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Bakkafrost P/f — Earnings Release 2021
Nov 9, 2021
7331_rns_2021-11-09_1874505d-ec70-4b44-912c-68f22a539db8.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q3 2021
BAKKAFROST GROUP Glyvrar 9 November 2021
DISCLAIMER
- This presentation includes statements regarding future results, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Consequently, actual results may differ significantly from the results indicated or implied in these statements.
- No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees or advisors accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
SUMMARY OF Q3 2021
MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
| 14,937 tgw in Q3 2021 (11,135 tgw in Q3 2020) Harvest in the Faroe Islands (FO): |
|
|---|---|
| Harvest in Scotland (SCT): 6,914 tgw in Q3 2021 (10,476 tgw in Q3 2020) |
|
| Operation | Feed sales of 44,973 tonnes in Q3 2021 (39,869 tonnes in Q3 2020) |
| Raw material purchase of 17,224 tonnes in Q3 2021 (24,101 tonnes in Q3 2020) |
|
| Revenues and | Revenues of DKK 1,272.4 million in Q3 2021 (DKK 1,123.1 million in Q3 2020) |
| Operational EBIT | Operational EBIT** of DKK 70,5 million in Q3 2021 (DKK 102.7 million in Q3 2020) |
| Cash Flow | of DKK 267 million in Q3 2021 (DKK 104.5 million in Q3 2020) Cash flow from operations |
| Segments | Positive operational EBIT for Farming FO, Value Added Products and Fishmeal, Fish Oil and Fish Feed segments, but negative operational EBIT for Farming SCT. |
*) Including internal sales of 42,980 tonnes in Q3 2021 (34,353 tonnes in Q3 2020)
**) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
SUMMARY OF THE QUARTER LOWER OPERATIONAL EBIT DRIVEN MAINLY BY FARMING SCOTLAND
12.43 12.56 -16.32 5.84 2.89 -3.89 Q3 2020 Q3 2021 OPERATIONAL EBIT/Kg (NOK) Farming Faroe Islands Farming Scotland VAP
EBITDA margin
| (DKK million) | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 2021 |
YTD 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 1,272 | 1,123 | 4,066 | 3,513 |
| Operational EBITDA | 194 | 188 | 1,081 | 853 |
| Operational EBIT | 71 | 103 | 702 | 533 |
| Profit for the period | 131 | 177 | 967 | 501 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 15.2% | 16.7% | 26.6% | 24.3% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 5.5% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO) (NOK) | 12.56 | 12.43 | 18.37 | 15.90 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) | 13.59 | 15.24 | 21.07 | 18.36 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | 2.89 | 5.84 | 8.07 | 5.05 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming SCT) (NOK) | -16.32 | -3.89 | -2.00 | 1.68 |
| EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and Feed) | 20.0% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 15.1% |
Group Operational EBIT was DKK 71 million in Q3 2021, compared to DKK 103 million in Q3 2020
SUMMARY OF Q3 2021
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
MARKETS & SALES TOTAL SALES TO ASIA AND EASTERN EUROPE INCREASED – OTHER MARKETS DECREASED
North America
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 2021 | YTD 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| salmon by markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| Western Europe | 65% | 88% | 71% | 56% | 92% | 71% | 65% | 80% | 69% | 57% | 89% | 69% |
| North America | 17% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 7% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 14% | 24% | 6% | 17% |
| Asia | 9% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 8% |
| Eastern Europe | 9% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 4% |
| Rest of world | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Fresh salmon only | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 2021 | YTD 2020 | ||||||||
| by markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| Western Europe | 64% | 88% | 70% | 29% | 92% | 66% | 61% | 78% | 66% | 28% | 89% | 62% |
| North America | 18% | 5% | 15% | 38% | 7% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 16% | 41% | 6% | 21% |
| Asia | 12% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 22% | 1% | 10% |
| Eastern Europe | 6% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 4% |
Rest of world 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 2%
Declining spot prices throughout the quarter
Global harvest grew 5% y/y
Change in global market [volume harvested and market price]
4% increase in total quarterly harvest
- 6% increase in supply to the markets, taking inventory movements into account
- 14% increase in European harvest
- 15% increase in Norway
- Strong growth in the Faroes and Iceland
- 15% decrease in American harvest
- 17% decrease in Chile
- 9% decrease in Canada
- Limited inventory movements in the quarter
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 371 | 322 | 15,2 % |
| UK | 49 | 49 | -0,4 % |
| Faroes | 21 | 16 | 33,1 % |
| Iceland | 8 | 6 | 39,1 % |
| Ireland | 3 | 4 | -27,1 % |
| Total Europe | 453 | 398 | 13,9 % |
| Chile | 149 | 179 | -16,6 % |
| Canada | 31 | 34 | -8,5 % |
| USA | 5 | 5 | 5,6 % |
| Total Americas | 185 | 217 | -14,9 % |
| Other | 29 | 24 | 21,9 % |
| Total (Harvested quantity) | 667 | 639 | 4,4 % |
| Inventory movements | -4 | -11 | -67,4 % |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 664 | 628 | 5,7 % |
5% increase in the EU
- Low compared to 14% harvest growth in Europe
- EU consumed larger than normal share last year due to Covid-19
11% increase in the US
- High compared to 15% reduction in American harvest
- Strong demand in retail and food service
Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted - HOG)
| Estimated volumes | Q2 comparison Estimated volumes |
H1 comparison | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q3 2021 E | Q3 2020 | Volume | % | H1 2021 | H1 2020 | Volume | % |
| EU + UK | 310.800 | 295.800 | 15.000 | 5% | 521.900 | 463.600 | 58.300 | 13% |
| USA | 144.300 | 130.500 | 13.800 | 11% | 289.800 | 241.200 | 48.600 | 20% |
| Russia | 17.000 | 21.400 | -4.400 | -21% | 40.000 | 28.800 | 11.200 | 39% |
| Japan | 14.800 | 16.800 | -2.000 | -12% | 31.500 | 28.100 | 3.400 | 12% |
| Greater China | 28.400 | 21.100 | 7.300 | 35% | 49.400 | 59.200 | -9.800 | -17% |
| ASEAN | 17.200 | 17.100 | 100 | 1% | 41.000 | 34.400 | 6.600 | 19% |
| Latin America | 43.900 | 42.900 | 1.000 | 2% | 94.900 | 73.600 | 21.300 | 29% |
| Ukraine | 7.900 | 5.700 | 2.200 | 39% | 13.700 | 8.600 | 5.100 | 59% |
| Other markets | 79.500 | 76.700 | 2.800 | 4% | 144.000 | 137.800 | 6.200 | 4% |
| Total all markets | 663.800 | 628.000 | 35.800 | 5,7 % | 1.226.200 | 1.075.300 | 150.900 | 14,0 % |
Comments:
EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom (England, Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland). Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile)
All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
High growth in China
Very low consumption in 2020
Large drop in Russia and Japan
Reduced supply from Chile
SHORT TERM SUPPLY OUTLOOK
Expected drop in global harvest next quarters
Around 8% growth in Europe in Q4 2021
Flat development expected in 1H 2022
Drop expected in Americas next quarters
- Driven by Chile
- Temporary low smolt release 2H 2019/1H 2020
TOTAL Change same period last year
SUPPLY - TOTAL
SUMMARY OF Q3 2021
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG OUTLOOK APPENDIX
FARMING – HARVEST VOLUME INCREASED HARVEST IN FO AND DECREASED IN SCT – INCREASED AVG. SMOLT SIZE
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] | Q3 21 | Q3 20 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FO - North Region |
2,862 | 5,337 | 16,814 | 24,543 |
| FO - West Region |
7,756 | 4,681 | 23,349 | 7,450 |
| FO - South Region |
4,319 | 1,117 | 6,361 | 2,750 |
| FO – Total |
14,937 | 11,135 | 46,523 | 34,743 |
| SCT | 6,914 | 10,476 | 24,550 | 25,681 |
| Total (FO & SCT) | 21,851 | 21,611 | 71,073 | 60,424 |
Sea water Temperatures at 18m depth in the Faroe Islands
FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE HIGHER OPERATIONAL EBIT AND OPERATING REVENUE IN FO LOWER OPERATIONAL EBIT AND OPERATING REVENUE IN SCT
| Farming FO (DKK million) | Q3 21 | Q3 20 | YTD 21 |
YTD 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 759 | 530 | 2,366 | 1,737 |
| Operational EBIT | 135 | 97 | 622 | 385 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 18% | 18% | 26% | 22% |
| Farming SCT (DKK million) | Q3 21 | Q3 20 | YTD 21 |
YTD 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 356 | 417 | 1,237 | 1,206 |
| Operational EBIT | -81 | -28 | -36 | 30 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -23% | -7% | -3% | 2% |
FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg]
2021 2020
- FO: Deliberate early harvest of small fish from A72 Haraldsund to synchronise production cycle with A73 Vidareidi – to reduce risk forward. Delay in implementation of new delousing system on M/S Martin caused challenges in the quarter.
- SCT: Environmental blooms (microjelly/hydrozoan zooplankton) and AGD causing significant gill issues and high mortality at three sites during Q3 and early Q4
Freight per kilo sold fresh salmon (FO) [Q3 2019 = Index 100]
VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS (VAP) SAME VOLUMES AND HIGHER COST OF RAW MATERIAL
Volumes (tonnes) Revenue (mDKK) Operational EBIT (mDKK) Operational EBIT/kg (NOK) % of harvest volume for VAP 5,346 0% 5,334 247 8% 267 22 11 5.84 2.89 48% 35% -49% -49% Q3 2020 Q3 2021
| (DKK million) | Q3 21 | Q3 20 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 267 | 247 | 836 | 829 |
| Operational EBIT | 11 | 22 | 91 | 60 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 4% | 9% | 11% | 7% |
| Farming FO transferred to VAP (tgw) | 5,299 | 5,313 | 15,481 | 17,141 |
| VAP produced (tgw) | 5,334 | 5,346 | 15,577 | 16,906 |
Margin - EBIT per kg total VAP produced [NOK/kg]
FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED (FOF) LOWER RAW MATERIAL SOURCING AND HIGHER SALES OF FEED AND FISHMEAL
Raw material sourced (tonnes)
| (DKK million) | Q3 2021 |
Q3 2020 |
YTD 2021 |
YTD 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 557 | 481 | 1,226 | 1,060 |
| EBITDA | 111 | 69 | 217 | 160 |
| EBITDA margin | 20% | 14% | 18% | 15% |
| Feed sold (tonnes)* | 44,973 | 39,869 | 95,962 | 81,113 |
| Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | 2,840 | 2,701 | 13,007 | 17,175 |
* Including internal sales, corresponding to 95.6% of feed volumes in Q3 2021 (Q3 2020: 86.2%)
MARKET CONDITIONS FEED SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN INTERNAL FEED SALES
Raw material (tonnes)
Volumes of raw material purchase and feed sale [tonnes]
Market fluctuations
Fishmeal price and fish oil price increased in Q3 2021, compared to the same quarter last year.
Fishmeal and fish oil price index in DKK (Q1 2015 = 100)
Source: Holtermann
SUMMARY OF Q3 2021
MARKETS AND SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS HIGHER REVENUE – REDUCED OPERATIONAL EBIT AND PROFIT
| (DKK million) | Q3 2021 |
Q3 2020 |
YTD 2021 |
YTD 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 1,272 | 1,123 | 4,066 | 3,513 |
| Operational EBITDA | 194 | 188 | 1,081 | 853 |
| Operational EBIT | 71 | 103 | 702 | 533 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | 114 | 124 | 575 | 140 |
| Onerous contracts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Income from associates | 8 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Revenue tax | -31 | -9 | -92 | -51 |
| EBIT | 162 | 218 | 1,197 | 622 |
| Net Financial items | -3 | -23 | -15 | -36 |
| EBT | 158 | 195 | 1,181 | 585 |
| Taxes | -27 | -18 | -214 | -85 |
| Profit for the period | 131 | 177 | 967 | 501 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 15.2% | 16.7% | 26.6% | 24.3% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 5.5% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) | 13.59 | 15.24 | 21.07 | 18.36 |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming Scotland) (NOK) | -16.32 | -3.89 | -2.00 | 1.68 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 20.0% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 15.1% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT aligned for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax.
OPERATIONAL EBIT* AND ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE**
Operational EBIT* (mDKK)
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,378 | 1,075 | 1,325 | 622 | 702 |
Adjusted EPS** (DKK)
*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
**) Earnings per share adjusted for fair value of biomass, onerous contracts provisions and tax and these.
BALANCE SHEET
| (DKK million) | Q3 2021 |
End 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 4,495 | 4,493 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 4,742 | 4,221 |
| Right of use assets | 309 | 353 |
| Financial assets | 132 | 122 |
| Long-term receivables | 8 | 8 |
| Deferred tax assets | 0 | 27 |
| Biological assets | 2,703 | 2,117 |
| Inventory | 690 | 776 |
| Financial derivatives | 6 | 0 |
| Receivables | 646 | 490 |
| Other receivables | 153 | 134 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 373 | 467 |
| Total Assets | 14,259 | 13,208 |
| Equity | 9,524 | 8,729 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 1,409 | 1,222 |
| Long-term interest-bearing debt | 2,360 | 2,220 |
| Long-term leasing debt | 247 | 265 |
| Financial derivatives | 3 | 11 |
| Short-term leasing debt | 93 | 131 |
| Accounts and other payables | 622 | 629 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 14,259 | 13,208 |
CASH FLOW
| (DKK million) | Q3 2021 |
Q3 2020 |
YTD 2021 |
YTD 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 267 | 105 | 936 | 581 |
| Cash flow from investments | -310 | -176 | -823 | -473 |
| Cash flow from financing | -136 | 63 | -207 | -972 |
| Net change in cash | -180 | -8 | -94 | -864 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 373 | 446 | 373 | 446 |
| Undrawn facilities | 1,439 | 2,163 | 1,439 | 2,163 |
NET INTEREST-BEARING DEBT (NIBD) NIBD INCREASED DURING Q3 2021
NIBD was increased by:
Net investments (mDKK 310)
NIBD was decreased by:
- Cash flow, operating activities (mDKK -130)
- Change in working capital (mDKK -97)
Development in NIBD in DKK millions
NIBD and available funding
Financing end Q3 2021
- NIBD: DKK 1,986 million
- Bank facilities of EUR 463 million, and an accordion of EUR 150 million.
- Undrawn credit facilities: DKK 1,439 million
Q3 ESG UPDATE
Bakkafrost sets a NetZero GHG emission target for 2050
Farming supply vessel M/S Bakkanes put in operation in Scotland to do mechanical delousing
In October, the North East Atlantic Blue Whiting Fishery Improvement Project (FIP) is accepted into the MarinTrust Improver Programme, hence paving the way for regained MSC certfification
SUMMARY OF Q3 2021 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
OUTLOOK
Market
- Global harvest:
- increased 4.6% in Q3 2021 vs Q3 2020
- expected to decrease 4% in Q4 2021
- expected to be flat in H1 2022
- expected to increase 9% in H2 2022
Farming
- Harvest:
- In 2021, Bakkafrost expects to harvest HOG 96,000 tonnes (Faroe Islands: 66,000 and Scotland: 30,000)
- In 2022, Bakkafrost expects to harvest HOG 103,000 tonnes (Faroe Islands: 68,000 and Scotland: 35,000)
- Smolt release:
- In 2021, Bakkafrost expects to release 25.5 million smolts (Faroe Islands: 14.5 and Scotland: 11.0)
- In 2022, Bakkafrost expects to release 25.8 million smolts (Faroe Islands: 15.0 and Scotland: 10.8)
Contracts
For 2022, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 21% of the total expected harvest volumes in the Faroe Islands and Scotland
Fishmeal, Oil and Feed
- Feed sales are expected to be around 130,000 tonnes in 2021, and are expected to be on the same level in 2022
- Fishmeal and fish oil volumes are expected to be lower in 2022 than in 2021
Business development / Investment programme
- Headlines from Capital Markets Day on 14-15 September 2021:
- During 2022-2026, DKK 6.2 billion will be invested in the Faroe Islands and Scotland
- Improve the operation in Scotland
- Pursue sustainable organic growth in the Faroe Islands and Scotland
SUMMARY OF Q3 2021 MARKETS AND SALES SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
LAND BASED FARMING EXPANSION TO 16 KT
S16 Glyvradalur capacity expansion in progress
In operation in 2023 1.9kt ~ 3.8m smolt á 500g
S03 Norðtoftir capacity expansion in progress
- In operation in 2023
- 2.8kt ~ 5.3m smolt á 500g
S24 Strond capacity expansion finalised
- Full operation 2021 ~ 9m smolt á 500g
- 10 unrelated departments, building of 320m x 80m
FS1336 Applecross, Scotland
- RAS expansion
- Expected to be in operation in 2023 5kt ~ 10m smolt @ 500g
Total consent has increased by 11.6% (7,742 tonnes) since the acquisition in Q4 2019
Total consent is 74,765 tonnes in 44 farming sites:
North: 24 sites / 44,415 tonnes consent
- Uist, 5 sites
- Sky & mainland, 6 sites
- Loch Roag, 7 sites
- East Lewis & Harris, 6 sites
South: 20 sites / 30,350 tonnes consent
- Mull and Gigha, 6 sites
- Loch Striven and Arran, 4 sites
- Loch Fyne, 10 sites
SCOTLAND – STRATEGIC RATIONALE
- 1. Provides access to the attractive Scottish farming region
- Niche and differentiated region
- High quality salmon from Scottish Provenance priced at a premium
- 2. Creating a differentiated global leader in premium salmon
- Exposure to two geographies, Faroe Islands and Scotland
- Premium brands West Strome,Scotland
SCOTLAND – STRATEGIC RATIONALE
3. Potential for significant improvement
- Scottish Salmon profitability to improve over a five-year period through transfer of best practices
- Synergies
- Targeted investment programmes
4. Financially attractive
Acquiring the business at a reasonable value, multiple to the sector and Bakkafrost
Investments per kg (DKK)
Faroe Islands:
- Hatchery capacity (2026 capacity: +23m smolt at 500g)
- Increase feed capacity to cater 200,000 tonnes (HOG) harvest
- Flexibility for further expansion to 290kt (HOG) harvest
- 7,000m3 multi-purpose well boat
- Seawater expansion investments, including offshore
- Broodstock facility
Scotland:
- Hatchery capacity (+18m smolt at 500g in 2026)
- Processing plant
- Treatment vessels
- Marine Site development
Planned investment profile is subject to necessary agreements being secured with responsible authorities
Planned investment profile 2022-2026 (DKK 1,000)
Marine Freshwater & Broodstock FOF Other Processing FSV
- Value chain syncronised at 180kt capacity in 2026
- Extra capacity as "insurance" & flexibility and for growth:
- Broodstock (flexibility and future growth)
- Smolt (flexibility and future growth)
- Treatment (improved ability to deal with biological issues)
- Vessel transportation (flexibility and future growth)
-
Primary processing (market flexibility)
-
Transportation (flexibility and future growth)
2026 2022 2018
INVESTING IN SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
150,000 TONNES HARVEST IN 2026, FAROE ISLANDS AND SCOTLAND COMBINED
2022-2026 Capex of DKK 6.2 bn builds 180,000t capacity by
DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN
Expected supply growth in 2021
- 8% growth in Global supply
- 14% growth in European supply
- -3% growth in supply from Americas
2018 2019 2020 2021E 2022E Norway 1,129 1,198 1,223 1,364 1,417 UK 137 171 160 188 185 Ireland 13 14 14 14 14 Iceland 12 22 27 42 44 Faroes 64 78 72 93 95 Total Europe 1,355 1,484 1,496 1,701 1,755 Chile 598 601 657 630 653 Canada 131 124 123 125 121 USA 17 19 18 15 13 Total Americas 747 744 798 770 787 Others 65 71 92 106 119 Total (Sold Quantity) 2,167 2,299 2,386 2,578 2,662 Supply growth - Global 6% 6% 4% 8% 3% Supply growth - Europe 1% 10% 1% 14% 3% Supply growth - Americas 18% 0% 7% -3% 2%
Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG)
Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - HOG)
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | 2022E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU+UK | 949 | 1,017 | 1,071 | 1,160 | 1,197 |
| USA | 435 | 468 | 505 | 574 | 605 |
| Japan | 54 | 53 | 64 | 64 | 66 |
| Russia | 89 | 78 | 79 | 80 | 85 |
| Others | 640 | 682 | 666 | 700 | 708 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2,167 | 2,298 | 2,385 | 2,578 | 2,661 |
Comments:
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
Q3 2021 MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Increased market prices compared to Q3 2020
- Nasdaq Norway price EUR 5.3 in Q3 2021
- Strong growth in European supply
- 19% up vs. Q3 2020
- 15% reduction vs. Q2 2021
- Urner Barry East Coast price continued to rise
- Strong reduction in American supply
- 35% up vs. Q3 2020
- 5% up vs. Q2 2021
- Limited currency effect in the quarter
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 Change % |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 5.29 | 4.47 | 18.5 % | ||
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) | 10.29 | 7.62 | 35.0 % |
| DKK | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway | 39.36 | 33.25 | 18.4 % |
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (per kg) | 64.93 | 48.58 | 33.7 % |
PRICE NORWAY
PRICE US – NORTH EAST
Source: Kontali
DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER
| Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (mDKK) | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2021 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Revenue | 996 | 1,605 | 1,255 | 1,134 | 1,123 | 1,183 | 1,176 | 1,618 | 1,272 |
| Operational EBIT | 303 | 415 | 248 | 182 | 103 | 89 | 224 | 407 | 71 |
| Profit/Loss | 181 | 220 | -148 | 472 | 177 | -38 | 408 | 428 | 131 |
| Harvest FO (tgw) | 12,938 | 17,930 | 10,667 | 12,941 | 11,135 | 15,957 | 14,025 | 17,561 | 14,937 |
| Harvest SCT (tgw) | 7,925 | 7,268 | 7,937 | 10,476 | 9,305 | 7,002 | 10,634 | 6,914 | |
| Op. EBIT Farming FO & VAP (NOK/kg) | 26.25 | 28.25 | 25.10 | 15.34 | 15.24 | 12.92 | 21.48 | 26.93 | 13.59 |
| Op. EBIT Farming FO (NOK/kg) | 23.61 | 25.49 | 26.51 | 9.79 | 12.43 | 5.66 | 14.10 | 26.52 | 12.56 |
| Op. EBIT VAP (NOK/kg) | 9.23 | 11.72 | -2.97 | 11.06 | 5.84 | 17.31 | 18.56 | 1.53 | 2.89 |
| Op. EBIT Farming SCT (NOK/kg) | 3.09 | 5.70 | 5.36 | -3.89 | -8.41 | -1.23 | 6.75 | -16.32 | |
| Equity ratio | 68% | 65% | 66% | 69% | 68% | 66% | 68% | 67% | 67% |
| NIBD | -1,271 | 1,019 | 988 | 1,116 | 1,257 | 1,753 | 1,939 | 1,903 | 1,986 |
Dividend
- The dividend for 2020 of DKK 3.65 (NOK 4,96) per share was paid out on 30 April 2021.
- Dividend payment equals 59% of adjusted EPS.
Dividend policy
- Competitive return through:
- Dividends
- Increase in the value of the equity
- Generally, Bakkafrost shall pay dividend to its shareholders
- A long-term goal is that 30–50% of adjusted EPS shall be paid out as dividend
* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year
Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS*
Dividend per share (DKK)***
Facilities and locations
FAROE ISLANDS
- 18 islands – 1,387 km2
- 53,498 inhabitants (Sept 2021)
- Home rule – within the Kingdom of Denmark
- Part of the Danish monetary union, Danish krone (DKK)
Key sectors (% of wage earners, M5 2021)
- Service/public admin.: ~35%
- Private service: ~31%
- Construction: ~16%
- Fish & aquaculture: ~18%
- Unemployment rate (July 2021): 1.2%
- Total working force (2020): 31,793
- GDP: DKK ~20.9bn (2019)
- GDP/capita: DKK 403,300 (2019)
- (Norway: DKK 505,961) (2019)
Total export of fish products (2020)
DKK 7,719 million - whereof farmed fish accounts for 43%
TAXES
- Total percent of GDP: 41.8% (2016)
- Corporate tax: 18%
- Farming revenue tax: 5.0% of revenues after 1 January 2019 The tax is applied as follows (IMP ~ International market price):
- If the IMP is above DKK 36 per kilo, the tax is 5%
- If the IMP is between DKK 32 and DKK 36 per kilo, the tax is 2.5%
- If the IMP is lower than DKK 32 per kilo, the tax is 0.5%
Restriction on single foreign ownership of 20% in farming companies
One company may max. control 50% of the licences in the Faroe Islands
Source: Hagstova Føroya
BAKKAFROST / Q3 2021 PRESENTATION Page 44