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Berger Paints India Ltd — Call Transcript 2025
May 19, 2025
61410_rns_2025-05-19_68b04dd0-40e0-46b8-b101-f1aaa8ee1e0b.pdf
Call Transcript
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“Berger Paints India Limited Q4 FY25 Results Conference Call”
May 14, 2025
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MANAGEMENT: MR. ABHIJIT ROY – MANAGING DIRECTOR AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER – BERGER PAINTS INDIA LIMITED MR. KAUSHIK GHOSH – CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER – BERGER PAINTS INDIA LIMITED
MR. SUJYOTI MUKHERJEE – VICE PRESIDENT FINANCE AND ACCOUNTS – BERGER PAINTS INDIA LIMITED
MR SAYANTAN SARKAR- GENERAL MANAGER-FINANCE & ACCOUNTS
MODERATOR: MR. NITIN GUPTA – EMKAY GLOBAL FINANCIAL SERVICES
Nitin Gupta: Hi, good evening, everyone. This is Nitin Gupta from Emkay,
Global.
Nitin Gupta: I would like to welcome Berger Paints India Limited for Q4
FY 25 Results Conference call.
Nitin Gupta: I thank Berger Paints management for allowing us to host.
Nitin Gupta: We have with us today Mr. Abhijit Roy, Managing Director,
and CEO, Mr. Kaushik Ghosh, CFO.
Nitin Gupta: Mr. Sujyoti Mukherjee, Vice President, Finance and Accounts.
Nitin Gupta: and Mr Sayantan Sarkar GM. Finance and accounts. I shall now
hand over the call to the management for the opening remarks Post, which
we will proceed with Q. And A session over to you. Abhijit.
Abhijit Roy: Thank you, Nitin, and good evening to all of you.
Abhijit Roy: Let me begin with the presentation quickly, and and then we
can go to the question and answer.
Abhijit Roy: quarter 4 highlights
Abhijit Roy: we finished. Reasonably strong, you know, in quarter 4
powered by growth in volume value and
Abhijit Roy: as well improved market share volume grew by 7.4%
Abhijit Roy: revenue from operations increased by 4.4%.
Abhijit Roy: We gained market share, and we estimate that it will be in
excess of 20%
Abhijit Roy: reflecting resilient, competitive positioning.
Abhijit Roy: This in spite of, you know, the increased competition. And
even if we take guerilla opus into account
Abhijit Roy: we have gained market share this year.
Abhijit Roy: Operating profit rose by 19.8% and operating margin improved
sequentially as well.
Abhijit Roy: If we look at the decorative segment. It delivered high
single digit volume growth
Abhijit Roy: with sequential improvement in value, supported by an
improved product. Mix
Abhijit Roy: and marginal impact of price, increase
Abhijit Roy: construction, chemicals and waterproofing continue to
outperform, maintaining strong traction across key markets.
Abhijit Roy: protective coating, sustained positive momentum throughout
the quarter, reflecting consistent demand
Abhijit Roy: automotive coatings, registered stable growth, driven by
favorable demand conditions and industry. Tailwinds.
Abhijit Roy: general industrial and powder growth was muted.
Abhijit Roy: As I mentioned. You know, we have been consistently gaining
market share
Abhijit Roy: in financial year 22, we are at 18.9. It improved to 19.3,
then to 19.5, and this year we have seen the highest increase going up to
20.3%.
Abhijit Roy: These market share estimates are based on results declared
by listed major paint companies and an estimated result of exo and indigo
Abhijit Roy: these are the listed companies which are there in the space
Abhijit Roy: computation pertains to Berger paints India operations.
Abhijit Roy: If you look at the gross margin trend.
Abhijit Roy: If you know, we have been more or less in a 39 to 40% level.
Abhijit Roy: And in this particular quarter we had, you know, the
highest, in fact.
Abhijit Roy: in terms of quarter figure is 41.2%.
Abhijit Roy: This cross margin improvement was sustained on the basis of
little bit of mix improvement.
Abhijit Roy: some price increase which we took earlier quarter
Abhijit Roy: and raw material price drop, which is the bigger portion of
it.
Abhijit Roy: does not move.
Abhijit Roy: Okay in operating profit margin. There was a robust
operating profit growth of 19.8%.
Abhijit Roy: Again, supported by gross margin expansion which we saw just
now
Abhijit Roy: led by favorable raw material trends and improved product.
Mix and marginal increase in prices
Abhijit Roy: and also along with it, reduction in overheads through
effective cost control initiatives
Abhijit Roy: in terms of operating profit margin. Again, we have always
indicated that
Abhijit Roy: we would be in that band of 15 to 17%. We have consistently
been performing in that level.
Abhijit Roy: and we have been on the higher side of that 15 to 17% band.
In spite of
Abhijit Roy: intense competition in the marketplace, we have managed to
improve operating profit ratio from 16.2% in last quarter to 16.6% this
quarter.
Abhijit Roy: If you look at the figures, you know total income from
operations. Growth was 4.4%
Abhijit Roy: operating profit growth. Pbi T growth, 19.8%
Abhijit Roy: Pvt growth, 29.2% bat growth, 30.5%
Abhijit Roy: in terms of the whole year. Performance stand alone.
Abhijit Roy: We had a high single digit volume growth value growth was
muted despite volume momentum impacted by full year. Impact of
Abhijit Roy: financial 24 price reductions
Abhijit Roy: to the extent of about 4% which we knew, which was there,
which got over in November, December.
Abhijit Roy: Software consumer demand and traction in construction,
chemical space
Abhijit Roy: protecting coating segment delivered strong double digit
volume.
Abhijit Roy: and a very strong value growth as well.
Abhijit Roy: Automotive segment remained stable with healthy operating
margins across the industrial portfolio.
Abhijit Roy: Gross margins sustained despite the full year impact of
price corrections in financial year 24
Abhijit Roy: operating profit margins maintained at the higher end of the
guided band, resilient to pricing accents, raw material fluctuations in
monomers specifically, and currency volatility.
Abhijit Roy: 0 gross debt with further strengthening of the net cash
position.
Abhijit Roy: Financially, a standalone 25
Abhijit Roy: for the whole year, performance, 1.7% growth operating
profit just above last year at around 0 point 1%
Abhijit Roy: and pat at 6.2% growth level
Abhijit Roy: in terms of quarter 4 performance for the decorative
business, we delivered high single digit volume growth, despite muted
consumer demand and heightened competition
Abhijit Roy: value. Growth was supported by a richer product. Mix and
marginal pricing gains.
Abhijit Roy: We sustained momentum in the exterior, emulsion, portfolio.
Abhijit Roy: construction, chemicals and waterproofing delivered another
stellar quarter with roof coating products, outperforming
Abhijit Roy: wood coatings, business recorded robust growth
Abhijit Roy: retail footprint expanded to 1,000 plus stores as of
financial year 2425,
Abhijit Roy: with over 550 stores added during the year.
Abhijit Roy: Tinting machine installations exceeded 8,000 units.
Abhijit Roy: with 2,500 plus machines deployed in quarter 4 alone
Abhijit Roy: we had launched some very innovative products as well.
Abhijit Roy: and this is will be becoming very relevant in the summer
season. A series of products on the cool category
Abhijit Roy: roof, coolant seal, which is for the roof
Abhijit Roy: a product called Tank pool. A very interesting product
Abhijit Roy: and then weather quote, anti dust cooled.
Abhijit Roy: The tank pool is a product which we have just introduced a
month back.
Abhijit Roy: you know. Typically in summer heat, the tanks overhead tanks
become very heated.
Abhijit Roy: and you know, when you try to take a bath, it is hot water
which is coming right through the day.
Abhijit Roy: So we have created one product called the Tank Pool. It has
3 components in it.
Abhijit Roy: One is a grip primer which can adhere to any surface,
plastic metal, or concrete.
Abhijit Roy: On top of it is a heat reflecting coat, which can be
applied, which is white in color.
Abhijit Roy: and then on top of it, our R. And D has devised one nano
clear coat, which enables the surface to remain clean and dust free.
Abhijit Roy: This is to increase the efficacy of the heat, reflecting
power of that coating that we have applied.
Abhijit Roy: So a combination of all these 3 is packed in a
Abhijit Roy: carton and sold as one tank pool unit.
Abhijit Roy: So this is doing very well in the hot atmosphere that we
have today, the temperature shooting up to 45 50 degree.
Abhijit Roy: You know, lot of people want this type of a product.
Abhijit Roy: And and this is another innovation from our side. We have
looked at unmet customer needs at all points of time, and I've tried to
give those products
Abhijit Roy: the same holds true for roof, cool and seal as well, which
has been growing at a frenetic pace across the country.
Abhijit Roy: and we are doing quite well in this particular category as
well. So combination of these 3, the cool series should do well in the
summer months.
Abhijit Roy: Also we have been introducing a large number of stores, as I
said.
Abhijit Roy: and these stores are coming up in both urban and also in
upcountry areas as well.
Abhijit Roy: and it has its own advantages, and we believe that the urban
experiment that we had initiated a few months back is taking shape and
taking shape. Very well, I think.
Abhijit Roy: and we should see more of these stores coming up in the
urban markets, protective coatings posted steady performance.
Abhijit Roy: aided by improvement in infrastructure spent with strong
operating margins.
Abhijit Roy: Automotive segment registered strong value, and both volume
and value performance led by traction in 2 Wheeler segment demand. It
also registered very good operating margin.
Abhijit Roy: General industrial and powder
Abhijit Roy: quoting sales was muted, you know, and so we expect that
that also which should improve going forward
Abhijit Roy: in terms of the consolidated results.
Abhijit Roy: Bolex delivered strong top line and profitability with
constant currency growth, so, as you can see, quarter 4 Consolidated is
higher than Standalone, you know, both in sales and operating profit
growth
Abhijit Roy: driven by bolex and Bj. And Nepal. Essentially
Abhijit Roy: Bullix delivered strong top line and profitability, growth
with constant currency growth.
Abhijit Roy: Bj. And Nepal demonstrated strong recovery across revenue
and profitability, rebounding from previous weaker quarters.
Abhijit Roy: Stp. Recorded, muted revenue growth with improved operating
performance, aided by gross margin expansion.
Abhijit Roy: Bnpa. Sustained robust revenue and profitability growth
supported by new customer acquisitions and strong demand in the
automotive sector
Abhijit Roy: Berger Becker closed strong revenue growth, aided by a muted
base.
Abhijit Roy: If you look at, you know Bnp and Bergerbeka, these figures
are not added to the Consolidated sales. Only the profit share is added
to our Kitty.
Abhijit Roy: because here we have minority stake of 49%
Abhijit Roy: in terms of consolidated results. Therefore, for quarter 4,
it is a fairly decent result.
Abhijit Roy: Total income from operations 7.3% operating profit growth,
21.9% pat growth, 18.1%
Abhijit Roy: for the year. It is 3.1% of income from operations growth
Abhijit Roy: operating profit growth flattish at minus 0 point 3 and pad
growth at 1.1%.
Abhijit Roy: We have been driving consistent growth. If you look at both
total income from operations and Pbdit, which is the
Abhijit Roy: operating income in terms of profit both.
Abhijit Roy: If you take 2 year, 3 year, 4 year, 5 year. Any ratio you
take it, is very consistent.
Abhijit Roy: For 2, 3, 4, and 5 years the operating profit
Abhijit Roy: growth has been in that bracket of 11.7 to 11.8%. No matter
what type of competition happens, what happens overall in terms of
Slowdown. Or you know of the economy we have been consistently growing at
that 11.7 11.8% in terms of operating profit
Abhijit Roy: even in sales growth. It has been. If you look at the 3 4
year 5 year performance, it's 9.6 14.1 12.6 only in 2 year case. It is
showing us 4.5, and that's largely attribute attributable to the price
decrease of about 5% which happened.
Abhijit Roy: Had that not happened, it would have been at that 9, 9 and a
half percent, in spite of the increased competition that is going on in
the marketplace so
Abhijit Roy: overall fairly consistent growth in terms of sales and
operating profit.
Abhijit Roy: Net cash position has been improving steadily.
Abhijit Roy: We had run into a debt situation after the starting of the
Sandeela factory, with a minus 444 crores.
Abhijit Roy: subsequently improved to cash positive at 3, 31, and
further, has improved to 688 crores in terms of net cash.
Abhijit Roy: So we are quite comfortable now, and, as I have indicated,
we will need no borrowing even for the further expansions of factories
going forward.
Abhijit Roy: Business outlook for financial year 26.
Abhijit Roy: The decorative segment is poised for an improved performance
underpinned by a rebound in urban demand.
Abhijit Roy: driven by higher disposable incomes from recent tax
incentives and easing inflation.
Abhijit Roy: Rural growth is likely likewise expected to sustain,
supported by forecast of an above average monsoon.
Abhijit Roy: The waning impact of price decreases compared to Financial
year 25 is expected
Abhijit Roy: to narrow the volume value gap and therefore boost value
growth compared to what was happening in the previous 2 years.
Abhijit Roy: Protective coating business is expected to improve with
increased government. Capex spending likely
Abhijit Roy: spillover effects from recent geopolitical events on India's
border
Abhijit Roy: trade tensions, currency volatilities remain a concern.
Abhijit Roy: that's all that I had to share with you for the quarter 4
and the annual results.
Abhijit Roy: It's up to you now to ask questions. Thank you.
Nitin Gupta: Thanks, Abhijit, so we will now start with Q. And a session.
Nitin Gupta: I hand over the call to my colleague Bhavik to moderate the
Q. And a session over to you. Bhavik.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Those of you who have the questions can raise your
hands. Now we'll announce your name and unmute your line will highlight
your full name and the organization you represent.
Bhavik Shanklesha: we'll wait for a second.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The 1st 1st question is from the line of Mihir Shah.
Please go ahead, me, please. Highlight your organization. Name
Bhavik Shanklesha: also.
Mihir Shah: Hi! Good evening this is Mihir from Nomura. Thank you for
taking my question. So congrats on a great set of numbers.
Mihir Shah: So, firstly, on the volume growth. You know your volume
growth has been higher versus other listed players since past few
quarters. What would you attribute this differential or increase in
differential growth to is it coming from new geographies that you've
entered in the recent years with the retail footprint expansion, or is it
from your core markets
Mihir Shah: are seeing better growth versus the core markets of the other
leisure players are seeing a little lower growth and a subpart subpart of
the question is, do you see volumes coming back to double digit growth in
fi 26.
Abhijit Roy: Right, you know. Good evening. So thank you for that.
Question. You know. This volume growth is coming on account of, you know,
2, 3 factors
Abhijit Roy: one, of course, is the core category is doing okayish.
Abhijit Roy: I won't say that it's growing very fast, you know, as is the
case. As you know, the economy is not growing all that great.
Abhijit Roy: at least the consumption part of the economy. So we are, you
know, also in the same boat. However, we have got our own growth
opportunities there both in terms of some of the product categories. And
also, you know, some of the areas and geographies where we are focused on
so like the urban areas are doing relatively better for us
Abhijit Roy: compared to others. Possibly, you know, we are also doing
well in some of the product categories which I mentioned, you know,
including construction, chemical and waterproofing wood coatings as well
Abhijit Roy: so overall as a combination of this
Abhijit Roy: factors. All of this put together our volume growth has
been, as you have seen, you know, better than the industry average
definitely far higher than that.
Abhijit Roy: Whether you know we will reach double digit or not, time
will say it is difficult to commit on that, but we aspire to move in that
direction. We are already at about, you know, 7 and a half to 8%. So
going towards double digit is not that difficult? If you know the
conduct, you know. Conditions don't deteriorate we should be able to go
in that direction.
Mihir Shah: Got it. So thank you. So my second question is on the
subsidiaries. There's a sharp improvement in the subsidiary performances
past 2 quarters except for I think, stp, it seems that you know, you're
seeing strong growth across all subs just wanted to understand what is
driving this sharp growth? Is the growth rate similar across subs? Or is
it more a function of turnaround of Nepal that had seen a decline
earlier?
Mihir Shah: And what is the level of growth that one should expect for
fi. 26 for the subs overall?
Abhijit Roy: Right, you know. So I think you know, there are 2 things
which have happened, you know, majorly, you know. One is, of course, the
Polish division, which has been doing relatively better. That's largely
because of, you know, this energy conservation in which it is, you know,
basically placed, and that's the main category of product in which it
operates.
Abhijit Roy: That has gained traction quite a lot, you know, with the
energy prices going up after the Russia, Ukraine war.
Abhijit Roy: and and hence you know, both in Poland and in Uk, where we
have a subsidiary, and even now in France, we are doing quite well in
that category. So that's 1 part of the story which I think will carry on
this year as well. The other part is the Nepal, as you rightly mentioned.
You know it had a disastrous run, you know, and a low base last year.
Abhijit Roy: So it's continuing to grow, and it will continue to do that,
you know, right up to the 3rd quarter of this year.
Abhijit Roy: where the growth rates will be quite substantial, because
the bases are muted.
Abhijit Roy: There is a 3rd thing which is there, which is, it is a small
operation. Now, what we are doing quite well, which is the auto refinish
category
Abhijit Roy: where we have a joint venture with rock points of Japan,
which is growing quite rapidly as far as that particular category is
concerned.
Mihir Shah: Got it, sir. Understood? So one more question on employee
cost in fi 26. If I recall you had, you know, increased feet on the
street, and that was driving higher employee cost. And they were growing
at about 15 plus percent growth rate, quarter after quarter. Should we
think that the employee cost.
Mihir Shah: or in the number of employees or feet in the street, is now
constant, and and growth will normalize, or the employee cost growth will
normalize back to like a 10 plus percent levels. Or do you foresee
continuation of addition
Mihir Shah: of freedom? One should expect employee cost to grow again at
15 plus percent rate.
Abhijit Roy: No, I think you know it. It will not come to 9, 10%. It will
still be elevated little bit, because we are adding manpower and feet on
street will be, you know, necessary. Given the current context of
intensification, of competition that's even more necessary at this stage.
Abhijit Roy: so it will be at around the 1213% probably around the 13%
level rather than the 15% level that you have been seeing. It's small
correction will happen, but it won't go down to the 10% level.
Mihir Shah: Got it. I have a few more, but I'll come back in the queue,
sir. Thank you very much.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah. Anyway. Thanks.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Thank you. The next question is from the line of
Aniruddha Joshi.
Aniruddha Joshi: Hello.
Aniruddha Joshi: Hello, yeah, thanks. Thanks. So thanks for the
opportunity. And congrats for a really great set of numbers so in terms
of market share. If you can share more color in terms of, because we have
seen
Aniruddha Joshi: is getting good amount of exit market share, at least so
whether the trend is similar for us means, in a way like the 20% market
share that you have indicated in Fy. 25. Is it the same way, let's say,
in March quarter, or even exit market share also, that is question number
one. Secondly, is the market share gain across the regions, because in
urban markets we have increased the
Aniruddha Joshi: feet on street, and you know we are doing more efforts.
So is there a higher market share and market share gain. And what is what
would be the current market share in urban markets? At this stage. And
lastly, the 3rd question in terms of
Aniruddha Joshi: the guidance with correction in crude oil price. And in
a way with where do you see the ebitda margin in a way pending in fy 26.
And also, there is possibility of price cuts with such steep correction
in crude. So
Aniruddha Joshi: do you see? revenue growth means in a way, where do you
see the revenue growth number? High single digit, or low level, low
double digit types.
Aniruddha Joshi: Yeah, that's that's the question from my side.
Abhijit Roy: Right, and you asked many questions. Let me answer one by
one, you know. 1st one is on market share the market share figures that I
shared with you, you know, is primarily with the listed players
Abhijit Roy: that does not include, you know, Birla's share in in it.
Abhijit Roy: However, if we do include, and we have, you know, a good
assumption of what the sales figure is, because they are not themselves
giving the sales figures. So it's difficult but we have a fairly strong
assumption of the figure which is there. Based on that we have still
gained market share. Even if we add Virila into the, you know, market
share calculation.
Abhijit Roy: It is true that you know their exit share has moved up
further, you know. For the year it was much lesser. But for the for for
the quarter 4 it has moved up a little bit. But that, doesn't, you know,
impact us in any significant way in terms of gain or loss of market share
Abhijit Roy: from our side we have continued to gain, as I said.
Abhijit Roy: If you look at the listed place we have definitely gained,
and those figures are available, and you can calculate. And you can
understand, you know that that there is this gain is has been achieved
Abhijit Roy: as far as the unlisted players are concerned. It's a
conjecture, you know, but, as I said, we have strong estimates of it, and
we believe that you know, even with that, you know, we have still gained
markets. Yet, so, to answer your 1st question.
Abhijit Roy: The second question is related to whether there is a price
decrease? You asked. You know, possibility. I don't see that happening
Abhijit Roy: because there are a lot of. It's not only the crude oil
which determines the fate of the paint prices, there is rutile, the
prices of which are likely to move up because there's an anti-dumping
duty which has been applied by the government
Abhijit Roy: and that's going to increase the prices of Rotile, and will
have an impact on, therefore, the raw material cost. So therefore, you
know, I don't see the possibility of
Abhijit Roy: a drop in prices happening in the near future at all.
Abhijit Roy: So this is, as far as the second question is concerned. Is
there any you asked one more question I can't recall now.
Aniruddha Joshi: So in terms of margins, and, secondly, the market share
gains in urban markets versus.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah, rural man.
Abhijit Roy: So it has been. You know, proportionate gain. I think I
don't think you know we have, as I indicated to. You know someone you
know me who asked the question earlier. Certain areas. We have grown
faster and therefore, you know, it's a mixed bag, you know, sort of in
urban areas. In some of the urban areas we have done better
Abhijit Roy: in some of the product categories. We have done better. So
it has helped us to gain market share on a combination of 2 or 3 factors
sincerely.
Aniruddha Joshi: Okay. Sign lastly, the guidance in terms of where do we
see? Fy. 26. Revenue growth
Aniruddha Joshi: as well as margins?
Abhijit Roy: So margin we have always indicated. You know, the band will
be maintained at the 15 to 17%. We have been operating more towards the
17%. We.
Abhijit Roy: I think we should be able to hold on to these margins, you
know. So that's something which is definitely there.
Abhijit Roy: As far as the revenue growth is concerned, we hope to
improve from current levels
Abhijit Roy: 1st quarter will be, as we have been, improving right
through from second quarter to 3rd quarter. We moved up from 3rd to 4.th
We moved up further. We expect that, you know, in the 1st quarter we'll
move up a bit more and second quarter will be even higher, and 3rd will
be even higher than that. So by the end of the year we should be more
comfortable, you know, as far as the yearly performance is concerned,
than what we did this year.
Aniruddha Joshi: Okay, sure, sir. Very last question from my side, if you
can indicate
Aniruddha Joshi: what was the anti dumping duty on route? And is it
already in place, and is there any.
Abhijit Roy: It is already in place, though there is, you know, the
Indian Paint Association, which is a body of the all the Paint Companies
Abhijit Roy: are fighting a case in the High Court.
Abhijit Roy: We hope that we win that case, you know, but government has
already imposed, and it is already in place.
Aniruddha Joshi: Okay. And since when it was imposed on quantum, if any.
Abhijit Roy: It was imposed, I think, about a few days back, maybe 1520
days back, you know, it became implemented, you know, from, I think, and
and the impact for us
Abhijit Roy: will be in the range of about for the year. If this holds
about 15 to 20 crores.
Aniruddha Joshi: Oh, okay, okay. Got it? No, no, sir, thanks. This is
very helpful.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Thank you. The next question is from the line of
Karthik, Chalapa Karthik. Please highlight your organization. Name and go
ahead.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Yeah. Hi! Good evening, sir. This is
Karthik from Indus. Capital. Am I audible?
Abhijit Roy: Yes, you are.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Okay, great congrats on the quarter,
sir. I have 3 questions. The 1st one is on a standalone basis. If I were
to look at, let's say, your other expenses this quarter that's actually
down year on year. Now, despite the competitive intensity actually being
quite high, and you actually gaining some gross margin leverage. It's
surprising to see that the other expenses are down.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Could you give some color on? What are
the items that have experienced a decline? And how has your advertisement
and promotion expenses panned out this quarter? That's my 1st question.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah. So the primary reason for you know what you see as
other expenses going down, you know, last year, if you recall, you know,
the sandilla plane plant had been become operational. We incurred a lot
of cost there, you know, towards the 4th quarter.
Abhijit Roy: and but the series, you know, production was not there. You
know, it was operating at below normal efficiency, you know, to the
extent of about maybe 25% of the capacity.
Abhijit Roy: Now it has gone up to about 60%, 65, 70% plus. So therefore,
you know, the utility of that plant has gone up, and and therefore the
efficiency and the savings therefore arising out of it
Abhijit Roy: the second. Therefore the manufacturing cost has actually
gone down for us, you know, in in compared to last year
Abhijit Roy: the advertising and promotion we have held at last year
levels. You know, we haven't reduced or we haven't increased
substantially, either.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: So so when we say A and P levels, is it
as a percentage of revenue? Or is it absolute terms.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah. So revenue has hasn't grown so substantially similar
in nature.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Okay. Great. My second question, sir,
is, if we look at our margin performance, which has actually been quite
commendable. If I were to just look at our cash flow on a standalone
basis. Our operating cash flow is still down double digit.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: and, in fact, the second half was
probably down even more than the 1st half. And if I just scroll through
the items, I think the biggest delta is basically coming from
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: inventory. There has been almost a 300
crore delta on working capital pertaining to inventory. So is it a case
that you have done a lot more pre-buying? Given, you know, the crude oil
deflation that you saw during the quarter which actually helped the gross
margin, but in turn impacted your cash flow from operations. Is that how
I should read it.
Abhijit Roy: So, Karthi, you are right, you know we did purchase certain
items like Rutile. We knew that the anti dumping duty was coming in.
Abhijit Roy: so we purchased some extra rotile
Abhijit Roy: similarly in monomers. Also we we had got some very good
rates, you know, at the end of the quarter, and we. We purchased some
extra monomers. So we keep doing this exercise from our supply chain side
when we feel that they know the conditions are ripe, and you know where
the prices are likely to move up? We do some strategic buying. So as a
result of that, there has been a substantial increase in raw material
inventory buildup, which you will see in our case.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Excellent. My last question, sir, is on
the market share data. I'm just curious to see what assumptions have you
used for your market share calculation for Bila opus for the quarter and
the year, if you can share that, and related to that. And I think this
was asked in the last quarter as well, but just wanted to see whether
there were any incremental thoughts.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Now, Brillo opus will probably start
operationalizing their plants in the East in Fy 26, which is basically
our catchment.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: So given that there is likely to be some
initial level of aggression from their side in our catchments in the
East. Should we expect that our market share gains at least in Fy. 26
might be slower than what we saw in Fy. 25. Just given the base effect
that they are starting off on a low base.
Abhijit Roy: So then no. See below opus. Our our reading of the situation
is that they have ended the year at around, you know, 2,000 to 2,100
crores net sales basis. Right? You know, this is what they would have
probably done 1, st 2 quarters were relatively slow, and then they moved
up from the 3rd and then to the 4th quarter.
Abhijit Roy: So this is what they would have ended, and probably, you
know, incurred a similar amount of loss as well. So lot of money spent,
and, you know, purchased some amount of market share. Whether that is
sustainable or not has to be seen
Abhijit Roy: the second part of it is related to you. You asked, you
know, whether we will be able to manage this, you know, going forward as
well. Right. That was your question.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Especially when they are coming into our
catchments in the.
Abhijit Roy: Yes, so in the East, you know. So that is what you said. So
you know. Let me tell you that you know factory presence doesn't make any
difference at all. Asian pins, for example, doesn't have a single factory
in the East.
Abhijit Roy: That doesn't mean that they are not present strongly in the
East. Right? You know, it has 0 relevance
Abhijit Roy: in the paint business, you know. Yes, you need factories,
but need not be in every region of the country. If it is there, it is
good, but it doesn't give you any tangible major advantage. As far as the
market is concerned.
Abhijit Roy: The second is already present in the East. They are selling.
They bring their material from other locations, and you know there is no
dearth of supply. As far as you know, supply situation is concerned, they
are able to supply the market pretty well.
Abhijit Roy: So that's not, you know what is going to create any great
impact on the ground.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Which means our level of market share.
Gain that we are expecting is something which we can expect to sustain
even in Fy. 26. That is our base case.
Abhijit Roy: See, you know from the organized listed players we should be
able to hold and gain, you know, as we have been doing in the past point
3.4% this year was have been has been an aberration
Abhijit Roy: but you know where we gained much more. But I don't think
that will continue every year, but you know we should be able to hold and
gain a little bit from the organized players who are there in the listed
space. As far as you know. If you add up, Birla, what will happen? Only
time will say, I think you know we should be able to hold on to the
current market share levels.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Excellent. Thank you, sir. Thank you for
these detailed responses, and wish you and your team all the very best
for Fy. 26.
Abhijit Roy: Thank you. Kartik.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of amit purohit
amit, please, highlight your organization, name and go ahead.
Amit Purohit: Yeah. Hi, sir, thank you for the opportunity. I'm amit
parade from Ilara. Capital, sir. 1st on the industry growth. For Q. 4.
What is your sense of what would be the industry growth for? Q. 4.
Abhijit Roy: You have seen already the figures announced. Right? You know
industry is dominated by the leader, which is Asian paints. You know
you've seen their results.
Amit Purohit: Yeah.
Abhijit Roy: And you know you have seen Kansai also. And now you have
seen our results. These are the 3 major companies which have already
declared their results. So, industry, growth, you can estimate yourself,
you know. I think it will be negative
Abhijit Roy: overall, because you know, it swings in that direction
actually.
Abhijit Roy: or flatties. You know it. It should be about minus one minus
2. Compared to that. We have done relatively better.
Amit Purohit: Sure and is that trend has improved in the as we see. Look
at April or May. Because I mean, last year there was, there is a higher
base in terms of volumes and all. I'm just trying to understand.
Amit Purohit: q. 1 numbers.
Abhijit Roy: So May is, you know, still too early, and April has gone by.
We had a fairly decent April
Abhijit Roy: and then it's not deteriorated. It has not improved any
substantially. It's more or less on similar lines.
Amit Purohit: This you're saying for the industry, or you're saying for
yourself.
Abhijit Roy: For us, you know. I don't know about industry. I don't know
who else is doing what you know. As far as we are concerned. This is what
it is.
Amit Purohit: Sure. And, sir, on the subsidiary part, while you clearly
highlighted on the revenue side on the margin side, I just wanted to
understand. So last year. If I look at your performance we had bollocks a
couple of quarters where the performance got impacted in terms of the
operating margins
Amit Purohit: and that impacted our so I just console minus standalone.
If I do the last Fy 25 it is coming to 13.2% ebitda margin versus Fy 24
was a all time high at about 16%
Amit Purohit: ebitda margins. So now that the bolex issue, or the one off
one time. Cost may not be there. Is it a fair assumption to
Amit Purohit: assume that things should normalize to
Amit Purohit: or have a better margin outlook in the subsidiary
portfolio, because even Nepal is doing well now.
Abhijit Roy: Yes, and I think so you can. You can assume that that it
will be better than you know what we have been seeing.
Abhijit Roy: and and therefore this margins that we have demonstrated
this quarter should be holding, you know, for the next few quarters.
Amit Purohit: So yeah, so on a console basis. Then, sir. in a scenario
where you are, we are looking at a stable margins as far as India
performed, or the standalone business is concerned, and a marginal
consistent improvement in subsidiary performance over the next 2 to 3
years. So then, overall margins. Outlook seems to be an improving outlook
right for.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah, marginal improvement will be there, because the
subsidiaries, you know, contribute very little. You know, 10%
approximately.
Amit Purohit: Don't!
Abhijit Roy: Growth won't be too much, so there will be some marginal
improvement. It's an India story which is very important.
Abhijit Roy: and we are hoping that, you know, we should be able to hold
on and improve marginally on the margins here in India.
Amit Purohit: So, and sorry to repeat that, just to understand. F. 5, 26,
outlook for the subsidy business. Is it a fair to assume that we can come
back to Fy 24 levels, which was a 16% margin. Or should we say that that
was a kind of there was some one off, because I'm not able to recollect
what was Fy. 24, which I understand the problem.
Abhijit Roy: We should, you should go by current quarter margins, and it
should be very similar to that, you know, going forward.
Amit Purohit: Even the subsidiary pay.
Abhijit Roy: Even the subsidiaries. Yes.
Amit Purohit: That has a seasonality like Q. 4 is always the lowest.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah, so it has. You know, that seasonality will hold true.
So Q. 4. In Poland, for example, you know the bullock subsidiary tends to
do relatively, you know. Lower, you know, and then it bounces back later
on
Abhijit Roy: so it varies from quarter to quarter, but overall on the
yearly basis it will be on similar trend.
Amit Purohit: Sure. And, sir just on your capex guidance. What would be
the Capex for 26 and 27.
Abhijit Roy: Capex we have already indicated, you know. So in this year,
you know Capex 26 basically, we are. The Hindupur plant is coming up,
which is an expansion there for the solvent based.
Amit Purohit: That's about, you know, 200 50 odd crores.
Amit Purohit: and then we will initiate our Panagar operation.
Abhijit Roy: Which is a total cost of about 500 crores. But you know, the
initial 1st year possibly will be 1 50 odd crores. So that's all that is
there. You know of the Greenfield ventures
Abhijit Roy: rest, you know, small issues of small regular capex, which
will continue as per normal requirements. So that's not substantial.
Amit Purohit: So this is for Fy. 26, so close to about 4.
Abhijit Roy: So next year we'll be on similar lines. You know, the Hindu
pool won't be there, so the only the Panagar second part will come in
Abhijit Roy: again, you know, around 2, 5,300 close possibly will be
spent so nothing substantial. Again, in the year after.
Amit Purohit: Okay. And lastly, sir, have we changed the merger exclusive
store branding, I mean color and style versus the earlier one used to be
paint studio version.
Abhijit Roy: So we have 2 versions. One is called Paint Studio, the other
is called color and style.
Amit Purohit: Hmm.
Abhijit Roy: You know, is a bigger store, you know, with, you know, more
expensive, more not. Decor. Elements are much more. The color and style
is, you know, the moderate one. So so these are the 2 variants which are
there, but not that we have changed the name.
Amit Purohit: Okay. Okay, thank you. Thanks.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of Munmai Munmai,
please highlight your organization name and go ahead.
Mrunmayee: Hello!
Abhijit Roy: Yeah, I'm.
Mrunmayee: Yeah. Hi, hi, sir, this is congratulations on a good set of
numbers so my 1st question was that you know you indicated that you would
see sequential improvement going ahead during this year. So you do you
expect that to come in more from the volume, side, or volumes will likely
remain stable, and you know the gap between volume and value will reduce
sequentially.
Abhijit Roy: So there will be a volume improvement as well. And the value
improvement from compared to last year will be more because of the volume
Value Gap, reducing, as as you are aware, that you know, this 4 and a
half 5% gap which we were suffering from the whole of last year till the
3rd quarter end will not be there anymore.
Mrunmayee: Okay?
Mrunmayee: And, sir, so we are hearing reports that you know monsoon is
expected to be slightly earlier this year. So are you? Expecting some
kind of pressure in q. 1. Because of that.
Abhijit Roy: Well, we don't know, you know. It depends. Monsoon hits
typically around the 25th of May in Kerala, and and then progresses
upwards
Abhijit Roy: we expect that. You know the so far, whatever has been
indicated that it probably might get people on by 5 days.
Abhijit Roy: it may put a little bit of pressure in those markets where
you know it gets entry into first, st you know, like Kerala, or you know,
the coastal belt of the West coast and the east coast down in south and
west. But you know not significantly, I would say, you know, change the
scenario.
Mrunmayee: Okay, okay? And so in terms of the gross margin. So this time
around, you have mentioned that you know you have seen the benefit of
lower input cost. So is that largely factored in into this quarter, and
maybe next quarter onwards, it will not be an incremental benefit.
Abhijit Roy: Very unlikely. We probably will be holding, and, as you have
seen, for the last 8, 10 quarters we have been around the same points of
around 40% this year. This quarter was slightly ahead of that. We will
probably remain at similar levels, you know, in that range of 40 to 41%.
No major change is expected.
Mrunmayee: Okay, perfect. And, sir, lastly, on the industrial side. You
have been mentioning tepid performance in the powder and general
industrial cool things. So any specific reason why these 2 segments are
not doing as well.
Abhijit Roy: Well, you know, the industries itself are, you know, to
where they serve, you know, because this is closely linked to the
categories of, you know, industries where they, you know, supply their
material. It's the b 2 b category, as you know, and some of these
categories haven't been doing very well. As a result there is a demand
shrinkage which has happened, and hence, you know, it's not growing at
the pace at which we would love to grow.
Mrunmayee: Okay, okay, all right, sir. Thank you.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of harsh Shah.
Harsh, please highlight your organization. Name and go ahead.
Harsh Shah: Yeah. Hi, good evening. Thanks for taking my question. This
is harsh from modern mutual. 5.
Harsh Shah: Sir, just a few questions. One is that this dating machine
edition which we see this year? Right? It's
Harsh Shah: 8,000 tending machine additions, you know, were basically
compared to retail footprint edition of 1,000 stores. So I mean, I mean,
this is, it is probably the high number which we've seen in, you know,
past many years. But could you help me explain which geography? Let's
say, which areas where we've done this high tinting machine addition? I
mean any particular
Harsh Shah: geography or area. You want to call out.
Abhijit Roy: So it's it's it's spread across the entire country, you
know. And we what we do typically every year, you know, we do an exercise
whereby we identify PIN code, wise, where are the gaps which we have
Abhijit Roy: in terms of cluster sales? So we divide the country into
various clusters, you know, depending on every PIN code.
Abhijit Roy: and then look at it in okay, where is our share? What is our
fair share, you know, which we should have. And therefore how many
machines should we be adding, adding, in that market? Considering the
fact that you know average this many, you know machines, you know,
machine productivity. Is this much so, how many machines do we need to
reach our target of market share?
Abhijit Roy: So, considering that we have a target assigned to each of
our people and based on that, they go and install machines. So it's it's
a sort of areas where we don't have presence as of now. There is no point
going and blocking machines in areas where we are already present
strongly because that will only eat into your existing. You know, dealer
share and doesn't add up to the value, Kitty, actually. So that's what we
do. So it's spread across the country.
Harsh Shah: But let's say, would this be more in metro than tier one?
Then I mean it is they would.
Abhijit Roy: So metros. Actually, you don't need too many machines. It is
more in the upcountry areas where you need. You know, metro markets are
typically oriented towards big dealers.
Abhijit Roy: The big dealers contribute, you know, most of the sales. So
it's not as if by spreading the machines all over the metro you're going
to get anything out of it. There it is, a big dealer game. It is mostly
upcountry where you need more stronger distribution.
Harsh Shah: Okay. And, sir, was this a I mean one year kind of an
exercise? Or do you expect this kind of no aggressive expansion?
Harsh Shah: Continuing.
Abhijit Roy: Going to continue and get accelerated, you know. So we have
a lot more space, which are open spaces.
Abhijit Roy: as we call white spaces, and and therefore, you know, this
is going to accelerate further.
Harsh Shah: So these are the outlets where we are. The second player, I
mean.
Abhijit Roy: Not necessarily. It can be fresh outlets, or it can be
second player outlets, or maybe even 3rd pair outlets. So it depends in
on the situation.
Harsh Shah: Okay, okay, so got it. And so, secondly, you mentioned that
you know there are product categories which have done very well for us,
and and even you've called out waterproofing and construction chemicals.
But any other, you know, product categories which would want to call out,
especially in the interior exterior decorative side of things.
Abhijit Roy: You mentioned 3. Actually, you know, exterior coating,
evaluation.
Abhijit Roy: exterior emulsions, where we did very well.
Harsh Shah: Okay.
Abhijit Roy: We had I mentioned about waterproofing and construction
chemicals in which roof putting falls, you know. So that's done well.
Abhijit Roy: And wood coatings. We have grown quite well in the
decorative space. So all these 3 categories where we did fairly well.
Abhijit Roy: There was muted growth in the you know economic categories,
you know, which are
Abhijit Roy: basically the low end primers and low end emulsions.
Abhijit Roy: That's where you know. Many of the new entrants know they
have been giving absurd prices, and sometimes you know, that has impacted
the growth rate to some extent.
Harsh Shah: Okay? And what would be our share from construction?
Chemicals in waterproofing now itself of decorative revenue.
Abhijit Roy: About, you know, 10 odd percentage, you know, which carries
on growing actually every year.
Harsh Shah: Got it, sir, and let's say that if you were to dissect this
year's growth between projects, segment, and the other, I mean the retail
business. I mean, how fast would the Projects business have grown for us,
and what would be the contribution now of product business.
Abhijit Roy: Similar growth rates, you know. No, no tangible great
difference. Normally, you know, the project business
Abhijit Roy: used to grow at slightly higher pace one or 2%
Abhijit Roy: earlier. It used to up, you know, grow at about 2, 3% higher
than the normal growth rate of retail.
Abhijit Roy: But you know, last year it was more or less at similar
levels.
Harsh Shah: Got it, and what would be the saliency, sir, of product
business.
Abhijit Roy: Low at. No, I think you know for us it is, you know, around
8%. Now, you know, if I'm not mistaken.
Harsh Shah: So are we trying to take initiative to drive an increase
salience here? Given that, I mean, when we talk to the market leader we
talk about, I think between 20% kind of salience here.
Harsh Shah: So I mean, are we taking any steps to drive.
Abhijit Roy: Yes, you know. So so the urban initiatives that we have
taken, you know, primarily some amount of projects is will happen there.
Abhijit Roy: Because, urban, as you know, you know, largely driven by,
you know, projects so therefore, you know, the Projects Agency will go
up, and the growth rate in that category should move upwards. If and when
we start doing, you know tangible things there in the urban markets, we
are seeing already decent traction there happening. But these are early
days. We need to work harder, execute, better to be able to grow faster.
There.
Harsh Shah: Okay, okay? And then, lastly, in terms of new products, you
kind of spoke about a few new initiatives you've been taken. We've been
pioneers as well in the past, right in terms of launching new innovations
here. So what would be the contribution currently for us, let's say, for
products which we've launched over the last 3 years. Currently, it's a
let's say, whatever you define as Npd.
Abhijit Roy: What would be the contribution for us in Fy. 25.
Abhijit Roy: So there's a significant contribution. I we don't really
look at it in that way, you know, because we have innovated repeatedly in
the industry, and most people have copied us, you know, across these
products, you know. So whether it is easy, clean, or, you know, anti dust
or the waterproof put tea
Abhijit Roy: we came out with express painting. We came out with, you
know, roof, pull, and seal now I'm sure you know all of these added
together is a pretty substantial basket.
Abhijit Roy: but I can't give you the exact figure.
Harsh Shah: Okay, okay, sir. Got it, sir, and just one last bookkeeping
question, if I may, what would be the count of printing machine and our
retail footprint as on as of March 25.
Abhijit Roy: Printing machine numbers are somewhere around 50,000, you
know, is what we have, you know, in retail, you know. So so that's the
typical approximate number that I can tell you.
Abhijit Roy: of which we added 8,000 last year. Right? Of course.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of Pratek Gothi
Pratik. Please highlight your organization. Name and go ahead.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Pradek, please unmute, unmute your line.
Pratik Gothi: Yes. Can you hear me?
Abhijit Roy: Yes, we can.
Pratik Gothi: Yes, thank thank you for the opportunity. This is again,
relative to the comparative intensity we are seeing.
Pratik Gothi: do you? When do you see the comparative intensity coming to
a to a level of equilibrium where the market shares are redistributed,
and then then the industry can basically come out of this disruption.
Abhijit Roy: Well, you know.
Abhijit Roy: See, the competitive intensity has been there in this
industry for long years. You know. It's not as if
Abhijit Roy: it hasn't been there. It has been always strong
Abhijit Roy: today. And you know, last year there was another player who
jumped in. You know, we spent a lot of money continues to spend a lot of
money, and therefore that has, you know, created little bit of turbulence
in the overall
Abhijit Roy: dynamics of the business. So far, you know that it existed.
However, you know I I don't see this, you know, immediately going away.
Abhijit Roy: at least for this coming year. Definitely. Not.
Abhijit Roy: I think you know it will stabilize in, you know, 2 to 3
years timeframe beyond that, I don't think you know, it's going to
continue.
Pratik Gothi: Got it. Okay? And just another question, please. For a
pains business at what capacity utilization does the break even point
reach? Broadly speaking.
Abhijit Roy: It depends, you know, on the mix of the product. You know
how you are placed, you know there is no such one break even point. Every
every company has its own break, even levels.
Abhijit Roy: It depends on the spends that you are doing to acquire your,
you know, market and share. So it depends and varies from company to
company. Suppose you're not spending much, and you know you, you are
content with, you know, growing slowly, and you know you are having
incremental market share gains. But you know, overall market share
remains, you know, very muted.
Abhijit Roy: Then maybe you will break even at a much lower level, you
know, so there is no hard and fast rule as such, you know, varies from
company to company.
Pratik Gothi: Okay, understood.
Pratik Gothi: And that's all from me.
Pratik Gothi: Thank you.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Next question is from the line of Tejas Shah Tejas.
Please
Bhavik Shanklesha: highlight your organization. Name and go ahead.
Tejash Shah: Yeah, Hi, sir, this is tejas from this park.
Tejash Shah: So 1st of all, congrats on on very good performance,
considering the tough environment that you are in. What actually is is
interesting, that we just was curious to know that what is helping or
allowing us to gain market share in such a difficult environment while
the leader is losing? Are we targeting a different set of consumer cohort
where we are not present, or we are just winning on pure execution versus
the rest.
Abhijit Roy: Well, you know, primarily, I would say, you know, execution
has been steady in our case.
Abhijit Roy: There have been, you know, cases where you know that there
has been an increase in in terms of activity from competition. And
Abhijit Roy: as you said, the leader got impacted a bit more, you know,
last year.
Abhijit Roy: but I'm sure they will, you know, Bounce back, you know this
is my belief that you know they will come back to normalcy.
Abhijit Roy: we have been very consistent in our delivery.
Abhijit Roy: We haven't gone up, you know. Suddenly, we haven't gone down
suddenly. We have been consistently wetting, as I have already always
said in the paint business, you know, you can't do dramatic stuff, you
know, so it has to be slow and steady. That's what we have been doing. We
have been executing well, we have been innovating. There are some of the
innovations are doing very well, and that has been helping us to gain
market share.
Tejash Shah: Got it. And so, second question slightly, an extension of
the 1st one in today's construct of the landscape there. Where do you
see, greater opportunity to gain share in in markets where we are number
2 or 3 and the leader is, actively responding to the new competition. We
are doing better, or in markets where we are established leader, and we
are gaining from others while mending off new entrants also.
Abhijit Roy: It's a mix, you know. Actually, you know, they just, you
know, there is no hard and fast rule, you know, which is there. Typically
only areas where we aren't doing all that great is where we are
relatively weakly position. And those are very few markets which are
there
Abhijit Roy: where the where our presence may be below 10%. You know such
markets, we have an issue.
Abhijit Roy: Otherwise, I would say, last year we gained everywhere else,
you know. So so that's how it is.
Tejash Shah: Got it. That's all from my side, and all the best for fy 26.
Abhijit Roy: Thank you.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of Parsi Pantiki,
Parsi. Please go ahead.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Yeah. Am I audible?
Abhijit Roy: Yes, Percy.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Yeah, sir. Firstly, just one clarification. This
15 to 17% band is that for the stand alone or consolidated.
Abhijit Roy: Both.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Okay. Secondly, I just wanted to know this. You
mentioned that gross margins have been benefited by certain price
increases. You have taken a few months ago. So just wanted to know, has
anyone else in the industry taken because Asian paints hasn't called out
any price increases so.
Abhijit Roy: Whole industry took that price increases
Abhijit Roy: that happened in the in quarter 3 actually.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Okay.
Abhijit Roy: The entire industry took it, you know, including Asia. Yes.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: And what is the quantum?
Abhijit Roy: It is about. You know, it varies from company to company,
but should be in in the range of 1.5 to 2%.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Got it, got it. And I just wanted to know. In
response to an earlier question on competition, you mentioned that it
will continue for 2 to 3 years, and then it will stabilize. What exactly
did you mean here? Does it mean that the new entrant could continue to
gain market share for 2 to 3 years, or that is not what you meant. What
exactly did you mean?
Abhijit Roy: No, I think you know there will be skirmish in the market,
you know, and the equilibrium is disturbed for the next 2, 3 years.
Abhijit Roy: after which the dust will settle down and everyone will be
back to normalcy. This is what I am trying.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Got it. Got it. I think, if I understand
correctly what the person was asking is that how long do you think before
the market share will stabilize as in how long will the new entrant keep
gaining market share before they hit a wall?
Abhijit Roy: I think you know one year more. This is this year, because,
you know, they started late.
Abhijit Roy: So this one year will be, you know some gain in market
share. Possibly.
Abhijit Roy: and after that, you know, it will stabilize.
Percy Panthaki, IIFLCAP: Understood, that's all from me. Thank you.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of Sheila Rati.
Sheila, please highlight your organization. Name and go ahead.
Sheela Rathi: Thanks for taking my question. Sheila Raati from Morgan,
Stanley.
Sheela Rathi: so again, my question is around market share. I believe
that market share is actually the output but from your perspective, what
are the inputs you are monitoring? You know, that is helping us, you
know, gain this market share. You talked about innovations you also
talked about, you know, capacity is not a reason why anyone would gain
market share. But are there any other variables which you are tracking
extensively. That's helping us.
Abhijit Roy: Yes, you know. So we have our own which we call mega
strategy
Abhijit Roy: which is basically m for maintenance, E for experimentation,
and G and A for growth and acceleration. So
Abhijit Roy: we maintain, you know, and track each one of these
separately. So for maintenance, you know, basically, you should have all
your you know, the normal stuff. The machine installation should happen.
The contractors, you know, should be there with you
Abhijit Roy: in terms of you know, the consumers getting attracted for
express painting that should continue. So. Those are, you know, basic
stuff which has to be handled, you know, which is for true, for any paint
company they have to, you know, ensure that this happens. We also take
care of this, including our big dealers and the gold card dealers which
we call they should all be aligned with us. So that's 1 part.
Abhijit Roy: Then we do experiments, you know, every year. 1, 2. As I
said, you know urban experiment is something which we were doing and
which we feel now, you know, once it reaches, you know. So we do 3, 4
such experiments.
Abhijit Roy: and the ones which look the most prospective, whether in
terms of product, whether in terms of distribution and network, or any
other area that we think is important. Then we take those and we scale up
in a big way. And the scaling up is what we call growth and accelerate.
So there are few areas which we feel, you know can now be accelerated
very furiously.
Abhijit Roy: And those are the areas which we focus on. We add resources.
We add manpower, and we ensure that those grow fast. So this is our
strategy, in short, which we ensure that you know. Therefore we stay
ahead of the pack.
Sheela Rathi: So would you like to give any example around this
experimentation, any market which you would like to call out.
Abhijit Roy: No. So that is, that's what I said. The urban market, you
know, and and how we are doing it. Now, you know we are looking at, you
know, distribution. We are looking at product mix. We are looking at, you
know what we can do in terms of pricing. You know how we can, which are
the type of products which can sell well? Is there a product modification
that is required for the urban markets?
Abhijit Roy: You know what is the distribution, you know, Edge, which we
can bring. The regular stuff, won't, you know, help us? So so those are
the things which we keep looking at. We keep experimenting a few things
in each of these areas. And what works? We then take it forward. I
obviously cannot tell you. You know what is working, and what is
therefore, you know, because then it will get copied by everyone.
Sheela Rathi: I understand, sir. Sir. Second question is, you know you
talked about a non-code which is waterproofing, and other parts of the
business is doing well. What would be the gap between the core versus
non-core for us? From a growth perspective.
Abhijit Roy: No. So you know, waterproofing is doing better, you know
comparatively, and as you, as I said also that it is only 10%.
Abhijit Roy: So it's not as if you know it is going to have a massive
impact. But yes, you know, it does create a positive impact. The core
category, therefore, is slightly slower, and that, I think, is true, for
across the industry in the paint industry today.
Sheela Rathi: And my final question, sir, sorry for the disturbance. But
my final question is around. You know, you talked about powder coatings.
And you know, being not doing well in the b 2 b space in the project
space. So what would be the share of these part of the business in the b
2 b space for us.
Abhijit Roy: So it's negligible. Actually, you know, overall total share
of powder coating and general industries put together is, you know, 3% or
less than that.
Abhijit Roy: So it it does not really impact us significantly.
Sheela Rathi: So 97%.
Abhijit Roy: Hello! This particular year. Was not that great? Is it fair
to say?
Abhijit Roy: Pardon me.
Sheela Rathi: Hello so fair to say that 97% part of the b 2 b business
was doing okay. Just that there was a general.
Abhijit Roy: So of the b 2 b business of the b 2 b business. This may be,
you know, slightly higher, because the b 2 b business itself in our case,
if you look at it for decorative is about 80%. And the b 2 b business is
20% right? I am talking of the total 100% business. This 2 are about 3%.
Sheela Rathi: Okay.
Sheela Rathi: Understood. Understood.
Abhijit Roy: Yeah. Oh.
Sheela Rathi: And the other part of the business. You expect to come back
in F 26.
Abhijit Roy: It's a zoom call.
Sheela Rathi: The quotings in general.
Abhijit Roy: So so the protective coatings business is likely to continue
to do well. Automotive, which is again another b 2 b business is likely
to continue to do well has done well in the 4th quarter is likely to do
well. Going forward as well from the b 2 b. Space. These 2 will do well.
I hope that you know. These other 2 also turn around, and, you know,
start doing well.
Sheela Rathi: Thank you. Very much. Understood.
Bhavik Shanklesha: The next question is from the line of Kartik Chalapa
Karthik, please highlight your organization. Name and go ahead.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Yeah, thank you again for the
opportunity, sir. This is Karthik from Indes. What I wanted to know is a
clarification to the comment that you made earlier, that in your
assessment the industry growth is probably slightly negative to maybe
flat or so in your assessment or your intelligence. Are there any pockets
which have started growing in the high single digit, low double digit
range.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: and this weak growth is probably
concentrated in some pockets. Or do you think this weak growth is
basically across geographies.
Abhijit Roy: It's more or less across geographies, you know. If you look
at it, you know, it's not
Abhijit Roy: specific areas or specific, you know, urban or rural, or
whatever it's it's spread out across geographies.
Abhijit Roy: In some of the markets it is slightly better in some other
markets, it might be, you know
Abhijit Roy: slightly worse off but no major tangible difference, you
know, between 8 geographies, or between urban and rural.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Okay, got it. And just one last question
from my side, sir, I mean a question that has been asked in the past of
you as as well, which is like, you know, the overall category growth
itself being so weak, and possibly even below Gdp multiple
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: in the past, we used to contend that it
was because of the price cuts that the players have actually been taken.
Now we are close to those price cuts being anneverizing. Which means that
your value and volume growth will probably start to converge.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: But even if that were to happen, a 7%
volume growth is probably closer to a real Gdp growth multiple. Whereas
in the past we have seen that it's almost 1.5 to 2 times. What do you
think needs to happen for us to see that very strong Gdp multiplier in
volume growth that we saw in the past.
Abhijit Roy: Well, Karthik, you know it's like this that there is a
general slowdown in the consumption economy. You know. It's not only true
for paint industry per se. It is true for all Fmcg companies you would
have seen many Fmcg. Industries reporting figures, and they are not, you
know, something to cheer about. You know it has been much lower than you
know, even the paint industry. At least we are
Abhijit Roy: above Gdp. In our case, at least, you know it is above Gdp.
So it's, you know, 7 and a half to 8%. You know, when a Gdp growth is
about 6 6.2 is fairly okay. You know, it's about 1.2 times. You know that
of the Gdp. You know, if you look at the entire consumption space,
probably most of the companies would have grown at, you know, 2, 3, 4%,
the stable ones at least, you know, and not the newcomers.
Abhijit Roy: So this is how it is. You know there is a slowdown once, you
know, we expect that, you know there will be some improvement with the
disposable income going up after the tax, you know, inputs come in. We
hope that you know, the consumption demand starts looking upwards. If and
when that happens, you know, obviously we will go back to our double
digit volume growth.
Karthik Chellappa-Indus Capital: Got it. Excellent. Thank you, sir. Thank
you very much for these responses, and wish you and the team all the very
best.
Abhijit Roy: Thank you.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Okay? So as there are no further questions, we
considered that as the last question for the day.
Bhavik Shanklesha: hand over the call to management for closing remarks.
Abhijit Roy: Thank you, Nitin, thank you, all of you, for coming here.
And listening to this wonderful presentation from our side.
Abhijit Roy: and have a good time, you know, going forward. Thank you.
Bhavik Shanklesha: Thank you on behalf of Emkay. Global financial
services that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining.
Abhijit Roy: Thank you, Nitin. We'll catch up.
Nitin Gupta: Thank you, sir.
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