outstanding shares in Paragon Offshore for a total price of USD 232.5m
- The offer period expires on 24 March 2018 and is expected to close on 27 March 2018, subject to satisfaction of the conditions
- After completion of the Paragon Offshore acquisition, Borr Drilling will own 49 rigs and be the largest owner of premium jack-up drilling rigs in the world with 24 premium units (including newbuilds)
- Companies that are close associates of Mr. Tor Olav Trøim have in total subscribed for shares equivalent to USD 20m
- Mr Fredrik Halvorsen has subscribed for shares equivalent USD 10m
Sources and uses of funds
| USDm | |
|---|---|
| Sources | |
| Contemplated equity offering | 250.0 |
| Paragon Offshore for a total price of USD 232.5m | Uses | |
|---|---|---|
| - The offer period expires on 24 March 2018 and is expected to close on 27 March 2018, subject to satisfaction of the |
Paragon Offshore equity consideration | 232.5 8.8 8.7 250.0 |
| conditions | Payment for Jindal settlement 1 |
|
| After completion of the Paragon Offshore acquisition, Borr Drilling will own 49 rigs and be the largest owner of premium jack-up drilling rigs in the world with 24 premium units (including newbuilds) |
Cash available for other investments and general corporate purposes |
|
| Total | ||
Note (1): Reference is made to press release by Paragon Offshore 22 March. As part of the purchase consideration, any litigation settlement with Jindal was to be compensated in the purchase price. This is cash in Paragon's account which is settled dollar for dollar against the increased purchase price.
Significant upside potential from investing at cycle trough
Share price performance for drillers from cycle trough to next peak1
Investing at the trough in historical cycles has generated significant returns
Source: DNB Markets, Bloomberg, FactSet
Footer Footer Note (1): Cycle periods based on drilling peers price index trough and to next peak: 1980s – 1986 to 1990, 1990s – 1992 to 1997, 2000s – 2002 to 2008
50% of the fleet is more than 30 years
Rigs over 30 years will be scrapped – Rigs over 15 years excluded from tenders
Delivered Newbuilds
Source: Borr Drilling
We have spent the last 15 months building the leading jack-up drilling company
Footer Footer NC = Non-core NCS = Non-core, sold for scrap NCW = Non-core, rigs with contract / LOI received Description: Note (1): Excluding non-core semi-sub (MSS1)
Best assets acquired at rock-bottom prices
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
Footer Footer Note (1): Jack-ups delivered ex yard in 2001 or later; listed owners only; Seadrill excl. Chinese newbuilds and non-consolidated entities
Don't fix rigs too early
Rates recover quickly when the market turns
Activity is recovering Anecdotes from the last cycle
GSF Constellation I (now Atla, 400 ft from 2003):
- 3-year contract with BP in April, signed early 2004 @ USD 75k
- In 12-15 months, rates more than doubled
- Rig extended for 2 years with BP in 2007 @ USD 220k
~USD 80m lost on contracting too early
Tonala (375 ft from 2004) of Perforadora:
- 3.5-year contract with PEMEX signed early 2004 @ USD 54k
- Market rates moved to USD 100k in 1 year and high 100s in 2 years
- Rig re-contracted to PEMEX late 2006 @ USD 185k
~USD 115m lost on contracting too early
"The jackup tender pipeline is exploding…" Comments from SEB research report February 2018
When a major oil co comes to the market for 3 rigs for start up end-2019, that tells you everything
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
Limited premium jack-up capacity left
Increase in jack-up rig count in past cycles
Currently only 37 premium jack-ups available from international operators, of which Borr Drilling controls 16
Source: Borr Drilling, DNB Markets
Jack-ups are good business
Key assumptions - 24 premium jack-ups in operation EV / EBITDA3& FCFE yield
| Dayrate scenario | Current market day rate |
Avg. cash break-even for peers |
Avg. historical 10yrs |
Avg. historical 5yrs |
Last 10 year peak |
21 | 20.5 | EV/EBITDA (x) | FCFE yield (Pct.) | 80% | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical day rates | USD/d | 70,000 | 98,000 | 145,000 | 150,000 | 250,000 | 8.5 | ||||||
| 8 | 65% | ||||||||||||
| Earnings utilisation | Pct. | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % | 7 | 60% | |||||
| Opex & G&A1 | " | 49,000 | 49,000 | 49,000 | 49,000 | 49,000 | 6 | ||||||
| Number of rigs | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 5 | 4.3 | 40% | |||||
| 4 | 29% | 4.1 | |||||||||||
| P&L | 3 | 31% | |||||||||||
| Revenue | USDm | 601 | 841 | 1,245 | 1,288 | 2,146 | 2.0 | 20% | |||||
| Opex | " | -403 | -403 | -403 | -403 | -403 | 2 | ||||||
| G&A | " | -26 | -26 | -26 | -26 | -26 | 1 | 13% | |||||
| EBITDA | " | 172 | 412 | 816 | 858 | 1,717 | 4% | ||||||
| Interest2 | " | -58 | -58 | -58 | -58 | -58 | 0 | Current market | Avg. cash | Avg. historical | Avg. historical | Last 10 | 0% |
| Tax1 | " | -24 | -34 | -50 | -52 | -86 | break-even for peers |
10yrs | 5yrs | year peak | |||
| Free cash flow | " | 90 | 321 | 708 | 749 | 1,574 | 70,000 | 98,000 | 145,000 | 150,000 | 250,000 |
Source: DNB Markets
Footer Footer Note (1): Illustrative - Assuming opex and G&A 25-30% below peers, using mid-range; 4% tax on revenue Note (2): Assumed total debt of USD 1.0bn at LIBOR (3m avg) + 350bps with no amortization Note (3): Estimated fully invested enterprise value of USD 3.5bn, and share price of USD 4.60 per share
Paragon Offshore – strong operational track record
Prospector 1 Prospector 5
Content Content
+ 30 x non-core rigs (29 standard jack-ups, 1 semi-sub) and strong North-sea presence
Borr Drilling to secure cost efficiency gains in Paragon Offshore
Approved bidder for Saudi Aramco1
Footer Footer Source; DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata, Paragon Offshore Note (1): Secured while in Chapter 11
Paragon Offshore – attractive price
Paragon Offshore transaction
Experienced and aligned board
Board and main sponsors have ~USD630m invested, owning ~29%
The Borr lifecycle
Source: Borr Drilling, Bjørn Giaever & Fredrik Halvorsen
Why invest in Borr Drilling
1990s
Cycle trough Next peak
+1,541%
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata, Bloomberg, FactSet
13%
Avg. cash breakeven for peers
4%
4
2
0
Footer Footer Note (1): Cycle periods based on drilling peers price index trough and to next peak: 1980s – 1986 to 1990, 1990s – 1992 to 1997, 2000s – 2002 to 2008 Note (2): See slide 10 for assumptions
Avg. historical 10yrs
Current market Last 10
31%
Avg. historical 5yrs
2.0
year peak
0%
20%
+595%
2000s
Borr Drilling fleet status report
Fleet status report
| Premium jack-ups | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
| Name | Country | Oil Company | Delivered | Design | Water depth | Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Atla | UAE | 2003 | F&G JU-2000 | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Balder | Cameroon | 2004 | F&G JU-2000 | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Idun | Singapore | 2013 | KFELS Super B | 350 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Ran2 | Netherlands | 2013 | KFELS Super A | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Galar | Singapore | 2017 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Saga | Singapore | 2018 | KFELS Super B | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Gerd | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Gersemi | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Available - Warm stacked |
|||||||||
| Prospector 5 | UK | 2014 | F&G JU-2000 | 400 | LOI received for 2H 2018/Q1 2019 | |||||||||
| Prospector 1 | NL/UK | ONE | 2013 | F&G JU-2000 | 400 | |||||||||
| Odin | Thailand | BBC to Transocean | 2013 | KFELS Super B | 350 | |||||||||
| Grid | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | ||||||||||
| Skald | Singapore | 2018 | KFELS Super B | 400 | ||||||||||
| Norve | Gabon | BW Energy Dussafu | 2011 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | |||||||||
| Gunnlod | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | ||||||||||
| Groa | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | ||||||||||
| Gyme | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | ||||||||||
| Mist | Thailand | BBC to Transocean | 2013 | KFELS Super B | 350 | |||||||||
| Natt | Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | ||||||||||
| Frigg | Nigeria | Total | 2013 | KFELS Super A | 400 | |||||||||
| Njord | Singapore | 2019 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | ||||||||||
| Tivar | Singapore | 2019 | KFELS Super B | 400 | ||||||||||
| Vale | Singapore | 2020 | KFELS Super B | 400 | ||||||||||
| Var | Singapore | 2020 | KFELS Super B | 400 |
Non core, rigs with contract / LOI received
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Country | Oil Company | Delivered | Design | Water depth | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| MSS1 (semi) | UK | Taqa | 1979 | Off. Comp SCP M2 | 1,500 | ||||||||||||
| C20051 | DK | Perenco | 1982 | CFEM T-2005C | 360 | ||||||||||||
| B391 | UK | Spirit Energy | 1981 | BMC Europe Class | 390 | ||||||||||||
| HZ1 | DK | Private | 1981 | NAM Nedlloyd-C | 250 | LOI received for Q4 2018/Q1 2019 | |||||||||||
| B152 | UAE | ADOC | 1982 | BMC 150 | 150 | ||||||||||||
| Dhabi II | UAE | ADOC | 1980 | BMC 150 | 150 | ||||||||||||
| L1112 | India | ONGC | 1981 | Levingston 111-C | 300 | ||||||||||||
| Commitment | Option | At yard/under construction |