Investor Presentation • Sep 15, 2020
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Befesa Presentation Berenberg Virtual Circular Economy 15 September 2020
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information relating to Befesa and its affiliates that are based on the beliefs of its management, including assumptions, opinions and views of Befesa and its affiliates as well as information cited from third party sources. Such statements reflect the current views of Befesa and its affiliates or of such third parties with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions.
Many factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Befesa and its affiliates to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including, among others: changes in general economic, political, governmental and business conditions globally and in the countries in which Befesa and its affiliates do business; changes in interest rates; changes in inflation rates; changes in prices; changes to national and international laws and policies that support industrial waste recycling; legal challenges to regulations, subsidies and incentives that support industrial waste recycling; extensive governmental regulation in a number of different jurisdictions, including stringent environmental regulation; management of exposure to credit, interest rate, exchange rate and commodity price risks; acquisitions or investments in joint ventures with third parties; inability to obtain new sites and expand existing ones; failure to maintain safe work environments; effects of catastrophes, natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, unexpected geological or other physical conditions, or criminal or terrorist acts at one or more of our plants; insufficient insurance coverage and increases in insurance cost; loss of senior management and key personnel; unauthorised use of Befesa's intellectual property and claims of infringement by Befesa of others' intellectual property; Befesa's ability to generate cash to service its indebtedness changes in business strategy and various other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described herein as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected or targeted.
Befesa and its affiliates do not assume any guarantee that the assumptions underlying forward-looking statements are free of errors nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed herein or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. No representation (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein or otherwise resulting, directly or indirectly, from the use of this document.
This presentation is intended for information only and should not be treated as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer for sale, or as a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe to, any securities in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any commitment or contract whatsoever. This presentation may not, at any time, be reproduced, distributed or published (in whole or in part) without prior written consent of Befesa.
Third quarter and first nine-month period 2020 figures contained in this presentation have not been audited or reviewed by external auditors.
This presentation includes Alternative Performance Measures (APM), including EBITDA, EBITDA margin, EBIT, EBIT margin, net debt and capital expenditures which are not measures of liquidity or financial performance under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). EBITDA is defined as operating profit for the period (i.e. EBIT) before the impact of amortisation, depreciation, impairment and provisions. EBITDA margin is defined as EBITDA divided by revenue. EBIT is defined as Operating profit for the year. The Company uses EBIT to monitor its financial return after both operating expenses and a charge representing the cost of usage of both its property, plant and equipment and definite-life intangible assets. EBIT margin is defined as EBIT as a percentage of revenue. These non-IFRS measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to results from operating activities, cash flow from operating, investing or financing activities, or other financial measures of Befesa's results of operations or liquidity derived in accordance with IFRS. Befesa believes that the APM included in this report are useful measures of its performance and liquidity. Other companies, including those in the industry in which Befesa operates, may calculate similarly titled financial measures differently than Befesa does. Because all companies do not calculate these financial measures in the same manner, Befesa's presentation of such financial measures may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. These APM are not audited.
| EU Crude Steel Production Trend & Befesa's EAFD Throughput (2008-2010) 240 |
2020 Crude Steel Production(1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | YTD | |||||||||||||||
| 482 | Befesa EAFD 220 |
Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | Mt | yoy | |||
| 474 | throughput kt | EU-28 | 12.9 (7%) | 13.3 (1%) | 12.1 (20%) | 9.6 (31%) 10.6 (26%) 10.1 (25%) 10.3 (21%) | 9.4 (16%) 11.1 (14%) 99.4 (18%) | |||||||||||||||||
| 200 | Turkey | 3.0 | 17% | 2.9 | 8% | 3.1 | 4% | 2.2 (26%) | 2.3 (26%) | 2.8 | 4% | 3.1 | 8% | 3.3 | 24% | 3.2 | 18% 25.9 | 3% | ||||||
| 198 | S. Korea | 5.7 | (8%) | 5.4 | 3% | 5.8 | (8%) | 5.1 (15%) | 5.4 (14%) | 5.1 (14%) | 5.5 (8%) | 5.8 (2%) | 5.8 | 2% 49.6 (8%) | ||||||||||
| 406 | 173 | Crude steel production 180 EU-28 Mt(1) |
Served market |
(3) | 21.7 (5%) | 21.6 | 1% | 21.0 (14%) 16.9 (26%) 18.2 (23%) 18.0 (18%) 19.0 (14%) 18.4 (7%) | 20.2 (6%) 174.9 (13%) | |||||||||||||||
| 160 140 |
China World |
79.9 | 1% | 74.8 | 5% | 79.0 (2%) 151.3 (0%) 144.4 3% 147.6 (6%) 136.9 (13%) 148.9 (9%) 149.9 (6%) 155.5 (1%) 158.3 2% 156.4 3% 1,349 (3%) |
85.0 | 0% | 92.3 | 4% | 91.6 | 4% 93.4 | 9% 94.8 | 8% 92.6 11% 783 | 5% | |||||||||
| 139 | ▪ | Europe: Q1 -10% yoy; Q2 -27% yoy; Q3 -17% yoy impacted by COVID-19; | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 120 | For 2020 to be down 30% (08/09 crisis) requires Q4 down severely by -70% yoy | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 96% | 82% | 96% | Befesa EAFD load factor % | |||||||||||||||||||||
| €99 | €61 | €99 | Befesa EBITDA PF(2) (€m) |
▪ Signs of a moderate recovery in crude steel production: - EU-28: April yoy -31%; Month-over-month recovery; Sep -14% yoy |
||||||||||||||||||||
| ▪ Befesa operates highly regulated hazardous waste recycling services business model |
- - China: |
Served market(3): | April yoy -26% recovered to Sep -6% yoy March -2% yoy; Since then growing; YTD +5% yoy |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| ▪ Stable experienced management team |
▪ | Expecting Q4 to improve over Q3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▪ | Resilient EAFD volume -14% yoy or ~half of |
(1) Source: worldsteel.org
5 (2) Total EBITDA is the sum of Steel Dust & Aluminium Salt Slags segments proforma (PF) comparable to Befesa structure in ´19/´20; Thus, it excludes divested IES, EPC and Concessions businesses
(3) "Served market" is a subtotal of EU-28 + Turkey + South Korea as a proxy of the served market.
EU steel trend -30% during 2008/2009 crisis;
Respectable c. 19% EBITDA margin
| Q3 2019 | Q3 2020 | 9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unhedged | 31% or 10kt | 28% or 9kt | 26% or 25kt | 34% or 36kt |
| @ €2,112/t LME | @ €1,997/t LME | @ €2,313/t LME | @ €1,905/t LME | |
| Hedged | 69% or 23kt | 72% or 23kt | 74% or 69kt | 66% or 69kt |
| @ €2,275/t | @ €2,234/t | @ €2,325/t | @ €2,235/t | |
| hedge price | hedge price | hedge price | hedge price | |
| Blended(1) | €2,203 | €2,214 | €2,282 | €2,089 |
(1) Zinc blended prices are annual averages computed based on the monthly effective LME zinc and hedging prices weighted with the respective hedged and non-hedged volumes
(1) Assuming 15kg to 20kg EAF dust generated per tonne of EAF crude steel output (2) Europe defined as EU-28 (3) Rest of World incl. Turkey, Korea as well as servicing South East Asia and China
Aerial view of Changzhou construction site, November 2020
3
BEFESA
Risk is measured and the score should be as low as possible: Befesa improved the score significantly by 6.7 to 14.8 points. New result: "Low Risk" (before: "Medium Risk")
Befesa achieved the "Prime Status" and is now Industry Leader by being among the Top 3 companies out of more than 200 companies in the corresponding sector
▪ Befesa is part of the Global Challenges Index (GCX) since 18 September 2020 The GCX comprises a total of 50 international shares selected according to strict criteria from a total amount of around 6,000 companies worldwide.
✓ Thursday, 29 October 2020:
Q3 2020 Statement & Conference Call
Tuesday, 23 February 2021 Preliminary Year-End Results 2020 & Conference Call
Thursday, 29 April 2021 Q1 2021 Statement & Conference Call
Thursday, 29 July 2021 H1 2021 Interim Report & Conference Call
Thursday, 28 October 2021 Q3 2021 Statement & Conference Call
IR contact Rafael Pérez Director of Investor Relations & Strategy Phone: +49 (0) 2102 1001 340 email: [email protected]
| 01-03 September 2020 – Commerzbank ✓ Commerzbank Corporate Conference (virtual) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 September 2020 – Berenberg ✓ |
|||||||
| Berenberg 'Virtual Circular Economy' (virtual) | |||||||
| 17 September 2020 – Citi ✓ SMID/Growth Conference 2020 (virtual) |
|||||||
| 22 September 2020 – Goldman Sachs & Berenberg ✓ th 9 German Corporate Conference (virtual) |
|||||||
| ✓ 24 September 2020 – Baader Baader Investment Conference 2020 (virtual) |
|||||||
| ✓ 11-12 November 2020 – Goldman Sachs Global Natural Resources Conference 2020 (virtual) |
|||||||
| 30 November – 03 December 2020 – Berenberg Berenberg European Conf. 2020 (virtual) |
|||||||
| 07-13 January 2021 – ODDO BHF ODDO BHF Forum 24th Edition (virtual) |
|||||||
| 11-13 January 2021 – Commerzbank Commerzbank German Investment Seminar 2021 (virtual) |
|||||||
| 11-13 January 2021 – Bank of America BofA Securities – SMID Cap Conference 2021 (virtual) |
|||||||
| 18-20 January 2021 – UniCredit & Kepler Cheuvreux 20th German Corporate Conference (virtual) |
|||||||
| 25 March 2021 – MainFirst Copenhagen – 6 th MainFirst German Corporate Conference |
|||||||
| 08-10 June 2021 – Stifel Boston, 2021 Cross Sector Insight Conference |
|||||||
| 31 August – 02 September 2021 – Commerzbank Frankfurt, Commerzbank Corporate Conference 2021 |
|||||||
| 01-02 September 2021 – Stifel London, 2021 London Cross Sector Insight Conference |
|||||||
| 11 November 2021 – Goldman Sachs Global Natural Resources Conference 2021 |
Note: Befesa's financial reports and statements are published at 7:30 am CET
Befesa cannot rule out changes of dates and recommends checking them in the Investor Relations / Financial Calendar section of Befesa's website www.befesa.com
| Operational performance driven by continued resilient plant utilisation at around 80% in both core businesses despite COVID-19 |
▪ EAFD throughput of 161kt (-6% yoy) ▪ Salt slags & SPL recycled 103kt (-9% yoy) ▪ Secondary aluminium alloys of 44kt (up 14% yoy), increase driven by recovery in automotive sector and furnace upgrade at Barcelona plant |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metal prices moderately recovered qoq but still down yoy: - Zinc LME Q3 €1,997 (-5% yoy); including zinc treatment charges (TC) -11%(1) yoy combined price impact → - Alu Alloy prices Q3 €1,312 (-3% yoy) |
▪ EBITDA at €29m (-21% / €-8m yoy) mainly driven by: (-) Unfavourable metal prices: - Zinc LME at €1,997/t (-5% yoy) - Zinc TC at \$300/t (+\$50/t yoy) - Aluminium alloy prices at €1,312/t (-3% yoy) (-) Lower volumes in Steel Dust Recycling Services (-) Salt Slags & SPL volumes (-9% yoy) Partially offset by: (+) Positive volume & efficiency effects in Secondary Alu (+) Favourable zinc hedging offset LME price decrease |
||||
| Continued strong and stable liquidity of €183m |
Strong cash position at €108m after paying €15m ▪ dividend in Q3; €75m RCF undrawn; Leverage at x3.3 Operating cash flow at €93m LTM Q3 ▪ |
||||
| China construction progressing on schedule at both sites, Jiangsu & Henan |
➢ Jiangsu: Completion of construction expected in Q1'21 Henan: Construction progressing on schedule; ➢ Completion expected after the summer of 2021 |
||||
| ESG | Sustainalytics and ISS ESG improved Befesa's rating ▪ ▪ Since 18 September 2020, Befesa is member of the Global Challenges Index (GCX) |
(1) In 2020, the \$300 TC per tonne of WOX, divided by ~68% zinc content in WOX and divided by 85% zinc payable (after 15% free-metal deduction), is equivalent to ~\$519 per tonne of zinc payable; Similarly, in 2019, the \$245 TC per tonne of WOX is equivalent to ~\$424 per tonne of zinc payable.
Q3 EBITDA at €29m (-21% yoy / up +€8m over Q2); Continued resilient plant utilisation of c. 80% and moderately recovered metal prices qoq
147.6 145.2 Q3 '19 Q3 '20 Revenue (€m) €-2.4m / -1.6% 496.6 446.4 9M '19 9M '20
Partially offset by:
Partially offset by:
(+) Zinc blended price €0.3m (LME €-1.5m; Hedging +€1.8m)
9M EAFD throughput up 3% yoy (Turkey)
| Prices | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€ per tonne) | Q3 2019 |
Q3 2020 |
% yoy |
9M 2019 |
9M 2020 |
% yoy | |
| Befesa blended(2) average zinc price |
2,203 | 2,214 | 0.5% | 2,282 | 2,089 | -8% | |
| LME average price | 2,112 | 1,997 | -5% | 2,313 | 1,905 | -18% |
Note: Including the unfavourable TC impact, the combined LME+TC price effect yoy amounted to -11% in Q3 and -26% in 9M
16 (1) Installed capacity and corresponding utilisation rates in 2019 are normalised for the capacity upgrade in Turkey, from 65kt to 110kt (plant was shutdown from end of Jan to mid-Aug 2019) (2) Blended rate between hedged prices and average spot prices, weighted by the respective hedged and non-hedged volumes, reflecting the effective price to Befesa
Q3 EBITDA at €6m (-5% yoy / up +€2m over Q2); Reduced salt slags & SPL treated partially offset by improved volumes yoy and efficiencies in 2nd Alu
(1) Total revenue is after intersegment eliminations (€6.2m in Q3'20; €7.5m in Q3'19; €21.5m in 9M'20; €26.3m in 9M'19)
(2) EBITDA margins refer to the Salt Slags subsegment
(3) Installed capacity and corresponding utilisation rates in 2019 are normalised for the furnace upgrade in Barcelona (plant was shutdown three months, from mid-August to mid-November) (4) Aluminium scrap and foundry ingots aluminium pressure diecasting ingot DIN226/A380 European Metal Bulletin free market duty paid delivered works
Continued strong €183m liquidity after dividend distribution & funding China; Long-term capital structure: No maturities to July ´26; 2% interest; No covenant
| Total Cash Flow | €-18 | €108m cash on hand → |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends | €-15 | July distribution of €0.44 per share |
| Capex & other investing activities |
€-39 | €16 Maintenance / IT / Prod. / Compl. €23 Growth, mainly China expansion |
| Interest & other(2) | €-17 | Interest paid for full year (January & July) |
| Taxes | €-15 | |
| WC & other | €-16 | Seasonal receivable & payable variances |
| EBITDA | €85 | €-33m / -28% yoy |
(1) Gross debt at Q3'20 includes €11.4m under current financial indebtedness, primarily explained by the accrued bi-annual interests, leasing (under IFRS 16) and others
(2) "Other" includes cash bank inflows/outflows from bank borrowings and other liabilities, as well as the effect of foreign exchange rate changes on cash
(3) Total operating cash flow per audited consolidated statement of cash flows; after WC, taxes & interest; pre capex & dividend; 2020 figures are unaudited
| Lower-end: €100m EBITDA | Upper-end: €135m EBITDA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU crude steel market -&- COVID-19 |
▪ After -10% in Q1; Q2 to Q4 each severely down -37% yoy; Annually down c. 30% yoy (like 2009 crisis) EU-28 volume No recovery; Prolonged lockdowns ▪ |
▪ Q2 materially down yoy Lockdown easing by end Q2 ▪ Q3 & Q4 recovering and no 2nd pandemic wave ▪ causing further lockdowns in H2 |
|||
| Operational performance |
Overall capacity utilisation at c. 80% ▪ |
Limited impact on volume ▪ Overall capacity utilisation at c. 90% ▪ |
|||
| Metal prices | Q2 to Q4 at ~ Q1 low €1,650-€1,700/t ▪ ▪ TC at \$300/t ▪ Combined price impact (LME & TC) -39% yoy |
H2 recovering to €1,750/t to €1,850/t; ▪ ▪ TC at \$300/t ▪ Combined price impact (LME & TC) -30% yoy |
|||
| FY 2020 EBITDA | FY 2020 EBITDA: €100m (-€60m / -38% yoy) ▪ ▪ Remaining quarters ~reduced €22m run-rate ▪ Q2+Q3+Q4 at €66m (-44% yoy vs. €117m '19) |
FY 2020 EBITDA: €135m (-€25m / -16% yoy) ▪ ▪ Assuming Q2 lowest quarter in 2020 and run-rate recovery in H2 Q2+Q3+Q4 at €101m (-14% yoy) ▪ |
|||
| Capex | ▪ Reducing discretionary cost & non-vital capex c. €20m to protect core growth roadmap; Total capex of c. €70m: c. €50m growth (China); c. €20m regular maintenance; ▪ |
||||
| Pre-dividend cash flow & cash |
▪ Approx. +/- €5m ▪ Cash position c. €120m |
▪ Approx. +€25 to €35m ▪ Cash position c. €150m |
|||
| Dividend | distributed in July (post Q3 earnings release) depending on earnings & cash flow Q3 2020 YTD and the improved visibility about the impact from COVID-19 balancing dividend stability and cash flow |
Even at lower-end €100m EBITDA (prolonged COVID-19 lockdowns), operational continuity assured incl. funding China; Considering an additional dividend in November on top of the €15m (€0.44/per share) ordinary dividend paid in July
Market leader in Europe & Asia in providing regulated critical hazardous waste recycling services to the steel and aluminium industries
+90% EBITDA generated from two core segments; ~25-35% EBITDA margin operations with low capital intensity
| Steel Dust Recycling Services(3) | Aluminium Salt Slags Recycling Services | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Position in Europe (c. 45–50% market share) | Position in Europe in Salt Slags subsegment | ||||
| #1 | #1 | ||||
| and Asia(2) | (c. 45–50% market share) | ||||
| 30% EBITDA margin (LTM Q3 2020)(3) |
EBITDA margin in Salt Slags subsegment 22% (4) (LTM Q3 2020) |
||||
| Relationships | Relationships | ||||
| >15yrs | >15yrs |
Source: Company information, International Consulting Firm based on World Steel Association's Steel Statistical Yearbooks, WBMS, industry research, expert Interviews.
(1) Excluding internal revenues; sales split is calculated on revenues including internal revenues. (2) Excluding China.
(3) Including stainless steel. (4) Including recycling of SPL (a hazardous waste generated in primary aluminium production).
(2) Free-float at 100% after Triton's exit on 06 June 2019
Befesa is the market leader in steel dust and salt slags recycling services with a competitive advantage due to its close proximity to key clients
Steel Dust Recycling Services
(1) Excluding China.
Befesa is the leading environmental services partner of the 2nd steel & alu industry providing sustainable solutions for highly regulated hazardous waste …
(1) Incl. 22kt of Spent Pot Linings (SPL), a hazardous waste generated in the production process of primary aluminium; (2) Not incl. 2 China plants currently under construction; (3) Total revenue is after intersegment eliminations (€34.4m FY'19)
(1) Total revenue excludes internal revenues and are comparable figures after amendment IFRS 15 affecting the revenue recognition of non-operating sales in the 2nd Aluminium sub-segment; These non-operating sales have limited margin contribution; Reported revenues amounted to €611.7m in fiscal year 2016 and €724.8m in fiscal year 2017
(2) EBITDA and EBIT margins as a % of comparable revenue; EBITDA and EBIT in fiscal years 2016 and 2017 are adjusted from one-off extraordinary items; Reported EBITDA amounted to €128.8m in fiscal year 2016 and €153.0m in fiscal year 2017; Reported EBIT amounted to €84.3m in fiscal year 2016 and €122.4m in fiscal year 2017
(3) Operating cash flow per audited consolidated statement of cash flows; after WC, taxes & interest; pre capex & pre dividend; LTM 2020 figures are preliminary and unaudited
Senior management team delivering results through long standing industry expertise, entrepreneurial spirit and focus on operational excellence as well as governance and compliance processes
CEO since 2000
Has run Befesa for >15 Years Became President of Abengoa's Environmental Services Division in 1994
Asier Zarraonandia Vice President Steel Dust Recycling Services
Javier Molina
CEO
>15 yrs with Befesa >25 yrs with Befesa
Has run the Steel Dust Recycling Services Business for >10 years
Wolf Lehmann CFO; including responsibilities for Operational Excellence and IT
CFO since 2014
20+ years in finance and operational leadership roles 50/50 General Electric / Private Equity
Federico Barredo Vice President Aluminium Salt Slags Recycling Services
Has run the Aluminium Salt Slags Recycling Service Business for >15 years
Extensive experience in steel and aluminium recycling business
Strong performance results through focus on operational excellence
Building strong business foundation of ESG, compliance and health & safety processes
Successful international expansion
Track record of successful acquisitions and turnarounds (BUS, Agor, Alcasa, Hankook, Silvermet etc.)
Experience in developing greenfield projects (South Korea, Gravelines, Bernburg)
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.