Earnings Release • Feb 24, 2021
Earnings Release
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Belships ASA - Report 4th quarter 2020
THE MARKET IS BACK - 2021 OUTLOOK IMPROVED
HIGHLIGHTS
* Operating income of USD 59.9 million (Q4 2019: USD 38.9m)
* BITDA of USD 11.3m (USD 8.5m)
* Net result of USD 0.9m (USD 2.1m)
* Net TCE per ship of USD 10 502 per day versus BSI index of USD 10 211 net
per day
* 33 per cent of available ship days in 2021 are booked at USD 11 716 net per
day
* Positioned to take advantage of improved market with 80 per cent open days
in Q2-Q4 2021
* BELFORT and BELORIENT sold with delivery in Q2 2021 as part of fleet
modernising with two newbuildings delivering in 2021
* Record EBITDA of USD 5.6m from management companies after rebound and
expansion
* Modern fleet of 23 vessels with an average age of 5 years
Fleet status
Time charter earnings per ship in the quarter were recorded at USD 10 502 net
per day versus BSI index of USD 10 211 net per day for the same period. Average
net TCE per ship in the last two years amounted to USD 9 992 versus BSI index of
USD 8 612 net per day for the same period, representing an outperformance of the
BSI index of 16 per cent.
Our long-term outperformance of the BSI index is due to the portfolio of period
charter coverage and outsized spot earnings earned by our subsidiary Lighthouse
Navigation. The inherent lag in our business means that when the spot markets
fall, our outperformance will tend to be higher. Conversely, when the markets
rise rapidly our performance will tend to lag on a short-term basis.
Approximately 30 per cent of available days in 2021 are booked at about USD
11 700 net per day. About 90 per cent of available days in Q1 2021 have been
booked at about USD 12 200 net per day.
BELMONT and BELOCEAN were drydocked in the quarter. The remaining fleet sailed
without significant off-hire in the quarter.
BELFORT and BELORIENT have been sold and deliveries are expected within the
second quarter of 2021. Net cash flow upon delivery will be approximately USD
1.0m after repayment of outstanding loans.
BELFAST, an Ultramax newbuilding of 64 000 dwt was delivered in January 2021
from Imabari Shipyard in Japan.
BELMAR, an Ultramax newbuilding of 64 000 dwt is expected to be delivered by the
end of Q3 2021.
Belships' fleet continues to increase and improve with only modest cash
investments, signalling the competitive advantage Belships has in sourcing ship
finance. Taking into consideration nine acquisitions and four divested vessels
the net cash effect amounts to about USD 1.5m. The Japanese-designed Ultramax
bulk carriers entering the fleet represent the highest quality and lowest fuel
consumption available in the market today.
Commercial platform
Lighthouse Navigation expanded its commercial platform in 2020 and now have
offices in Bangkok, Oslo, Singapore and Melbourne. The aim of this expansion is
to further enhance the vessels earning capability and to generate profits around
cargo trading opportunities in the market. We are already seeing the impact of
this with a record EBITDA in the quarter from the commercial platform.
Sustainability
Belships is regarded as a market leader in corporate governance and is well
placed to deliver emission cuts in line with industry ambitions for 2030. A new
carbon footprint study and review has been initiated with leading classification
society DNV with the aim to monitor performance and identify areas for
improvement. This will be included in a separate ESG report for 2020.
Covid-19 has greatly impacted seafarers, and we have signed the Neptune
declaration on Seafarer Wellbeing and Crew Change to join forces with more than
600 shipping companies to influence governments and policy makers to adopt
relief measures for our essential workers.
Financial and corporate matters
At the end of the quarter, cash and cash equivalents was USD 34.0m, while
mortgage debt was USD 141.7m. The group's mortgage debt comprises two loan
facilities, both with a margin of 275 basis points above LIBOR and maturity in
Q2 2024.
Net leasing obligation at the end of the quarter was USD 139.7m. Leasing
liabilities have been calculated under the assumption that Belships will
exercise its options to acquire all seven Ultramax bulk carriers on bareboat
charter, whereas we have assumed that the company will not exercise the purchase
options on time-chartered vessels BELNIPPON and BELFUJI. Belships has no
contractual obligation to acquire any of its leased vessels.
At the end of the quarter, book value per share amounted to NOK 5.63 (USD
0.66), corresponding to an equity ratio of 32 per cent.
Market highlights
In the fourth quarter we observed a gradual improvement in the spot rates with
the Baltic Supramax 58 index averaging USD 10 211 net per day. This is compared
to an average of USD 9 435 net per day in the third quarter evidencing a more
normalised market since the outbreak of COVID-19.
Total Supramax shipment volumes came in at 264.1 million metric tons for the
quarter, which marked a 1.8 per cent increase from Q3. Of the main commodity
groups, coal and steel products made the strongest growth, increasing by about
17 and 12 per cent respectively. Following records in Q3, iron ore and grains
declined by around 10 per cent during the last quarter of the year.
According to Fearnleys, new vessel deliveries dropped to 26 in Q4 from 28 in the
previous quarter (43 is Q2 2020), which are very low numbers. The orderbook
delivery schedule for 2021 predict deliveries will be 20 per cent lower than
2020, with 115 vessels scheduled for 2021 against 143 vessels delivered in
2020. In 2022, just 45 vessels are currently scheduled for delivery, which would
be the lowest number of deliveries since 2000. In relative terms, we are heading
towards the lowest rate of supply growth in almost 30 years.
The publicly quoted orderbook indicates fleet growth will drop towards 2 per
cent this year and in 2022 it may drop to less than 1 per cent. There will be
changes to this outlook for fleet growth as the amount of newbuilding orders
being placed over the next 12 months are uncertain and it is also normal that
10-20 per cent of the orderbook ends up being cancelled, deferred or simply
incorrect. However, we expect very few newbuilding orders as lack of conviction
for fuel and propulsion systems will restrain ordering activity in the near
term. Importantly, current prices for modern secondhand bulk carriers continue
to represent a considerable discount to newbuilding prices, therefore a
repricing of secondhand tonnage has begun.
Outlook
The Baltic exchange Supramax index YTD 2021 has averaged USD 12 350 net per day.
There has been a remarkable development over the past few weeks. Freight Forward
Agreements (FFA) currently indicate a market for Supramax and Ultramax of about
USD 14 500 and 16 000 per day for the remaining part of the year. A cold winter
season has sparked energy demand, coupled with a wider rally in commodity
markets resulting in increased cargo volumes in all regions. Usual seasonal
weakness vanished in a very short amount of time and Chinese New Year marked the
start of the year of the Ox. The Baltic index during March is currently expected
to surpass USD 19 000 per day. A market like this, during this time of year, has
not been experienced in over a decade.
As we mentioned in previous reports, the supply side has passed the peak of
deliveries and the publicly quoted orderbook for our segment now stands below 5
per cent - which is historically low.
Even with increased bunker prices the average sailing speed has increased
confirming an improved rate of vessel utilisation. We remain optimistic in terms
of market prospects, and with the worst of the pandemic likely behind us we are
seeing signs of solid demand fundamentals which could lead to a very strong dry
cargo market. At the time of writing Belships has most of the fleet open for the
remaining part of 2021 and onwards. We are actively pursuing opportunities for
further growth.
We do not intend to propose a dividend for the financial year ended 31st Dec
2020. We expect that the company's growth initiatives will lead to increased
profitability. A competitive return is to be obtained through growth in the
value of the company's shares and the payment of competitive dividends, as
measured by the total return.
Belships has a uniform and modern fleet of 23 Supramax/Ultramax bulk carriers
well positioned to capitalise on a potential recovery towards historical
averages for vessel values. We are focused on maintaining a solid balance sheet
and liquidity position. Our strategy is to continue developing Belships as an
owner and operator of geared bulk carriers, through quality of operations and
accretive growth opportunities.
24 February 2021
THE BOARD OF BELSHIPS ASA
For further information, please contact Lars Christian Skarsgård, Belships
CEO, phone +47 977 68 061 or e-mail [email protected]
This information is subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to Section
5-12 the Norwegian Securities Trading Act
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