Investor Presentation • Jun 8, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Befesa Presentation 3 rd Stifel Cross Sector Insights 8 - 10 June 2020
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information relating to Befesa and its affiliates that are based on the beliefs of its management, including assumptions, opinions and views of Befesa and its affiliates as well as information cited from third party sources. Such statements reflect the current views of Befesa and its affiliates or of such third parties with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions.
Many factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Befesa and its affiliates to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including, among others: changes in general economic, political, governmental and business conditions globally and in the countries in which Befesa and its affiliates do business; changes in interest rates; changes in inflation rates; changes in prices; changes to national and international laws and policies that support industrial waste recycling; legal challenges to regulations, subsidies and incentives that support industrial waste recycling; extensive governmental regulation in a number of different jurisdictions, including stringent environmental regulation; management of exposure to credit, interest rate, exchange rate and commodity price risks; acquisitions or investments in joint ventures with third parties; inability to obtain new sites and expand existing ones; failure to maintain safe work environments; effects of catastrophes, natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, unexpected geological or other physical conditions, or criminal or terrorist acts at one or more of our plants; insufficient insurance coverage and increases in insurance cost; loss of senior management and key personnel; unauthorized use of Befesa's intellectual property and claims of infringement by Befesa of others' intellectual property; Befesa's ability to generate cash to service its indebtedness changes in business strategy and various other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described herein as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected or targeted.
Befesa and its affiliates do not assume any guarantee that the assumptions underlying forward-looking statements are free of errors nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed herein or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. No representation (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein or otherwise resulting, directly or indirectly, from the use of this document.
This presentation is intended for information only and should not be treated as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer for sale, or as a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe to, any securities in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any commitment or contract whatsoever. This presentation may not, at any time, be reproduced, distributed or published (in whole or in part) without prior written consent of Befesa.
First quarter 2020 figures contained in this presentation have not been audited by external auditors.
This presentation includes Alternative Performance Measures (APMs), including EBITDA, EBITDA margin, EBIT, EBIT margin, net debt and capital expenditures which are not measures of liquidity or financial performance under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). EBITDA is defined as operating profit for the period (i.e. EBIT) before the impact of amortisation, depreciation, impairment and provisions. EBITDA margin is defined as EBITDA divided by revenue. EBIT is defined as Operating profit for the year. The Company uses EBIT to monitor its financial return after both operating expenses and a charge representing the cost of usage of both its property, plant and equipment and definite-life intangible assets. EBIT margin is defined as EBIT as a percentage of revenue. These non-IFRS measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to results from operating activities, cash flow from operating, investing or financing activities, or other financial measures of Befesa's results of operations or liquidity derived in accordance with IFRS. Befesa believes that the APMs included in this report are useful measures of its performance and liquidity. Other companies, including those in the industry in which Befesa operates, may calculate similarly titled financial measures differently than Befesa does. Because all companies do not calculate these financial measures in the same manner, Befesa's presentation of such financial measures may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. These APMs are not audited.
4
| Million tonnes | Q1´20 | Q1'19 | YoY change |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▪ EU-28 |
38.3 | 42.5 | -10% |
| Turkey ▪ |
9.0 | 8.2 | +10% |
| S. Korea ▪ |
16.9 | 17.8 | -5% |
| Asia ▪ |
315 | 316 | -0.3% |
| China ▪ |
234 | 232 | +1% |
(1) Source: www.worldsteel.org
(2) Total EBITDA is the sum of Steel Dust & Aluminium Salt Slags segments proforma (PF) comparable to Befesa structure in ´19/´20; Thus, it excludes divested IES, EPC and Concessions businesses
| Lower-end: €100m EBITDA | Upper-end: €135m EBITDA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU crude steel market -&- Covid-19 |
▪ After -10% in Q1; Q2 to Q4 each severely down -37% YoY; Annually down ~30% YoY (like 2009 crisis) EU-28 volume No recovery; Prolonged lockdowns ▪ |
▪ Q2 materially down YoY ▪ Lockdown easing by end Q2 and no 2nd Q3 & Q4 recovering pandemic wave ▪ causing further lockdowns in H2 |
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| Operational performance |
Overall capacity utilisation at ~80% ▪ |
Limited impact on volume ▪ Overall capacity utilisation at ~90% ▪ |
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| Metal prices | Q2 to Q4 at ~ Q1 low €1,650-€1,700/t ▪ TC at \$300/t ▪ Combined price impact (LME & TC) -39% YoY ▪ |
H2 recovering to €1,750/t to €1,850/t; ▪ TC at \$300/t ▪ Combined price impact (LME & TC) -30% YoY ▪ |
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| FY 2020 EBITDA | FY 2020 EBITDA: €100m (-€60m / -38% YoY) ▪ Remaining quarters ~reduced €22m run-rate ▪ ▪ Q2+Q3+Q4 at €66m (-44% YoY vs. €117m '19) |
FY 2020 EBITDA: €135m (-€25m / -16% YoY) ▪ Assuming Q2 lowest quarter in 2020 and ▪ run-rate recovery in H2 ▪ Q2+Q3+Q4 at €101m (-14% YoY) |
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| Capex | ▪ Reducing discretionary cost & non-vital capex ~€20m to protect core growth roadmap; ▪ Total capex of ~€70m: ~€50m growth (China); ~€20m regular maintenance; |
|||
| Pre-dividend cash flow & cash |
Approx. +/- €5m ▪ ▪ Cash position ~€120m |
Approx. +€25 to €35m ▪ ▪ Cash position ~€150m |
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| Dividend | ▪ Proposing to distribute an ordinary dividend of €15m or €0.44/share ▪ Review an additional dividend in November flow Q3 2020 YTD and the improved visibility about the impact from Covid-19 Conservatively balancing dividend stability and cash flow → |
in July (post Q3 earnings release) depending on earnings & cash |
Even at lower-end €100m EBITDA (prolonged Covid-19 lockdowns), operational continuity assured incl. funding China … Proposing €15m or €0.44/per share ordinary dividend in July –as well as– considering additional dividend in November
Continuing growth roadmap even during Covid-19; Focus 2020: Building two EAF steel dust recycling plants in China
1 Hedging
2
2020 focus – top 5 projects:
Developing two EAF steel dust recycling plants in two provinces:
Turkey: 65kt to 110kt cap. expansion completed on time & budget
Aerial view of Changzhou construction site (Jiangsu province), 19 April 2020
✓ Nanjing HQ office applied to re-open on 10 Feb, passed inspection 24 Feb and re-opened on 25 Feb
✓ Construction site at Changzhou (Jiangsu, 1st plant): re-opened 10 March → Completion expected ~begin '21
➢ Henan (2nd plant): Preparing site for construction; Estimating to complete by ~mid '21
Befesa agrees with all 17 United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and supports all of them. Based on Befesa's business model it focuses to the contribution and impact on the following five goals:
Financial calendar Meet Befesa
✓ Thursday, 20 February 2020: Preliminary Year-End Results 2019 & Analyst Call
✓ Thursday, 26 March 2020: Annual Report 2019
✓ Thursday, 30 April 2020: Q1 2020 Statement & Analyst Call
Thursday, 18 June 2020: Annual General Meeting
Friday, 31 July 2020: H1 2020 Interim Report & Analyst Call
Thursday, 29 October 2020: Q3 2020 Statement & Analyst Call
IR contact Rafael Pérez Director of Investor Relations & Strategy Phone: +49 (0) 2102 1001 340 email: [email protected]
| ✓ 04-05 February 2020 – HSBC Frankfurt, 15th ESG Conference |
|---|
| ✓ 05-06 February 2020 – Santander Madrid, XXVI Santander Iberian Conference |
| 11 March 2020 – Berenberg ✓ London, Berenberg European Opportunities Conference |
| 19 March 2020 – JP Morgan ✓ London, JPM Pan-European Small/Mid Cap Conf. (virtual) |
| 23 March 2020 – Citi ✓ Paris, Citi's Paris Symposium 2020 (virtual) |
| 12 May 2020 – Mainfirst Frankfurt, 3rd MainFirst SMID CAP One-on-One Forum (virtual) |
| 13-14 May 2020 – Commerzbank New York & Boston, Northern European Conf. 2020 (virtual) |
| 18 May 2020 – Berenberg Tarrytown (New York), Berenberg USA Conference 2020 (virtual) |
| 08-10 June 2020 – Stifel Boston, 3rd Stifel Cross Sector Insights Conference (virtual) |
| 01-03 September 2020 – Commerzbank Frankfurt, Commerzbank Corporate Conference |
| 17-18 September 2020 – Citi London, SMID/Growth Conference 2020 |
| 21-23 September 2020 – Goldman Sachs & Berenberg Munich, 9th German Corporate Conference |
| 21-25 September 2020 – Baader Munich, Baader Investment Conference 2020 |
| 11-12 November 2020 – Goldman Sachs London, Global Natural Resources Conference 2020 |
| 30 November – 03 December 2020 – Berenberg Pennyhill, London, Berenberg European Conference 2020 |
Note: Befesa's financial reports and statements are published at 7:30 am CEST
| Good operational performance & plant utilisation at ≥90%; Managing impact from Covid-19 in Q1 |
Steel dust throughput 186kt (+10% YoY); 90% utilisation ▪ Salt slags & SPL recycled 125kt (-3% YoY); 94% utilisation ▪ Limited temporary Covid-19 downtimes: One Salt Slags ▪ plant pre-cautionary quarantine (2 weeks); One 2nd Alu plant due to lower automotive demand (1 week) |
|---|---|
| Covid-19 further pressured metal prices impacting Q1 earnings YoY: - Zinc LME Q1 €1,930; -19% YoY, -28% YoY including TC at \$300/t - Alu Alloy FMB Q1 €1,433; -6% YoY EBITDA margin at 19% |
EBITDA at €34m (-22% / €-9m YoY); Metal price driven: ▪ ▼ Unfavourable metal prices: Zinc LME at €1,930/t (-19%) Zinc reference TC settling at \$300/t (vs. \$245/t in 2019) Alu alloy FMB at €1,433/t (-6%) ▼ Zinc hedges: €2,244/t in Q1'20 (vs. €2,327/t in Q1'19) Partially offset by: ▲ EAF dust throughput up; Turkey operating ▲ Alu furnaces high efficiency upgrades delivering |
| Continued strong liquidity of ~€200m; Cash stable at €120m + €75m RCF; Repriced long-term capital structure; Reduced interest by 50 bps in Feb'20 |
▪ Continued ~€200m unused liquidity; Stable cash on hand at €120m and €75m RCF undrawn; Leverage at x2.8 TLB successfully repriced; Interest rate ↆ50 bps ▪ to E+200 bps for leverage >x2.25; €2.6 savings p.a.; No maturities up to July 2026; No covenants Operating cash flow at €93m LTM Q1 ▪ |
| Construction works at both Chinese sites resumed in March & progressing; Set up well for growth in 2021+ |
➢ Jiangsu: construction site re-opened Mar'20; construction progressing; completion expected begin'21 ➢ Henan: Continue preparing site for construction; Expecting completion by about middle of 2021 |
EAF dust throughput & capacity utilisation(1)
(thousand tonnes, % of annual installed capacity)
| Prices (€ per tonne) |
Q1 2019 |
Q1 2020 |
% Var. |
2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Befesa blended(2) average zinc price |
2,373 | 2,114 | -11% | 2,280 |
| LME average price | 2,380 | 1,930 | -19% | 2,274 |
15 (1) Installed capacity and corresponding utilisation rates in 2019 are normalised for the capacity upgrade in Turkey, from 65kt to 110kt (plant was shutdown from end of Jan to mid-Aug 2019) (2) Blended rate between hedged prices and average spot prices, weighted by the respective hedged and non-hedged volumes, reflecting the effective price to Befesa
Q1 EBITDA at €8.6m (-3.5% YoY) mainly driven by lower aluminium alloy prices and slightly lower salt slags volumes (Covid-19 related plant downtimes); Partially offset by alu furnace upgrades delivering results; >90% plant utilisation
(2) EBITDA margins refer to the Salt Slags subsegment
(3) Aluminium scrap and foundry ingots aluminium pressure diecasting ingot DIN226/A380 European Metal Bulletin free market duty paid delivered works
Salt Slags subsegment
Secondary Aluminium subsegment
Continued strong ~€200m liquidity (Cash €120m; €75 RCF undrawn); Long-term capital structure: No maturities to July ´26; 2% interest; No covenant; Managing cash & cost rigorously; Funding China expansion
| Total Cash Flow | €-5.5 | → €120m cash on hand |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends | - | |
| Capex & other investing activities |
€-16 | €4 Maintenance/productivity/compliance €12 Growth: China expansion |
| Interest & other(2) | €-7 | |
| Taxes | €-6 | |
| WC change | €-10 | Mainly higher receivables with Q1 vs Q4 +€28m Sales & Q1/Q4 monthly loading |
| EBITDA | €34 | €-9m / -22% YoY |
(1) Gross debt at Q1'20 includes €11.2m under current financial indebtedness, primarily explained by the accrued bi-annual interests, leasing (under IFRS 16) and others
(2) "Other" includes cash bank inflows/outflows from bank borrowings and other liabilities, as well as the effect of foreign exchange rate changes on cash
(3) Total operating cash flow per audited consolidated statement of cash flows; after WC, taxes & interest; pre capex & dividend; 2020 figures are unaudited
Hedging up to Oct ´21 improves earnings & cash flows visibility for 2020 & 2021
| 2018 | 2019 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unhedged | 32% or 44kt @ €2,468/t LME |
26% or 33kt @ €2,274/t LME |
25% or 8kt @ €2,380/t LME |
~40% or 16kt @ €1,930/t LME |
| Hedged | 68% or 92kt @ €2,051 hedge price |
74% or 92kt @ €2,310/t hedge price |
75% or 23kt @ €2,327/t hedge price |
~60% or 23kt @ €2,244/t hedge price |
| Blended(1) | €2,168 | €2,280 | €2,373 | €2,114 |
Befesa a market leader in Europe & Asia in providing regulated critical hazardous waste recycling services to the steel and aluminium industries
+90% EBITDA generated from two core 25-30% EBITDA margin operations with low capital intensity
Source: Company information, International Consulting Firm based on World Steel Association's Steel Statistical Yearbooks, WBMS, industry research, expert Interviews.
(1) Excluding internal revenues; sales split is calculated on revenues including internal revenues. (2) Excluding China.
(3) Including stainless steel. (4) Including recycling of SPL (a hazardous waste generated in primary aluminium production).
(2) Free-float at 100% after Triton's exit on 06 June 2019
Each Befesa plant usually collects waste from at least 10-15 client
Befesa is the market leader in steel dust and salt slags recycling services with a competitive advantage due to its close proximity to key clients
Steel Dust Recycling Services
(1) Excluding China.
Befesa offers a crucial service taking care of highly regulated hazardous waste in the value chain of secondary steel and aluminium producers
Befesa was ultimately contracted to treat the waste properly
Befesa collects and recycles hazardous waste from steel producers and aluminium recyclers
(1) Total revenue excludes internal revenues and are comparable figures after amendment IFRS 15 affecting the revenue recognition of non-operating sales in the 2nd Aluminium sub-segment; These non-operating sales have limited margin contribution; Reported revenues amounted to €611.7m in fiscal year 2016 and €724.8m in fiscal year 2017
(2) EBITDA and EBIT margins as a % of comparable revenue; EBITDA and EBIT in fiscal years 2016 and 2017 are adjusted from one-off extraordinary items; Reported EBITDA amounted in €128.8m in fiscal year 2016 and €153.0m in fiscal year 2017; Reported EBIT amounted to €84.3m in fiscal year 2016 and €122.4m in fiscal year 2017
(3) Operating cash flow per audited consolidated statement of cash flows; after WC, taxes & interest; pre capex & pre dividend; LTM 2020 figures are preliminary and unaudited
6
construction expected by ~begin'21
✓ Turkey 65kt → 110kt; Completed ✓ Korea washing; Completed Dec'19
✓ 2 tilting furnaces (Bilbao; Barcelona) - Expand Hannover (130kt → 170kt)
construction expected ~mid of ´21
Continuing growth roadmap even during Covid-19; Focus 2020: Building two EAF steel dust recycling plants in China
Note: Chart is illustrative and size of respective arrows in the chart is not indicative to the underlying growth potential
Senior management team delivering results through long standing industry expertise, entrepreneurial spirit and focus on operational excellence as well as governance and compliance processes
CEO since 2000
Has run Befesa for >15 Years Became President of Abengoa's Environmental Services Division in 1994
Asier Zarraonandia Vice President Steel Dust Recycling Services
Javier Molina
CEO
>15 yrs with Befesa >25 yrs with Befesa
Has run the Steel Dust Recycling Services Business for >10 years
Wolf Lehmann CFO; including responsibilities for Operational Excellence and IT
CFO since 2014
20+ years in finance and operational leadership roles 50/50 General Electric / Private Equity
Federico Barredo Vice President Aluminium Salt Slags Recycling Services
Has run the Aluminium Salt Slags Recycling Service Business for >15 years
Extensive experience in steel and aluminium recycling business
Strong performance results through focus on operational excellence
Building strong business foundation of ESG, compliance and health & safety processes
Successful international expansion
Track record of successful acquisitions and turnarounds (BUS, Agor, Alcasa, Hankook, Silvermet etc.)
Experience in developing greenfield projects (South Korea, Gravelines, Bernburg)
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