Investor Presentation • Aug 20, 2019
Investor Presentation
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BAKKAFROST GROUP Oslo 20 August 2019
No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees or advisors accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
SUMMARY OF Q2 2019
| 12,609 tgw in Q2 2019 (12,902 tgw in Q2 2018) Harvested |
|
|---|---|
| Operation | Feed sales of 18,872 tonnes in Q2 2019 (15,673 tonnes in Q2 2018) |
| of 110,109 tonnes in Q2 2019 (118,387 tonnes in Q2 2018) Raw material purchase |
|
| Revenues and | Revenues of DKK 947 million in Q2 2019 (DKK 954 million in Q2 2018) |
| Operational EBIT | Operational EBIT** of DKK 339 million in Q2 2019 (DKK 408 million in Q2 2018) |
| Cash Flow | Cash flow from operations of DKK 327 million in Q2 2019 (DKK 279 million in Q2 2018) |
| Segments | Positive operational EBIT for the Farming and FOF segment and break-even for the |
| VAP segment |
*) Including internal sales of 15,689 tonnes in Q2 2019 (14,656 tonnes in Q2 2018)
**) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
Operational EBIT for the Farming segment lower. Operational EBIT for the VAP segment almost zero and higher EBITDA margin in the FOF segment.
Group Operational EBIT was DKK 339 million in Q2 2019, compared to DKK 408 million in Q2 2018
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 947 | 954 | 1,910 | 1,805 |
| Operational EBITDA | 397 | 456 | 718 | 770 |
| Operational EBIT | 339 | 408 | 606 | 676 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | -66 | 35 | -48 | 142 |
| Onerous contracts | 0 | -6 | 0 | -6 |
| Income from associates | -4 | -2 | 3 | 1 |
| Revenue tax | -32 | -31 | -64 | -58 |
| EBIT | 237 | 403 | 497 | 755 |
| Net Financial items | -8 | 9 | -9 | -10 |
| EBT | 229 | 413 | 488 | 745 |
| Taxes | -41 | -74 | -87 | -134 |
| Profit for the period | 189 | 339 | 401 | 611 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 41.9% | 47.8% | 37.6% | 42.7% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 35.8% | 42.7% | 31.7% | 37.4% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) |
31.31 | 37.41 | 26.46 | 30.39 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 20.6% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
Sales distribution was different in Q2 2019, compared with Q2 2018, especially regarding sales of fresh salmon. Sales to Eastern Europe decreased significantly, and all other markets increased
| Total sales of salmon by markets |
Q2 2019 |
Q2 2018 |
H1 2019 |
H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 42% | 27% | 46% | 29% |
| USA | 25% | 15% | 24% | 16% |
| Asia | 26% | 25% | 25% | 23% |
| Eastern Europe | 7% | 33% | 5% | 32% |
| Fresh salmon only by markets |
Q2 2019 |
Q2 2018 |
H1 2019 |
H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 23% | 20% | 26% | 21% |
| USA | 33% | 15% | 32% | 16% |
| Asia | 36% | 28% | 36% | 26% |
| Eastern Europe | 8% | 37% | 6% | 37% |
VAP on contract HOG, Spot
8% increased global supply in Q2 2019, compared with Q2 2018, corresponding to 42,000 tonnes
Source: Kontali
Strong growth and increased harvest weight
Chile 6% increase
Natural variation driver for changes in North America
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT (HOG - 1,000 tonnes) |
Q2 2019 |
Q2 2018 |
Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 277 | 255 | 8.6% |
| UK | 38 | 32 | 20.3% |
| Ireland | 3 | 3 | 22.6% |
| Faroes | 16 | 16 | 4.6% |
| Total Europe | 335 | 306 | 9.7% |
| Chile | 146 | 137 | 6.1% |
| Canada | 32 | 35 | -6.5% |
| USA | 5 | 4 | 20.9% |
| Total Americas | 183 | 176 | 3.9% |
| Other | 22 | 18 | 27.7% |
| Total (Harvested quantity) | 541 | 499 | 8.3% |
| Inventory movements | -5 | 4 | -213.0% |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 536 | 503 | 6.5% |
Source: Kontali
| Estimated volumes | Q2 comparison Estimated volumes |
FY comparison | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | Volume | % | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | Volume | % |
| EU | 234,800 | 217,800 | 17,000 | 8% | 456,800 | 431,400 | 25,400 | 6% |
| USA | 114,600 | 110,900 | 3,700 | 3% | 230,100 | 220,200 | 9,900 | 4% |
| Russia | 17,700 | 20,000 | -2,300 | -12% | 35,600 | 41,800 | -6,200 | -15% |
| Japan | 12,300 | 12,100 | 200 | 2% | 25,700 | 24,800 | 900 | 4% |
| Greater China | 32,000 | 31,300 | 700 | 2% | 66,500 | 61,800 | 4,700 | 8% |
| ASEAN | 16,000 | 14,300 | 1,700 | 12% | 34,700 | 35,300 | -600 | -2% |
| Latin America | 37,400 | 34,500 | 2,900 | 8% | 80,600 | 75,700 | 4,900 | 6% |
| Ukraine | 3,600 | 3,200 | 400 | 13% | 8,300 | 6,700 | 1,600 | 24% |
| Other markets | 67,400 | 59,100 | 8,300 | 14% | 137,400 | 125,900 | 11,500 | 9% |
| Total all markets | 535,800 | 503,200 | 32,600 | 6.5 % | 1,075,700 | 1,023,600 | 52,100 | 5.1 % |
Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
Bakkafrost transferred 3.6 million smolts in Q2 2019 (2.8 million smolts in Q2 2018)
Average temperatures decreased 0.75 o C in Q2 2019 – from 8.42 o C in Q2 2018 to 7.67 o C in Q2 2019
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Region | 7,858 | 12,902 | 14,601 | 15,638 |
| West Region | 4,751 | 0 | 11,715 | 9,501 |
| Total | 12,609 | 12,902 | 26,316 | 25,139 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 759 | 775 | 1,514 | 1,441 |
| Operational EBIT | 303 | 393 | 533 | 622 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 40% | 51% | 35% | 43% |
Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg]
| (NOK/kg) | Q2 2019 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Region |
West Region |
Farming | |||
| Operational EBIT/kg gw | 30.23 | 33.10 | 31.31 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 238 | 94 | 498 | 187 |
| Operational EBIT | 0 | -17 | 1 | -29 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 0% | -18% | 0% | -15% |
| VAP produced volumes (tgw) | 4,088 | 1,970 | 8,777 | 4,085 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | 2019 H1 | 2018 H1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 283 | 326 | 567 | 627 |
| EBITDA | 58 | 66 | 124 | 152 |
| EBITDA margin | 20.6% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Feed sold (tonnes)* | 18,872 | 15,673 | 35,136 | 29,596 |
| Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | 7,371 | 15,539 | 17,358 | 27,805 |
* Including sales to Bakkafrost, corresponding to ~ 83% of feed volumes in Q2 2019 (Q2 2018: 94%)
MARKET CONDITIONS FEED
Both fishmeal and fish oil prices increased in Q2 2019, compared to previous quarter
Source: Holtermann
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 947 | 954 | 1,910 | 1,805 |
| Operational EBITDA* | 397 | 456 | 718 | 770 |
| Operational EBIT* | 339 | 408 | 606 | 676 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | -66 | 35 | -48 | 142 |
| Onerous contracts | 0 | -6 | 0 | -6 |
| Income from associates | -4 | -2 | 3 | 1 |
| Revenue tax | -32 | -31 | -64 | -58 |
| EBIT | 237 | 403 | 497 | 755 |
| Net Financial items | -8 | 9 | -9 | -10 |
| EBT | 229 | 413 | 488 | 745 |
| Taxes | -41 | -74 | -87 | -134 |
| Profit for the period | 189 | 339 | 401 | 611 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 41.9% | 47.8% | 37.6% | 42.7% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 35.8% | 42.7% | 31.7% | 37.4% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) |
31.31 | 37.41 | 26.46 | 30.39 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 20.6% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT aligned for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax.
Operational EBIT* (DKK million)
1,001 1,165 1,378 1,075 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD 2019 607 (YTD)
Earnings per share (DKK)
*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | End 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 390 | 390 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 3,112 | 2,884 |
| Financial assets | 111 | 113 |
| Long-term receivables | 3 | 9 |
| Biological assets |
1,231 | 1,358 |
| Inventory | 697 | 439 |
| Receivables | 372 | 269 |
| Other receivables | 29 | 23 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 323 | 317 |
| Total Assets | 6,270 | 5,803 |
| Equity | 4,084 | 4,077 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 623 | 534 |
| Long-term interest-bearing debt | 1,066 | 812 |
| Other debt | 71 | 0 |
| Financial derivatives | 0 | 0 |
| Short-term interest-bearing debt | 0 | 1 |
| Accounts and other payables | 426 | 379 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 6,270 | 5,803 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 327 | 279 | 403 | 648 |
| Cash flow from investments | -157 | -108 | -263 | -219 |
| Cash flow from financing | -189 | -556 | -135 | -453 |
| Net change in cash | -19 | -384 | 6 | -25 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 323 | 284 | 323 | 284 |
| Undrawn facilities | 742 | 1,039 | 742 | 1,039 |
Feed sales in 2019 are expected to be around 85,000 tonnes
Totalling ~ DKK 3 billion over five years
SUMMARY OF Q2 2019
Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - HOG) 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E Norway 1,055 1,078 1,130 1,176 1,215 UK 142 159 138 161 168 Ireland 14 15 13 15 15 Faroes 71 72 64 73 74 Total Europe 1,281 1,325 1,345 1,426 1,473 Chile 503 490 598 629 655 Canada 131 125 131 132 140 USA 20 20 17 17 15 Total Americas 654 634 747 778 809 Other 60 79 77 97 114 Total (Sold Quantity) 1,996 2,038 2,168 2,301 2,396 Supply growth - Global -4% 2% 6% 6% 4%
Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG)
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018E | 2019E | 2020E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 937 | 918 | 952 | 998 | 1,031 |
| USA | 385 | 402 | 434 | 469 | 489 |
| Japan | 59 | 58 | 54 | 55 | 56 |
| Russia | 68 | 70 | 89 | 87 | 90 |
| Others | 548 | 591 | 639 | 692 | 730 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 1,997 | 2,038 | 2,168 | 2,301 | 2,396 |
Supply growth - Europe -5% 3% 2% 6% 3% Supply growth - Americas -2% -3% 18% 4% 4%
Source: Kontali Comments: All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes. Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 Change % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 6.43 | 7.17 -10.2 % |
|
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) | 8.84 | 9.52 -7.2 % |
|
| DKK Nasdaq Norway |
Q2 2019 48.02 |
Q2 2018 Change % 53.37 -10.0 % |
|
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (per kg) | 58.71 | 59.49 -1.3 % |
Source: Kontali
| FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED | BROODSTOCK | SMOLT | SEA WATER | PROCESSING | SALES/MARKETING | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CURRENT CAPACITY |
Equivalent to 100k (tgw) annual harvest @ marine index of 44% |
None | 12 million @ 200 grams | 21 farming sites/17 fjords 55k (tgw) @100g smolt/ 65k (tgw) @500g smolt 4 well boats 2 service vessels |
130k primary (tgw) 40k secondary (tgw) 80k packaging material (tgw) |
Central sales Faroes UK sales office US sales office Branding |
| ONGOING/ PLANNED INVESTMENTS |
Additional 65k (tgw) annual harvest @ marine index of 44% |
Own breeding programme Full self sufficiency |
19 million @ 500 grams | Upgraded infrastructure Fish transportation R&D |
Selected upgrading, efficiency and functionality |
Marketing/sales initiatives Market penetration |
| PURPOSE | Sustainable Growth Flexibility Efficiency/streamlining Innovation Environmental improvement Food safety |
Adaptability to local biology Product differentiation Support branding strategy (immaterial property) Independence of external suppliers Veterinary control |
Sustainable growth Reduced exposure in sea |
>76k (tgw) @ 500g smolt | Product quality Product presentation Product differentiation Fresh premium product capability |
Premium price achievement Reduced spot price sensitivity Maintain low exposure to single markets |
• Entire infrastructure wholly owned and on balance sheet
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (mDKK) | 2015 | 2015 | 2015 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2017 | 2017 | 2017 | 2017 | 2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Revenue | 800 | 677 | 760 | 905 | 790 | 640 | 868 | 854 | 1206 | 804 | 906 | 851 | 954 | 622 | 750 | 964 | 947 |
| Operational EBIT | 303 | 206 | 257 | 254 | 307 | 255 | 350 | 335 | 459 | 252 | 331 | 268 | 408 | 168 | 231 | 268 | 339 |
| Profit/Loss | 191 | 168 | 319 | 213 | 224 | 346 | 555 | 79 | 398 | 56 | -22 | 272 | 339 | 356 | -7 | 213 | 189 |
| Harvest (tgw) | 14,182 | 12,982 | 13,675 | 10,934 | 13,004 | 10,664 | 12,940 | 13,158 | 18,402 | 11,585 | 11,470 | 12,237 | 12,902 | 7,217 | 12,234 | 13,707 | 12,609 |
| Op. EBIT Farming & VAP (NOK/kg) |
22.62 18.10 21.83 27.55 27.88 28.97 32.00 29.40 29.77 23.02 29.88 22.92 37.41 25.34 21.91 21.99 31.31 | ||||||||||||||||
| Op. EBIT Farming (NOK/kg) |
20.07 17.25 19.67 30.45 34.47 34.44 37.70 34.27 33.50 23.51 25.76 24.15 39.09 24.85 21.56 21.86 31.31 | ||||||||||||||||
| Op. EBIT VAP (NOK/kg) | 7.13 | 2.95 | 6.09 | -10.03 | -18.37 | -14.15 | -11.95 | -17.62 | -13.01 | -1.08 | 9.54 | -7.10 | -11.00 | 2.49 | 1.51 | 0.37 | -0.01 |
| Equity ratio | 61% | 63% | 66% | 66% | 61% | 63% | 66% | 65% | 64% | 68% | 70% | 69% | 68% | 70% | 70% | 70% | 65% |
| NIBD | 302 | 182 | 392 | 218 | 603 | 504 | 635 | 459 | 560 | 356 | 258 | 102 | 443 | 286 | 495 | 522 | 744 |
Revenue for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 820 mDKK in 2010 to 3.2 bDKK in 2018.
Operational EBIT for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 247 mDKK in 2010 to 1.1 bDKK in 2018.
The margin in Farming was NOK 21.86 per kg in Q1 2019.
The margin in VAP was NOK 0.37 per kg in Q1 2019.
• Dividend for 2018 of DKK 8.25 (NOK 10.65) per share was paid out on 26 April 2019. Totalling 403.1 DKK million (NOK 520.3 million)
Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS*
* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year
| 20 largest shareholders | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Holding | Share Name | CitizenshipType of accoun | |||
| 1 | 4,594,437 | 9,4% | JACOBSEN, ODDVØR MARITA |
FRO | Ordinary | |
| 2 | 4,495,846 | 9,2% | JACOBSEN, JOHAN REGIN |
FRO | Ordinary | |
| 3 | 4,005,869 | 8,2% | FOLKETRYGDFONDET | NOR | Ordinary | |
| 4 | 1,996,776 | 4,1% | Nordea Bank Abp | DNK | Nominee | |
| 5 | 1,300,425 | 2,7% | State Street Bank and Trust Comp | USA | Nominee | |
| 6 | 1,101,509 | 2,3% | The Bank of New York Mellon SA/NV | BEL | Nominee | |
| 7 | 926,634 | 1,9% | State Street Bank and Trust Comp | USA | Ordinary | |
| 8 | 825,28 | 1,7% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London | GBR | Nominee | |
| 9 | 824,218 | 1,7% | NN PARAPLUFONDS 1 N.V. | BEL | Ordinary | |
| 10 | 759,979 | 1,6% | State Street Bank and Trust Comp | USA | Ordinary | |
| 11 | 701,514 | 1,4% | HANDELSBANKEN NORDEN SELEKTIV | GBR | Ordinary | |
| 12 | 679,624 | 1,4% | CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. | LUX | Nominee | |
| 13 | 670,496 | 1,4% | NN (L) Global Sustainable Equity | LUX | Ordinary | |
| 14 | 667,258 | 1,4% | State Street Bank and Trust Comp | USA | Nominee | |
| 15 | 645,314 | 1,3% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London | GBR | Nominee | |
| 16 | 626,452 | 1,3% | SWEDBANK ROBUR SMABOLAGSFOND | GBR | Ordinary | |
| 17 | 550,081 | 1,1% | DANSKE BANK A/S | DNK | Nominee | |
| 18 | 525,805 | 1,1% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London | GBR | Nominee | |
| 19 | 518,175 | 1,1% | State Street Bank and Trust Comp | USA | Nominee | |
| 20 | 502,94 | 1,0% | VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB NORGE (IV) | NOR | Nominee |
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BAKKAFROST / Q2 2019 PRESENTATION Page 36
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