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Borr Drilling — Investor Presentation 2017
Oct 6, 2017
6241_iss_2017-10-06_a2af0f85-9f5e-49c7-8fbe-180b5ec0b870.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Content Content World's leading premium jack-up player in the making 6 October 2017 - Acquiring nine premium jack-up newbuilds from PPL
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Important information and disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by representatives of Borr Drilling Limited (the "Company") and is general background information about the Company's activities current as at the date of this presentation. Information in this presentation, including forecast financial information, should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or other financial products or instruments and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transactions, currency risk.
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The deal
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Acquiring nine premium1 jack-ups at USD139.5m per rig
Proven design2 & drilling packages
Uniform fleet of premium jack-ups
Scalable crew training and logistics
Optimise inventories and supply chain
Premium drilling packages from strategic partner3
Three rigs are Mexico compliant
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
1: "Premium jack-ups" defined as rigs built after 2000, earlier built rigs defined as "standard jack-ups"
2: 11 premium jack-ups delivered from yard
3: Seven out of nine rigs have drilling packages from Cameron (a Schlumberger company); all nine rigs have BOPs from Cameron
Yard transaction terms
| Numbers in USDm construction Equity capital to be raised 650 - implying avg. cost per rig of USD139.5m Take-out financing secured 753 - formal closing procedures Total capital raised 1,403 payment of USD502m to PPL - Cash payment to PPL 502 Cash available for newbuilds 901 - - USD753m available under the facility Newbuild commitments 2017e –2020e 753 |
Sources and uses | Signed master agreement with PPL |
|---|---|---|
| Signed a master agreement with PPL for the acquisition of nine premium jack-up rigs, six of which have been completed and three which are under |
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| Total consideration for the transaction is expected to be USD1,256m, | ||
| The transaction is subject to equity financing and the satisfaction of | ||
| Upon closing of the transaction Borr has agreed to make an up-front | ||
| The remaining amounts are payable upon delivery of each individual rig | ||
| Borr has secured take-out financing for all remaining payments to the yard The financing is non-amortising with 5-year tenor at attractive terms1 |
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| Staggered delivery schedule, with delivery of the first of the nine rigs in Q4 2017, and the last of the nine rigs expected to be delivered in Q1 2019 |
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| Working capital/excess cash 148 |
Favourable forward delivery with rigs delivered as market picks up
1: The lender is entitled to 25% of the increase in the market value of the relevant PPL rig from mid-October 2017 until the repayment date less the cost of equity and financing with respect to the rig. No fee is expected to be paid to seller unless the rig value exceeds USD190m after 5 years.
Building a world leading drilling contractor
1: Excl. four standard jack-up rigs from the Transocean transaction
The company
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A bombed out industry
Source: DNB Markets, Bloomberg 1: Peer group includes large US listed drillers: ATW, DO, ESV, NE, RDC, RIG, SDRL; net debt is adjusted for market value
You need to drill to get oil
Disproportionate number of rigs needed to grow production1 Activity needs to increase fourfold to meet demand
Content Content Active jack-up rig count by country (top 20) Country 2010 2014 Today Saudi Arabia 22 46 43 India 26 31 33 United Arab Emirates 14 24 31 China 30 29 29 Mexico 26 45 27 Iran 15 27 17 United Kingdom 11 17 15 Egypt 17 14 13 Qatar 17 14 11 Norway 7 9 8 Thailand 4 11 7 United States 38 31 9 Vietnam 12 18 10 Ukraine 2 5 5 Malaysia 8 14 10 Denmark 4 5 4 Turkmenistan 3 3 4 Netherlands 8 7 4 Trinidad and Tobago 2 3 3 Venezuela 3 2 3 0 1,000 3,000 4,000 2,000 2014 Kbbl/d 2010 2017 2,922 3,520 3,761 +29% 500 1,500 0 1,000 2,000 2010 2014 Kbbl/d 2017 1,408 1,480 1,701 +21% 2,195 2,125 1,834 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2014 2017 Kbbl/d 2010 -16% 3.2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Billion barrels of liquid resources Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates Mexico
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata, Clarksons Platou Securities AS, Rystad Energy
1: Liquids only
Footer Footer 2: Forecasted offshore production requires that "call on offshore" is met
If history repeats itself, more newbuildings will be needed
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata, Fearnley Securities
1: Reputable yards, having successfully delivered jack-ups for western contractors that have worked in the international market
Utilisation has historically recovered quickly from the bottom
Offshore driller utilisation versus E&P spending growth
E&P spending expected to grow 9% annually into 2019
Source: SEB
Activity already recovering sharply
Outstanding jack-up rig-years, pre-tender and tenders
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
Best assets acquired at rock-bottom prices
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata 1: Jack-ups built after 2000; listed owners only; Seadrill excl. Chinese newbuilds and non-consolidated entities
Best balance sheet – lowest cost
Source: DNB Markets, Bloomberg
1: NIBD based on Q2 2017 net interest bearing debt plus present value of remaining capex; Borr is post yard transaction and subsequent capital raise
Footer Footer 2: Avg. per day jack-up operating cost for peers are DNB Markets' estimate for working jack-ups based on reported P&L segment data including G&A cost, and assumptions include among others USD 7k/day for stacked/idle jack-ups for peers
Proven track record – strong industrial partner
Sponsor and key partner ownership of ~USD530m1
1: Expected post yard transaction and subsequent capital raise
Jack-ups are good business
Key assumptions - 22 premium jack-ups in operation EV / EBITDA3& FCFE yield
| Current market day |
Avg. cash break-even |
Avg. historical |
Avg. historical |
Last 10 year | EV/EBITDA (x) | FCFE yield (Pct.) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayrate scenario | rate | for peers | 10yrs | 5yrs | peak | 19 | 18.4 | 76% | 80% | ||||
| Historical day rates | USD/d | 70,000 | 102,000 | 145,000 | 150,000 | 250,000 | 7 | 7.1 | |||||
| Earnings utilisation | Pct. | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % | |||||||
| 6 | 60% | ||||||||||||
| Opex & G&A1 | " | 49,000 | 49,000 | 49,000 | 49,000 | 49,000 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||||||||
| Number of rigs | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 3.9 | |||||||
| 4 | 34% | 3.7 | 40% | ||||||||||
| P&L | |||||||||||||
| Revenue | USDm | 551 | 803 | 1,141 | 1,180 | 1,967 | 3 | 36% | |||||
| Opex | " | -369 | -369 | -369 | -369 | -369 | 17% | ||||||
| G&A | " | -24 | -24 | -24 | -24 | -24 | 2 | 1.8 | 20% | ||||
| EBITDA | " | 157 | 409 | 748 | 787 | 1,574 | |||||||
| Interest2 | " | -49 | -49 | -49 | -49 | -49 | 1 | 5% | |||||
| Tax2 | " | -22 | -32 | -46 | -47 | -79 | |||||||
| Amortization2 | " | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | Current market | Avg. cash | Avg. historical | Avg. historical | Last 10 | 0% |
| Free cash flow | " | 86 | 328 | 653 | 691 | 1,446 | break-even | 10yrs | 5yrs | year peak |
Generating positive cash flow already at current depressed dayrates Cash-burn from the PPL transaction assuming no rigs working: USD48m per year4
Source: DNB Markets
1: Illustrative - Assuming opex and G&A 25-30% below peers, using mid-range
Footer Footer 2: Assumed total debt of USD 1.0bn at LIBOR+350bps with no amortization; tax assumed at 4% of revenue
3: Estimated fully invested enterprise value post transaction of USD 2.9bn
4: Assuming stacking cost for nine PPL rigs of USD 3,500 per rig per day, and additional debt of USD 753m at LIBOR+350bps with no amortization
Significant upside potential from investing at cycle trough
Change in price for drillers from cycle trough to next peak1
Significant upside in current pricing to avg. cycle price increase
Source: DNB Markets, Bloomberg, FactSet
Footer Footer 1: Cycles periods based on drilling peers price index trough and to next peak: 1980s – 1986 to 1990, 1990s –1992 to 1997, 2000s – 2002 to 2008
Appendix
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Why Borr prefers premium jack-ups ahead of floaters
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata, Wood Mackenzie
Footer Footer 1: Cost of supply: 75% break-even price confidence interval for each category; break-even price as defined by the E&P companies as the oil price needed to make 10 % IRR 2: Avg. monthly increase in number of contracted rigs from where the jack-up cycle bottomed out
Premium jack-ups are a better investment than standard jack-ups
55 85 0 75 95 65 Avg. total utilisation (Pct.) 5 years 6 months Current 71% 79% 55% 2 years 73% 66% 51% From YE2000 3 years 91% 51% 86% 69% 61% 78% Standard Premium
Premium jack-ups have higher utilisation
| Rig | Baug | USDk/d | Premium jack-ups | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Design | KFELS Mod V | 80 | 70 | |
| Build | 1991 | |||
| Current Status | Cold Stacked, UK | 60 | ||
| Est. reactivation assumptions | 40 | 46 | ||
| G&A Costs | USDm | 8.2 |
| Est. total project cost |
" | 40.2 |
|---|---|---|
| Drilling equipment & BOP | " | 14.3 |
| Hull & machinery | " | 12.0 |
| Audits (ready to drill remedials) | " | 0.7 |
| Accommodation | " | 5.1 |
Estimated cost of ~USD40m to reactivate an old rig Premium rigs have cash flow advantage over standard rigs1
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
Footer Footer 1: Assuming standard jack-ups have 35% discount on dayrate to premium jack-ups; premium jack-ups - dayrate USD 70k/d, opex USD 46k/day, capex USD 5m per 5 year survey; standard jack-ups - dayrate USD 45k/d, opex USD 40k/day, capex USD 40m per 5 year survey
Pricing power increasing
Historical jack-up margin and utilisation
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
Footer Footer 1: Premium jack-ups working calculation: current contracted premium jack-ups, plus 67% (portion of jack-up fixtures done by premium jack-ups LTM) multiplied by 36 month rig count increase from trough (avg. of downturns 1987, 1999, and 2011), plus 67% multiplied by standard jack-ups working today but idle at SPS date next 36 months
Premium and modern fleet
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | Oil Company | Delivered | Design | Water depth | Name | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| UAE | 2003 | F&G JU-2000 | 400 | Atla | ||||||||||
| Cameroon | 2004 | F&G JU-2000 | 400 | Balder | ||||||||||
| Gabon | BW Energy | 2011 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Norve | |||||||||
| Nigeria | Total1 | 2013 | KFELS Super A | 400 | Frigg2 | |||||||||
| Netherlands | 2013 | KFELS Super A | 400 | Ran2 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2013 | KFELS Super B | 350 | Idun | ||||||||||
| Thailand | BBC to RIG | 2013 | KFELS Super B | 350 | Mist | |||||||||
| Thailand | BBC to RIG | 2013 | KFELS Super B | 350 | Odin | |||||||||
| Singapore | 2017 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 1 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | KFELS Super B | 400 | Saga | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 2 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 3 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 4 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 5 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | KFELS Super B | 400 | Skald | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 6 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 7 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2018 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 8 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2019 | PPL Pacific Class 400 | 400 | Rig TBN 9 | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2019 | KFELS Super B | 400 | Tivar | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2020 | KFELS Super B | 400 | Vale | ||||||||||
| Singapore | 2020 | KFELS Super B | 400 | Var | ||||||||||
| Country | Oil Company | Delivered | Design | Water depth | Name | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| UK | 1986 | F&G L-780 Mod V | 361 | Fonn2 | ||||||||||
| UK | 1991 | F&G Universe | 394 | Baug2 | ||||||||||
| UK | 1998 1999 |
F&G Universe F&G Universe |
394 394 |
Brage2 Eir2 |
Fleet composition
Source: DNB Markets, IHS Petrodata
1: Signed letter of commitment; the drilling contract is currently being negotiated
2: HD/HE capable