Earnings Release • May 24, 2023
Earnings Release
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24 May 2023
| General Insurance | Protection & Health | Workplace | Retirement | Solvency II |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £2.4bn | £102m | £1.8bn | £1.5bn | 196% |
| GWP +11%1 | Sales2 +11% | Net flows +25% | Sales2 +17% |
Shareholder cover ratio |
| Q122: £2.1bn | Q122: £92m | Q122: £1.4bn | Q122: £1.3bn | FY 22: 212 % |
"We have delivered an encouraging start to 2023 and continue to build clear trading momentum. New business volumes are good, despite persistent economic uncertainty, and we delivered another quarter of strong growth across our diversified business.
"Private healthcare sales grew by 25%, as more individuals and companies are attracted to the benefits of private cover. The bulk purchase annuity market is very active due to the higher rate environment, and we have now completed over £2 billion of deals so far this year. Our workplace pensions business is also very buoyant, with flows up 25% due to 134 new scheme wins and higher wages feeding through to higher pension contributions.
"Our general insurance business goes from strength to strength. We have grown premiums 11% and maintained attractive levels of profitability, thanks to our disciplined management of inflationary pressures and our balanced mix across personal and commercial lines, and across the UK, Ireland and Canada.
"Aviva is uniquely placed to successfully navigate the prevailing economic environment, and we continue to support our customers through this challenging time. We have market leading positions in high growth areas. We are financially strong with an attractive and growing dividend, and we are confident in the prospects for Aviva."
Footnotes for this page are shown on page 2
| Sales1 | VNB | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
% change | Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
% change | |
| Insurance (Protection & Health) | 102 | 92 | 11 % | 60 | 57 | 6 % |
• Health sales1 were up 25% to £33m supported by strong performance with corporate clients.
| Net flows | Assets under management | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
% change | 31 Mar 23 £bn |
31 Dec 22 £bn |
% change | ||
| Wealth2 | 2,312 | 2,721 | (15) % | 154 | 147 | 4 % | |
| Of which: platform | 684 | 1,454 | (53) % | ||||
| Of which: workplace | 1,765 | 1,412 | 25 % | ||||
| Of which: individual pensions and other | (137) | (145) | 6 % |
• Net flows of £2.3bn remained resilient at 6%3 of opening Assets under management (AuM), despite being 15% lower than the prior year, reflecting the continued market volatility impacting investment activity.
| Sales1 | VNB4 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
% change | Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
% change | |
| Retirement (Annuities & Equity Release) | 1,497 | 1,279 | 17 % | 29 | 17 | 73 % |
• Sales1 up 39% to £420m, driven by new propositions and integrated wealth management service offerings in China.
| GWP | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal lines | Commercial lines | Total | |||||||
| Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
Sterling % change |
Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
Sterling % change |
Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
Sterling % change |
|
| UK | 701 | 627 | 12 % | 703 | 611 | 15 % | 1,404 | 1,238 | 13 % |
| Ireland | 48 | 46 | 5 % | 75 | 63 | 20 % | 123 | 109 | 12 % |
| Canada | 497 | 451 | 10 % | 352 | 302 | 17 % | 849 | 753 | 13 % |
| Total | 1,246 | 1,124 | 11 % | 1,130 | 976 | 16 % | 2,376 | 2,100 | 13 % |
| IFRS 17 discounted COR1 | IFRS 17 undiscounted COR1 | ||||||||
| Q123 | Q122 | Q123 | Q122 |
| % | % | Change | % | % | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK | 95.1 % | 98.1 % | (3.0)pp | 98.4 % | 98.9 % | (0.5)pp |
| Ireland | 84.8 % | 103.2 % | (18.4)pp | 89.5 % | 103.2 % | (13.7)pp |
| Canada | 88.6 % | 88.8 % | (0.2)pp | 92.4 % | 90.8 % | 1.6 pp |
| Total | 91.8 % | 94.5 % | (2.7)pp | 95.4 % | 95.7 % | (0.3)pp |
Undiscounted COR of 92.4% (Q122: 90.8%) reflects a continued return to more normal levels of claim frequency partly offset by lower CAT activity in the quarter.
Comparatives have been restated for changes in COR following adoption of IFRS 17. Refer to page 6 for further information about changes related to the adoption of IFRS 17.
| Net flows | Assets under management | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
% change | 31 Mar 23 £bn |
31 Dec 22 £bn |
% change | ||
| Aviva Investors | (954) | (4,283) | 78 % | 226 | 223 | 2 % | |
| Of which: external assets | 171 | (235) | 173 % | ||||
| Of which: internal assets | (544) | (1,194) | 54 % | ||||
| Of which: strategic actions | (581) | (2,854) | 80 % |
| Movements in Q1231 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| £bn | FY 2022 | Total capital generation |
Dividends | Share buy back |
Pension scheme payment |
Q123 | Debt repayment |
Pro forma estimated at Q123 |
| Own funds | 16.5 | 0.2 | (0.6) | (0.3) | (0.1) | 15.7 | (0.3) | 15.4 |
| SCR | (7.8) | (0.2) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | (8.0) | 0.0 | (8.0) |
| Surplus | 8.7 | 0.0 | (0.6) | (0.3) | (0.1) | 7.7 | (0.3) | 7.4 |
| Solvency II Shareholder cover ratio (%) | 212 % | (4) pp | (7) pp | (4) pp | (1)pp | 196 % | (3) pp | 193 % |
• Solvency II debt leverage ratio of 33% at Q1 23, 31% pro forma for £500m of further deleveraging, including the announced Tier 2 notes redemption.
1 Rounding differences apply
| PVNBP | VNB1 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
Sterling % change |
Q123 £m |
Q122 £m |
Sterling % change |
||
| Insurance (Protection & Health) | 660 | 696 | (5) % | 60 | 57 | 6 % | |
| Wealth & Other | 6,047 | 6,010 | 1 % | 61 | 49 | 24 % | |
| Retirement (Annuities & Equity Release) | 1,497 | 1,279 | 17 % | 29 | 17 | 73 % | |
| Ireland Life | 466 | 445 | 5 % | 11 | 7 | 56 % | |
| UK & Ireland Life total | 8,670 | 8,430 | 3 % | 161 | 130 | 24 % | |
| International investments | 420 | 303 | 39 % | 20 | 19 | 5 % | |
| Total | 9,090 | 8,733 | 4 % | 181 | 149 | 21 % |
1 Comparatives for Retirement (Annuities & Equity Release) have been restated following updates to VNB methodology. The assumptions used for certain annuity obligations are now based on a target asset mix and allow for expected reinsurance, removing distortions due to timing of asset origination or temporary reinsurance gaps.
An analyst call will take place at 0830hrs BST on 24 May 2023 and will be live-streamed via our website. A replay will be available after the event. www.aviva.com
Click on, or paste the following link into your web browser, to access our shareholder asset portfolio presentation: https://www.aviva.com/investors/q1-2023-update/
| Rupert Taylor Rea | +44 (0)7385 494 440 |
|---|---|
| Joel von Sternberg | +44 (0)7384 231 238 |
| Michael O'Hara | +44 (0)7837 234 388 |
Andrew Reid +44 (0)7800 694 276 Sarah Swailes +44 (0)7800 694 859
This document should be read in conjunction with the documents distributed by Aviva plc (the 'Company' or 'Aviva') through The Regulatory News Service (RNS). This announcement contains, and we may make other verbal or written 'forward-looking statements' with respect to certain of Aviva's plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives (including, without limitation, climate-related plans and goals). Statements containing the words 'believes', 'intends', 'expects', 'projects', 'plans', 'will', 'seeks', 'aims', 'may', 'could', 'outlook', 'likely', 'target', 'goal', 'guidance', 'trends', 'future', 'estimates', 'potential', 'objective', 'predicts', 'ambition' and 'anticipates', and words of similar meaning, are forwardlooking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the announcement include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing uncertain conditions in the global financial markets and the national and international political and economic situation generally (including those arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and uncertainty over the US Debt Ceiling); market developments and government actions; the effect of credit spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value of our investments; reduce the value or yield of our investment portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impact of changes in short or long-term interest rates and inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate capital management initiatives; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events (including the longer-term impact of COVID-19) on our business activities and results of operations; the transitional, litigation and physical risks associated with climate change; failure to understand and respond effectively to the risks associated with environmental, social or governance ('ESG') factors; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the impact of the Group's risk mitigation strategies proving less effective than anticipated, including the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; poor investment performance of the Group's asset management business; the withdrawal by customers at short notice of assets under the Group's management; failure to manage risks in operating securities lending of Group and third-party client assets; failure to continually attract and retain talented, quality financial advisers; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; regulatory approval of changes to the Group's internal model for calculation of regulatory capital under the UK's version of Solvency II rules; the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events and malicious acts (including cyber attack and theft, loss or misuse of customer data); risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation; changes in tax laws and interpretation of existing tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business; changes to International Financial Reporting Standards relevant to insurance companies and their interpretation (for example, IFRS 17); the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, separation issues and other risks associated with our business disposals; and other uncertainties, such as diversion of management attention and other resources, relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries; the policies, decisions and actions of government or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US, Canada or elsewhere, including changes to and the implementation of key legislation and regulation (for example, FCA Consumer Duty and Solvency II). Please see Aviva's most recent Annual Report and Accounts for further details of risks, uncertainties and other factors relevant to the business and its securities.
Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this report are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.
This report has been prepared for, and only for, the members of the Company, as a body, and no other persons. The Company, its directors, employees, agents or advisers do not accept or assume responsibility to any other person to who this document is shown or into whose hands it may come, and any such responsibility or liability is expressly disclaimed.
Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.
Registered office St Helen's 1 Undershaft London EC3P 3DQ
Aviva plc
Shareholder asset portfolio update
It takes
This document should be read in conjunction with the documents distributed by Aviva plc (the 'Company' or 'Aviva') through The Regulatory News Service (RNS). This announcement contains, and we may make other verbal or writ 'forward-looking statements' with respect to certain of Aviva's plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives (including, withou climate-related plans and goals). Statements containing the words 'believes', 'intends', 'expects', 'projects', 'plans', 'will', 'seeks', 'aims', 'may', 'could', 'outlook', 'likely', 'target', 'goal', 'guidance', 'trends', 'potential', 'objective', 'predicts', 'ambition' and 'anticipates', and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking sta announcement include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing uncertain conditions in the global financial markets and the national and international political and economic situation generally (including those arisin Russia-Ukraine conflict and uncertainty over the US Debt Ceiling); market developments and government actions; the effect of credit spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of l defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value of our investments; reduce the value or yield of our investment portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; changes in short or long-term interest rates and inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations on the and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate capital management initiatives; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and re insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and mancatastrophic events (including the longer-term impact of COVID-19) on our business activities and results of operations; the transitional, litigation and physical risks associated with climate change; failure to understand effectively to the risks associated with environmental, social or governance ('ESG') factors; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the impact of the G mitigation strategies proving less effective than anticipated, including the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; poor investment performance of the Group's asset managemen the withdrawal by customers at short notice of assets under the Group's management; failure to manage risks in operating securities lending of Group and third-party client assets; failure to continually attract and retain financial advisers; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; regulatory approval of changes to the Group's internal model for calculation of regulatory capital under the Solvency II rules; the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events and malicious acts (includin and theft, loss or misuse of customer data); risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associa participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of cha linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standi customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation; changes in tax laws and interpretation of existing tax laws in jurisdictions where we business; changes to International Financial Reporting Standards relevant to insurance companies and their interpretation (for example, IFRS 17); the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclose separation issues and other risks associated with our business disposals; and other uncertainties, such as diversion of management attention and other resources, relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals w industries; the policies, decisions and actions of government or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US, Canada or elsewhere, including changes to and the implementation of key legislation and regulation (for exa Consumer Duty and Solvency II). Please see Aviva's most recent Annual Report and Accounts for further details of risks, uncertainties and other factors relevant to the business and its securities.
Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this report are current only as of the date on such statements are made.
This report has been prepared for, and only for, the members of the Company, as a body, and no other persons. The Company, its directors, employees, agents or advisers do not accept or assume responsibility to any other pe who this document is shown or into whose hands it may come, and any such responsibility or liability is expressly disclaimed.
High-quality portfolio continues to perform well
Defensive investment profile - we have not chased growth
Low shareholder exposure to equities, emerging markets sovereigns, and European peripherals
Q123 Shareholder assets
Government debt Corporate bonds
Corporate bond portfolio continues to perform well
<£20m of portfolio downgraded to a lower ratings letter and c.£280m upgraded to a higher ratings letter
No corporate bonds downgraded below investment grade
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