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Bakkafrost P/f — Investor Presentation 2021
Feb 23, 2021
7331_rns_2021-02-23_2be75287-ed2d-42d0-90cc-97dbf82c3f48.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q4 2020
BAKKAFROST GROUP Glyvrar 23 February 2021
DISCLAIMER
- This presentation includes statements regarding future results, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Consequently, actual results may differ significantly from the results indicated or implied in these statements.
- No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees or advisors accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
SUMMARY OF Q4 2020
MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
Klaksvík, Faroe Islands
| Operation | Harvest in the Faroe Islands (FO): 15,957 tgw in Q4 2020 (17,930 tgw in Q4 2019) 9,305 tgw in Q4 2020 (7,925 tgw in Q4 2019) Harvest in Scotland (SCT): Feed sales of 30,885 tonnes in Q4 2020 (28,398 tonnes in Q4 2019) of 71,887 tonnes in Q3 2020 (35,180 tonnes in Q4 2019) Raw material purchase |
|---|---|
| Revenues and Operational EBIT |
Revenues of DKK 1,183 million in Q4 2020 (DKK 1,605 million in Q4 2019) Operational EBIT** of DKK 89 million in Q4 2020 (DKK 415 million in Q4 2019) |
| Cash Flow | Cash flow from operations of DKK -107 million in Q4 2020 (DKK -150 million in Q4 2019) |
| Segments | Positive operational EBIT for FO segments, but negative for SCT |
| Dividends | Proposed dividend of DKK 3.65 per share for 2020 |
| ) Including internal sales of 29,516 tonnes in Q4 2020 (20,778 tonnes in Q4 2019) *) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax |
SUMMARY OF THE QUARTER
| Segments y/y |
(DKK million) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 |
YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (FO)* Farming/VAP | Operating revenue | 1,183 | 1,605 | 4,696 | 4,511 |
| 28.25 12.92 (Q4 2019) (Q4 2020) |
Operational EBITDA | 215 | 544 | 1,068 | 1,635 |
| Operational EBIT | 89 | 415 | 621 | 1,325 | |
| (SCT)* Farming | Profit for the period | -38 | 220 | 463 | 802 |
| 3.09 -8.41 (Q4 2020) (Q4 2020) |
Operational EBITDA margin | 18.2% | 33.9% | 22.7% | 36.2% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 7.5% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 29.4% | |
| VAP* | |||||
| 11.72 17.05 (Q4 2019) (Q4 2020) |
Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO) (NOK) | 5.66 | 25.49 | 12.69 | 25.44 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) | 12.92 | 28.25 | 16.65 | 26.91 | |
| FOF** | Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | 17.05 | 11.72 | 8.39 | 5.04 |
| 17.1% 13.4% (Q4 2019) (Q4 2020) |
Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming SCT) (NOK) | -8.41 | 3.09 | -0.99 | 3.09 |
| EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and Feed) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 19.9% |
Group Operational EBIT was DKK 89 million in Q4 2020, compared to DKK 415 million in Q4 2019
* Operational EBIT in NOK/kg
** EBITDA margin
SUMMARY OF Q4 2020
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
Fuglafjøður, A57 and Havsbrún and GøtuvíkA25 in the background Faroe Islands
MARKETS & SALES SALES TO WESTERN EUROPE INCREASED – OTHER MARKETS DECREASED
Western Europe North America Asia 59% (Q4 2020) 43% (Q4 2019) 20% (Q4 2020) 23% (Q4 2019) 8% (Q4 2020) 22% (Q4 2019) Sales & volume (FO only) Total sales of salmon Fresh salmon only by markets
Eastern Europe 12% (Q4 2020) 12% (Q4 2019)
Harvest volumes used in the VAP
| Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| Western Europe | 59% | 96% | 74% | 43% | 93% | 59% | 56% | 90% | 70% | 44% | 93% | 50% |
| North America | 20% | 3% | 14% | 23% | 4% | 17% | 24% | 5% | 17% | 24% | 4% | 21% |
| Asia | 8% | 0% | 5% | 22% | 2% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 21% |
| Eastern Europe | 12% | 0% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 8% |
| Rest of the world | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Fresh salmon only by Q4 2020 |
Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| Western Europe | 38% | 96% | 70% | 28% | 93% | 53% | 31% | 90% | 64% | 25% | 93% | 37% |
| North America | 32% | 3% | 16% | 29% | 4% | 19% | 38% | 5% | 20% | 29% | 4% | 25% |
| Asia | 13% | 0% | 6% | 27% | 2% | 17% | 19% | 1% | 9% | 33% | 2% | 28% |
| Eastern Europe | 17% | 0% | 8% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 10% |
| Rest of the world | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Average spot prices decreased in Q4 2020 (NOK/KG)
Spot prices were lower in Q4 2020 (mainly a Covid-19 effect)
Global harvest grew 11% y/y
Spot prices (NASDAQ) on superior 4-5 [NOK/kg HOG]
Change in global market [volume harvested and market price]
Global Harvest growth of 11%
Europe harvest up 9%
- Strong growth conditions in Norway
- UK Low proportion of 2019 harvest in Q4
Americas harvest grew 16%
- 20% increase in Chile
- Good productivity and high average harvest weights
- Minor absolute changes in North America
Norway 365 335 8.8 % UK 45 38 16.9 % Faroes 21 24 -12.2 % Iceland 10 8 23.3 % Ireland 3 3 -1.5 % Total Europe 443 408 8.5 % Chile 196 163 20.4 % Canada 32 33 -5.7 % USA 5 5 -3.8 % Total Americas 232 201 15.5 % Other 26 24 9.7 % Total (Harvested quantity) 701 633 10.8 % Inventory movements -17 -11 54.8 % Total (Sold Quantity) 684 622 10.0 %
Supply Development Q4 2020 Q4 2019 Change
Inventory
Build-up primarily relates to Chile and to some extent Norway
Source: Kontali
Global Supply growth of 10%
EU/UK grew 13%
- Consuming higher proportion of EU harvest
- Covid-19 driven logistic issues to remote markets, and reduced demand from remote markets
USA grew 10%
Demand boosted by low prices for Chilean salmon
Greater China dropped 39%
- Logistical challenges for export of Chilean salmon
- Covid-19 scare related to fresh salmon in China
Latin America grew 20%
Significant increase in Latin America
Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted - HOG)
| Estimated volumes | Q4 comparison | Estimated volumes | FY comparison | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q4 2020E | Q4 2019 | Volume | % | FY 2020E | FY 2019 | Volume | % | |
| EU+UK | 313,900 | 277,700 | 36,200 | 13% | 1,070,800 | 1,017,300 | 53,500 | 5% | |
| USA | 132,500 | 120,400 | 12,100 | 10% | 505,800 | 468,600 | 37,200 | 8% | |
| Russia | 27,700 | 25,700 | 2,000 | 8% | 78,500 | 78,600 | -100 | 0% | |
| Japan | 19,300 | 14,900 | 4,400 | 30% | 64,200 | 52,800 | 11,400 | 22% | |
| Greater China | 21,500 | 35,000 | -13,500 | -39% | 101,900 | 133,700 | -31,800 | -24% | |
| ASEAN | 20,400 | 18,500 | 1,900 | 10% | 71,900 | 72,100 | -200 | 0% | |
| Latin America | 52,100 | 43,500 | 8,600 | 20% | 168,300 | 163,600 | 4,700 | 3% | |
| Ukraine | 9,400 | 6,500 | 2,900 | 45% | 23,500 | 20,600 | 2,900 | 14% | |
| Other markets | 87,200 | 79,500 | 7,700 | 10% | 303,700 | 294,500 | 9,200 | 3% | |
| Total all markets | 684,000 | 621,700 | 62,300 | 10.0 % | 2,388,600 | 2,301,800 | 86,800 | 3.8 % |
Comments:
EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom (England, Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland). Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
Source: Kontali
SHORT TERM SUPPLY OUTLOOK LIMITED SUPPLY GROWTH IN 2021 – ESPECIALLY IN H2
Expectation of limited global supply growth in 2021
- Stable growth around 8% in Europe
- Release of inventory primarily during H1 2021
- Tight supply growth in H2 2021
- 2021 drop in Americas driven by Chile
- Temporary low smolt release 2H 2019/1H 2020
BAKKAFROST / Q4 2020 PRESENTATION Page 11
SUMMARY OF Q4 2020
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
FARMING – HARVEST VOLUME DECREASED HARVEST IN THE FAROE ISLANDS – INCREASED AVG. SMOLT SIZE
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FO - North Region |
6,486 | 0 | 31,029 | 18,252 |
| FO - West Region |
6,965 | 13,155 | 14,415 | 32,210 |
| FO - South Region |
2,506 | 4,775 | 5,256 | 6,722 |
| FO – Total |
15,957 | 17,930 | 50,700 | 57,184 |
| SCT | 9,305 | 7,925 | 34,986 | 7,925 |
| Total (FO & SCT) | 25,262 | 25,855 | 85,687 | 65,109 |
Sea water Temperatures at 18m depth in the Faroe Islands
FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
REVENUE AND OPERATIONAL EBIT DECREASED IN THE FAROE ISLANDS
Faroe Islands (FO) Operational EBIT (mDKK) Operational EBIT margin (%) Operating revenue (mDKK) 63 (Q4 2020) 338 (Q4 2019) 10 (Q4 2020) 36 (Q4 2019) 603 (Q4 2020) 945 (Q4 2019)
Scotland (SCT)
Compared to the Faroe Islands, Scotland had a lower operational EBIT and EBIT margin.
Compared to Q3 2020, SCT's operational EBIT margin decreased from -6.8% to -13.9%.
| Farming FO (DKK million) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 |
YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 603 | 945 | 2,340 | 3,152 |
| Operational EBIT | 63 | 338 | 448 | 1,103 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 10% | 36% | 19% | 35% |
| Farming SCT (DKK million) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 |
YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 389 | 437 | 1,596 | 437 |
| Operational EBIT | -54 | 18 | -24 | 18 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -13,9% | 4% | -2% | 4% |
FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Average weights (HOG):
| FO (North): | 5.6 kg |
|---|---|
| FO (West): | 5.0 kg |
| FO (South): | 6.6 kg |
| SCT: | 3.7 kg |
- FO: Good biological performance in the quarter, good growth and low mortality.
- SCT: Biological challenges and increased mortality in several areas.
Market: Market conditions were significantly affected by Covid-19 in Q4 2020
-10 0 10 20 30
Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg]
(NOK/kg) Q4 2020 FO SCT North West South Total Total Op. EBIT/kg gw 8.81 2,43 6,51 5,66 -8.41
Q4 FO Q4 SCT YTD FO YTD SCT Solid fill: 2020 Increased transparency: 2019
Freight per kilo sold fresh salmon (FO) [Q3 2019 = Index 100]
VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS (VAP) STRONG QUARTER WITH HIGHER VOLUMES AND IMPROVED RESULTS
| (DKK million) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 287 | 249 | 1.116 | 964 |
| Operational EBIT | 80 | 37 | 140 | 64 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 28% | 15% | 13% | 7% |
| VAP produced volumes (tgw) | 6.790 | 4.219 | 23.931 | 16.690 |
Margin - EBIT per kg total VAP produced [NOK/kg]
FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED (FOF) HIGHER RAW MATERIAL SOURCING, BUT LOWER EXTERNAL SALES OF FISHMEAL
| (DKK million) | Q4 2020 |
Q4 2019 |
YTD 2020 |
YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 359 | 338 | 1,419 | 1,388 |
| EBITDA | 48 | 58 | 208 | 276 |
| EBITDA margin | 13% | 17% | 15% | 20% |
| Feed sold (tonnes)* | 30,885 | 28,398 | 111,998 | 97,408 |
| Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | 1,500 | 4,123 | 18,675 | 31,769 |
* Including internal sales, corresponding to 96% of feed volumes in Q4 2020 (Q4 2019: 73%)
MARKET CONDITIONS FEED SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FEED SALES
Total feed sales increased (tonnes)
30,885 (Q4 2020) 28,398 (Q4 2019) 9%
External feed sale decreased (tonnes)
1,369 (Q4 2020) 7,620 (Q4 2019) -82%
Fishmeal and fish oil price index in DKK (Q1 2015 = 100)
Source: Holtermann
Market fluctuations
The fishmeal price increased while the fish oil price decreased in Q4 2020, compared to the previous quarter
SUMMARY OF Q4 2020
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS LOWER REVENUE, REDUCED OPERATIONAL EBIT AND PROFIT
| (DKK million) | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 1,183 | 1,605 | 4,696 | 4,511 |
| Operational EBITDA | 215 | 544 | 1,068 | 1,635 |
| Operational EBIT | 89 | 415 | 621 | 1,325 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | -22 | -103 | 118 | -221 |
| Onerous contracts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Income from associates | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| Revenue tax | -2 | -14 | -54 | -99 |
| EBIT | 69 | 301 | 691 | 1,019 |
| Net financial items | -29 | -31 | -65 | -37 |
| EBT | 41 | 271 | 626 | 982 |
| Taxes | -78 | -51 | -163 | -180 |
| Profit for the period | -38 | 220 | 463 | 802 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 18.2% | 33.9% | 22.7% | 36.2% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 7.5% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 29.4% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) | 12.92 | 28.25 | 16.65 | 26.91 |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming SCT) (NOK) | -8.41 | 3.09 | -0.99 | 3.09 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 19.9% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT aligned for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax.
OPERATIONAL EBIT* AND ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE
Operational EBIT* (mDKK)
1,165 1,378 1,075 1,325 622 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Adjusted EPS (DKK)
*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
BALANCE SHEET
| (DKK million) | Q4 2020 | End 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 4,493 | 4,396 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 4,221 | 3,780 |
| Right of use assets | 353 | 333 |
| Financial assets | 122 | 119 |
| Long-term receivables | 8 | 4 |
| Deferred tax assets | 1 | 38 |
| Biological assets | 2,117 | 1,902 |
| Inventory | 776 | 549 |
| Receivables | 490 | 626 |
| Other receivables | 134 | 46 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 467 | 1,310 |
| Total Assets | 13,183 | 13,101 |
| Equity | 8,729 | 8,497 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 1,196 | 1,124 |
| Long-term interest-bearing debt | 2,220 | 2,328 |
| Long-term leasing debt | 265 | 226 |
| Financial derivatives | 11 | 15 |
| Short-term leasing debt | 131 | 108 |
| Accounts and other payables | 629 | 804 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 13,183 | 13,101 |
Inventory total (mDKK)
VAP segment (mDKK)
FOF segment (mDKK)
Volumes
Inventory volumes in the VAP and FOF segments increased during Q4 2020 as well as during FY2020
Cost price
Average cost price of inventory decreased during Q4 2020 as well as during FY2020
CASH FLOW
| Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | YTD 2020 |
YTD 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| -107 | -150 | 474 | 1,033 |
| -343 | -3,791 | -816 | -4,598 |
| 471 | 2,639 | -500 | 4,557 |
| 21 | -1,302 | -843 | 993 |
| 467 | 1,310 | 467 | 1,310 |
| 1,677 | 2,470 | 1,677 | 2,470 |
NIBD was increased by:
- Net investments (mDKK 343)
- Taxes paid (mDKK 189)
- Change in working capital (mDKK 118)
NIBD was decreased by:
Cash flow, operating activities (mDKK -154)
Financing end Q4 2020
- NIBD: DKK 1,753 million
- Bank facilities of EUR 463 million
- Undrawn credit facilities: DKK 1,677 million
Development in NIBD in DKK millions
NIBD and available funding
Q4 ESG UPDATE
Healthy Living Plan
We believe that by investing in the health of our business, our people, our salmon, the environment and the communities in which we operate, we will enable healthy living for millions of people globally.
See more by visiting www.bakkafrost.com/sustainability
UN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS
Bakkafrost is contributing towards to the achievement of the UN SDGs through the Healthy Living Plan.
Healthy Business
Bakkafrost named top three producer of sustainable protein by the Coller FAIRR 2020 Protein Producer Index - one of only three companies to rank as "low risk" for investors.
Healthy Salmon
100% ASC certification
Healthy Communities
Contributed around 3.5 mDKK to local communities through our Healty Living Fund in 2020
Healthy People
Provided free Influenza vaccines to all employees in the Faroe Islands.
Healthy Environment
In Q4 2020 biogas plant FÖRKA delivered 1.4 MWh of electricity to the national grid and 0.9 MWh of district heating to citizens of Tórshavn.
In Q4 the biogas plant produced green energy equal to 355.049 liters of fuel oil
SUMMARY OF Q4 2020 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG
APPENDIX
OUTLOOK
Market
- Global harvest increased 10.8% in in Q4 2020
- 4% increase expected in global harvest in Q1 2021
- 2-3% increase in global harvest expected in 2021
- 5-6% increase in global supply expected in 2021 due to expected inventory movements, especially in H1
Farming
- In 2020, Bakkafrost harvested HOG 85,686 tonnes in the Faroe Islands and Scotland combined
- In 2021, Bakkafrost expects to harvest HOG 106,000 tonnes (Faroe Islands: 66,000 tonnes and Scotland: 40,000 tonnes)
- In the Faroe Islands, Bakkafrost expects to release around 14.5 million smolts in 2021
- In Scotland, Bakkafrost expects to release around 11.0 million smolts in 2020
Contracts
- For 2021, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 28% of the total expected harvest volumes in the Faroe Islands and Scotland
- Bakkafrost strategy is to allocate around 40% of expected harvested volumes at commitments and contracts at any time
Fishmeal, Oil and Feed
- Feed sales are expected to be around 120,000 tonnes in 2021
- Fishmeal and fish oil volumes are expected to be lower than in 2020
Business development / Investment programme
- Pursuing sustainable organic growth
- For the period 2020 2022, ~DKK 1.8 billion will be invested in the Faroe Islands
- In Scotland, the yearly investments for 2020-2024 are expected to be around DKK 350-400 million per year
- Capital Markets Day will be held on 14-15 September 2021
SUMMARY OF Q4 2020 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
Ian Laister appointed new Managing Director as of 1 March 2021
Mr. Laister has more that 20 years' experience creating value and restoring performance across diverse sectors both as a Director and as a Management Consultant. Mr. Laister joined SSC almost 18 months ago to support the transition from the outgoing CFO, and then post acquisition integration, acting as deputy to the interim CEO, Odd Eliasen, during the first transition period.
Odd Eliasen, who is also Managing Director of Havsbrún, has held the interim position as CEO of the Scottish Salmon Company since Bakkafrost acquired the company in Q4 2019. With the appointment of Mr. Laister as Managing Director, Mr. Eliasen will hand over to Mr. Laister.
Bakkafrost's Board of Directors instated as Board of Directors in SSC, replacing the current board
Chariman Deputy Chairman
LAND BASED FARMING EXPANSION TO 14 KT
S16 Glyvradalur capacity expansion in progress
In operation in 2023 1.9kt ~ 3.8m smolt á 500g
S03 Norðtoftir capacity expansion in progress
- In operation in 2023
- 2.8kt ~ 5.3m smolt á 500g
S24 Strond capacity expansion finalised
- Now in full operation ~ 9m smolt á 500g
- 10 unrelated departments, building of 320m x 80m
FS1336 Applecross, Scotland
Expected to be in operation in 2023 2.8kt ~ 11m smolt á 250g
Total consent has increased by 11.6% (7,742 tonnes) since the acquisition in Q4 2019
Total consent is 74,765 tonnes in 44 farming sites:
North: 24 sites / 44,415 tonnes consent
- Uist, 5 sites
- Sky & mainland, 6 sites
- Loch Roag, 7 sites
- East Lewis & Harris, 6 sites
South: 20 sites / 30,350 tonnes consent
- Mull and Gigha, 6 sites
- Loch Striven and Arran, 4 sites
- Loch Fyne, 10 sites
SCOTLAND – STRATEGIC RATIONALE
- 1. Provides access to the attractive Scottish farming region
- Niche and differentiated region
- High quality salmon from Scottish Provenance priced at a premium
- 2. Creating a differentiated global leader in premium salmon
- Exposure to two geographies, Faroe Islands and Scotland
- Premium brands
Harris and Lewis,Scotland
3. Potential for significant improvement
- Scottish Salmon profitability to improve over a five-year period through transfer of best practices
- Synergies
- Targeted investment programmes
4. Financially attractive
acquiring the business at a reasonable value, multiple to the sector and Bakkafrost
FAROE ISLANDS - GROWING TO 100KT SUPERIOR BIOLOGY COMBINED WITH STATE-OF-THE-ART INFRASTRUCTURE
| FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED | BROODSTOCK | SMOLT | SEA WATER | PROCESSING | SALES/MARKETING | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equivalent to 100k (tgw) | None | 12 million @ 200 grams | 21 farming sites/17 fjords | 130k primary (tgw) | Central sales Faroes | |
| CAPACITY | annual harvest @ | 55k (tgw) @100g smolt/ | 40k secondary (tgw) | UK sales office | ||
| 2018 | marine index of 44% | 65k (tgw) @500g smolt | 80k packaging material (tgw) | US sales office | ||
| 4 well boats & 2 FSVs | Branding | |||||
| CMD | Additional 65k (tgw) | Own breeding programme | 19 million @ 500 grams | Upgraded infrastructure | Selected upgrading, | Marketing/sales initiatives |
| ANOUNCED | annual harvest @ | Full self sufficiency | Fish transportation | efficiency and functionality | Market penetration | |
| INVESTMENTS | marine index of 44% | R&D | ||||
| Sustainable Growth | Adaptability to local biology | Sustainable growth | >100k (tgw) @ 500g smolt | Product quality | Premium price achievement | |
| PURPOSE | Flexibility | Product differentiation | Reduced exposure in sea | Product presentation | Reduced spot price sensitivity | |
| Efficiency, streamlining & innovation |
Support branding strategy (immaterial property) |
Product differentiation | Maintain low exposure to | |||
| Environmental improvement | Less dependency of suppliers | Fresh premium product | single markets | |||
| Food safety | Veterinary control | capability |
DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN
Expected supply growth in 2021
- 6% growth in Global supply
- 9% growth in European supply
- -2% growth in supply from Americas
| Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - HOG) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020E | 2021E | |||
| Norway | 1.078 | 1.129 | 1.198 | 1.223 | 1.328 | ||
| UK | 159 | 137 | 171 | 163 | 183 | ||
| Ireland | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | ||
| Faroes | 72 | 64 | 78 | 72 | 88 | ||
| Total Europe | 1.325 | 1.343 | 1.462 | 1.472 | 1.612 | ||
| Chile | 490 | 598 | 601 | 656 | 642 | ||
| Canada | 123 | 132 | 124 | 127 | 126 | ||
| USA | 20 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 16 | ||
| Total Americas | 633 | 747 | 744 | 802 | 785 | ||
| Other | 78 | 78 | 96 | 115 | 143 | ||
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.035 | 2.168 | 2.302 | 2.389 | 2.540 | ||
| Supply growth - Global | 2% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Supply growth - Europe | 3% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 9% | ||
| Supply growth - Americas | -3% | 18% | 0% | 8% | -2% |
| Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020E | 2021E | |||
| EU+UK | 918 | 949 | 1.017 | 1.071 | 1.156 | ||
| USA | 402 | 436 | 469 | 506 | 515 | ||
| Japan | 57 | 54 | 53 | 64 | 64 | ||
| Russia | 70 | 89 | 79 | 78 | 89 | ||
| Others | 588 | 640 | 684 | 669 | 715 | ||
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.035 | 2.168 | 2.302 | 2.389 | 2.539 |
Comments:
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes. Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
Q4 2020 MARKET ENVIRONMENT DECREASING MARKET PRICES
Further decrease in market prices
- Further disruption to food service demand (COVID-19)
- Temporary high global supply growth (10%)
- Nasdaq Norway price EUR 4.0 in Q4 2020
- 28% down vs. Q4 2019
- 9% down vs. Q3 2020
- Urner Barry East Coast price USD 7.8 per kg in Q4 2019
- Stable vs. Q4 2019
- 2% up vs. Q3 2020
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 4.04 | 5.59 | -27.6 % |
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) | 7.75 | 7.75 | 0.0 % |
| DKK Nasdaq Norway |
Q4 2020 30.09 |
Q4 2019 41.74 |
Change % -27.9 % |
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (per kg) | 48.37 | 52.28 | -7.5 % |
PRICE NORWAY
Source: Kontali
DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER
| Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (mDKK) | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 |
| Revenue | 750 | 964 | 947 | 996 | 1,605 | 1,255 | 1,134 | 1,123 | 1,183 |
| Operational EBIT | 231 | 268 | 339 | 303 | 415 | 248 | 182 | 103 | 89 |
| Profit/Loss | -7 | 213 | 189 | 181 | 220 | -148 | 472 | 177 | -38 |
| Harvest FO (tgw) | 12,234 | 13,707 | 12,609 | 12,938 | 17,930 | 10,667 | 12,941 | 11,135 | 15,957 |
| Harvest SCT (tgw) | 7,925 | 7,268 | 7,937 | 10,476 | 9,305 | ||||
| Op. EBIT Farming FO & VAP (NOK/kg) | 21.91 | 21.99 | 31.31 | 26.25 | 28.25 | 25.10 | 15.34 | 15.24 | 12.92 |
| Op. EBIT Farming FO (NOK/kg) | 21.56 | 21.86 | 31.31 | 23.61 | 25.49 | 26.51 | 9.79 | 12.43 | 5.66 |
| Op. EBIT VAP (NOK/kg) | 1.51 | 0.37 | -0.01 | 9.23 | 11.72 | -2.78 | 11.19 | 5.87 | 17.05 |
| Op. EBIT Farming SCT (NOK/kg) | 3.09 | 5.70 | 5.36 | -3.89 | -8.41 | ||||
| Equity ratio | 70% | 70% | 65% | 68% | 65% | 66% | 69% | 68% | 66% |
| NIBD | 495 | 522 | 744 | -1,271 | 1,019 | 988 | 1,116 | 1,257 | 1,753 |
| Revenue (mDKK) | Operational EBIT (mDKK) | Farming FO margin Op. EBIT (NOK/kg) |
Farming SCT margin Op. EBIT (NOK/kg) |
VAP FO margin Op. EBIT (NOK/kg) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2020 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 |
1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2020 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 |
40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2020 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 |
40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2020 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 |
40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2020 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 |
Dividend
- The Board proposes dividend for 2020 of DKK 3.65 per share to be paid out in Q2 2021.
- Dividend payment equals 59% of adjusted EPS.
Dividend policy
- Competitive return through:
- Dividends
- Increase in the value of the equity
- Generally, Bakkafrost shall pay dividend to its shareholders
- A long-term goal is that 30–50% of adjusted EPS shall be paid out as dividend
* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year
Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS*
Dividend per share (DKK)***
Facilities and locations
FAROE ISLANDS
- 18 islands – 1,387 km2
- 52,920 inhabitants (December 2020)
- Home rule – within the Kingdom of Denmark
- Part of the Danish monetary union, Danish krone (DKK)
Key sectors (% of wage earners, M12 2020)
- Service/public admin.: ~35%
- Private service: ~32%
- Construction: ~16%
- Fish & aquaculture: ~18%
- Unemployment rate (November 2020): 1.4%
- Total working force (December 2020): 27,691
- GDP: DKK ~20.5bn (2019e)
- GDP/capita: DKK 394,000 (2019e)
- (Norway: DKK 463,000) (2017)
Total export of fish products (2019)
DKK 8,937 million - whereof farmed fish accounts for 45%
TAXES
- Total percent of GDP: 41.8% (2016)
- Corporate tax: 18%
- Farming revenue tax: 5.0% of revenues after 1 January 2019 The tax is applied as follows (IMP ~ International market price):
- If the IMP is above DKK 36 per kilo, the tax is 5%
- If the IMP is between DKK 32 and DKK 36 per kilo, the tax is 2.5%
- If the IMP is lower than DKK 32 per kilo, the tax is 0.5%
Restriction on single foreign ownership of 20% in farming companies
One company may max. control 50% of the licences in the Faroe Islands
Source: Hagstova Føroya
BAKKAFROST / Q4 2020 PRESENTATION Page 43