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Banco BPM SpA — Investor Presentation 2018
May 9, 2018
4282_ip_2018-05-09_f1d99026-7c08-4909-afcd-98b773e570ce.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 2018 Group Results Presentation
9 May 2018
DISCLAIMER
This presentation has been prepared by Banco BPM ("Banco BPM"); for the purposes of this notice, "presentation" means this document, any oral presentation, any question and answer session and any written or oral material discussed following the distribution of this document.
The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law or regulation. Accordingly, persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of, and observe, these restrictions. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, Banco BPM and its companies disclaim any responsibility or liability for the violation of such restrictions by any person.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Banco BPM or any member of its group, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in Banco BPM or any member of its group, or any commitment whatsoever. This presentation and the information contained herein does not constitute an offer of securities in, the United States or to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (the "Securities Act"), as amended), Canada, Australia, Japan or any other jurisdiction where such offer is unlawful.
The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements about Banco BPM. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forwardlooking statements are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "believes", "intends", "estimates" and similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
Banco BPM does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.
None of Banco BPM, its subsidiaries or any of their respective members. Directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
By participating to the presentation of the Group results and accepting a copy of this presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations regarding the information disclosed in this presentation.
***
This presentation includes both accounting data (based on financial accounts) and internal management data (which are also based on estimates).
Mr. Gianpietro Val, as the manager responsible for preparing the Bank's accounts, hereby states pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2 of the Financial Consolidated Act that the accounting data contained in this presentation correspond to the documentary evidence, corporate books and accounting records.
METHODOLOGICAL NOTES
- The new accounting standard IFRS 9 on "Financial Instruments" has become effective beginning on 1 January 2018 and therefore the P&L and balance sheet results of Q1 2018 have been prepared in compliance with the new accounting standard IFRS 9, while the 2017 P&L and balance sheet results had been prepared in compliance with the former accounting standard IAS 39.
- To favor a more consistent comparison between the 2018 and 2017 P&L data, in this presentation Q1 2018 data is complemented with the main reclassifications on adoption of the new accounting standard IFRS 9. However, it should be pointed out that the new classification and measurement criteria and the new impairment model for financial assets and liabilities do not allow a full comparability of the two sets of data under comparison.
- For a correct understanding of the Balance Sheet quarterly evolution, with accounting standards being equal, the balance sheet data as at 31/03/2018 has been compared with the balance sheet data as at 01/01/2018, recalculated, whenever possible, based on the new accounting standard, with all the differences and reclassifications as at 01/01/2018 duly highlighted compared to IAS 39 compliant data at 31/12/2017.
- It should be noted that as at 31 March 2018 the reclassified balance sheet face has been changed to include the new accounting categories of financial instruments, and that for the reclassified income statement face, the adoption of IFRS 9 required that some aggregates be redefined (for more details please refer to the explanatory notes of the news release of 9 May 2018 on the approval of the consolidated results as at 31 March 2018).
- It is also reminded that in August 2017, Banco BPM signed a binding Memorandum of Understanding to sell 100% of Aletti Gestielle SGR's capital to Anima Holding. For this reason, starting from 30/09/2017, the contribution of Aletti Gestielle has been classified according to IFRS 5 as a "discontinued operation". The sale of the Company was perfected in December 2017; For this reason, in the 2017 P&L statement, the contribution of Aletti Gestielle SGR and the gain realised from disposal are booked in line item "Income after tax from discontinued operation".
- Moreover, in February 2018, Banco BPM signed an agreement to sell the Custodian Banking activity. For this reason, starting from 31/03/2018, the Balance Sheet data related to this Business Unit (substantially CA and Deposits) have been classified according to IFRS 5 as a "discontinued operation". However, in this presentation, in order to ensure coherence with the historical reporting, the Direct Funding is reported including the data related to this Business Unit.
Agenda
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
| Annexes | 39 |
SOUND CAPITAL SUPPORTING THE DERISKING STRATEGY
Capital management actions more than compensating the IFRS 9 FTA registered in Q1 2018 at FL level
CET 1 RATIO: WIDE BUFFER VS. THE LATEST SREP REQUIREMENT
Capital management actions already finalised in Q1 2018
- Extension & Review of the AIRB models for Credit Risk
- Reorganization of Bancassurance business, including combined put option impact
- Dividend from Agos
Capital management actions already signed and to be finalised in Q2/Q3 2018: +60bps
- Dividends from other associates (Q2 2018; +5bps)
- Transfer of the insurance reserve management to Anima (Q2 2018; +21bps)
-
Disposal of the custodian banking activity (Q3 2018; +34bps)
-
The new FTA impairment model to non-performing exposures has been applied exclusively on bad loans cluster coherent with the accounting rules
DERISKING: STRONG NPL REDUCTION PROGRESSING WELL
DERISKING
| COVERAGE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 31/03/18 (IFRS 9) |
31/12/17 (IAS 39) |
|
| Total NPLs | 53.8% | 48.8% |
| Bad Loans | 66.4% | 58.9% |
| UTP Loans | 32.2% | 32.3% |
COLLATERALISATION
Note:
Transaction
-
- Data restated excluding from the Nominal amount only the write-offs which remained off-balance sheet at the beginning of 2017.
-
- Report PWC "The Italian NPL market Ready for the breakthrough", Dec. 2017.
DERISKING: STRONG NET BAD LOAN REDUCTION UNDER WAY
- Rigorous provisioning policy enabling a dramatic reduction in net bad loans: -56% vs. 31/12/2016 2
- Limited residual amount of net bad loans leaves the Group with a wide range of options to accelerate/potentially go beyond the derisking plan targets
Notes
-
- The December 2016 figure, in line with the coverage calculated since 31/03/2017, includes most of the write-offs which in the past were included in Nominal value and since 31/03/2017 have been brought back on-balance.
-
- Post Exodus Transaction.
EXODUS TRANSACTION: A KEY MILESTONE IN BANCO BPM'S DERISKING PLAN
Sale of ~€5bn of Bad Loans: GACS with accounting effects expected as of 30/06/2018
Scope of the Transaction
- Sale of ~€5bn of Bad Loans: bringing the total amount of Bad Loans disposed since 2016 to ~€9.5bn (>70% of the total disposal plan of €13bn). Only ~€3.5bn left to be sold by 2020.
- Portfolio composition: 74% Secured and 26% Unsecured
- Technical aspects: placement of Junior and Mezzanine Tranche entailing derecognition
- Positive impact on RWA: decrease of ~€1.3bn of RWA under the new model
Project update
- Data shared with the Rating Agencies: rating of the tranches expected by May
- Contacts with investors for the placement of Junior and Mezzanine tranches already started
- Transaction with expected accounting effects to be registered in the H1 2018 Financial Results
BAD LOAN PORTFOLIO: COMPARISON PRE vs. POST EXODUS
Net Bad Loans by Geographical Area
Net Bad Loans by Collateralisation
The Exodus Transaction broadly reflects the main characteristics of the existing Bad Loan portfolio: therefore, the Bad Loan composition, proforma post transaction, remains substantially unchanged
NEW COMMERCIAL NETWORK MODEL FROM JANUARY 2018
- NEW NETWORK STRUCTURE: increase in commercial effectiveness and cost efficiency
- NEW COMMERCIAL MODEL: development of processes and supporting IT procedures
NEW COMMERCIAL NETWORK MODEL, COUPLED WITH THE DIGITAL OMNICHANNEL TRANSFORMATION, PAVING THE WAY FOR A FURTHER OPTIMISATION OF THE GROUP'S DISTRIBUTION FRANCHISE:
THE NEW MODEL INVOLVED OVER 10,500 EMPLOYEES
OVER 3,000 EMPLOYEES HAVE BEEN RECONVERTED TO NEW PROFESSIONAL ROLES Mainly: over 700 new managerial roles, 1,100 commercial roles , ~500 control functions at branch level
CLOSURE OF FURTHER 312 RETAIL BRANCHES BY JUNE 2018: +44% VS. 2019 STRATEGIC PLAN TARGET
Historic and expected branch evolution
WELL AHEAD ON STRATEGIC PLAN TARGET AND ALREADY CLOSE TO THE POTENTIAL TARGET MODEL
- IT MIGRATION COMPLETED IN JULY 2017
- HR EXIT TIMELINE IN ADVANCE VS. THE STRATEGIC PLAN
- DEVELOPMENT OF OMNICHANNEL WELL ON TRACK
- MERGER OF BPM SPA EXPECTED IN Q3 2018
Notes:
- The network is consistent with the perimeter of rationalisation underlying the Strategic Plan 2016-19. It does not include: WeBank, Banca Akros, Banca Aletti (Italy and Switzerland) and other minor.
BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED HR MANAGEMENT THANKS ALSO TO STRONGER BRANCH RATIONALISATION
2019 Targets achieved 18 months ahead of the Strategic Plan
See slide 40 for details
INTEGRATION AND TRANSFORMATION PROJECTS WELL ON TRACK
Agenda
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
Annexes 39
Q1 2018 P&L PERFORMANCE AT A GLANCE
OPERATING PERFORMANCE BUILDING UP, NOTWITHSTANDING THE SIGNIFICANT EFFORTS DEVOTED TO THE COMMERCIAL NETWORK REORGANISATION
IFRS9 IMPACT OF €66M IS DUE TO THE COMBINED EFFECT OF:
- Positive impact on NII: positive from the reversal of time value on Bad Loans and negative from the accrual of interest on UTP
- Negative impact on Loan Loss Provisions: a full counterreflection of the positive impact on NII
Q1 2018 BUSINESS PERFORMANCE PRE-IFRS 9
Notes:
-
Adjusted numbers are before IFRS 9. They exclude non-recurring items: NII Q1 2017 (€32m TLTRO2 of H2 2016); operating costs Q1 2017 (-€27m DTA fee 2015 and €12m integration costs) Q1 2018 (€3m integration costs) as well as ordinary systemic charges: Q1 2017 (€62m ) Q1 2018 (€68m).
-
NII + Net Fees and Commissions.
NET INTEREST INCOME
- Stated Net Interest Income up 8.5% y/y, benefitting from the reversal of time value on bad loans, which will be subject to volatility linked to the upcoming NPL disposals
- Net Interest Income was up 2.4% when adjusting the Q1 2017 for TLTRO21and Q1 2018 for the IFRS9 effect, mainly thanks to the decrease in the cost of funding
- In the quarterly comparison, Net interest income, net of IFRS9 effect, was up 0.1% q/q, in spite of two fewer days in Q1 18 vs Q4 17: adjusted for the number of days, NII would register an increase of about 2%
Notes:
- Includes approx. €32m TLTRO2 accrued in 2016 and booked in Q1 17
NET INTEREST SPREAD
- Customer spread (1.54%) stable q/q, thanks to the improvement in the liability spread
- The liability spread improved by 15bps y/y and by 3bps q/q
Notes: Quarterly spreads for 2017 have been adjusted to reflect the adoption of new customer portfolio perimeter and segments of the new commercial network
NET FEES AND COMMISSIONS
- In Q1 2018, net fees and commissions were down -7.6% y/y. Q1 17 figures had been particularly strong due to the recovery after the merger-related slowdown of the commercial activities at the end of 2016
- Higher level of recurring fees in Q1 2018 (ca. +€20m1 ), in line with the Group's new portfolio advisory model adopted at the beginning of 2018
- Net fees and commissions +1.0% q/q, thanks to Management & Advisory fees, notwithstanding the reorganisation of the franchise and the adoption of the new portfolio advisory model
NET FINANCIAL RESULT
- The reduction in the Net Financial Result was mainly affected by the Group's portfolio hedging strategy (valued at mark-to-market), which is largely offset by the growth in unrealised reserves in debt securities classified as HTCS: about €227m as at 31/03/2018 vs. €173m1 as at year-end 2017
- The hedging strategy, coupled with the realisation of consistent gains in April 2018, allow the Group to expect a positive outlook for Q2 2018
Notes:
- The figure at year-end 2017 indicates the AFS reserve on the basis of IAS 39 as underlying accounting principle
OPERATING COSTS
- Operating costs were stable y/y and down 3.4% on an underlying basis (excl. one-off items and ordinary systemic charges), thanks to the strict cost control
- In the quarterly comparison, operating costs were up due to the seasonal effects typically registered at year-end. More significantly, a decrease of 1.8% was registered in comparison with the quarterly average of FY 2017 (€712m, net of one-off and ordinary systemic charges)
Notes:
Quarters include approx. €3m of PPA
- Quarterly average of underlying operating costs (excluding One-off and Systemic charges).
PERSONNEL EXPENSES
- Personnel expenses were down 3.2% y/y, mainly driven by the headcount reduction
- Personnel expenses were up q/q mainly due to some one-off year end effects. Comparing Q1 2018 with the quarterly average of FY 2017 (€446m), a decrease of 1.0% is registered
- Total headcount stood at 23,178 on 31 March 2018, down from 23,263 at year-end 2017 (- 85)
- After 1,182 exits on the basis of the Solidarity Fund in FY 2017 (of which 216 in H1 and 966 in H2), an additional 689 of this type of exits is planned in H2 2018: 373 in June 2018 and 316 in December 2018
OTHER ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES
| Ordinary systemic charges (€ m) |
Q1 17 | Q1 18 |
|---|---|---|
| SRF | 62 | 68 |
| DTA (fee for tax benefit) | 7 | 6 |
| Total contribution to funds | 69 | 74 |
Quarterly comparison
- Other administrative expenses decreased 2.2% y/y on an underlying basis (excl. one-off items and ordinary systemic charges)
- Comparing Q1 2018 with the quarterly average of FY 2017 (€221m), a decrease of 1.1% is registered on the same basis
Notes:
- Quarterly average of underlying operating costs (excluding One-off and Systemic charges).
ADJUSTMENTS ON CUSTOMER LOANS
- Q1 18 LLPs include the impact coming from the application of the IFRS 9 accounting principle: €66m higher LLPs, fully compensated at NII level
- Net of this impact, the Cost of credit stands at 98bps, confirming the willingness to maintain solid NPL coverage levels
- The cost of risk is in line with the Group's forecast, in spite of seasonal effects being more concentrated in H1 2018
Agenda
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
CUSTOMER LOANS
Net Customer Loans
| CHANGE | vs. 01/01/18 |
|---|---|
| Performing loans | 0.3% |
| o/w: Leasing (in run off) | -2.5% |
| NPLs | -1.8% |
| TOTAL | 0.1% |
Net Performing Loan breakdown by Product
- Performing customer loans slightly up in the quarter (+0.3%), notwithstanding the impact of the network reorganization. The leasing portfolio continues its run-off (-2.5%).
- €3.7bn of new mortgage and personal loans granted in the period (€0.8bn to Households and €2.9bn to Corporate)2
- IFRS 9 FTA impact on net customer loans for new Impairment model of -€1.3bn (of which -€1.2bn related to Bad Loans) as at 01/01/2018
Notes:
2018 Customer Loan data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost. It is noted that, as at 01/01/2018, €0.3bn loans were reclassified from Customer Loans measured at Amortized Cost to Other Financial Assets (see slide 42 for details).
-
- 2017 IAS 39 data are restated for the exclusion of Customer Debt Securities (€0.4bn).
-
- Internal management data. Corporate include SMEs, Large Corporates, Institutionals and Third Sector.
DIRECT FUNDING
Healthy growth in core deposits, with concurrent decline in more expensive sources of funding
BOND MATURITIES
Positive for funding cost reduction
- In Q1 2018, a total of about €2.1bn of bonds matured, with a positive effect on the cost of funding
- Average spread of bonds maturing in 9M 2018 and 2019: ~2.9%
- Maturities in the period 2018-2019 are set to be only partially replaced by new bond issues, with relatively cheaper funding costs (mainly covered bonds)
- Thanks to the strong liquidity position (~€19bn unencumbered assets, largely exceeding the upcoming maturities), the Group can further optimize the cost of funding and developing AUM, while maintaining a robust funding structure and a balanced ALM profile
STRONG LIQUIDITY POSITION
assets received as collateral.
- NSFR as at February 2018, latest available data.
Relevant amount of unencumbered assets, almost entirely composed of Government bonds
- Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights
INDIRECT FUNDING
Strong performance of 'Funds and Sicav'
Funds & Sicav
Bancassurance + Managed Accounts and Funds of Funds
AuM breakdown at 31/03/2018
AuM at 59.6bn (+€1.1bn y/y and -0.9bn q/q), sustained by a good growth in 'Funds and Sicav': at €38bn
(+10.2% y/y and +1.0% q/q)
- In the quarter, AuM registered a decrease in Managed Accounts & Funds of Funds and in Bancassurcance volumes, which were temporarily impacted by the reorganisation of bancassurance JVs
- 30 Funds and AuC registered the outflow of €4.8bn assets of one big institutional client with negligible margin contribution. Excluding these volumes also from the previous periods, the trend in AuC is -6.3% y/y and -0.1% q/q
- Total Indirect funding at €91.6bn as at 31/03/2018
Note:
-
The Proforma data at 31/03/2017 exclude the AUM of the non-captive network of Aletti Gestielle (amounting to €1.8bn), which was deconsolidated after the sale of the company in December 2017.
-
Assets under Custody is reported net of capital-protected certificates , as they have been regrouped under Direct Funding (see slide 27).
-
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights
SECURITIES PORTFOLIO
Prudent diversification, support NII and solid liquidity level
Analysis of the Securities Portfolio
- Increased diversification of the government bond portfolio:
- Italian govies: -€1.8bn vs. 01/01/2018
- 28% of non-Italian govies (vs. 18% in Jan. 18), primarily France (12%) Spain and USA (6% each), followed by Germany (3%)
- Italian govies: 48% in HTCS, 47% in HTC and 5% in FVTPL
- Modified duration of Italian govies in HTCS: ~1.85 years1
- Gross HTCS reserve on debt securities at €227m and unrealised gains on HTC debt securities at €206m as at 31/03/20181
Note: 1. Management accounting data, excluding Banca Akros perimeter.
Agenda
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
| Annexes | 39 |
NPL STOCK REDUCTION PROGRESSING...
Net NPLs
- NPL stock down by €0.2bn vs. 01/01/2018, mainly thanks to UTPs reduction (-2.8%), confirming the good performance of NPL management and the normalization in asset quality trends
- NPLs down by €3.7bn y/y, of which Bad Loans -€2.1bn and UTP -€1.5bn
- The IFRS 9 FTA impact on net NPLs (specifically on Bad Loans) for new Impairment models has translated into a reduction of €1.2bn as at 01/01/2018
Notes:
2018 Customer Loan data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost. It is noted that, as at 01/01/2018, €0.2bn UTP loans were reclassified from Customer Loans measured at Amortized Cost to Other Financial Assets.
… WITH CONSERVATIVE COVERAGE LEVELS
Coverage strengthened thanks to the IFRS 9 FTA
NPL coverage1
In Q1 2018, NPL coverage at 53.8% (+500bps vs. YE 2017), leveraging on the IFRS 9 FTA on Bad Loans, which reach a coverage of 66.4% (+750bps vs. YE 2017), paving the way for the acceleration of the derisking plan
Nominal Coverage
Notes: 2018 Customer Loan data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost.
WORKOUT ACTIVITIES: 2018 PERFORMANCE VS. 2017
- In Q12018, recoveries and cancellations are materially higher than the corresponding figures in 2017
- The workout activities had only a very limited impact on the cost of credit
Note: Internal management data.
Agenda
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
|---|---|---|
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
Annexes 39
CET1 RATIO: EVOLUTION DETAILS
Dynamic analysis of CET 1 ratio: +18bps vs. YE 2017 (at fully loaded proforma level)
| % | 11.92 | -180bps | +137bps | 11.50 | +60bps | 12.10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2017 RWA: €75.8bn |
IFRS 9 FTA1 With a 5-year phasing 1 |
Capital Management Actions + Q1 Performance IMPACT FROM AIRB MODEL EXTENSION & REVIEW BANCASS. REORGANISATION DIVIDENDS FROM AGOS |
31/03/2018 STATED RWA: €65.7bn |
Capital Management Actions already signed and to be finalised in Q2/Q3 2018 DIVIDENDS FROM OTHER ASSOCIATES TRANSFER OF INSURANCE RESERVES SALE OF CUSTODIAN BANK |
31/03/2018 PROFORMA |
||
| 11.92 | 13.48 | 14.05 | |||||
| CET 1 phased-in 01/01/2018 |
CET 1 phased-in 31/03/2018 STATED |
CET 1 phased-in 31/03/2018 PROFORMA |
- Strong capital position, with fully loaded CET 1 proforma ratio at 12.10% (+18bps vs. 31/12/2017), benefitting from significant capital management actions, more than compensating the full impact of -180bps from the IFRS 9 FTA1 . Stated fully loaded CET 1 ratio at 11.50% as at 31/03/2018, thanks to the finalisation of the bulk of capital management actions already in Q1 2018
- CET 1 phased-in at 13.48%, benefitting from the 5-year phasing of the IFRS 9 impact
IFRS 9 FTA IMPACT: AN OPPORTUNITY TO ACCELERATE DERISKING ON BAD LOANS AND TO STRENGTHEN FUTURE PROFITABILITY
IFRS 9 First Time Application (FTA) impact: -€1,382m pre-tax (€1,038m post-tax), mainly due to the application of the new impairment model as detailed below:
| - application of new impairment model to non-performing exposures: |
-€1,246 | m |
|---|---|---|
| - application of new impairment model to performing exposures: |
-€ | 91m |
| - application of new classification and measurement rules: |
+€ | 42m |
| - application of IFRS 9 by associates: |
-€ | 87m |
The new FTA impairment model to non-performing exposures has been applied exclusively on bad loans cluster coherent with the accounting rules
The resulting impact on the fully phased CET1 ratio as of 1 January 2018 is -180 bps
The Group has adopted the transitional arrangements to phase-in the IFRS 9 FTA impact in five years (5% for 2018)
IFRS 9 FTA provided a good opportunity to further increase the Bad Loan coverage in a meaningful way, thereby allowing the Group to:
- Accelerate the path of derisking: higher recovery rates and more disposal opportunities (disposal target increased from €8bn to €13bn)
- Anticipate the normalisation of the cost of risk, with positive implications for the bottom line result
Agenda
Annexes
ANNEXES STRATEGIC PLAN ROADMAP: DELIVERY PROCESS AT A GLANCE
ANNEXES RECLASSIFIED BALANCE SHEET* OF BANCO BPM GROUP AS AT 31/03/2018
| A | B | C | Chg. A/B | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclassified assets (€ m) | 31/03/2018 | 01/01/2018 | 31/12/17 | Value | % |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 830 | 977 | 977 | -147 | -15.0% |
| Loans and advances measured at AC | 111,839 | 111,012 | 112,682 | 827 | 0.7% |
| - Loans and advances to banks | 5,670 | 4,937 | 4,939 | 733 | 14.8% |
| - Loans and advances to customers | 106,168 | 106,074 | 107,743 | 94 | 0.1% |
| Other financial assets | 36,280 | 34,920 | 34,533 | 1,360 | 3.9% |
| - Assets measured at FV through PL | 6,251 | 6,453 | 5,185 | -201 | -3.1% |
| - Assets measured at FV through OCI | 16,712 | 16,750 | 17,129 | -38 | -0.2% |
| - Assets measured at AC | 13,317 | 11,718 | 12,220 | 1,599 | 13.7% |
| Equity investments | 1,369 | 1,262 | 1,349 | 107 | 8.5% |
| Property and equipment | 2,756 | 2,735 | 2,735 | 20 | 0.7% |
| Intangible assets | 1,304 | 1,297 | 1,297 | 7 | 0.5% |
| Tax assets | 4,852 | 4,887 | 4,520 | -34 | -0.7% |
| Non-current assets held for sale and discont. operations | 5 | 106 | 106 | -101 | -95.6% |
| Other assets | 3,018 | 3,007 | 3,007 | 11 | 0.4% |
| Total | 162,253 | 160,203 | 161,207 | 2,050 | 1.3% |
| A | B | B | Chg. A/B | ||
| Reclassified liabilities (€ m) | 31/03/2018 | 01/01/2018 | 31/03/2017 | Value | % |
| Due to banks | 29,555 | 27,199 | 27,199 | 2,356 | 8.7% |
| Direct Funding | 107,056 | 107,525 | 107,510 | -469 | -0.4% |
| - Deposits from customers | 88,683 | 87,848 | 87,848 | 835 | 1.0% |
| - Debt securities and financial liabilities desig. at FV | 18,373 | 19,677 | 19,662 | -1,304 | -6.6% |
| Other financial liabilities designated at FV | 8,414 | 8,704 | 8,708 | -290 | -3.3% |
| Liability provisions | 1,563 | 1,580 | 1,580 | -18 | -1.1% |
| Tax liabilities | 663 | 692 | 669 | -28 | -4.1% |
| Liabilities associated with assets held for sale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.4% |
| Other liabilities | 3,872 | 3,576 | 3,576 | 296 | 8.3% |
| Minority interests | 55 | 58 | 63 | -3 | -4.7% |
| Shareholders' equity | 11,074 | 10,868 | 11,900 | 206 | 1.9% |
| Total | 162,253 | 160,203 | 161,207 | 2,050 | 1.3% |
«Deposits from customers» include also Custodian Bank, which is going to be disposed.
ANNEXES RECLASSIFIED BALANCE SHEET OF BANCO BPM GROUP AS AT 01/01/2018 (IFRS 9) VS 31/12/2017 (IAS 39)
| € m (euro thousand) |
31/12/2017 | Classification (a) |
Measurement impacts (b) |
ECL impacts (c) |
01/01/2018 | IFRS 9 impacts (b+c) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 977 | - | - | - | 977 | - | |
| Financial assets at amortised cost | 112,682 | -347 | - | -1,324 | 111,012 | -1,324 | |
| - Due from banks | 4,939 | (1) | - | - | -2 | 4,937 | -2 |
| - Customer loans | 107,743 | (2) | -347 | - | -1,322 | 106,074 | -1,322 |
| Financial assets and hedging derivatives | 34,533 | 347 | 54 | -13 | 34,920 | 40 | |
| - Financial assets designated at FV through P&L | 5,185 | 1,283 | -15 | - | 6,453 | -15 | |
| - Financial assets designated at FV through OCI | 17,129 | (3) | -430 | 52 | - | 16,750 | 52 |
| - Financial assets at amortised cost | 12,220 | (4) | -507 | 18 | -13 | 11,718 | 4 |
| Equity investments (*) | 1,349 | - | -87 | - | 1,262 | -87 | |
| Property and equipment | 2,735 | - | - | - | 2,735 | - | |
| Intangible assets | 1,297 | - | - | - | 1,297 | - | |
| Tax assets | 4,520 | - | - | 366 | 4,887 | 366 | |
| Non-current assets held for sale and discontinued operations | 106 | - | - | - | 106 | - | |
| Other assets | 3,007 | - | - | - | 3,007 | - | |
| Total ASSETS | 161,207 | - | -33 | -971 | 160,203 | -1,004 | |
| Due to banks | 27,199 | - | - | - | 27,199 | - | |
| Direct funding | 107,510 | - | 15 | - | 107,525 | 15 | |
| - Due to customers | 87,848 | - | - | - | 87,848 | - | |
| - Debt securities issued and financial liabilities designated at FV | 19,662 | - | 15 | - | 19,677 | 15 | |
| Other financial liabilities designated at fair value | 8,708 | - | -4 | - | 8,704 | -4 | |
| Liability provisions | 1,580 | - | - | -0 | 1,580 | -0 | |
| Tax liabilities | 669 | - | 21 | 1 | 692 | 22 | |
| Liabilities associated with assets held for sale | 0 | - | - | - | 0 | - | |
| Other liabilities | 3,576 | - | - | - | 3,576 | - | |
| Total LIABILITIES | 149,243 | - | 33 | 1 | 149,277 | 34 | |
| Minority interests | 63 | - | - | -6 | 58 | -6 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 11,900 | - | -66 | -966 | 10,868 | -1,032 | |
| CONSOLIDATED SHAREHOLDERS 'EQUITY | 11,964 | - | -66 | -972 | 10,926 | -1,038 |
a) Reclassification of the IAS 39 balances according the new items of the financial assets and liabilities.
b) IFRS 9 FTA impacts from the new measurement criteria of the financial assets and liabilities (excluding ECL).
c) IFRS 9 FTA impacts from the new Expected Credit Loss (ECL) model
(*) Estimated impact on Equity investments following the new calculation of the net equity of the investments according to the IFRS 9 rules
-
Corresponding to the retired balance sheet item "due from banks" (5,164,715 thousand), net of assets represented by debt securities (225,492 thousand)
-
- Corresponding to the retired balance sheet item "loans to customers" (108,176,382 thousand), net of assets represented by debt securities (433,703 thousand) 3. The ex IAS 39 portfolio of "Financial assets available for sale" has been fully assigned to the line-item "Assets measured at FV through OCI"
-
- The balance of the ex IAS 39 portfolio of "Financial assets held to maturity" (11,560,769 thousand) and loans to customers and banks represented by debt securities, as described in the above notes 1) and 2) (totaling 659,195 thousand), has been assigned to the line-item "Financial activities measured at amortized cost"
42 Annexes
ANNEXES Q1 2018 RECLASSIFIED P&L (PRE/POST IFRS9): QUARTERLY EVOLUTION
| Reclassified income statement (in euro million) |
Q1 2018 | Reclassification IFRS9 |
Q1 2018 without reclassific. |
Q1 2017 | Q2 2017 | Q3 2017 | Q4 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 595.1 | 65.8 | 529.4 | 548.6 | 511.1 | 524.9 | 528.8 |
| Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity |
42.6 | 42.6 | 41.6 | 40.4 | 38.9 | 45.2 | |
| Net interest, dividend and similar income | 637.7 | 65.8 | 571.9 | 590.2 | 551.5 | 563.9 | 573.9 |
| Net fee and commission income | 476.5 | 476.5 | 515.8 | 503.6 | 458.9 | 472.1 | |
| Other net operating income | 24.2 | 24.2 | 30.3 | 14.4 | 29.4 | 24.7 | |
| Net financial result | 29.3 | 29.3 | 36.9 | 63.3 | 13.0 | 41.9 | |
| Other operating income | 530.0 | 0.0 | 530.0 | 582.9 | 581.3 | 501.3 | 538.7 |
| Total income | 1,167.7 | 65.8 | 1,101.9 | 1,173.1 | 1,132.8 | 1,065.1 | 1,112.7 |
| Personnel expenses | -442.1 | -442.1 | -456.7 | -456.7 | -450.6 | -420.8 | |
| Other administrative expenses | -279.5 | -279.5 | -260.7 | -233.1 | -273.2 | -212.3 | |
| Amortization and depreciation | -47.9 | -47.9 | -52.9 | -56.4 | -62.2 | -95.5 | |
| Operating costs | -769.5 | 0.0 | -769.5 | -770.3 | -746.2 | -786.0 | -728.6 |
| Profit (loss) from operations | 398.2 | 65.8 | 332.4 | 402.8 | 386.6 | 279.2 | 384.1 |
| Net adjustments on loans to customers | -326.2 | -65.8 | -260.5 | -292.5 | -354.5 | -340.8 | -673.1 |
| Net adjustments on other financial assets | 2.2 | 2.2 | -8.4 | -70.8 | -48.3 | -12.7 | |
| Net provisions for risks and charges | -25.0 | -25.0 | 0.5 | -9.6 | 4.6 | -9.2 | |
| Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments |
179.7 | 179.7 | 17.1 | -3.8 | 0.3 | 12.1 | |
| Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations | 228.9 | 0.0 | 228.9 | 119.6 | -52.1 | -105.0 | -298.9 |
| Tax on income from continuing operations | -7.0 | -7.0 | -27.5 | 1.1 | 45.6 | 103.2 | |
| Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 25.8 | 16.5 | 700.0 | |
| Income (loss) attributable to minority interests | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | |
| Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill & Impairment of goodwill and client relationship |
223.3 | 0.0 | 223.3 | 115.2 | -21.0 | -41.5 | 505.1 |
ANNEXES Q1 2018 RECLASSIFIED P&L: ANNUAL COMPARISON
| Reclassified income statement | Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | Chg. Y/Y | Chg. Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in euro million) | Stated | Stated | % | |
| Net interest income | 595.1 | 548.6 | 46.5 | 8.5% |
| Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at | ||||
| equity | 42.6 | 41.6 | 1.0 | 2.4% |
| Net interest, dividend and similar income | 637.7 | 590.2 | 47.5 | 8.0% |
| Net fee and commission income | 476.5 | 515.8 | -39.3 | -7.6% |
| Other net operating income | 24.2 | 30.3 | -6.2 | -20.3% |
| Net financial result | 29.3 | 36.9 | -7.5 | -20.5% |
| Other operating income | 530.0 | 582.9 | -53.0 | -9.1% |
| Total income | 1,167.7 | 1,173.1 | -5.5 | -0.5% |
| Personnel expenses | -442.1 | -456.7 | 14.6 | -3.2% |
| Other administrative expenses | -279.5 | -260.7 | -18.8 | 7.2% |
| Amortization and depreciation | -47.9 | -52.9 | 5.0 | -9.4% |
| Operating costs | -769.5 | -770.3 | 0.8 | -0.1% |
| Profit (loss) from operations | 398.2 | 402.8 | -4.7 | -1.2% |
| Net adjustments on loans to customers | -326.2 | -292.5 | -33.7 | 11.5% |
| Net adjustments on other financial assets | 2.2 | -8.4 | 10.6 | n.s. |
| Net provisions for risks and charges | -25.0 | 0.5 | -25.5 | n.s. |
| Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments |
179.7 | 17.1 | 162.6 | n.s. |
| Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations | 228.9 | 119.6 | 109.3 | 91.4% |
| Tax on income from continuing operations | -7.0 | -27.5 | 20.5 | -74.6% |
| Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations | 0.0 | 20.0 | -20.0 | n.s. |
| Income (loss) attributable to minority interests | 1.4 | 3.1 | -1.7 | -54.4% |
| Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill & Impairment of goodwill and client relationship |
223.3 | 115.2 | 108.1 | 93.8% |
| Badwill | 3,076.1 | -3,076.1 | n.s. | |
| Net income (loss) for the period | 223.3 | 3,191.3 | -2,968.0 | -93.0% |
ANNEXES CUSTOMER LOAN ANALYSIS
Retail and SME-oriented banking group, with franchise concentrated in Northern Italy
Breakdown of net loans by customer segment at 31/03/2018
Breakdown of net loans by geographical area at 31/03/2018
- Roughly 27% of customer loans in relation to the Household segment.
- Corporates1 , excluding Large Corporates, account for roughly 63% of the loan book and the average loan ticket is small, coming in at about €270K.
- More than 70% of the portfolio is concentrated in the wealthiest areas of the Country.
Note:
- Non-financial companies (mid-corporate and small business) and financial companies. Includes €7.4bn of Repos, mainly with Cassa di Compensazione e Garanzia.
ANNEXES CREDIT QUALITY DETAILS
| CREDIT QUALITY DETAILS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € m |
|||||
| 31/03/2018 (IFRS 9) | |||||
| Gross exposure | Adjustments | Coverage | Net exposure | ||
| Bad Loans | 15,538 | 10,312 | 66.4% | 5,226 | |
| Unlikely to pay | 8,950 | 2,885 | 32.2% | 6,065 | |
| Past Due | 7 9 |
1 2 |
15.3% | 6 7 |
|
| Non-performing Loans | 24,567 | 13,209 | 53.8% | 11,358 | |
| Performing Loans | 95,199 | 388 | 0.4% | 94,810 | |
| Total Customer Loans | 119,766 | 13,597 | 11.4% | 106,168 |
| Non-performing Loans | 24,567 | 13,209 | 53.8% | 11,358 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performing Loans | 95,199 | 388 | 0.4% | 94,810 |
| Total Customer Loans | 119,766 | 13,597 | 11.4% | 106,168 |
| 01/01/2018 (IFRS 9) | ||||
| Gross exposure | Adjustments | Coverage | Net exposure | |
| Bad Loans | 15,794 | 10,552 | 66.8% | 5,242 |
| Unlikely to pay | 9,215 | 2,974 | 32.3% | 6,241 |
| Past Due | 9 5 |
1 5 |
15.7% | 8 0 |
| Non-performing Loans | 25,104 | 13,540 | 53.9% | 11,563 |
| Performing Loans | 94,889 | 378 | 0.4% | 94,511 |
| Total Customer Loans | 119,993 | 13,918 | 11.6% | 106,074 |
| Performing Loans | 94,889 | 378 | 0.4% | 94,511 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Customer Loans | 119,993 | 13,918 | 11.6% | 106,074 | |
| 31/12/2017 (IAS 39) - EXCLUDING CUSTOMER DEBT SECURITIES | |||||
| Gross exposure | Adjustments | Coverage | Net exposure | ||
| Bad Loans | 15,794 | 9,306 | 58.9% | 6,488 | |
| Unlikely to pay | 9,546 | 3,087 | 32.3% | 6,459 | |
| Past Due | 9 5 |
1 5 |
15.7% | 8 0 |
|
| Non-performing Loans | 25,435 | 12,408 | 48.8% | 13,027 | |
| Performing Loans | 95,018 | 303 | 0.3% | 94,716 | |
| Total Customer Loans | 120,453 | 12,710 | 10.6% | 107,743 |
Notes: 2018 data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost. 2017 data restated for the exclusion of Customer Debt Securities.
ANNEXES BAD LOANS: PROGRESS ANALYSIS
Accounting coverage to 83.7% for unsecured positions and to 58.3% for secured positions
-
Report PWC "The Italian NPL market – Ready for Breakthrough", Dec- 2017.
-
Collateral FV capped at nominal value.
ANNEXES UNLIKELY-TO-PAY LOANS: PROGRESS ANALYSIS
- Solid level of coverage for the unsecured UTP, at 46.9%
- Net Restructured loans (€2.6bn) account for 43.1% of total net UTP: they are essentially related to formalized underlying restructuring plans and procedures (mainly under Italian credit protection rules procedures)
- Net unsecured UTP other than Restructured loans are limited to €0.5bn
HEADCOUNT EVOLUTION
Headcount evolution
Starting from 31/12/2015 (25,001 units), the headcount reduction expected by 2019 is ~2,600, equal to -10% of the workforce
Notes:
-
Including natural turnover.
-
Including the 71 higher Solidarity Fund exits coming from the new agreement signed in June 2017.
CONTACTS FOR INVESTORS AND FINANCIAL ANALYSTS
I N V E S T O R R E L A T I O N S
| Roberto Peronaglio | +39-02-7700.2574 | |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Lucassen |
+39-045-867.5537 | |
| Arne Riscassi |
+39-02-7700.2008 | |
| Silvia Leoni | +39-045-867.5613 | |
| Andrea Agosti | +39-02-7700.7848 |
Registered Offices: Piazza Meda 4, I-20121 Milan, Italy Corporate Offices: Piazza Nogara 2, I-37121 Verona, Italy
[email protected] www.bancobpm.it (IR Section)