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BHP Group Limited — Interim / Quarterly Report 2016
Feb 23, 2016
14787_ffr_2016-02-23_dd7933a5-3572-47df-a8ba-a51bb1243237.zip
Interim / Quarterly Report
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6-K 1 d39977d6k.htm FORM 6-K Form 6-K
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER
PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
February 23, 2016
BHP BILLITON LIMITED (ABN 49 004 028 077) (Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter) BHP BILLITON PLC (REG. NO. 3196209) (Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)
| VICTORIA, AUSTRALIA | ENGLAND AND WALES |
|---|---|
| (Jurisdiction of incorporation or organisation) | (Jurisdiction of incorporation or organisation) |
| 171 COLLINS STREET, MELBOURNE, VICTORIA 3000 AUSTRALIA | NEATHOUSE PLACE, LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM |
| (Address of principal executive offices) | (Address of principal executive offices) |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F: x Form 20-F ¨ Form 40-F
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1): ¨
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7): ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934: ¨ Yes x No
If Yes is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): n/a
| BHP Billiton Limited | BHP Billiton Plc |
|---|---|
| 171 Collins Street | Neathouse Place |
| Melbourne Victoria 3000 Australia | London SW1V 1LH UK |
| GPO BOX 86 | Tel +44 20 7802 4000 |
| Melbourne Victoria 3001 Australia | Fax + 44 20 7802 4111 |
| Tel +61 1300 55 47 57 Fax +61 3 9609 3015 | bhpbilliton.com |
| bhpbilliton.com |
23 February 2016
To: Australian Securities Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
Attached are the presentation slides for a presentation that will be given by the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer shortly.
The Webcast for this presentation can be accessed at: http://edge.media-server.com/m/p/6fshu74d
| ● |
|---|
| Rachel Agnew |
| Company Secretary |
| BHP Billiton Limited ABN 49 004 028 077 | BHP Billiton Plc Registration number 3196209 |
|---|---|
| Registered in Australia | Registered in England and Wales |
| Registered Office: 171 Collins Street Melbourne Victoria 3000 | Registered Office: Neathouse Place, London SW1V 1LH United Kingdom |
The BHP Billiton Group is headquartered in Australia
Yandi bhpbilliton Financial results Half year ended 31 December 2015
Disclaimer Forward-looking statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding: trends in commodity prices and currency exchange rates; demand for commodities; plans, strategies and objectives of management; closure or divestment of certain operations or facilities (including associated costs); anticipated production or construction commencement dates; capital costs and scheduling; operating costs and shortages of materials and skilled employees; anticipated productive lives of projects, mines and facilities; provisions and contingent liabilities; tax and regulatory developments. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of terminology such as intend, aim, project, anticipate, estimate, plan, believe, expect, may, should, will, continue, annualised or similar words. These statements discuss future expectations concerning the results of operations or financial condition, or provide other forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this presentation. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. For example, future revenues from our operations, projects or mines described in this presentation will be based, in part, upon the market price of the minerals, metals or petroleum produced, which may vary significantly from current levels. These variations, if materially adverse, may affect the timing or the feasibility of the development of a particular project, the expansion of certain facilities or mines, or the continuation of existing operations. Other factors that may affect the actual construction or production commencement dates, costs or production output and anticipated lives of operations, mines or facilities include our ability to profitably produce and transport the minerals, petroleum and/or metals extracted to applicable markets; the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on the market prices of the minerals, petroleum or metals we produce; activities of government authorities in some of the countries where we are exploring or developing these projects, facilities or mines, including increases in taxes, changes in environmental and other regulations and political uncertainty; labour unrest; and other factors identified in the risk factors discussed in BHP Billitons filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) (including in Annual Reports on Form 20-F) which are available on the SECs website at www.sec.gov. Except as required by applicable regulations or by law, the Group does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. Non-IFRS financial information BHP Billiton results are reported under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) including Underlying EBIT and Underlying EBITDA which are used to measure segment performance. This release may also include certain non-IFRS measures including Adjusted effective tax rate, Free cash flow, Gearing ratio, Net debt, Net operating assets, Underlying attributable profit, Underlying basic (loss)/earnings per share, Underlying EBIT margin and Underlying EBITDA margin. These measures are used internally by management to assess the performance of our business, make decisions on the allocation of our resources and assess operational management. Non-IFRS measures have not been subject to audit or review and should not be considered as an indication of or alternative to an IFRS measure of profitability, financial performance or liquidity. Presentation of data Unless specified otherwise, all data is presented on a continuing operations basis to exclude the contribution from assets that were demerged with South32 and references to Underlying EBITDA margin and Underlying EBIT margin exclude third party trading activities. No offer of securities Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell BHP Billiton securities in any jurisdiction, or be treated or relied upon as a recommendation or advice by BHP Billiton. Reliance on third party information The views expressed in this presentation contain information that has been derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by BHP Billiton. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 2 bhpbilliton
bhpbilliton Financial results Half year ended 31 December 2015 Andrew Mackenzie Chief Executive Officer Escondida
Key themes Well-supplied markets compounded by global economic uncertainty prices to remain low as markets rebalance volatility to persist as Chinas economy transitions recovery will take time but continue to see longer-term upside We are resilient with robust free cash flow focused portfolio of quality assets following divestments and demerger ongoing productivity focus ensures all businesses are cash generative strong balance sheet with highest credit rating in the sector Opportunity for those with financial strength dividend payout ratio provides valuable flexibility security of tenure provides timing optionality on organic growth options depressed asset values and falling share prices provide opportunities Commodity markets have weakened significantly (H1 FY15 to H1 FY16 price change1, %) 0 (10) (20) (30) (40) (50) (60) Crude oil & condensate US natural gas Iron ore Copper Hard coking coal Thermal coal 1. BHP Billiton average realised sales prices. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 4 bhpbilliton
Samarco Samarco Minas Gerais, Brazil Reclamation work, Barra Longa Supporting fish rescue, Linhares Infrastructure reconstruction, Mariana Monitoring room, Samarco Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 5 bhpbilliton
The health and safety of our people always come first Total Recordable Injury Frequency at operated sites (excludes Samarco) (number of recordable injuries per million hours worked1) 10 8 6 4 2 0 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 H1 FY16 1. FY06 to FY15 presented on a total operations basis. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 6 bhpbilliton
bhpbilliton Financial results Half year ended 31 December 2015 Peter Beaven Chief Financial Officer Gulf of Mexico
Strong cash flow Asset quality and operating performance provide resilience net operating cash flow of US$5.3 billion Underlying EBITDA margin of 40% Balance sheet provides strong foundations net debt of US$25.9 billion strongest credit rating in the sector Minimum 50% payout ratio dividend provides flexibility minimum payout of US$0.04 per share additional amount of US$0.12 per share total interim dividend of US$0.16 per share Capital allocation hierarchy provides discipline capital and exploration expenditure down to US$7 billion in FY16 and US$5 billion in FY171 free cash flow allocated to maximise returns and value Leading margins through the cycle (Underlying EBITDA margin2, %) 60 45 30 15 0 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 H1 FY16 BHP Billiton Peer group range 1. BHP Billiton share; excludes capitalised deferred stripping and non-controlling interests; includes BHP Billiton proportionate share of equity accounted investments. 2. Underlying EBITDA margins exclude exceptional items and third party trading. BHP Billiton data for FY06 to FY14 presented on a total operations basis. Peer group comprises Anglo American and Rio Tinto from FY06 to H1 FY16 and Vale from FY06 to FY15. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 8 bhpbilliton
Falling prices weighed on EBIT Underlying EBIT variance (US$ billion) 10.0 5.0 0.0 Uncontrollable (-US$7.0 billion) Controllable (US$0.0 billion) 8.3 (7.8) 1.0 (0.2) 1.3 (0.0) (0.2) 0.2 0.2 0.0 (0.2) 1.3 +0.6 Productivity volumes Controllable cash costs -0.6 Escondida grade impact H1 FY15 Price¹ Exchange Inflation Sub-total Growth Productivity Controllable Fuel & Non-cash³ Other 4 H1 FY16 volumes volumes² cash costs² energy 1. Net of price-linked costs. 2. Includes Escondida grade impact on productivity volumes variance (US$342 million) and controllable cash costs variance (US$299 million) . Excludes capitalised exploration variance (US$152 million). 3. Non-cash includes depreciation, deferred stripping and impairment. 4. Other includes ceased and sold operations, asset sales, one-off items and other items (including profit/loss from equity accounted investments). Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 9 bhpbilliton
Financial impact of Samarco dam failure Total after tax charge of US$858 million recognised by BHP Billiton US$655 million share of loss relating to the Samarco dam failure US$525 million impairment of the carrying value of the investment in Samarco US$8 million of costs incurred directly by BHP Billiton in relation to the Samarco dam failure offset by a tax benefit of US$330 million (write-off of deferred tax liabilities) BHP Billiton investment in Samarco written down to nil at 31 December 2015 Samarco continues to assess environmental and socio-economic rehabilitation and legal contingencies magnitude and timing subject to a very high degree of uncertainty Equity accounted investment in Samarco Half year ended 31 December 2015 US$ million At the beginning of the reporting period 1,044 Share of operating profit prior to the Samarco dam failure 136 Share of loss relating to the Samarco dam failure (655) Impairment of the carrying value of the investment in Samarco (525) (Loss)/profit from equity accounted investments and related (1,044) impairments Investment - Dividends received - At the end of the reporting period - Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 10 Bhpbilliton
Tier 1 assets and operational excellence provide resilience Sustainable free cash flow optimised portfolio of well-capitalised, low-cost, long-life assets following divestments and demerger operational excellence and ongoing productivity gains rising capital efficiency from high-return latent capacity Free cash flow provides valuable optionality in the current environment US$1.2 billion of free cash flow over the last six months free cash flow positive in FY16 at current prices1 Our portfolio of high-quality assets (H1 FY16 Underlying EBITDA margin, %) 80 60 40 20 0 Iron ore Energy coal Metallurgical coal Petroleum Copper Note: Bubble size represents copper equivalent production (H1 FY16)2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Cost curve position3 (quartile) supports our competitive position EBITDA margin (FY15) Note: Bubble size represents market capitalisation (19 February 2016) Reinvestment ratio (FY15 capital expenditure to EBITDA) BHP Billiton Mining peers Oil and gas peers 1. At February 2016 spot prices. 2. Copper equivalent production based on FY15 realised prices. 3. Weighted average equity share of production on a quality-adjusted operating cost basis in CY15 versus contestable demand in the markets in which our assets operate. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 11 Bhpbilliton
Value in a strong balance sheet Our balance sheet is strong long-dated maturity profile with low refinancing risk highest credit rating in the sector net debt broadly unchanged over the last 12 months liquidity of US$11 billion in cash plus US$6 billion in revolving credit facility Balance sheet strength is a priority insulates operations from volatility supports consistent investment through the cycle provides valuable optionality Long-dated maturity profile1 (debt maturity profile, US$ billion2) 8 6 4 2 0 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28 Post FY28 Consistently highest credit rating in the sector (credit rating, Standard & Poors) A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 H1 FY16 BHP Billiton3 Peer group range4 1. All debt balances are represented in notional US$ values and based on financial years. As at 31 December 2015. 2. Subsidiary, associates and joint venture entities debt is presented in accordance with IFRS 10 and IFRS 11. Includes hybrid bonds (18% of portfolio: 9% in US$, 6% in Euro, 3% in Sterling). 3. BHP Billitons S&P credit rating changed on 1 February 2016. 4. Peer group comprises Anglo American, Rio Tinto and Vale. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 12 Bhpbilliton
Bhpbilliton Financial results Half year ended 31 December 2015 Andrew Mackenzie Chief Executive Officer Mt Arthur Coal
Sector-leading capital management track record Our capital management policies have been well suited to macroeconomic conditions since the merger average annual volume growth of >6% average ROIC of 22%, highest in the sector returned ~US$77 billion in dividends and buy-backs maintained sectors highest credit rating however these policies are less suited to the market conditions that we expect over coming years We continue to adapt rapidly to the changing environment significantly reduced capital expenditure early mover on reset of operational costs optimised portfolio through divestments and demerger hybrids provide additional funding flexibility new dividend policy Volume growth (FY02 to FY15 CAGR, %) 10 5 0 BHP Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Billiton Return on invested capital (FY02 to FY15 average, %) 24 12 0 BHP Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Billiton Cash returns to shareholders (cumulative, US$ billion) 80 60 40 20 0 FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11FY12FY13FY14FY15 H1 FY16 BHP Billiton dividend BHP Billiton buy-backs Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 14 Bhpbilliton
Markets are undergoing significant changes Rate, magnitude and correlation of decline in commodity prices has surprised signs of faster transition from industry to services in China loss-making capacity continues to operate industry has reduced costs more quickly than expected OPEC supply strategy We expect continued episodes of price volatility in the short to medium term Prices will take some time to recover but we continue to see longer-term upside, particularly in copper and oil 1.2 billion additional people by 2030 1.1 billion more people living in cities by 2030 1.8 billion people will gain access to power by 2030 >500 million additional passenger vehicles by 2030 Proportion of industry supply loss-making at current prices1 (%) 45 30 15 0 Copper Energy coal Iron ore Metallurgical coal Additional supply required to meet demand in 20252,3 (relative to current global demand, %) 50 25 0 Crude Copper Metallurgical coal Iron ore Energy coal Committed projects4 Supply opportunity Source: Macquarie Research, Wood Mackenzie, United Nations, BHP Billiton analysis. 1. Cash cost basis. 2. Seaborne demand for energy coal, metallurgical coal and iron ore. 3. Includes additional supply required to offset depletion and natural field decline. 4. Includes highly probable projects. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 15 bhpbilliton
A more flexible dividend policy Minimum dividend of 50% of Underlying attributable profit minimum 50% payout of US$0.04 per share additional amount of US$0.12 per share this period reflects Boards upwards discretion A flexible policy for a volatile world more closely linked to cyclical performance of the business in-line with historical returns via dividends and buy-backs no reduction in intent to pay meaningful dividends part of broader, coordinated strategy to enhance optionality Our new dividend policy is aligned with our historical cash returns (cumulative, US$ billion) 80 60 40 20 0 FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11FY12FY13FY14FY15 H1 FY16 Progressive dividend Buy-backs 50% payout ratio Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 16 bhpbilliton
Financial discipline to optimise returns and value We continue to generate material cash flow provides capital allocation optionality We will strictly adhere to a disciplined capital allocation hierarchy maintenance capital supports safety and operational excellence balance sheet provides protection at all points of the cycle new dividend policy adds flexibility debt reduction, buy-backs, additional dividends, growth and acquisitions to compete for excess free cash flow Excess free cash flow will be allocated to maximise returns and value with a focus on ROC1 to focus on investment accountability NPV2 per share to ensure investment competes with share buy-backs Operating productivity Capital productivity Maximise cash flow Maintenance capital Strong balance sheet New dividend policy Excess free cash flow Debt reduction Additional dividends Buy-backs Organic growth Acquisitions Maximise returns and value 1. Underlying return on capital represents net profit after tax, excluding exceptional items, discontinued operations and net finance costs (after tax), divided by average capital employed. Capital employed is net assets before net debt. 2. Net present value represents the estimated future cash flows expected to arise from the continued use of assets, including any expansion prospects and eventual disposal, discounted at an appropriate rate. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 17 bhpbilliton
Competition for free cash flow Near-term competitive opportunities major projects in execution in Copper and Petroleum capital-efficient latent capacity Onshore US focused on near-term cash preservation and long-term value maximisation Eagle Ford rig count down to 3 from a peak of 32 High-quality pipeline of medium to longer term projects average returns >20%1 value of >US$40 billion2 security of tenure provides timing optionality Continuing to invest in exploration Falling asset values, development costs and share prices provide opportunity Disciplined capital expenditure focused on efficiency and flexibility3 (US$ billion) 15 10 5 0 FY14 FY15 FY16e FY17e Actual Forecast Well positioned in the current environment (enterprise value, %) 100 75 50 25 0 BHP Billiton Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Net debt Market capitalisation Minority interest Source: Bloomberg data at 31 January 2016. 1. Ungeared, post-tax, nominal return; valuation date 1 July 2015. 2. Growth portfolio under our long-term price forecasts. 3. Presented on a continuing operations basis. Represents the share of capital and exploration expenditure attributable to BHP Billiton on a cash basis. Includes BHP Billiton proportionate share of equity accounted investments; excludes capitalised deferred stripping and non-controlling interests. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 18 bhpbilliton
More to come from productivity Embedded annualised productivity gains of >US$10 billion since FY12 reduced average unit costs by >40% since the beginning of our productivity journey Further US$472 million secured in H1 FY16 excluding Escondida grade impact of US$641 million Expect to deliver US$2.1 billion of productivity gains in FY16 excluding Escondida grade impact of US$1.5 billion significant potential for additional gains despite slowing rate We expect to continue reducing our operating costs more deeply than our peers Our new organisational structure is the next step to further delayer, streamline and simplify assets freed to focus on safety, volume and cost enabled by globally integrated functional activities global centres of excellence for projects and maintenance will be established Unit costs continue to fall rapidly1 (US$ per copper equivalent tonne) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 H1 FY16 Simplified organisation structure2 Executive Leadership Team Minerals Petroleum Australia Americas Globally Integrated Functions / Marketing Operated assets Non-operated assets 1. Presented on a total operations basis. Unit costs are calculated using Group copper equivalent production based on FY13 average realised prices. 2. Samarco and Jansen currently report into Dean Dalla Valle, Chief Commercial Officer. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 19 bhpbilliton
Key themes Well-supplied markets compounded by global economic uncertainty prices to remain low as markets rebalance volatility to persist as Chinas economy transitions recovery will take time but continue to see longer-term upside We are resilient with robust free cash flow focused portfolio of quality assets following divestments and demerger ongoing productivity focus ensures all businesses are cash generative strong balance sheet with highest credit rating in the sector Opportunity for those with financial strength dividend payout ratio provides valuable flexibility security of tenure provides timing optionality on organic growth options depressed asset values and falling share prices provide opportunities Tier 1 Assets Operational Excellence Financial Flexibility Disciplined Capital Hierarchy Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 20 bhpbilliton
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bhpbilliton Appendix
A simpler and more productive organisation Operated Minerals Australia Western Australia IO Queensland Coal NSW Energy Coal Olympic Dam Non-operated Non-core Nickel West Minerals Americas Escondida Pampa Norte Jansen (CCO portfolio) Antamina Cerrejon Samarco (CCO portfolio) New Mexico Coal Petroleum Onshore US Shenzi Angostura Pyrenees Macedon Atlantis Mad Dog Bass Strait North West Shelf Smaller assets Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 23 bhpbilliton
Petroleum Production decreased by 5% to 124.7 MMboe due to deferred development activity in Onshore US and natural field decline in Conventional The decline in non-cash costs reflects the non-recurrence of Onshore US non-exceptional impairment charges in the prior period Other items include Onshore US rig termination charges of US$65 million (H1 FY15: US$13 million) Underlying EBIT variance (US$ billion) 3.0 1.5 0.0 (1.5) 2.2 (2.8) (0.5) (0.1) 0.2 0.1 0.1 (0.2) H1 FY15¹ Price² Sub-total Growth volumes Controllable cash costs Non-cash Other³ H1 FY16¹ 1. Excludes closed mines. 2. Net of price-linked costs. 3. Other includes: exchange rates; inflation; asset sales; ceased and sold operations; other items. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 24 bhpbilliton
Crude oil Short-term drivers Crude oil prices under pressure OPEC decision to maintain production levels resilient non-OPEC supply large, growing inventories Market expected to rebalance in CY17 demand growth outpaces supply growth Long-term outlook Long-term demand for oil remains positive supported by increased transport and industrial activity in developing countries Existing fields are declining at 3 to 4 MMbbl/d per annum Higher prices will be required to induce the new supply needed to meet growing demand and offset natural field decline OECD commercial inventory of crude oil and other liquids (billion bbl) 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.5 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 5 year range 5 year average 2015 Crude oil and other liquids supply and demand (MMbbl/d) 110 95 80 65 50 CY15 CY16e CY17e CY18e CY19e CY20e CY21e CY22e CY23e CY24e CY25e FID projects¹ Onstream Demand Source: EIA, BHP Billiton analysis. 1. Projects for which the final investment decision has been made. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 25 bhpbilliton
US natural gas Short-term drivers Weaker winter demand combined with ongoing supply overhang contributing to high inventory levels Market expected to rebalance in CY16 demand grows on commencement of LNG exports and higher North American domestic consumption production declines due to the impact of lower prices1 Long-term outlook Strong demand outlook growth in exports rising gas power generation increasing industrial consumption Continued investment in new supply sources will be required to replace natural field decline abundant lower-cost supply will moderate price inflation North American gas supply and demand (bcf/d) (annual, %) 2 1 0 (1) CY14 CY15 CY16e 6 3 0 (3) Supply-demand balance Supply growth (RHS) North America gas demand (bcf/d) 120 80 40 0 CY15 CY17e CY19e CY21e CY23e CY25e LNG exports Power Other non-power Source: BHP Billiton analysis. 1. Assumes flat rig count. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 26 bhpbilliton
Copper Escondida grade decline unfavourably impacted productivity volumes by US$342 million and controllable cash costs by US$299 million Escondida EBIT also impacted by inventory movements and write-downs of US$448 million partial drawdown of historical low-grade inventory to maximise utilisation of concentrator capacity post OGP1 commissioning the Escondida 3.0 productivity program supported a 12 per cent reduction in net cash costs1 despite record material mined Underlying EBIT variance (US$ billion) 2.4 1.2 0.0 2.0 (1.4) 0.3 (0.1) 0.8 (0.0) (0.0) (0.6) 0.1 (0.2) 0.1 H1 FY15 Price² Exchange Inflation Sub-total Productivity volumes Controllable cash costs³ Escondida grade impact Non-cash Other4 H1 FY16 1. Movement in underlying net cash costs excludes inventory movements and write-downs of US$448 million. 2. Net of price-linked costs. 3. Includes drawdown of higher-cost inventory built up in prior periods and write-downs, predominantly at Escondida, of US$578 million. 4. Other includes: fuel and energy; asset sales; other items (including profit from equity accounted investments). Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 27 bhpbilliton
Copper Short-term drivers Prices fell as demand growth in China underperformed against expectations while supply from new projects continued to enter the market, compounded by a strengthening US dollar and falling mining costs In CY16, focus will again be on Chinese copper demand growth, as well as potential production cuts in the face of new projects and expansions Long-term outlook Demand will continue to grow as China transitions to a consumer-driven economy, and as emerging markets develop Forecast near-term oversupply from surge in investment between CY11 to CY14 expected to transition to a structural deficit at the end of the decade, requiring new supply to be brought on line Supply is increasingly challenged, with future production expected to require significant infrastructure investment Surge in capital investment following high prices (US$ billion) (US$/lb) 30 4.5 20 3.0 10 1.5 0 0.0 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 Capital investment¹ Copper price (RHS) Deficit expected to emerge at the end of the decade (copper, Mt) 30 25 20 15 10 CY15 CY16e CY17e CY18e CY19e CY20e CY21e CY22e CY23e CY24e CY25e Base case supply Highly probable supply Primary demand Source: Wood Mackenzie. 1. Estimated primary mining industry capital spend. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 28 bhpbilliton
Iron Ore WAIO production increased by 6% to a record 131 Mt1 underpinned by Jimblebar operating at full capacity and improved plant utilisation at Newman WAIO unit cash costs declined 25% to US$15.21 per tonne with full year guidance remaining unchanged at US$15 per tonne2 Underlying EBIT variance (US$ billion) 5.0 2.5 0.0 4.2 (2.8) 0.3 (0.0) 1.6 0.2 0.1 (0.0) 1.9 H1 FY15 Price³ Exchange Inflation Sub-total Productivity volumes Controllable cash costs Other 4 H1 FY16 1. 100% basis. 2. Unit cash costs exclude freight and royalties. FY16 guidance based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.72. 3. Net of price-linked costs. 4. Other includes: fuel and energy; depreciation, deferred stripping and impairment; asset sales; other items.Other items includes net profit from the equity accounted investment in Samarco, but does not include any financial impacts following the Samarco dam failure which has been treated as an exceptional item. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 29 bhpbilliton
Iron ore Short-term drivers Chinas steel demand becoming more variable as the country transitions to the next phase of development Iron ore prices likely to remain low on currently weak demand from China and rising seaborne supply The marginal cost of supply continues to decline Long-term outlook The cost curve will continue to flatten in the medium term as low-cost supply exceeds demand growth Iron ore contestable demand will peak in line with Chinas steel production and increased scrap availability Steel intensity per capita (kg crude steel per capita, per annum) 1,000 750 500 250 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 (GDP per capita, 000s US$ 2010 PPP) USA 1933-2014 Japan 1920-2014 Germany 1947-2014 China 1980-2014 FOB unit cost comparison1 (US$/wmt) 30 20 10 0 H2 FY13 H1 FY14 H2 FY14 H1 FY15 H2 FY15 BHP Billiton Peer average Source: World Steel Association, Company results, BHP Billiton analysis. 1. Weighted average unit cost of major peers, excluding royalties. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 30 bhpbilliton
Coal Queensland Coal unit cash costs1 declined by 17%, as the operations benefited from a stronger US dollar, lower diesel prices and a further reduction in labour and contractor costs unit costs for FY16 now expected to be US$59 per tonne2, as favourable currency movements offset removal of Crinum volumes One-off items represent royalty and taxation matters of US$118 million Underlying EBIT variance (US$ billion) 0.7 0.0 (0.7) 0.1 (0.6) 0.3 (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 0.1 (0.1) (0.1) (0.3) H1 FY15 Price3 Exchange Inflation Sub-total Productivity volumes Controllable cash costs Non-cash Other 4 H1 FY16 1. Excludes freight and royalties. 2. Based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.72. 3. Net of price-linked costs. 4. Other includes: fuel and energy; asset sales; ceased and sold operations; other items (including loss from equity accounted investments). Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 31 bhpbilliton
Metallurgical coal Short-term drivers Supply is being curtailed, however further production cuts are required to offset weakening demand China continues to import high-quality coals, but competition with domestic supply remains strong Australian exports are gaining market share in Europe as US supply looks increasingly unsustainable Long-term outlook High-cost US and Chinese supply will continue to exit the market Seaborne coal will remain competitive in China due to coastal market access and coal quality requirements Growth in India and other emerging economies will support metallurgical coal demand in the long term Seaborne metallurgical coal supply growth (Mtpa, year-on-year change) 30 15 0 (15) CY13 CY14 CY15 Australia Canada United States Seaborne metallurgical coal demand (Mt) CY10 CY15 CY20e CY25e CY30e CY35e Hard coking coal Weak coking coal PCI Source: Global Trade Atlas from IHS, BHP Billiton analysis. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 32 bhpbilliton
Other items affecting profitability Other items (US$ billion) Underlying EBIT Underlying attributable profit1 Exceptional items1 0.0 (2.0) (4.0) (6.0) (0.2) (0.1) (0.2) (0.2) (0.1) (0.1) (0.4) (0.9) (4.9) Redundancies and closure: across all businesses Inventory write- downs: across all minerals businesses Royalty and taxation matters Redundancies and closure: across all businesses Inventory write- downs: across all minerals businesses Royalty and taxation matters Global taxation matters Samarco dam failure Impairment of Onshore US 1. Post tax consequences. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 33 bhpbilliton
Debt maturity profile Debt balances1 (US$ billion2) 8 6 4 2 0 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28 Post FY28 US$ Bonds3 Euro Bonds3 Sterling Bonds3 A$ Bonds C$ Bonds Subsidiaries % of portfolio 45% 32% 10% 5% 2% 6% Capital Markets 94% Asset Financing 6% 1. All debt balances are represented in notional US$ values and based on financial years. As at 31 December 2015. 2. Subsidiary debt is presented in accordance with IFRS 10 and IFRS 11. 3. Includes hybrid bonds (18% of portfolio: 9% in US$, 6% in Euro, 3% in Sterling). Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 34 bhpbilliton
BHP Billiton guidance Group FY16e FY17e Capital and exploration expenditure (US$bn) 7.0 5.0 Cash basis; BHP Billiton share; excludes capitalised deferred stripping and non-controlling interests; includes BHP Billiton Including: proportionate share of equity accounted investments. Maintenance 2.0 Exploration 0.7 0.7 A US$600m Petroleum exploration program is planned for FY16, largely focused on acreage access and seismic data acquisition. Petroleum FY16e Total petroleum production (MMboe) 237 Strong performance by our Conventional business is expected to offset lower volumes following a further reduction in Onshore US activity, a third party gas plant outage in the Permian and the successful divestment of our gas business in Pakistan. Onshore US Capital expenditure (US$bn) 1.3 Approximately US$200m relates to a reduction in capital creditors. Drilling activity will be focused on our liquids-rich Black Hawk and Permian acreage with our dry-gas development program in Haynesville and Fayetteville deferred for longer-term value. Production (MMboe) 109 Black Hawk drilling cost per well (US$m) 2.3 Depreciation Depreciation and amortisation charges are expected to decline by approximately US$450m in H2 FY16. Conventional Petroleum Capital expenditure (US$bn) 1.4 Focused on high-return infill drilling opportunities in the Gulf of Mexico and life extension projects at Bass Strait and North West Shelf. Production (MMboe) 128 Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 35 bhpbilliton
BHP Billiton guidance (continued) Copper FY16e Total copper production (Mt) 1.5 Guidance for Escondida remains unchanged at approximately 0.94 Mt. Pampa Norte production is now expected to be ahead of the prior year. Olympic Dam production is now expected to exceed 0.20 Mt. Guidance for Antamina remains unchanged at approximately 0.14 Mt. Escondida Production (Mt, 100% basis) 0.94 OGP1 and operational improvements offset by 27% decline in grade. Unit cash costs (US$/lb, grade adjusted) 0.87 Anticipate strong recovery of concentrate production and reduction in the average unit cost of cathode production due to sulphide leach productivity initiatives in H2 FY16. Excludes freight and treatment and refining charges; based on an exchange rate of USD/CLP 702. Iron Ore FY16e Total iron ore production (Mt) 237 Revised from 247 Mt due to the suspension of operations at Samarco. Western Australia Iron Ore Production (Mt, 100% basis) 270 Guidance remains unchanged. However, following unfavourable weather conditions in January we will continue to monitor progress against guidance and will provide an update in the March 2016 operational review if required. Unit cash costs (US$/t) 15 Excludes freight and royalties; based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.72. Sustaining capital expenditure (US$/t) 4 FY16eFY20e average. Includes costs associated with construction of a new primary crusher and additional conveying capacity currently underway at Jimblebar. Reduced from US$5/t following continued improvements in capital productivity. Coal FY16e Total metallurgical coal production (Mt) 40 Total energy coal production (Mt) 37 Production is now expected to be 37 Mt following completion of the sale of the San Juan Mine to Westmoreland Coal Company on 31 January 2016. Queensland Coal Production (Mt) 40 Unit cash costs (US$/t) 59 Excludes freight and royalties; based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.72. Sustaining capital expenditure (US$/t) 6 FY16eFY20e average. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 36 bhpbilliton
Key net profit sensitivities Approximate impact1 on FY16 net profit after tax of changes of: US$ million US$1/t on iron ore price2 147 US$1/bbl on oil price3 60 US¢10/MMbtu on US gas price 24 US$1/t on metallurgical coal price 23 US¢1/lb on copper price2 23 US$1/t on energy coal price2 10 US¢1/lb on nickel price 1 AUD (US¢1/A$) operations4 70 1. Assumes total volume exposed to price; determined on the basis of BHP Billitons existing portfolio. 2. Excludes impact of equity accounted investments. 3. Excludes impact of change in input costs across the Group. 4. Based on average exchange rate for the period. Interim results 23 February 2016 Slide 37 bhpbilliton
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
| By: | BHP Billiton Limited and BHP Billiton Plc — /s/ Rachel Agnew |
|---|---|
| Name: | Rachel Agnew |
| Title: | Company Secretary |