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Banco Comercial Portugues

Investor Presentation Jul 27, 2015

1913_iss_2015-07-27_cb3518bd-4e7d-4e94-864a-6b27d1d99b5e.pdf

Investor Presentation

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EARNINGS PRESENTATION 1H 2015

This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan or any other jurisdiction. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States unless they are registered pursuant to the US Securities Act of 1933 or are exempt from such registration. Any public offering of securities in the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan would be made by means of a prospectus that will contain detailed information about the company and management, including financial statements

The information in this presentation has been prepared under the scope of the International Financial Reporting Standards ('IFRS') of BCP Group for the purposes of the preparation of the consolidated financial statements under Regulation (CE) 1606/2002

The figures presented do not constitute any form of commitment by BCP in regard to future earnings

First 6 months figures for 2014 and 2015 not audited

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

Highlights

Profitability
Profits reinforced
Net profit at €240.7 million in the 1st

half of 2015, compared to €62.2 million losses in the same
period of 2014.

Core net income* up by 62.6%
to €423.5 million in 1H15 from €260.4 million in 1H14, reflecting
increased net interest income (up 26.6%, including a 58.5% increase in Portugal) and lower
operating costs
(down 3.7% overall and 9.3% in Portugal).

Impairment and provision charges of €566.8 million in the 6-month period to June 30, 2015, taking
advantage of gains on sovereign debt to reinforce coverage.
Liquidity
Healthy balance
sheet

Customer deposits up by 4.4%
to €50.6 billion at June 30, 2015, with total Customer funds up by
2.8% to €65.7 billion on the same date.
Commercial gap narrowed further, with net loans as a percentage of total Customer funds now

standing at 100%. As a percentage of deposits (BoP
criteria), net loans stood at 107% (115% at June
30, 2014; 120% recommended).
ECB funding usage at €6.1 billion (€1.5 billion of which TLTRO-related), down from €8.7 billion at

end-June 2014.
Capital
On course to
European
benchmark levels,
reflecting
profitability and
specific measures
Common equity tier 1 ratio at 13.1% according to phased-in criteria**, compared to 12.5% at June

30, 2014.

Capital boosted by improved recurring profitability, by the sale of a 15.4% shareholding in Bank
Millennium (Poland) and by the impact of the debt-equity swap successfully completed at June 11,
2015.

* Core net income = net interest income + net fees and commission income – operating costs. | ** Includes 1H2015 earnings. The ratio at 30 June 2014 includes the impact of the new DTAs regime for capital purposes (IAS), of the July 2014 rights issue, of the repayment of €1,850 million of CoCos and of the deconsolidation of the Romanian operation.

Highlights

* Estimate including 1H2015 earnings. New regimen of DTAs based on the values on the consolidated financial statements. Pro forma ratio as at 30 june 2014, including the July 2014 rights issue, the repayment of €1,850 euros of CoCos and the deconsolidation of the Romanian operation. ** Assuming 1H14 shareholding in Bank Millennium to be the same as 1H15 (65.5% in 1Q, 50.1% in 2Q).

Destaques

* According to the instruction nr. 16/2004 of Bank of Portugal

  • Highlights
  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

1H2015 earnings: profitability affirmed…

(million euros) 1H14 1H15 YoY Impact on
earnings
Net interest income 496.0 628.0 26.6% +132.0
Of which: costs related with hybrids instruments (CoCos) -130.6 -32.3 -75.3% +98.3
Net fees and commissions 341.2 350.7 2.8% +9.5
Other operating income 251.3 492.6 96.0% +241.4
Banking income 1,088.4 1,471.3 35.2% +382.9
Staff costs -323.4 -308.9 -4.5% +14.5
Other administrative costs and depreciation -253.3 -246.3 -2.8% +7.0
Operating costs -576.7 -555.2 -3.7% +21.5
Operating net income (before impairment and provisions) 511.7 916.1 79.0% +404.4
Loans impairment (net of recoveries) -371.6 -475.0 27.8% -103.3
Other impairment and provisions -114.0 -91.8 -19.4% +22.1
Net income before income tax 26.1 349.3 1236.2% +323.1
Income taxes -2.2 -54.4 2390.6% -52.3
Non-controlling interests -52.6 -68.9 30.9% -16.3
Net income from discontinued or to be discontinued operations -33.6 14.8 -- +48.4
Net income -62.2 240.7 -- +303.0

… after 4 years of losses

Core net income* improves in Portugal

(Million euros)

Net interest income increases, particularly in Portugal

(Million euros)

Increase in fees and commissions, especially in Portugal

(Milhões de euros)

Fees
and
comissions
Consolidated
1H14 1H15 YoY
Banking fees and commissions 270.6 285.9 +5.7%
Cards and transfers 96.5 86.3 -10.6%
Loans and guarantees 79.9 92.4 +15.6%
Bancassurance 36.6 37.7 +3.0%
Current account related
State guarantee
38.8
-16.4
39.8
0.0
+2.7%
+100.0%
Other fees and commissions 35.2 29.7 -15.6%
Market related fees and commissions 70.6 64.7 -8.3%
Securities operations 50.9 44.8 -11.9%
Asset management 19.7 19.9 +1.2%
Total fees and commissions 341.2 350.7 +2.8%

Increased net trading income, benefiting from gains from public debt portfolio in Portugal

(Milhões de euros)

Cost reduction proceeds in Portugal

(Million euros)

Higher provisioning charges…

(Million euros)

… resulting in stronger coverage

Diversified and collateralised loan portfolio

  • Loans to companies accounted for 48% of the loan portfolio at end-June 2015, including 15% to construction and real estate sectors
  • 92% of the loan portfolio is collateralised
  • Mortgages accounted for 45% of the loan portfolio, with low delinquency levels and a 66% average LTV

  • Highlights

  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

Deposits increase, with individuals in Portugal and international operations standing out

On a comparable basis: excludes Romania and Millennium bcp Gestão de Activos, following the discontinuation processes.

Credit increases in international operations

(Million euros)

On a comparable basis: excludes Romania and Millennium bcp Gestão de Activos, following the discontinuation processes. * Excludes public sector and credit recovery areas.

Continued improvement of the liquidity position, current ratios exceed future requirements

* Based on Customer deposits and net loans to Customers.

** According to the current version of Notice 16/2004 of the Bank of Portugal.

*** Estimated in accordance with CRD IV current interpretation.

Lower refinancing needs in the medium to long term, Customer deposits are the main funding source

  • Lower funding needs, reflecting a lower commercial gap
  • Customer deposits are the main funding source

  • Highlights

  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

Profitability and specific measures strengthen capital figures

  • Capital ratios strengthened to 13.1% according to phased-in criteria and to 10.7% on a fully implemented basis, reflecting the impact of the debt-equity swap, of earnings for 1H15 and of lower RWAs
  • Revocation of Bank of Portugal's Notice 3/95, currently under discussion, would lead to deferred tax assets no longer being calculated based on it for capital purposes
  • Leverage ratio at 6.7% according to phased-in criteria; on a fully implemented basis, this ratio stood at 5.5% including Notice 3/95 and at 4.9% without the impact of Notice 3/95

Pension fund

Main
figures
(Million
euros)
Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15
Pension liabilities 2,759 3,133 3,136
Pension fund 2,786 3,095 3,070
Liabilities' coverage 112% 110% 109%
Fund's profitability 11.0% 8.1% 0.5%
Actuarial differences (2) (477) (38)

Assumptions

Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15
Discount rate 4,00% 3,50% 2,50% 2,50%
1,00% until 2016 0,75%
until 2017
Salary growth rate 1,75% after 2016 1,00%
after 2017
0,00% until 2016 0,00%
until 2017
Pensions growth rate 0,75% after 2016 0,50%
after 2017
Projected rate of return of fund assets 4,00% 3,50% 2,50%
Mortality Tables
Men TV 73/77 -1 year TV 73/77 -2 years
Women Tv 88/90 -2 years Tv 88/90 -3 years
  • Pension liabilities coverage at 109%
  • Fund's profitability below assumptions in 1H2015, resulting in negative actuarial differences
  • Assumptions unchanged in 1H2015

  • Highlights

  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

Portugal: deleveraging effort improves with liquidity position

On a comparabel basis: excludes Millennium bcp Gestão de Activos (following the process of discontinuation).

Net income improves, as banking income increases and operating costs decrease

(Million euros)

Improvement trend on core income and reduction on operating costs in Portugal are in place

  • Core income at €554 million in 1H2015
  • Operating costs down to €319 million
  • Continuation of the core net income ** expansion trend began two years ago: €236 million in 1H2015. It is worth highlighting that this figure was negative (-€12 million) in

* Excludes non recurring specific items.

** Core net income = net interest income + net fees and commission income – operating costs. Excludes non recurring specific items.

Increase on net interest income in Portugal reflects lower cost of deposits, in spite of the impact of lower loan volumes

(Million euros)
1H15
vs.1H14
Effect of cost of time deposits +84
CoCos effect +98
Performing loans volume effect -49
NPL effect -4
Other -7
  • Net interest income increases versus 1H 2014, driven by:
  • Consistent reduction of the cost of time deposits and partial repayment of CoCos
  • These effects were partially offset by the continued reduction of loan volumes
  • Quarter-on-quarter increase of net interest income from commercial business, as the impact of the continued decline of the remuneration of term deposits exceeded the unfavourable effects from a lower volume of credit, on one hand, and from increased overdue loans, on the other
  • The quarter-on-quarter decline of total net interest income was chiefly due to lower yields on the new public debt portfolio

Continued effort to reduce the cost of deposits

  • Continued effort to bring the cost of the time deposits book down: to 1,3% in 1H2015 from 2.0% in 1H2014
  • Average interest rate on the front book of time deposits significantly down to 48bp
  • Spreads on the mortgage book were roughly stable; spreads on the companies loan portfolio still comparatively high, following a continued decrease

Increased commissions, benefiting from early repayment of State-guarantees

1H14 1H15 YoY
Banking fees and commissions 182.1 197.7 +8.6%
Cards and transfers 50.1 48.8 -2.6%
Loans and guarantees 61.9 64.0 +3.5%
Bancassurance 36.6 37.7 +3.0%
Current account related 38.7 39.8 +2.7%
State guarantee -16.4 0.0 +100.0%
Other fees and commissions 11.2 7.5 -33.5%
Market related fees and commissions 34.9 27.2 -21.9%
Securities operations 31.0 23.8 -23.2%
Asset management 3.9 3.4 -11.6%
Total fees and commissions 217.0 225.0 +3.7%

Continuation of the plan implementation, on target with strategic goals

(Million euros)

Foreclosed assets sold above book value, confirming appropriate

coverage

  • Highlights
  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

Significant net income growth in international operations

euros)
1H14 1H15 Δ %
local
currency
Δ %
euros
ROE
International operations*
Poland 77.4 79.3 +2.4% +3.8% 11.2%
Mozambique 45.4 47.9 +5.5% +14.9% 21.0%
Angola 25.6 38.2 +49.1% +65.4% 22.5%
Net income 148.5 165.4 +11.4% +17.2%
Other and non-controlling interests -49.9 -60.8
Total contribution int. operations 98.5 104.6 +6.2%

Poland: customer funds and loans to customers growth

Net income growth

(Million euros)

Reduction of profits determined by the difficult environment partially offset by the reduction of costs

(Million euros)

* Pro forma data. Margin from derivative products, including those from hedging FX denominated loan portfolio, is included in net interest income, whereas in accounting terms, part of this margin (0.6M€ in 1H14 and 7.9M€ in 1H15) is presented in net trading income.

Stable credit quality, strong coverage

(Million euros)

Mozambique: strong volume growth

Growth in core income and operating costs driven by network expansion

(Million euros)

FX effect excluded. €/Metical constant as at June 2015: Income Statement 39.45458333; Balance Sheet 43.215.

Credit quality and coverage

(Million euros)

Angola: strong volumes growth, keeping a comfortable liquidity position

Net income increase driven by higher banking income

(Million euros)

Strong growth in net interest income income and operating costs driven by network expansion

(Million euros)

Credit quality and coverage

(Million euros)

Coverage ratio Jun 14 Jun 15 Non-performing loans 113% 57% 37 52 Jun 14 Jun 15 3.4 11.3 1H14 1H15 Cost of risk 78bp 212 bp Loan impairment (net of recoveries)

FX effect excluded. €/Kwanza constant as at June 2015: Income Statement 120.54833333 ; Balance Sheet 135.7100.

  • Highlights
  • Group
  • Profitability
  • Liquidity
  • Capital
  • Portugal
  • International Operations
  • Conclusions

Progress on 2012 strategic plan metrics

Actual Strategic plan
Phases Priorities 1H14 1H15 2015
Demanding
economic
environment
2012-2013
Stronger balance sheet CET1
(phased-in)
(fully
implemented)
*
12.5%
9.0%
13.1%
3/95: 10.7%
With
W/o 3/95: 9.6%
>10%
Recovery of profitability in LtD*** 106% 100% <110%
Creating
growth and
profitability
Portugal C/I 57% 38% ≈50%
conditions
2014-2015
Continued development of Oper.
costs****
€702M €637M ≈€660M
business in Poland,
Mozambique and Angola
Cost
of
risk
(bp)
128 166 ≈100
Sustained
growth
2016-2017
Sustained net income
growth, greater balance
between domestic and
international operations
ROE -5% 11% ≈7%

* Estimate including 1H2015 earnings. | ** Revocation of Bank of Portugal's Notice 3/95, currently under discussion, would lead to deferred tax assets no longer being calculated based on it for capital purposes. | *** LtD ratio (Loans to deposits) calculated based on net loans and balance sheet customer funds. | **** Annualised.

Appendix

Sovereign debt portfolio

Total sovereign debt at €9.1 billion, of which €1.6 billion maturing up to one year

Portuguese sovereign debt decreased, whereas exposure to Polish, Mozambican and Angolan have increased from June 2014

Sovereign debt portfolio

(Million euros) Portugal Poland Mozambique Angola Other Total Trading book 179 905 0 0 73 1,157 ≤ 1 year 4 429 0 0 0 434 > 1 year and ≤ 2 years 0 241 0 0 11 252 > 2 year and ≤ 5 years 171 205 0 0.454 63 439 > 5 year and ≤ 10 years 3 30 0 0 0.0037 33 > 10 years 0 0 0 0 0.0000 0 Banking book* 4,327 1,517 592 535 926 7,897 ≤ 1 year 160 416 440 166 5 1,188 > 1 year and ≤ 2 years 2 311 146 160 0 618 > 2 year and ≤ 5 years 1,168 786 6 196 52 2,208 > 5 year and ≤ 10 years 2,641 4 0 13 867 3,525 > 10 years 357 0 0 0 1 358 Total 4,505 2,422 592 536 999 9,054 ≤ 1 year 164 846 440 166 5 1,622 > 1 year and ≤ 2 years 2 551 146 160 11 869 > 2 year and ≤ 5 years 1,339 991 6 197 114 2,647 > 5 year and ≤ 10 years 2,644 34 0 13 867 3,558 > 10 years 357 0 0 0 1 358

Financial Statements

Consolidated Balance Sheet

(Million euros)

30 June 2014 30 June 2015 30 June 2014 30 June 2015
Assets Liabilities
Cash and deposits at central banks 1,927.9 2,426.8 Amounts owed to credit institutions 13,080.3 12,412.9
Loans and advances to credit institutions Amounts owed to customers 48,806.8 50,601.1
Repayable on demand 720.6 1,140.8 Debt securities 8,314.9 5,262.9
Other loans and advances 1,012.6 831.0 Financial liabilities held for trading 921.3 824.2
Loans and advances to customers 55,547.3 53,408.6 Hedging derivatives 243.8 779.3
at fair value through profit or loss Provisions for liabilities and charges 415.9 302.8
Financial assets available for sale 10,490.1 11,703.6 Subordinated debt 3,928.8 1,660.5
Assets with repurchase agreement 76.7 31.3 Current income tax liabilities 7.9 6.5
Hedging derivatives 80.3 80.9 Deferred income tax liabilities 7.3 13.1
Financial assets held to maturity 2,744.0 436.7 Other liabilities 1,342.8 1,216.1
Investments in associated companies 443.2 305.4 Total Liabilities 77,069.8 73,079.5
Non current assets held for sale 1,570.8 1,674.7
Investment property 179.6 166.4 Equity
Property and equipment 728.8 706.1 Share capital 1,465.0 4,094.2
Current tax assets 39.1 40.5 Treasury stock -32.8 -120.1
Deferred tax assets 2,194.3 2,544.6 Share premium 0.0 16.5
Other assets 989.1 808.8 Preference shares 171.2 171.2
80,440.4 78,730.4 Other capital instruments 9.9 9.9
Fair value reserves 187.5 -100.9
Reserves and retained earnings 921.5 313.7
Net income for the period attrib. to Shareholders -62.2 240.7

80,440.4 78,730.4

Equity attrib to Shareholders of the Bank 2,660.1 4,625.2 Non-controlling interests 710.5 1,025.7 Total Equity 3,370.6 5,650.9

Consolidated Income Statement Per quarter

(Million
euros)
Quarterly
2Q 14 3Q 14 4Q 14 1Q 15 2Q 15
Net interest income 259.6 295.0 325.2 328.4 299.6
Dividends from equity instruments 2.5 0.1 0.1 2.0 3.8
Net fees and commission income 176.5 165.0 174.7 169.9 180.7
Other operating income 62.4 -13.8 -22.2 -18.0 -23.9
Net trading income 63.3 182.0 85.0 200.1 308.1
Equity accounted earnings 9.9 5.2 7.7 6.1 14.6
Banking income 574.2 633.6 570.5 688.4 782.9
Staff costs 163.2 154.6 157.6 153.3 155.7
Other administrative costs 113.9 109.7 117.3 106.7 106.4
Depreciation 15.9 16.5 17.2 16.7 16.6
Operating costs 293.1 280.9 292.0 276.6 278.6
Operating net income bef. imp. 281.1 352.7 278.4 411.8 504.3
Loans impairment (net of recoveries) 179.9 502.9 232.5 205.6 269.4
Other impairm. and provisions 54.6 29.0 66.3 70.1 21.7
Net income before income tax 46.6 -179.2 -20.3 136.1 213.2
Income tax 7.6 -173.0 73.1 36.3 18.1
Non-controlling interests 27.2 29.3 28.2 30.1 38.7
Net income (before disc. oper.) 11.7 -35.5 -121.6 69.6 156.3
Net income arising from discont. operations -33.3 -0.5 -6.8 0.8 14.0
Net income -21.5 -36.0 -128.4 70.4 170.3

Consolidated Income Statement (Portugal and International Operations)

For the 6 months period ended 30th June, 2014 and 2015

(Million euros)

(Million
euros)
Internatio nal o peratio
ns
Gro
up
P
o
rtugal
T
o
tal
B
ank M
illennium (P M
illennium bim (M
o
z.)
M illennium A
ngo
la
Other int. o peratio
ns
jun 14 jun 15 Δ % jun 14 jun 15 Δ % jun 14 jun 15 Δ % jun 14 jun 15 Δ % jun 14 jun 15 Δ % jun 14 jun 15 Δ % jun 14 jun 15 Δ %
Interest income 1,350 1,170 -13.3% 885 692 -21.7% 465 478 2.8% 308 278 -9.6% 97 117 21.0% 57 80 39.5% 3 3 -8.5%
Interest expense 854 542 -36.5% 677 363 -46.4% 177 179 1.5% 133 117 -12.3% 30 42 39.8% 17 23 39.7% -4 -3 6.7%
N
et interest inco
me
496 628 26.6% 208 329 58.5% 288 299 3.6% 175 161 -7.6% 6
6
7
5
12.5% 4
1
5
7
39.4% 7 6 -7.5%
Dividends from equity instruments 6 6 -0.1% 2 3 28.4% 3 3 -18.4% 0 0 -24.1% 0 0 -100.0% 3 3 -17.0% 0 0 -12.3%
Intermediatio
n margin
502 634 26.3% 210 332 58.2% 292 302 3.4% 175 162 -7.6% 6
6
7
5
12.4% 4
4
5
9
35.5% 7 6 -7.5%
Net fees and commission income 341 351 2.8% 217 225 3.7% 124 126 1.2% 76 74 -3.2% 21 25 16.8% 14 15 0.7% 13 13 2.3%
Other operating income
B
asic inco
me
47
890
-42
942
<-100%
5.9%
51
478
-44
513
<-100%
7.4%
-4
412
2
429
>100%
4.0%
-9
242
-5
230
42.1%
-4.9%
6
9
4
7
106
12.7%
13.4%
0
5
8
0
7
4
>100%
28.1%
0
19
0
19
-29.8%
-1.6%
Net trading income 175 508 >100% 132 426 >100% 43 82 89.2% 23 29 25.8% 9 22 >100% 11 29 >100% 1 2 >100%
Equity accounted earnings 23 21 -10.3% 23 21 -8.9% 0 0 -- 0 0 -- 0 0 -- 0 0 -- 0 0 --
B
anking inco
me
1,088 1,471 35.2% 633 960 51.8% 456 511 12.1% 264 258 -2.4% 103 128 24.5% 6
8
103 51.2% 2
0
2
1
6.1%
Staff costs 323 309 -4.5% 214 187 -12.5% 109 122 11.2% 64 67 3.3% 22 26 16.2% 15 20 35.6% 8 9 15.5%
Other administrative costs 221 213 -3.8% 121 116 -4.0% 101 97 -3.6% 61 51 -16.2% 19 24 22.6% 18 19 8.4% 3 3 10.8%
Depreciation 32 33 4.6% 16 15 -6.1% 15 18 16.0% 6 6 -7.4% 5 6 24.6% 4 6 44.5% 0 0 -16.4%
Operating co
sts
577 555 -3.7% 351 319 -9.3% 226 237 4.9% 132 123 -6.2% 46 56 19.8% 37 45 23.4% 11 12 13.9%
Operating net inco
me bef. imp.
512 916 79.0% 281 642 >100% 230 274 19.1% 133 135 1.5% 5
7
7
3
28.4% 3
2
5
8
83.3% 9 9 -3.2%
Loans impairment (net of recoveries) 372 475 27.8% 331 420 26.9% 41 55 34.7% 34 32 -5.8% 5 12 >100% 3 11 >100% -1 0 98.9%
Other impairm. and provisions 114 92 -19.4% 114 88 -22.9% -1 4 >100% -1 2 >100% 0 1 >100% 0 0 -25.1% 0 0 >100%
N
et inco
me befo
re inco
me tax
2
6
349 >100% -164 134 >100% 190 216 13.6% 100 100 0.8% 5
2
6
0
16.0% 2
8
4
7
64.3% 10 9 -14.3%
Income tax 2 54 >100% -37 13 >100% 39 42 7.0% 23 21 -9.1% 9 11 20.2% 5 8 59.6% 1 1 -12.0%
Non-controlling interests 53 69 30.9% 0 0 <-100% 52 69 32.4% 0 0 -- 0 1 26.2% 0 0 -- 52 69 32.5%
N
et inco
me (befo
re disc. o
per.)
-29 226 >100% -127 121 >100% 9
9
105 6.2% 7
6
7
9
3.8% 4
2
4
8
14.9% 2
3
3
8
65.4% -43 -61 -42.5%
Net income arising from discont. operations -34 15 >100%
N
et inco
me
-62 241 >100%

Investor Relations Division Rui Coimbra, Head of Investor Relations

Luís Pedro Monteiro Luís Morais Paula Dantas Henriques Lina Fernandes

Investor Relations Reporting and Ratings

Tl: +351 21 1131 084 Tl: + 351 21 1131 337

Email: [email protected]

Banco Comercial Português, S.A., a public company (sociedade aberta) having its registered office at Praça D. João I. 28, Oporto, registered at the Commercial Registry of Oporto, with the single commercial and tax identification number 501 525 882 and the share capital of EUR 4,094,235,361.88.

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