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Awilco LNG

Investor Presentation Feb 28, 2020

3548_rns_2020-02-28_011daeb6-45d8-4af7-9538-dcfa2e6e7be4.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q4 2019 28 February 2020

CEO Jon Skule Storheill CFO Øyvind Ryssdal

www.awilcolng.no

Disclaimer

This presentation may include certain forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections regarding the intent, opinion, belief, various assumptions or current expectations of Awilco LNG (the "Company") and it's management with respect to, among other things, (i) goals and strategies, (ii) evaluation of the Company's markets, competition and competitive position, and (iii) anticipated future performance and trends which may be expressed or implied by financial or other information or statements contained herein.

All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities and events that will, should, could or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Words such as "may," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "intend," "forecast," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "propose," "potential," "continue" or the negative of these terms and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements.

These forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future, some of which are beyond our control and difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements, and no representation is made as to the accuracy of these. Among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are: changes in LNG transportation market trends; changes in the supply and demand for LNG; changes in trading patterns; changes in applicable maintenance and regulatory standards; changes in applicable regulations and laws; technological developments affecting gas and LNG demand; political events affecting production and consumption of LNG; changes in the financial stability of clients of the Company; the Company's ability to secure employment for available vessels and newbuildings on order; increases in the Company's cost base; failure by yards to comply with delivery schedules; changes to vessels' useful lives and residual values; the Company's ability to obtain financing of the newbuildings and lastly unpredictable or unknown factors with material adverse effects on forward-looking statements.

Neither the receipt of this presentation by any person, nor any information contained herein, constitutes, or shall be relied upon as constituting, any advice relating to the future performance of the Company. Each person should make their own independent assessment of the merits of the Company and its business and should consult their own professional advisors. The information and opinions contained in this presentation relate only as of the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice. Neither the Board of Directors of the Company or the Company and it's management make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of this presentation or of the information contained herein and none of such parties shall have any liability for the information contained in, or any omissions from, this presentation, nor for any of the written, electronic or oral communications transmitted to the recipient in the course of the recipient's own investigation and evaluation of the Company or its business. Unless legally required, the Company assumes no responsibility or obligation to update publicly or review any of the forward-looking statements contained herein, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Company overview

Awilco LNG is a fully integrated pure play LNG transportation provider, owning and operating LNG vessels. The Company currently owns two 2013-built 156,000 cbm TFDE membrane LNG vessels, WilForce and WilPride. Awilco LNG is listed on Oslo Axess under the ticker code ALNG.

Agenda 28/02 2020

1. Highlights

    1. Financials Q4
    1. Market update
    1. Summary

4 th quarter and full year highlights

4 th quarter 2019

Net freight income MUSD 16.3 6.3 in Q3 2019
EBITDA MUSD 13.0 7.4 in Q3 2019
Net profit/(loss) MUSD 4.7 (1.1) in Q3 2019
  • All-time high EBITDA
  • TCE* USD 88,200 pd (USD 60,400 pd in Q3 2019)

Full year 2019

Net freight income MUSD 33.7 MUSD 34.8 in 2018
EBITDA MUSD 25.2 MUSD 22.4 in 2018
Net profit/(loss) MUSD (8.3) MUSD (11.4) in 2018

Subsequent events

  • 10-year refinancing fully executed in January 2020
  • Q1 2020 covered at TCE* ~USD 70,000 pd per vessel

*TCE: net freight income including loss of hire insurance divided by the number of calendar days less off-hire days not covered by loss of hire insurance

Excellent commercial track record

TCE USD pd 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 2020 Q1 (F)
ALNG 46,200 31,100 60,400 88,200 58,900 70,000
TFDE # 1 38,400 26,500 36,000 66,400 41,800 55,000
TFDE # 2 39,300 24,400 35,200 77,000 44,400 60,000
MEGI 42,600 46,300 58,200 94,000 62,400 70,000

• Earnings beat vs TFDE owners: USD 11.5 million in full year 2019 on two vessel basis

• MEGI premium? USD 3,500 pd

*TCE: net freight income including loss of hire insurance divided by the number of calendar days less off-hire days not covered by loss of hire insurance Source: TFDE/MEGI Owner quarterly presentations and reports, Company calculations/estimates

Refinancing completed

  • ✓ Sale/leaseback facility fully executed early January 2020 with CCB Financial Leasing
  • ✓ Full take out of previous sale/leaseback facilities net negative cash effect abt MUSD 3.6 after costs
  • ✓ Annual finance cost expected reduced by abt MUSD 7.0 at current forward Libor
  • ✓ Attractive terms
    • Vessels sold for MUSD 175 less MUSD 43.75 pre-paid charter hire
    • 10-year tenor
    • 14-year straight line amortisation profile
    • Libor + margin 370 bps
    • Purchase obligation MUSD 37.5 after 10 years
    • Rolling purchase options after three years
    • Quarterly hire payments in arrears
  • ✓ 2020 hire payments estimated at USD 45,000 pd per vessel
  • ✓ No employment requirements and standard covenants, none of which earnings based
    • Minimum consolidated cash and cash equivalents MUSD 10.0
    • Positive consolidated working capital

Agenda 28/02 2020

  1. Highlights 2. Financials Q4

  2. Market update

  3. Summary

Q4 2019 income statement

USD million Q4'19 Q3'19 2019 2018
Freight income 17.2 6.7 37.1 40.0
Voyage
related
expenses
(0.9) (0.4) (3.4) (5.1)
Net freight
income
16.3 6.3 33.7 34.8
Other
income
(0.1) 4.8 11.6 4.0
Operating expenses (1.9) (2.9) (16.4) (12.5)
Administration
expenses
(1.2) (0.8) (3.7) (3.9)
EBITDA 13.0 7.4 25.2 22.4
Depreciation (3.3) (3.3) (13.1) (13.0)
Net finance (5.0) (5.2) (20.4) (20.9)
Profit/(loss) before
tax
4.7 (1.1) (8.3) (11.4)
Tax - - - -
Profit/(loss) 4.7 (1.1) (8.3) (11.4)

Q4 2019 financial position

USD million 31.12.19 30.09.19 31.12.18
Vessels
(right-of-use
assets)
350.0 353.3 362.1
Total non-current
assets
350.0 353.3 362.1
Trade receivables 0.1 0.1 2.7
Other
short
term assets
3.7 9.7 6.1
Cash and cash equivalents 23.5 14.0 22.5
Total current
assets
27.3 23.8 31.4
Total assets 377.4 377.1 393.6
Total equity 107.3 102.6 115.6
Long-term
interest
bearing
debt
- - -
Other
non-current
liabilities
0.4 0.4 0.3
Non-current
liabilities
0.4 0.4 0.3
Short-term interest
bearing
debt
260.2 262.2 266.7
Other
current
liabilities
9.5 11.9 10.9
Total current
liabilities
269.6 274.1 277.6
Total equity
and liabilities
377.4 377.1 393.6

Q4 2019 cash flow

USD
million
Q4'19 Q3'19 2019 2018
Cash Flows
from Operating Activities:
Profit/(loss) before
taxes
4.7 (1.1) (8.3) (11.4)
Income taxes
paid
- - - -
Interest
and borrowing
costs
expensed
5.1 5.2 20.7 21.5
Depreciation,
amortisation and
impairment
3.3 3.3 13.0 13.0
Trade receivables, inventory
and other
short
term assets
3.6 3.9 5.1 (2.2)
Accounts payable,
accrued
exp. and deferred
revenue
(0.1) (6.5) (1.4) 5.7
Net cash provided
by / (used in) operating activities
16.6 4.8 29.2 26.5
Cash Flows
from Investing
Activities:
Investment in vessels
/ sale of
vessels
- (0.1) (1.0) (11.2)
Net cash provided
by / (used in) investing
activities
- (0.1) (1.0) (11.2)
Cash Flows
from Financing
Activities:
Repayment
of
borrowings
(2.3) (2.2) (7.6) (2.7)
Interest
and borrowing
costs
paid
(4.8) (4.9) (19.6) (19.1)
Net cash provided
by / (used in) financing
activities
(7.1) (7.1) (27.2) (21.8)
Net changes
in cash and cash equivalents
9.5 (2.4) 1.0 (6.4)
Cash and cash equivalents
at start of
period
14.0 16.4 22.5 29.0
Cash and cash equivalents
at end of
period
23.5 14.0 23.5 22.5

Agenda 28/02 2020

  1. Highlights

  2. Financials Q4

  3. Market update

  4. Summary

Spot rates

  • Mild weather and well stocked inventories reducing LNG- and shipping demand
  • Average headline assessed rate USD 109,200 pd in Q4 2019 vs USD 149,900 pd in Q4 2018
  • Historical average USD 77,200 pd with ~45 % volatility

Source: Fearnley LNG, Company calculations

What's going on?

  • LNG trade up 11 % / 36 MT in 2019 to 361 MT
    • Doubling since 2009
  • 28 MTPA new liquefaction capacity added in 2019 + ramp up of 2018 additions

  • Warmest January the last 40 years*
  • Cherry blossom in Tokyo expected to start 16 March 2.5 weeks ahead of historical average
  • Demand unable to keep up with supply

Source: Fearnley LNG, Climate Change Service / Copernicus Programme *1981 – 2020, JMC

Black swan

COVID-19 CASES AS OF 27 FEB 2020

Source: Johns Hopkins CSSE, Reuters, Rystad Energy

  • 82,168 confirmed cases 96 % in China
  • 2,801 fatalities 57 outside China
  • Jan 2020: China's natural gas consumption down 1 % and gas imports down 3.2 %
    • Industrial demand down 14 %
    • Power demand down 10 %
  • Force majeures?
  • Cargo diversions?
  • Operational challenges?
  • Shut-ins?
  • Forecasted 2020 Chinese LNG import growth down from 10-13 % to 4 - 5 %

Sticky prices reducing demand

USD/MMBTU 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 US (HH) Asia (JKM) Europe (TTF) US (HH) fwd Asia (JKM) fwd Europe (TTF) fwd

  • All-time low gas prices
  • JKM below TTF in Feb 2020 a first?
  • Gas now priced 25 % of oil energy equivalent basis

  • Far East consumers not benefitting from low prices
  • About 50 % of China's imports are from Australia
    • Fixed price / 10-14 % of oil
  • With ample regas and storage capacity Europe has guzzled cheap LNG, growing imports by ~60 % in 2019, switching away from coal and reducing CO2 emissions by 5 %

Source: Fearnley LNG, Climate Change Service / Copernicus Programme *1981 – 2020, IEA, CME

And now for something completely different..

THE ART OF THE DEAL SO GREAT!

Vessels needed to transport 1 MTPA of LNG

  • US China phase 1 trade deal signed 15 Jan 2020, tariff cut on US goods incl LNG from 2 March
  • China to purchase additional USD 18.5bn of energy from the US in 2020
  • US LNG exports in 2020 expected at abt 60 MT
    • Equal to a total value of USD 7.5bn @ USD 2.5/MMBTU
  • China stimulus on its way with cut in domestic gas and electricity prices in Feb 2020

Source: Reuters, Company calculations

Win-Win-Win

  • Emissions from advanced economies fell by 3.2 % in 2019
    • Of which 1/3rd from coal to gas switching
  • But was fully offset by increased emissions from RoW, where coal accounts for over 50 % of the energy mix
  • Coal responsible for 40 % of global energy related CO2 emissions

GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS (ENERGY) LIFECYCLE GHG EMISSIONS COAL VS GAS

  • 98 % of gas consumed has lower lifecycle GHG emission intensity than coal
  • 50 % reduction in emissions from coal to gas switching in power production

LNG fleet and orderbook

  • Total fleet 514 vessels > 125' cbm
  • 38 vessels delivered in 2019 22 % less than all-time high in 2018
  • Current orderbook of 113 LNGC or 21 % of existing fleet of which 35 assumed available
    • No newbuild orders in 2020 so far vs 48 in 2019
  • ~20 % of the fleet is «Commercially challenged» (smaller/less efficient), of these 14 laid up, 1 recycled in 2020 (5 in 2018-2019)

Source: Fearnley LNG

The dash for gas

MTPA LNG TRAINS UNDER CONSTRUCTION MTPA

  • 121 MTPA new capacity starting up 2020 2026 of which 53 MTPA in the US (44 %)
    • ~33 % of total trade in 2019 at 361 MT
  • All-time high 71 MTPA FIDs in 2019 in spite of all-time low gas prices
  • A further 800 MTPA of new production capacity are in various stages of planning

Source: Fearnley LNG, IGU, Company presentations

Agenda 28/02 2020

    1. Market update
    1. Summary

Summary

  • ➢ Massive supply growth not matched by demand in the short term
    • ─ Mild winter / seasonality
    • ─ Exacerbated by Covid-19
    • ─ Sticky prices
  • ➢ Mid- and long-term demand for LNG transportation remains strong
    • ─ 33 % growth in LNG production vs 21 % fleet growth
    • ─ US China Phase 1 trade deal promising
    • ─ Demand for gas increasing as it is cheap, abundantly available, environmentally friendly and flexible
  • ➢ Awilco LNG
    • ─ Excellent commercial track record
    • ─ Lean and cost focused organisation
    • ─ Refinancing completed at attractive terms

A Fully Integrated Pure Play LNG Transportation Provider

www.awilcolng.no - 23 -

Jon Skule Storheill

CEO Mobile: +47 -9134 4356 E -mail: [email protected]

Øyvind Ryssdal CFO Mobile: +47 -920 14 029 E -mail: [email protected]

www.awilcolng.no

  • 24 -

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