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Bakkafrost P/f — Investor Presentation 2021
Aug 24, 2021
7331_rns_2021-08-24_a1b2ae4c-6823-4a40-ae1b-2fcdf23ab9d7.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 2021
BAKKAFROST GROUP Glyvrar 24 August 2021
DISCLAIMER
- This presentation includes statements regarding future results, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Consequently, actual results may differ significantly from the results indicated or implied in these statements.
- No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees or advisors accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
SUMMARY OF Q2 2021
MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG OUTLOOK
Hvalba A23 Faroe Islands
HIGHLIGHTS
| 17,561 tgw in Q2 2021 (12,941 tgw in Q2 2020) Harvest in the Faroe Islands (FO): |
|
|---|---|
| Operation | 10,634 tgw in Q2 2021 (7,937 tgw in Q2 2020) Harvest in Scotland (SCT): |
| Feed sales of 27,272 tonnes in Q2 2021 (22,121 tonnes in Q2 2020) |
|
| of 59,290 tonnes in Q2 2021 (122,512 tonnes in Q2 2020) Raw material purchase |
|
| Revenues and | Revenues of DKK 1,617.5 million in Q2 2021 (DKK 1,134.2 million in Q2 2020) |
| Operational EBIT | Operational EBIT** of DKK 407,5 million in Q2 2021 (DKK 181,9 million in Q2 2020) |
| Cash Flow | of DKK 532 million in Q2 2021 (DKK 111 million in Q2 2020) Cash flow from operations |
| Segments | Positive operational EBIT for all segments |
*) Including internal sales of 26,416 tonnes in Q2 2021 (16,159 tonnes in Q2 2020)
**) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
SUMMARY OF THE QUARTER IMPROVED OPERATIONAL EBIT DRIVEN BY FARMING SEGMENTS
(FO)* Farming/VAP (SCT)* Farming VAP* FOF** 26.93 (Q2 2021) 15.34 (Q2 2020) 6.75 (Q2 2021) 1.53 (Q2 2021) 11.06 (Q2 2020) 16.5% (Q2 2021) 18.6% (Q2 2020) 5.36 (Q2 2020)
| (DKK million) | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | H1 2021 | H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 1,618 | 1,134 | 2,793 | 2,389 |
| Operational EBITDA | 534 | 298 | 888 | 665 |
| Operational EBIT | 407 | 182 | 631 | 430 |
| Profit for the period | 428 | 472 | 836 | 324 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 33.0% | 26.2% | 31.8% | 27.8% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 25.2% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 18.0% |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO) (NOK) | 26.52 | 9.79 | 21.07 | 17.54 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) | 26.93 | 15.34 | 24.55 | 19.83 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | 1.53 | 11.06 | 10.72 | 4.69 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming SCT) (NOK) | 6.75 | 5.36 | 3.62 | 5.52 |
| EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and Feed) | 16.5% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
Group Operational EBIT was DKK 407 million in Q2 2021, compared to DKK 182 million in Q2 2020
* Operational EBIT in NOK/kg
** EBITDA margin
SUMMARY OF Q2 2021
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
MARKETS & SALES SALES TO NORTH AMERICA AND EASTERN EUROPE INCREASED – OTHER MARKETS DECREASED
Western Europe North America Asia Eastern Europe Harvest volumes used in the VAP 51% (Q2 2021) 64% (Q2 2020) 23% (Q2 2021) 16% (Q2 2020) 13% (Q2 2021) 19% (Q2 2020) 13% (Q2 2021) 1% (Q2 2020) 28% (Q2 2021) 50% (Q2 2020) Sales & volume (FO only) Total sales of by markets
| Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | H1 2021 | H1 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| salmon by markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| Western Europe | 51% | 73% | 59% | 64% | 84% | 72% | 53% | 79% | 62% | 56% | 88% | 69% |
| North America | 23% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 10% | 19% | 24% | 7% | 17% |
| Asia | 13% | 15% | 14% | 19% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 5% | 11% |
| Eastern Europe | 13% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 12% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 2% |
| Rest of world | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Fresh salmon only | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | H1 2021 | H1 2020 | ||||||||
| by markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| Western Europe | 47% | 70% | 56% | 30% | 84% | 66% | 45% | 76% | 58% | 24% | 88% | 62% |
| North America | 17% | 12% | 15% | 32% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 11% | 16% | 43% | 7% | 22% |
| 19% | 18% | 19% | 37% | 8% | 18% | 18% | 12% | 16% | 26% | 5% | 13% | |
| Asia Eastern Europe |
16% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
| Rest of world | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Contract share FO, VAP products [% of qty]
BAKKAFROST / Q2 2021 PRESENTATION Page 7
GLOBAL MARKETS HIGHER PRICES Y/Y AND Q/Q
Average spot prices increased y/y and q/q in Q2 2021
Spot prices peeked in the middle of the quarter
Global harvest grew 1% y/y
Spot prices (NASDAQ) on superior 4-5 [NOK/kg HOG]
Change in global market [volume harvested and market price]
Source: Kontali
DEVELOPMENT IN HARVESTED AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN (HEAD ON GUTTED – HOG)
Total quarterly harvest up 1%
- Supply to the markets up 9% due to inventory release in Chile
- European harvest up 7%
- 6% increase in Norway
- Strong quarterly growth in the UK and Iceland
- 12% decrease in American harvest
- 14% decrease in Chile
- 2% increase in Canada
- Inventory changes primarily relates to Chile
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 287 | 271 | 5.9 % |
| UK | 48 | 41 | 16.9 % |
| Faroes | 22 | 20 | 5.7 % |
| Iceland | 8 | 5 | 48.3 % |
| Ireland | 4 | 5 | -24.6 % |
| Total Europe | 369 | 344 | 7.4 % |
| Chile | 135 | 158 | -14.2 % |
| Canada | 35 | 34 | 2.1 % |
| USA | 3 | 5 | -34.0 % |
| Total Americas | 173 | 196 | -11.8 % |
| Other | 23 | 19 | 19.3 % |
| Total (Harvested quantity) | 565 | 559 | 1.0 % |
| Inventory movements | 27 | -16 | -264.7 % |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 591 | 543 | 8.9 % |
Moderate increase of 2% in the EU
- Compared to 7% harvest growth in Europe
- Slower reopening compared to US
- Strong US demand
- Strong demand in retail despite Covid-19 reopening of Horeca
- 46% growth in Russia
- Supply from frozen inventory in Chile
- Flat in Japan after long period of growth
- 20% drop in Greater China
- High logistic costs
- Continued strong increase in Latin America
Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted - HOG)
| Estimated volumes | Q1 comparison | Estimated volumes | FY comparison | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q2 2021E | Q2 2020 | Volume | % | H1 2021E | H1 2020 | Volume | % |
| EU | 247,500 | 242,000 | 5,500 | 2% | 519,300 | 463,600 | 55,700 | 12% |
| USA | 146,300 | 119,500 | 26,800 | 22% | 285,300 | 241,200 | 44,100 | 18% |
| Russia | 17,400 | 11,900 | 5,500 | 46% | 39,700 | 28,400 | 11,300 | 40% |
| Japan | 14,800 | 14,800 | 0 | 0% | 31,300 | 28,100 | 3,200 | 11% |
| Greater China | 27,500 | 34,200 | -6,700 | -20% | 49,300 | 59,200 | -9,900 | -17% |
| ASEAN | 20,700 | 16,300 | 4,400 | 27% | 42,400 | 34,400 | 8,000 | 23% |
| Latin America | 44,300 | 31,100 | 13,200 | 42% | 94,900 | 73,600 | 21,300 | 29% |
| Ukraine | 6,100 | 4,100 | 2,000 | 49% | 14,000 | 8,600 | 5,400 | 63% |
| Other markets | 66,400 | 68,400 | -2,000 | -3% | 141,500 | 137,700 | 3,800 | 3% |
| Total all markets | 591,000 | 542,300 | 48,700 | 9.0 % | 1,217,700 | 1,074,800 | 142,900 | 13.3 % |
Comments:
EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom
(England, Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland).
Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
SHORT TERM SUPPLY OUTLOOK
- Expectation of drop in global harvest next quarters
- Stable growth around 8% in Europe rest of 2021
- Drop expected in 1H 2022
- Strong drop expected in Americas next quarters
- Driven by Chile
- Temporary low smolt release 2H 2019/1H 2020
Note: Supply does not take movement of inventory into account Source: Kontali
SUMMARY OF Q2 2021
MARKETS AND SALES
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
FARMING – HARVEST VOLUME INCREASED HARVEST IN FO AND SCT – INCREASED AVG. SMOLT SIZE
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
H1 2021 |
H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FO - North Region |
2,530 | 12,941 | 13,952 | 19,206 |
| FO - West Region |
13,135 | 0 | 15,593 | 2,769 |
| FO - South Region |
1,897 | 0 | 2,042 | 1,633 |
| FO – Total |
17,561 | 12,941 | 31,586 | 23,608 |
| SCT | 10,634 | 7,937 | 17,636 | 15,205 |
| Total (FO & SCT) | 28,195 | 20,878 | 49,222 | 38,813 |
Sea water Temperatures at 18m depth in the Faroe Islands
FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
HIGHER OPERATIONAL EBIT AND HIGHER OPERATING REVENUE
| Farming FO (DKK million) | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
H1 2021 |
H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 961 | 574 | 1,606 | 1,207 |
| Operational EBIT | 343 | 86 | 486 | 289 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 36% | 15% | 30% | 24% |
| Farming SCT (DKK million) | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
H1 2021 |
H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 559 | 377 | 881 | 790 |
| Operational EBIT | 53 | 29 | 47 | 59 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 9% | 8% | 5% | 7% |
FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg]
FO: Good biological performance in the quarter
SCT: Biological performance improved but hampered by smolt quality and size
Freight per kilo sold fresh salmon (FO) [Q3 2019 = Index 100]
VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS (VAP) LOWER VOLUMES AND HIGHER COST OF RAW MATERIAL
| (DKK million) | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
H1 2021 |
H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 259 | 308 | 559 | 582 |
| Operational EBIT | 5 | 49 | 80 | 38 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 2% | 16% | 14% | 6% |
| Farming FO transferred to VAP (tgw) | 4,917 | 6,420 | 10,182 | 11,828 |
| VAP produced (tgw) | 4,667 | 6,494 | 10,243 | 11,560 |
Margin - EBIT per kg total VAP produced [NOK/kg]
FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED (FOF) LOWER RAW MATERIAL SOURCING AND HIGHER SALES OF FEED AND FISHMEAL
| (DKK million) | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
H1 2021 |
H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 347 | 269 | 669 | 579 |
| EBITDA | 57 | 50 | 106 | 90 |
| EBITDA margin | 17% | 19% | 16% | 16% |
| Feed sold (tonnes)* | 27,272 | 22,121 | 50,989 | 41,244 |
| Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | 2,961 | 2,702 | 10,167 | 14,474 |
* Including internal sales, corresponding to 96.9% of feed volumes in Q2 2021 (Q2 2020: 59.3%)
Sourcing of raw material (tonnes)
MARKET CONDITIONS FEED SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN INTERNAL FEED SALES
27,272 (Q2 2021)
856 (Q2 2021)
Total feed sales increased (tonnes)
23%
External feed sale decreased (tonnes)
Raw material (tonnes) Feed sale (tonnes) -86% 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 0 20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Raw material Internal feed sale Total feed sale
Volumes of raw material purchase and feed sale [tonnes]
Market fluctuations
22,121 (Q2 2020)
5,962 (Q2 2020)
The fishmeal price increased while the fish oil price decreased in Q2 2021, compared to the same quarter last year.
Fishmeal and fish oil price index in DKK (Q1 2015 = 100)
Source: Holtermann
SUMMARY OF Q2 2021 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
| (DKK million) | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | H1 2021 | H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 1,618 | 1,134 | 2,793 | 2,389 |
| Operational EBITDA | 534 | 298 | 888 | 665 |
| Operational EBIT | 407 | 182 | 631 | 430 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | 176 | 427 | 461 | 16 |
| Onerous contracts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Income from associates | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Revenue tax | -41 | -23 | -62 | -42 |
| EBIT | 546 | 586 | 1,035 | 404 |
| Net Financial items | -16 | -15 | -12 | -14 |
| EBT | 530 | 571 | 1,023 | 390 |
| Taxes | -102 | -100 | -187 | -67 |
| Profit for the period | 428 | 472 | 836 | 324 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 33.0% | 26.2% | 31.8% | 27.8% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 25.2% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 18.0% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming Faroe Islands and VAP) (NOK) |
26.93 | 15.34 | 24.55 | 19.83 |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming Scotland) (NOK) | 6.75 | 5.36 | 3.62 | 5.52 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 16.5% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT aligned for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax.
OPERATIONAL EBIT* AND ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE**
335 268 268 248 224 459 408 339 182 407 252 168 303 103 331 231 415 89
1,378 1,075 1,325 622 631 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Adjusted EPS** (DKK)
Operational EBIT*
(mDKK)
*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
**) Earnings per share adjusted for fair value of biomass, onerous contracts provisions and tax and these.
BAKKAFROST / Q2 2021 PRESENTATION Page 21
BALANCE SHEET
| (DKK million) | Q2 2021 | End 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 4,495 | 4,493 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 4,550 | 4,221 |
| Right of use assets | 315 | 353 |
| Financial assets | 124 | 122 |
| Long -term receivables |
8 | 8 |
| Deferred tax assets | 0 | 27 |
| Biological assets | 2,489 | 2,117 |
| Inventory | 809 | 776 |
| Receivables | 619 | 490 |
| Other receivables | 85 | 134 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 553 | 467 |
| Total Assets | 14,053 | 13,208 |
| Equity | 9,396 | 8,729 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 1,368 | 1,222 |
| Long -term interest -bearing debt |
2,456 | 2,220 |
| Long -term leasing debt |
249 | 265 |
| Financial derivatives | 2 | 11 |
| Short -term leasing debt |
98 | 131 |
| Accounts and other payables | 484 | 629 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 14,053 | 13,208 |
CASH FLOW
| Cash flow, operations (mDKK) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 (Q2 2020) |
532 (Q2 2021) |
||||
| Cash flow, investments (mDKK) | |||||
| -196 (Q2 2020) |
-245 (Q2 2021) |
||||
| Cash flow, financing (mDKK) | |||||
| -262 (Q2 2020) |
-107 (Q2 2021) |
||||
| (DKK million) | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | H1 2021 | H1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 532 | 111 | 669 | 477 |
| Cash flow from investments | -245 | -196 | -513 | -297 |
| Cash flow from financing | -107 | -262 | -70 | -1,034 |
| Net change in cash | 179 | -347 | 86 | -855 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 553 | 454 | 553 | 454 |
| Undrawn facilities | 1,523 | 2,323 | 1,523 | 2,323 |
NIBD was increased by:
- Net investments (mDKK 245)
- Dividend (mDKK 216)
NIBD was decreased by:
- Cash flow, operating activities (mDKK -448)
- Change in working capital (mDKK -49)
Development in NIBD in DKK millions
Financing end Q2 2021
- NIBD: DKK 1,903 million
- Bank facilities of EUR 463 million, and an accordion of EUR 150 million.
- Undrawn credit facilities: DKK 1,523 million
NIBD and available funding
Q2 ESG UPDATE
Published the 4th Sustainability Report, covering the entire Bakkafrost Group
Purchased farming supply vessel M/S Bakkanes to strengthen the mechanical delousing capabilities in Scotland
Havsbrún recognized with a "Best Aquaculture Practice" (BAP) certification
SUMMARY OF Q2 2021 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
OUTLOOK
Market
- Global harvest increased 1% in Q2 2021 vs Q2 2020
- Global harvest in Q3 2021 expected to decrease 4%
- Global harvest in H2 2021 expected to decrease 3%
Farming
- In 2021, Bakkafrost expects to harvest HOG 106,000 tonnes (Faroe Islands: 66,000 tonnes and Scotland: 40,000 tonnes)
- In the Faroe Islands, Bakkafrost expects to release around 14.5 million smolts in 2021
- In Scotland, Bakkafrost expects to release around 11.0 million smolts in 2021
Contracts
- For 2021, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 31% of the total expected harvest volumes in the Faroe Islands and Scotland
- Bakkafrost strategy is to allocate around 40% of expected harvested volumes at commitments and contracts at any time
Fishmeal, Oil and Feed
- Feed sales are expected to be around 120,000 tonnes in 2021
- Fishmeal and fish oil volumes are expected to be lower than in 2020
Business development / Investment programme
- Pursuing sustainable organic growth
- For the period 2020 2022, ~DKK 1.8 billion will be invested in the Faroe Islands
- In Scotland, the yearly investments for 2020-2024 are expected to be around DKK 350-400 million per year
- Capital Markets Day will be held on 14-15 September 2021
SUMMARY OF Q2 2021 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
LAND BASED FARMING EXPANSION TO 14 KT
S16 Glyvradalur capacity expansion in progress
In operation in 2023 1.9kt ~ 3.8m smolt á 500g
S03 Norðtoftir capacity expansion in progress
- In operation in 2023
- 2.8kt ~ 5.3m smolt á 500g
S24 Strond capacity expansion finalised
- Full operation 2021 ~ 9m smolt á 500g
- 10 unrelated departments, building of 320m x 80m
FS1336 Applecross, Scotland
- RAS expansion
- Expected to be in operation in 2023 2.8kt ~ 11m smolt á 250g
Total consent has increased by 11.6% (7,742 tonnes) since the acquisition in Q4 2019
Total consent is 74,765 tonnes in 44 farming sites:
North: 24 sites / 44,415 tonnes consent
- Uist, 5 sites
- Sky & mainland, 6 sites
- Loch Roag, 7 sites
- East Lewis & Harris, 6 sites
South: 20 sites / 30,350 tonnes consent
- Mull and Gigha, 6 sites
- Loch Striven and Arran, 4 sites
- Loch Fyne, 10 sites
SCOTLAND – STRATEGIC RATIONALE
- 1. Provides access to the attractive Scottish farming region
- Niche and differentiated region
- High quality salmon from Scottish Provenance priced at a premium
- 2. Creating a differentiated global leader in premium salmon
- Exposure to two geographies, Faroe Islands and Scotland
- Premium brands
Grosebay,Scotland
SCOTLAND – STRATEGIC RATIONALE
3. Potential for significant improvement
- Scottish Salmon profitability to improve over a five-year period through transfer of best practices
- Synergies
- Targeted investment programmes
4. Financially attractive
Acquiring the business at a reasonable value, multiple to the sector and Bakkafrost
FAROE ISLANDS - GROWING TO 100KT SUPERIOR BIOLOGY COMBINED WITH STATE-OF-THE-ART INFRASTRUCTURE
| FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED | BROODSTOCK | SMOLT | SEA WATER | PROCESSING | SALES/MARKETING | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPACITY 2018 |
Equivalent to 100k (tgw) annual harvest @ |
None | 12 million @ 200 grams | 21 farming sites/17 fjords 55k (tgw) @100g smolt/ |
130k primary (tgw) 40k secondary (tgw) |
Central sales Faroes UK sales office |
| marine index of 44% | 65k (tgw) @500g smolt | 80k packaging material (tgw) | US sales office | |||
| 4 well boats & 2 FSVs | Branding | |||||
| CMD ANOUNCED |
Additional 65k (tgw) | Own breeding programme | 19 million @ 500 grams | Upgraded infrastructure | Selected upgrading, | Marketing/sales initiatives |
| annual harvest @ | Full self sufficiency | Fish transportation | efficiency and functionality | Market penetration | ||
| INVESTMENTS | marine index of 44% | R&D | ||||
| Sustainable Growth | Adaptability to local biology | Sustainable growth | >100k (tgw) @ 500g smolt | Product quality | Premium price achievement | |
| PURPOSE | Flexibility | Product differentiation | Reduced exposure in sea | Product presentation | Reduced spot price sensitivity | |
| Efficiency, streamlining & innovation |
Support branding strategy (immaterial property) |
Product differentiation | Maintain low exposure to | |||
| Environmental improvement | Less dependency of suppliers | Fresh premium product | single markets | |||
| Food safety | Veterinary control | capability |
DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN
Expected supply growth in 2021
- 6% growth in Global supply
- 11% growth in European supply
- -4% growth in supply from Americas
| Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - | HOG) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | 2022E | |
| Norway | 1,129 | 1,198 | 1,223 | 1,331 | 1,372 |
| UK | 137 | 171 | 160 | 188 | 181 |
| Ireland | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| Iceland | 12 | 22 | 27 | 43 | 43 |
| Faroes | 64 | 78 | 72 | 88 | 96 |
| Total Europe | 1,355 | 1,484 | 1,496 | 1,665 | 1,706 |
| Chile | 598 | 601 | 657 | 628 | 645 |
| Canada | 131 | 124 | 123 | 125 | 121 |
| USA | 17 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
| Total Americas | 747 | 744 | 798 | 766 | 779 |
| Others | 67 | 72 | 92 | 109 | 120 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2,169 | 2,300 | 2,386 | 2,540 | 2,606 |
| Supply growth - Global |
7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% |
| Supply growth - Europe |
1% | 10% | 1% | 11% | 2% |
| Supply growth - Americas |
18% | 0% | 7% | -4% | 2% |
Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG)
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | 2022E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU+UK | 949 | 1,017 | 1,071 | 1,139 | 1,171 |
| USA | 435 | 468 | 505 | 549 | 567 |
| Japan | 54 | 53 | 64 | 65 | 68 |
| Russia | 89 | 78 | 79 | 83 | 85 |
| Others | 642 | 683 | 666 | 703 | 714 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2,169 | 2,299 | 2,385 | 2,540 | 2,606 |
Comments: All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes. Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
Q2 2021 MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- Increased market prices compared to Q2 2021 in spite of
- Strong supply growth
- Continued but diminished impact from Covid-19
- Nasdaq Norway price EUR 6.3 in Q2 2021
- 19% up vs. Q2 2020
- 23% up vs. Q1 2021
- Urner Barry East Coast price outperformed other markets
- 41% down vs. Q2 2020
- 22% up vs. Q1 2021
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 6.25 | 5.24 | 19.2 % |
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) | 9.77 | 6.93 | 41.1 % |
| DKK | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change % |
| Nasdaq Norway | 46.50 | 39.12 | 18.9 % |
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (per kg) | 60.28 | 46.95 | 28.4 % |
6,4 5,0 5,6 6,6 5,2 4,5 4,0 5,1 6,3 - 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 - 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 EUR DKK
PRICE US – NORTH EAST Nasdaq Norway (EUR) Nasdaq Norway (DKK)
PRICE NORWAY
DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (mDKK) | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Revenue | 947 | 996 | 1,605 | 1,255 | 1,134 | 1,123 | 1,183 | 1,176 | 1,618 |
| Operational EBIT | 339 | 303 | 415 | 248 | 182 | 103 | 89 | 224 | 407 |
| Profit/Loss | 189 | 181 | 220 | -148 | 472 | 177 | -38 | 408 | 428 |
| Harvest FO (tgw) | 12,609 | 12,938 | 17,930 | 10,667 | 12,941 | 11,135 | 15,957 | 14,025 | 17,561 |
| Harvest SCT (tgw) | 7,925 | 7,268 | 7,937 | 10,476 | 9,305 | 7,002 | 10,634 | ||
| Op. EBIT Farming FO & VAP (NOK/kg) | 31.31 | 26.25 | 28.25 | 25.10 | 15.34 | 15.24 | 12.92 | 21.48 | 26.93 |
| Op. EBIT Farming FO (NOK/kg) | 31.31 | 23.61 | 25.49 | 26.51 | 9.79 | 12.43 | 5.66 | 14.10 | 26.52 |
| Op. EBIT VAP (NOK/kg) | -0.01 | 9.23 | 11.72 | -2.97 | 11.06 | 5.84 | 17.31 | 18.56 | 1.53 |
| Op. EBIT Farming SCT (NOK/kg) | 3.09 | 5.70 | 5.36 | -3.89 | -8.41 | -1.23 | 6.75 | ||
| Equity ratio | 65% | 68% | 65% | 66% | 69% | 68% | 66% | 68% | 67% |
| NIBD | 744 | -1,271 | 1,019 | 988 | 1,116 | 1,257 | 1,753 | 1,939 | 1,903 |
Dividend
- The dividend for 2020 of DKK 3.65 (NOK 4,96) per share was paid out on 30 April 2021.
- Dividend payment equals 59% of adjusted EPS.
Dividend policy
- Competitive return through:
- Dividends
- Increase in the value of the equity
- Generally, Bakkafrost shall pay dividend to its shareholders
- A long-term goal is that 30–50% of adjusted EPS shall be paid out as dividend
* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year
Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS*
Dividend per share (DKK)***
Facilities and locations
FAROE ISLANDS
- 18 islands – 1,387 km2
- 53,399 inhabitants (July 2021)
- Home rule – within the Kingdom of Denmark
- Part of the Danish monetary union, Danish krone (DKK)
Key sectors (% of wage earners, M5 2021)
- Service/public admin.: ~35%
- Private service: ~31%
- Construction: ~16%
- Fish & aquaculture: ~18%
- Unemployment rate (April 2021): 1.5%
- Total working force (November 2020): 29,724
- GDP: DKK ~20.9bn (2019)
- GDP/capita: DKK 403,300 (2019)
- (Norway: DKK 505,961) (2019)
Total export of fish products (2020)
DKK 7,719 million - whereof farmed fish accounts for 43%
TAXES
- Total percent of GDP: 41.8% (2016)
- Corporate tax: 18%
- Farming revenue tax: 5.0% of revenues after 1 January 2019 The tax is applied as follows (IMP ~ International market price):
- If the IMP is above DKK 36 per kilo, the tax is 5%
- If the IMP is between DKK 32 and DKK 36 per kilo, the tax is 2.5%
- If the IMP is lower than DKK 32 per kilo, the tax is 0.5%
Restriction on single foreign ownership of 20% in farming companies
One company may max. control 50% of the licences in the Faroe Islands
Source: Hagstova Føroya
BAKKAFROST / Q2 2021 PRESENTATION Page 41