Investor Presentation • Nov 14, 2017
Investor Presentation
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BAKKAFROST GROUP Oslo 14 November 2017
| 11,585 tgw in Q3 2017 (10,664 tgw in Q3 2016) Harvested |
|
|---|---|
| Operation | Feed sales of 22,320 tonnes in Q3 2017 (28,850 tonnes in Q3 2016) |
| of 21,937 tonnes in Q3 2017 (11,003 tonnes in Q3 2016) Raw material purchase |
|
| Revenues and | Revenues of DKK 804 million in Q3 2017 (DKK 640 million in Q3 2016) |
| Operational EBIT | Operational EBIT** of DKK 252 million in Q3 2017 (DKK 255 million in Q3 2016) |
| Cash Flow | of DKK 334 million in Q3 2017 (DKK 285 million in Q3 2016) Cash flow from operations |
| Segments | Positive results in Farming and FOF segments. VAP segment improved although small loss |
*) Including internal sales of 20,398 tonnes in Q3 2017 (27,344 tonnes in Q3 2016)
**) EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates, badwill and revenue tax
The result of the Farming segment decreased due to lower salmon prices. The VAP segment improved, but had a small loss. The FOF segment had a strong result.
| (DKK million) | Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 804 | 640 | 2,864 | 2,334 |
| Operational EBITDA | 302 | 287 | 1,184 | 905 |
| Operational EBIT | 252 | 255 | 1,046 | 815 |
| Profit for the period | 56 | 346 | 533 | 783 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 37.6% | 44.8% | 41.3% | 38.8% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 31.3% | 39.8% | 36.5% | 34.9% |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming) (NOK) | 23.51 | 34.44 | 31.05 | 33.22 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) | 23.02 | 28.97 | 27.82 | 28.13 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | -1.08 | -14.15 | -9.84 | -14.75 |
| EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and feed) | 23.2% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
SUMMARY OF Q3 2017
| Total sales of salmon by markets |
Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 45% | 46% | 46% | 41% |
| USA | 20% | 24% | 17% | 23% |
| Asia | 21% | 13% | 15% | 19% |
| Eastern Europe | 14% | 17% | 22% | 17% |
| Fresh salmon only by markets |
Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 15% | 21% | 28% | 20% |
| USA | 28% | 36% | 23% | 31% |
| Asia | 34% | 19% | 20% | 26% |
| Eastern Europe | 23% | 24% | 29% | 23% |
5.6% increased global supply in Q3 2017, compared with Q3 2016, corresponding to 27,700 tonnes
10% increase in harvest
European harvest increased by 5.6%
American harvest increased by 19.2%
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT (head on gutted - HOG) |
Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 284.7 | 271.8 | 4.7 % |
| UK | 40.0 | 36.3 | 10.2 % |
| Ireland | 4.3 | 4.4 | -1.0 % |
| Faroes | 16.6 | 14.8 | 12.2 % |
| Total Europe | 345.5 | 327.2 | 5.6 % |
| Chile | 126.4 | 101.1 | 25.0 % |
| Canada | 33.9 | 31.9 | 6.5 % |
| USA | 5.0 | 5.7 | -12.7 % |
| Total Americas | 165.2 | 138.6 | 19.2 % |
| Other | 18.6 | 15.7 | 19.0 % |
| Total (Harvested quantity) | 529.4 | 481.5 | 10.0 % |
| Inventory movements | -6.7 | 13.5 | -150.5 % |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 522.5 | 495.0 | 5.6 % |
Source: Kontali
Growth significantly lower than increase in American harvest
Market mainly supplied from the Faroe Islands and Chile
Source: Kontali
| Estimated volumes | Q3 comparison | Estimated volumes | YTD comparison | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q3 2017E | Q3 2016 | Volume | % | Q1-Q3 2017 | Q1-Q3 2016 | Volume | % |
| EU | 245,300 | 244,500 | 800 | 0.3% | 652,700 | 689,700 | -37,000 | -5.4% |
| USA | 96,300 | 89,400 | 6,900 | 7.7% | 293,900 | 292,000 | 1,900 | 0.7% |
| Russia | 17,800 | 17,400 | 400 | 2.3% | 45,000 | 48,800 | -3,800 | -7.8% |
| Japan | 13,400 | 14,600 | -1,200 | -8.2% | 41,800 | 41,900 | -100 | -0.2% |
| Greater China | 27,500 | 22,900 | 4,600 | 20.1% | 72,000 | 72,100 | -100 | -0.1% |
| ASEAN | 20,300 | 14,500 | 5,800 | 40.0% | 61,200 | 48,900 | 12,300 | 25.2% |
| Latin America | 33,200 | 30,800 | 2,400 | 7.8% | 99,300 | 105,200 | -5,900 | -5.6% |
| Ukraine | 4,400 | 1,900 | 2,500 | 131.6% | 9,900 | 6,200 | 3,700 | 59.7% |
| Other markets | 64,400 | 58,900 | 5,500 | 9.3% | 180,900 | 171,700 | 9,200 | 5.4% |
| Total all markets | 522,600 | 494,900 | 27,700 | 5.6 % | 1,456,700 | 1,476,500 | -19,800 | -1.3 % |
Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
Source: Kontali
Bakkafrost transferred 3.2 million smolts in Q3 2017 (3.8 million smolts in Q3 2016)
Temperatures in Q3 2017 were in average 10.3 oC, compared with 10.2 oC in Q3 2016 and 9.9 oC in average previous 5 years
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] |
Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Region | 1,659 | 10,372 | 24,364 | 20,785 |
| West Region | 9,926 | 292 | 18,781 | 13,817 |
| Total | 11,585 | 10,664 | 43,145 | 34,602 |
The operational EBIT decreased by 26% from DKK 294 million in Q3 2016 to DKK 217 million in Q3 2017
Postponed harvest to reach target weight of fish
| (DKK million) | Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 619 | 610 | 2,409 | 2,064 |
| Operational EBIT | 217 | 294 | 1,079 | 913 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 35% | 48% | 45% | 44% |
(1) Number of mature female salmon lice per fish, counted every 2 weeks in all cages
(2) Share of non-chemical treatments in the quarter, compared with chemical treatments
23.51 34.44 31.05 33.22 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 Q3 2017 Q3 2016 M9 2017 M9 2016
| (NOK/kg) | Q3 2017 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Region |
West Region |
Farming | ||
| Operational EBIT/kg gw | 32.83 | 21.95 | 23.51 |
| (DKK million) | Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 246 | 201 | 710 | 568 |
| Operational EBIT | -4 | -47 | -112 | -140 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -2% | -23% | -16% | -25% |
| VAP produced volumes (tgw) |
5,209 | 4,119 | 14,118 | 11,943 |
| (DKK million) | Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 342 | 320 | 936 | 828 |
| EBITDA | 79 | 62 | 172 | 177 |
| EBITDA margin | 23.2% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
| Feed sold (tonnes)* | 22,320 | 28,850 | 59,179 | 59,599 |
| Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | 14,547 | 1,516 | 40,051 | 17,295 |
Havsbrún sourced 21,937 tonnes of raw material in Q3 2017, compared with 11,003 tonnes in Q3 2016
Sourcing of raw material (tonnes)
* Including sales to Bakkafrost, corresponding to ~91% of feed volumes in Q3 2017 (Q3 2016: 95%)
Volumes of raw material purchase and feed sale [tonnes]
Construction of new hatchery at Strond in Klaksvík (photo from Oct. 2017)
The operation is expected to start mid-2018. At full operation in 2019/2020 the hatchery is expected to produce 7 million smolt á 500 gram each.
| (DKK million) | Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 804 | 640 | 2,864 | 2,334 |
| Operational EBITDA* | 302 | 287 | 1,184 | 905 |
| Operational EBIT* | 252 | 255 | 1,046 | 815 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | -155 | 122 | -335 | 200 |
| Onerous contracts | 12 | 86 | 67 | 49 |
| Income from associates | -1 | -5 | -1 | 5 |
| Revenue tax | -24 | -23 | -99 | -75 |
| Badwill | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| EBIT | 84 | 445 | 678 | 1,005 |
| Net Financial items | -16 | -21 | -27 | -49 |
| EBT | 68 | 424 | 651 | 956 |
| Taxes | -12 | -78 | -118 | -173 |
| Profit for the period | 56 | 346 | 533 | 783 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 37.6% | 44.8% | 41.3% | 38.8% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 31.3% | 39.8% | 36.5% | 34.9% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) | 23.02 | 28.97 | 27.82 | 28.13 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, -oil and feed) | 23.2% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT adjusted for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts, income from associates, badwill and revenue tax.
Operational EBIT* (DKK million)
Earnings per share (DKK)
*) EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates, badwill and revenue tax
| (DKK million) | End M9 2017 |
End M9 2016 |
End 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 377 | 377 | 377 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 2,448 | 1,971 | 2,118 |
| Financial assets | 58 | 49 | 59 |
| Long term receivables | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Biological assets | 1,417 | 1,413 | 1,858 |
| Inventory | 353 | 378 | 356 |
| Receivables | 333 | 223 | 292 |
| Other receivables | 32 | 88 | 110 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 347 | 241 | 235 |
| Total Assets | 5,365 | 4,741 | 5,418 |
| Equity | 3,662 | 2,997 | 3,549 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 661 | 568 | 546 |
| Long-term interest bearing debt | 256 | 708 | 827 |
| Financial derivatives | 111 | 94 | 101 |
| Short-term interest bearing debt | 395 | 0 | 0 |
| Accounts and other payables | 280 | 373 | 395 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 5,365 | 4,741 | 5,418 |
| (DKK million) | Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
M9 2017 |
M9 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 334 | 285 | 1,197 | 777 |
| Cash flow from investments | -118 | -229 | -467 | -547 |
| Cash flow from financing | -222 | 12 | -618 | -92 |
| Net change in cash | -6 | 67 | 112 | 139 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 347 | 241 | 347 | 174 |
| Undrawn facilities | 933 | 767 | 933 | 767 |
APPENDIX
Financial flexibility enables M&A
SUMMARY OF Q3 2017
| Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - HOG) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017E | 2018E | |||||
| Norway | 1,076 | 1,112 | 1,055 | 1,083 | 1,171 | ||||
| UK | 153 | 150 | 142 | 157 | 159 | ||||
| Ireland | 11 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| Faroes | 75 | 69 | 66 | 74 | 74 | ||||
| Total Europe | 1,316 | 1,345 | 1,277 | 1,330 | 1,419 | ||||
| Chile | 508 | 529 | 503 | 482 | 548 | ||||
| Canada | 86 | 122 | 128 | 124 | 131 | ||||
| USA | 22 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 19 | ||||
| Total Americas | 615 | 669 | 651 | 626 | 698 | ||||
| Other | 54 | 64 | 64 | 76 | 84 | ||||
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 1,985 | 2,079 | 1,992 | 2,032 | 2,201 | ||||
| Supply growth - Global | 8% | 5% | -4% | 2% | 8% | ||||
| Supply growth - Europe | 6% | 2% | -5% | 4% | 7% | ||||
| Supply growth - Americas | 14% | 9% | -3% | -4% | 12% | ||||
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017E | 2018E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 911 | 973 | 941 | 928 | 1,005 |
| USA | 336 | 380 | 379 | 392 | 418 |
| Japan | 58 | 54 | 59 | 59 | 64 |
| Russia | 131 | 96 | 69 | 69 | 70 |
| Others | 550 | 577 | 545 | 582 | 644 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 1,985 | 2,080 | 1,993 | 2,032 | 2,201 |
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
Figures represent sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 6.01 | 6.41 | -6.3 % |
| UB North East US 12-14lb HOG (USD per kg) | 8.22 | 8.95 | -8.2 % |
| DKK | Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | Change % |
| Nasdaq Norway | 44.69 | 47.71 | -6.3 % |
| UB North East US 12-14lb HOG (per kg) | 52.08 | 59.67 | -12.7 % |
Source: Kontali
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
Figures represent sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
BAKKAFROST / Q3 2017 PRESENTATION Page 30
Investments will be made step by step in the relevant parts of the value chain to secure:
| (mDKK) | Q3 2017 |
Q2 2017 |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q1 2015 |
Q4 2014 |
Q3 2014 |
Q2 2014 |
Q1 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 804 | 1,206 | 854 | 868 | 640 | 790 | 905 | 760 | 677 | 800 | 613 | 757 | 584 | 711 | 631 |
| Operational EBIT |
252 | 459 | 335 | 350 | 255 | 307 | 254 | 257 | 206 | 303 | 235 | 227 | 209 | 212 | 186 |
| Profit/Loss | 56 | 398 | 79 | 555 | 347 | 224 | 213 | 319 | 168 | 191 | 132 | 222 | 211 | 126 | 87 |
| Harvest (tgw) | 11,585 | 18,402 | 13,158 | 12,940 | 10,664 | 13,004 | 10,934 | 13,675 | 12,982 | 14,182 | 9,726 | 12,651 | 10,881 | 11,212 | 9,269 |
| Op. EBIT Farming & VAP (NOK/kg) | 23.02 | 29.77 | 29.40 | 32.00 | 28.97 | 27.88 | 27.55 | 21.83 | 18.10 | 22.62 | 26.12 | 19.48 | 19.73 | 17.66 | 21.37 |
| Equity ratio |
68% | 64% | 65% | 66% | 63% | 61% | 66% | 66% | 63% | 61% | 61% | 60% | 57% | 53% | 57% |
| NIBD | 356 | 560 | 459 | 635 | 504 | 603 | 218 | 391 | 182 | 302 | 227 | 233 | 357 | 555 | 503 |
Turnover for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 820 mDKK in 2010 to 3.2 bDKK in 2016.
Operational EBIT for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 247 mDKK in 2010 to 1.2 bDKK in 2016.
The margin in Farming was NOK 34.50 per kg in 2016.
The margin in VAP was NOK -13.82 per kg in 2016.
• Dividend for 2016 of DKK 8.70 (NOK 10.36) per share is paid out in Q2 2017
* Adj. EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year
Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS *
| No of shares | Account name | type | Citizenship | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.594.437 | 9,4% | Jacobsen Oddvør | FRO | |
| 4.494.251 | 9,2% | JACOBSEN JOHAN REGIN | FRO | |
| 3.759.341 | 7,7% | FOLKETRYGDFONDET | NOR | |
| 3.513.840 | 7,2% | Nordea Bank AB Denmark Branch, CCA | NOM | DNK |
| 1.320.109 | 2,7% | CLEARSTREAM BANKING | NOM | LUX |
| 1.316.188 | 2,7% | VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB V/DNB ASSET MANAGEME | NOR | |
| 1.073.369 | 2,2% | SWEDBANK ROBUR SMABO NORDEN | SWE | |
| 960.369 | 2,0% | Skandinaviska Enskil SEB AB, UCITS V - Sw | NOM | SWE |
| 951.705 | 1,9% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, S/A NON-TREATY LENDI | NOM | GBR |
| 717.852 | 1,5% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, JPMCB RE HB SWED FUN | NOM | SWE |
| 637.346 | 1,3% | State Street Bank an A/C EXEMPT LUX REGI | NOM | USA |
| 558.477 | 1,1% | State Street Bank an A/C WEST NON-TREATY | NOM | USA |
| 554.194 | 1,1% | AVIVA INVESTORS JPML SA RE CLT AVIVA | LUX | |
| 528.316 | 1,1% | J.P. Morgan Bank Lux JPML SA RE CLT ASSET | NOM | LUX |
| 514.793 | 1,1% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, A/C VANGUARD BBH LEN | NOM | USA |
| 501.040 | 1,0% | NORDEA NORDIC FUND | FIN | |
| 493.980 | 1,0% | SEB SVERIGEFOND Skandinaviska Enskil | SWE | |
| 478.139 | 1,0% | VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALF | NOR | |
| 473.405 | 1,0% | State Street Bank an A/C CLIENT OMNIBUS F | NOM | USA |
| 456.915 | 0,9% | KLP AKSJENORGE INDEK | NOR | |
| 27.898.066 | 57,1% | |||
| 48.858.065 | 100 Total number of shares as per 8. Nov 2017 | |||
| 238.789 | 0,7 Wherof own shares | |||
| 48.619.276 | 99,3 Total number of outstanding shares |
http://www.bakkafrost.com/en/frontpage/
BAKKAFROST / Q3 2017 PRESENTATION Page 38
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