Investor Presentation • Oct 28, 2014
Investor Presentation
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BAKKAFROST GROUP Glyvrar 28 October 2014
SUMMARY OF Q3 2014
APPENDIX
Largest salmon farming company in the Faroe Islands
BAKKAFROST / Q3 PRESENTATION 2014 Page 4 *) Including internal sale of 23,587 tonnes in Q3 2014 (23,681 tonnes in Q3 2013)
| (DKK million) | Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 584.1 | 741.1 | 1,926.0 | 1,824.4 |
| Operational EBITDA | 232.9 | 208.4 | 676.4 | 525.0 |
| Operational EBIT | 208.7 | 186.8 | 606.3 | 461.1 |
| Profit for the period | 211.3 | 199.6 | 424.7 | 451.4 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 39.9% | 28.1% | 35.1% | 28.8% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 35.7% | 25.2% | 31.5% | 25.3% |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming) (NOK) | 17.02 | 17.59 | 18.15 | 17.02 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) | 19.73 | 15.76 | 19.48 | 14.21 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | 6.77 | -4.96 | 2.58 | -6.38 |
| EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, oil and feed) | 21.46% | 11.55% | 18.88% | 12.57% |
Bakkafrost's new wellboat "Hans á Bakka" under construction at Tersan shipyard, Istanbul, to be delivered in May 2015 (Picture taken 14th October2014)
SUMMARY OF Q3 2014
| Total sales of salmon by markets |
Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 35% | 47% | 46% | 50% |
| USA | 21% | 24% | 22% | 21% |
| Asia | 20% | 25% | 22% | 26% |
| Eastern Europe | 24% | 4% | 10% | 3% |
| Fresh salmon only by markets |
Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 9% | 20% | 11% | 24% |
| USA | 29% | 34% | 36% | 34% |
| Asia | 29% | 36% | 37% | 37% |
| Eastern Europe | 33% | 10% | 16% | 5% |
| The expected supply in 2014 from Norway has |
Global supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - | HOG) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| been reduced 20,000 tonnes since Q2 | ||||||
| Norway | 2011 904 |
2012 1.066 |
2013 1.029 |
2014E 1.075 |
2015E 1.139 |
|
| Norway is expected to increase volumes |
UK | 139 | 143 | 142 | 148 | 153 |
| by 6% rather than of 4% in 2014 | Ireland | 14 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Faroes | 51 | 65 | 66 | 73 | 66 | |
| Chile is expected to increase production |
Total Europe |
1.109 | 1.288 | 1.247 | 1.307 | 1.369 |
| by 22% in 2014 instead of 15% expected | ||||||
| in Q2, 28.000 tonnes up | Chile | 196 | 318 | 418 | 509 | 481 |
| Canada | 108 | 123 | 104 | 100 | 116 | |
| Overall expected global supply increase in |
USA | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| 2014 is 8%. | Total Americas |
320 | 459 | 539 | 628 | 615 |
| Other | 38 | 44 | 48 | 53 | 61 | |
| Tight market expected in 2015 with only 3% |
Total (Sold Quantity) |
1.467 | 1.791 | 1.834 | 1.988 | 2.045 |
| increase in supply, while demand increase is | ||||||
| Supply growth - Global |
22% | 2% | 8% | 3% | ||
| appr. 7% per year | Supply growth - Europe |
16% | -3% | 5% | 5% | |
| Supply growth - Americas |
43% | 18% | 16% | -2% | ||
Source: Kontali
| Estimated | volumes | Q3 comparison |
Estimated volumes |
YTD comparison |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q3 2014e |
Q3 2013 |
Volume | % | YTD 2014e |
YTD 2013 |
Volume | % |
| E U |
229.700 | 204.400 | 25.300 | 12% | 635.800 | 578.900 | 56.900 | 10% |
| USA | 91.300 | 79.400 | 11.900 | 15% | 268.100 | 248.000 | 20.100 | 8% |
| Russia | 32.700 | 33.000 | -300 | -1% | 91.800 | 97.400 | -5.600 | -6% |
| Japan | 14.000 | 13.300 | 700 | 5% | 42.000 | 35.800 | 6.200 | 17% |
| Greater China |
25.600 | 21.700 | 3.900 | 18% | 74.200 | 57.400 | 16.800 | 29% |
| ASEAN | 16.800 | 14.100 | 2.700 | 19% | 44.400 | 39.700 | 4.700 | 12% |
| Latin America |
32.000 | 30.100 | 1.900 | 6% | 104.700 | 88.600 | 16.100 | 18% |
| Ukraine | 4.100 | 6.200 | -2.100 | -34% | 11.800 | 18.500 | -6.700 | -36% |
| Other markets |
65.200 | 51.800 | 13.400 | 26% | 173.700 | 143.300 | 30.400 | 21% |
| Total all markets |
511.400 | 454.000 | 57.400 | 13% | 1.446.500 | 1.307.600 | 138.900 | 11% |
| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014E | 2015E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU-27 | 704 | 826 | 814 | 877 | 914 |
| USA | 260 | 310 | 333 | 365 | 377 |
| Japan | 41 | 57 | 53 | 58 | 56 |
| Russia | 114 | 155 | 144 | 117 | 130 |
| Others | 348 | 443 | 489 | 571 | 567 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) |
1.467 | 1.791 | 1.834 | 1.987 | 2.045 |
Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (Incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam)
ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Estimated re-export from Vietnam subtracted)
Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile)
All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
Note that not all countries have publiched export/import statistics for May & June and Q2 figures may be adjusted.
Source: Kontali
All figures above are in tonnes hog-equivalents, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes. Others include re-export from 3rd contries & domestic supply.
Figures in italics are current supply estimates.
Source: Kontali
| Supply of Atlantic Salmon (hog-equvivalents) |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By month |
Total | Norway | Chile | Faroe | Others* | |||||
| January | 10 000 |
7 300 |
1 700 |
100 | 900 | |||||
| February | 8 500 |
6 300 |
1 200 |
100 | 900 | |||||
| March | 10 300 |
6 700 |
2 500 |
100 | 1 | 000 | ||||
| April | 10 000 |
6 900 |
1 700 |
100 | 1 | 300 | ||||
| May | 9 800 |
6 600 |
1 300 |
300 | 1 | 600 | ||||
| June | 10 500 |
200 7 |
1 600 |
200 | 1 | 500 | ||||
| July | 11 700 |
8 100 |
2 100 |
100 | 1 | 400 | ||||
| August | 9 400 |
1 500 |
4 600 |
400 | 2 | 900 | ||||
| September | 11 500 |
400 | 5 100 |
3 000 |
3 | 000 | ||||
| YoY-Ch. | Total | Norway | Chile | Faroe | Others* | |||||
| Q1 | -4 600 |
-5 500 |
100 | 200 | 600 | |||||
| Q2 | -600 | -1 200 |
-2 300 |
500 | 2 | 200 | ||||
| Q3e | -300 | -13 900 |
6 500 |
2 600 |
4 | 400 |
Half degree warmer in Q3-2014 compared to the same period last year
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] |
Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West | 1,033 | 4,340 | 13,319 | 9,073 |
| North | 9,848 | 6,995 | 18,043 | 21,098 |
| Total | 10,881 | 11,335 | 31,362 | 30,171 |
| (DKK million) | Q3 2014 | Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 435 | 520 | 1,469 | 1,466 |
| Operational EBIT | 167 | 188 | 513 | 512 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 38% | 36% | 35% | 35% |
Harvested fish with good biological and financial performance
Front end loaded harvest in West at higher market prices
| (NOK/kg) | Q3 2014 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farming | Farming North |
Farming West |
Farming | |||
| Operational EBIT/kg gwt | 16.67 | 20.39 | 17.02 |
| in percent (est.) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 6-7 | 7+ |
| Faroe Island | 0,1 % | 1,0 % | 7,2 % | 23,0 % | 33,9 % | 23,9 % | 10,9 % |
| Norway | 0,8 % | 8,4 % | 26,9 % | 33,9 % | 20,9 % | 6,5 % | 2,5 % |
| North America |
0,7 % | 12,0 % | 31,0 % | 29,0 % | 18,0 % | 6,5 % | 2,8 % |
| United Kingdom |
1,2 % | 9,0 % | 27,3 % | 30,7 % | 23,7 % | 5,5 % | 2,6 % |
| Chile | 1,0 % | 17,0 % | 31,0 % | 29,0 % | 17,0 % | 4,0 % | 1,0 % |
| Others | 2,0 % | 16,0 % | 32,0 % | 29,0 % | 16,0 % | 4,0 % | 1,0 % |
| World Wide |
0,9 % | 10,8 % | 27,7 % | 31,6 % | 20,3 % | 6,4 % | 2,4 % |
| (DKK million) | Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 155 | 148 | 654 | 464 |
| Operational EBIT | 27 | -20 | 38 | -85 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 17% | -13% | 6% | -18% |
| VAP produced volumes (tgw) |
4,350 | 4,196 | 16,122 | 13,300 |
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 VAP EBIT FARMING EBIT
| (DKK million) | Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 287 | 422 | 746 | 831 |
| EBITDA | 62 | 48 | 141 | 104 |
| EBITDA Margin | 21.5% | 12% | 18.9% | 13% |
| Sale of feed (tonnes)* | 29,808 | 31,961 | 62,591 | 65,063 |
* Including sale to Bakkafrost corresponding to ~79% of feed volumes in Q3 2014 (Q3 2013: 74%)
Havsbrún's high quality salmon feed is based on high content of marine raw material
SUMMARY OF Q3 2014
| (DKK million) | Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 584 | 741 | 1,926 | 1,824 |
| Operational EBITDA* | 233 | 208 | 676 | 525 |
| Operational EBIT* | 209 | 187 | 606 | 461 |
| Fair value adjustment on biological assets | 60 | -13 | -63 | 21 |
| Onerous contracts | 0 | 67 | 71 | 40 |
| Income from associates | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| EBIT | 269 | 241 | 617 | 535 |
| Net Financial items | -14 | 3 | -32 | 18 |
| EBT | 255 | 244 | 585 | 553 |
| Taxes | -44 | -44 | -160 | -102 |
| Profit for the period | 211 | 200 | 425 | 451 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 39.9% | 28.1% | 35.1% | 28.8% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 35.7% | 25.2% | 31.5% | 25.3% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) | 19.73 | 15.76 | 19.48 | 14.21 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 21.5% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 12.6% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT adjusted for non-operational related items such as fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts, income/loss from associates etc.
* Incl. unrealised exchange gain, losses and deposits on financial derivatives related to the debt
| (DKK million) | End Q3 2014 |
2013 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 295 | 295 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 973 | 917 |
| Financial assets | 132 | 116 |
| Long term receivables | 14 | 1 |
| Biological assets | 960 | 966 |
| Inventory | 286 | 235 |
| Receivables | 184 | 278 |
| Other receivables | 114 | 122 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 368 | 182 |
| Total Assets | 3,327 | 3,112 |
| Equity | 1,892 | 1,665 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 451 | 311 |
| Long term interest bearing debt | 583 | 685 |
| Financial derivatives | 54 | 75 |
| Short term interest bearing debt | 100 | 100 |
| Accounts and other payables | 245 | 276 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 3,327 | 3,112 |
| (DKK million) | Q3 2014 |
Q3 2013 |
M9 2014 |
M9 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 280 | 131 | 697 | 330 |
| Cash flow from investments | -47 | -38 | -153 | -108 |
| Cash flow from financing | -127 | -15 | -357 | -84 |
| Net change in cash | 106 | 77 | 186 | 139 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 368 | 164 | 368 | 164 |
| Undrawn facilities | 921 | 601 | 921 | 601 |
The investments will be made step by step in the relevant parts in the value chain to secure:
VAP expected to start up by end 2017
New Hatchery Norðtoftir
Delivery planned to be 25th April 2015
SUMMARY OF Q3 2014
Forecast for feed sales 83,000 - 87,000 tonnes in 2014
Financial flexibility enables M&A
SUMMARY OF Q3 2014
The new plant and HQ 7 factories merged into one
| (mDKK) | Q3 2014 | Q2 2014 | Q1 2014 | Q4 2013 | Q3 2013 | Q2 2013 | Q1 2013 | Q4 2012 | Q3 2012 | Q2 2012 | Q1 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 584 | 711 | 631 | 667 | 741 | 610 | 473 | 582 | 457 | 416 | 400 |
| Op. EBIT | 209 | 212 | 186 | 124 | 187 | 169 | 105 | 99 | 86 | 78 | 60 |
| Profit/Loss | 211 | 126 | 87 | 138 | 200 | 184 | 67 | 148 | 26 | 91 | 16 |
| Harvest (tgw) | 10,881 | 11,212 | 9,269 | 11,097 | 11,335 | 10,54 | 8,296 | 13,044 | 9,73 | 10,219 | 11,348 |
| Op. EBIT Farming & VAP (NOK/kg) | 19,73 | 17.66 | 21.37 | 12.44 | 15.76 | 15.29 | 12.16 | 7.25 | 8.00 | 7.78 | 5.42 |
| Equity ratio | 57% | 53% | 57% | 54% | 52% | 49% | 48% | 49% | 47% | 47% | 43% |
| NIBD | 357 | 555 | 503 | 641 | 728 | 786 | 775 | 807 | 770 | 733 | 764 |
Turnover for Bakkafrost group has increased from 820 mDKK in 2010 to 2.5 bDKK in 2013
Operational EBIT for Bakkafrost Group has increased from 247 mDKK in 2010 to 587 mDKK in 2013
The margin in Farming was 15 NOK in 2013 – the highest ever. Even in 2012, when the global supply increased by 22%, the company had a margin of 7.3 NOK/kg
During the last 15 years, Norway had far the highest margin of the farming countries with 6 NOK/kg in average, while BAKKA had 4.5 NOK/kg.
The last five years BAKKA had a strong average margin of 11.18 NOK/kg
In 2013 BAKKA had a Farming margin of 15 NOK/kg
Reorganizing the industry in the Faroe Islands and company specific strategy has paid off
Source: Kontali and Bakkafrost
* Operational EBIT is EBIT adjusted for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts, income/loss from associates, acquisition costs and badwill
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
DPS in % of adj. EPS *
| 20 largest shareholders | ||
|---|---|---|
| No of shares | % Name | Origin |
| 4.594.437 9,4 Jacobsen Oddvør | FRO | |
| 4.492.020 9,2 Jacobsen Regin | FRO | |
| 2.831.829 5,8 SPAR NORD BANK A/S S/A CLIENT ACCOUNTNOM | DNK | |
| 2.149.645 4,4 DANSKE BANK 3993 NORDIC SETTLEME NOM |
DNK | |
| 1.960.772 4,0 Skandinaviska Enskil A/C CLIENTS ACCOUNTNOM | SWE | |
| 1.334.993 2,7 J.P. Morgan Chase Ba EUROPEAN RESIDENT OM N |
GBR | |
| 1.281.389 2,6 J.P. Morgan Chase Ba LUXEMBOURG OFFSHORE NOM |
LUX | |
| 1.012.785 2,1 STATE STREET BANK AN A/C CLIENT OMNIBUS F NOM |
USA | |
| 996.445 2,0 J.P. Morgan Luxembou NORDEA LUX LENDING A NOM |
LUX | |
| 964.043 2,0 MORGAN STANLEY & CO S/A MSIL IPB CLIENT NOM |
GBR | |
| 950.646 2,0 J.P. Morgan Chase Ba A/C US RESIDENT NONNOM | USA | |
| 767.347 1,6 JP Morgan Chase Bank HANDELSBANKEN NORDIC | NOM SWE | |
| 703.829 1,4 VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB NOM |
NOR | |
| 688.182 1,4 SEB Private Bank S.A | LUX | |
| 650.000 1,3 VERDIPAPIRFONDET HAN NORGE | NOR | |
| 620.375 1,3 J.P. Morgan Chase Ba NORDEA TREATY ACCOUN NOM |
GBR | |
| 608.290 1,3 STATE STREET BANK AN A/C CLIENT OMNIBUS A NOM |
USA | |
| 565.728 1,2 SKANDINAVISKA ENSKIL A/C CLIENTS ACCOUNT NOM |
DNK | |
| 537.480 1,1 The Bank of New York BNY MELLON | USA | |
| 502.679 1,0 HOLTA INVEST AS | NOR | |
| 28.212.914 | 57,7 Total share 20 largest shareholders | |
| 48.858.065 | 100 Total number of shares as per August 18th 2014 | |
| 342.569 | 0,7 Wherof own shares | |
| 48.515.496 | 99,3 Total number of outstanding shares as per October 22nd 2014 |
| No of shares | % Origin |
No of shareholders |
|---|---|---|
| 14.705.767 | 28,8 Faroe Isl |
808 |
| 12.155.401 | 24,5 UK |
92 |
| 9.200.135 | 19,4 Norway |
1410 |
| 4.556.889 | 9,6 USA |
54 |
| 2.558.471 | 5,3 Sweeden |
15 |
Total number of shareholders: 2,492 - from 21 different contries
Subscribe Oslo Stock Exchange Releases from BAKKA by e-mail on:
http://bakka.com/default.asp?menu=246
Effect on YTD 2014 compared to 2013 tax rates estimated to:
* For 2014 a provisional extra tax of 7% was implemented, compared to the 2.5% for 2013. The provisional 7% tax has been changed to a permanent 4.5% tax and a permanent 0.5% tax on revenues. The change from a provisional to a permanent tax affects deferred tax.
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