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Banco Santander S.A. — M&A Activity 2021
Mar 26, 2021
1798_rns_2021-03-26_49484da4-7d30-45f0-b15c-6c253c7915fa.pdf
M&A Activity
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March 26, 2021
Announcement to acquire minority interests in Santander Mexico


Disclaimer
IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR INVESTORS ABOUT THE PROPOSED TRANSACTION
The tender offer described in this communication has not yet commenced. This communication is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to purchase or the solicitation of an offer to sell any common stock (including any American Depositary Share representing any common stock) or other securities. If and at the time a tender offer is commenced, Banco Santander (and/or one or more of its affiliates, as applicable) intends to file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") a Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO containing an offer to purchase, a form of letter of transmittal and other documents relating to the tender offer, and Santander Mexico will file with the SEC a Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 with respect to the tender offer. Banco Santander intends to mail these documents to Santander Mexico shareholders. Banco Santander will also file before the Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores ("CNBV") an informative brochure in connection with the transaction and the prospective offer as required under applicable law. INVESTORS AND SECURITY HOLDERS ARE URGED TO READ THE TENDER OFFER STATEMENT, OFFER TO PURCHASE, SOLICITATION/RECOMMENDATION STATEMENT AND ALL OTHER RELEVANT DOCUMENTS THAT WILL BE FILED WITH THE SEC AND THE CNBV REGARDING THE PROPOSED TRANSACTION CAREFULLY BEFORE MAKING A DECISION CONCERNING THE TENDER OFFER AS THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THE TENDEROFFER.
Such documents, and other documents filed by Banco Santander and Santander Mexico, may be obtained without charge after they have been filed at the SEC's website at www.sec.gov and through the CNBV´s website at www.cnbv.gob.mx. The offer to purchase and related materials may also be obtained (when available) for free by contacting the information agent for the tender offer.
This communication shall not constitute a tender offer in any country or jurisdiction in which such offer would be considered unlawful or otherwise violate any applicable laws or regulations, or which would require Banco Santander or any of its affiliates to change or amend the terms or conditions of such offer in any manner, to make any additional filing with any governmental or regulatory authority or take any additional action in relation to such offer.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This communication contains "forward-looking statements" as per the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements may be identified by words like expect, project, anticipate, should, intend, probability, risk, target, goal, objective, estimate, future and similar expressions and include, but are not limited to, statements that are predictive in nature and depend upon or refer to future events, conditions, circumstances or the future performance of Banco Santander or Santander Mexico or their respective affiliates, including as a result of the implementation of the transactions described herein. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are inherently subject to uncertainties and changes in circumstance and a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors may cause actual developments and results to differ materially from expectations. Risks and uncertainties include, among other things, risks related to the tender offer, including uncertainties as to how many of Santander Mexico shareholders will tender their shares in the tender offer; general economic or industry conditions of areas where Banco Santander or Santander Mexico have significant operations or investments (such as a worse economic environment; higher volatility in capital markets; inflation or deflation; changes in demographics, consumer spending, investment or saving habits; and the effects of the covid-19 pandemic on the global economy); exposure to various market risks (particularly interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk, equity price risk and risks associated with the replacement of benchmark indices); potential losses from early repayments on loan and investment portfolios, declines in value of collateral securing loan portfolios, and counterparty risk; political stability in Spain, the United Kingdom, other European countries, Latin America and the US; changes in legislation, regulations, taxes, including regulatory capital and liquidity requirements, especially in view of the UK exit of the European Union and increased regulation in response to financial crisis; the ability to integrate successfully acquisitions and related challenges that result from the inherent diversion of management's focus and resources from other strategic opportunities and operational matters; and changes in access to liquidity and funding on acceptable terms, in particular if resulting from credit spread shifts or downgrades in credit ratings; and other risks and uncertainties discussed in (i) Santander Mexico's filings with the SEC, including the "Risk Factors" and "Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" sections of Santander Mexico's most recent annual report on Form 20-F and (ii) Banco Santander's filings with the SEC, including the "Risk Factors" and "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" sections of Banco Santander's most recent annual report on Form 20-F. You can obtain copies of Banco Santander's and Santander Mexico's filings with the SEC for free at the SEC's website (www.sec.gov). Other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially include those that will be set forth in the Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO, the Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 and other tender offer documents filed by Banco Santander and Santander Mexico. All forward-looking statements in this communication are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.
Agenda


Proposed transaction
- Offer by Santander Group to acquire the remaining minority interests (approx. 8.3%) in Santander Mexico with the intention to delist Santander Mexico in both Mexico and the United States.
- − Santander Mexico shareholders will receive MXN24.00 per share, or if higher, the book value per share as per the financial statements of Santander Mexico for the quarter immediately preceding the date on which the offer is launched.
- − Santander Mexico ADS holders will receive the equivalent amount in USD of MXN120 per ADS. (1)
- − The price represents an 24.3% premium to yesterday's closing price and an 23.6% premium to the volume weighted average of the last 30 days of trading, which is at the higher end of the range for precedent transactions.
- − The offer price is broadly in line with the average consensus target price for Santander Mexico. (2)
- − The offer price assumes Santander Mexico will not pay any dividend before the offer settles, and will be adjusted accordingly if a dividend is paid.
- − An EGM of Santander Mexico will be called to approve the delisting of shares.
- The transaction is expected to be completed in the second or third quarter of 2021.
- Launch of the offer and the offer itself subject to customary conditions, including regulatory authorizations, absence of any material adverse change in Santander Mexico and approval by Santander Mexico EGM.
Steps needed to complete transaction
| March 26, 2021 | Transaction Announcement |
|---|---|
| 2Q / 3Q, 2021 | Filing with regulators |
| EGM of Santander Mexico |
|
| Approval by securities regulators in Mexico | |
| Commencement of Offer | |
| Offer Period Expires | |
| Offer Settlement/Delisting |

Agenda


Rationale for the transaction

Secret Transaction is consistent with Santander Group strategy to deploy more capital in the Americas
A Higher exposure to the Americas as a lever to increase profitability

Accelerating growth with sustainable profitability

A region with structural growth and high and increasing profitability
Building the leading European bank in customer experience and profitability, leveraging our scale & digital capabilities Europe

B Mexico is a core market with attractive fundamentals


Financial system with large penetration potential
- Loans to GDP below other emerging economies
- SME receive only 13% of financing while contributing 52% of GDP(1)
Positive demographic and socio-economic evolution
- Young population: +15Mn more working age individuals 2030E
- Growing middle-class and formal employment
Source: International Monetary Fund (DataBase October 2020), International Financial Statistics and data files, and World Bank and OECD GDP estimates. 1) Based on financing provided by the banks to the non-financial private sector. Source: Bank of Mexico. 2) Bloomberg consensus estimates.
Secret Increasing ownership in a leading bank in Mexico that is a key component of Santander's growth story
Increasing ownership in a leading bank in Mexico that is a key to Santander growth story

C
2020 Loan Book Breakdown

Source: Q4'2020 Company financials and CNBV data.

Top 3 in loans and deposits

SAN Mexico – Net Profit
Secret Increasing ownership in a leading bank in Mexico that is a key component of Santander's growth story
C Mexico contribution within group becoming more in line to its GDP weight

Mexico contribution to Santander Group's profits is currently below its natural weight

Source: Santander 2019 results and OECD data. Note: Mexico pre-deal assuming 92% ownership throughout full year.
D Attractive both to Santander Group and Santander Mexico shareholders


Agenda


Key takeaways
| Proposed Transaction |
Santander Group to acquire the remaining minority interests (approx. 8.3%) in Santander Mexico Santander Mexico shareholders to receive MXN24.00 per share Santander Mexico EGM to be called to approve delisting of shares |
|---|---|
| Rationale of the Transaction |
Consistent with Santander Group's target to deploy more capital in the Americas, in one of the most attractive markets with strong fundamentals Transaction will allow Santander Group to increase ownership in a leading bank in Mexico that is a key component of Santander Group's growth story EPS accretive transaction, with 14% ROIC and neutral impact on tNAV/share Modest negative impact on Group CET1 ratio |
| Attractive Transaction for Minorities |
Offer represents a 24.3% premium to yesterday's closing share price or 23.6% to 1-month VWAP which is the highest of comparable transactions, and broadly in line with the consensus target price for Santander Mexico. Current limited market liquidity of Santander Mexico shares |
| Expected Timetable |
Transaction is expected to be completed in 2Q or 3Q. Launch of the offer and the offer itself subject to customary conditions, including regulatory authorizations, absence of any material adverse change in Santander Mexico and the approval of delisting at Santander Mexico EGM |
Thank you
